all right, guys. we he awesome? all right, guys. we are now going _ he awesome? all right, guys. we are now going to _ he awesome? all right, guys. we are now going to speak— he awesome? all right, guys. we are now going to speak to - he awesome? all right, guys. we are now going to speak to our - are now going to speak to our panel about what we have been watching here. you are looking at donald trump speaking there are just after we have seen the results of course that he has had a resounding victory, as we said, there in iowa. see his family on stage, many of his supporters there in the audience as well. i want to get your take on what we are seeing. we haven't seen much yet on policy, but we did see donald trump say the other candidates, nikki haley, ron desantis, with a good job. he desantis, with a good “ob. he said the desantis, with a good job. he: said they did a desantis, with a good job. ho: said they did a good job, they are all having a good time together. what we emily project in these early moments of this speech is a gracious magnanimous attitude of somebody who is in their own mind, so clearly the front runner that he can afford to say all of these very nice things to people. we have seen

speeches in the past where donald trump can come out fire and brimstone, on a revenge tour, criticising people, that is not what we are saying tonight and that is because he is very clearly not that concerned, he had a very good night and is trying to project he's floating above all these other people and he can afford to them on the head and say, good job, to them on the head and say, goodjob, guys, to them on the head and say, good job, guys, you to them on the head and say, goodjob, guys, you are to them on the head and say, good job, guys, you are very smart people. is good job, guys, you are very smart people-— good job, guys, you are very smart people. is that what we are seeing? — smart people. is that what we are seeing? we _ smart people. is that what we are seeing? we order - smart people. is that what we are seeing? we order saw - smart people. is that what we | are seeing? we order saw him pivoting towards the general election. he pivoting towards the general election. ., pivoting towards the general election. . ., ., ., election. he gave all of them a cookie! good _ election. he gave all of them a cookie! good job _ election. he gave all of them a cookie! good job for _ election. he gave all of them a cookie! good job for your - cookie! good job for your performance today. i think the president— performance today. i think the president knows how to be magnanimous. we have seen from time _ magnanimous. we have seen from time to— magnanimous. we have seen from time to time he displays that and often to the lay in amazement of the media. it is easy— amazement of the media. it is easy to — amazement of the media. it is easy to be _ amazement of the media. it is easy to be magnanimous when you have a _ easy to be magnanimous when you have a 30 — easy to be magnanimous when you have a 30 point lead and most likely— have a 30 point lead and most likely the _ have a 30 point lead and most likely the republican nominee, but we — likely the republican nominee, but we would have seen this from — but we would have seen this from him _ but we would have seen this from him regardless. he gets

into these understanding the moment is him and always attacking and he recognises that— attacking and he recognises that today is one of those moments. it is certainly a comeback. he is now the frontrunner of the republican nomination and, quite frankly, the frontrunner with the whole thing _ the frontrunner with the whole thing in — the frontrunner with the whole thing in november. we the frontrunner with the whole thing in november.— the frontrunner with the whole thing in november. we of course was listening _ thing in november. we of course was listening to _ thing in november. we of course was listening to a _ thing in november. we of course was listening to a part _ thing in november. we of course was listening to a part of- thing in november. we of course was listening to a part of what i was listening to a part of what donald trump is saying, doling out thank youse and honouring the people who had been there and supported him as well. you think we will see him now from new hampshire onwards focus on the general election? i new hampshire onwards focus on the general election?— the general election? i think he has been _ the general election? i think he has been focused - the general election? i think he has been focused on - the general election? i think he has been focused on the | he has been focused on the general— he has been focused on the general election. _ he has been focused on the general election. we - he has been focused on the general election. we were. general election. we were talking _ general election. we were talking during _ general election. we were talking during the - general election. we were talking during the break, i talking during the break, donald _ talking during the break, donald trump _ talking during the break, donald trump spen - talking during the break, donald trump spen the i talking during the break, - donald trump spen the least amount— donald trump spen the least amount of— donald trump spen the least amount of time _ donald trump spen the least amount of time in _ donald trump spen the least amount of time in iowa - donald trump spen the least amount of time in iowa than| donald trump spen the least. amount of time in iowa than any other— amount of time in iowa than any other republican _ amount of time in iowa than any other republican candidate. - amount of time in iowa than any other republican candidate. i i other republican candidate. i think— other republican candidate. i think he _ other republican candidate. i think he wru— other republican candidate. i think he will look— other republican candidate. i think he will look at - other republican candidate. i think he will look at that - other republican candidate. i think he will look at that as l other republican candidate. i think he will look at that as a| think he will look at that as a new— think he will look at that as a new strategy _ think he will look at that as a new strategy that _ think he will look at that as a new strategy that will - think he will look at that as a new strategy that will allow i new strategy that will allow him — new strategy that will allow him to _ new strategy that will allow him to create _ new strategy that will allow him to create somewhat. new strategy that will allow him to create somewhat of| new strategy that will allowi him to create somewhat of a general— him to create somewhat of a general election— him to create somewhat of a l general election atmosphere. let's — general election atmosphere. let's not _ general election atmosphere. let's not negate _ general election atmosphere. let's not negate what - general election atmosphere. let's not negate what he - general election atmosphere. let's not negate what he did. | let's not negate what he did. he came _ let's not negate what he did. he came in _ let's not negate what he did. he came in and _ let's not negate what he did. he came in and made -

let's not negate what he did. he came in and made history| let's not negate what he did. . he came in and made history in my old — he came in and made history in my old home _ he came in and made history in my old home state _ he came in and made history in my old home state of— he came in and made history in my old home state of iowa - he came in and made history in my old home state of iowa with his caucus _ my old home state of iowa with his caucus victory _ my old home state of iowa with his caucus victory tonight, - my old home state of iowa with his caucus victory tonight, and i his caucus victory tonight, and i his caucus victory tonight, and i do _ his caucus victory tonight, and i do believe _ his caucus victory tonight, and i do believe that— his caucus victory tonight, and i do believe that set _ his caucus victory tonight, and i do believe that set him - his caucus victory tonight, and i do believe that set him up. his caucus victory tonight, and i do believe that set him up to be the — i do believe that set him up to be the nominee _ i do believe that set him up to be the nominee as— i do believe that set him up to be the nominee as we - i do believe that set him up to be the nominee as we roll- i do believe that set him up toj be the nominee as we roll into new_ be the nominee as we roll into new hampshire, _ be the nominee as we roll into new hampshire, south - be the nominee as we roll into. new hampshire, south carolina, and in _ new hampshire, south carolina, and in super— new hampshire, south carolina, and in super tuesday. _ new hampshire, south carolina, and in super tuesday. this- new hampshire, south carolina, and in super tuesday.— and in super tuesday. this is a historic victory _ and in super tuesday. this is a historic victory for _ and in super tuesday. this is a historic victory for donald - historic victory for donald trump and what we have seen so far, we will see the final results, but you said earlier iowa is not representative of the country. but what you think this tells looking forward? the wa he this tells looking forward? the way he has _ this tells looking forward? iie way he has handled this this tells looking forward? iij: way he has handled this is that he has just been laser focused on the general, he even opened his remarks by calling upon rep publicans —— republicans, independents and democrats, being a head nod to unifying the country, which has been one of the criticisms that people have about him being a divisive personality. but he also, by not showing up to the debates, thatis not showing up to the debates, that is a classic thing that you do if you are away ahead. you don't provide a platform to

