tv PODKAST 1TV January 21, 2024 4:10am-5:01am MSK
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from the firing line has not yet melted, as we see the snow on the tracks, now inspection, maintenance, replenishment of ammunition, in order to be ready to wait for a new order. the crew carries out all the necessary procedures in a matter of minutes, they are on duty around the clock, sometimes we leave twice a day, sometimes we leave five or six times, everything is different, depending on the situation. this modernized 72 does not have the usual visor against attack uavs, which is called natural protection. we use natural camouflage because it is more advantageous, one might say , it has already shown itself more than once against fpv drones, sometimes they get lost in the branches, but sometimes they get hit, but it’s impossible to count , there were hits under the side here, so it was replaced, then during the hunt from the fpv drone a little they were caught in the ruins, but the crew got out of all the troubles without losses.
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village, too, our guys took part there , so to speak, not the last part, quite a few hit targets, they worked on delusions, they worked on bumps, they caught tanks, they tried, you keep some score there, no, no, for a long time no, the crews are almost all local, donetsk, ready to fight until complete victory over the enemy, shot, dmitry tolmachev, igor kritskov, dmitry kucheryavets, tatyana bakulina, channel one, donetsk. and new names of the heroes of the northern military district.
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senior sergeant vadim zavyalov, bmp commander. during the battle for a populated area, his car was hit. in one field condition, he repaired it, took a new position, and inflicted significant damage on the advancing enemy. during service in the special operation zone, a medical group led by captain bair matochkin evacuated over 5.00 of our soldiers. sometimes medical assistance had to be provided directly under militant fire. in voronezh, front-line soldiers who are now being treated in a military hospital received combat.
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detachments, novgorodians, everyone who defended and the feat of soldiers, officers, and partisan fighters liberated veliky novgorod, the president’s telegram notes. during the occupation , the nazis turned the city into ruins. we will always remember this, and as the price paid by our people for every step towards a great victory. but there is no city, but a church in general, they stand distorted, the city is visible inside and out, this is how lidia obrosimova saw the liberated novgorod in 1944, she and her mother and brother were in evacuation, she forever remembered the day when she and her family left their hometown, following the soldiers of the red army, as soon as they left on the leningradskoye highway, planes with swastikas appeared in the air, people rushed.
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the church was either an observation post or a machine gun nest. this is a panoramic shot on the north-eastern outskirts of novgorod and , in general, you can see almost everything it was adapted by the occupiers for the defense of the city. the operation began with almost two hours of artillery barrage. no shells were spared. they came from both sides. the main blow is from the northeast through the volkhov river, auxiliary on the ice of lake ilmen, but precisely. the diversionary strike
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brought success, a big surprise for the germans was the snowmobile, on which the red army soldiers quickly covered several kilometers on the ice, the city was liberated on... the nazis left 46 people alive here, all the roofs of the city were destroyed, except for the vaults of the main gothic lord's hall faceted chamber, where there was a casino for german and... spanish officers. the military chronicle shows many prisoners from different parts of the city, they were led to the walls of the kremlin, there were no other intact walls left. these shots were taken exactly 80 years ago on january 20, 1944. everyone who entered the territory of the novgorod kremlin, including captured germans, saw that the entire kremlin square was dotted with dark
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figures. bronze sculptures from the monument to the millennium of russia lay in the snow, as if dead. the most important figures in russian history from rurik to peter the great. the monument was divided into figures. were scattered here on the square where you and i are standing, between the place where it was installed and sofia, and what is very important, what is important is that this monument was already assembled in august of forty-four, in the most difficult time, it was reassembled with all the kings, with all the saints, they were proud of him, this is a symbol of the long-suffering amazing russian history, russian victory, dozens of churches were destroyed, a gilded cross disappeared from the broken dome of the church of hagia sophia, he was considered lost forever, but somehow... miraculously was found many years later; it turns out that he was taken to madrid by officers of the spanish blue division, which ruled the city along with the germans. the cross was returned to the city in 2004 after a communication between president vladimir putin and king juan carles of spain. for 20 years now it has stood inside near the iconostasis;
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an exact copy was installed on the dome after the war. footage, chronicles and black and white photographs remind us of the horror the city experienced. now this is one of the busiest pedestrian streets of veliky novgod. channel. the treasury is empty, the country is left without its own air defense system and combat aircraft. this is the result of the assistance to ukraine that slovakia provided to this country. the minister of defense of the republic admitted that slovakia also did not receive the compensation that washington and brussels promised it in exchange for fighter jets for the kiev regime.
