live from washington, this is bbc news. after donald trump's landslide win in iowa, all eyes turn to new hampshire for round two in the republican presidential primaries. as nikki haley and ron desantis bicker over which of them has the best chance of beating donald trump to the nomination, we will hear from asa hutchinson, who tried and failed to take on the former president. and as primary season heats up, we'll take a look at how the issue of abortion rights could take centre stage this november. hello, i'm carl nasman. welcome to this special program on the us presidential primaries. after a freezing cold start to the 2024 election season in iowa this week, the race for the republican nominations will heat up on tuesday when new hampshire voters

take to the polls in the first pprimary take to the polls in the first primary of the 2024 election cycle. tuesday's republican primary will test former president donald trump's front—runner status, after his landslide victory in iowa. and former governor of south carolina nikki haley is looking to establish herself as the main rival to mr trump, with a strong showing in the granite state. after finishing a close third behind ron desantis in iowa, nikki haley has been making her pitch to voters. things are tough right now. you do not have to return on the news to know how tough it is. you fill it in the grocery store, you feel it in at the gas station, your mortgage payment, everything that we have to pay has gone up. it is amazing to me howjoe biden can say to you, we have a great economy. and we are supposed to

believe it. it is amazing how donald trump does the same thing and tells you things and just thinks you are going to believe them. donald trump has also been on the campaign trail, in new hampshire, touting his big win and making it clear who he thinks his main rival is in the state. we just left iowa and now we are going to soon be leaving new hampshire with a big... i think a big victory. we have to wind in november but we have to wind in november but we have to wind coming up. think of it, next tuesday we have to wind and we have to wind in a resounding fashion. i said in iowa, they got so sick and tired of me, we have to win by big numbers. if we win by a close race does not set an example. i vote for nikki haley is a vote forjoe biden and the democratic congress. because thatis democratic congress. because that is what is going to happen. well, afterfinishing second in iowa, florida governor ron desantis is looking past new hampshire,

instead focusing most of his efforts on nikki haley's home state of south carolina. but before he heads south, he wanted to stress to voters that he is still in the race. we had a little tussle in iowa and people were saying, like, unless you finish in the top two, then no—one has a chance to go on beyond that and people like nikki haley's team, you have to be second they said, to go on and i finished second. she didn't. i mean, that is just the reality, you know. there will be two fewer candidates in new hampshire than there were for this week's caucuses. vivek ramaswamy ended his campaign as the iowa counties were still counting the votes. he very quickly threw his support behind donald trump. and, asa hutchinson has also suspending his campaign after receiving just 191 votes — that's point 2% of the total cast. but unlike mr ramaswamy, he is yet to endorse a candidate. earlier i spoke with the former arkansas governor

about his campaign and what he is watching for as we head to new hampshire. governor, you have now officially suspended your campaign for president. why do you think your message did not resonate with republicans? well, it was a tough message that we need to go in a different direction to donald trump and obviously in iowa he has a lot of support and they didn't like my message that much. i will say that in the end, they wanted to have one alternative to donald trump but i think it'll shifted toward nikki haley so she got a small amount out of that but it reduced significantly my vote totals and so i did not have any choice but to drop out of it and i am chewing on the candidates as they compete in new hampshire and watching from the sidelines. i new hampshire and watching from the sidelines.— the sidelines. i want to talk about new _ the sidelines. i want to talk about new hampshire - the sidelines. i want to talk

about new hampshire in i the sidelines. i want to talk. about new hampshire in just the sidelines. i want to talk i about new hampshire in just a about new hampshire injust a second but first i want to circle back to the announcement you made after you suspended your campaign, you said in part, that you have sounded the warning to the gop about the risks in 202a. what are those risks in 202a. what are those risks you are referring to? fire risks you are referring to? are ou risks you are referring to? are you talking — risks you are referring to? sije you talking about risks you are referring to? fife you talking about donald trump? i am specifically talking about donald trump. he is our lead candidate for the nomination and he has already been found by a jewry to be guilty of sexual abuse, by a jewry to be guilty of sexualabuse, he by a jewry to be guilty of sexual abuse, he has been found in a civil case to have committed financial fraud. these are not starting for a candidate. —— jewry. these are not starting for a candidate. ——jewry. and so these are not starting for a candidate. —— jewry. and so we do not know what this next year is going to look like but all kinds of wanting size that he is a candidate fraught with challenges. ——jury is a candidate fraught with challenges. —— jury for is a candidate fraught with challenges. ——jury forsome challenges. —— jury for some but people challenges. ——jury forsome but people have adjusted to that and they believe in his