your opponents by showing up to debate them or even mentioning their names, so this whole time he has been running as if he is running in a general, and this is consistent with that. he will be seeing donald trump in the election, biden, sending out a — the election, biden, sending out a text to followers or supporters after the caucus results _ supporters after the caucus results were projected tonight, even _ results were projected tonight, even before donald trump started _ even before donald trump started speaking, saying donald trump _ started speaking, saying donald trump is, — started speaking, saying donald trump is, i am started speaking, saying donald trump is, lam paraphrasing, looking — trump is, lam paraphrasing, looking like the frontrunner. interestingly, avenues newsom also sent— interestingly, avenues newsom also sent one _ interestingly, avenues newsom also sent one hour. _ interestingly, avenues newsom also sent one hour. i— interestingly, avenues newsom also sent one hour.— also sent one hour. i have that e-mail from — also sent one hour. i have that e-mail from the _ also sent one hour. i have that e-mail from the biden - e—mail from the biden administration, e—mailfrom the biden administration, campaign by the same he is the frontrunner for the 24 same he is the frontrunner for the 2a presidential nomination. we need to work even harder now. we can expect violent acts, endless lies and massive spending. this will be an important thing for the biden

administration, willing to focus squarely on donald trump. as i have been, this entire time. i think if they were looking at a general election campaign against nikki haley, early polling would tell them to be very worried. more worried than the race against donald trump. everybody remembers 2016 where everyone thought donald trump would be the weakest republican rival to go the weakest republican rival to 9° up the weakest republican rival to go up against hillary clinton and we all know what happened. trump is running against himself and in many ways biden is running against himself in his own legacy also. this is really not a contest where you will sway voters because your message is so compelling and you were unknown before. everybody knows both of these guys and they both are carrying some baggage and some strengths. there is a difference between the two. i am not trying to equate them with one another either in

terms of their legacy or their policies or their vulnerabilities, but that is just the reality. you've got a race that nationally the majority of people across the part of them spectrum are alike, really, that is a contest? that is shaping up to be the contest on both sides. that is a great point. let's take a look at some more numbers with helen are standing by at the wall. we will look at everything coming in. take it away. everything coming in. take it awa . ~ . everything coming in. take it awa .~ . ' , everything coming in. take it awa .~ ., j , ., everything coming in. take it awa. ., _ ., ., away. we have 9296 now of the recincts away. we have 9296 now of the precincts counted. _ away. we have 9296 now of the precincts counted. we - away. we have 9296 now of the precincts counted. we are - precincts counted. we are starting to get a much more reliable picture of what is going on. the 99 counties largely looking red. let's take a look at the overall standing when it comes to the state. donald trump in first position, no surprises, but a strong share of the vote with 92% of the votes tallied. 50.9%. remember when we talk about this with donald trump on the campaign, what would a strong victory look like? his campaign saying, aiming for50%

victory look like? his campaign saying, aiming for 50% and above, current indications so he is on for that. the big question of the 90s we will be coming in second place? this isn't the final result but what we can see here is that ron desantis did push ahead, 21.3% of the vote. we were talking about the second and third positions, what would a strong showing look like? it had to be 20% and above. aiming for 25%. you can see there is a big gap between these two candidates, between these two candidates, between donald trump and ron desantis. a quick estimation, something like 28 percentage points, go back to 1988 when bob dole set the record and that margin was 12.8%. essentially doubling it. that shows how resounding donald trump on my performance appears to be tonight. then nikki haley of course appears to have lost some of that momentum that we saw in the polls of course, the poles are not predictors, they are snapshot but she is there

on 19% as opposed to the 20% when she went into this. so how has donald trump been doing this? what have been the strong areas for him? we go to one of his strongest showing that we have seen of the night, performing particularly well with white conservative voters. 74%, really quite incredible and that is ten out of 11 precincts counted there. ron desantis coming in in second position as well. if we look at some of the counties that tend to vote increasingly populist, blue—collar workers, what really has become donald trump's bread and butter, we can see once again 56%, if we hop over here to clinton, again, a lot of votes in this area because that is also important, and again, 69%, particularly strong showing. let's talk about northwest iowa then, the inventor —— evangelical votes, religious conservatives. it was interesting. the question was where we going to see people

rallying around one single candidate or was it going to split? what we have seen here is in lyon, donald trump on top. indications that it would be ron desantis, ultimately it has gone to donald trump and that will be disappointing for the dissenters campaign because theyjust put the dissenters campaign because they just put so the dissenters campaign because theyjust put so much energy into that evangelical vote. that is a snapshot event —— is a pub that has happened and we can cross over now to train in des moines in iowa.- can cross over now to train in des moines in iowa. thank you. we have been _ des moines in iowa. thank you. we have been talking _ des moines in iowa. thank you. we have been talking all - des moines in iowa. thank you. we have been talking all day i we have been talking all day about the impact that the weather might have on turnout, and i can tell you that we have and i can tell you that we have a statement from the chairman of the republican party in iowa, and he is saying that early indications say they are on track that 100,000 iowans took part in caucuses tonight. just to put that in contracts, in 2016, the last time there was a competitive republican primary caucus here, 187,000

people turned out in 2016 and 122,000 turned out in 2012. a big spike for the first time that donald trump contested the caucuses here, but significantly down this year, not surprising with those extremely cold temperatures that have wrapped all around the state. let's take a closer look at the numbers tonight, and what it all means in the race for the republican nomination. a little earlier i spoke with a political pollster. the health warning that we only have a small proportion of precincts fully reported, but it looks like runaway for donald trump, that all of the poles before now had predicted. it all of the poles before now had redicted. , ., ., predicted. it is more than that. predicted. it is more than that- the _ predicted. it is more than that. the fact _ predicted. it is more than that. the fact that - predicted. it is more than that. the fact that he - predicted. it is more than that. the fact that he got| predicted. it is more than - that. the fact that he got 5096 that. the fact that he got 50% of the vote is exactly what he said he was going to do, argument that he used to try to push the other candidates out, that he was getting more votes and all of them combined. it looks like it may be the case, and if that holds, that is a

significant meaningful, measurable entry for the former president. in fact, measurable entry for the former president. infact, nikki haley is fighting with ron desantis for second place that even, it means ron desantis can continue, nikki haley can say she came up. it is not the second—place finish that she wanted and i think it is enough ron desantis to continue. looking at the map as well as we were seeing earlier, and some of those counties where nikki haley is doing very well, it is less conservative areas, more urban areas, so perhaps there are independence, non— partyline individuals are registered as republican tonight to vote against president trump.- tonight to vote against president trump. that is correct. _ president trump. that is correct, but _ president trump. that is correct, but it _ president trump. that is correct, but it is - president trump. that is correct, but it is good i president trump. that is i correct, but it is good news for her ever to say she is the best general election candidate. let's face it, if you win iowa, they help to go forward in a republican primary but it doesn't make you president. herargument, her president. her argument, her biggest president. herargument, her biggest argument is that she is more likely than any of the other candidates to defeatjoe

other candidates to defeat joe biden other candidates to defeatjoe biden in november and based on the polling she was showing, the polling she was showing, the results showing, that case has been made that she does best in those areas that republicans need to win to beach joe republicans need to win to beachjoe biden. republicans need to win to beach joe biden.— republicans need to win to beach joe biden. that argument would hold _ beach joe biden. that argument would hold for— beach joe biden. that argument would hold for new _ beach joe biden. that argument would hold for new hampshire i would hold for new hampshire where the focus will be tomorrow where there is a high number of independence there as well. ., , _ well. one of the things i say is that iowa _ well. one of the things i say is that iowa makes - well. one of the things i say is that iowa makes a - well. one of the things i say - is that iowa makes a statement, new hampshire makes a difference, and i think that she is going to be reasonably happy with the results, although i do know she was hoping that she would have a little bit of space between her and ron desantis. it doesn't look with the first boats coming in. look with the first boats coming in-_ look with the first boats cominu in. ., ., , coming in. from the votes we are seeing — coming in. from the votes we are seeing coming _ coming in. from the votes we are seeing coming in - coming in. from the votes we are seeing coming in and - coming in. from the votes we are seeing coming in and it i coming in. from the votes we are seeing coming in and it is| are seeing coming in and it is just a small amount at this point, would it be the end of the road for vivek singha ramaswamy.— the road for vivek singha ramaswam . «j ., ., ramaswamy. -- vivek ramaswamy? i saw him ramaswamy. -- vivek ramaswamy? i saw him today. _ ramaswamy. -- vivek ramaswamy? i saw him today, and _ ramaswamy. -- vivek ramaswamy? i saw him today, and i _ ramaswamy. -- vivek ramaswamy? i saw him today, and i talked - i saw him today, and i talked to him. i don't believe he is going to pull out because he doesn't depend on other donors. it is in this to send a message

