am katrina perry. we are live here in iowa where donald trump is a projected winner of the caucus here. that news comes as republicans gathered at churches, schools and various polling locations to choose their party but i presidential nomination through this unique process. while the former president is projected to be the winner of former government judgement governor are both in a close fight for second place. we are still waiting to find out who could take that coveted runner—up spot and it may be some time before we have all of the results to hand. we can speak now to our north america editor sarah smith who is at donald trump's watch party in des moines. this is an important win for donald trump. what does it mean for his campaign?— what does it mean for his cam aian? ~ campaign? well, we will find out exactly — campaign? well, we will find out exactly what _ campaign? well, we will find out exactly what it _ campaign? well, we will find out exactly what it means . campaign? well, we will find i out exactly what it means when we know how big his victory is because it is not exactly a huge surprise to anybody that

he is projected to be the winner of the iowa caucus. it was so far ahead in the polls. what we don't know is what is marginal victory is. did he for instance old more votes than all of his rivals put together? as a possibly beaten the record marginal victory that has been in republican caucuses here before which is 12 points. he could have beaten that by quite some measure. and the size of his victory, that could tell us something about how long it will take before we know who the republican nominee is going to be. the bigger the victory donald trump scores in each one of these early states, the sooner he will probably become the candidate. iowa is able —— i was able to grab a word with his earlier and asked how quickly they could get this all wrapped up. he said he believes his father donald trump will definitely be the nomine by super tuesday which is on march the fifth this year. they are really optimistic that if they win these early states by large margins that could be over much sooner than that because you

can tell they are really eager to get this part of the process out of the way and move on to being able to attractjoe biden rather than having to fight off the republican rivals for the nomination.— the republican rivals for the nomination. and if the former president _ nomination. and if the former president is — nomination. and if the former president is keen _ nomination. and if the former president is keen to _ nomination. and if the former president is keen to move - nomination. and if the formerj president is keen to move on, is there any sense that he might maybe make an early victory speech there tonight and he continued hampshire straightaway? —— and kick onto new hampshire. hat straightaway? -- and kick onto new hampshire.— straightaway? -- and kick onto new hampshire. not quite sure when we will — new hampshire. not quite sure when we will hear _ new hampshire. not quite sure when we will hear from - new hampshire. not quite sure when we will hear from him. i new hampshire. not quite sure | when we will hear from him. he when we will hearfrom him. he may wish to know who has come second because that doesn't matter to him a bit. it will determine how the rest of this race shapes up. it is quite different for both of the candidates stop if ron desantis come second, that keeps his candidacy alive. if he drops to third place, that is serious because he invested a huge amount in ior. he has put a lot of work in here, visiting all 99 counties in ior. he really has worked hard at this ——

iowa. comes third, he could pull out of the race. nikki haley could be a ford third place but she wants to come second because that will give her the momentum owing into new hampshire, i stayed where she might do better and might come close to donald trump. the shape of the race will be determined by who comes second and it is possible donald trump may wish to find that out before he comes to speak to us here, as you can probably hear behind me they were entertainers with plenty of loud music before the former president arrives on stage. i've got all the while the legal difficulties, if we can call them that, are bubbling away for donald trump and news he will attend the ejean carroll hearing tomorrow. he will attend the e jean carroll hearing tomorrow. yes, that is quite — carroll hearing tomorrow. yes, that is quite telling, _ carroll hearing tomorrow. yes, that is quite telling, isn't - that is quite telling, isn't it, that he is planning to go from here from what we presume will be his victory to court in new york, a difficult case, and then still keep his appointment to do a rally in new hampshire

and the next day. these court appearances for donald trump our campaign eventsjust appearances for donald trump our campaign events just as much as rallies and the speeches are because he knows that one of the reasons voters have flopped back to him is because they really do perceive these criminal indictments against him, the court cases and the prosecutions as deeply unjust. lots and lots of voters believe him when he says that he is the victim of political persecution, this is his enemy trying to stop him being able to return to the white house. it is one of the reasons why we have seen the support for donald trump take up so much as we have over the course of the last year. so it could of course, over the course of the next 12 months, make a very obligated for him to campaign and keep all of the court dates he is going to have, but as of now, is able to use them as a campaign platform and that is why he is choosing to go to new york and be seen in court tomorrow.

york and be seen in court tomorrow-— york and be seen in court tomorrow. ,,., ., ,, tomorrow. 0k. sarah smith there at the donald _ tomorrow. 0k. sarah smith there at the donald trump _ tomorrow. 0k. sarah smith there at the donald trump watch - tomorrow. 0k. sarah smith there at the donald trump watch party | at the donald trump watch party where we are affecting to hear from the former president a little later in the night. let's go now to helena humphrey who has... a lot of those caucuses still under way, but what can you tell us about the results we have so far? taking a look at _ results we have so far? taking a look at these _ results we have so far? taking a look at these results - results we have so far? taking a look at these results so - results we have so far? taking a look at these results so far, | a look at these results so far, we are talking about a couple of thousand votes being counted so far but they are giving us that early indication. let's take a look at them. with 3% of pressings counted right now you can still see very clearly donald trump with 55.5% of the share, way out in front, doing better even than his polling numbers going into this. the big question of the night, we will come into second place between ron desantis and nikki haley? right now at this early stage have ron desantis with 18.8%, nikki haley with18.4% 18.8%, nikki haley with 18.4% so 18.8%, nikki haley with18.4% so you 18.8%, nikki haley with 18.4% so you can see 18.8%, nikki haley with18.4% so you can see it is very close and in fact this red. if you

can see it here means we are getting live data coming in so i would just update that is if we have any clearer information. still ron desantis information. still ron desantis in second place. let's take a look at some of the areas that merely donald trump appears to be doing well in. starting in the north—west of iowa, lion county for example, some know the evangelical vote is important to know. ron desantis campaign hard for that and we can see right now still one out of ten pressings counted. nevertheless donald trump there with 72% of the vote before ron desantis then claims second place. if we just move down here to sue county, again, somewhere else where religious conservatism is important, and here you can see ron desantis, yes, he is in first place with 39% of the vote. no great surprise because this proved a very tricky county for donald trump, his worst performing one

in 2016 when he lost to ted cruz. no big surprises there. if we move down the map and we take a look at the areas of plymouth, woodbury underneath as well, these are areas that increasingly have been more economically disadvantaged, more blue—collar workers and they have been tending to lean towards the less conservative but populist candidate here, we can see donald trump with 68%. if we move over here, something of a twin county essentially, another river county with a high proportion of blue—collar workers, donald trump strongly there with 71%. if we take a look at some of the areas where we can see nikki haley managing to put out in front, sorry for example, alsojohnson. these example, also johnson. these are example, alsojohnson. these are areas where you have a larger density of urban population. a lot of votes up for grabs, more college voters for grabs, more college voters for example. she is in first place in these areas but there

are six of these counties so far and only two at the moment turning purple for nikki haley. if she wanted to have a really good night she would be moving more into the rural areas to show that she has the crossover appeal. we are not seeing it yet. one area i want to show you, though. this is black hawk. if we go back to 2008 and onwards it is seen as something of a bellwether county. whatever happens in black hawk, we tend to see those statewide results mirroring that. so far only nine out of 59 pressings counted, but what you are seeing here, donald trump with 42%, here we have nikki haley jumping to second place with 30%, ron desantis with i7% and we can just zoom out. that reflect what we are seeing statewide? not currently at the moment. donald trump still sitting strong with 50%. his campaign was really hoping to seek 50%, still only 4% of pressings counted but ultimately according to the

bbc�*s news partner cbs, right now they are projecting that donald trump could be taking 16 out of those a0 delegates. the a0 delegates of course just represent i.6% a0 delegates of course just represent 1.6% of the delegates up represent 1.6% of the delegates up for grabs when it comes to the republican national convention. but still at this early stage still donald trump putting in a strong performance, and if things were to stay like this, he would be beating that record victory that we have seen by bob dole. 0k, that we have seen by bob dole. ok, helena. thanks for that. we will check in with you later for an update. what does a win for an update. what does a win for donald trump mean forjoe biden? democrats are closely monitoring to see how this night takes shape in an election year where the current president is gearing up for a tough fight against the former president. for more on this, i am joined by president. for more on this, i amjoined by an president. for more on this, i am joined by an iowa state representative and leader of the iowa democrats. thank you forjoining us on bbc news. what is your reaction to what looks like the inevitable bit

