the head of the terokorean mit will also be received personally by vladimir putin. in general, we'll keep an eye on it. meanwhile, in the united states , primeries starts today, these are primary elections, which determine the presidential candidates from the main parties. well, according to tradition , today they will begin with the so-called caucus, that is, informal meetings of party activists in the state of iowa. well, the so-called world economic forum started today in davos, switzerland, which, however, does not involve russia, and russia does not participate. there for obvious reasons, he ceased to be worldwide and, it seems to me, lost a significant part of its significance, if this significance existed before. well, for the opening of the forum, the organizations prepared a report in which they wrote, with reference to the majority of the experts they interviewed, that within 10 years in the world, i quote, a multipolar or fragmented world order will be established, in which medium and large players will be in a state of competition, establishing regional ones.

sunok, who came to kiev at the end of last week to sign with zelensky’s surrogate, in fact , security agreement, we will talk about it in more detail today, sunok announced the largest package of military assistance to great britain and ukraine since the beginning of the special military operation in the amount of 2.5 billion pounds sterlin, which is a little more than 3 billion dollars, this is for 2024, but it is quite obvious that this money is still not enough. taking into account the totality of factors, western experts give such an unflattering forecast for kiev, listen to the new york times. prospects ukraine in the war looks depressing; the volumes of western military assistance that were in past years are no longer guaranteed. ukraine's summer counteroffensive in the southern direction ended without achieving any of its goals. the kremlin has an advantage in everything, in human resources, in ammunition and equipment. at this stage , russia has an advantage. is not decisive, but the war

has not reached a stalemate, says michael kofman, a senior fellow in the russia and eurasia program at the carnegie endowment, who recently visited ukraine. depending on what happens this year, especially with regard to western support, events in 2024 will likely follow one or two trajectories. ukraine will be able to regain its advantage by 2025, or it will begin to lose the war without sufficient support. dmitry viltayvich. well, this is the opinion expressed by michael kofman, in fact expressed by very, very many western analysts, that now, from their point of view, is a decisive moment, and if the west does not provide kiev with sufficient support, then kiev loses the war, and if it does, then some new attempt at offensive operations is planned, but in 25, what is your assessment of these recommendations, these analytics?

everything is just fine, creamy, no, we are also fighting hard, every meter is given with a lot of blood from our guys, but we are not yet ready, for example, for some kind of global offensive, but this is simply evidenced by purely military technical economic factors, although we have begun to give an answer to changes in the war that the west started, that is, that they were unable to achieve success on the land battlefield in the theater they...

as you know, they feed the hopes of young men, yes, and , but, but at the same time, one must understand that ermak in this case fulfills the western will, yes, the west forbade ukraine to work, including to freeze the conflict, in order to try to implement exactly the scenario

that you spoke about, i completely agree with you, but at the same time, the meeting itself in davos, which preceded the start of today's world economic forum, it... ukraine ended without developing a clear action plan . kyiv he hoped that the meeting, held before the official start of the world economic forum in the swiss mountain town, would help him win support for ukraine's ten-point peace plan among countries in the global south, many of which are not eager to support ukraine in its conflict with russia. the meeting at the level of country leaders, which ukraine is asking for, has not been scheduled. representatives of some states believe that the meeting of leaders that kiev is counting on would be premature, in while others want to immediately engage in this one. process russia, china , a key ally of russia, did not send its representatives to meet them, and it seems to me that a very

important statement, also following the results of this meeting in davos the day before, was made by its chairman, this is the minister of foreign affairs of switzerland, inyaca cassis, listen to what he said: one way or another we must find a way to include russia in the discussion of the peace formula, there will be no peace if russia does not have its say, but this does not mean that... we should sit in depression and wait for russia to do something. andrei ivanovich, you are an extremely experienced diplomat, a former deputy minister, even the first deputy minister of foreign affairs of russia and the former russian ambassador to china at the united nations, here is your assessment of the result of these gatherings in davos and before that there were four meetings plus five semi-secret in saudi arabia, none. progress, yes, the world majority has not come one iota closer to supporting this notorious

