the the . ringback the hard couldn't read through the caribbean, causing devastation, but alum to among climate. sorry. it is the fastest and earliest ever atlantic storm. a direct result of global warming, i expect say, why is a storm causing so much concern place? this is inside the store, the

a very welcome to the program on the clock. a storm like know of, that's how her a can barrel is being described. does it box, is the current being it's less devastation and destruction in this way can more is expected warnings about climate change in global warming? all reported de leon media right around the world. but this storms, timing its speed and its intensity is causing concern among scientists globally. we'll find out more about space, the local, and the wider impacts of american barrel later in the program with, i guess i will take a closer look at the science behind this particular storm without seeing and major ologist wrote mccully profess, let's have this report from michael soon sure. it probably came. bedroom is breaking records as a test to the caribbean. it made land phone on for now does kind of go on and on monday. so happening about 90 percent of homes is the strongest storm to hit the southeast and creeping into decades to see this level of disruption. it is almost,

i'm gonna give you like almost toto damage or destruction of all buildings with any public buildings, homes or the private facilities. there is almost complete disruption of the electric field. grid system in the entire communication system is completely destroy. some people who's all stay homes and union ireland, a tiny cropping, to send vincent and confirm the dean's occupying the go arrived in the jamaican capital with details of what it was like in the middle of the stone. i saw raised in a, in my tight area because the top yeah, it was a hot for all was want to be on the account. i movie. we just have a lot of different solutions that is, are, you don't like, it isn't on this. on tuesday every week into a category full stone, but for me destructive across the region from the dominican republic. to ken coon

and mexico, people rushed to stoke up and take shelter and venezuela, the stone, broad, heavy rains to the northern state of sue cray. under the bust, its banks trickling plumps separately. people have died of being reported missing or trauma. gus, off at the bottom, there are $8000.00 houses with various levels of damage. we've already responded with this and civil protection teams are working with the army to document the damage on they told me at least 400 houses are completely lost. beverly is the 1st, how became of the atlantic season, and the earliest on the phone call to be classified as the maximum catch to be 5 national weather service planes up trying to gather data to understand more about barrels, intensity and structure side to side. mind me, climate change for this tones, rapids friends name,

and the warnings of an extra old movie sees in the head of consumption ease. i'll just see the inside story. so what is the science behind this stallman what might just happen next to explain, has, are seen and meter on is from mccully a barrel. is a note with a major hurricane you over there. this, this much, that from the point of view of what it looks like from space is huge. it goes from the coast of its way to right to be on by now since since and lucy, a both of which find the effects quite unpleasant, but the devastation was near the eye. it's a beautiful lie near granada. now in september we think this is a major hurricane happens every 120 years a. so not surprising, but it's july and there's the worry. it's a unique storm. it phoned in june became in 24 as a category for hurricane. that's what happened or so that's the earliest category, 5 in july with winds. well, an excessive 250 calories probably should have that categorized. it's the weight

and shift around the inside of the are the strongest when they're in the category 6 . so a category 5, just go up and up as the stones get with us. now barrels of course is fits like every tropical storm by the rooms of the surface water as it is warmer in the atlantic. and the kind of being by 2 or 3 degrees above the long to navigate this isn't going to change. it might even get worse, might get warm and still. so you're in searching more energy for avery storm that forms hence, barrel early on to major. and that will still getting bounding through the car being, which is warmer than normal pos, jamaica still has a category for still slowly losing energy as it goes further west, admittedly. but what does this said for as season? while in fact, the season was already full cost to be rather with to know what codes have up to $25.00 named storms. what about the average? maybe 7 major hurricanes. that's a category 3 or above the average of 3. we've had one already on the drive as ours, you know the warmer wall side, which is

