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tv   The Context  BBC News  December 13, 2023 9:00pm-9:31pm GMT

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is the burning of fossil fuels. but in 27 previous cop summits, there has been no mention of reducing our reliance on oil and gas. finally, that has changed. 190 countries accepted a text this morning that calls on the world to "transition away" from fossil fuels, especially in energy production — and that is significant. finally, there's universal recognition that if we are to keep temperature rises to 1.5 celsius above pre—industrial levels, then we need to triple renewable energy capacity, globally by 2030. but there is nothing in the text that requires the countries to do so and it contains "a litany of loopholes", according to the small island states, who are already suffering the impacts of the climate crisis. let's hear what one expert had to say about it. the signal really to the industry is that this is an industry which is
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structurally in decline. you've got the rise of renewable energy, the fact that electric vehicles are now 50% of sales in china. so that'll be a fundamental challenge to anybody investing in fossil fuels a fundamental challenge to anybody investing in fossilfuels in a fundamental challenge to anybody investing in fossil fuels in the future. this is an industry which is clearly entering into its endgame. renewables are ultimately growing faster than fossil fuels, and that will mean that clean energy will win. now investors have got to act, we've got to deploy huge amounts of clean energy, we've got to build up the grid notjust in the uk, but all over the world. it's all about electrifying everything. if we can do that, that'll be the death knell of fossil fuels. marcus correct that market tends to direct the way the market goes. there are more clean energy plants in texas, an oil state, then there
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are in california because it's economically sensible to do it. but we've got a former president, who might be the president again, donald trump saying, "drill, drill, drill." so does market trump politics? i think for people who watch american politics, this country seems of two minds, a split personality. that's exactly right, when it comes to trump and biden, and what could be trump and biden, and what could be trump in the future in terms of energy policy. but yes, the market is guiding this and it can feel sometimes like we are on a highway, where i live, there a tesla every other car. so the market is driving this, and this announcement out of cop28 - it's not this, and this announcement out of cop28 — it's not getting enough attention in the us because the rest of the world is united on this front. , , �* ., ., of the world is united on this front. , �* ., ., ., front. justine, brian talks about slit front. justine, brian talks about split personality _ front. justine, brian talks about split personality and _ front. justine, brian talks about split personality and two - front. justine, brian talks about split personality and two ways l front. justine, brian talks about | split personality and two ways of looking at it, two minds, but we are much the same, aren't we? we've had
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a conservative government who led from the front at cop26, and we have a prime minister who'd dived in for 12 hours into to buy, his climate minister flew home yesterday for an important vote in the commons. to be to claim it seriously now? i important vote in the commons. to be to claim it seriously now?— to claim it seriously now? i think overall we _ to claim it seriously now? i think overall we do. _ to claim it seriously now? i think overall we do. there _ to claim it seriously now? i think overall we do. there is, - to claim it seriously now? i think overall we do. there is, in - to claim it seriously now? i think overall we do. there is, in spite| to claim it seriously now? i think i overall we do. there is, in spite of the prime minister backing away from the prime minister backing away from the energy— the prime minister backing away from the energy pledges that we've made to gel— the energy pledges that we've made to gel the _ the energy pledges that we've made to get the net zero, i think there is a broad — to get the net zero, i think there is a broad consensus across the country— is a broad consensus across the country actually that we need to play our — country actually that we need to play our role. i think it's often forgotten _ play our role. i think it's often forgotten that back in 2015, paris and the _ forgotten that back in 2015, paris and the climate records, i was part of that— and the climate records, i was part of that delegation, we did a lot of shaping _ of that delegation, we did a lot of shaping to— of that delegation, we did a lot of shaping to help create that initial platform — shaping to help create that initial platform that we've built ever since — platform that we've built ever since so _ platform that we've built ever since. so i think cop28 isn't an important _ since. so i think cop28 isn't an important step forward, i think britain — important step forward, i think britain can do more— but i think part— britain can do more— but i think part of— britain can do more— but i think part of this _ britain can do more— but i think part of this is governments creating the enabling environment for private sector— the enabling environment for private sector investment to drive the