zelensky peace formula, and in the end this is what statement by the minister of foreign affairs of switzerland , well, you know, the event is such that its results do not deserve, in my opinion, any assessment at all, please understand correctly, this is not arrogance, not some kind of professional snubism, but simply the event is really turning into something - this kind of tortured... routine , routine, i would say so, in general some kind of trotskyism, you know, when the movement is everything, and the final goal, not that nothing, but it is somewhere hidden in the fog and no one knows where, and it is no coincidence that one of the western journalists i don’t remember who and what publication, but not without sarcasm, i think, he said that the most important result of this meeting was that the family photo, that is, the final photograph of all participants, there were more people in it than , as they say, last meeting, that’s all the joy, but at the same time china is not there, china is not there, china

was not at the last meeting, in general china went once, as the chinese partners explained to us, well, in order to better understand what, in fact, was there we are talking, apparently convinced that this is what is called completely in vain, i stopped traveling, but that’s not the point , anyway, let’s, again based on chinese views... don’t forget that any phenomenon has one side, and there is another side, indeed, the minister of foreign affairs affairs of switzerland, whom we just heard, said that without russia this whole discussion is just a waste of time, that’s all true, but let’s not forget that besides this he said something else, he said that everything - in these discussions, well, bringing the matter to the fact that in russia should participate in them, zelensky’s plan should be taken as the basis, but that’s it. it’s just absurd, i think everyone understands this, but

nevertheless, no one dares to say it out loud, so everything , unfortunately, is not as, uh, let’s say, optimistic as we would like to think about it, this will last for a long time, and this very difficult for us, well, you come to exactly the same conclusions that we just talked about, only from a political and diplomatic point of view, i completely agree with you, and of course, the swiss foreign minister could not say otherwise, except to ultimately support zelensky’s formula, because switzerland belongs to the collective west. let me remind you that switzerland has imposed sanctions against russia, and for the first time in many years of its history, switzerland is authorizing the supply of its swiss weapons ultimately to ukraine, so, of course, what else can we expect? yes, but at the same time, against the background of this background, the first statement that he made, it seems to me, is extremely important, well, in any case, the meeting with the widow. yesterday's meeting in davos - it was another example of a surrogate, it seems to me,

the same surrogate, at least from a political point of view, we can still talk about the military, this is the so-called security agreement, which zelensky and sunok signed at the end of last week in kiev, many publications, primarily ukrainian ones, call it an agreement on security guarantees, this is in fact absolutely giving out what you want in reality. and the word guarantee is not there either in form or content, which means the name of the contract: an agreement on security cooperation between ukraine and the uk, in essence it... formalizes the assistance that great britain is already providing to the kiev regime, there are no obligations to enter into a war against russia or against any potential aggressor in this agreement at all, there is an obligation within 24 hours after the aggression, begin consultations, and begin consultations, based on the results of these consultations, provide military

assistance, that is, supplies of weapons, military equipment, and provide some kind of support... support in the field of cybersecurity , intelligence data, and so on and so forth, that is , what is being done now, the word guarantee, attention, yes, the word guarantee is used in the agreement only once, and in what context, in the context of ukraine’s guarantees regarding great britain, not great britain in relation to ukraine, on the contrary, ukraine in relation to great britain, and it is said, i quote, ukraine guarantees the protection of these technologies, that is, those that great britain exposes to it , and intellectual property, like this. but however, zelensky, living in his illusory, possibly illusory drug world , gives a slightly different assessment of this agreement; as a result of the meeting with sunok, he burst out with an article in the british times, listen to what he wrote in this article: rishi and i sunak signed

a historic agreement on security guarantees, once it is fully implemented, it will eliminate any possibility of russian aggression against... ukraine protected from aggression ukraine will care about the security of other free states on a rules-based international order. we will continue to explore ways to further strengthen this long-term relationship, including working towards a partnership that will last 100 years. since our agreement is bilateral in nature, we will ensure that ukraine has such military potential that, in the event of external military aggression against the united kingdom, it will be possible to provide effective military assistance. so, leonid petrovich, first of all, a partner.

