it doesn't matter. i can just say that there's never been a movement like this — make america great again — in the history of our country. chaos follows him, and we can't be a country in disarray and have a world on fire and go through four more years of chaos — because we won't survive it. people are been coming in to vote throughout the day here. - we should get an indication later tonight what the numbers - are stacking up to be. if it's a win for donald trump, well, he could have it all- wrapped up by the end of today. the first in the nation primary. but is this the last stand for the trump challengers? welcome to our special programme this evening. we will bring you all the news from new hampshire — just under five hours of voting to go — and we will be in north virginia this evening for the official start of president biden's re—election campaign. a stellar panel of guests with us tonight — miles taylor, formerly chief of staff

in donald trump's homeland security team, the former lieutenant governor of florida jennifer carroll, in new hampshire, the democrat strategist marie ann marsh, and in washington, the post's live anchor leigh ann caldwell. a very good evening. american leadership matters to us all. but perhaps never have the stakes been as high as they are in this 2024 election — two hot wars, in ukraine and the middle east, an accelerating climate crisis, and perhaps at stake the future of the transatlantic alliance. this is one of the most important dates in the electoral calendar — the republican primary in new hampshire — that will tell us so much about the shape of things to come and the mood of this american electorate. if you want four more years of donald trump, let me hear you scream. cheering if you want the race to be over tomorrow,

let me hear you scream! cheering you get a lot of democrats voting for her. you have a crazy election — "let's all get out and let's vote "for somebody that we want to run against." they want to run against because she's so easy to beat. if you look at the polls, biden beats her by a lot. we cannot have that. chaos follows him. you know i'm right. chaos follows him, and we can't be a country in disarray— and have a world on fire and go- through four more years of chaos — because we won't survive it. but unless nikki haley can pull off an almighty upset in new hampshire tonight, then it seems likely the 2020 rematch will be under way. we have a split screen moment for you this evening. in a second, we will speak tojulie zebrak, who is attending president biden's speech in northern virginia, and in concord, new hampshire, sumi sumaskanda, who will be there in two hours�* time with some of the first exit poll data of the evening. it is good to have you back with us

this evening. 84% of republicans think, from busy candidate best placed to peterjoe biden. can you see any way in which she wins tonight? in see any way in which she wins toniaht? . ., , , tonight? in which nikki haley wins toniuht, tonight? in which nikki haley wins tonight, christian? _ tonight? in which nikki haley wins tonight, christian? yeah. - tonight? in which nikki haley wins tonight, christian? yeah. can - tonight? in which nikki haley wins tonight, christian? yeah. can you| tonight, christian? yeah. can you see a way — tonight, christian? yeah. can you see a way she _ tonight, christian? yeah. can you see a way she wins _ tonight, christian? yeah. can you see a way she wins tonight? - tonight, christian? yeah. can you see a way she wins tonight? i - tonight, christian? yeah. can you. see a way she wins tonight? i have and asking — see a way she wins tonight? i have and asking that _ see a way she wins tonight? i have and asking that question _ see a way she wins tonight? i have and asking that question to - see a way she wins tonight? i have and asking that question to some i see a way she wins tonight? i have l and asking that question to some of the endless weaving speaking to, and quite prickly, when i use the word pathway, they say they were pathways perhaps too generous but if you stick to nikki haley's campaign and some of her surrogates, who been in contact with, they believe she has a very good chance for a strong showing tonight, and that is because they believe that the independent voters in this state will turn out for her and cast their ballots for her, and indeed the secretary of state here in new hampshire has said that this is likely going to be a record turnout in this presidential primary today. if that is the case and a good number of independence do turn out and decide to support governor nikki haley, then there is