message of grievance and it is a powerful short—term message but it is not a long—term message of hope that our country needs so best to organise now. president biden, from a political standpoint, has taken us the wrong direction. he is not as conservative as i would like. we need to win this race but we need a candidate for president that has got a lot of issues to deal with end of this coming year. deal with end of this coming ear. s, , s, year. donald trump, with that su ort year. donald trump, with that support you — year. donald trump, with that support you mention, - year. donald trump, with that support you mention, he - year. donald trump, with that support you mention, he has. year. donald trump, with that| support you mention, he has a double—digit lead currently in new hampshire. from your personal experience and if this race, what does nikki haley or ron desantis need to do to try and close that gap on the former president?- and close that gap on the former president? well, they have tried — former president? well, they have tried everything. - former president? well, they have tried everything. at - former president? well, theyj have tried everything. at first they were soft on him and it didn't really go after donald trump and now they are being more aggressive and to me, that is what you have to do if you're going to showcase the

differences for a different nominee but you have got to... you have a lot of momentum right now behind donald trump after he came out of iowa successfully. all of the donors and political pundits wanted to have a get up race between the lead alternative and donald trump. they have that in new hampshire. nikki haley is there, it isjust hampshire. nikki haley is there, it is just a hampshire. nikki haley is there, it isjust a one—on—one contest. ron desantis has moved south, so here is the test. if we do not do well in terms of nikki haley doing well against donald trump, than it looks like it is going to be an early finish to this nomination contest. i finish to this nomination contest-— finish to this nomination contest. s, s, s, s, s, contest. i want to ask about a hypothetical _ contest. i want to ask about a hypothetical here, _ contest. i want to ask about a hypothetical here, it - contest. i want to ask about a hypothetical here, it doesn't i hypothetical here, it doesn't look likely that donald trump will be the eventual republican nominee unless something changes. if you were to be convicted in one of the four criminal cases he is currently facing, in your mind, which of the republican party do? first of all, the republican party do? first

of all. they — the republican party do? first of all, they should _ the republican party do? first of all, they should not - the republican party do? f "st of all, they should not support a convicted felon for president of the united states. i am one of the united states. i am one of the united states. i am one of the few candidates who has said i will not support that candidate if he is convicted of a serious felony and if these are serious felonies. the republican party needs to be aware that donald trump's strategy is to wrap this nomination up quickly before the storm clouds gather, before the storm clouds gather, before the convention, and then, if he is convicted, the republican party has an even tougher decision to make, do you stick with him or abandon him and go with him or abandon him and go with somebody else? none of this is a pretty scenario but right now it is set for a strategy that will lose in the file. i hope we can get it together and change the course but it is going to take some momentum coming out of new hampshire and it is going to take the electorate to rethink

their support for donald trump. we have seen in recent days a flurry of endorsements for donald trump, marco rubio being one, several members of congress now coming out and saying they would support mr trump for president. how much does that surprise you, that coalescing of support from the establishment around donald trump? establishment around donald trum - ? ~ establishment around donald trum? , , , , trump? well, it surprises me that it comes _ trump? well, it surprises me that it comes these _ trump? well, it surprises me that it comes these early - trump? well, it surprises me that it comes these early and | that it comes these early and it is disappointing. it reflects the hold that donald trump has notjust on the party operators but on the leadership and his threatening tone in the primary are going to have a contest in the re— election, that fear factor has influenced many to jump on the bandwagon and supporting, so that adds to his momentum and it adds to the challenge that nikki haley faces in new hampshire to

overcome that but new hampshire is very independent, new hampshire thinks through it all i am hopeful that they will go a different direction next tuesday. a different direction next tuesday-_ a different direction next tuesda . s, s, tuesday. governor, you are officially — tuesday. governor, you are officially out _ tuesday. governor, you are officially out of _ tuesday. governor, you are officially out of the - tuesday. governor, you are officially out of the race - tuesday. governor, you are l officially out of the race back home in arkansas. i'm going to ask you, is there a candidate you would endorse now in this race? i you would endorse now in this race? . ., you would endorse now in this race? u, , , , you would endorse now in this race? _, , , , s, race? i could see myself down the road endorsing _ race? i could see myself down the road endorsing an - the road endorsing an alternative to donald trump so i'm watching it. i have not made a decision yet and we will see how it goes. i have helped build the republican party in arkansas, i have always expected to support the republican nominee but this is a precarious time for the party and i think we can come out of this but we have got to move quickly away from donald trump's hold on the party to a more independent voice, a more conservative voice and a principled voice and we will see if we can do that but that