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change — sector investment to drive the change that consumers around the world _ change that consumers around the world want— change that consumers around the world want to see, and to make sure that that _ world want to see, and to make sure that that investment particularly in renewable energy and energy saving at homes, _ renewable energy and energy saving at homes, that that can happen. john ker was at homes, that that can happen. john kerry was critical _ at homes, that that can happen. john kerry was critical of _ at homes, that that can happen. iimri kerry was critical of the decisions rishi sunak has taken recently, we are a signatory to the transitioning away from fossil fuels but signing new deals to drill for more in the north sea — is at a signal to the rest of the world? i north sea - is at a signal to the rest of the world?— rest of the world? i don't think it is. i rest of the world? i don't think it is- i think _ rest of the world? i don't think it is- i think in _ rest of the world? i don't think it is. i think in many _ rest of the world? i don't think it is. i think in many respects, - rest of the world? i don't think it is. i think in many respects, that plus— is. i think in many respects, that plus the — is. i think in many respects, that plus the seemingly backing off of the transition away from petrol cars to electric— the transition away from petrol cars to electric cars, i think all of these — to electric cars, i think all of these were explicitly designed to move _ these were explicitly designed to move us— these were explicitly designed to move us to our net zero more slowly, the prime _ move us to our net zero more slowly, the prime minister's argument was that soma — the prime minister's argument was that soma ash somehow we had made so much progress in the years already that we _ much progress in the years already that we could almost afford to go slower _ that we could almost afford to go slower in — that we could almost afford to go slower in the immediate future. i don't _ slower in the immediate future. i don't think— slower in the immediate future. i don't think that was the right decision, _ don't think that was the right decision, i do want to see britain step— decision, i do want to see britain step up— decision, i do want to see britain step up its—
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decision, i do want to see britain step up its action. i think at the election— step up its action. i think at the election next year, whilst climate change _ election next year, whilst climate change may not be top of the agenda, ithink— change may not be top of the agenda, i think he _ change may not be top of the agenda, i think be many voters for whom it will direct— i think be many voters for whom it will direct how they feel about the different— will direct how they feel about the different parties and the different choices— different parties and the different choices they face at the ballot box in the _ choices they face at the ballot box in the 2024 general election here in the uk _ in the 2024 general election here in the uk. �* in the 2024 general election here in the uk. ~ ., ., ., ., the uk. away from the language on fossil fuels. — the uk. away from the language on fossilfuels, brian, _ the uk. away from the language on fossilfuels, brian, obviously - the uk. away from the language on fossil fuels, brian, obviously there| fossilfuels, brian, obviously there is a commitment to tripling renewables by 2030. america is a long way down the path on that with the inflation reduction act, the money is there — where there isn't money is there — where there isn't money is there — where there isn't money is for this loss and damage fund, and the developing countries say that the us is still failing to provide the serious funding to put money in the fund but also help them invest in the transition. where is congress on that? if you were to mention the loss and damage found within congress in a republican—led congress, what sort of reaction would you get?— congress, what sort of reaction would you get? congress, what sort of reaction would ou aet? ., , , ., , ., would you get? probably laughs, to be honest, and _ would you get? probably laughs, to be honest, and i'd _ would you get? probably laughs, to be honest, and i'd democrat - would you get? probably laughs, to be honest, and i'd democrat i - would you get? probably laughs, to be honest, and i'd democrat i hate| be honest, and i'd democrat i hate to say it but it's true. the
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congress in the us is more divided year after year, and all those incredible climate —related provisions in the inflation reduction act probably made it through congress because it was promoted as domestic legislation to help people in their wallets. 0f help people in their wallets. of course we know there will be years of results with climate progress, but when it comes to the losses, it would be very hard to see further action from congress at the next few years. speaking of cop28, i say to myself, our kids will look back and say, "what took you so long?" especially when those generations have even more access to information, they are able to see what their peers and other countries are going through, they'll ask, "what took you so long?" mr; are going through, they'll ask, "what took you so long?" my kids already asked _ "what took you so long?" my kids already asked me _ "what took you so long?" my kids already asked me to _ "what took you so long?" my kids already asked me to turn - "what took you so long?" my kids already asked me to turn the - "what took you so long?" my kids. already asked me to turn the lights off. it's an important day in the us congress. for months, republicans in washington have been pursuing an impeachment inquiry seeking
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to tiejoe biden to his son hunter's business dealings. they claim they have unearthed a "culture of corruption" surrounding the president. the house oversight committee has issued a flurry of legal summons, demanding testimony from several members of the president's family. hunter was subpoenaed to appear today, before a closed—door hearing. he did arrived at the capitol by car this morning, but he did not go in. instead, he made a statement on the steps and left. for six years, i've been the target of the unrelenting trump attack machine, shouting, "where's hunter?" well, here's my answer — i am here. let me state as clearly as i can — my father was not financially involved in my business, not as a practising lawyer, not as a board member of burisma, not my partnership with a chinese private businessman, not my investments at home nor abroad, and certainly not as an artist.