notjust to campaign. sol think that he stays at least in new hampshire.— think that he stays at least in new hampshire. some of the counties where _ new hampshire. some of the counties where donald i new hampshire. some of the j counties where donald trump new hampshire. some of the i counties where donald trump has done particularly well in iowa in the early votes that we see, in the early votes that we see, in the early votes that we see, in the ones that are 60, 70%, we see vivek ramaswamy do very well, betterthan we see vivek ramaswamy do very well, better than to satisfy nikki haley in some cases. is there an argument that he might be part of the trump movement moving forward, vice president or something of that?— or something of that? first, it is a smart _ or something of that? first, it is a smart observation - or something of that? first, it | is a smart observation because it is clear that if vivek ramaswamy was not in his race, his votes would go to donald trump, and of course i saw teachers being distributed today protect trump, vote vivek ramaswamy. but still, seven, eight, 9%, nota ramaswamy. but still, seven, eight, 9%, not a significant amount. but if he should drop out, it is good news for donald trump. out, it is good news for donald trum -. ., .,

that can understand and how is manoeuvring himself? he will have the toughest explanation over the next 26 hours, why people should donate to him, whether they should volunteer, going forward, it does look like he will be in second place when it is also done but it is not a strong second—place finish. in the end, it is about money, volunteers, a message, and i think that nikki haley has the stronger case in those three going forward. the real story tonight is a trump was like a massive victory. i5 tonight is a trump was like a massive victory.— massive victory. is it all on academic _ massive victory. is it all on academic conversation i massive victory. is it all on l academic conversation about massive victory. is it all on i academic conversation about who come second, looking out the victory? come second, looking out the victo ? ., , victory? not necessarily because _ victory? not necessarily because you _ victory? not necessarily because you have i victory? not necessarily because you have to i victory? not necessarily i because you have to gather everything to the wind and there are surprises there. the point you made earlier, new hampshire allows independence to vote because there is no real democratic primary, they will move into the republican primary and nikki haley gets

the lion's share of independent bows. ., ., ~j the lion's share of independent bows. ., ., «j ., the lion's share of independent bows. ., ,, , bows. looking at the issues that voters _ bows. looking at the issues that voters are _ bows. looking at the issues that voters are reporting i bows. looking at the issues that voters are reporting to | that voters are reporting to pollsters on their way into the caucus as being their biggest motivators, immigration was number one, followed by economy, values, having the same values of the candidates. i use arises the immigration up there? ., , there? no, i here every day. i said in my _ there? no, i here every day. i said in my polling. _ there? no, i here every day. i said in my polling. i _ there? no, i here every day. i said in my polling. i do i there? no, i here every day. i said in my polling. i do want l said in my polling. i do want to correct for the view was it is not the economy, it is affordability. they say economy but in america, just as in the uk, people cannot afford food, fuel, housing, healthcare. the candidate that does the best job communicating, addressing affordability, it matters so much to voters in a new hampshire. iowa voters are values reaches a new hampshire are economic voters. that is why affordability will determine who wins in new hampshire. determine who wins in new hampshire-— determine who wins in new hamshire. j ., , hampshire. another interesting oint is a hampshire. another interesting point is a majority _ hampshire. another interesting point is a majority of _ hampshire. another interesting point is a majority of those i point is a majority of those who voted for donald trump

tonight in those caucuses of those who were surveys, the majority of them said they thought thatjoe biden had not won the 2020 election. will they be a problem in this campaign? it they be a problem in this campaign?— they be a problem in this camaiun? , ., , campaign? it will be a problem in the general _ campaign? it will be a problem in the general election - campaign? it will be a problemj in the general election because trump will continue to say that and will continue to fire up the base, he has a high turnout, i went to eight caucuses tonight. in every single one, all of the trump voters, 100% are definitely voting for him and he walked in the door. for haley anna ron desantis, it was not definite. they are willing to hear other arguments. the trump base is a heart of stone, i know that they will participate no matter what the weather, no matter what the weather, no matter what the weather, no matter what the challenge. however, if that becomes a focal point in the general election, it will be to donald trump's detriment. we do not have turnout figures yet as to whether this no and those freezing temperatures outside will have an impact, but it seems that for a race

that appeared to be a done deal, voters are engaged in a fired up by it. deal, voters are engaged in a fired no by it— fired up by it. they are participating _ fired up by it. they are participating ever i fired up by it. they are - participating ever republicans, they have had enough, they want something different. democrats, they are hoping the republicans might nominate someone other than trump. i think the next nine months will be very difficult for a lot of people. this was a negative campaign, a vicious campaign, with personal attacks all the way through. my projection is it will get even worse. most of your viewers are uk residents. do not follow us. you will have your election, probably in october, do not echo what we do in november. it is not good for your country. that was a pollster speaking to me a little earlier. we do not have turnout figures but if you moments ago we have now heard from the chairman of republican party of iowa that it looks like about 100,000 people

turned out and significantly 187,000 that turned out in 2016. the former president, the victor tonight, 2016. the former president, the victortonight, donald 2016. the former president, the victor tonight, donald trump has finished his victory speech as we were crossed to a north america editor sarah smith who has been listening to that speech. a more calm oscillatory tone we heard from donald trump there. less of the firebrands? he has just left the stage. it was an interesting speech because he started off basically sounding as though he had wrapped up the whole of the republican nomination. you would think he was now officially the republican presidential candidates, the way he came onstage, thinking notjust the way he came onstage, thinking not just the voters of way he came onstage, thinking notjust the voters of iowa be congratulating nikki haley and ron desantis are taking part, congratulating vivek ramaswamy for having made a splash in the contest. these are the things you see when you have actually won, not when you have just won

one heat in a long round. it is clear that donald trump thinks the size of his victory here means he will be able to calamia nomination are pretty early this process, maybe long before super tuesday on 5 march. clearly that is what he wants to do. most of his speech was spent talking about what he would do if he does get back into the white house. what he has told us before, he will drill, he will open up more oil drilling in the us, promising to seal the southern us border and stop the levels of immigration that are coming in at the moment. promising to restore the american economy, as he criticises the level of inflation. attacking the presidentjoe biden, who because he was president in the history of america, much more than he attacks his rivals in this republican nomination race. when you listen to him, you would think we are already in the general election. he

sees his opponent asjoe biden, not any of the republican rivals who were still running against him for this nomination.- against him for this nomination. ~ ., ., nomination. we have not hit ours nomination. we have not hit yours from _ nomination. we have not hit yours from a _ nomination. we have not hit yours from a nikki _ nomination. we have not hit yours from a nikki haley i nomination. we have not hit yours from a nikki haley or| nomination. we have not hit i yours from a nikki haley or ron desantis tonight. will they be happy, sad about their performance?- happy, sad about their performance? happy, sad about their erformance? ~ ., ., ., performance? we have not heard from them _ performance? we have not heard from them and _ performance? we have not heard from them and we _ performance? we have not heard from them and we do _ performance? we have not heard from them and we do not - from them and we do not exactly know what the result is. the result for second place is important. it will determine how they go wood for the rest of this race. it is clear they are very far behind the donald trump. if he has taken over half the votes here in our ui, that makes it look very difficult for either of them to catch up with him at any point in this process. i imagine they will be consolidating where they go from here. that might be the polite way of putting it. ,,., ., ,,