is what i will be focused on. governor, last question, you travelled the state of iowa, you braved those freezing temperatures like everybody else, what is your takeaway, having spoken with the voters across the state?— across the state? first of all, aives across the state? first of all, gives you _ across the state? first of all, gives you type _ across the state? first of all, gives you type in _ across the state? first of all, gives you type in democracy, j gives you type in democracy, theyjust gives you type in democracy, they just washington and gives you type in democracy, theyjust washington and our federal government to work better but they believe in our country and they really paid attention. they obviously came to a different conclusion than i did but we have to respect that and say this has been the honour of my life to run for president, to engage in the debate and i think it reflects the strength of our country and our people and i know, i was really impressed with so much of the foreign media that was there and how they are pulling for the state to get this right and i think that reflects the partnership we need for the future and the hope that we

have for respected countries. former governor of arkansas, former presidential candidate, asa hutchinson, thank you for joining us. asa hutchinson, thank you for joining us-_ joining us. good to be with ou. joining us. good to be with you- thank _ joining us. good to be with you. thank you. _ while donald trump has come out of iowa with a commanding lead, he still has serious challengers for the nomination. on the democratic side, presidentjoe biden is already looking ahead to november and the key issues he hopes to galvanise voters around. one of them is the contentious issue of abortion in the wake of the supreme court's landmark overturning of roe v wade last summer. abortion rights advocates have been on a winning streak at the polls, with voters in seven states choosing to improve and protect abortion access sincejune 2022. meanwhile here in washington, anti—abortion activists gathered on the snowy national mall on friday for the annual march for life. the rally has been held every january since 1973, when roe v wade guaranteed abortion access nationwide. our reporter holly honderick attended the march.

afterwards she caught up with my colleague, helena humphrey. great to have you with us. what was getting people out on a very cold snowy day? it was getting people out on a very cold snowy day?- very cold snowy day? it was tou~h. very cold snowy day? it was tough- the _ very cold snowy day? it was tough. the weather - very cold snowy day? it was tough. the weather was - very cold snowy day? it was i tough. the weather was tough and it has been a tough year for the pro—life movement, the anti—abortion movement. they had a landmark victory, overturning roe v. wade, and the ultimate goal is a national abortion ban and that has not happened. things have not gone to plan if you are one of those activists. they see political resistance. a poll strode 69% showed some access to abortion. that is huge. they have the election coming up this year and it will be tough climb for them going forward.- them going forward. when it comes to — them going forward. when it comes to abortion _ them going forward. when it comes to abortion rights, . them going forward. when it. comes to abortion rights, how big do you think this will be

as an election issue?- as an election issue? most --eole as an election issue? most people predicted _ as an election issue? most people predicted a - as an election issue? most| people predicted a horrible outcome for the democrats in 2022 but they over performed and republicans underperformed in both people on either side of the aisle was because of abortion. we are expecting a similar outcome in 2024 but republican pandas and pro—choice people say to me, it is going to get democrats engaged talking about abortion. republicans are scared to talk about because they are losing voters because of that. now, lets return to this upcoming tuesday's republican primary in new hampshire and focus in on the polling. as was the case in iowa, donald trump is comfortably ahead, polling at 52% in the latest survey from suffolk university for the boston globe. but look at the other two candidates. nikki haley is clearly in second with 35%, with ron desantis down at 6%, which could explain why the florida governor is shifting his attention to south carolina and writing up new hampshire as a loss. unique to new hampshire's election is the state's huge bloc of independent voters.

they represent nearly 40% of the electorate and can vote in the republican primary if they wish. to recap iowa and dig deeper on what to expect from new hampshire, i spoke with three political reporters — nick corasaniti from the new york times, david weigel from semafor, and colby itkowitz from the washington post. david and nick, thank you for being here, we have a lot to talk about, the republican nominating season is finally under way. nominating season is finally underway. david, iwant nominating season is finally under way. david, i want to start with ior. a dominating wind for the former president donald trump, ron desantis coming second, nikki haley a close third. what was your biggest take away from the iowa caucus results? my biggest take away from the iowa caucus results?— caucus results? my biggest thing was _ caucus results? my biggest thing was not _ caucus results? my biggest thing was not the - caucus results? my biggest thing was not the margin, l caucus results? my biggest| thing was not the margin, it caucus results? my biggest. thing was not the margin, it is who turned out and the answer is not that many republicans. turnout given the whole cold judgement the cold, maybe not surprising, was a little lower

than 2012 for republicans, lower than 2016, there were tens of thousands who did not show up this time. they showed up show up this time. they showed up in the largest numbers in des moines, iowa city, saw a lot of suburbanites who voted for mitt romney and george w bushin for mitt romney and george w bush in the past, people have left the republican party since donald trump became the figurehead and leader of the party, they did not turn out for caucuses. that tells you a lot about the different states, thatis lot about the different states, that is the kind of motor nikki haley needs to turnover her on tuesday. the trump base is much more loyal and active than the moderate republicans who might come out and be convinced to stop him. come out and be convinced to stop him-— stop him. next, what did you make of the _ stop him. next, what did you make of the turnout? - stop him. next, what did you make of the turnout? it - stop him. next, what did you make of the turnout? it was. make of the turnout? it was about 100,000 people, usually it is closer to 160 and 180. presidentjoe biden coming out and saying this was not as big and saying this was not as big and strong of a winter donald trump it might have appeared at first. is there anything to that argument? i