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during my battle with addiction, my parents were there for me. they literally saved my life. they helped me in ways that i will never be able to repay — and of course, they would never expect me to. and in the depths of my addiction, i was extremely irresponsible with my finances. but to suggest that is grounds for an impeachment inquiry is beyond the absurd. it's shameless. house republicans disagree. the chair of the housejudiciary committee, jimjordan, say everyone must comply with a congressional subpoena. mr biden's counsel and the white house have both argued - that the reason he couldn't come i for a deposition was because there wasn't a formal vote - for an impeachment inquiry. well, that'll happen in a few hours. we think it will pass, we think- the house of representatives will go on record with a power that solely
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resides in the house to say, - "we are in an official impeachment inquiry phase of our oversight." . and when that happens, _ we'll see what their excuse is then. we should point out thatjim jordan himself defied a subpoena from the january 6th committee, and the trump administration set a new precedent refusing subpoenas again and again. let me show you the live pictures from the house floor where they have begun the debate to formally open and official impeachment inquiry. the debate will finish in about 45 minutes, then they will go to the vote, and we expected to pass. legally it would give them greater firepower to enforce subpoenas, depose witnesses and gather evidence. let's go live now to nomia iqbal, on capitol hill. the point to make is that once an impeachment inquiry is open, it's very difficult to shut down.-
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very difficult to shut down. that's ri . ht, very difficult to shut down. that's riaht, and very difficult to shut down. that's right. and the _ very difficult to shut down. that's right, and the republicans - very difficult to shut down. that's right, and the republicans are i right, and the republicans are saying, as you heard there from the firebrand jim saying, as you heard there from the firebrandjimjordan, saying, as you heard there from the firebrand jim jordan, very loyal to donald trump, that once this impeachment inquiry is official, then people will have to comply with it. it's worth mentioning that this inquiry started in september with then speaker kevin mccarthy saying it was going to happen, which democrats usually criticised, saying there should be a floor vote and what have you. so now the republicans are doing it, and as you heard fromjim republicans are doing it, and as you heard from jim jordan, they believe they have the numbers, a lot of republicans previously were not sure about this inquiry — but many of them are saying the inquiry is happening anyway, many have also gone back home to their constituencies, and people are saying to them in the supermarkets, "what's this about hunter biden?" expressing concern, so they now are saying their constituents care, so they care. so that's why they say they care. so that's why they say they have the numbers to go ahead
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with this vote which will happen later on this evening, and then that makes the inquiry official. so it confirms the status quo, then the next step, the republicans are saying at some point next year, they will look at if they've got all the evidence to then proceed with whether to move to impeach president biden. �* ., biden. hunter biden said today outside congress _ biden. hunter biden said today outside congress that - biden. hunter biden said today outside congress that his - biden. hunter biden said today| outside congress that his father wasn't financially involved in his business, which republicans have jumped on since then, because they've consistently argued that hunter was influence peddling whilst his father was vice president. is there any convincing evidence for that which links him to his business dealings? that which links him to his business deafinas? , . �* that which links him to his business dealinas? , . �* , ., . dealings? they haven't produced it so far. dealings? they haven't produced it so fan and — dealings? they haven't produced it so far. and it's _ dealings? they haven't produced it so far. and it's interesting, - dealings? they haven't produced it so far. and it's interesting, they i so far. and it's interesting, they picked up on that word because they said previously, hunter biden said "my father wasn't involved," now they're saying he says his father wasn't financially involved, so was he involved in another way? they've picked up on that, but it's
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important to emphasise they haven't produced the evidence. they say that they need the inquiry to be official, and as he mentioned at the start, this gives them greater legal powers, more power to investigate. and they're saying, "look, we look at all the evidence, we've got lots of evidence, we will then decide on whether or not to move forward with it." on the point of hunter biden speaking this morning, i think it was interesting that it's a risk that he took, because he is now in contempt of congress, and the republicans are deciding to move forward — you mentioned how the democrats used this againstjim jordan, and those that didn't comply with the subpoena to give evidence to the january 6th hearing then went on to face that charge and democrat and the most high—profile one was steve bannon, who was found guilty and fined to four months in jail,