a very well but certainly in the hurricane pods. and let me in here, which is the pendulum swing almost the opposite of el nino, it just adds more input to. so the conditions are right for a very nasty season and you've seen how it started. all right, let's take this and we can bring in, i guess none. orlando in florida is daniel guilford. he's let me draw just an atmospheric scientist who focuses on how climate change effects harkins heats and local communities for mary. a. p a is in bridgetown in barbados, which is just being backed up indeed by heart and barrow. and she's the caribbean delegation spokes person for the international federation of the red cross and red crescent societies. and take the technical lead on evolving crises and dissolve this. and you have sonya is in manila, he's the southeast asia, executive director greene pace. and a former climate negotiator for the philippines. government will welcome to own of you. let's go straight to the region festival red ram area. yeah. you all to

pulling red cross personnel to get in and try and help with this catastrophic situation. well, it's all your eye witnesses saying about the severity of this hurricane is so good morning. good afternoon. i'm good evening to or you'll view us. i'm re se and bobby this bridge down and i rather the so what's the probably again population on this sunday into monday morning in bridgestone and bobby the, the deposition on the south coast in particular was immense. i mean, over 200 and drive the fishing vessels have been destroyed on 20 board phone. there was me to damage to the pose of bridgestone. and then we also had damage to the fisheries industry. but even that synopsis pales in comparison to what we're seeing and grieving you to, we have red cross staff and volunteer station in benita. and i mean to live through that in the divers beasen is immense as the sole area on any program.

terry, who has been completely do matthew says 98 percent of an island is gone. the communications on carrier costs. so down, people are still trying to make contact with the friends and their families. every building has not gone on touched. i mean, that's just to we have it's countries that are in the process barren. i mean it's, it's amazing to think about the destruction i need. that was the son and union. i live in st. vincent on the ground. it begins, the communications are still down, the airport has been law schools, churches, the me and hospital all destroyed. and it's is keeping going as we speak, hurricane borrow would be impacting jamica. and the point is right, uh, we must absolutely emphasize here. is that just how early this is come in the season, and what is it to be a very severe harcum season?

i mean, it's july. the main part of the hurricane season, typically in the caribbean, is around september into november, maybe the beginning of october. that's quite so easily we have, we have mobile to look forward to if we really take a look at the forecast and we have to think about what these constant impacts on the region having. it's the 1st still of the season and it has gone through 8 countries, the projected to go through each country sofa. is this really what we need to expect for the next few months in the region? okay, well that's also that question now to daniel guilford. daniel, you grew up on the floor of the coast. i understand not so far from the carpet, and the gruff is having a big stones barrelling in at as a climate scientist. now you also have deep knowledge of the climate systems. now we have as read was just saying this country 5, how can ever, how surprised all you at this and how concerned all you full the season? the head?

yeah, well hurricanes are kind of like giant heat engines. they take energy from the ocean on the surface kind of like what brought mentioned earlier, and they converted into is and they taking us fuel converted into wind speed. and so what we're seeing out there in the atlantic right now are very warm sea surface temperatures, unseasonably warm, as you mentioned earlier. and these conditions are kind of like what you would expect in september. and so these hurt this hurricane barrow that is moving through is releasing conditions that are unlike anything we've ever seen before. is unprecedented. total on a storm is having unprecedented impacts and we are quite concerned, you know, it is only just a lie and we're seeing september like impacts. and so what does this mean for the rest of the season? certainly the sea surface temperatures out there are remaining warm as long as african ways these sort of disturbances and the atmosphere keep rolling off the african coast. we and we're going to have those warm waters and there's plenty of

fuel available for these storms to sort of develop and then begin to grow. and so we are certainly concerned that in line with many of their predictions out of the national oceanic and atmospheric administration and other other groups that have made predictions about the season that it will be an extremely active one. and that this is probably the end of the 2024 hurricane season is actually just the beginning. so we are concerned about what these impacts are. and we just are very cognizant that if you're along one of the coast lines in the caribbean or the golf or the even the eastern seaboard united states. and this is going to be a time where you need to be careful attention to what's happening in the tropics. done to just just take this on a little bit further. you say that the booming ocean is a driver of this, of these hurricanes. why is it the warm ration temperatures, fuel harkins and big storms and cycling? yeah, that's a wonderful question. so a hurricane is almost like the engine in your car. as you push down the accelerator