a possibility that she could get close, but the way the polls are looking right now, you mentioned to some of them, christian, that does not look very likely, and we've been discussing the fact that her campaign has walked back some of those promises or aspirations, let's say, to land first in this potential primary. they are already talking about south carolina, and indeed in about south carolina, and indeed in a statement he put out today, christian, we saw them also looking ahead to super tuesday, saying, after super tuesday, we'll see where things land, so clearly want to perform well today and nikki haley, we saw her in the media this morning and also in that statement, saying, look, the media itself is ready to co—ordinate donald trump, but this is a democracy, voters have to cast their ballots first. all that being said, that pathway to some sort of victory for nikki haley in this state looks pretty unlikely at this point. state looks pretty unlikely at this oint. �* , ., state looks pretty unlikely at this oint. , ., , , , point. and senior republicans lining u . point. and senior republicans lining u- behind point. and senior republicans lining up behind donald _ point. and senior republicans lining up behind donald trump, _ point. and senior republicans lining up behind donald trump, ready - point. and senior republicans lining up behind donald trump, ready to l up behind donald trump, ready to endorse him, all of them fitting to be his running mate on the ticket.

0ne be his running mate on the ticket. one of the network said it feels like a giant addition of the apprentice apprentice. they are all going for thejob. any apprentice apprentice. they are all going for the job. any clue who you might pick way hello it is not clear at the moment, but you are right, many of those targets have been out here in new hampshire for senator tim scott is a name that keeps coming into the conversation when he comes to the possible vice president pick. another one is congresswoman elise stefanik. she has been really the most pugnacious members of congress on the campaign trail for donald trump, has been internally loyalta donald trump, has been internally lo a ., ., ., ., , , loyalto him, and her name has been cominu loyalto him, and her name has been comin: to loyalto him, and her name has been coming to the _ loyalto him, and her name has been coming to the conversation - loyalto him, and her name has been coming to the conversation more - loyalto him, and her name has been| coming to the conversation more and more in the past week or so. we know it is not likely to be nikki haley, in fact, she was asked if that was some thing she would consider, and she said that is not the cars right now, because she has been facing off donald trump. it does not look like she would be in vice presidentjill contention at this point, but i think we have to look very closely

at those people out on the campaign trail for donald at those people out on the campaign trailfor donald trump in new hampshire and will continue to be loud voices for him in the upcoming south carolina primary as well. sumi, text or that'lljulie, it is no coincidence there is another eventin no coincidence there is another event in north virginia this afternoon. what are you expecting we will hear from afternoon. what are you expecting we will hearfrom president biden afternoon. what are you expecting we will hear from president biden when he takes 2—stage? will hear from president biden when he takes 2-stage?_ he takes 2-stage? thank you for havin: he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me- _ he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me- i— he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me. i am _ he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me. i am glad _ he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me. i am glad to - he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me. i am glad to be - he takes 2-stage? thank you for having me. i am glad to be here| he takes 2-stage? thank you for. having me. i am glad to be here at the first_ having me. i am glad to be here at the firstjoint event having me. i am glad to be here at the first joint event for president biden_ the first joint event for president biden and — the first joint event for president biden and vice president kamala harrie _ biden and vice president kamala harris. they are kicking off their restore — harris. they are kicking off their restore road tour, and this event is all about_ restore road tour, and this event is all about making sure the quickness in this— all about making sure the quickness in this -- _ all about making sure the quickness in this —— women in this nation and men _ in this —— women in this nation and men in_ in this —— women in this nation and men in this— in this —— women in this nation and men in this nation understand the stakes_ men in this nation understand the stakes are — men in this nation understand the stakes are in terms of how women are viewed _ stakes are in terms of how women are viewed in _ stakes are in terms of how women are viewed in this— stakes are in terms of how women are viewed in this country. we know that this election — viewed in this country. we know that this election for 2024 is going to decide _ this election for 2024 is going to decide how women are treated in this country— decide how women are treated in this country and _ decide how women are treated in this country and joe biden, as well as vp