huge, sometimes we still put emphasis on the united states and england are, as always , underground, under the table, under the chair, but they play a huge role. there are a lot of words in this agreement, but in reality they do a lot, they do a lot, if you take this part, which, well

, military-terrorist, you talked about belgorod, about striking in depth, that’s all. supervises with the british, of course, all the special services, all terrorist attacks, all sabotage, they do it, they are there with security, in quotes, very actively, and of course, this is such a visit for us only says that london is the real center for governing the ukrainian country in this conflict, especially since there is no american fight for the presidency, disputes with congress, and so on, but... tatya zelensky, what should he do? we need to explain to the people, we need to be supported , but look, we now have a super-ally, centuries-long cooperation, purely, i agree, probably in ugara, maybe not in ugara, a purely propaganda action, but seriously, we must keep in mind that england - this is

our real enemy on the ukrainian front, just real, i think that they are not... and the corpses have already been taken out by the british, intelligence officers, military advisers, all this is secret, of course, but they are present there no less than the poles, the poles are like infantry, and these are very serious and vile opponents , well , it seems to me that no one really has any doubts among thinking people in russia, especially among the russian leadership, that our real enemy is the elite of the collective west as a whole. and great britain, and the united states, yes, and poland, of course, for me personally, this an agreement, which is a dummy , which does not contain anything, but... in comparison with the current status quo, but it once again shows the complete unpreparedness of the collective west in general and great britain, in particular , to take into account russian interests, to take into account

russian concerns about serious dialogue, because the possibility of serious dialogue is possible only if russian security concerns are taken into account, yes, and this means the nature of relations between ukraine and nato, ukraine and the collective west. here is a similar agreement that is signed for a period for 10 years, shows that the collective west is not ready for any serious dialogue, which means the goals of the military operation will continue to be implemented through military means. dmitry vitalievich, from a military point of view, what is new or what risks do you see in this agreement. again, i emphasize that it does not contain anything new compared to what london is already doing now. well, in principle, yes, although it turns out that it’s british.

will remain our enemy, well, i think , just like the united states, until for them there will be no existential threat to existence at all

, you can fight as much as you want, you can try to make money from it as much as you want, but the dead don’t need money, that is, the threat should be of this level, but this level is dangerous for everyone, that’s exactly what you deduced i have the next topic that i would like to talk about, namely the risks of escalation in the context of that...

introductory to military exercises, and it says again that, well, it simply describes a hypothetical scenario for the development of events, it says that supposedly in twenty

in the fourth year, russia can win a military victory in ukraine, this is just a hypothetical scenario, yes, which means that it is a precursor to nato military exercises, which means that after this russia will supposedly attack in 25 the suwałki corridor, which separates, accordingly, the kaliningrad region from the main ... the territory of russia will be attacked by everything in the baltic states, in the twenty-fifth year nato will supposedly enter into a war against russia, which means that bilt presented this as some kind of secret plan, as some kind of revelation, that is, again intimidation, so i want to ask you, we see this position of the biden administration and the collective west as a whole, yes, that it’s better for them, probably hypothetically, to go for some kind of escalation rather than admit their defeat in ukraine, what? that case when i would not like to make a mistake and i think that they

still... will not agree to any escalation of such a degree, it seems to me that many in the west, and even more so in our country, could repeat the phrase of the theatrical criticism scares us, it scares me, they scare me, but i it’s not scary, and it seems to me that this is just another propaganda technique to somehow motivate ukraine to continue, go to the slaughter, go to the slaughter, yes, absolutely right. just for this, everyone understands everything, leonid petrovich, but we are dealing with nuclear powers, and great britain is a nuclear state, and the united states is still a nuclear superpower, these are statements that escalation is more acceptable than recognizing the defeat of ukraine, to me seems quite dangerous, it seems to me, yes, i’m not quite there either i believe, but we need to do something to somehow reduce these appetites, it seems to me for escalation, well, russia, they also know that

russia is also a nuclear power. therefore, for me now, this is what we are discussing - this is still an action to put pressure on russia, to support ukraine, i also think that for now it’s too early to say that there will be a real escalation of nato-russia in the event of ukraine’s defeat, but twenty-fifth a year is too much, they are not ready at all, what is germany like, bild writes there, but in principle in every general staff in...