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at the hospital she begins to see what the problem is, questions for her, of course, about healthcare, the outpatient department, in general, a lot, a lot needs to be changed. lyudmila vasilyevna complains that doctors in clinics have these 12 minutes hanging over their heads. speech it’s about the most important thing, about health, but the standards are written for a reason, explains the head. we have a task with you so that everyone gets to the point so that the initial appointment is on time. and he provided it correctly, so regulatory things are needed in order to calculate this, including the docket.
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of course, if the doctor believes that for some reason he needs to change the time to see this patient, no one with a stick over his head, and we have been talking about this for many years, should not. and this is marina kolesnikova sharing her story: her niece’s five -year-old daughter fell ill, the temperature was under 40, they began to call a doctor, at first they talked for a long time with...
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thank you, thank you, thank you, dear, i will definitely take a look, the third co-chairman of the headquarters, arm zhoko, worked in the dpr today, visited the ambrosievsky rehabilitation center, he 80 km from donetsk, over 5 years of work , more than 300 soldiers were treated here, thanks to the center, i generally only traveled, crawled at home on my knees, well, out of habit.
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and crimes are committed precisely in the first year, there is nothing wrong with the fact that people are here they work, but it is important that they comply, of course, with the law of russia and we will do this over the next, including the next year, in 6 years in russia they plan to update 20%. this was stated today by deputy prime minister marat khusnulin at a meeting of the board of the ministry of construction. it took place as part of the day of the construction industry and housing and communal services at the russian exhibition. the news probably interested the forum participants. loved ones, which also takes place at vdnkh. hundreds of families came from all over the country to attend. and more details about everything irina kuksenkova will tell you. today at the russia exhibition you can learn everything about how someone builds roads, buildings, and communications in our country. in several pavilions at once: master classes, screenings of documentaries, presentations,
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adults and children, as well as a professional, could learn about the most interesting profession of a builder and the colossal pace of their work. industry held the first meeting of the board of the ministry of construction this year. it was held in plenary format with the participation of business representatives from major corporations. the pace of housing commissioning last year was record and this trend must be maintained - said deputy prime minister marat kusnulin. we must build before the thirtieth year, if the plans are to be fulfilled , 150 million km of housing, which means 20% of the housing stock in the country. should be updated, our housing supply should be at the level of thirty 33 m per person in the thirtieth year and, if plans continue, more than 38 m per person in the thirty-sixth year. hundreds of kilometers of roads, bridges, and overpasses are being actively built throughout the country. our road
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and souls, this is what our ancestors told us, for the sake of our son, daughter, build a house, plant gardens, the shabdarov family all the time together organized a huge bee apiary and a home ensemble, they demonstrated their own creativity to the first deputy head of the presidential administration sergei kiriyenko, he visited today at the exhibition thanked the families for their active participation in a touching performance.
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incredibly popular, the president recently proposed extending its work until the fall. irina kuksenkova, pavel rudakov and alexey klyuchnikov, channel one. music that weaves into the fabric of films and makes it unforgettable by correctly placing accents. the adventures of sherlock holmes, winter cherry, bombardment, heart of a dog. today is the 90th anniversary of the outstanding composer vladimir dashkevich.
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his music has entered the golden fund of russian cinema, when we hear it, we immediately remember and... the music is born completely on its own, as if some kind of hole in space opens up, and from where, and from there it’s all goes, a chemist by training, he definitely... knows, there is no secret formula for a melody that will be loved by millions, to this day vladimir dashkevich can jump up at 3:00 in the morning to record the music he has forgotten, and for many years in a row his first listener - this is
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a favorite baby cat. as soon as soviet children heard the first seconds of this melody, they immediately ran to their television screens to visit the fairy tale. dashkevich was one of the first to come up with this magical music, just for himself; it was first performed in the film “a drop in the sea.” and here the topic, which would become the atmosphere for the entire film winter cherry, was not given to dashkevich for several months; at the same time, he wanted to convey the loneliness of the heroine and give hope. its melody is not just a background for the event, but they are full participants and as soon as we catch familiar motives, a whole film immediately appears before our eyes. is it possible to imagine sherlock's adventure now?
