he wanted to help us, he, he behaved like a friend, who is a friend? zarubin, scum. zarubin made it so that i had to leave lunstrom. zarubin snitched on the ministry about the diploma. what a friend he is, he comes to my house when i’m not there. wait, why did he help get you out of prison now? who told you that it was he who helped me? he. listen, they released you, right after i called him from the maternity hospital, they dropped all charges, closed the case, it can’t be just like that, of course, of course, it can’t be just like that, but my friends, they didn’t sleep at night, zeleberan , raised everyone’s ears, through the director of the rosconcert they reached such a person, i’m even scared to tell you who, and they let me out, but it wasn’t zarubin, scum, i just didn’t know it everything, i thought,

anatoly, tell me, tell me, yes, how did you guess that i love the vakhtangov theater? well, this is my favorite theater, so i took a ticket to it, but what happens?

and they invited me to the russian concert, and now you, no, no, no, no, tell me, now it’s your fate, well, no, everything is so simple for me, it’s even boring, well, okay, dad is the boss, mom stays at home, i’m the only daughter, you know, such a girl, an excellent student, with her own ideals, as a result of which i’m closed , i’m practically not friends with anyone. why do i cause special concern to loving parents? well , it seems to me that it’s quite natural for parents to worry about their only daughter, right? do you think? i’m sure, lyufei mikhailovich, special thanks to you, yes. what the guys

told me about how you saved me, when you told me which offices you had to go to, oh, it’s better not to remember, in general, guys, thank you for not giving up, thank you, my friends, i selected you for a reason, thank you, thank you, we need to understand our plans, valer, you have already broken through to radio, logically now you need to get to tv, of course, tv - the shortest path to popularity, tv is good, but somehow? valera, letters to television also go through my department, we read letters from citizens in the same way, compile lists of artists whom they don’t know how to read, then this list is of course approved further, yeah, what ’s stopping us from bombarding the editorial office with these letters, these bags of letters, where it will be written that they say we want to see on the blue screen, there in the blue light, anywhere in any program of the abadinsky century. valerie, do you know how many letters you need to write, how many? well,

at least you need five bags, but what about 1 2 3 4 5 p? well, yes, and they wore two negs, that’s it, let’s start writing songs, for new victories, for new songs, hurray, hurray, hurray, nina, yes, hello, and hello, hello, well, how are you in the mood, thank you, good, great , today i wanted to take a walk with you again, after work, well, yes, i’ll bother you a little more, if. it’s impossible, uh-huh, i’ll be happy, with joy, okay, then at 6 o’clock downstairs near the exit, we agreed, uh-huh, bye.

hello, hello, it’s so good that you called, i was just about to dial you, yes, to tell you that i know everything. girls, hi, hi, hi! certainly! yes

, i myself was surprised, valera, you’re not joking, come on, what jokes, everything is honest, people call, order obanzinsky, letters, they go, everything is for real. no need to write it out, no, no need, then see you in the light, it’s done, obozdinsky police day, something’s wrong i draw your attention, this is the main camera, but don’t worry, they all started running, the night is thick over the sea, it’s night over the land, but you are here, go, go, go, listen, it’s light,

the sea trembles in the night. and you can’t hear the surf, only to the heart, again from abadin, they write, they write , men, i like it, you know, i really like the eastern one, it’s complete, complete only with you, dear, the sea is silent so that i can tell you. how i don’t need you, in this world of greed, i live only for you,

the sea sleeps in the night, and you can’t hear the surf, it pours. li, warm, you are illiterate, warm, you eastern, how do you not know the words , i don’t even know the words, valer, please do something with your borders, kill them, well , what can i do, at least ask them not to gather in the entrance, well then they will sing right under the window, not sing, but yell , it’s funny for you, on your tour, it ’s me sitting here, they don’t give me a pass, impudent, why are you nervous, it’s just a fan of their attention, this is the popularity we’re talking about so we dream with you, so what, let them show their attention to you concerts, or let them buy themselves a record and scream at home, and not at our door, but how

could you forget, come on, valera, hello girls, this is certainly very nice. i have a small child at home, we know her name is angelica, and angelica needs to sleep, but can we just sit here in the entrance, it’s cold outside, please, please, it’s very cold, let’s go home , well, humanized, but you don’t do you hear? valerie , please understand me, you are leaving, you are gone for weeks, and there is a hotel and these same young people, i am incredibly tired and want to sleep, i have there were 10 concerts in a row, tomorrow the train is back, i brought money, gifts in my suitcase, what

else do you need, i just want to sleep. thank you, quietly, quietly, quietly, quietly, that's it, that's enough, that's enough