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something he is currently appealing. so it is a risk that hunter biden took this morning. jim so it is a risk that hunter biden took this morning.— so it is a risk that hunter biden took this morning. jim jordan saying he would open _ took this morning. jim jordan saying he would open proceedings - took this morning. jim jordan saying he would open proceedings for- took this morning. jim jordan saying he would open proceedings for a - he would open proceedings for a breach of a congressional order, so we will see what happens with that. benjy sarlin is washington bureau chief at the political newsletter semafor. good to see you. we think this will go through because since george santos left congress, republicans only have a majority of three, so it's wafer thin. it’s only have a ma'ority of three, so it's wafer thin.— it's wafer thin. it's wafer thin, there's been _ it's wafer thin. it's wafer thin, there's been at _ it's wafer thin. it's wafer thin, there's been at least - it's wafer thin. it's wafer thin, there's been at least one - it's wafer thin. it's wafer thin, - there's been at least one wavering boat that i could vote, ken buck, who is leaving congress and has been critical of many of leadership's decision. you can't say something verve for sure will happen with this congress. there've been lots of votes where republican leaders confidently predicted it would sail through, then when they went to the floor, maybe not so much. but they do seem confident at a minimum this time that they do have enough votes to at least open an impeachment inquiry. whether you can actually get votes to impeach joe
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inquiry. whether you can actually get votes to impeachjoe biden, especially based on this evidence, which is not especially compelling even to some republicans, that's another question, likely a tougher vote. 50 another question, likely a tougher vote. ,, ., , another question, likely a tougher vote. , ., ., vote. so in terms of where we go from here. _ vote. so in terms of where we go from here, presuming _ vote. so in terms of where we go from here, presuming that - vote. so in terms of where we go from here, presuming that they i vote. so in terms of where we go - from here, presuming that they pass the vote, what then happens in the months ahead? i was saying to nomia iqbal, once you open an impeachment proceeding, they won't well say, "we haven't found anything, let's exonerate joe haven't found anything, let's exoneratejoe biden" in the middle of an election season, are they? so presumably it does come to impeachment. it’s presumably it does come to impeachment.— presumably it does come to impeachment. presumably it does come to imeachment. �* , . ., ., impeachment. it's a little hard to sa , as impeachment. it's a little hard to say. as we _ impeachment. it's a little hard to say, as we mentioned _ impeachment. it's a little hard to say, as we mentioned there's - impeachment. it's a little hard to say, as we mentioned there's is i say, as we mentioned there's is extremely three in margin, there also be some republicans running for reelection and they rely on them in districts where joe reelection and they rely on them in districts wherejoe biden one or they might be competitive in the next election, and they might not be eager because sometimes impeachments have a history of backfiring on the parties that proved to them too zealously. everyone remembers in the case of bill clinton, the short
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version of his second term is that he committed a terrible sin in the white house, republicans impeach them, then they were badly punished for being seen as overreaching and that regard. even donald trump, his first impeachment actually had some bipartisan interest, even a bipartisan interest, even a bipartisan vote for conviction in the senate with at least one republican joining. the senate with at least one republicanjoining. he had some of his highest polling numbers medially afterwards, at much lower than clinton but that was obviously the moment i prefer the pandemic when democrats were most worried about facing him in the next election. —— before the pandemic. 0n facing him in the next election. —— before the pandemic. on paper, it's hard to turn off, but it's hard to see how they get the votes to impeach. it's a bit rich to seejim jordan standing there saying "we will hold biden in contempt for defying a subpoena" when he and many of his colleagues did it for so long when trump was in power. but what about this idea that benji is talking
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about that it could backfire on republicans? how real is that risk, do you think? i republicans? how real is that risk, do you think?— do you think? i think it's very real and something — do you think? i think it's very real and something that _ do you think? i think it's very real and something that will _ do you think? i think it's very real and something that will go - do you think? i think it's very real and something that will go into i do you think? i think it's very real. and something that will go into the calculations beyond today. because today, _ calculations beyond today. because today, this will likely pass, but lawmakers are off for three weeks, they aren't — lawmakers are off for three weeks, they aren't in any hurry to continue this _ they aren't in any hurry to continue this they— they aren't in any hurry to continue this. they want to drag it out for another— this. they want to drag it out for another ii — this. they want to drag it out for another 11 months until the 20 to four election, and some gop lawmakers will have tough choices to make _ lawmakers will have tough choices to make this _ lawmakers will have tough choices to make this summerand lawmakers will have tough choices to make this summer and fall —— 2024 if this continues — make this summer and fall —— 2024 if this continues to make progress. the old childhood in suit dutch insult that extends back in politics, "i'm rubber, _ that extends back in politics, "i'm rubber, you're glue, anything you say about— rubber, you're glue, anything you say about me bounces off me and read on you" _ say about me bounces off me and read on you." they— say about me bounces off me and read on you." they want to muddy up biden, _ on you." they want to muddy up biden, saying any charge applied to trump _ biden, saying any charge applied to trump is _ biden, saying any charge applied to trump is actually for biden. they need _ trump is actually for biden. they need to— trump is actually for biden. they need to do— trump is actually for biden. they need to do that to justify it and what's — need to do that to justify it and what's coming up in the trump trial. they need _ what's coming up in the trump trial.