first. is there anything to that argument?— first. is there anything to that argument? i think dave's oint is that argument? i think dave's point is the — that argument? i think dave's point is the most _ that argument? i think dave's point is the most salient, - that argument? i think dave's point is the most salient, it i point is the most salient, it was — point is the most salient, it was really cold. and you are going — was really cold. and you are going to _ was really cold. and you are going to get the most diehard supporters who are willing to brave —20, —30 feels like temperatures and president trump — temperatures and president trump has the most fervent support _ trump has the most fervent support. his base is by far the most — support. his base is by far the most exciting, most dedicated, have _ most exciting, most dedicated, have been with him for years now— have been with him for years now and _ have been with him for years now and have proven that time and again _ now and have proven that time and again. especially in a republican primary i think the candidate with the strongest loyalists will see the biggest turnout. i also think polls show_ turnout. i also think polls show that iowa was not going to be competitive. it was a foregone conclusion that president trump was going to win, _ president trump was going to win, it — president trump was going to win, it was a question about how— win, it was a question about how much, and there was this spirited — how much, and there was this spirited fight for second place but it— spirited fight for second place but it was still going to be a pretty— but it was still going to be a pretty lower second place than within — pretty lower second place than within the single digits or anything. so that also can sometimes make voters feel like it well, _ sometimes make voters feel like it well, i— sometimes make voters feel like it well, i don't need to go out, _ it well, i don't need to go out, it— it well, i don't need to go out, it is— it well, i don't need to go out, it is already decided, trump _ out, it is already decided, trump will win by a lot. i think— trump will win by a lot. i think that could have had another— think that could have had another kind of depressing effect _ another kind of depressing effect on the overall turnout. david, — effect on the overall turnout. david, i— effect on the overall turnout. david, i know you are in new

hampshire, it is not as cold there as it is in iowa. what is there as it is in iowa. what is the mood on the ground, what are voters telling you, what kind of turnout are we expecting for the first primary in the republican race? the new hampshire _ in the republican race? the new hampshire secretary _ in the republican race? the new hampshire secretary of- in the republican race? the new hampshire secretary of state - hampshire secretary of state has predicted turnout similar to 2016 and that was a year when democrats had a primary that was not as competitive and ended up going to bernie sanders but a lot of independent voters could choose whether to vote democrat or republican, a good number chose the democratic primary. they are free now to vote in a republican one. in terms of motor enthusiasm and interest i am seeing people turning out for candidates, but less enthusiasm than i remember in some years when it looked like there was a real hunt, when trump was less popular with republicans, you never step in the same river twice, trump is much more republican —— popular with republican voters than he was in 2016 when he was

dramatically unpopular, when conservative republicans didn't trust him. you see a lot of conservative enthusiasm, you see a lot of voters deciding been —— between desantis and trump. ron desantis is much more conservative and nikki haley has spoken to a lot of independence who may be voted for amy klobuchar or pete buttigieg in the last memory, but now i voted for nikki haley. i am but now i voted for nikki haley. iam not but now i voted for nikki haley. i am not finding that much passionate nikki haley support even though the gorazd new hampshire is doing a good job as a surrogate for nikki haley, he has made the best argument for her. if you are conservative, moderate, democrat, you should want in the race, not donald trump, thatis the race, not donald trump, that is the pitch. —— the governor of new hampshire. that is the pitch. -- the governor of new hampshire. what about nikki _ governor of new hampshire. what about nikki haley, _ governor of new hampshire. what about nikki haley, is _ governor of new hampshire. what about nikki haley, is thisjust about nikki haley, is this just the phenomenon of nikki haley, we have seen her moving up in