kamala _ country and joe biden, as well as vp kamala harris, are colluded to what this means — kamala harris, are colluded to what this means for us. what i'm talking about— this means for us. what i'm talking about is— this means for us. what i'm talking about is the — this means for us. what i'm talking about is the fact that if the republicans win this election, they have committed to passing a federal abortion— have committed to passing a federal abortion ban and that includes presidential contender nikki haley, and that— presidential contender nikki haley, and that will mean that no matter what _ and that will mean that no matter what state you live in an the united states. _ what state you live in an the united states, women will not be able to -et states, women will not be able to get abortions even when their own person— get abortions even when their own person health is injeopardy. the vice president and the presidents are committed to codifying roe versus — are committed to codifying roe versus wade, starting in wisconsin yesterday. — versus wade, starting in wisconsin yesterday, a battleground state, and today she _ yesterday, a battleground state, and today she is in northern virginia with the — today she is in northern virginia with the president and they are going _ with the president and they are going to — with the president and they are going to keep hammering home for the american _ going to keep hammering home for the american people that... restoring roe versus — american people that... restoring roe versus wade and abortion rights for women _ roe versus wade and abortion rights for women in this country... use a hammer home. — for women in this country... use a hammer home, it _ for women in this country... use a hammer home, it is _ for women in this country... use a hammer home, it is interesting, l hammer home, it is interesting, because of course the michigan governor gretchen witmer was on tv

saying she wants them to lean into it more. are they leaning in enough? you know what? this tour that the vice president is on, this is her second — vice president is on, this is her second stop, but the president right by her— second stop, but the president right by her side. — second stop, but the president right by her side, as well as the first lady— by her side, as well as the first lady and — by her side, as well as the first lady and the second gentleman doug emhoff. _ lady and the second gentleman doug emhoff, they are all committed to making _ emhoff, they are all committed to making this a primary piece of their campaign. — making this a primary piece of their campaign, because it does not stop with roe _ campaign, because it does not stop with roe v— campaign, because it does not stop with roe v weight, with abortion in this country. the minute and pubiicans _ this country. the minute and publicans have the chance to chip boy at _ publicans have the chance to chip boy at rights, such as the right of women _ boy at rights, such as the right of women to— boy at rights, such as the right of women to choose what they do with their bodies, it will impact the right— their bodies, it will impact the right of— their bodies, it will impact the right of women to obtain contraception, effective right of the lgbt— contraception, effective right of the lgbt committee to be who they are, the lgbt committee to be who they are. and _ the lgbt committee to be who they are. and we — the lgbt committee to be who they are, and we all realise in the democratic party what is at stake, and in _ democratic party what is at stake, and in this— democratic party what is at stake, and in this country, it is really... we are _ and in this country, it is really... we are ready— and in this country, it is really... we are ready to do it. | and in this country, it is really... we are ready to do it.— and in this country, it is really... we are ready to do it. i think that line 'ust we are ready to do it. i think that line just about _ we are ready to do it. i think that line just about held up. _ we are ready to do it. i think that linejust about held up. julie, - line just about held up. julie, thank you very much indeed. thank

you to sumi as well. more from sumi as the night goes on. let's bring in the panel. leigh ann, let me bring you in first. i want to show our fevers like this is difficult. michelle uid maths is really stacked against her. —— let me show you why. this is a survey from monmouth polling, which is an a—star poll, widely respected. trump up 18 points, 52—34, which is broadly in line with other polling. but the challenge for haley is beneath those numbers. so she is winning the undeclared voters 48—38 and the college educated 43—39. but she is losing among republican voters 64—22, non—college educated voters 60—27 and those who consider themselves very conservative 78—10. to win this, leigh ann, she needs a big slice of that undeclared vote, but she also needs a broader slice of the republican base, and that's what she is not getting.— republican base has always been the