therefore, i think, after all, this escalation is still rhetorical propaganda, well, god forbid it will remain so, but nevertheless , i emphasized that even this rhetorical escalation depends on the very serious degradation and political irresponsibility of the western elite, because this is how it is played , which means in terms of escalation, when there are relations between nuclear powers, and between russia and nato is not allowed, we can play out, we can play out, we can play out. now let's take a break for a short commercial and then we'll talk about the situation. in southeast asia. do you think i'm fooling around? i found out that there is an enterprise in yekaterinburg that produces innovative detergents . at wonderlab we combine nature and technology. this is a biomicrogel made from apples, beets and corn. mm, it smells like an apple. you are the same

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but at the same time not yet... china passed parliamentary and presidential elections at the same time, their results are quite ambiguous, but according to the results of the presidential elections, as actually predicted. from the democratic progressive party, according to opinion polls, the candidate of the ruling party in taiwan today won. laitsende, the traditional democratic progressive party advocates for taiwan's independence and its eventual proclamation as the independent state of taiwan, rather than the republic of china, as it is officially called myself since the middle of the second half, even the first half. xx century, but on the other hand, according to the results of parliamentary elections, this democratic progressive party was defeated, and its number of seats in parliament decreased from 61 to 51, but

the guomendang party, which stands for an undivided china, won, in any case for an undivided china, and the kuomendang members very significantly increased their representation in... yuania, from 38 to 52 seats, is the name of the taiwanese parliament. this means that leitzend himself, who back in 2017 promised to proclaim the case of which is the independence of taiwan. taiwan is now speaking much more cautiously following the results of its victory, saying that it really wants dialogue with mainland china, but if there is parity, it intends to maintain the status quo in the taiwan strait, which, by the way, is fully consistent with the policy of the united states. direct with us. and international studies, and the first question for you, well , first of all, thank you very much for taking the time to talk with you, with us, and the first

question, in this context, based on the results presidential and parliamentary elections in taiwan, with the leader likely to lead a minority government. how do you assess the prospects for chinese-chinese relations proper, relations between mainland china and taiwan? do i understand correctly that nothing will change compared to what already exists, or do you still predict some changes? you know, first of all, thank you for inviting me, and secondly, i would like to point out: two things in this situation: the first is the elections themselves, how you just said absolutely correctly, laiznd won the elections, but at the same time

he received only 40% of the votes, in other words, he did not even get 50%, not even half, in parliament in the legislative... this party, it has now received, as if the decisive, decisive vote, on whose side she will take, this third party, he will win, he will control the situation in yuan, this is

exactly what we need to watch for the next 20 days, but as for relations between china. and the island of taiwan, which is part of china, i think so, until no direct actions are being taken to declare independence by the island, the chinese authorities, i believe, will always be ready to conduct a dialogue, they have been sending signals for many years, for ten years.

understatement, there is a lot here, much will depend on the relations between the prc and the usa. the issue in taiwan will largely be determined by this. you just brought me to the next question, which concerns the role of the united states, because of course, the united states has a decisive influence today impact on taiwan. problem, many even perceive the taiwan problem as

a proxy conflict between the united states and china, and the reaction of the united states to the elections in taiwan was very ambiguous, that is, on the one hand, of course, both president biden and secretary of state blinken stated that they do not recognize taiwan independence and committed to the one china policy. on the other hand, the state department published a rather dubious statement in my opinion. in which he actually talks about taiwan as de facto independent state. let's listen to this statement from the state department. the united states congratulates dr. laitzende on his victory in the taiwanese presidential election. we also congratulate the people of taiwan for once again demonstrating the strength of their robust democratic system and electoral process. the united states is committed to maintaining cross-strait peace and stability and to peacefully resolving differences without coercion or pressure. partnerships. between the american people and the people of taiwan, based on democratic values,