re— here for donald trump? indie re- here for donald trump? we are not re— here for donald trump? - are not surprised, we knew donald trump would win tonight but what it is is whoever is at the top, these candidates have been fighting to see who can be most extreme, most out of touch with where a middle of the road iowa people are and they have fought for the far right base. this is what we expected to see in iowa but at the end of the day the real fight will come when we are notjust talking of the far right base of the republican party but all iowans who might have a different take.~ who might have a different take. ~ ., ., , who might have a different take. ~ . .,, ., take. when helena was going throu~h take. when helena was going through the — take. when helena was going through the county _ take. when helena was going through the county there, - take. when helena was going | through the county there, you are not alarmed at what you are seeing is the result. that is lining up with the folks you know that live in those areas in their interests.— know that live in those areas in their interests. black hawk county is _ in their interests. black hawk county is one _ in their interests. black hawk county is one of— in their interests. black hawk county is one of those - in their interests. black hawk county is one of those that i in their interests. black hawk| county is one of those that we look to be as a bellwether and when it is not a caucus county it is traditionally a blue county we love to see what is happening there. i have been caucusing in iowa since 1988 and we tend to watch the areas like or, like northwest iowa to see what it looks like none of this is a surprise. you see pope county and story county

looked leaning towards nikki haley and johnson county. those are good blue counties normally. they will be more moderate republicans so that is why they are turning away from trouble because they see trumpism somebody who can beat joe biden. ., , trumpism somebody who can beat joe biden. . , , ., joe biden. nikki haley is not moderate- _ joe biden. nikki haley is not moderate. she _ joe biden. nikki haley is not moderate. she is _ joe biden. nikki haley is not moderate. she is quite - joe biden. nikki haley is not moderate. she is quite to i joe biden. nikki haley is notl moderate. she is quite to the right of the republican party on several issues but are you surprised to see, i think in black hawk she was on 30% and a% of pressings reported. we cannot draw too many conclusions but there is a sense she has a lot of independence leaning towards her or people who are republican butjust don't want donald trump. republican but 'ust don't want donald trump._ republican but 'ust don't want donald trump. let's make clear that moderate _ donald trump. let's make clear that moderate is _ donald trump. let's make clear that moderate is relative - donald trump. let's make clear that moderate is relative in - donald trump. let's make clear that moderate is relative in a i that moderate is relative in a rabbit —— republican primary. when it comes to the second—place battle, they have been trying to out—trump drum. we see the debates as well. he

has been so far ahead and stayed out of the fray a bit. at the end of the day republicans are showing their cards. they are extreme, far right and trying to out—trump drum. that is not what iowans are looking for. donald trump is the original. he are looking for. donald trump is the original.— is the original. he is one here toniuht is the original. he is one here tonight by _ is the original. he is one here tonight by an _ is the original. he is one here tonight by an absolute - is the original. he is one here. tonight by an absolute massive margin. we don't have the final numbers yet but he is winning. what doesjoe biden do with that information? it is important _ that information? it is important to - that information? it is. important to remember that information? it is - important to remember that these other hard—core these other ha rd—core republicans these other hard—core republicans coming out of the 0 degrees temperatures and caucusing and making their voices heard and this is not representative of the full state certainly but i think whatjoe biden does with that as he looks and says, what story can i tell in iowa? one of infrastructure projects making the state better, and economy getting better so he looks at the issues, the more populous counties, they are where joe populous counties, they are wherejoe biden's message resonates well. we looking forward to a general where we can have a conversation less about who can be the most

extreme and more about who can help iowans the most.— help iowans the most. having said that, _ help iowans the most. having said that, the _ help iowans the most. having said that, the polls _ help iowans the most. having said that, the polls we - help iowans the most. having said that, the polls we saw. help iowans the most. having said that, the polls we saw of| said that, the polls we saw of the folks going into caucus, the folks going into caucus, the number one issue of concern to them was immigration. many people see it including some democrats about the current president has failed to get a handle on that situation. how can he better deal with that? aha, can he better deal with that? lot of it is telling the story a bit and joe biden has decades of experience in washington with issues like this so i think it is time for the president to bring the issues up president to bring the issues up and so iowans doesn't explain the story.- up and so iowans doesn't explain the story. there are a record number— explain the story. there are a record number of _ explain the story. there are a record number of people - record number of people crossing the border in december. the other side talking to people in the farming community here in recent times, i know you are the expert in that, people have a labour shortage here is a immigration is a two sided issue for the voters. especially with workforce challenges. iowa has a tradition of being a welcoming state. we welcomed refugees. folks are ready to get back to that... �* , , , �*

that... and the president isn't doinu that... and the president isn't doing that- — that. .. and the president isn't doing that- i— that... and the president isn't doing that. i think _ that... and the president isn't doing that. i think that - that... and the president isn't doing that. i think that is - doing that. i think that is something _ doing that. i think that is something they - doing that. i think that is| something they definitely doing that. i think that is - something they definitely are looking to hear from and something they definitely are looking to hearfrom and i think they will. this is an issue republican voters are going into but hearfrom issue republican voters are going into but hear from voters across the state that what they want is how will you make sure my grocery bill isn't as high? how do you make sure my road and bridges safe? they ask questions bigger than that. if anything that is the biggest lesson to come out of the caucus is that we are hearing from the far right, the most loyal republicans in the state and that doesn't necessarily reflect when the rest of the site is so this gives us information we need as we head to the general but it doesn't have the whole story. it to the general but it doesn't have the whole story.- have the whole story. it will be sometime _ have the whole story. it will be sometime before - have the whole story. it will be sometime before the - be sometime before the democrats result from iowa is here but there is no contest there. ., ., ., there. no, we will have an even bi aer there. no, we will have an even bigger margin — there. no, we will have an even bigger margin than _ there. no, we will have an even bigger margin than donald - bigger margin than donald trump. bigger margin than donald trum -. , ., ., ., trump. very good, with one candidate — trump. very good, with one candidate in _ trump. very good, with one candidate in the _ trump. very good, with one candidate in the race! - candidate in the race! jennifer, thank you very much, leader of... thank you for joining us on bbc news. we will have plenty more throughout the night but over to you in the

studio. we're going to have a lot more to watch as we see developments but we want to take a look at other news. a new video released by hamas purports to show the bodies of two dead israeli hostages in gaza. a 26—year—old is shown speaking under duress saying two men she was held with were killed while in captivity. in a statement accompanying the video, hamas says they were killed by israeli bombardment. daniel hagari denied the claim. he said the building was not an israeli target. he called for proof of life. the government of the families of the two men it had grave concerns for their fate. they accuse us of using psychological abuse adding that while the intensive phase will

end soon, israel will keep putting pressure on hamas. meanwhile a 70—year—old woman has been killed and 70 people injured in a stabbing and car ramming attack in centre israel. two palestinians were reportedly arrested. an initial investigation suggest the two subjects had entered israel illegally. houthis said they have targeted a us owned cargo ship. the ship was hit by a missile, it is confirmed but no—one was hurt. forces sought to defend international shipping by attacks by houthis rebel fighters. houthis rebels say they are acting in solidarity with palestinians in gaza. many companies rerouting

ships to avoid the red sea. i do not take decisions on the use of force lately and that is why i stress this action was taken in self defence. it was limited, not escalatory. aha, limited, not escalatory. a quick look at other headlights. the us secretary of defence is out of the hospital after two weeks. lloyd austin was treated for complications following a prostate operation. president biden was only informed after several days of the operation. he says he still has confidence in the secretary. ukraine say to russian and plans, have been shot down. badly damaged tail fins were posted. russia only

has a small number of them. in a volcano in iceland has erupted. towns in grindavik the state houses in grindavik were damaged. let's bring our panel back to talk about what is happening in iowa and all the implications on foreign and domestic policy. we have a new member. former democratic congresswoman stephanie murphy, mr davis, next to me the director of syracuse university and marc lotter chief communications officer in america first institute. just to get your reaction about what we have seen so far with a few precincts reporting. it we have seen so far with a few

precincts reporting.— precincts reporting. it looks like a good _ precincts reporting. it looks like a good night _ precincts reporting. it looks like a good night for - precincts reporting. it looks like a good night for donald trump and what he was hoping to achieve. it will taking into new hampshire with a lot of false. does the extent expectation? what do the suburbs look like? —— with a lot of force. does desantis have much left in the tank? marc lotter we have seen a statement coming from the maga team and talks about the other candidates running saying once the dc rhinos are finished crying over cocktails, it is time for nikki haley, ron desantis and vivek ramaswamy to stop wasting time. that is not something we are likely to see? you might see a couple. if you're _ you might see a couple. if you're ron desantis, your pulling — you're ron desantis, your pulling in third place in new