challenge for nikki haley, is firmly behind the former president donald trump. when you talk about those undeclared voters in new hampshire, let me take a step back, when you look at that picture that you just laid out, that is why new hampshire is perhaps nikki haley's best chance in these early states to maybe get an upset or do quite well here, because of the demographic any makeup of this state. getting back to those undeclared voters, they make up about 30% of the voters here, so they can vote in that republican primary and they could vote for nikki haley if they want, and that is a slice of voters that she is attracting. but part of the challenge here for nikki haley is she has spent an entire campaign to the last few days avoiding directly attacking the former president, and so while she is attracting the antitrust vote, she did not really face her campaign on that, so she is trying to make up for that in the

last few days and we'll see if it is too little too late —— anti—trump. too little, too late? i too little too late -- anti-trump. too little, too late?— too little, too late? i have got to think so, christian. _ too little, too late? i have got to think so, christian. if _ too little, too late? i have got to think so, christian. if she - think so, christian. if she wanted to he _ think so, christian. if she wanted to he to — think so, christian. if she wanted to be to donald trump, she needed to treat him _ to be to donald trump, she needed to treat him like he was a competitor, not like _ treat him like he was a competitor, not like she — treat him like he was a competitor, not like she was campaigning to be undertaken with him, even if tonight is somehow— undertaken with him, even if tonight is somehow an upset, and i don't mean _ is somehow an upset, and i don't mean nikki — is somehow an upset, and i don't mean nikki haley beating donald trump. _ mean nikki haley beating donald trump, even if she performs well, you have _ trump, even if she performs well, you have to— trump, even if she performs well, you have to think about what is next on the _ you have to think about what is next on the calendar. they've got south carolina. _ on the calendar. they've got south carolina, and they have got nevada, and michigan and idaho, places were donald _ and michigan and idaho, places were donald trump is going to dominate, even if_ donald trump is going to dominate, even if nikki haley gets wind and or sales. _ even if nikki haley gets wind and or sales. she — even if nikki haley gets wind and or sales, she is going to have a really. — sales, she is going to have a really, really hard time competing with trump in those places, and keep in mind. _ with trump in those places, and keep in mind. one — with trump in those places, and keep in mind, one of those is a place were _ in mind, one of those is a place were she — in mind, one of those is a place were she had been governor, but donald _ were she had been governor, but donald trump is still beating her in her home _ donald trump is still beating her in her home state, where she was governor. — her home state, where she was governor, so she does well tonight, she has— governor, so she does well tonight, she has a _ governor, so she does well tonight, she has a huge uphill climb and i think at— she has a huge uphill climb and i think at least in my view it is safe to say— think at least in my view it is safe to say that —