the polls to nearly overtake ron desantis in iowa. what kind of chances she had in the granite state of potentially challenging donald trump, even finishing first? the challenging donald trump, even finishing first?— finishing first? the chances are probably _ finishing first? the chances are probably still _ finishing first? the chances are probably still pretty - finishing first? the chances| are probably still pretty slim for nikki _ are probably still pretty slim for nikki haley— are probably still pretty slim for nikki haley to _ are probably still pretty slim for nikki haley to come - are probably still pretty slim for nikki haley to come in l for nikki haley to come in first— for nikki haley to come in first in— for nikki haley to come in first in new— for nikki haley to come in first in new hampshire. . for nikki haley to come in i first in new hampshire. they are setting _ first in new hampshire. they are setting expectations- first in new hampshire. they are setting expectations thatj are setting expectations that way as— are setting expectations that way as welt _ are setting expectations that way as well. you _ are setting expectations that way as well. you will - are setting expectations that way as well. you will hear i are setting expectations that| way as well. you will hear the governor _ way as well. you will hear the governor saying _ way as well. you will hear the governor saying coming - way as well. you will hear the governor saying coming on. governor saying coming on strong _ governor saying coming on strong second _ governor saying coming on strong second is— governor saying coming on strong second is a - governor saying coming on strong second is a win, - governor saying coming onl strong second is a win, that governor saying coming on. strong second is a win, that is the expectations, _ strong second is a win, that is the expectations, but- strong second is a win, that is the expectations, but it - strong second is a win, that is the expectations, but it is - the expectations, but it is unclear— the expectations, but it is unclear what _ the expectations, but it is unclear what the - the expectations, but it is unclear what the parties l the expectations, but it is - unclear what the parties were her beyond _ unclear what the parties were her beyond new— unclear what the parties were her beyond new hampshire . unclear what the parties were her beyond new hampshire ifj her beyond new hampshire if that is— her beyond new hampshire if that is where _ her beyond new hampshire if that is where she _ her beyond new hampshire if that is where she ends - her beyond new hampshire if that is where she ends up. i. that is where she ends up. i have — that is where she ends up. i have been— that is where she ends up. i have been at _ that is where she ends up. i have been at nikki - that is where she ends up. i have been at nikki haley. that is where she ends up. i- have been at nikki haley events all this— have been at nikki haley events all this past— have been at nikki haley events all this past week _ have been at nikki haley events all this past week in _ have been at nikki haley events all this past week in new- all this past week in new hampshire _ all this past week in new hampshire and— all this past week in new hampshire and there - all this past week in new. hampshire and there were a all this past week in new- hampshire and there were a lot of independence _ hampshire and there were a lot of independence there, - hampshire and there were a lot of independence there, a - hampshire and there were a lot of independence there, a lot. hampshire and there were a lot of independence there, a lot of| of independence there, a lot of people — of independence there, a lot of people looking _ of independence there, a lot of people looking for— of independence there, a lot of people looking for an _ people looking for an alternative _ people looking for an alternative to - people looking for an alternative to both i people looking for an - alternative to both trump and biden — alternative to both trump and biden i— alternative to both trump and biden italk— alternative to both trump and biden. i talk to _ alternative to both trump and biden. i talk to people - alternative to both trump and biden. i talk to people who i alternative to both trump and| biden. i talk to people who are democrat— biden. i talk to people who are democrat leading _ biden. i talk to people who are democrat leading and - biden. i talk to people who are . democrat leading and republican leading _ democrat leading and republican leading but — democrat leading and republican leading but who _ democrat leading and republican leading but who want _ democrat leading and republican leading but who want someone . leading but who want someone new and — leading but who want someone new and young _ leading but who want someone new and young and _ leading but who want someone new and young and fresh. - leading but who want someone new and young and fresh. thel new and young and fresh. the issue — new and young and fresh. the issue for— new and young and fresh. the issue for nikki _ new and young and fresh. the issue for nikki haley's - new and young and fresh. the issue for nikki haley's are - issue for nikki haley's are there _ issue for nikki haley's are there enough— issue for nikki haley's are there enough of— issue for nikki haley's are there enough of those - issue for nikki haley's are i there enough of those voters issue for nikki haley's are - there enough of those voters to come _ there enough of those voters to come out — there enough of those voters to come out next _ there enough of those voters to come out next tuesday- there enough of those voters to come out next tuesday to - there enough of those voters to come out next tuesday to put l come out next tuesday to put her over— come out next tuesday to put her over the — come out next tuesday to put her over the edge. _ come out next tuesday to put her over the edge. there - come out next tuesday to put her over the edge. there is. come out next tuesday to put her over the edge. there is al her over the edge. there is a high — her over the edge. there is a high water— her over the edge. there is a high water mark _ her over the edge. there is a high water mark of _ her over the edge. there is a high water mark of 2012, - high water mark of 2012, republican— high water mark of 2012, republican primary- high water mark of 2012, - republican primary independence show— republican primary independence show up — republican primary independence show up and _ republican primary independence show up and voting, _ republican primary independence show up and voting, and - republican primary independence show up and voting, and if- republican primary independence show up and voting, and if she i show up and voting, and if she