hampshire, nikki haley is looking _ hampshire, nikki haley is looking at about a month being beaten — looking at about a month being beaten by 30 points in her home state _ beaten by 30 points in her home state how— beaten by 30 points in her home state. how long before you realise _ state. how long before you realise the true opponent is joe biden?— realise the true opponent is joe biden? that is what they need to do. _ joe biden? that is what they need to do, consolidate - joe biden? that is what they| need to do, consolidate their resources? it need to do, consolidate their resources?— resources? it is really about consolidating _ resources? it is really about consolidating the _ resources? it is really about consolidating the people. i resources? it is really about i consolidating the people. the money— consolidating the people. the money is _ consolidating the people. the money is not going to be the issue — money is not going to be the issue for— money is not going to be the issue for the donald trump campaign. you want to consolidate the movement and energy— consolidate the movement and energy directed towards the true — energy directed towards the true opponent which isjoe biden— true opponent which isjoe biden and stock trading via on each — biden and stock trading via on each other because it is not getting _ each other because it is not getting us anywhere. congresswoman, we have seen a statement coming from the current speaker of the house congratulating donald trump on what appears to be a pretty large victory and he says they will work together to build the bowl, curb inflation and restore a booming economy. it seems like donald trump has a

lot of support in the house of representatives and congress as well? ~ , ,., , representatives and congress as well? ~ , ~ representatives and congress as well? ~ , . well? absolutely. when i was in con . ress well? absolutely. when i was in congress during _ well? absolutely. when i was in congress during the _ well? absolutely. when i was in congress during the trump - congress during the trump presidency we got a lot of things done. we could have done more but republicans were the ones who could not come together and find a principled compromise and build that what that ironically probably would be helping joe biden. but i have a quick question, can ron desantis get back into donald trump's good graces because they will not go to nikki haley, the voters. can he get back into his good graces by trying to defeat nikki haley in her home state?— trying to defeat nikki haley in her home state? yes. many are amonust her home state? yes. many are amongst the — her home state? yes. many are amongst the biggest _ her home state? yes. many are j amongst the biggest champions of the _ amongst the biggest champions of the former president and maga _ of the former president and maga. it is an olympic year and they— maga. it is an olympic year and they need — maga. it is an olympic year and they need to stick to landing, -et they need to stick to landing, get out — they need to stick to landing, get out early, show your

support— get out early, show your support and campaign for the president and maga to a certain e>

trump and they could never quite decide and i think this is what happens when you play it that way. was the reason for it, if you just went frontal assault against donald trump's record or activities during january six, you could not beating anyway so you're looking for another way in, either way, what you are seen taking shape looks like the scenario possibly where all the other candidates, you have all the numbers and they do not touch donald trump.- touch donald trump. iowa is very much — touch donald trump. iowa is very much behind _ touch donald trump. iowa is very much behind donald i touch donald trump. iowa is - very much behind donald trump. caitriona speaking to farmers worried about water quality, their ability to do business, and many of them have turned out for the former president. why do you think that is? obviously, we fought to protect

water~ — obviously, we fought to protect water. you can grow the economy and be — water. you can grow the economy and be good for the environment. and i think that is one — environment. and i think that is one of— environment. and i think that is one of the things where people _ is one of the things where people see donald trump as a dealmaker, that gets things done — dealmaker, that gets things done if_ dealmaker, that gets things done. if it is renegotiating nafta, _ done. if it is renegotiating nafta, but there is a government mandates, time and time _ government mandates, time and time again has shown to be a pragmatist. do time again has shown to be a pragmatist— time again has shown to be a ”ramatist. , ., ., ., pragmatist. do you agree? that is a perception _ pragmatist. do you agree? that is a perception inside _ pragmatist. do you agree? that is a perception inside the - is a perception inside the republican party. a lot of americans do not think these things are true but the polling tells us it is true that a lot of americans are hurting. the most recent batch says three quarters of republicans would be totally fine if donald trump was a nominee again and very high numbers thinking he is the strongest candidate in the

republican party and the one best poised to win. that republican party and the one best poised to win.— republican party and the one best poised to win. that is an interesting — best poised to win. that is an interesting point _ best poised to win. that is an interesting point and - best poised to win. that is an interesting point and reflects| interesting point and reflects some of the numbers and information we have seen coming out of iowa. we have to take another break. we will get more numbers from iowa and go back to caitriona and be back here with the panel. stay with bbc news. hello. this week is certainly shaping up to bring some of the coldest and snowiest weather of the winter so far. we started the week on monday in the grip of this arctic air. cold northerly winds feeding frequent wintry showers, especially into northern, eastern, and some western parts of the uk. tuesday remains cold — snow and ice will cause problems for some. but a slight shift in the wind direction, more of a west or northwesterly wind, so that means not as many showers across eastern parts, more showers out towards the west. and then, this little frontal system here, this is going to generate a mix of rain, sleet and snow across the northern half of the uk. ice as we move through the morning, that could cause some quite poor travelling conditions.

and then, we will see frequent snow showers in northern scotland. this area of snowfall in central and southern scotland, this could bring snow to quite low levels. for northern ireland and for northern england, at low levels, it may be that we see some rain and some sleet mixing in — most of the significant snow over high ground — but there could be some travel disruption, say, over the high—level routes in the pennines. to the south of that, well, mostly dry with some spells of crisp winter sunshine. maybe not quite as cold in southern counties of england or south wales, whereas parts of scotland will stay below freezing all day long. and in scotland, we'll see further snowfall during tuesday evening. it could cause some disruption for the rush hour. mix of rain, sleet, and snow across parts of northern england into wales. the odd snow shower pushing down across the midlands. a very, very cold night indeed, some places likely to get to —10 in the highlands. now for wednesday, we're keeping a close eye on this area of low pressure, which is moving its way in towards france, but it mayjust graze this weather system close enough to southern counties of england to bring the risk of a bit of light sleet and snow here. we'll keep an eye on that one for you. the channel islands seeing rain, maybe something wintry mixing in. elsewhere, sunny spells, a scattering of wintry showers,

a very cold—feeling day. many places around or, perhaps in some spots, below freezing even through the afternoon. now that weather system moves away. thursday will bring further snow showers. high pressure builds in for friday, so it is a drier end to the week for many. and then, we start to develop a westerly wind. atlantic weather systems will bring wind and rain, and something milder as we head into the weekend, so this cold spell may not last all that long. thursday will bring further snow showers. high pressure builds in for friday, so it is a drier end to the week for many. and then, we start to develop a westerly wind. atlantic weather systems will bring wind and rain, and something milder as we head into the weekend, so this cold spell may not last all that long.

iam i am katrina perry live in des moines, iowa. theme is on the scanner is in studio in dc and donald trump is the projected winner of the iowa caucus. republicans across the state have been gathering at churches, schools and polling locations to choose their party's residential nominator of this unique process of caucusing. donald trump is projected to be the winner of a former governor of south carolina nikki haley and

florida governor ron desantis are in a close fight for second place. we are still waiting to find who could take the runner—up spot does those caucuses are still under way. joining me eitherfrom washington, dc now is our own reporter eleanor humphry who is at a wall breaking down the numbers for us. what can you tell us about the result we have to hand so far?- tell us about the result we have to hand so far? they are continuing — have to hand so far? they are continuing to _ have to hand so far? they are continuing to come _ have to hand so far? they are continuing to come in. - have to hand so far? they are continuing to come in. we - have to hand so far? they are j continuing to come in. we are at six pressings counted, i will refresh to see where we are. here we can see donald trump at 50%, ron desantis overall still sitting there in second position with 22%, nikki haley there with 20.5%. i want to show you some of the deepest trumpet counties essentially just to show you how he is performing there. this is woodbury and it gets more of the populace vote and he can see a strong performance there from donald trump. 68.a% of the

vote, a lot of blue—collar workers there. if you go over to the river county on the other side, this is linton and here again only two of 2a pressings counted but still you can see almost matching, we saw that in woodbury, 69.1%, almost 70% for the ron desantis still there sitting in second position but of course a huge gap between them. something else i want to show you in this particular area is an area called one of esther and this is interesting because in 2016 donald trump didn't do well here at all. it has a population which is 30% latino, incredibly rural community and he didn't do well at all. now if you take a look, this is one of the highest total of the night. 70%. i guess one of the thoughts is that if he is doing well here, then he is on for a very decisive victory as indeed we know he is. i want tojump