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they need to — what's coming up in the trump trial. they need to make him lookjust as criminal— they need to make him lookjust as criminal as — they need to make him lookjust as criminalas trump is they need to make him lookjust as criminal as trump is accused of. it also _ criminal as trump is accused of. it also comes down to the child built schoolyard, "it's actually about you." _ schoolyard, "it's actually about you," which is what most of these lawmakers — you," which is what most of these lawmakers are engaged and unfortunately. it lawmakers are engaged and unfortunately.— lawmakers are engaged and unfortunately. lawmakers are engaged and unfortunatel. �* ., ., unfortunately. a plague on all your houses when _ unfortunately. a plague on all your houses when it _ unfortunately. a plague on all your houses when it comes _ unfortunately. a plague on all your houses when it comes to _ unfortunately. a plague on all your houses when it comes to the - unfortunately. a plague on all your houses when it comes to the vote. | houses when it comes to the vote. justine, i'm sure the menstruation could walk and chew gum, but when you consider what's happening around the world, from our perspective, the ukraine issue which is a crisis point of the situation in gaza — in an election season, if you have the impeachment of the president, doesn't all focus get dragged that way with the expense of everything that we would want the white house to be focusing on? i that we would want the white house to be focusing on?— to be focusing on? i think it's very distracting. _ to be focusing on? i think it's very distracting, there's _ to be focusing on? i think it's very distracting, there's no _ to be focusing on? i think it's very distracting, there's no doubt - to be focusing on? i think it's very| distracting, there's no doubt about it, distracting, there's no doubt about it. christian — distracting, there's no doubt about it. christian i_ distracting, there's no doubt about it, christian. i know— distracting, there's no doubt about it, christian. i know in— distracting, there's no doubt abouti it, christian. i know in government, when _ it, christian. i know in government, when there — it, christian. i know in government, when there are _ it, christian. i know in government, when there are very— it, christian. i know in government, when there are very difficult - it, christian. i know in government, when there are very difficult times. when there are very difficult times and you're — when there are very difficult times and you're spending _ when there are very difficult times and you're spending much- when there are very difficult times and you're spending much more i when there are very difficult times i and you're spending much more time in parliament— and you're spending much more time in parliament answering _ and you're spending much more time in parliament answering questions, l in parliament answering questions, your firefighting, _ in parliament answering questions, your firefighting, those _ in parliament answering questions, your firefighting, those are - in parliament answering questions, your firefighting, those are the i your firefighting, those are the times— your firefighting, those are the times when— your firefighting, those are the times when it's _ your firefighting, those are the times when it's actually - your firefighting, those are the i times when it's actually hardest to -et times when it's actually hardest to get on _ times when it's actually hardest to get on the — times when it's actually hardest to get on the front _ times when it's actually hardest to get on the front foot. _ times when it's actually hardest to get on the front foot. so _ times when it's actually hardest to