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teachers, i wouldn’t have written music like this without the border, this scene where sharikov looks in the mirror to this music is for me key, everyone is watching... this film is from the position of preobrazhensky’s correctness, but sharikov is true, it was not he who made himself a man. in the theater he
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worked with efros, lyubimov, tovstanog and now he is again drawn not to the set, but behind the scenes. he gave himself a gift, finished the ballet sherlock holmes opera 12 in block, and maybe there is no specific formula for the ideal melody, but dashkevich solved the main riddle. in music there is only one quality that determines what it is worth, it is memorability, if music is remembered for a day, it’s so-so, if music is remembered for 200 years, it's a classic. olga pautova, ilya marin, oleg krupen, maria emelyanova and sergey klishin, channel one. a holiday of figure skating, a gift to fans of a high flight of imagination and skill. the russian jumping championship gives us unforgettable emotions, the most complex elements, incredible rotations in the air, truly amazing: entertainment, complexity, courage, everything in this unique format, which has no analogues in the world. among
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sports couples, the best today were elizaveta osokina and artem gritsaenko. in arseny fedotov won the men's program, margarita bazylyuk took the top step of the podium in the women's program. congratulations to our champions, and also to the viewers of channel one, because the show continues. tomorrow the most interesting thing is the team tournament. they will be captains. alexander galyamov and dmitry kozlovsky. serious sports duel. hello, happy new year everyone, this is the easy podcast. money and i is hosted by mikhail khanov. today we have such an unusual, new year’s, one might say, festive magical theme, we will deal with what forecasts,
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what tools? and i don’t want to talk about too serious topics at this time, then let’s still talk about why forecasts are so important in our lives, which forecasts to believe, where to get information? well, let's start with you, olga, because you , as a person directly involved in what is published, in what editions, and most importantly, what is bought, i think that you, first of all, own all the trends, tell us how much
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interesting now. is the topic of esotericism in demand? the topic of esotericism is now really extremely is in demand, and if the trend began to move somewhere around 2020, then over the past year it has reached its peak. now you can notice that in the publications of books on esotericism, and this is astrology for us, and tarot cards, and various other techniques, and it is so noticeable that even those people have joined this race. publishers who historically did not publish this type of literature, well, this has directly surpassed the nineties, this is a trend, this mood is from there, or is this a separate story of the 21st century and the twenties, and so and so, the fact is that publishers know that as soon as some crisis or difficult times come, people begin to turn to this topic, and this happened in the nineties, in the early two thousand, now, and why?
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to deal with a complex situation, well, tell me, it’s just a tool, that is, you know, like, what’s called, we printed tarot cards , yes, as far as i understand, the most popular printing product is precisely the tarot card, which has already been produced bridges, it’s just some kind of tool that they printed out and gave, and what it’s called figure it out yourself, or to a greater extent there are some instructions, some texts, some descriptions, yes, because how do you compete with
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online platforms, yes, because i’m for... i know , that just recently the figure, the number of videos posted on the topic with the hashtag tarot cards, exceeded 1 billion, and this number continues to grow, we do not compete, because this is a different request, but they go online to watch, get inspired, buy themselves as a tool for working out what -something of your inner beliefs, that is, you give people tools, in fact, further they go to success, i would not say that they go to success, but we...
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i am formulating here part of your answer to the question: are you engaged in stock market speculation and how important or not at all is this, well, confidence for a trader it is clearly important how often traders gain confidence in products like this... this kind, like tarot cards, various astrological forecasts, lately i just personally know a lot of very serious respected financiers who, without astrological forecast, i don’t know whether they are guessing with thoreau cards or not, they probably are, but the words retrograde mercury are very often found in their speech, so what do you say to ilya on this matter regarding the question of myths, the most important thing is that in
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tarot cards, in mercury retrograde. people draw in life from trading - this is really a support , well, i’ll correct it a little, it seems to me, to external forces, when a person lacks internal strength, internal confidence, he draws strength from somewhere outside, so... and we we get this whole set, tarot cards, retrograde mercury , esotericism of everything, of all kinds, including, i include here the mythology that in the market you can predict the future and make money from this forecast, this is also part of the mythology, namely to predict, yes, and we must understand the first thing is that any forecast that we give in life on the market is, in principle, a matter of predicting the future, yes, it’s not just like... an analyst, we can fully calculate everything that has already happened and give a certain
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scenario of how they will influence future price movements, but will happen literally tomorrow a new event that we simply didn’t know about, it will break all our cards, well, speaking in mathematical language, the probability of any event is not... one hundred percent, yes, as i say, that’s beyond 100% - this is for him, there is a single event that will happen with one hundred percent probability, this is human mortality, yes, which we know due to our coordinate system, here i would really like to continue with olga, the question is this, what do you think, olga, how much do you, that is, you stand as competitors here's to all the numerous bloggers, video bloggers, releasing printed materials, even more tools. how are you positioning the publishing house, how are they positioning themselves in this whole hustle and bustle? we do not consider ourselves competitors and we do not consider astrologers, competitors of publishers, we are indeed different entities, and we have different functions,