it. indeed. sarah smith there. thank you _ it. indeed. sarah smith there. thank you for _ it. indeed. sarah smith there. thank you forjoining - it. indeed. sarah smith there. thank you forjoining us. i it. indeed. sarah smith there. thank you forjoining us. backj thank you forjoining us. back to you in dc. great conversations there. i want to go back to a panel because we do have an interesting note. different reports coming around our confirming that vivek ramaswamy is suspending his campaign for the republican nomination. we saw this news just coming through and we have heard the former president commending him. for making a splash, if you will, in this context. the last numbers we saw, he was in around 7.8%, so clearly not a particularly strong showing in a fourth—place, sorry that perhaps it was clear to him and his team that moving onto the next primary in new hampshire would not make much sense. timing does matter. this is more likely than not to give an extra boost to former president trump because of vivek ramaswamy was the sort of campaign as a mini me to him. not really going that hard

after donald trump either, one might say, on the stage. by getting out now, he is able to stay in trouble's good graces, not spending all his own money, which is when a lot of in recent days. this is the first want to go but i think given how close this race was second and third will be, we may clarify a little bit, the next few hours, the gap between ron desantis and nikki haley, but obviously they were both go want to new hampshire. brian, let's aet want to new hampshire. brian, let's get your — want to new hampshire. brian, let's get your take _ want to new hampshire. brian, let's get your take on _ want to new hampshire. brian, let's get your take on a - want to new hampshire. brian, let's get your take on a vivek. let's get your take on a vivek ramaswamy suspending his campaign, according to the reports we are seeing now. will this mean that his voters are likely to cast their ballots for donald trump? absolutely. the answer _ for donald trump? absolutely. the answer is _ for donald trump? absolutely. the answer is yes, _ for donald trump? absolutely. the answer is yes, they - for donald trump? absolutely. the answer is yes, they will i for donald trump? absolutely. the answer is yes, they will go j the answer is yes, they will go towards a president trump. soberly large amounts of ron desantis voters, they will go to trump. the numbers that you

see, this space, it is creeping well above 50%. for vivek ramaswamy, he ran, spent a lot of money, my guess is he will get a podcast out of this. he will keep annoying everyone for a long time to come. we will keep annoying everyone for a long time to come.— a long time to come. we will listen him — a long time to come. we will listen him right— a long time to come. we will listen him right now. - a long time to come. we will listen him right now. as i a long time to come. we will listen him right now. as for. listen him right now. as for this movement, _ listen him right now. as for this movement, founded i listen him right now. as for| this movement, founded on truth, — this movement, founded on truth, america first, we're getting _ truth, america first, we're getting started. it is not and today, — getting started. it is not and today, it _ getting started. it is not and today, it begins today. just getting _ today, it begins today. just getting warmed up. we're not going — getting warmed up. we're not going anywhere. it getting warmed up. we're not going anywhere-— going anywhere. it looks like we have lost _ going anywhere. it looks like we have lost a _ going anywhere. it looks like we have lost a bit _ going anywhere. it looks like we have lost a bit of- going anywhere. it looks like we have lost a bit of the i we have lost a bit of the signal there. we had the core message there from vivek ramaswamy, they are not going anywhere, they are not giving up anywhere, they are not giving up but they are suspending his campaign. nota up but they are suspending his campaign. not a surprise, looking at these results. it is not a surprise _ looking at these results. it is not a surprise at _ looking at these results. it is not a surprise at all. - looking at these results. it is not a surprise at all. we i looking at these results. it 3 not a surprise at all. we have now figured out why donald

trump was so confirmatory of a vivek ramaswamy in his speech. i think his wife looked sad on the stage but looking at their bank account over the next few months, he will be very happy because what it would have taken, what it would have taken for vivek ramaswamy to compete in new hampshire and south carolina in the super tuesday would have been an immense amount of personal investment. this is more of an economic decision by him and his family and a decision on how to save face and move onto the next phase, which is to really rally around trump, to still stay relevant. around trump, to still stay relevant-— relevant. interesting point there. just _ relevant. interesting point there. just therapy - relevant. interesting point there. just therapy the i relevant. interesting point i there. just therapy the news, we have heard that vivek ramaswamy is suspending his campaign. he has been speaking in iowa. he was at around 7.7, 7.8%, so clearly not the numbers his team are hoping for. he is a big supporter of the former presidents and we will see what he plans to do over the coming year. to

support donald trump and his campaign. we will take a little break. we have a lot more to come, there is more to discuss and we were listening to some of the other candidates as well. please see tunes, we're going back to iowa in a little bit. hello. this week is certainly shaping up to bring some of the coldest and snowiest weather of the winter so far. we started the week on monday in the grip of this arctic air. cold northerly winds feeding frequent wintry showers, especially into northern, eastern, and some western parts of the uk. tuesday remains cold — snow and ice will cause problems for some. but a slight shift in the wind direction, more of a west or northwesterly wind, so that means not as many showers across eastern parts, more showers out towards the west. and then, this little frontal system here, this is going to generate a mix of rain, sleet and snow across the northern half of the uk. ice as we move through the morning, that could cause some quite poor travelling conditions.

and then, we will see frequent snow showers in northern scotland. this area of snowfall in central and southern scotland, this could bring snow to quite low levels. for northern ireland and for northern england, at low levels, it may be that we see some rain and some sleet mixing in — most of the significant snow over high ground — but there could be some travel disruption, say, over the high—level routes in the pennines. to the south of that, well, mostly dry with some spells of crisp winter sunshine. maybe not quite as cold in southern counties of england or south wales, whereas parts of scotland will stay below freezing all day long. and in scotland, we'll see further snowfall during tuesday evening. it could cause some disruption for the rush hour. mix of rain, sleet, and snow across parts of northern england into wales. the odd snow shower pushing down across the midlands. a very, very cold night indeed, some places likely to get to —10 in the highlands. now for wednesday, we're keeping a close eye on this area of low pressure, which is moving its way in towards france, but it mayjust graze this weather system close enough to southern counties of england to bring the risk of a bit of light sleet

and snow here. we'll keep an eye on that one for you. the channel islands seeing rain, maybe something wintry mixing in. elsewhere, sunny spells, a scattering of wintry showers, a very cold—feeling day. many places around or, perhaps in some spots, below freezing even through the afternoon. now that weather system moves away. thursday will bring further snow showers. high pressure builds in for friday, so it is a drier end to the week for many. and then, we start to develop a westerly wind. atlantic weather systems will bring wind and rain, and something milder as we head into the weekend, so this cold spell may not last all that long.