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get on the front foot. so it - times when it's actually hardest to get on the front foot. so it will i get on the front foot. so it will suck— get on the front foot. so it will suck oxygen— get on the front foot. so it will suck oxygen out _ get on the front foot. so it will suck oxygen out of— get on the front foot. so it will suck oxygen out of the - get on the front foot. so it will. suck oxygen out of the ability of the biden— suck oxygen out of the ability of the biden government - suck oxygen out of the ability of the biden government to - suck oxygen out of the ability of the biden government to get i suck oxygen out of the ability of- the biden government to get things done _ the biden government to get things done i_ the biden government to get things done i do— the biden government to get things done. i do think _ the biden government to get things done. i do think the _ the biden government to get things done. i do think the big _ the biden government to get things done. i do think the big question i the biden government to get things done. i do think the big question is| done. i do think the big question is what _ done. i do think the big question is what we _ done. i do think the big question is what we just— done. i do think the big question is what we just talked _ done. i do think the big question is what we just talked about, - done. i do think the big question isl what we just talked about, what will it do to _ what we just talked about, what will it do to centre — what we just talked about, what will it do to centre around _ what we just talked about, what will it do to centre around voters - what we just talked about, what will it do to centre around voters in i it do to centre around voters in the us who _ it do to centre around voters in the us who madem _ it do to centre around voters in the us who made... will— it do to centre around voters in the us who made... will make - it do to centre around voters in the us who made... will make them . us who made... will make them feel sorry— us who made... will make them feel sorry for— us who made... will make them feel sorry for biden — us who made... will make them feel sorry for biden or— us who made... will make them feel sorry for biden or will— us who made... will make them feel sorry for biden or will it _ us who made... will make them feel sorry for biden or will it make - us who made... will make them feel sorry for biden or will it make them i sorry for biden or will it make them think— sorry for biden or will it make them think that _ sorry for biden or will it make them think that they— sorry for biden or will it make them think that they need _ sorry for biden or will it make them think that they need to _ sorry for biden or will it make them think that they need to switch i sorry for biden or will it make them think that they need to switch back| think that they need to switch back to the _ think that they need to switch back to the republicans? _ think that they need to switch back to the republicans? it's _ think that they need to switch back to the republicans? it's a - think that they need to switch back to the republicans? it's a big i to the republicans? it's a big question _ to the republicans? it's a big cuestion. �* , . . to the republicans? it's a big question-— to the republicans? it's a big cuestion. �* , . ., ., , question. it's a real gamble when ou look question. it's a real gamble when you look at _ question. it's a real gamble when you look at a _ question. it's a real gamble when you look at a politically _ question. it's a real gamble when you look at a politically in - question. it's a real gamble when you look at a politically in that i you look at a politically in that sense. we will keep an eye on that vote on capitol hill. and five weeks until the 2024 election gets under way, trump rival nikki haley gets a welcome boost to her campaign, with the endorsement of new hampshire governor, chris sununu. all that ahead, we'll be right back. let's look at some other stories making the news. in the run—up to christmas, shoppers are being warned not to fall victim to scams, especially when buying items via social media.
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figures from the main high street banks suggest that nearly £100 million is forecast to be stolen from thousands of victims during the festive period, with 25—34—year—olds the most likely victims. the disability charity, sense, says a lack of skilled workers in the social care sector is putting vulnerable lives at risk. in england, the number of vacancies for home carers has more than doubled in the past ten years. the government says there was a 2% increase in the workforce last year. around eight million eligible households will receive a £299 cost—of—living payment in february, to help with higher bills. the payment for people on means—tested benefits will be made directly into bank accounts without the need to make a claim. a committee of mps recently questioned whether the payments were sufficient.