over and look at one of the urban areas. linn is important because it is home to cedar rapids, the second largest urban area in iowa and something when nikki haley has been focusing her attention. it paid off to right now we can see early days but still 2a.a%. that is where we have seen her jumping to second position. that is something she is wanting to be doing in all of these urban areas because we have 75,000 votes up for grabs. let's check in as well with our bellwether state, we can go to blackhawk. nine out of 59 pressings counted, a2% for donald trump and nikki haley with 30% which would be a phenomenal night for her were that to be the case. what we have seen since 2008, what happened in blackhawk can then happened in blackhawk can then happen he will take three percentage points, and if we zoom out again and see where we are with 7% operating counted,

donald trump with 50%, ron desantis training with 22%. a huge margin still there for donald trump right now. projected to be a record victory for him.- projected to be a record victory for him. thank you, helena. — victory for him. thank you, helena, and _ victory for him. thank you, helena, and the _ victory for him. thank you, helena, and the health - victory for him. thank you, - helena, and the health warning that we do only have 7% of pressings fully reported, many people right across the state still taking part in those caucuses, still deciding who they are going to vote for and their votes will be critical in deciding it looks like donald trump is a winner of course but in deciding who is going to come second and that is a very important result either ron desantis or nikki haley in terms of where their campaigns from here. let go to our reporter: azman now at the watch party for the florida governor ron desantis. how are things there?— things there? things are startin: things there? things are starting to _ things there? things are starting to pick- things there? things are starting to pick up - things there? things are starting to pick up here. | things there? things are - starting to pick up here. they have begun to allow some of the ron desantis supporters and

staff and volunteers in this room, they are filing in as we speak and i think there is a mood of let's wait and see because, as you said, many of these caucuses are still taking place, there could still be some votes being cast and that is crucial, and as our cbs partner is projecting that donald trump has won the iowa caucus, there are still a very big battle for that second place, we will still wait to get those results in. you can also send some frustration from the dissenters campaign itself. we saw a tweet coming from the director of communications —— ron desantis. he said it was absolutely outrageous that the media would participate in election interference as he is calling it by calling the race before tens of thousands of iowans even have a chance to vote. i think some of the frustration there is that everybody with a cellphone got a text message alert

potentially saying that, hey, donald trump is projected to win the iowa caucus. there is a sense that may be somebody who's still trying to make up their mind, they see the results come in and they might change their vote one way or another or not given the chance to cast their ballots. that is one of the special things about the iowa aukus. there are chances and times where voters come into the room and they might be swayed one way or another given what they hear from a speech in the beginning —— iowa caucus. i was at a caucus site earlier today, i was speaking with some caucus colours. all three of them interestingly were first time caucus colours. many of them had one candidate in mind tonight and it was donald trump. here is what some of them told me. donald trump is facing for criminal indictments, a lot of legal trouble right now. how much does that concern you as a voter? ., ., �* does that concern you as a voter? ., ., ~ .. .,, , voter? none, none. all across the state _ voter? none, none. all across the state is — voter? none, none. all across the state is hands _ voter? none, none. all across the state is hands down - voter? none, none. all across| the state is hands down donald trump — the state is hands down donald trump. we are sending him back

to woric — trump. we are sending him back to work. if— trump. we are sending him back to work. , ., trump. we are sending him back to work. ,, trump. we are sending him back to work. . to work. if you look at the oles, to work. if you look at the poles. that _ to work. if you look at the poles, that is _ to work. if you look at the poles, that is what - to work. if you look at the | poles, that is what shows. to work. if you look at the - poles, that is what shows. he has 50% support level. it is a swee -. has 50% support level. it is a sweep- i _ has 5096 support level. it is a sweep. i guarantee _ has 5096 support level. it is a sweep. i guarantee it will. has 5096 support level. it is a sweep. i guarantee it will be | has 5096 support level. it is a l sweep. i guarantee it will be a sweep — sweep. i guarantee it will be a sweep |— sweep. i guarantee it will be a swee. ., �* ~ ., ., sweep. i guarantee it will be a swee. ~ ., ., ., sweep. i don't know who i am atoin to sweep. i don't know who i am going to vote _ sweep. i don't know who i am going to vote for— sweep. i don't know who i am going to vote for but - sweep. i don't know who i am going to vote for but i - sweep. i don't know who i am | going to vote for but i do know why don't— going to vote for but i do know why don't like _ going to vote for but i do know why don't like. and— going to vote for but i do know why don't like.— why don't like. and who is that? will— why don't like. and who is that? will you _ why don't like. and who is that? will you be - why don't like. and who is that? will you be makingl why don't like. and who is l that? will you be making up your mind tonight? a lot of support at that caucus site for the former president donald trump. i have to say as well that i was at a rally last night for ron desantis, one of those last chances to win the debate, his chapter voters in iowa and he talked about those exit polls that you saw, some of the top issues were migration and economy, those issues were pressed on during his speech. he mentioned the situation at the us border, he mentioned that. those are messages ron desantis was going after. we have to see how that

method resonated with voters. he is locked in a battle with nikki haley, we have seen him going after her many times at the debate, it is very clear that he not only knows that i've course he would like to win iowa, but it is very obvious that a second—place finish tonight is crucial, this is a state where ron desantis has essentially gone all in, all 99 counties, he has a very sophisticated and very expensive and very invested game here as well. it is going to be a situation here tonight. as we continue to watch the reactions, we will see what the mood is like. it seems like for now everybody is willing to sit back and watch and see how a potential battle for second place plays out here tonight. as we are a for a lot of those numbers still to come in for the lot of those numbers still to come in. we get a good picture so far but still plenty of time to go. i want to talk about the major issue for voters in iowa and the us public is immigration. the biden administration has been

struggling to address some of these record numbers of migrants who have been crossing over the southern us border, and all of the leading candidates in this race, republicans have been talking very tough on immigration, talking about the policies that need to be enacted on the southern border. i want to do with you congressman. what exactly have you seen from these candidates in terms of an approach, in terms of a plan other than the former president who says build that wall is two what is the approach here to solve what they say the biden administration can't do? this is the reason _ administration can't do? this is the reason why _ administration can't do? in 3 is the reason why donald trump has run away with the iowa caucus �*s tonight. because donald trump can say do what i did, reinstitute the remaining mexico policy that front instituted and actually create an atmosphere where migrants don't want to break our laws and break into our country. really, this is a problem that the biden administration has in the biden administration has in the biden administration has in the biden campaign has because they can't anchor the progressive left anymore by

cracking down on the border crisis, so they are doing nothing. they are inert right now and that is why the polling numbers for president biden are so bad amongst groups like african—americans, in urban areas and latinos along the border in our south—western part of our country. congresswoman, the biden administration has, as we look at these images, recent days weeks really at the southern border, the biden administration has attempted after title a2, the pandemic hero pilot national policy expired to put in new measures to put in new migration to discourage illegal migration. it doesn't seem to have worked. the reality is that the biden administration can't do it on their— administration can't do it on their own _ administration can't do it on their own. they need to pass some — their own. they need to pass some laws and provide funding through— some laws and provide funding through congress. i remember when _ through congress. i remember when i — through congress. i remember when i was a member of congress when _ when i was a member of congress when trump was president, there was a _ when trump was president, there was a major crisis on the border— was a major crisis on the border and we worked in a bipartisan way to provide the necessary emergency supplement of funding for the border.