hello. i'm caitriona perry. you are watching a bbc news special coverage of the iowa caucus. we are live in des moines, iowa. trump is the projected winner as the final numbers trickle in. he has already delivered his speech, his victory speech. we have heard from the florida governor ron desantis in the last immune. he hasjust finished speaking, our partners cbs projecting he has finished a close second to the former

south carolina governor nikki haley, both ron desantis and nikki haley have been in a tight battle all night for the votes of the caucus —goers here in iowa, but ron desantis coming in second. joining me now is our very own carl nasman. ron desantis ron desa ntis has just ron desantis hasjust finished speaking. talk us through the last few minutes there.- speaking. talk us through the last few minutes there. yes, we 'ust last few minutes there. yes, we just heard _ last few minutes there. yes, we just heard from _ last few minutes there. yes, we just heard from the _ last few minutes there. yes, we just heard from the governor, . just heard from the governor, ron desantis, taking the stage just moments ago to address his supporters. just moments ago to address his supporters-_ did - just moments ago to address his supporters-_ did playi supporters. inaudible. did play some blame _ supporters. inaudible. did play some blame on _ supporters. inaudible. did play some blame on the _ supporters. inaudible. did play some blame on the media, i supporters. inaudible. did play| some blame on the media, there is anger among the campaign that this race was called so early on for donald trump, but desantis saying no—one has been attacked as much as we have in iowa, saying...

attacked as much as we have in iowa. saying---_ attacked as much as we have in iowa, saying..._ wej iowa, saying... inaudible. we know ron _ iowa, saying... inaudible. we know ron desantis _ iowa, saying... inaudible. we know ron desantis said - iowa, saying... inaudible. we know ron desantis said he i iowa, saying... inaudible. we know ron desantis said he will| know ron desantis said he will be on his way to south carolina to be campaigning there before heading onto new hampshire. there has been some speculation about what a second or third place finish might do for ron desantis, whether he would back down or the campaign is not saying any sign of that. we now know it is likely to be a second—place campaign finish here in iowa. then the governor and in his speech tonight saying, i will not make any excuses and i am not going down. . excuses and i am not going down. j , j excuses and i am not going down-_ even i excuses and i am not going down._ even aj down. . inaudible. even a coule down. . inaudible. even a couple of — down. . inaudible. even a couple of months - down. . inaudible. even a couple of months ago, i down. . inaudible. even a. couple of months ago, setting expectations... couple of months ago, setting expectations. . ._ couple of months ago, setting expectations... inaudible after seeinu expectations... inaudible after seeing that _ expectations... inaudible after

seeing that lead _ expectations... inaudible after seeing that lead from _ expectations... inaudible after seeing that lead from donald i seeing that lead from donald trump. a, seeing that lead from donald trum -. j , seeing that lead from donald trum. j , ., trump. a very commanding victory indeed. _ trump. a very commanding victory indeed. votes i trump. a very commanding victory indeed. votes are i trump. a very commanding l victory indeed. votes are still being counted but a second—place finish, that will be good enough for the ron desantis campaign to keep going and every warm welcome. they might be happy enough... inaudible. thank you for that, thank you for doing your best. let's go over to the studio in dc. i want to get your reaction to what we saw there was not ron desantis now officially projected as the second—place in this iowa caucus. what are your thoughts? i in this iowa caucus. what are your thoughts?— in this iowa caucus. what are your thoughts? i thought he was wearin: your thoughts? i thought he was wearing earplugs _ your thoughts? i thought he was wearing earplugs because - your thoughts? i thought he was wearing earplugs because that i wearing earplugs because that was insane and it has been like that all night? during a break, i was trying to figure out whether tonight is more of a disappointment for ron desantis or nikki haley. yes, for ron

desantis it is better for him to have come in second then have come in third. we are talking about a couple of points. look at his investment in iowa. 99 counties, the evangelical vote. in iowa. 99 counties, the evangelicalvote. he in iowa. 99 counties, the evangelical vote. he basically has no game in new hampshire. iowa was everything. even if he could not exist donald trump, he was hoping to get much closer than he did. he will put a good spin on this and say, i am in second, i deserve to go forward, but i think it is actually a pretty deflating finish for him.— actually a pretty deflating finish for him. actually, the finish for him. actually, the finish was _ finish for him. actually, the finish was a _ finish for him. actually, the finish was a bit _ finish for him. actually, the finish was a bit -- - finish for him. actually, the finish was a bit -- a - finish for him. actually, the finish was a bit -- a lot - finish was a bit —— a lot better_ finish was a bit —— a lot better than i think people were expecting for him going into the night. i do believe the early— the night. i do believe the early call for president trump hindered _ early call for president trump hindered governor desantis's ability— hindered governor desantis's ability to capitalise on being the comeback kid. i think a lot of folks, — the comeback kid. i think a lot of folks, including my original prediction, had nikki haley to come — prediction, had nikki haley to come in — prediction, had nikki haley to come in second and you look at the turn — come in second and you look at the turn numbers. it is the

hex — the turn numbers. it is the key. 180,000 plus in 2016, and that is_ key. 180,000 plus in 2016, and that is a — key. 180,000 plus in 2016, and that is a huge drop off that i don't — that is a huge drop off that i don't think a lot of folks expected, but it shows again the strength and intensity of donald — the strength and intensity of donald trump's supporters. it donald trump's supporters. it could donald trump's supporters. could be donald trump's supporters. it could be down to the weather of course but grassman, you said it is all about expectations. i think if you are looking at it from — think if you are looking at it from an_ think if you are looking at it from an expectation - from an expectation perspective, - from an expectation . perspective, obviously from an expectation - perspective, obviously the former— perspective, obviously the former president - perspective, obviously the former president was - perspective, obviously the . former president was a clear winneh _ former president was a clear winneh he _ former president was a clear winner. he exceeded - winner. he exceeded expectations, - winner. he exceeded i expectations, declared winner. he exceeded - expectations, declared the winner. he exceeded _ expectations, declared the 50% mark_ expectations, declared the 50% mark and — expectations, declared the 50% mark and the _ expectations, declared the 50% mark and the other— expectations, declared the 50% mark and the other two - mark and the other two candidates, _ mark and the other two candidates, nikki- mark and the other two candidates, nikki haley mark and the other two - candidates, nikki haley and desantis _ candidates, nikki haley and desantis came _ candidates, nikki haley and desantis came close - candidates, nikki haley andi desantis came close enough candidates, nikki haley and - desantis came close enough that they can — desantis came close enough that they can kind _ desantis came close enough that they can kind of— desantis came close enough that they can kind of went _ desantis came close enough that they can kind of went to - desantis came close enough that they can kind of went to the - they can kind of went to the weather, _ they can kind of went to the weather, calling _ they can kind of went to the weather, calling the - they can kind of went to the weather, calling the race i they can kind of went to the weather, calling the race a i weather, calling the race a little — weather, calling the race a little early. _ weather, calling the race a little early, point - weather, calling the race a little early, point to - weather, calling the race a little early, point to the i little early, point to the tower— little early, point to the lower turnout _ little early, point to the lower turnout to - little early, point to the i lower turnout to continue little early, point to the - lower turnout to continue to give — lower turnout to continue to give them _ lower turnout to continue to give them a _ lower turnout to continue to give them a reason - lower turnout to continue to give them a reason to - lower turnout to continue to give them a reason to go i lower turnout to continue to. give them a reason to go into new— give them a reason to go into new hampshire. _ give them a reason to go into new hampshire. [— give them a reason to go into new hampshire.— new hampshire. i think nikki hale is new hampshire. i think nikki haley is speaking _ new hampshire. i think nikki haley is speaking and - new hampshire. i think nikki haley is speaking and we - new hampshire. i think nikkil haley is speaking and we want to hear what she has to say so let's listen in.— let's listen in. when you go throu~h let's listen in. when you go through something - let's listen in. when you go through something like - let's listen in. when you go l through something like this, you can't do it unless you have a faith. and god is so good. applause.