, yes, that means, look, it will be tomorrow, today i'm resting, i'm taking a break from everything, let's go home, let's go, no, i don't want to, there's this crazy woman in the entrance a fan, your wife is jealous at home, no need, well, she’s jealous, that means she loves, and , you know, as they also say, they say happiness when they understand you, okay, then come to me, you’ll spend the night with me, and let him marry

pain, be extremely careful! where approximately kalinin region kalininskaya flowers were brought, brought, brought. at least i thought of this, thank you, god

, mikhalovich, please, let’s stop , we’ll get a beer somewhere, you feel very good, it’s so bad, valer, you ’ve been going overboard with this matter lately, i’m getting on my nerves, this won’t work, why do you think so, everything will go, man? hello comrades, well, the first item on today’s agenda is personnel changes in the ministry of culture. well, i think alekseyevich is no one’s no need to imagine. alexey yuryevich kulikov is appointed to the position of deputy minister. i signed the order. congratulations. i ask you, as my deputy, to connect.

don’t be boring, well, the proletarians of the soviet country want to drink after the concert to relax, why should you drink your 50 drops, i don’t like all this. good afternoon, hello, alexey yurievich, he's waiting for you, thank you, oh, hello, hello, serge, good afternoon, alexey yurievich, hello, come in, sit down, thank you, lida, two teas for us, yes,

now, if possible, i have no sugar, one without sugar, of course, thank you, tell me how you are in the new place, deputy minister, this is serious, yes, well, i’m settling in , i have contact with ekaterina aleksemovna, she trusts me, this is very it’s important, furtsia, you know it yourself , she’s a serious woman, she didn’t just start pushing you around, i’m very happy for you, thank you, sergei grigorievich, thank you, well, of course , there’s a lot of work, but they didn’t put you in this position to rest, so let's harness these... yes, thank you, i'm trying, i'm trying, now the main thing is, happy anniversary, yes, this is the most important event, there is no way to mourn here, well, that ’s why i came to you, so to speak,

to consult, leonid ilyich, because he trusts you. well, yes, you can say so, for starters i wanted to show you one piece of paper, well , let’s see what you have there, so, so, the list of participants in the gala concert dedicated, yeah, i understand, okay, so, combined choir, okay, yeah , right, yeah, yes, mgamaev, right, his youth listens, yes. kabzon, of course, is from abadin, so am i i doubt it, right, i doubt it, he is a very bad example for our youth, he

doesn’t even have a musical education, but that’s not what i’m talking about. look at how he dresses, how these girls go crazy about him at his concerts, here is his main song, as they say, a hit, like its eastern one, you listened to the words carefully, but i will remind you, in each line there are only dots after the letter l,

well, how about you, well, that’s... that’s how it is, and you want to invite him to such a concert, he has no place at all on our stage, i’ll talk about it on meetings, in the press, everywhere, people like obadinsky have no place on our stage, i understand.

hello, happy new year everyone, this is the easy money podcast, and i’m its host, mikhail khanov. today we have such an unusual, new year’s , one might say, festive magical theme, we will deal with what forecasts, what tools will help you find financial well-being, and most importantly, is it worth trusting these forecasts, these various trends, predictions, today our guests, olga kiseleva, hello olga, and ilya will help us figure this out korovin. trader with thirty years of experience, financial analyst. hello ilya. good evening! our topic is absolutely amazing, but since we are in a new year’s mood and don’t want to talk about too