right _ of funding for the border. right now, the congress isn't assisting _ right now, the congress isn't assisting the administration or fulfilling — assisting the administration or fulfilling the request that has come — fulfilling the request that has come across for border support. why— come across for border support. why do— come across for border support. why do you _ come across for border support. why do you think that is?- why do you think that is? there are a couple _ why do you think that is? there are a couple of— why do you think that is? there are a couple of things _ why do you think that is? there are a couple of things going - why do you think that is? there are a couple of things going on| are a couple of things going on one is— are a couple of things going on one is that _ are a couple of things going on one is that up _ are a couple of things going on one is that up until— are a couple of things going on one is that up until now- are a couple of things going on one is that up until now the . one is that up until now the economy— one is that up until now the economy has— one is that up until now the economy has been - one is that up until now the economy has been the - one is that up until now the i economy has been the biggest stumbling _ economy has been the biggest stumbling block— economy has been the biggest stumbling block for— economy has been the biggest stumbling block for president i stumbling block for president biden— stumbling block for president biden in— stumbling block for president biden in terms _ stumbling block for president biden in terms of— stumbling block for president biden in terms of his - stumbling block for president| biden in terms of his approval ratings. — biden in terms of his approval ratings. in _ biden in terms of his approval ratings, in terms _ biden in terms of his approval ratings, in terms of _ biden in terms of his approval ratings, in terms of what - biden in terms of his approval ratings, in terms of what the i ratings, in terms of what the public— ratings, in terms of what the public is _ ratings, in terms of what the public is thinking _ ratings, in terms of what the public is thinking about. - ratings, in terms of what the. public is thinking about. some of the — public is thinking about. some of the economic— public is thinking about. some of the economic indicators - public is thinking about. some. of the economic indicators have come _ of the economic indicators have come back— of the economic indicators have come back up. _ of the economic indicators have come back up, within _ of the economic indicators have come back up, within the - come back up, within the republicans _ come back up, within the republicans consolidate. come back up, within the - republicans consolidate around immigration _ republicans consolidate around immigration argument - republicans consolidate around immigration argument because| republicans consolidate around i immigration argument because it has an— immigration argument because it has an impact, _ immigration argument because it has an impact, it _ immigration argument because it has an impact, it is _ immigration argument because it has an impact, it is something i has an impact, it is something that— has an impact, it is something that all— has an impact, it is something that all americans _ has an impact, it is something that all americans are - that all americans are concerned _ that all americans are concerned about, - that all americans are - concerned about, whether or that all americans are _ concerned about, whether or not you are — concerned about, whether or not you are synthetic _ concerned about, whether or not you are synthetic to _ concerned about, whether or not you are synthetic to the - concerned about, whether or not you are synthetic to the plight i you are synthetic to the plight of an— you are synthetic to the plight of an individual— you are synthetic to the plight of an individual migrants, - you are synthetic to the plight of an individual migrants, but| of an individual migrants, but also — of an individual migrants, but also because _ of an individual migrants, but also because of— of an individual migrants, but also because of the _ of an individual migrants, but also because of the economy| also because of the economy softens — also because of the economy softens as— also because of the economy softens as an _ also because of the economy softens as an issue _ also because of the economy softens as an issue to - also because of the economy softens as an issue to go - softens as an issue to go after. _ softens as an issue to go after, immigration - softens as an issue to go after, immigration is - softens as an issue to go after, immigration is a i softens as an issue to go i after, immigration is a very strong _ after, immigration is a very strong kind _ after, immigration is a very strong kind of— after, immigration is a very strong kind of second - after, immigration is a veryl strong kind of second option for them _ strong kind of second option for them so— strong kind of second option for them. so there - strong kind of second option for them. so there is - strong kind of second option for them. so there is not. strong kind of second option for them. so there is not a i for them. so there is not a whole _ for them. so there is not a whole lot— for them. so there is not a whole lot of— for them. so there is not a whole lot of incentive - for them. so there is not a whole lot of incentive to i for them. so there is not a i whole lot of incentive to find a bipartisan _ whole lot of incentive to find a bipartisan compromise, i whole lot of incentive to findl a bipartisan compromise, but whole lot of incentive to find i a bipartisan compromise, but i also _ a bipartisan compromise, but i also think— a bipartisan compromise, but i also think there _ a bipartisan compromise, but i also think there is _ a bipartisan compromise, but i also think there is a _ a bipartisan compromise, but i also think there is a problem l also think there is a problem inside —

also think there is a problem inside the _ also think there is a problem inside the democratic - also think there is a problem inside the democratic party. | inside the democratic party. joe biden— inside the democratic party. joe biden is— inside the democratic party. joe biden is not— inside the democratic party. joe biden is not going - inside the democratic party. joe biden is not going to- inside the democratic party. i joe biden is not going to adopt some — joe biden is not going to adopt some of— joe biden is not going to adopt some of the _ joe biden is not going to adopt some of the trump _ joe biden is not going to adopt some of the trump era - joe biden is not going to adopt| some of the trump era policies especially— some of the trump era policies especially in _ some of the trump era policies especially in terms _ some of the trump era policies especially in terms of - some of the trump era policies especially in terms of family. especially in terms of family separations, _ especially in terms of family separations, by— especially in terms of family separations, by the - especially in terms of family separations, by the biden i separations, by the biden administration— separations, by the biden administration is- separations, by the biden administration is in- separations, by the biden l administration is in charge, separations, by the biden - administration is in charge, he is the — administration is in charge, he is the president, _ administration is in charge, he is the president, so— administration is in charge, he is the president, so when - administration is in charge, hel is the president, so when there is the president, so when there is an— is the president, so when there is an immigration _ is the president, so when there is an immigration crisis - is the president, so when there is an immigration crisis buck. is an immigration crisis buck stops — is an immigration crisis buck stops with— is an immigration crisis buck stops with the _ is an immigration crisis buck stops with the president - is an immigration crisis buck stops with the president nol stops with the president no matter— stops with the president no matter what— stops with the president no matter what party - stops with the president no matter what party you - stops with the president no matter what party you are, | stops with the president no i matter what party you are, no matter— matter what party you are, no matter what — matter what party you are, no matter what ideological - matter what party you are, nol matter what ideological beliefs are, matter what ideological beliefs are your — matter what ideological beliefs are. your policy— matter what ideological beliefs are, your policy goals, - matter what ideological beliefs are, your policy goals, the - are, your policy goals, the bottom _ are, your policy goals, the bottom line _ are, your policy goals, the bottom line is _ are, your policy goals, the bottom line is it— are, your policy goals, the bottom line is it is- are, your policy goals, the bottom line is it is a - are, your policy goals, the i bottom line is it is a national issue — bottom line is it is a national issue an _ bottom line is it is a national issue, an economic- bottom line is it is a national issue, an economic issue - bottom line is it is a nationall issue, an economic issue and bottom line is it is a national. issue, an economic issue and in a lot— issue, an economic issue and in a lot of— issue, an economic issue and in a lot of key— issue, an economic issue and in a lot of key states _ issue, an economic issue and in a lot of key states with - issue, an economic issue and in a lot of key states with a - issue, an economic issue and in a lot of key states with a lot - a lot of key states with a lot of crucial _ a lot of key states with a lot of crucial lots _ a lot of key states with a lot of crucial lots of _ a lot of key states with a lot of crucial lots of voters - a lot of key states with a loti of crucial lots of voters there is a — of crucial lots of voters there is a concern _ of crucial lots of voters there is a concern that _ of crucial lots of voters there is a concern that there - of crucial lots of voters there is a concern that there are i of crucial lots of voters there. is a concern that there are too many— is a concern that there are too many migrants _ is a concern that there are too many migrants coming - is a concern that there are too many migrants coming into. is a concern that there are too. many migrants coming into this country— many migrants coming into this country without— many migrants coming into this country without controls. - many migrants coming into this country without controls. i - country without controls. want to get your thought country without controls.“ want to get your thought on country without controls._ want to get your thought on the previous point margaret made about republicans focusing more on immigration now because the economy is starting to look better for the president. economy is starting to look betterfor the president. you think that is a strategy? we have folks _ think that is a strategy? we have folks on _ think that is a strategy? - have folks on the border throughout the entire time. day onejob biden and everything that worked in the trump administration. i get why he wants to shift the blame for congress but this isn't congress but this isn't congress was my fault. if you go back to december 2019 there were a0,000 illegal immigration

at the southern border. in a 72023 302,000 illegal immigration encounter that the border. not a single law changed, nothing changed except the man in the white house and what he is willing to do, and what he is willing to do, and what he is willing to do, and what he wants is congress to give more money for processing, to process more illegals into our country rather than dealing with deterrence, don't come here in the first place. it is certainly — here in the first place. it is certainly a _ here in the first place. it is certainly a global- here in the first place. it is certainly a global issue. i here in the first place. it is certainly a global issue. we have a lot of viewers around the world was seeing those types of migration patterns across world and of course this is something the biden administration has been trying to address, but i want to ask you about the other side of this. we will see the stand of continuing in the senate over whether there should be more aid to ukraine or whether that should be tied to stricter policies on the border. do you all agree that these two issues should be tied together? i have never believed _ should be tied together? i have never believed that _ should be tied together? i have never believed that two - should be tied together? i have never believed that two policy i never believed that two policy issues — never believed that two policy issues should be tied together stop the — issues should be tied together stop the biden administration made — stop the biden administration