doesn't — show up and voting, and if she doesn't hit _ show up and voting, and if she doesn't hit something - show up and voting, and if she doesn't hit something around. doesn't hit something around the 40- — doesn't hit something around the 40- 45%_ doesn't hit something around the 40— 45% of— doesn't hit something aroundj the 40— 45% of independents coming — the 40— 45% of independents coming out _ the 40— 45% of independents coming out and _ the 40— 45% of independents coming out and supporting i the 40— 45% of independentsl coming out and supporting her it is nearly— coming out and supporting her it is nearly impossible - coming out and supporting her it is nearly impossible for- coming out and supporting her it is nearly impossible for her. it is nearly impossible for her to surpass _ it is nearly impossible for her to surpass donald _ it is nearly impossible for her to surpass donald trump. - it is nearly impossible for her to surpass donald trump. nick, i will to surpass donald trump. nick, i will turn _ to surpass donald trump. nick, i will turn to _ to surpass donald trump. nick, i will turn to you _ to surpass donald trump. nick, i will turn to you now— to surpass donald trump. nick, i will turn to you now and - i will turn to you now and keeping with nikki haley, would a second—place finish be enough for her to move onto her home state of south carolina and really be a legitimate challenger to the former president? it challenger to the former president?— challenger to the former resident? . ., , , s, president? it certainly is hard to see building _ president? it certainly is hard to see building momentum i president? it certainly is hard i to see building momentum from president? it certainly is hard - to see building momentum from a second—place finish in new hampshire after a third—place finish — hampshire after a third—place finish in — hampshire after a third—place finish in iowa. it reminds me a bit of— finish in iowa. it reminds me a bit of senator marco rubio who tried _ bit of senator marco rubio who tried to — bit of senator marco rubio who tried to claim momentum when he was finishing well behind trump and ted — was finishing well behind trump and ted cruz in 2016 and never amounted _ and ted cruz in 2016 and never amounted to anything. and she is pulling — amounted to anything. and she is pulling behind president trump _ is pulling behind president trump in south carolina in the double — trump in south carolina in the double digits and senator tim scott — double digits and senator tim scott of — double digits and senator tim scott of south carolina, who nikki — scott of south carolina, who nikki haley appointed, just endorse donald trump. so it is hard _ endorse donald trump. so it is hard to— endorse donald trump. so it is hard to see _ endorse donald trump. so it is hard to see how she could building _ hard to see how she could building momentum offer second—place finish here in new hampshire. i was with her today and she — hampshire. i was with her today and she talked to reporters for the first—

and she talked to reporters for the first time in a long time, and— the first time in a long time, and was _ the first time in a long time, and was trying to say that she never. — and was trying to say that she never, was trying to set expectations here, she was trying — expectations here, she was trying to— expectations here, she was trying to win over voters and build — trying to win over voters and build the _ trying to win over voters and build the momentum and show it is time _ build the momentum and show it is time for— build the momentum and show it is time for generational change and trying to avoid any kind of expectation game that could slow — expectation game that could slow march into south carolina. it slow march into south carolina. it absent — slow march into south carolina. it absent a _ slow march into south carolina. it absent a victory here it is tough — it absent a victory here it is tough to— it absent a victory here it is tough to see how they could be any change in polling when there — any change in polling when there hasn't been in 11 months or so— there hasn't been in 11 months or so that _ there hasn't been in 11 months or so that she has been running _ or so that she has been running-— or so that she has been runninl. ., ., ., running. david, what about ron desantis? _ running. david, what about ron desantis? he _ running. david, what about ron desantis? he is _ running. david, what about ron desantis? he is of— running. david, what about ron desantis? he is of course - running. david, what about ron desantis? he is of course still. desantis? he is of course still running, looking back to iowa he lost all of 99 counties, he is polling in single digits in new hampshire. is there a positive case to be made now for the ron desantis campaign? it is tough in new hampshire, he opened his rally where i am tonight by talking about the big round he got in south carolina, he is talking about how he can tell the truth about nikki haley in the state, he can talk about her record being subpar compared to his, how she clashed with true

conservatives, he has already, in terms of setting expectations, they are very low in new hampshire and he is out to convince conservative voters not to go for her, which goes to trump's benefit. one thing you will see in the polling, with people who do tracking polls in the week before the primary, among registered republicans are as colby was saying, trump's dominance among voters, is 40—50 points. she needs to completely over perform with independents while getting some conservative votes. desantis is cutting into that and trying to prevent her from getting anything more than a sliver of them which in this state is much easierfor trump to win. state is much easier for trump to win. . state is much easier for trump to win. , ,., to win. given the polling numbers. _ to win. given the polling numbers, given - to win. given the polling numbers, given the - to win. given the polling i numbers, given the string to win. given the polling - numbers, given the string of endorsements we have seen from tim scott as well now endorsing donald trump, is it basically over? we don't want to say that of course, but is this the party donald trump going