fuel comes into your engine and starts and make it turn ins and speed up and, and in a hurricane is very similar in making some sort of fuel source and on our planet that fuel source is the warm ocean temperatures. we see we're seeing more motion temperatures that are quite a bit warmer than we would've seen this time of year in, in past years. that there's something like 2 degrees celsius warmer and this can have big impacts and these hurricane because you add more fuel to them. they can spend faster and faster, they have that opportunity to grow into. the real monster is like the hurricane barrel that we're seeing right now. and so that fuel source is sticking around. those warm ocean temperatures aren't going anywhere to season. and so we expect these hurricanes as they begin to develop ins area. they can see that fuel source, they can take advantage of it, take that tensile energy that is stored in the ocean, and converting to kinetic energy in the form of wins that can really provide a lot of the damages that we're seeing right now. it's in, in, in the region,

and so as we think about what's going to be happening going forward, a lot of this heat, as rob mentioned, is here to stay. government change has sort of attract more energy in the earth in your atmosphere. that energy eventually gets down into the ocean surface, which then provides a lot of work for these storms. be able to fuel up with. uh, so this is something that is a major concern for only. i mean, it's got interviewed with human story to tell me that you know, it's not going to be the thing it work. it's kind of changed as being fuel by fossil fuel emissions. great, inclined to kind of blanket around the yep. sonya so what's being experienced in the car being now is experienced appearance right around the world. very familiar seeing of course in the philippines where you uh, what are your thoughts about what we're seeing in the car being in the context of the west and the effects of climate change, especially in the philippines. yes. just watching the news coverage and listening to radio right now is certainly read minutes and by the serious all of the savings paula said we have seen for the past many years and certainly the ones that keep my

home phone in the monthly fee. ready by when i on in 2013 and support type one or i just 3 years ago. uh, which uh indicates for us, uh, most of these uh 5 boys have become more disruptive and caring so much in $1050.00 many deadlines with one of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. just saying around the more frequency of category $3.00 to $5.00 tropical storms, and that's very boring. and i can only imagine the suffering that's happening in the country be. and right now i've seen it with my own lives here where we live and, and i can only really sympathize and, and, and pray for the best for those who are still struggling. ready pick up the pieces and, and racing against time to save lines and homes, a 3,

what are the global discussions around climate change in relation to harkins like this? all the voices of those countries like those in the car, been deed in the philippines of the pacific. and those countries in the, in the costs has of climate crises like these, all those voices being heard. i think situation like this for us caribbean voices, to be heard. how many more barrels we're going to have to live through? we haven't gone through hurricane maria and emma in 2017. behind hurricane dorian in 2019. no way here again with hurricane barrel as the strong this hurricane to hit the region in 20 is this early on. it forces the conversation, we are at the forefront of the crime with crisis when no longer at the cost of the crime with crisis, we are living and breathing and experiencing it, every single, the, our lives on livelihoods of being impacted. i mean, how do we quantity 5? so it'd be done how much that we've seen. how do we quantify 98 percent of an

island being destroyed and it's not only one, it's more than one. we've seen it in carrier who is seeing it in st. vincent the impacts in poppy, the in saint lucia in jamaica and dominic in trinidad and tobago. the list goes on . how long does the list have to grew? before we take action before we release talked and listen to, to the voices of people who are at the forefront of this kind with crisis. we need to have more spaces. so our voice has to become defined on, on voices, to be heard. because how long are we expected to suffer the consequences of the crime with crisis when we, when you come to be the less than 10 percent? to low carbon emissions? yeah, give it to you what, what are your thoughts? so one of the biggest challenges we face in terms of finds the last things i believe most of the final price is if obviously some of the fossil fuel industry,

a sense of the 4 of these prices and the slowness by which international, the international community and nations big, serious, i'm beatrice options offer this pricing swap. we're seeing right now are examples of what we've been seeing it to happen in the future. if we don't do not apps urgently on despises and, and what we have seen, those are very difficult in this international negotiations is, is of course the best. but the answer is that lie behind that. this is big issue. busy also want to mention that the tricky part about storms. when we talk about define advisors, if it's only been more reason that the, the scientific community has made a very category call. the climate change is driving martin's in bins farms. and