think at least in my view it is safe to say that donald trump is still very likely— to say that donald trump is still very likely to run away with the nomination here, and that tells us a lot about _ nomination here, and that tells us a lot about this moment that we are in an american— lot about this moment that we are in an american politics. | lot about this moment that we are in an american politics.— an american politics. i have back to ask ou an american politics. i have back to ask you about _ an american politics. i have back to ask you about ron _ an american politics. i have back to ask you about ron desantis, - an american politics. i have back to i ask you about ron desantis, because he is not there, pull it out on sunday. he has endorsed donald trump. we talked last night about why it did not go right for him, trying to run to the right of donald trump just trying to run to the right of donald trumpjust did not trying to run to the right of donald trump just did not seem to work, and we are making the point that in a way, it really does feel, this race, as though donald trump as the incumbent. as though donald trump as the incumbent-— as though donald trump as the incumbent. . ., , , incumbent. true. and in a sense he is, incumbent. true. and in a sense he is. because — incumbent. true. and in a sense he is. because he _ incumbent. true. and in a sense he is, because he has— incumbent. true. and in a sense he is, because he has held _ incumbent. true. and in a sense he is, because he has held up - incumbent. true. and in a sense he is, because he has held up office i is, because he has held up office before _ is, because he has held up office before and — is, because he has held up office before and many— is, because he has held up office before and many of— is, because he has held up office before and many of the - is, because he has held up office i before and many of the candidates ran on— before and many of the candidates ran on that — before and many of the candidates ran on that he's _ before and many of the candidates ran on that he's an _ before and many of the candidates ran on that he's an outsider, - before and many of the candidates ran on that he's an outsider, if- before and many of the candidatesj ran on that he's an outsider, if you came _ ran on that he's an outsider, if you came in. _ ran on that he's an outsider, if you came in. is— ran on that he's an outsider, if you came in. is going _ ran on that he's an outsider, if you came in, is going to— ran on that he's an outsider, if you came in, is going to be so- came in, is going to be so catastrophic, _ came in, is going to be so catastrophic, but- came in, is going to be so catastrophic, but the - came in, is going to be so. catastrophic, but the voters came in, is going to be so- catastrophic, but the voters saw that when — catastrophic, but the voters saw that when he _ catastrophic, but the voters saw that when he was _ catastrophic, but the voters saw that when he was in— catastrophic, but the voters saw that when he was in office - catastrophic, but the voters saw that when he was in office the l catastrophic, but the voters saw. that when he was in office the four years— that when he was in office the four years he _ that when he was in office the four years he was— that when he was in office the four years he was there, _ that when he was in office the four years he was there, things- years he was there, things were great. _ years he was there, things were great. that— years he was there, things were great. that they _ years he was there, things were great, that they had _ years he was there, things were i great, that they had discretionary income _ great, that they had discretionary income higher— great, that they had discretionary income higher than— great, that they had discretionary income higher than they - great, that they had discretionary income higher than they have - great, that they had discretionary i income higher than they have now, the economy— income higher than they have now, the economy was— income higher than they have now, the economy was doing _ income higher than they have now, the economy was doing well - income higher than they have now, the economy was doing well we -

income higher than they have now, | the economy was doing well we had safety— the economy was doing well we had safety and _ the economy was doing well we had safety and security— the economy was doing well we had safety and security on _ the economy was doing well we had safety and security on our— the economy was doing well we had safety and security on our borders, i safety and security on our borders, we had _ safety and security on our borders, we had energy— safety and security on our borders, we had energy independence, - safety and security on our borders, we had energy independence, so . safety and security on our borders, - we had energy independence, so when the voters _ we had energy independence, so when the voters look — we had energy independence, so when the voters look at _ we had energy independence, so when the voters look at donald _ we had energy independence, so when the voters look at donald trump, - the voters look at donald trump, they're _ the voters look at donald trump, they're not— the voters look at donald trump, they're not looking _ the voters look at donald trump, they're not looking at _ the voters look at donald trump, they're not looking at him - the voters look at donald trump, they're not looking at him as - the voters look at donald trump, they're not looking at him as an i the voters look at donald trump, | they're not looking at him as an a novice _ they're not looking at him as an a novice coming _ they're not looking at him as an a novice coming in— they're not looking at him as an a novice coming in with _ they're not looking at him as an a novice coming in with no - novice coming in with no experience, they're _ novice coming in with no experience, they're looking — novice coming in with no experience, they're looking at _ novice coming in with no experience, they're looking at what _ novice coming in with no experience, they're looking at what he _ they're looking at what he accomplished _ they're looking at what he accomplished the - they're looking at what he accomplished the last - they're looking at what he l accomplished the last time, they're looking at what he - accomplished the last time, seeing what we _ accomplished the last time, seeing what we have — accomplished the last time, seeing what we have now _ accomplished the last time, seeing what we have now with _ accomplished the last time, seeing what we have now with open - accomplished the last time, seeing. what we have now with open borders, the infrastructure _ what we have now with open borders, the infrastructure is— what we have now with open borders, the infrastructure is not— what we have now with open borders, the infrastructure is not great, - what we have now with open borders, the infrastructure is not great, the - the infrastructure is not great, the security— the infrastructure is not great, the security is— the infrastructure is not great, the security is not _ the infrastructure is not great, the security is not great, _ the infrastructure is not great, the security is not great, we _ the infrastructure is not great, the security is not great, we have - the infrastructure is not great, the security is not great, we have ouri security is not great, we have our economy— security is not great, we have our economy not _ security is not great, we have our economy not doing _ security is not great, we have our economy not doing well, - security is not great, we have our economy not doing well, across l security is not great, we have our. economy not doing well, across the board. _ economy not doing well, across the board. people — economy not doing well, across the board, people have _ economy not doing well, across the board, people have lost— economy not doing well, across the board, people have lost in- economy not doing well, across the board, people have lost in their. board, people have lost in their retirement— board, people have lost in their retirement income, _ board, people have lost in their retirement income, and - board, people have lost in their retirement income, and they. board, people have lost in their. retirement income, and they want board, people have lost in their- retirement income, and they want to -et retirement income, and they want to get back— retirement income, and they want to get back to _ retirement income, and they want to get back to a — retirement income, and they want to get back to a better— retirement income, and they want to get back to a better order _ retirement income, and they want to get back to a better order than - retirement income, and they want to get back to a better order than it - get back to a better order than it is today. — get back to a better order than it is today. so— get back to a better order than it is today. so they _ get back to a better order than it is today, so they are looking - get back to a better order than it is today, so they are looking at i is today, so they are looking at donald — is today, so they are looking at donald trump _ is today, so they are looking at donald trump as _ is today, so they are looking at donald trump as a _ is today, so they are looking at donald trump as a saviour. - is today, so they are looking at donald trump as a saviour. i. is today, so they are looking at. donald trump as a saviour. i rgrill donald trump as a saviour. i will come back _ donald trump as a saviour. i will come back to — donald trump as a saviour. i will come back to those _ donald trump as a saviour. i will come back to those points - donald trump as a saviour. i will come back to those points on . donald trump as a saviour.“ come back to those points on the economy later in the programme, and i might pick you up on some of that. let me talk, mary ann, about how democrats view this. you are there in new hampshire. there is the fact joe biden is not in new hampshire tonight, but talk to me about how they see the race on the right. do they, even, perceive they are in a general election campaign? everyone