forward? are we looking ahead now and the party seems to think so as well, to a rematch of trump and biden. it is hard to see it any _ of trump and biden. it is hard to see it any other _ of trump and biden. it is hard to see it any other way. - of trump and biden. it is hard to see it any other way. you l to see it any other way. you mentioned _ to see it any other way. you mentioned he _ to see it any other way. you mentioned he is— to see it any other way. you mentioned he is getting - to see it any other way. you mentioned he is getting all. mentioned he is getting all these — mentioned he is getting all these prime _ mentioned he is getting all these prime endorsements mentioned he is getting all- these prime endorsements from dop elected _ these prime endorsements from dop elected officials _ these prime endorsements from dop elected officials who - dop elected officials who basically _ dop elected officials who basically see _ dop elected officials who basically see the - dop elected officials who basically see the race - dop elected officials who basically see the race is i dop elected officials who - basically see the race is over. you _ basically see the race is over. you can— basically see the race is over. you canjust _ basically see the race is over. you canjust tell— basically see the race is over. you can just tell when - basically see the race is over. you can just tell when you - basically see the race is over. | you can just tell when you are on the — you can just tell when you are on the ground _ you can just tell when you are on the ground in— you can just tell when you are on the ground in new- you can just tell when you are - on the ground in new hampshire, the different— on the ground in new hampshire, the different level— on the ground in new hampshire, the different level of _ the different level of enthusiasm - the different level of enthusiasm for- the different level of i enthusiasm for donald the different level of - enthusiasm for donald trump. there — enthusiasm for donald trump. there is— enthusiasm for donald trump. there is some _ enthusiasm for donald trump. there is some polling - enthusiasm for donald trump. there is some polling out- enthusiasm for donald trump. there is some polling out that| there is some polling out that found — there is some polling out that found 90% _ there is some polling out that found 90% of _ there is some polling out that found 90% of the _ there is some polling out that found 90% of the people - there is some polling out that found 90% of the people that| found 90% of the people that are voting _ found 90% of the people that are voting for— found 90% of the people that are voting for trump - found 90% of the people that are voting for trump are - found 90% of the people that i are voting for trump are voting for trump _ are voting for trump are voting for trump as— are voting for trump are voting for trump as opposed - are voting for trump are voting for trump as opposed to - are voting for trump are voting for trump as opposed to with l for trump as opposed to with nikki — for trump as opposed to with nikki haley. _ for trump as opposed to with nikki haley, it— for trump as opposed to with nikki haley, it is _ for trump as opposed to with nikki haley, it is about- for trump as opposed to with nikki haley, it is about half. nikki haley, it is about half are voting _ nikki haley, it is about half are voting for— nikki haley, it is about half are voting for her- nikki haley, it is about half are voting for her but - nikki haley, it is about half are voting for her but the i are voting for her but the other— are voting for her but the other half— are voting for her but the other half who _ are voting for her but the other half who are - are voting for her but the other half who are voting j are voting for her but the i other half who are voting for her are — other half who are voting for herare doing _ other half who are voting for her are doing it— other half who are voting for her are doing it because - other half who are voting for her are doing it because it. other half who are voting for her are doing it because it isj her are doing it because it is an anti- _ her are doing it because it is an anti— trump _ her are doing it because it is an anti— trump vote. - her are doing it because it is an anti— trump vote. so - her are doing it because it is an anti— trump vote. so shej an anti— trump vote. so she doesn't _ an anti— trump vote. so she doesn't have _ an anti— trump vote. so she doesn't have that _ an anti— trump vote. so she doesn't have that same - an anti— trump vote. so shel doesn't have that same level an anti— trump vote. so she i doesn't have that same level of support— doesn't have that same level of support and _ doesn't have that same level of support and enthusiasm - doesn't have that same level of support and enthusiasm behind her that— support and enthusiasm behind her that donald _ support and enthusiasm behind her that donald trump - support and enthusiasm behind her that donald trump does. i. her that donald trump does. i was _ her that donald trump does. i was there _ her that donald trump does. i was there on— her that donald trump does. i was there on tuesday - her that donald trump does. i was there on tuesday when i her that donald trump does. i was there on tuesday when it| was there on tuesday when it was _ was there on tuesday when it was snowing _ was there on tuesday when it was snowing and _ was there on tuesday when it was snowing and sleeping - was there on tuesday when it was snowing and sleeping all| was snowing and sleeping all day and _ was snowing and sleeping all day and there _ was snowing and sleeping all day and there were - was snowing and sleeping all day and there were hundreds was snowing and sleeping all. day and there were hundreds of people — day and there were hundreds of people waiting _ day and there were hundreds of people waiting outside - day and there were hundreds of people waiting outside in - day and there were hundreds of people waiting outside in the i people waiting outside in the freezing _ people waiting outside in the freezing cold _ people waiting outside in the freezing cold to _ people waiting outside in the freezing cold to see - people waiting outside in the freezing cold to see donald l freezing cold to see donald trump _ freezing cold to see donald trump. that _ freezing cold to see donald trump. that is _ freezing cold to see donald trump. that is how- freezing cold to see donald . trump. that is how passionate his supporters _ trump. that is how passionate his supporters are _ trump. that is how passionate his supporters are and - trump. that is how passionate his supporters are and that. his supporters are and that really— his supporters are and that really drives— his supporters are and that really drives him _ his supporters are and that really drives him forward i his supporters are and thatj really drives him forward in new— really drives him forward in