serious topics at this time, let’s still talk about why forecasts are so important in our lives, which forecasts to believe, where to get information? well, let's start with you, olga, because you, as a person directly involved in what is published, right? in what circulations and most importantly, what is being bought, i think that you first of all you own all the trends, tell us how interesting and in demand the topic of esotericism is now, the topic of esotericism is now really in great demand, and if the trend began to move somewhere around 2020, then over the last year it has reached its peak, now you can see that in the publication of books on esotericism, and this... we have astrology, and tarot cards, and various other techniques, and it is so noticeable that even those publishers

who historically have not published this type of literature have joined this race, what is this directly surpassed the nineties, this is a trend, this is not a mood - this is from there, or this is a separate story of the 21st century and the twenties, and so and so, the fact is that publishers know as soon as some... something comes so interesting, beautiful, aesthetic, on the other hand, it’s an opportunity to grab onto something that could theoretically help you deal with

a difficult situation. well, tell me, it’s just a tool, that is, you know what it ’s called, we printed tarot cards, yes, as far as i understand, the most popular printing products are precisely a tarot card, which is now being produced all over the world, it’s just a certain tool that was printed out and given, and what is called deal with... yourself or to a greater extent, there are still some instructions, some texts, some descriptions, yes, because how do you compete with online platforms, yes, because i know that just recently the number of videos posted on the topic with the hashtag - tarot cards exceeded 1 billion, and this number continues to grow, we don't we compete because this is a different request, but they go online to look, get inspired, and buy it for themselves as a tool.

various astrological forecasts lately, i just personally know a lot of very serious, respected financiers who, without an astrological forecast, i don’t know whether they guess with tarot cards or not, they probably do, but the words retrograde mercury are very often found in their speeches, what do you say to ilya on this matter, on the issue of myths, the most important thing is that in tarot cards, in retrograde mercury is what people get from life through trading. this is really a support, well, i’ll correct it a little, it seems to me, to external forces, when a person lacks internal strength, internal confidence, he draws strength from somewhere outside, so we get this whole set of tarot cards, retrograde mercury, esotericism of everything, of every kind, including here i include the mythology that in the market you can predict the future and make money from this forecast, this is also part of the mythology,

namely to predict, yes... we must understand the first thing is that any forecast that we give in life on the market is, in principle, a matter of predicting the future, yes, this is not just some number, the future is largely shaped by events that have not yet occurred, and we can analyze all events, which we already know at the moment, if we are talking about markets, yes, we can be an excellent financier, analyst, we can fully calculate everything that has already happened and give a certain scenario of how they will influence future movements.

you, that is, you stand as competitors to everyone to numerous bloggers, video bloggers , releasing printed materials, even more tools, how are you positioning, how is the publishing house positioning itself in this, in all this bustle, is it positioning itself, we do not consider ourselves competitors and we do not consider astrologers to be competitors of publishers, we are truly different entities, yes, we have different functions, but let's start with the fact that not a single publisher at least. at least a major publisher, yes, if he does not specialize purely in esotericism, he does not consider tarot as a forecasting tool or a tool of fortune-telling, which is even worse, but we still consider it as a tool of self-knowledge, in this we fundamentally diverge from the request that often comes to a tarot reader, everyone comes to a tarot reader for a magic pill, that’s not all, but for sure there is such a percentage, yes, yes, that

is, we are not talking about a magic pill. that is why i said that we often involve psychologists in creating decks in order to convey this expertise as more competent and correct than just poking, that is, in fact, you position the tarot cards everything, what is connected with them, and not only tarot, as some kind of psychological work of a person with himself, or with an expert, perhaps , you know, we know numerous courses about... success, but there you will become an entrepreneur in 5 hours, not all people are capable of how to become entrepreneurs, also not all people are able to engage in self-analysis, that’s the trend now , that’s what you, that’s what the publishing house makes money on, yes, well, because of course the whole question is about circulation, which in the end are bought, you place a bet the toolkit itself, a little tied to psychology, or what? a toolkit that comes with expert opinion as well as