is in a general— general election campaign? everyone is in a general election _ general election campaign? everyone is in a general election campaign - is in a general election campaign starting tonight. donald trump will be the nominee, nikki haley is not going to win new hampshire. it was her very best chance to win a stateful stub she will not. and joe biden knows it is a general election starting now, so we will have a ten month of the longest in modern history, general election, and that is what you saw history, general election, and that is what you sanoe biden and his administration starting to ramp up activities on abortion, events in south carolina and elsewhere, they know that, but i want to .i south carolina and elsewhere, they know that, but i want to .1 thing leon caldwell set about nikki haley. here's her problem— the trump campaign expertly increased or unfavorable the rating. they ran ads against her, suffer on favorability rating went up, when that happens, people less likely to believe your claims, but then at the very end when she finally started to go after donald trump, even though she did not have the student to do it, she angered the very republicans she needs to win tonight which she won't, so she was put in a box she could never get out of, so nikki haley is on south carolina, the

presidential election of 2024 is onto the general election tonight. just before go to the break, mary ann, this will answer two real questions for us when we look at the exit poll tonight. the first being, can donald trump replicate the sort of turn out that he had in iowa? and will he turn out a disproportionate share of people who oppose him? are there independent to cannot vote for trump but biden and the democrats look to scoop up after this balance? both those things are truthful to be less tracking for this morning by suffolk has trumped up by 22 points, he hit 60, so the trend is your friend, and if he kept going up, nikki haley could not catch him, but in addition to all the people trample pull out —— trample pull out... donald trump has the best organisation in new hampshire, just like he had in iowa, and that alone is worth pre—5 points, so i expect trump to win in similar fashion as