continue to expand and deepen in the spheres of economics, culture and interpersonal relations. you see, the united states does not say the people of the united states are the people of china, including taiwan, they say: the people of the united states are the people of taiwan, and also common democratic values, thereby automatically contrasting them with mainland china. moreover, immediately after the victory of leitzend. which, which was supported by the united states, the biden administration sent an unofficial delegation to taiwan, a delegation that consists of high-ranking former officials, but these are quite high-ranking former officials, this is stephen hadley, the former national security adviser of the united states, and this is james steinberg, this is the former deputy secretary of state of the united states, they have already met today, they said. about the commitment of the united states to the policy of the status quo,

namely the status quo, which also means not the reunification of china and taiwan. well, speaker of the house michael johnson promises that in may immediately after the inauguration of light, on a delegation from the house of representatives will also go to the island, so, firstly, how do you assess this policy of the united states, and what do you expect from american women. for them, taiwan is, so to speak, a card

that they intend to play in their relations with china. but let's be honest, this is a typical example of a unipolar world. but the world is changing. the world is changing today. and what the us is doing now is trying to cling on.

recognized four main points: first, that... to confirm that they remain committed to the one china policy, they must to say that they will not seek direct confrontation with china, and finally that they will not seek regime change in china. in other words, the united states refuses any

attempt to change our country's political system. these are political statements. china forced the white house to do, and i would say that this is an achievement, now , as regards taiwan specifically, yes, the united states does send its delegations there, in fact, one after another, more and more often , but on the other hand, let's see what currently happening in the taiwan strait, china patrols.

feature, there is a law prohibiting the secession of territories, we have clearly outlined three red lines: first, if taiwan gains actual independence, this is the first, second, if some kind of social disorder begins, some kind of instability, and third, if some external forces they are already really getting involved in this situation and starting to interfere in the internal affairs of china. here are three red lines that china has outlined very clearly. as for the trips of chinese diplomats to the united states,

during these trips they laid their cards on the table they explained the situation very clearly and clearly. reunification with taiwan is a matter of our national interests for us, so now we have shown our american colleagues that we will see how china will build relations with the united states, using its wisdom, using diplomacy, avoiding direct conflict, by the way, china announced that...

american-chinese relations on the taiwan issue, please, and i would also add here our assessment of what is happening, the russian assessment of the position regarding taiwan, yes, it is for everyone is known, nevertheless it should be repeated, because from the very beginning , since 1949, our country has always supported

the one china principle, let me remind you that in 1971, thank god, this was already 50... 3 years ago, taiwan was removed from the united nations and the un security council, the rightful place of the people's republic of china was restored and the soviet union, despite the fact that relations between our countries were far from rosy at that time, nevertheless strongly supported and always advocated restoration of historical justice, the same can be said about the policy of the new new. russia, back in september 15, if i'm not mistaken, september 1992, we adopted a law on relations with taiwan, where those were recorded.

the declaration signed at the end of the march twenty-third visit of chairman xidzenping, a state visit to moscow, also contains a corresponding clause stating that moscow firmly supports the actions taken by the people's republic of china to ensure its sovereignty and territorial integrity.

normal business relations with taiwan , in the nineties such a public, let's say, organization was established,

the moscow taipei commission for economic cultural cooperation, it has its representative office in taipei, and accordingly the taipei part has its own representative office, i am not mistaken if i say that dmitry polyansky, who is now the deputy representative of russia at the un, he headed this commission in taib, you know, i i’ll even tell you such a small detail, when i... worked in taiwan, i asked him a question, what about the chinese language, and you know that he answered me that i ’ve been studying it on my own for 2 years, well, i’m just filled with respect to dmitry polyansky, well , this is such a small detail, but as for this whole election story, you know, there are a lot of interesting details, sorry.