a faith. and god is so good. applause-— a faith. and god is so good. applause. ~ ., ., ., applause. and i want to say to my husband _ applause. and i want to say to my husband who _ applause. and i want to say to my husband who is _ applause. and i want to say to my husband who is deployed, i applause. and | want to say to i my husband who is deployed, who i know may or may not be watching this right now, michael, i love you. applause and what keeps me going as i know we sleep under the same stars. i know we sleep under the same stars. ., ., ._ ., ., stars. i want to say to rena and josh — stars. i want to say to rena and josh and _ stars. i want to say to rena and josh and malin, - stars. i want to say to rena and josh and malin, i - stars. i want to say to rena and josh and malin, i am i stars. i want to say to rena | and josh and malin, i am so proud of you. and josh and malin, i am so proud of yon-— and josh and malin, i am so proud of you-— and josh and malin, i am so i proud of you._ the proud of you. applause. the best 'ob proud of you. applause. the best job i _ proud of you. applause. the best job i will _ proud of you. applause. the best job i will always - proud of you. applause. the best job i will always have - proud of you. applause. the best job i will always have is. bestjob i will always have is being your mum. applausemac. i want to thank my parents who are at home every day they reminded us how blessed we were to live in america. i want to thank my sweet brother who came out here and was caucusing for me. �* . ,, out here and was caucusing for me. �* �* . a out here and was caucusing for me-_ a good - out here and was caucusing for me._ a good desert me. applause. a good desert storm veteran _

me. applause. a good desert storm veteran and _ me. applause. a good desert storm veteran and i _ me. applause. a good desert storm veteran and i want - me. applause. a good desert storm veteran and i want to i storm veteran and i want to thank my other siblings, i want to thank michael's parents who have been fantastic along the way as well. you can't do this without the strength of your family. i want to congratulate president trump on his winter night. we have had —— on his win tonight. we have had an amazing 11 months here in the hawkeye state. i came to iowa early and often and i kept coming back. even though the cold weather is brutal. but the kindness of iowans will never be lost on me. you are faithful, patriotic and hard—working americans, and i will forever be grateful for the time that we have. applause. psi the time that we have. applause.— the time that we have. applause. �* ., , applause. at one point in this campaign. _ applause. at one point in this

campaign. there _ applause. at one point in this campaign, there were - applause. at one point in this campaign, there were 14 - applause. at one point in this campaign, there were 14 of- applause. at one point in this campaign, there were 14 of us| campaign, there were 14 of us running. i was at 2% in the polls. but tonight, iowa did what iowa always does so well. the pundits will analyse the results from every angle. we get that. but when you look at how we are doing, in new hampshire, in south carolina... and beyond... applause. ican i can safely say tonight iowa made this republican primary a 2—person race. applause.

2-person race. applause. ., ., applause. tonight... tonight i will be applause. tonight. .. tonight i will be back— applause. tonight... tonight i will be back in _ applause. tonight... tonight i will be back in the _ applause. tonight... tonight i will be back in the great - applause. tonight... tonight i will be back in the great state i will be back in the great state of new hampshire. and the question before americans is now very clear. do you want more of the same? or you want a new generation of conservative leadership?— new generation of conservative leadershi - ? �* �* ,, ~ , we are watching via nikki haley, the former governor, at her watch party where it looks like she has finished third, a couple of counters and pre— things still to declare but it

looks like she is on course to finish third. the victory for donald trump and i am joined by a close friend of his here in des moines. republican congressman ronny jackson from texas. in position to donald trump when he was last in the white house as well. what do you think? i house as well. what do you think? ., . , ., think? i am excited. it is what i exoected _ think? i am excited. it is what i exoected to _ think? i am excited. it is what i expected to happen - think? i am excited. it is what i expected to happen and - think? i am excited. it is what i expected to happen and we i i expected to happen and we were glad we are where we are, but it wasn't win. i don't think anybody has ever won iowa by this margin. he has won a... ted cruz when the last time. in 2016. , , ., ., ted cruz when the last time. in 2016. ,,. ., .._ 2016. this is a great victory for his campaign. _ 2016. this is a great victory for his campaign. i - 2016. this is a great victory for his campaign. i think. 2016. this is a great victory. for his campaign. i think this really sets the stage for what is to come next and i think it will be old donald trump from this —— all donald trump from this —— all donald trump from this point forward. this -- all donald trump from this point forward.— this point forward. what is it that iowans _ this point forward. what is it that iowans like _ this point forward. what is it that iowans like about - this point forward. what is it that iowans like about him? | that iowans like about him? they were looking at their lives three years ago when comparing to what they have now

when i realise that life is a lot better under donald trump thanjoe biden. the economy was better, crime and things of that nature were much less in most of the major cities around the country than they are right now, and overseas i think that our allies respected us and our adversaries feared us, which is not the case anymore. you can see that on a daily basis with what is going on withjoe biden. i don't think ukraine and russia would be in war right now had donald trump been in office and i don't think what is going on in israel right now would be happening with donald trump in office. i suppose we can't say that for sure, but ron desantis has been saying over the last few days in particular that there were a lot of campaign promises that donald trump failed to deliver on. you are from texas, he said he would build this wall and he didn't. he he would build this wall and he didn't. , ., didn't. he shut the water down. look at the _ didn't. he shut the water down. look at the border _ didn't. he shut the water down. look at the border under - didn't. he shut the water down. | look at the border under donald trump versus the border now stop he did so many things that shut the water down. it is not about the wall. we need to

finish the war. the reigning mexico, title 42, the negotiations he had with the triangle countries, all these things that biden had undermined day one in office but were trump policies, that is why we have an issue of the border that we have right now. donald trump fixed to the border and he was going to continue to finish that wall, but then joe continue to finish that wall, but thenjoe biden showed up and i don't know exactly why he did it, but i think a lot of it wasjust because was just because he went through and look at every executive order that president trump put in place and he undid it on day one stop a lot of those were related to our board and that is why we have the water crisis that we have now. were physician to donald trump when he was at the white house. there is a lot of talk about the age ofjoe biden and donald trump. is he fit to be president again? di trump. is he fit to be president again? trump. is he fit to be resident auain? .., , president again? of course. it is not an _ president again? of course. it is not an age _ president again? of course. it is not an age issue. _ president again? of course. it is not an age issue. look - president again? of course. it is not an age issue. look at i is not an age issue. look at donald trump, he can get up and he can talk impromptu without

any written assistance or a teleprompter or anything. he can go off—the—cuff and talk for hours and make perfect sense. joe biden struggles to read the teleprompter for a few minutes. i read the teleprompter for a few minutes. . . r' read the teleprompter for a few minutes. ., ., ,~' ., ,., minutes. i am asking about donald trump. _ minutes. i am asking about donald trump. just - minutes. i am asking about donald trump. just staying | minutes. i am asking about - donald trump. just staying with donald trump. just staying with donald trump... it donald trump. just staying with donald trump. . ._ donald trump... it is not an ace donald trump... it is not an age issue — donald trump... it is not an age issue is _ donald trump... it is not an age issue is my _ donald trump... it is not an age issue is my point. - donald trump... it is not an age issue is my point. it - donald trump... it is not an age issue is my point. it is l age issue is my point. it is a cognitive ability. irate age issue is my point. it is a cognitive ability.— cognitive ability. we don't have any _ cognitive ability. we don't have any evidence - cognitive ability. we don't have any evidence of - cognitive ability. we don't - have any evidence of anything to do with presidentjoe biden... to do with president joe ihiden- - -_ to do with president joe biden... ~ , ., ., , biden... we should have. did i cognitive _ biden... we should have. did i cognitive test _ biden... we should have. did i cognitive test for _ biden... we should have. did i cognitive test for president - cognitive test for president trump when i was his position and i got up in front of the press and i defended that for one hour and 20 minutes. where is president biden's physician? have a lot of questions that need answers. they are hiding something. the position is not willing to come to the podium because it doesn't want to tell the truth about what is going on. we need transparency when it comes to the health of our president. a commander—in—chief, the head of state and is our chief executive and it is notjust the united states that is impacted by that, it is the