aesthetic packaging? and i agree with you , of course, just give a tool to a person to say, you will solve your complex problems with it, this is impossible, and therefore very often cards, not only tarot, but for example the magician, yes, metaphorical associative cards are a tool in the hands psychologist, a person is already working on his problems together with another specialist, i am for an environmentally friendly approach to this, this is the moment, how trendy is not trendy, well, let’s say, i don’t take it at all, maybe... simple bloggers, there are teenagers, girls, but serious magicians, wizards, esotericists, let’s say, they resort to publishing books , or they are all focused online on current platforms, on video streams, on just some periodic videos, that is , they act as conductors of visual content, or is there still a tendency that the printed word also greatly influences

people’s minds. great question, here too depends on the position of the publisher, yes, some publishers just find such specialists, major bloggers, esotericists, astrologers, and so on and... come to them with a request: let's publish a book, in this case it is a commercial product, but we, for example , do not follow this path, so we do not use this approach, and astrologers, tarologists and others themselves can actually publish some books, in my opinion, here the responsibility falls on the publisher, whom he takes his publishing briefcase, who is it offers, under its brand , under its name, its responsibility, further to the reader, well, because, well, if i were a marketing director, an astrologer or an esotericist, i would tell a very beautiful story that right now you will listen to a webinar there or a stream like this - such and such

an author of such and such books on this topic, that is, i still think that people of our generation, our level of education , it is important for them that there are also books, that is, a book is a certain kind wow. this is the easy money podcast and i'm its host. mikhail khanov. today we are talking about the role of forecasts in achieving financial well-being. ilya, in your experience, what predictions come true more often? obtained

with the help of esotericism, yes, let’s call it something general, tarot cards, some kind of fortune-telling, horoscopes, something else, or some serious economic forecasts that are issued there by the central bank and... and famous economists and do they even come true? let me return the question to you a little, yes, what do we mean by forecast? in fact , the confusion begins here, well, for example, yes, i can give you a forecast that the ruble is a dollar, all of our viewers probably understand, yes, an understandable bank instrument, it now costs 92 rubles. i give you a forecast that with a 99% probability, the bond will fluctuate between one ruble and a thousand rubles. isn't this a forecast? and why? is it possible to make money on this forecast? right, why can’t you make money? because it is too vague and now there is no direction, yes, probably, okay, i’m giving you another forecast: the dollar exchange rate will rise, can you make money on this? neither is it possible, because we don't we know where it will go first, up or down

, plus, and we also don’t know how long it will grow, but that’s what i’m talking about, for example, when we mostly hear some kind of forecast, it usually doesn’t contain very important components, a full-fledged forecast on which you could make money.

be produced, but no one will be able to use it, so the forecast is in most cases, this is deceit, from those who deal with them professionally, who give them, another question is the problem of those who consume them, because the person who came to the stock exchange and wants to get a forecast

, he is no longer right, he no longer understands why he came to the stock exchange, the one who makes the right actions that lead to earnings makes money on the stock exchange, and not the one who a predicts, b, listens to other people’s . but very different from most. here everything depends only on the person. a trader is a type of entrepreneur, but a special entrepreneur. what's in common? he is the owner of a kind of business, yes, that is, a trader risks his money, like an entrepreneur, he does not have a boss, like entrepreneur, but then something interesting begins: he has no subordinates, no clients, no partners, no lessors, no ss, no, i’ll finish, which is very important, yes, that is, the trader understands that all responsibility is only on... an entrepreneur, even if he went bankrupt, he can say, my

subordinates did a bad job there, my partner set me up, something has changed there, the trader hasn’t, if the trader lost money, only he is to blame, and this is a very difficult situation psychologically, again returning to to what olga says, yes, the trader is extremely a complex psychological profession, where you are responsible for every step you take, if you are wrong, you lose money, you are not just completing your logical narrative, use any forecasts. it’s simply anti-logical and shifting the responsibility to shifting the responsibility to anyone else and, accordingly, you are no longer a trader at this moment great olga, such an ironic, playful question: you, as the editor-in-chief of a publishing house, do you use tarot cards or other forecasts in order to predict trends and trends in reading in demand, that is, well, well, so you are drawing up your portfolio for the next year, you sometimes throw out cards that you yourself issue, what will be in demand, what will not? i don’t, but i personally know a person, although not from