that is, his name is friendship, but the third one, this is this spoiler, which, as they say, had united with the second one, then they would have won, representatives of the people's party, people's party, yes, his name is wen je, which means culture and wisdom, so you see, what, what an interesting set, also , well, this is a small detail, if you allow, a little more about the chinese language, in the chinese language there is two terms denoting chinese, ethnic chinese living outside... the people's republic of china, one well-known term huatiao, we translate it as overseas chinese or chinese emigrants, that's what it sounds like, but those who

live in taiwan are not huatao, this is not overseas, these are their own chinese, for them there is a special word tungbao, which in general, if so literally, is uterine, you know, as one of our sinologists said, all chinese have one mother - this is the motherland, but two fathers - this is mao zedong. and chiang kai-shek, from here, from here are all the problems that one way or another come down to the problem of identity, but if, i hope, it is clear to everyone, after all, 75 years have passed since they live, the two sides of the strait live separately, so there are cultural differences , behavioral, patterns, well, a lot in general all of which, of course, make this identity crisis inevitable in these conditions, therefore, according to public opinion polls, about 60%. the population of taiwan is in favor of leaving everything as it is, well, with some, maybe

details, no, not forcing this very thing... only 5% are in favor of independence, and only 5% are in favor of immediate independence in taiwan. only 5% of the population, more are in favor of also a little, but still more in favor of the annexation of the people's republic of china, but the bulk are still in favor of the status quo, so this status quo won as a result of the elections, they remained, as the card players say, with their own people, with their own people, yes, well, i’ll emphasize that in fact the positions of the guommendang were strengthened in taiwan.

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all our planes were blown away. we built a takeoff. strip, it was flooded, i was completely dumbfounded by what you built, quite complex, invented, especially for the film design, lifted a plane weighing a ton, and then spun it, i can imagine how you felt during these evolutions, when your wing is on fire, oil in your face, and also smoke, in fact i was scared, they conveyed this feeling of human existence in inhuman conditions, i just got a lump in my throat, i believed the paw podcast. tomorrow on the first. the big game is on air. exactly 100 days have passed since the start of israel's war in the gaza strip. during these 100 days, israel turned this territory into ruins, killed almost 25,000 people, half women and children, but not achieved the tasks that were initially set by the israeli leadership, and at

the same time the united states in every possible way. calling on israel to de-escalate, de-intensify military operations, israel constantly says a hard no to the united states. today, the ax publication writes that in the united states, in the biden administration, there is already growing very great dissatisfaction with netanyahu’s behavior, but this is absolutely impotent anger, because i understand correctly, petrovich, what to do with israel. the united states can’t do anything, and they can’t do anything either maybe go towards biden, but how did they announce how he will go? that’s all, they set the goal, they poured out streams of blood, and now what, he must retreat somehow, having achieved nothing, the war continues, these partisans continue to shoot, kill, respond, and what to do, so baynad’s impotent anger, on netanyahu cannot force israel to change its position, this means capitulation, it will turn out to be

israel’s capitulation to hamas, yes, if they start something. launched full-scale missile and bomb attacks, strikes, missiles and drones on yemen, and there will be impotent anger there too, and this is fundamentally contrary to the strategic interests of the united states

in the middle east, they wanted to reorient themselves to more important strategic directions, china and russia, instead now they risk getting stuck in another conflict, and biden , biden started a new middle east war, your assessment of this. for a very, very long time they got involved , it is very correct to say that instead of dealing with truly strategic problems, of which there are a lot, we will have to to deal with ancient yemen, and

there is no other way out, well, in fact, the british guardian , also assessing the situation, writes that the united states is potentially being drawn into a long, costly war, which will occur with varying degrees of intensity. naturally, the united states will hit the houthis in response, off and on. dmitry

ratavich, what is your assessment of this war? well, in general, the war, like the one that israel started, trying to quickly achieve certain goals, it was the elimination of the problem of the gas sector as such that ultimately resulted in into a negative factor when he really can't help but quit. from the war and cannot, as it were, normally fully continue it, because the world has in fact taken up arms against israel, and accordingly has taken up arms against the united states, which supports it. what the houthis are doing, well, yes, this is an absolute dead end for the group and the forces of means that have allocated.