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but let’s start with the fact that not a single publisher, at least a large publisher, yes, if he does not specialize purely in esotericism , he does not view tarot as a forecasting tool or a tool of the year. what's worse is that we we still consider this as a tool of self-knowledge, in this we radically diverge from the request that a tarot reader often comes to, everyone comes to a tarot reader for a magic pill, this is the price, yes, yes, that is, we are not talking about a magic pill, that’s why i said that we often involve psychologists in creating stabs in order to convey this expertise. as more competent and correct than just poking, that is , in fact, you position tarot cards and everything connected with them, and not only tarot, like some kind of psychological work of a person with himself, or with an expert,
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perhaps, you know, we know numerous courses about success, and there you will become an entrepreneur in 5 hours, not all people are able to become entrepreneurs, and also not all people are able to engage in self-analysis and so... often cards, not only tarot, but, for example, a magician, yes, metaphorical associative cards are a tool in the hands of a psychologist and a person, together with other specialists, is already working on their problems. i am for an environmentally friendly approach to this. and here's one moment, how trendy, not trendy,
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that’s all, well, let’s say, i don’t take very simple bloggers, teenagers, girls, but serious magicians, wizards, esotericists, let’s just say they resort to publishing. books or are they all concentrated online on current platforms, on video streams, on just some periodic videos, that is, they act as conductors of visual content, or is there still a tendency that the printed word also has a very strong influence on people’s minds, an excellent question , and here it depends on the position publishing houses, and some publishers just find such specialists, major bloggers -
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are ready to support with their brand, well, yes, because in fact the name of the publishing house is next to what is written in the book , and then it’s no longer clear who, well, who, who will win or lose in this situation, and how you are going to do it so that you get everything from him, let’s go, where on the road, i’ll tell you, let’s go, oh, oh, what are you what is looking at the folder and scolding? new episodes, tomorrow after the program time,
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a child is more important than money. what am i looking for, either a brotherhood of stern male revolutionaries based on love and devotion, to whom my soul could finally rest, or am i looking for a religious sect that preaches love, the love of people for each other, at all costs, love. vedechka loved himself very much, it was even sometimes simply charming, because he went through all sorts of veroniki, i have a broader outlook than any soviet writer, and this made me wiser and greater, for example, a patriot of my own country, as a writer , he he the writer of his beloved self, in your seemingly autobiographical things, what is the percentage of fact and what is the percentage of literary fiction, is everything true and at the same time fictional? limonov is bored walking with everyone else. limonov
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is a bit of a boy on the contrary. matador eduard savenko in search of love. on friday on the first. this is the easy money podcast, my host is mikhail khanov. today we are talking about the role of forecasts in achieving financial well-being. ilya, according to your practice, what are the forecasts? those obtained through esotericism come true more often, yes, let’s call it that general thing, tarot cards, some kind of fortune-telling, horoscopes , something else, or some serious economic forecasts that are issued there by the central bank and famous economists, and whether they come true at all, let me return the question to you a little, yes, but what do we mean by forecast, in fact , the confusion begins here, for example, right? i can give you a forecast that the ruble-dollar, it
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’s probably clear to all our viewers, yes, it’s an understandable bank instrument, now it costs 92 rubles. i give you a forecast that with a 99% probability he will fluctuate between 1 ruble and 1.00 ruble. this is not a forecast, not why? you can’t make money on this forecast, right, but why can’t you make money? because it is too wide and now there is no direction, yes, probably, okay, i’m giving you another forecast: the dollar exchange rate will rise, you can make money on this, but you can’t either, we don’t know where it will go first , up or down? yes, plus, and we also don’t know how long it will take to grow, but that’s what i ’m talking about, for example, when we mostly hear some kind of forecast, it usually doesn’t contain much important components, a full-fledged forecast on which you could make money should look like this: the exchange rate will go in a certain direction by a certain amount of percent by a certain date and before that, which is important you said, it will not go in the opposite direction, because yes.. . on a clear forecast that, for example, in a month the ruble-dollar exchange rate will cost 100 rubles,
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well, if before that it goes to 80, when absolutely, yes, so it will kind of come true, but yes, you know, yes, what do you mean? i say that even if your forecast came true, it doesn’t mean at all that it can be used, you can make money on it, in general it can be considered correct, well, i think that if you apply your technology and your definition of a forecast, 99% of stock market analysts will go broke they would stop acting as experts, because no one gives such a level of forecasts, and the most important thing is to admit your mistakes when you gave the wrong forecast, but you lose your knowledge.