the publishing industry, who prepared a photo analysis using a tarot deck, oh well, believe me, he helped the person, a photo analysis of what, excuse me, of his business strategy, a photo analysis for our audience is a four-factor complete analysis of the situation of weaknesses, strengths, uh, possibilities of vulnerability, but he laid out the strategy on tarot cards, but really this... forecast comes true in about the same way as any other, so, well , it helped, because it happened, well, like in that famous joke when a woman is asked what is the probability that you will meet a dinosaur if you go out on street of st. petersburg, she says 50%, either i’ll meet you or i won’t meet you, well , because in fact, speaking seriously, well, ilya, you will understand me as a person in mathematics and economics, i’m like a mathematician, any phrase said, what... the ruble exchange rate in a week without

downward movement it will be there i don’t know 95 it will reach this level without downward movement here on such a horizon this is the number if this does not happen i can say well it was 98% the same two worked yes well the mathematicians will understand me the long-range statistical long-range ones worked quanti. look into yourself or ask yourself, i don’t know

, to find the answer to some complex task of personal development, i would probably look there. ok, a very personal question, have you ever used tarot cards? yes, a very long time ago, i was not impressed, for ourselves yourself or with the help of some professional, because there is some kind of no, for yourself, without some professional. lya, one question, do you yourself think that the forecasts are? to do - in such a complex matter as trading, yes, that is, private traders, non-private traders, institutions, forecasts - is it good or bad, or are there any other alternatives than either laying out the tarot every day or reading there, i don’t know news feed and connect something from this, that is, in trading how it works, well, in certain cases , in rare cases, forecasts still, well, not only work, but they have some support...

this is not a prediction of a crisis, as many people think, but this is exactly what happens after a crisis. it is extremely difficult to predict a crisis and almost no one knows how to do this, if you predict it, it is usually by accident, then these people reap the benefits for a very long time, but cannot repeat this success , they do not predict the next crisis, so when the crisis has already occurred, do bet that everything will come back, fall yes will end in growth, this is a very probable

story, because 99% of crises end in subsequent growth, but what is the problem is that a crisis rarely occurs. and he dictates to you the moment when the forecast works, yes, that is, a crisis has occurred, and you say, oh, now a situation has arisen when i can give a forecast, but mostly people look for forecasts every day, if there is such a moment, i i’ll tell you that, as rockefeller once said, you need to buy shares when there is blood shed on the streets, when you perform illogical actions, that is, unnatural, like turning the steering wheel of a rear-wheel drive car to the side... and so on, there are a number of actions that look illogical, but nevertheless lead to a positive result. is there such a thing that many traders use forecasts, esotericism, and the same layouts, just to strengthen their opinion. so they made a bet on some event, and they, for example, are quite self-confident, they have

a good level of self-awareness, they know how to analyze, they are sure that they did everything correctly, this is additional. the situation with esotericism, it helps them strengthen self-confidence, then yes , conditionally, yes, but you said a very important thing, first of all , it’s about the trader himself, and how he treats the market and how he treats himself in the market , that is, he is confident in himself, he does not shift responsibility to anyone, he gives the forecast himself, and did not spy on someone somewhere, listened to signals there, and then this forecast further strengthens his confidence, but it is very important not just how confident he is, how much his forecast will work, it is very important what he will do in the market, because the forecast itself, even a forecast that has come true, even your forecast, is not a fact that will bring you money, what matters is how you act, that is, look, a very key point, i can even show by example, for example, covid, yes, here is the last major crisis that occurred in all markets, the whole world found itself in a situation in which it had never been, that

is, countries closings, lockdowns and so on further, it was a severe blow to the economies of all countries there, and what happened here , let’s say, on the eve of covid, here is the s&p index, which mikhail i know, you trade, yes, the american key index, it’s like the main index of the entire world economy, on the eve of covid, it was there somewhere around two, there were about 300, but there it was something like 2800, let’s say on the eve of covid you say the forecast is that by the end of the year 20, yes, that is, the index will grow by 20%. after that covid happens, the index collapses - then by the end of the year it still returns and grows by this 20%. did your prediction come true or not? well , in the context of what we discussed, it certainly didn’t come true, but if we take a trader who is absolutely confident in his abilities, and who bet on this forecast and just waited and waited, he didn’t do