made the decision to try to tie infrastructure funding together infrastructure funding together in the — infrastructure funding together in the last congress with the build — in the last congress with the build back better programme, and it— build back better programme, and it created a huge mess. if and it created a huge mess. if a bill— and it created a huge mess. if a bill is — and it created a huge mess. if a bill is good enough to stand on its — a bill is good enough to stand on its own, it should be considered on its own. merits. we had — considered on its own. merits. we had to— considered on its own. merits. we had to separate those two things— we had to separate those two things in— we had to separate those two things in order to get infrastructure across the finish line and i think he made a huge — finish line and i think he made a huge mistake tying border security— a huge mistake tying border security to ukraine funding, and — security to ukraine funding, and now— security to ukraine funding, and now he may end up with nothing _ and now he may end up with nothini. .. ~' and now he may end up with nothini. .. ~ . nothing. you think that there is a risk of — nothing. you think that there is a risk of that, _ nothing. you think that there is a risk of that, that - nothing. you think that there is a risk of that, that ukraine | is a risk of that, that ukraine funding may go nowhere because of the question of the border policies? of the question of the border olicies? ~ . ,.. , of the question of the border olicies? ~ . , . . policies? absolutely. what stephanie _ policies? absolutely. what stephanie described - policies? absolutely. what - stephanie described happened under complete democratic leadership in the house, the senate and the white house. within hours divided government. it is all about compromise. the biden administration has to figure out a way to address their own crisis at the border and then they will get what they want when it comes to foreign policy objectives like ukraine. support for israel in the war against hamas. ironically, the

biden administration will solve a major campaign problem for themselves if they did. they won't get out of their own way. i don't know. this gets complicated _ i don't know. this gets complicated because l i don't know. this gets i complicated because part i don't know. this gets - complicated because part of the reason — complicated because part of the reason they— complicated because part of the reason they were _ complicated because part of the reason they were even - complicated because part of the reason they were even willing i reason they were even willing to consider— reason they were even willing to consider trying _ reason they were even willing to consider trying the - reason they were even willing to consider trying the border. to consider trying the border money— to consider trying the border money to— to consider trying the border money to ukraine _ to consider trying the border money to ukraine money - to consider trying the border money to ukraine money if i to consider trying the border. money to ukraine money if they didn't— money to ukraine money if they didn't think— money to ukraine money if they didn't think they— money to ukraine money if they didn't think they would - money to ukraine money if they didn't think they would get - money to ukraine money if they didn't think they would get the. didn't think they would get the money— didn't think they would get the money otherwise _ didn't think they would get the money otherwise so _ didn't think they would get the money otherwise so there - didn't think they would get the money otherwise so there is i didn't think they would get the money otherwise so there is a | money otherwise so there is a split— money otherwise so there is a split in— money otherwise so there is a split in by— money otherwise so there is a split in by the _ money otherwise so there is a split in by the republican - split in by the republican party— split in by the republican party that _ split in by the republican party that makes - split in by the republican party that makes it - split in by the republican party that makes it more| party that makes it more difficult _ party that makes it more difficult to _ party that makes it more difficult to secure - party that makes it morei difficult to secure support around _ difficult to secure support around it _ difficult to secure support around it used _ difficult to secure support around it used to - difficult to secure support around it used to be - difficult to secure support| around it used to be given difficult to secure support - around it used to be given that the us— around it used to be given that the us would _ around it used to be given that the us would rally _ around it used to be given that the us would rally around - around it used to be given that the us would rally around the. the us would rally around the country— the us would rally around the country was _ the us would rally around the country was being _ the us would rally around the country was being targeted i country was being targeted by russia — country was being targeted by russia. there _ country was being targeted by russia. there is— country was being targeted by russia. there is a _ country was being targeted by russia. there is a lot - country was being targeted by russia. there is a lot of- russia. there is a lot of geopolitics _ russia. there is a lot of geopolitics and - russia. there is a lot of geopolitics and a - russia. there is a lot of geopolitics and a lot - russia. there is a lot of geopolitics and a lot of| russia. there is a lot of- geopolitics and a lot of splits in both— geopolitics and a lot of splits in both parties— geopolitics and a lot of splits in both parties going - geopolitics and a lot of splits in both parties going on - geopolitics and a lot of splitsl in both parties going on here, but in — in both parties going on here, but in order— in both parties going on here, but in order for— in both parties going on here, but in order for president- but in order for president biden— but in order for president biden and _ but in order for president biden and his _ but in order for president biden and his team - but in order for president biden and his team to . but in order for president. biden and his team to kind but in order for president- biden and his team to kind of -et biden and his team to kind of get the — biden and his team to kind of get the deal— biden and his team to kind of get the deal they— biden and his team to kind of get the deal they were - biden and his team to kind of. get the deal they were looking for, get the deal they were looking for. they— get the deal they were looking for. they have _ get the deal they were looking for, they have to _ get the deal they were looking for, they have to give - get the deal they were looking for, they have to give a - get the deal they were looking for, they have to give a lot - get the deal they were looking for, they have to give a lot on| for, they have to give a lot on the border~ _ that is the challenge. you have the progressive left that does not like the israel funding, and those i don't like the ukraine funding and the border is kind of in the middle and maybe we should bring this

together in one big mess and piece together the 280 votes you need in the house or devising it in the senate because really everybody is all over the place on this one. we're going to talk about some of the other foreign—policy issues but i want to bring our view is up—to—date. we will continue watching the developments in the caucasus but first a look at some other news. a new video released by hamas purports to show the bodies of two dead israeli hostages in gaza. the video shows 26—year—old noa argamani speaking under duress saying two men she was held with, 53—year—old yossi sharab and 38—year—old itai svirsky, were killed while in captivity. in a statement accompanying the video, hamas says the hostages were killed by israel's bombardment. israeli military spokesperson daniel hagari denied the claim. he said the building where they were being held was not actually an israeli target. he called the video a proof of life for ms argamani, but said the government told the families of the two men that it had grave concerns for their fate.

israel's defense minister yoav gallant accusing hamas of using psychological abuse, adding that while the intensive phase of israel's attacks on south gaza would end soon, israel will keep putting pressure on hamas, arguing the group will not agree to release hostages without it. meanwhile a 70—year—old woman has been killed and at least 17 people injured in a stabbing and car ramming attack in the central israel city of raanana, north of tel aviv. two palestinians from the occupied west bank were reportedly arrested. israeli police say that an initial investigation suggests the two related subjects from hebron had entered israel illegally. the houthis forces say they have targeted a us—owned cargo ship, off the coast of yemen in the red sea. the us military confirmed the ship was hit by a missile, but says no—one was hurt. it follows airraids launched byt us and uk forces last week, that sought to defend international shipping from attacks by iranian—allied houthis fighters in yemen. the houthis began attacking vessels travelling through the red sea in november saying

they are acting in solidarity with palestinians in gaza. major shipping companies are rerouting their ships around southern africa to avoid the red sea. earlier today uk prime minister rishi sunakfaced members of parliament for the first time sine the us uk military action began on frisday. i do not take decisions on the use of force lightly and that is why i stress this action was taken in self defence. it was limited, not escalatory. a quick look at other headlights. the us secretary of defence is out of the hospital after two weeks. lloyd austin was treated for complications following a prostate cancer operation. the defence department says he will continue to work remotely before returning full—time. president biden was only informed after several days of the operation. he calls this a lapse of judgement. he says he still has

confidence in the secretary. ukraine say to russian and plans, have been shot down. badly damaged tail fins were posted. russia only has a small number of them. a volcano in iceland has erupted for a sencond time. several houses in grindavik were destroyed. i want to start with you congresswoman. we were looking at the israel—gaza conflict and some of the developments. this is a war that has divided republicans, excuse me, democrats, as margaret was just saying and it is something difficult for the biden administration? it difficult for the biden administration? . , , administration? it has been difficult. to _ administration? it has been difficult. to date, _ administration? it has been difficult. to date, we - administration? it has been difficult. to date, we have i difficult. to date, we have stood by our long—standing policy is standing by israel

but you can start to see the fissures as the pressure from the aggressive left is impacting and what is interesting is that the distinct division between the younger generation of democrats, maybe younger generations of americans, perspective compared to older americans and i think if his margins were not so narrowjust about everywhere, he would not have to worry so much about every single group, every single constituent group and i think this issue is going to have a real impact particularly in states like michigan which is key to his victory.- is key to his victory. how impactful _ is key to his victory. how impactful has _ is key to his victory. how impactful has this - is key to his victory. how impactful has this war i is key to his victory. how- impactful has this war been? obviously, the republican party is largely united in a strong support— is largely united in a strong support of israel. always a strong _ support of israel. always a strong on the war on terror. the _ strong on the war on terror. the problem is, especially with