then they can be just with the be the reason. so that's why the science of pac abuse on being able to wish the police because the boundaries around finally adoption has not been seen in recent times. and, and then i think all of this extra assignments, extremes that are happening along with the world right now. and i just farms levels when he waves should compel leaders to pay captions. daniel, the thing is that you say you have always kindly streams going on like the hurricane barrow bits. meanwhile, develop nations continue to subsidize fossil fuels to the june of trillions of dollars. yeah, there's no real incentive for big oil and big gas to ease production. but if we continue to wilma planets in the way that we are doing, what does it mean for these weather events that are already reaching experience a yeah, at the climate system is going to respond in turn right in the more fossil fuels will mean that the temperature of the plan and it will continue to rise. and as the

temperature of the planet rises, these impacts, like we're seeing strain heat, hurricanes like hurricane barrel, which has being impacted already right now by climate change will continue to be impacted by many changes here. right now there's and impacting us in real ways real lives are being affected by the storms. so it is critical that we come together and work toward solutions to, to sort of solve the, the, the climate change problem that we are all collectively in the world, dealing with it. and these things are expected to not change. we're going to have this heat with us for a long time. so in addition to mitigating our impacts, we're also going to add to that and change the way we live our lives to protect ourselves from the worst of impacts. so it's really important, we continue to have conversations with anyone and everyone who lives in that climate changes here. it's happening and we need to do everything we can to reduce that's and we've done. and we've been having those conversations for your 20 years and more going back in time and an action is not happening fast enough. and

that's right. we need to make an immediate changes right now. and one of the challenges i think is sometimes the climate change can be a little abstract. it's far away. maybe it's in somewhere else, but climate change we can see through hurricane barrel, the extreme heat way is the spring flooding we've been seeing around the world. it is happening right now. it's no longer an abstract thing. as we just mentioned, we now have this science to point to particular events and say this was made worse by climate change. or this intense event was made more likely because of climate change. the science supports that, and so what we need to really be doing is making, having our policy support solutions towards reducing our climate emissions and the climate impacts hopefully going forward. we're looking at pitches just a 2nd to go over the pass agreement at crossing the line. back in 2015, which is almost 10 years ago, where there's been

a ross of elections across the well this year. yet the climate crisis has hardly been on the agenda, not of the u. k. daughter of the united states government. clearly believe it's not a vote when i look at the end of the day, it is a hot topic issue. i think people necessarily don't want to, as they say, put the head in a block for what is being described as style. just as abstracts, thoughts. but it's not abstract too, it's us. we are living and everybody is our reality. and we need to focus on the reality. we need to focus on accountability. because the crime with crisis was not started by small island developing states. but we need to ensure that we protect the multiple level in our communities, who are the footprints of this kind of crisis. we need to maybe stop being a little so politically correct about it. and we actually meet as he said, the conversation has been going on for 20. is we time to take action was not, no,

it was then. what do you mean by letting the politically correct? probably some point of we need to tackle the issues of hands on. we need to talk of the issues that are in front of us. we need to take the well, overall ice off. we need to bring like spaces like this. do bring a lot more away in this car, t and vision to what is happening in the country sort of being affected by climate change and put a human element to it because of the human element. that stuff is the most. and i see you on out of money that needs to support, as i've called, except in terms of the policies i'm making. the policies are reality because if we continue to sits on our hands, we're going to continue to have more barrels. we're going to continue to have more dory on. is that going to continue to happen? most of the phones can we really need to start putting the human agend at the

forefront and humanitarian agenda at the forefront to protect the life livelihoods, of people who are routinely impacted every single season. but okay, these would be super, so 3, i'm going to move on because we're gonna go 3 or 4 minutes left. and i want to come to both of the other guests that you have festival. and you mentioned the price s. how do we make that a more meaningful and the question is, isn't the mechanism itself broken? the un framework itself is, is just not working. there are certain indications, step we need to put pressure on the international process. it this i wouldn't, i would agree with you a little bit broken, but it's our best option right now in terms of getting old countries. ready to contribute towards meaningful solutions for the climate crises, i would say every politician will doesn't talk about climate change based on the wrong side of the piece 3. and we will keep exposing these or leaders who,