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and not the one who a predicts, b- listens to other people’s forecasts, and so on and so on, believes in tarot cards and any other esotericism and seeks help from the outside, which is why the profession of a trader is unique, well, maybe not unique, but very different from the majority, here everything depends only on the person, a trader is
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a type of entrepreneur, but a special entrepreneur that in general, he is the owner of a business, yes, that is, a trader risks his money, just like an entrepreneur. he does not have a boss, like an entrepreneur, but then something interesting begins: he has no subordinates, no clients, no partners, no landlords, no ses, no, i’ll actually finish , which is very important, yes, that is, the trader understands that all responsibility lies only with him, the entrepreneur, even if he went bankrupt, he can say, my subordinates did a bad job there, my partner set me up, something has changed there, the trader hasn’t, if the trader has lost money, only he is to blame, and this is a very difficult situation psychologically.
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or use other forecasts to predict trends and tendencies in reader demand, that is, well, well, here you are compiling your portfolio for next year, you sometimes throw out cards that you yourself release, which will be in demand , that no, i don’t, but i personally know a person, though not from the publishing industry, who prepared a summary analysis using a tarot deck, oh well, believe me, he helped the person, here's an analysis of what, excuse me? his business strategy analysis for our audience is a four-factor full analysis of the situation, weaknesses, strengths, possibilities of vulnerability, but he laid out the strategy according to tarot cards, but really this forecast is about the same comes true like any other, so
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it helped, because it happened, like in that famous joke when a woman is asked, what is the probability that you will meet a dinosaur when you go out on the street? st. petersburg, she says, 50%, either i will meet or not, well , because in fact, speaking seriously, well, ilya, you will understand me, as a person not close to mathematics and economics, i am like a mathematician, any phrase said that is more likely, well, most likely, it’s just about nothing, yes, even if you say that with a 98% probability it will be, well, let’s say your example, but the ruble exchange rate in a week without moving down, it will be there, i don’t know, 90’.
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yes, for a very long time, i was not impressed, for ourselves or with the help of some professional, because there is some kind for ourselves, without some professional, lya, such. question: do you yourself think that making forecasts in such a complex matter as trading, yes, that is, private traders,
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non-private traders, institutions, and forecasts are good or bad, or some other alternatives than either laying out the tarot every day, or reading the i don’t know news feed and putting something together from it, that is, in trading, how it works, well, in certain... cases, in rare cases forecasts still, well, not that they work, but have a fundamental basis ; in general, you can make certain informed assumptions that the price will most likely go there with such and such a probability, and so on , well, in addition to long-term forecasts, as it were, on what is difficult to earn, nevertheless there are rare situations in the market when the so-called probabilistic bias actually arises, most often these are crises, which is why they say that a crisis is an opportunity, including for traders, because a situation occurs in a crisis.
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to bet that everything will return , the fall, yes, will end with growth, this is a very probabilistic story, because 99% of crises end in subsequent growth, but what’s the problem is that a crisis occurs rarely, and it dictates the moment when the forecast works, yes, that is, a crisis has occurred, and you say, oh, now a situation has arisen when i can give a forecast, mostly people look for forecasts every day, is there such a moment here, in advance, that as rockefeller said at one time, then you need to buy shares, when blood is shed on the streets, when you commit illogical
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actions, that is, unnatural, like turning the steering wheel of a rear-wheel drive car towards a skid, and so on, there are a number of actions that look illogical, but nevertheless lead to a positive result , is there such a moment that many traders use forecasts, isoterics, and the same layouts, just to... strengthen their opinion, so they made a bet on some event, and they, for example, are quite self-confident, they have a good level of self-awareness, they know how to analyze themselves , they are sure that they did everything correctly, this is an additional situation with esotericism, it helps them strengthen their self-confidence, then yes, conditionally yes, but you said a very important thing: first of all, it ’s about the trader himself, and how it relates to the market and how he treats himself in the market, that is, he is... confident in himself, he does not shift responsibility to anyone, he gives the forecast himself, and did not spy on someone somewhere, listened to the signals there, and then this forecast
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additionally strengthens his confidence, but it is very important not just how confident he is, how much his forecast will work, it is very important what he will do on the market, because the forecast itself, even a forecast that has come true, even your forecast, is not a fact of what will bring you money, what matters is how you act, that is look at a very key point, i can even show by... an example, for example, covid, yes, here is the last major crisis that occurred in all markets, the whole world found itself in a situation in which it had never been, that is countries are closing, lockdowns and so on, it was a severe blow to the economy of all countries there, and what happened , let’s say, on the eve of covid, here is the snp index, which mikhail i know you trade, and the american key index, this is like the main one index of the entire world economy, here on the eve of covid, he was there for about two there at about 3.00, yes there was something like two. it was 800, let’s say on the eve of covid you say the forecast is that by the end of the year 2020.
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