the young people, the volunteers who could be on a campaign, going out knocking on doors, _ campaign, going out knocking on doors, they are doing all the hard — doors, they are doing all the hard work, stuffing envelopes, and if — hard work, stuffing envelopes, and if they are less than enthusiastic, it is a problem from — enthusiastic, it is a problem from the _ enthusiastic, it is a problem from the campaign standpoint and something they have to confront _ and something they have to confront because that is your energy. _ confront because that is your energy, those are your doers. if energy, those are your doers. if you — energy, those are your doers. if you look— energy, those are your doers. if you look at some of the groups congresswoman murphy was talking about, looking at gaza, an incredible loss of life, the dire situation civilians are facing and it has really put the administration in a difficult position, trying to stand behind is but also providing support for civilians in gaza? i providing support for civilians in gaza? .. .. providing support for civilians in gaza? ., ., ~ .. , in gaza? i do not know why president _ in gaza? i do not know why president biden _ in gaza? i do not know why president biden hasn't - in gaza? i do not know why - president biden hasn't decided tojust — president biden hasn't decided tojust show— president biden hasn't decided to just show leadership. - president biden hasn't decided to just show leadership. you i to just show leadership. you cannot— to just show leadership. you cannot have _ to just show leadership. you cannot have it— to just show leadership. you cannot have it both - to just show leadership. you cannot have it both ways. ifl

to just show leadership. you i cannot have it both ways. if he is worried _ cannot have it both ways. if he is worried about _ cannot have it both ways. if he is worried about losing - cannot have it both ways. if he is worried about losing an - is worried about losing an election— is worried about losing an election because - is worried about losing an election because of- is worried about losing anl election because of certain voting _ election because of certain voting groups _ election because of certain voting groups in _ election because of certain voting groups in michigan. election because of certain i voting groups in michigan and will not — voting groups in michigan and will not stand _ voting groups in michigan and will not stand up _ voting groups in michigan and will not stand up against - voting groups in michigan and will not stand up against the i will not stand up against the burning _ will not stand up against the burning alive _ will not stand up against the burning alive of— will not stand up against the burning alive of children - will not stand up against the burning alive of children by. burning alive of children by hamas— burning alive of children by hamas animals _ burning alive of children by hamas animals in - burning alive of children by hamas animals in octoberi burning alive of children by . hamas animals in october and the systemic— hamas animals in october and the systemic raping _ hamas animals in october and the systemic raping of- hamas animals in october and the systemic raping of israeli i the systemic raping of israeli women, _ the systemic raping of israeli women, this is— the systemic raping of israeli women, this is a _ the systemic raping of israeli women, this is a chance - the systemic raping of israeli women, this is a chance for. women, this is a chance for president _ women, this is a chance for president biden— women, this is a chance for president biden to - women, this is a chance for president biden to show . women, this is a chance for| president biden to show the world — president biden to show the world that _ president biden to show the world that that _ president biden to show the world that that type - president biden to show the world that that type of - world that that type of behaviour— world that that type of behaviour that - world that that type of behaviour that we - world that that type of behaviour that we sawj world that that type of - behaviour that we saw out of hamas — behaviour that we saw out of hamas and _ behaviour that we saw out of hamas and hamas _ behaviour that we saw out of hamas and hamas militantsl hamas and hamas militants should — hamas and hamas militants should be _ hamas and hamas militants should be obliterated - hamas and hamas militants should be obliterated from. hamas and hamas militants i should be obliterated from the face of — should be obliterated from the face of the _ should be obliterated from the face of the oath _ should be obliterated from the face of the oath is _ should be obliterated from the face of the oath is that - should be obliterated from the face of the oath is that he - should be obliterated from the face of the oath is that he is. face of the oath is that he is putting _ face of the oath is that he is putting an _ face of the oath is that he is putting an analysis - face of the oath is that he is putting an analysis on - face of the oath is that he is putting an analysis on it. . face of the oath is that he is| putting an analysis on it. my biggest _ putting an analysis on it. my biggest concern _ putting an analysis on it. my biggest concern is _ putting an analysis on it. my biggest concern is we - putting an analysis on it. my biggest concern is we saw i biggest concern is we saw violets— biggest concern is we saw violets at— biggest concern is we saw violets at the _ biggest concern is we saw violets at the white - biggest concern is we saw| violets at the white house biggest concern is we saw . violets at the white house by pro- — violets at the white house by pro- hamas— violets at the white house by pro— hamas demonstrators i violets at the white house by. pro— hamas demonstratorsjust violets at the white house by- pro— hamas demonstrators just a couple _ pro— hamas demonstrators just a couple of— pro— hamas demonstrators just a couple of nights— pro— hamas demonstrators just a couple of nights ago, _ pro— hamas demonstrators just a couple of nights ago, where - couple of nights ago, where they— couple of nights ago, where they tried _ couple of nights ago, where they tried to _ couple of nights ago, where they tried to break- couple of nights ago, where they tried to break through i they tried to break through fencing _ they tried to break through fencing as— they tried to break through fencing. as we _ they tried to break through fencing. as we go- they tried to break through fencing. as we go throughi they tried to break through l fencing. as we go through a political— fencing. as we go through a political convention - fencing. as we go through a j political convention system, this to — political convention system, this to me _ political convention system, this to me because - political convention system, this to me because of- political convention system, this to me because of the i this to me because of the israeli _ this to me because of the israeli hamas _ this to me because of the israeli hamas situation i this to me because of the i israeli hamas situation could turn — israeli hamas situation could turn into— israeli hamas situation could turn into a _ israeli hamas situation could turn into a 1968 _ israeli hamas situation could turn into a 1968 the - israeli hamas situation couldj turn into a 1968 the situation

again — turn into a 1968 the situation atain. ., , ., turn into a 1968 the situation aiain. . . . ~ again. palestinian americans, arab americans _ again. palestinian americans, arab americans are _ again. palestinian americans, arab americans are looking i again. palestinian americans, j arab americans are looking at what is happening in gaza and nearly 2 million people displaced and the numbers according to the health ministry in gaza, 2a,000 people killed as well. this is something the biden administration notjust for administration not just for electoral administration notjust for electoral reasons, has to be mindful of.— mindful of. well, the biden administration _ mindful of. well, the biden administration is _ mindful of. well, the biden administration is going - mindful of. well, the biden administration is going to i mindful of. well, the biden - administration is going to have to pick— administration is going to have to pick a — administration is going to have to pick a side _ administration is going to have to pick a side and _ administration is going to have to pick a side and in— administration is going to have to pick a side and in the - administration is going to have to pick a side and in the end, l to pick a side and in the end, nothing — to pick a side and in the end, nothing would _ to pick a side and in the end, nothing would have - to pick a side and in the end, | nothing would have happened to pick a side and in the end, i nothing would have happened in gaza _ nothing would have happened in gaza if— nothing would have happened in gaza if october— nothing would have happened in gaza if october seven _ nothing would have happened in gaza if october seven would - nothing would have happened in gaza if october seven would notj gaza if october seven would not have _ gaza if october seven would not have taken _ gaza if october seven would not have taken place _ gaza if october seven would not have taken place and _ gaza if october seven would not have taken place and of- gaza if october seven would not have taken place and of the - have taken place and of the world — have taken place and of the world witnessed _ have taken place and of the world witnessed the - have taken place and of the. world witnessed the horrific, the horrific _ world witnessed the horrific, the horrific attacks _ world witnessed the horrific, the horrific attacks on - world witnessed the horrific, j the horrific attacks on israel. as we — the horrific attacks on israel. as we look— the horrific attacks on israel. as we look ahead, _ the horrific attacks on israel. as we look ahead, we - the horrific attacks on israel. as we look ahead, we have i the horrific attacks on israel. i as we look ahead, we have two do a _ as we look ahead, we have two do a better— as we look ahead, we have two do a betterjob _ as we look ahead, we have two do a betterjob educating - as we look ahead, we have two do a betterjob educating our. do a betterjob educating our youth — do a betterjob educating our youth. there _ do a betterjob educating our youth. there is _ do a betterjob educating our youth. there is a _ do a betterjob educating our youth. there is a good - youth. there is a good percentage _ youth. there is a good percentage of- youth. there is a good percentage of young i youth. there is a good - percentage of young americans that do— percentage of young americans that do not— percentage of young americans that do not even _ percentage of young americans that do not even believe - percentage of young americans that do not even believe the . that do not even believe the holocaust _ that do not even believe the holocaust happened - that do not even believe the holocaust happened and - that do not even believe thel holocaust happened and this that do not even believe the i holocaust happened and this is something _ holocaust happened and this is something we _ holocaust happened and this is something we have _ holocaust happened and this is something we have to - holocaust happened and this is something we have to take - holocaust happened and this is something we have to take a i something we have to take a step— something we have to take a step back— something we have to take a step back in _ something we have to take a step back in america - something we have to take a step back in america and - something we have to take a - step back in america and remind ourselves, — step back in america and remind ourselves, what— step back in america and remind ourselves, what do _ step back in america and remind ourselves, what do we _ step back in america and remind ourselves, what do we need - step back in america and remind ourselves, what do we need to l ourselves, what do we need to do to— ourselves, what do we need to do to better— ourselves, what do we need to do to better educate _ ourselves, what do we need to do to better educate our- ourselves, what do we need to| do to better educate our youth. as a _