world. i think the whole world would like to have some transparency about the health of the president of the united states. ii of the president of the united states. ., ., ., states. if we move onto the next contest. _ states. if we move onto the next contest. we _ states. if we move onto the next contest. we will - states. if we move onto the next contest. we will get i states. if we move onto the i next contest. we will get into cars and trucks and planes and head onto new hampshire. what does that look like for donald trump? polls are showing nikki haley doing very well in improving, she did better here tonight than she thought she would. ,, ., , would. she might do better in new hampshire _ would. she might do better in new hampshire than - would. she might do better in new hampshire than she - would. she might do better in new hampshire than she did l would. she might do better in - new hampshire than she did here in iowa. donald trump will still win new hampshire, he will win south carolina, you will win south carolina, you will win south carolina, you will win nevada. by the time we are done with south carolina, it is over at that point. i think it is a done deal right now. i think he is going to be our nominee. taste now. i think he is going to be our nominee.— now. i think he is going to be our nominee. we will leave it there for— our nominee. we will leave it there for the _ our nominee. we will leave it there for the moment. - our nominee. we will leave it there for the moment. we i our nominee. we will leave it| there for the moment. we will see what happens next. a very close friend of donald trump, thank you forjoining us this evening. it is over to you in the studio. i want to bring in another voice now. to discuss that, joining me now

is lanhee chen, fellow at the hoover institution at stanford university, and campaign director for mitt romney's 2012 presidential campaign. always good to have you with us. let's get your reaction to what we have seen in iowa tonight, this incredibly strong victory for donald trump. ron desantis coming in second and nikki haley a close third? donald trump finishing over 50%, obviously makes it an incredibly good night for him but you have a fraction opposition as well. you have ron desantis unbelievably ron desa ntis unbelievably beating ron desantis unbelievably beating expectations, after people left him for dead and here he is now demonstrating that he could finish second in iowa, the challenge for ron desantis as there was not much of a pathway going forward. the big beneficiary of this evening has to be donald trump, again, the fracturing of the opposition, but also his own performance which is why a lot of people felt were circumstances they were uncertain with the weather in

iowa being what it was and obviously with every iowa caucus, you never know what exactly will have a trump being able to perform as he did, it was a huge boost to him and his campaign. i was a huge boost to him and his camaiun. . was a huge boost to him and his campaign-— campaign. i also want to ask ou campaign. i also want to ask you about — campaign. i also want to ask you about your _ campaign. i also want to ask you about your perspective l campaign. i also want to ask. you about your perspective on foreign policy in this caucus as well because we have already seen from donald trump and we just heard from one of his close friends as well in a congress, represented jackson, that of donald trump had been president they would not be a war in ukraine, there would be no attack on israel. what do you make of these statements and how that resonates with republican voters? it resonates with them- _ republican voters? it resonates with them. they _ republican voters? it resonates with them. they look _ republican voters? it resonates with them. they look at - republican voters? it resonates with them. they look at what i republican voters? it resonates with them. they look at what is| with them. they look at what is going on in the world and i do not think is limited to republican voters, independent and democrats little what is happening at the world and they have questions. the bigger revelation has been the degree to which we have seen a fracturing within the republican party, points of view with respect to issues

like ukraine, continued funding for the effort in ukraine, what is happening, obviously in the middle east and israel in gaza and the party with respect to the ukraine issue and how you are seeing, in some cases, more divisions in republicans and even republicans and democrats. that is something i am curious to see how that will play out as its primary develops over the next couple of weeks or does not, i suppose, the next couple of weeks or does not, isuppose, if the next couple of weeks or does not, i suppose, if trump can close quickly. his position will come into factory position for the party. it does represent a sizeable and significant splits on a foreign policy issues that may not be centre stage in the us but they are a great concern in the uk and europe and around the world. , ., , ., world. interesting to get your persoective — world. interesting to get your persoective as _ world. interesting to get your perspective as always. - world. interesting to get your perspective as always. thank| perspective as always. thank you so much. we want to give the last word before we go for the last word before we go for the ev to our panel as well. i want to add we did get a

statement, rathera want to add we did get a statement, rather a tweet, from the current president, joe biden, saying it looks like donald trump run iowa, he is a clear frontrunner, donald trump run iowa, he is a clearfrontrunner, but here is the thing, the election will always be you and me versus extreme republicans, it was true yesterday and it will be true yesterday and it will be true tomorrow. joe true yesterday and it will be true tomorrow.— true tomorrow. joe biden embracing _ true tomorrow. joe biden embracing the _ true tomorrow. joe biden embracing the prospect l true tomorrow. joe biden | embracing the prospect of donald trump as the nominee because what is his alternative? that is where the signs are pointing. the general election campaign has begun, and began months ago, but you are seeing both trump and biden move towards this general election. the ronnyjackson election. the ronny jackson interview election. the ronnyjackson interview was interesting. a bit of revised history, i remember life in america three years ago, it was not awesome. nonetheless, i think that will be the argument that we see building notjust from the building not just from the former building notjust from the former president from his

surrogates. the idea that america and ijust republicans but independent and democrats will look back on their life at some point during the trouble era and think stuff do not cost as much money then. i was not worried about how much stuff is going to cost. some of these other issues, and a soldier that will be built, looking back on those days. affordability. brian, let's get your take, what you will be looking to for new hampshire. truthfully, i will look to see what ron desantis, what use front desantis tries to make next week. he exceeded expectations tonight. everyone had predicted him to come in third in the final days and the strength of his organisation, but he made the decision and wanted to go to the south carolina. getting in second now in iowa, it gives him some legs and he what he can take advantage of. i said this in

the beginning, this is all for nothing, trump is, at this point, the republican nominee. we have known for a while. this is the first test that cements it. we properly have two more content that matter in these ways are trump looks like he will win those as well. it is amazing what 40 mile can do, when people wrote his political a bit wary and today they talk about him making history and i properly make history in new hampshire. he had an amazing turnaround.— turnaround. what will you be lookinu turnaround. what will you be looking out _ turnaround. what will you be looking out for _ turnaround. what will you be looking out for as _ turnaround. what will you be looking out for as we - turnaround. what will you be looking out for as we move i looking out for as we move ahead, congressmen? t0 looking out for as we move ahead, congressmen? to see if ron desantis _ ahead, congressmen? to see if ron desantis actually _ ahead, congressmen? to see if ron desantis actually gets - ahead, congressmen? to see if ron desantis actually gets a i ron desantis actually gets a bump. we can talk about these results all night, but the big winner is donald trump. he beats nikki haley by 32 points. just recently, in an are you a poll, nikki haley was neck with him. does that translate going

into hampshire? we will have to watch out for that. if nikki haley loses momentum into hampshire to ron desantis, because he happened to beat her by less than 2000 votes, as of now, but he still has second place, that will knock out nikki haley in the early cc has a chance. nikki haley in the early cc has a chance-— a chance. new hampshire, of course. a chance. new hampshire, of course- we — a chance. new hampshire, of course. we do _ a chance. new hampshire, of course. we do have - a chance. new hampshire, of course. we do have that i a chance. new hampshire, of| course. we do have that tweet from joe biden if we can pull it up. we don't have sorry, i thought we did. we were just talking about what president biden is looking at when he is looking ahead to the general election race against donald trump, the former president. what do you think his strategy will be moving forward and facing off directly against trump? facing off directly against trum - ? , ~ ., , facing off directly against trum? , ~ ., , ., trump? this the white house and president biden _ trump? this the white house and president biden believe _ trump? this the white house and president biden believe that i president biden believe that just because they beat trump onceit just because they beat trump once it means that he is going to beat best suited to beat him again. they cannot take that for granted. the world is a