new hampshire _ really drives him forward in new hampshire and - really drives him forward in new hampshire and will. really drives him forward in - new hampshire and will continue to drive _ new hampshire and will continue to drive him _ new hampshire and will continue to drive him through _ new hampshire and will continue to drive him through the - new hampshire and will continue to drive him through the rest - to drive him through the rest of the — to drive him through the rest of the primary— to drive him through the rest of the primary states. - to drive him through the rest of the primary states. i- to drive him through the rest of the primary states. i thinkj of the primary states. i think there — of the primary states. i think there is— of the primary states. i think there is a _ of the primary states. i think there is a very— of the primary states. i think there is a very good - of the primary states. i think there is a very good chance i there is a very good chance that— there is a very good chance that this _ there is a very good chance that this thing _ there is a very good chance that this thing could - there is a very good chance that this thing could wrap l there is a very good chance. that this thing could wrap up pretty— that this thing could wrap up pretty soon _ that this thing could wrap up pretty soon it _ that this thing could wrap up pretty soon-— that this thing could wrap up pretty soon. it is going to be an interesting _ pretty soon. it is going to be an interesting evening - pretty soon. it is going to be an interesting evening in - pretty soon. it is going to be | an interesting evening in new hampshire coming up. nick corasaniti, david weigel and colby itkowitz, thank you. all three of you. and we will of course have live coverage of the primaries over the coming days here on bbc news. we will be live on tuesday evening with expert analysis of all the twists and turns. and as the results come in, we'll bring you a special live broadcast from new hampshire. i hope you willjoin us for that. and as always, for more on the election and on all the other stories you can head to our website, bbc.com/news. journalist, voters and politicians will be hoping for some warmer weather very new

hampshire. more news coming up at the top of the hour. hello. i think we've seen the last of the widespread cold, frosty days. on friday, there was plenty of blue sky and wintry sunshine for many of us, as was the picture in dudley. but things are changing now. we've got milder air moving in in time for the weekend and also much windier weather. in fact, the met office have named storm isha. that's on the way, particularly late sunday into monday bringing severe gales and disruption to travel power perhaps is likely. but let's have a look at saturday. first off, this band of rain will affect central portions of the uk, perhaps southern scotland, northern england into wales as well. there'll be some sunshine across much of the midlands, southeast england and east anglia and some brighter skies across the north—east of scotland too. temperatures around six or seven in the east, but we're back into double figures towards the west — ten degrees for the likes of belfast and glasgow, for instance. later on saturday, heavier rain moves in from the west.

the winds are going to pick up as well. that system sweeps its way eastwards into the early hours of sunday, followed by more showers. it isn't going to be cold and frosty as we start sunday morning. we've got too much wind and the showers around from the word go. but let's take a look at sunday in a bit more detail because here is storm isha developing in the atlantic, sweeping its way in. just look at all these isobars across the uk between the warm front and the cold front. that's where we're going to see really strong gusts, perhaps 70 or 80 miles an hour. so for sunday, some rain initially for northern ireland sweeping into other western parts of britain. there could be a little bit of snow just across the very highest ground for scotland. still chilly air in the far north of scotland, but much milder, 12 or 13. but the real emphasis on sunday, particularly later, is going to be the strength of the wind. we've got amber warnings for storm isha across northern ireland, southern scotland, northern england, western parts of england and wales and the south—east as well. gusts 70, 80 miles an hour, enough to cause some significant disruption. big waves, i think, around the coast with this storm system as well. now heading on into monday, we've still got

the brisk winds at first. they should ease a little bit through the day, but it is going to be another really windy day with heavy showers rattling in across the north and the west. should be mostly dry, i think later on in the south, and the east, and temperatures somewhere between about six to 12 degrees for this stage — not quite as mild as sunday. but things are looking unsettled through the week ahead, often pretty windy, showery rain around at times those temperatures much milder than they have been. bye— bye.

voice—over: this is bbc news. we'll have the headlines for you at the top of the hour, which is straight after this programme. hello from venice beach, in california, home over the years to skateboarders, street performers, musicians, body—builders and movie stars. i'm tom brook and welcome to our award season lookahead. in today's programme, we look at the emerging oscars race in the run—up to the 96th annual academy awards. is it going to be the year that oppenheimer takes home the lion's share of trophies?

past lives — the dark horse candidate in the oscars race.