do to better educate our youth. as a journalist, _ do to better educate our youth. as a journalist, i— do to better educate our youth. as a journalist, i want - do to better educate our youth. as a journalist, i want to - do to better educate our youth. as a journalist, i want to say, l as a journalist, i want to say, i do not see the facts on the ground the same way. i think president biden has been unambiguous about his opposition to hamas driven terrorism and attacks on innocent people, and embraced benjamin netanyahu and support for them. benjamin netanyahu and support forthem. i benjamin netanyahu and support for them. i do not think that is the area of ambiguity at all. i think the area of conflict or did the needle he is trying to thread, is how support innocents who are israelis and innocents who a palestinians. i completely reject what you say on the merit. it is a matter of politics. what is happening is there a democrats who are jewish americans, who are arab american, palestinian american, muslim american and none of the above have a range of sympathies and the democratic party is more conflicted internally about that than the

republican party is. i do not think president biden has been weak or questionable whether us policy... weak or questionable whether us oli , .. weak or questionable whether us oli , ., , policy... trying to basically tell of the _ policy... trying to basically tell of the israeli _ policy... trying to basically i tell of the israeli government how to — tell of the israeli government how to conduct the war, limiting _ how to conduct the war, limiting the steps they have taken — limiting the steps they have taken. they have not spoken in three _ taken. they have not spoken in three weeks or so because apparently benjamin netanyahu and the — apparently benjamin netanyahu and the president hung up on each — and the president hung up on each other right before christmas. post—9/11, no—one is telling _ christmas. post—9/11, no—one is telling me— christmas. post—9/11, no—one is telling me how to fight the war~ — telling me how to fight the war~ we _ telling me how to fight the war. we are cross talk going in, eliminating terrorist that is what _ in, eliminating terrorist that is what we should do. one other issue and you — is what we should do. one other issue and you talked _ is what we should do. one other issue and you talked about - is what we should do. one other issue and you talked about it - issue and you talked about it issue and you talked about it is the — issue and you talked about it is the conflict _ issue and you talked about it is the conflict is _ issue and you talked about it is the conflict is spreading i issue and you talked about it is the conflict is spreading ai is the conflict is spreading a bed — is the conflict is spreading a bed and _ is the conflict is spreading a bed and the _ is the conflict is spreading a bed and the attacks - is the conflict is spreading a bed and the attacks on - is the conflict is spreading a bed and the attacks on the. bed and the attacks on the shipping _ bed and the attacks on the shipping lanes— bed and the attacks on the shipping lanes can - bed and the attacks on the shipping lanes can have i bed and the attacks on the shipping lanes can have a. bed and the attacks on the i shipping lanes can have a real economic— shipping lanes can have a real economic impact— shipping lanes can have a real economic impact on _ shipping lanes can have a reall economic impact on americans shipping lanes can have a real- economic impact on americans as the shipping — economic impact on americans as the shipping costs— economic impact on americans as the shipping costs go— economic impact on americans as the shipping costs go up- economic impact on americans as the shipping costs go up and - the shipping costs go up and 'ust the shipping costs go up and just as — the shipping costs go up and just as inflation _ the shipping costs go up and just as inflation is _ the shipping costs go up and just as inflation is beginning| just as inflation is beginning to tip— just as inflation is beginning to tip down— just as inflation is beginning to tip down this _ just as inflation is beginning to tip down this will - just as inflation is beginning to tip down this will be - just as inflation is beginning to tip down this will be a - to tip down this will be a pressure _ to tip down this will be a pressure that— to tip down this will be a pressure that keeps - to tip down this will be a pressure that keeps it i to tip down this will be a i pressure that keeps it high. another— pressure that keeps it high. another issue _ pressure that keeps it high. another issue that - pressure that keeps it high. another issue that could . pressure that keeps it high. i another issue that could really affect president biden and his administration. it is been great to talk about the foreign

policy issues because it does not get talked about that much during the election process. we will talk more when we head back to iowa and get more numbers. please, stay with bbc news. hello. this week is certainly shaping up to bring some of the coldest and snowiest weather of the winter so far. we started the week on monday in the grip of this arctic air. cold northerly winds feeding frequent wintry showers, especially into northern, eastern, and some western parts of the uk. tuesday remains cold — snow and ice will cause problems for some. but a slight shift in the wind direction, more of a west or northwesterly wind, so that means not as many showers across eastern parts, more showers out towards the west. and then, this little frontal system here, this is going to generate a mix of rain, sleet and snow

across the northern half of the uk. ice as we move through the morning, that could cause some quite poor travelling conditions. and then, we will see frequent snow showers in northern scotland. this area of snowfall in central and southern scotland, this could bring snow to quite low levels. for northern ireland and for northern england, at low levels, it may be that we see some rain and some sleet mixing in — most of the significant snow over high ground — but there could be some travel disruption, say, over the high—level routes in the pennines. to the south of that, well, mostly dry with some spells of crisp winter sunshine. maybe not quite as cold in southern counties of england or south wales, whereas parts of scotland will stay below freezing all day long. and in scotland, we'll see further snowfall during tuesday evening. it could cause some disruption for the rush hour. mix of rain, sleet, and snow across parts of northern england into wales. the odd snow shower pushing down across the midlands. a very, very cold night indeed, some places likely to get to —10 in the highlands. now for wednesday, we're keeping a close eye on this area of low pressure, which is moving its way in towards france, but it mayjust graze this weather system close enough

to southern counties of england to bring the risk of a bit of light sleet and snow here. we'll keep an eye on that one for you. the channel islands seeing rain, maybe something wintry mixing in. elsewhere, sunny spells, a scattering of wintry showers, a very cold—feeling day. many places around or, perhaps in some spots, below freezing even through the afternoon. now that weather system moves away. thursday will bring further snow showers. high pressure builds in for friday, so it is a drier end to the week for many. and then, we start to develop a westerly wind. atlantic weather systems will bring wind and rain, and something milder as we head into the weekend, so this cold spell may not last all that long.

live from iowa, this is bbc news. iam i am katrina. iam katrina. and sumi is in the studio in dc we live where donald trump is projected to win the iowa caucus meeting his status as the front runner for the republican status as the front runner for the republican presidential nomination. we are waiting to see who will lockdown second place, all the analysis on the results as they come in. we

will to results as they come in. we will go back _ results as they come in. we will go back to _ results as they come in. - will go back to katrina and i were to bring us up—to—date on everything happening there. katrina? riff everything happening there. katrina? . everything happening there. katrina? , . katrina? of course as donald trump is _ katrina? of course as donald trump is projected _ katrina? of course as donald trump is projected to - katrina? of course as donald trump is projected to be - katrina? of course as donald trump is projected to be the| trump is projected to be the winner here the question is whether former governor of south carolina nikki haley or the current governor of florida ron desantis will come on in second place that is the battle on at the moment. we can go across to the donald trump watch party to speak to our north america editor sarah smith. what is the scene like there at the moment?- smith. what is the scene like there at the moment? there are lots of excited _ there at the moment? there are lots of excited donald _ there at the moment? there are lots of excited donald trump - lots of excited donald trump supporters coming here to join the party, there is popcorn rather than champagne on offer for them, they are gathering, celebrating, congratulating each other on what looks to be a victorious night for them. we don't have the official results in but it seems clear donald