who are not addressing and confronting, describes just like they should. but as a price is this daniel, despite of the renewable energy, is gaining ground. there is a growing demand, especially from use movements around the world for change. it's not too late, is it? it's not too late. you know that the fact that we're dealing with barrels says that the impacts impacts are already with us, but there's sort of a range of what impacts we could be seeing in the future. and if we reduce our, our fossil fuel emissions, our greenhouse gas emissions, right? now we can sort of mitigate and reduce those impacts that we're going to be seeing going forward. and this is really good evidence. what's happening with the girl right now is really good evidence that the climate system is already responding to the decisions we make. so that's actually kind of an interesting story because it says that the decisions we make right now will affect going forward. and so it is

critical that this moment we have these conversations, we continued connect, what we see happening in the real world to the decisions we are making about how we admit things, how we produce our energy. and it's critical that we think about that in this moment and make the decisions going forward that will protect both ourselves and future generations. yeah, if you have what on both sides of the fence from negotiating a to activism at this point in time, where, where do you find hype? do you truly believe that we will get out of this? so there are days when we can confront the arctic and it's like very being buried in the it keeps you just really totally plus start and, and seem to go. but we have to wake up each morning with hope and hope is stronger than fear. and therefore, we should just keep believing that another world is possible that we can make this happen. we can make that just energy accreditation, possible in our generation and,

and create a world that it's just if it's safe. and that's that, that, that is meaningfully incredible for everybody. this is, this is about justice, be somebody fairness. and those are suffering from the most adverse impacts of the final price, as our goal is to keep it said the leads to this problem. and therefore, if we have any faith in your mind, if the site is the faith in your mind, if you that we will be able to find jaspy, it's and, and, and result of this crisis once. and well, let's finish and the region ria at this difficult point in time for the car been, it must be hard to find any optimism. a tool is new what, what are you thinking about the is a head and how we tackle this crisis. it was to agree with what be inside. we can't, we can't allow ourselves to things like that. we have to be optimistic about the future. we have to repeat the organizations like the red cross to support the

community development and community building efforts at that level. because the communities, all very 1st responders, so we need to invest in community and resilience. bellingham, community preparedness, so that we know what to do. and we knew how to adapt and able to sort of chat the cost followed for the future. we need to understand the risk of the relatives a lot better so that we are able to plan and prepare for them. and we have to do that with an open mind, an open spirit, to be able to accept the hope that's going forward. because in the caribbean, we are refusing to accept that this is going to be the b, b, o and or for us, we need to be able to be more resilient. and in order to do that, we have to have a positive outlook on the future. right? as i say when, if not now we'll have to leave it the thanks. so i guess daniel guilford read buddy

. yeah. and those are if you have sunroof. thank you very much and thank you for watching. you can see all programs again at any time by visiting a website out there at the. com. and to continue the conversation. just go to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. could also find us on that's a high level, is that a side story for me in the cloud and the whole team here? it's good by the, the outcast sound dyson is deliberate, over 300000000 dollars. will suffice in more than $75.00 countries around the world . 100 percent of set talks an emergency donation spence on projects and we ensure beneficiaries come 1st of a 300 on luis, haven't had going through the run for crossing in recent months. our most of these

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business lakers, disney, do you believe? i guess is that a nice guy on one of your makes modern plates? the the hello, i'm sammy's a them this has been use our live from dell coming up in the next 60 minutes. is riley strikes target homes and assign eunice being also hospital. one of the causes do functioning medical facilities. as the law says, it's $500.00 rockets towards northern israel, following the killing of one of it. see me come on this as well look, set to approve the largest seizure of land and the occupied westbank and molding free decades and power can barrels. great. so the southern part of jamaica and is

now having towards mexico off.