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you're live with bbc news. while we have you, we are keeping a weather eye on the build up to the first republican primary in iowa, nowjust five weeks away. donald trump still with a commanding leading in the polls — 5196, 51%, so he's 32% of democrat head of ron desantis and nikki haley. but a big developement in new hampshire, which comes quick on the heels of iowa. nikki haley, who does have momentum, getting the endorsement last night of new hampshire governor, chris sununu — which is the endorsement all her rivals were seeking. they've been doing the rounds today, speaking to the american networks — does this put nikki haley in the box seat when it comes to new hampshire? she still trails far behind donald trump in polls, but compared to iowa, new hampshire is a state where you can at least see a plausible
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path towards nikki haley perhaps coming closer even overtaking trump if everything breaks right. in one of those things that needs to break right is she needs to consolidate the kind of moderate support and independents who are allowed to vote independents who are allowed to vote in the new hampshire primary on her side. and those are voters who, if you could pick their ideal candidate, it would be the very moderate republican governor of new hampshire, chris sununu, which is one reason he's been so prized as an endorsement. and haley has really found her niche without especially moderating her policies, but certainly moderating her rhetoric, appealing to those voters as someone who is more pragmatic, a little more traditional, less explosive and hardline than donald trump or ron desantis. so in that regard, it could really help her potentially take some votes from some of the other candidates who are competing for those moderates and independents, most importantly chris christie. so it is a big
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development.- christie. so it is a big development. christie. so it is a big develoment. ~ ., christie. so it is a big develoment. . ., development. we also saw some ictures development. we also saw some pictures of— development. we also saw some pictures of ron — development. we also saw some pictures of ron desantis - development. we also saw some pictures of ron desantis sticking | pictures of ron desantis sticking ahead of nikki haley — he was doing ahead of nikki haley — he was doing a town hall with cnn last night which i watched a bit of it last night, it was interesting because belatedly, five weeks from the vote in iowa, there's a change of tone, suddenly he's on the offensive, requesting all of trump's record. is it too little, too late?— it too little, too late? that'll be the question — it too little, too late? that'll be the question a _ it too little, too late? that'll be the question a lot _ it too little, too late? that'll be the question a lot of _ it too little, too late? that'll be the question a lot of people i it too little, too late? that'll be the question a lot of people are asking. 0ne the question a lot of people are asking. one of the things about the selection that's unusual as it reverses the normal pattern for someone like donald trump, who sort of it because i can comment —— this election. donald trump's weakest polling was before the election started. ron desantis, even though he was a relatively lesser—known governor, is polling closer to donald trump, and since then he's been sinking and sinking. 0ne been sinking and sinking. one thing people will look at is, maybe when
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ron desantis was a lot more popular with republican voters and they were questioning trump more, he should've started making some of those arguments then while it was in the context of him begging donald trump and nikki haley to debate him at the last minute to try to revive his flagging poll numbers. i think that's a counterfactual people will be considering for a long time. brian, she's the former south carolina governor which comes up quite quickly after new hampshire — looking at polls, it looks like a big ask, but if she were to win new hampshire, do you see perhaps that carrying her into her own state of south carolina, perhaps getting into the race? is that why new hampshire is so important?— is so important? certainly some members of _ is so important? certainly some members of the _ is so important? certainly some members of the media - is so important? certainly some members of the media and i is so important? certainly some i members of the media and clinical activists— members of the media and clinical activists would lean into a momentum storyline _ activists would lean into a momentum storyline. there would be a sense of someone _ storyline. there would be a sense of someone with the momentum not named trump, _ someone with the momentum not named trump, it— someone with the momentum not named trump, it would be a big deal from a cultural— trump, it would be a big deal from a cultural standpoint. but let's present— cultural standpoint. but let's present the other side of the coin, so to— present the other side of the coin, so to speak — present the other side of the coin, so to speak. donald trump will win iowa _ so to speak. donald trump will win iowa lry—
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so to speak. donald trump will win iowa by such a huge margin, 60—65% of the _ iowa by such a huge margin, 60—65% of the vote _ iowa by such a huge margin, 60—65% of the vote in— iowa by such a huge margin, 60—65% of the vote in iowa that he may well come _ of the vote in iowa that he may well come out _ of the vote in iowa that he may well come out of— of the vote in iowa that he may well come out of that night onjanuary 15 and say— come out of that night onjanuary 15 and say "the — come out of that night onjanuary 15 and say "the primary is over, i'm the nominee." iwas and say "the primary is over, i'm the nominee." i was talking with a democratic— the nominee." i was talking with a democratic strangest who said, let's rememher— democratic strangest who said, let's remember election night 2028 where he came _ remember election night 2028 where he came out and said he was the winner— he came out and said he was the winner before he knew he lost. he might— winner before he knew he lost. he might try— winner before he knew he lost. he might try