different place than it was four years ago. now they are running on their records whereas four years ago, president biden was running on the prospect of what his administration will look like. now the american people know what it is and they have something to compare it to with the trump administration. he needs to get out there and make his case and especially to independence, and we know it comes as we have a list wednesdays. hopefully his us to channel his energies there. hour channel his energies there. how do ou channel his energies there. how do you think _ channel his energies there. how do you think we _ channel his energies there. how do you think we will _ channel his energies there. how do you think we will see him do that as he faces off directly against donald trump? what we have seen him _ against donald trump? what we have seen him testify _ against donald trump? what we have seen him testify is - against donald trump? what we have seen him testify is how- against donald trump? what we have seen him testify is how to l have seen him testify is how to balance — have seen him testify is how to balance his own case for himsetf— balance his own case for himself and his own accomplishments against the dangers that he would say about donald _ dangers that he would say about donald trump, against 6 january. _ donald trump, against 6 january, against the rule of law, _ january, against the rule of law, chaos that could ensue. what — law, chaos that could ensue. what the _ law, chaos that could ensue. what the abiding campaign understands is that if you just

try to — understands is that if you just try to run _ understands is that if you just try to run a campaign against donald — try to run a campaign against donald trump, it will not work and that— donald trump, it will not work and thatjoe biden is vulnerable on issues that — but they— vulnerable on issues that — but they cannot not go after trump's _ they cannot not go after trump's weaknesses. if the primary— trump's weaknesses. if the primary case for why it cannot be trump _ primary case for why it cannot be trump is if you go with trump _ be trump is if you go with trump american democracy is taken — trump american democracy is taken or— trump american democracy is taken or a _ trump american democracy is taken or a change of the country— taken or a change of the country forever or treading into— country forever or treading into dangerous territory, he has — into dangerous territory, he has to — into dangerous territory, he has to make that case. if the only— has to make that case. if the only makes a case, he will not inspire — only makes a case, he will not inspire people to vote for him. it is _ inspire people to vote for him. it is how— inspire people to vote for him. it is how you balance it, and we will— it is how you balance it, and we will watch him test that day today — we will watch him test that day toda . ~ . . , we will watch him test that day toda. . ., m, today. we certainly are. brian, if ou today. we certainly are. brian, if you are _ today. we certainly are. brian, if you are on — today. we certainly are. brian, if you are on the _ today. we certainly are. brian, if you are on the donald i today. we certainly are. brian, j if you are on the donald trump campaign right now, is anyone worried about the fact that he is going to this trial in new york tomorrow and will have 70 more legal commitments and appearances orders is all, as we have seen until now, feed into his campaign? it we have seen until now, feed into his campaign?— into his campaign? it is all merged- — into his campaign? it is all merged. his _ into his campaign? it is all merged. his criminal- into his campaign? it is all i merged. his criminal proceeding under legal proceedings, now part of the campaign. we see him now attending hearings he does not need to attend because

he knows all the cameras will be on him and they will be talking about him the first 15 minutes of every hour during the whole day. it is an opportunity for him. there has been no harm in him going to these proceedings so far, in fact, his numbers are better as histories shows up to more and more of them. i will be surprised if it has no effect. it has made him stronger. that is a great _ it has made him stronger. that is a great know— it has made him stronger. that is a great know to _ it has made him stronger. that is a great know to close - it has made him stronger. that is a great know to close a panel on. thank you so much it is an interesting conversation with all of you on a number of issues and it is the first contest in the republican nomination and we will see many more to come obviously but it was an interesting one to follow with your voices. thank you so much to my panel. i want to go back to iowa as well. i want to get your final thoughts, as you have been watching all of history on the ground there? figs watching all of history on the ground there?— ground there? as a former congressman _ ground there? as a former congressman said - ground there? as a former congressman said early i ground there? as a former congressman said early in |

ground there? as a former. congressman said early in the programme, iowans and ijust picked corn, the pic residents are based on the results tonight, and as they tweet from joe biden shows, seems to be the reader donald trump is now, to be the nominee for the republican party. as it could see over my shoulder, the map of iowa, he has one with 95% of the district council, he has won all the one of those three things, one so far going to nikki haley. the rest of the donald trump. 90% declared, 51% for donald trump, so beating the 50% target he set for himself. ron desantis coming second on 21%, nikki haley on 19% and, of course, that news that vivek ramaswamy has suspended his campaign. from here, all of the candidates packing up, the roadshow, the campaign they have had here in iowa. moving onto new hampshire do it all again next week. we will bring you all of that hero

bbc news as we always do. to say with us, plenty more to talk about. from all the team, thank you for watching. take care. hello. this week is certainly shaping up to bring some of the coldest and snowiest weather of the winter so far. we started the week on monday in the grip of this arctic air. cold northerly winds feeding frequent wintry showers, especially into northern, eastern, and some western parts of the uk. tuesday remains cold — snow and ice will cause problems for some. but a slight shift in the wind direction, more of a west or northwesterly wind, so that means not as many showers across eastern parts, more showers out towards the west. and then, this little frontal system here, this is going to generate a mix of rain, sleet and snow across the northern half of the uk. ice as we move through the morning, that could cause some quite poor travelling conditions. and then, we will see frequent snow showers in northern scotland. this area of snowfall

in central and southern scotland, this could bring snow to quite low levels. for northern ireland and for northern england, at low levels, it may be that we see some rain and some sleet mixing in — most of the significant snow over high ground — but there could be some travel disruption, say, over the high—level routes in the pennines. to the south of that, well, mostly dry with some spells of crisp winter sunshine. maybe not quite as cold in southern counties of england or south wales, whereas parts of scotland will stay below freezing all day long. and in scotland, we'll see further snowfall during tuesday evening. it could cause some disruption for the rush hour. mix of rain, sleet, and snow across parts of northern england into wales. the odd snow shower pushing down across the midlands. a very, very cold night indeed, some places likely to get to —10 in the highlands. now for wednesday, we're keeping a close eye on this area of low pressure, which is moving its way in towards france, but it mayjust graze this weather system close enough to southern counties of england to bring the risk of a bit of light sleet and snow here. we'll keep an eye on that one for you. the channel islands

seeing rain, maybe something wintry mixing in. elsewhere, sunny spells, a scattering of wintry showers, a very cold—feeling day. many places around or, perhaps in some spots, below freezing even through the afternoon. now that weather system moves away. thursday will bring further snow showers. high pressure builds in for friday, so it is a drier end to the week for many. and then, we start to develop a westerly wind. atlantic weather systems will bring wind and rain, and something milder as we head into the weekend, so this cold spell may not last all that long.

live from london, this is bbc news. donald trump wins the iowa caucus — cementing himself as the frontrunner for the 2024 republican presidential nomination. i really think this is time now for everybody around the country to come together. we ought to come together whether it is republican or democrat. i'm caitriona perry in des moines and i'll be bringing you all the latest reaction to the iowa race and what it might mean for the november election. a director at fujitsu is to face mps over the post office scandal that led to what's called the biggest miscarriage

ofjustice in uk history. and succession, beef and the bear win big at this year's emmy awards. we'll be live in los angeles. hello, i'm sally bundock. a very busy programme. donald trump has begun the republican race for the white house in pole position, winning about half of all votes cast in iowa's party caucuses. the former president beat the florida governor, ron desantis, and the former un ambassador, nikki haley. cbs is projecting desantis will finish second in iowa in a very tight race with haley. speaking in the last hour, mr trump thanked supporters, and urged the country to come together to "straighten out the world".