the wrong thing, yes, because that mainly those people who work with forecasts, they have a very strict dichotomy, if the forecast is fulfilled, you are right, you take a profit, and if the price goes down... that’s the problem, yes it’s not that the forecast came true or didn’t come true, it’s that you don’t wait for it to come true and take a loss in the unforced situation you’re talking about, yes, you turn the steering wheel, in the wrong direction, this is the easy money podcast , i’m its host, mikhail khanov, today we have a very interesting new year’s mystical theme, forecasts, how accurately do they come true, should we believe them? and is it worth using them on the path to achieving financial well-being? returning to the topic of covid, olga, in fact, what i said is one thing, how it related to as it related to stock indices, prices, market collapses and so on, but it was the twentieth year that actually became such a point of growth for all publishing houses in the production

of these products, in tarot cards in the literature around this, this is due to the fact that this level has increased sharply . then it was faster, stronger , work for slaughter everything will be fine, now, after all, despite the fact that this type of literature is also growing, it has become more careful, just an interesting thought, that’s what olga said and then that we are with you now we are discussing, in fact, based on the demand for

this kind of literature in terms of circulation and the sales of these circulations, we can make predictions about society’s self-confidence in the situation around it, and accordingly draw conclusions that if this interest subsides in this kind of literature, then everything is fine with the economy order, uncertainty is reduced. and a bright future awaits us, well, at least economically. olga, is this true or not? no, this is a very long process, publishing activities have been postponed events over a fairly long period of time. which? at least 6 months, but most often it’s a year, or even a year and a half. therefore, in the twentieth year an event happened, yes, something happened, and we are now seeing obvious growth. well, we still observed growth based on the numbers that you cited in...

they draw, i don’t know, from the news, simply rather than how they need support, even from themselves, it turns out, yes, i think that in general, in principle, the level of self-awareness of people has grown, and from support... in external forces, they finally turn to themselves, and this is important one step at a time, we have been going from this to this since the nineties , from jars of cucumbers, to the opportunity to work with ourselves and gain confidence in our abilities, i don’t know, with a specialist, with an expert on our own, you quite often make educational videos, that’s in your opinion , a request from the audience, it changes, that is, there is this one... the feeling that people have become more confident, they expect more from you, not specific ones up or down, yes, but

a request for tools, well, we we understand that there is a huge amount, especially in the area in which you work, yes, these are derivatives, these are complex instruments, these are futures, options, there is a very large demand for tools, now in your opinion, is there any change, yes, that people , what people ask, they ask, we don’t need all this, up or down, somewhere? or do people still want to study in order to become, well, master this profession of a stock exchange trader? the absolute majority is now in the past and in the future, unfortunately, will turn upward down, this is how the system works , this is how psychology works, people are looking for simple answers, but complex questions, give him a loot button, that ’s accordingly, a loot button, yes, that is , where will it go, i simply cut off these people, i ban them, i say, no if you want to learn, you don’t come to me, there are a huge number of telegram channels where... they will show you, give you a loot button, however, we are now talking in general and in general, in general, of course, i’ll even explain why this happens, but here are the people draw

strength from outside, yes, as we have already said, of course, in a crisis, in covid and so on, in in the nineties, demands are growing, because it is becoming more difficult for people to cope, and those people who, in a normal situation in life , cope on their own without esotericism, without external help, in a crisis they cannot cope, so sales increase, which is also interesting in trading, huh? trading is constantly under increased stress, well, the trader and this profession itself, well, god himself ordered, as they say, to use the services of esotericism, if you are constantly under stress, to gain confidence is bad, because again you are shifting responsibility to some higher powers, but that is why among traders, unfortunately , there will always be a very big demand for all these things, dalga, please note in the circulation issues that one of your many audiences is in...