to do the same thing now, so you _ might try to do the same thing now, so you might try to stomp all over haley— so you might try to stomp all over haley and — so you might try to stomp all over haley and desantis before we even -et haley and desantis before we even get to— haley and desantis before we even get to new hampshire. it's worth considering that path as well. yes, there's— considering that path as well. yes, there's a _ considering that path as well. yes, there's a path where maybe haley picks— there's a path where maybe haley picks up— there's a path where maybe haley picks up momentum, she's able to go to her— picks up momentum, she's able to go to her home _ picks up momentum, she's able to go to her home state and continue to create _ to her home state and continue to create some progress, but i think it's very— create some progress, but i think it's very possible trump will come out on _ it's very possible trump will come out on 16— it's very possible trump will come out on 16january and it's very possible trump will come out on 16 january and say it's very possible trump will come out on 16january and say "i'm the nominee — out on 16january and say "i'm the nominee and going after biden in the general— nominee and going after biden in the general election, it's already under way" _ general election, it's already under way" that's — general election, it's already under way." that's what makes this election— way." that's what makes this election really unique compared to other— election really unique compared to other primaries.— election really unique compared to other primaries. really fascinating, lots of movement _ other primaries. really fascinating, lots of movement at _ other primaries. really fascinating, lots of movement at the _ other primaries. really fascinating, lots of movement at the moment i other primaries. really fascinating, | lots of movement at the moment in american politics. we will focus on uk politics on the other side of the break, so we will say goodbye to
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benji, thank you for your time this evening, and we will focus on rishi sunak and his approval ratings which currently are on the floor. stay with us, we'll be right back. hello there. given all the rain that we've had over the past few weeks, it's still pretty wet out there. but the next few days at least will turn drier and also the temperatures will be rising. now, this area of low pressure brought cloud and some rain and drizzle to eastern parts of england. that's moving away. the next weather system is coming in from the atlantic. but in between the two, well, we did have some sunshine earlier on, particularly in northern ireland and here in scotland. but where we have the clearer skies in the first part of the night, there's the risk that temperatures could fall just below freezing in places. but that window of clearer skies will close as the night goes on because all that cloud will come in from the atlantic. it's going to bring some rain and briefly some snow over the scottish mountains, perhaps the northern pennines, but it should turn back to rain
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later on in the night as temperatures start to rise. so these are the numbers by first thing thursday morning. and by this time, the rain will have cleared away from northern ireland and just about the whole of scotland. but we will see some further patchy, mostly light rain and drizzle affecting england and wales, and that cloudy, damp weather could continue across the south—east well into the afternoon, but otherwise we'll get some sunshine following on behind, a few showers for northern ireland and scotland, mostly in the north of scotland, where it's still quite blustery. but if anything, temperatures are going to be a degree or two higher than what we had today. as one weather system moves away, we look to see another one coming in from the atlantic as we move into friday. this is going to be focused more to the north—west of the uk. we'll see more cloud coming into northern ireland and also in scotland, showers in the north of the country being replaced by some rain and drizzle. elsewhere, it should be dry and a lot more sunshine more widely across england and wales, where the winds will be lighter. still, temperatures 7—8 celsius across eastern parts of england, but further west, it is much, much milder. and this milder atlantic air
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and some brisk winds will come rushing in across the whole of the country in time for the start of the weekend. we've got colder air to the north of that weather front, which may move southwards on sunday to bring some patchy rain. but on saturday, it's staying to the north of us, just bringing the chance of some rain in the north of scotland. again, it looks like it's going to be windy here and across northern ireland. the winds are lighter as you head further south, but there won't be as much sunshine for england and wales on saturday. but it is mild air and those temperatures will be widely12—13 celsius.
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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. a texas court rules against 31—year—old katie cox in her bid to terminate a high—risk pregnancy — in one of the most significant us abortion cases since the fall of roe v wade. at the final prime minister's questions before christmas, rishi sunak was cheered to the rafters by his mps, as if he had just won a thumping majority, rather than seeing off a rebellion by postponing the big policy argument until the start of the new year.
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but then as kier starmer was keen to point out, it is the season of goodwill. the tory party is in meltdown and everyone else is paying the price! now, he has kicked the can... he kicked the can down the road, but in the last week, his mps have said of him, "he is not capable enough, he is inexperienced, he is arrogant, a really bad politician." well, they are shouting. this is what they said. come on, come on, who was it who said he is a really bad politician?! hands up! they are shouting. what about inexperienced, who was that? now, there has got to be some hands for this. "he has got to go"? apparently he is holding a christmas party next week, how is the invite list looking? laughter.

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