he did in iowa.— trump to win in similar fashion as he did in iowa. 0k, coming up, we will hear from _ he did in iowa. 0k, coming up, we will hear from the _ he did in iowa. 0k, coming up, we will hear from the voters, - he did in iowa. 0k, coming up, we will hear from the voters, the - will hear from the voters, the people who really come in all of this, and we will take a look at one of the issues that will be a deciding factor in this election, the cost of living. stay with us. this is bbc news. let's look at some other stories making news. storm isha has wreaked havoc across the uk, leaving two people dead in scotland and in northern ireland, while thousands of homes are still without power. there were gusts of up to 99 miles per hour, disrupting the journeys of many road, rail and air travellers. prosecutors have accepted a plea of manslaughter on the grounds of diminished responsibility from a man who killed three people and attempted to kill three more in nottingham lastjune. valdo calocane stabbed to death barnaby webber and grace 0'malley kumar, who were both 19, and the 65—year—old school caretaker ian coates. australia has imposed sanctions on a russian man it accuses of taking part in one of the country's worst

breaches of personal data. the government said aleksandr ermakov hacked nearly ten million accounts at the private insurer, medibank — including that of the country's prime minister, anthony albanese. they say ensitive medical records was stolen and leaked on the dark web. —— they say sensitive medical records were stolen. you're live with bbc news. well, in this new hampshire primary, it all comes down to the voters — and i want to talk about real people and what they make of this election. let's bring in carl nasman, who has been spending some time at the polling stations today. talk to me first of all, carl, if you would, about turnout and what people are saying to you about their choice in this election. it is interesting, _ choice in this election. it is interesting, christian. - choice in this election. it 3 interesting, christian. when you talk about the mood here at evite, speaking with those who have covered the new hampshire primary for

several years, they say it does not feel the same, you don't have the same energy of the same excitement, because of the polling numbers specifically, but that aside, we are expecting a record turnout this year. even speaking with the secretary of state, some officials here, they are expecting the biggest or not they have ever seen. part of that might be due to the donald trump effect, part of it could be due to the fact that we are respecting many independent voters, those were democratic, they they're not republican, they are expected to come out in numbers for nikki haley, also the strange fact the democrats are not exact we holding an official primary, so we could see some migration from independence that would be turning out for democrats, instead they might be voting in the republican side as well. we have been speaking with voters, all across the state, trying to figure out which way this is going to go. here is a little bit of what voters were saying at the polls earlier today. definitely, i voted for trump.

the four years he was in office, i think he actually did a good job. i know he's pretty outspoken, a lot of people kind of don't like that. personally, i do like that. i don't like things being sugar—coated. so, no trump. nikki haley, woman - president, it's all good. something new and fresh. yes, absolutely. well, i'm hoping that he wins. obviously, what i like about joe biden is that, like i say, he represents the blue—collar people and the working class. and i think he's doing a very good job. many ma ny a nalysts many analysts and posters, as we have been hearing, say this is likely the best real shot or a republican to take down donald trump of our lease to try to close that gap- of our lease to try to close that gap. it is interesting to see both campaigns already looking ahead to the next state, nikki haley has a campaign event scheduled for home state of south carolina tomorrow, donald trump has been calling for haley to drop out and say, look, we need unity as the republican party to take on joe need unity as the republican party to take onjoe biden in what could be a campaign for the general election starting pretty soon. karl.

election starting pretty soon. karl, thank ou election starting pretty soon. karl, thank you for— election starting pretty soon. karl, thank you for that. _ election starting pretty soon. karl, thank you for that. miles _ election starting pretty soon. karl, thank you for that. miles taylor, when i listened to trump voters and many of them you will is spoken to yourself, it feels to me there are two kinds of trump voters, the maga voters and other voters who seem transactional. they come out of a cost—of—living crisis, they feel it was better under donald trump, as jennifer wasjust was better under donald trump, as jennifer was just telling us, was better under donald trump, as jennifer wasjust telling us, and so they are going to lend him their vote because they think he is the most likely want to deliver what they want?— they want? christian, that is absolutely — they want? christian, that is absolutely right, _ they want? christian, that is absolutely right, and - they want? christian, that is absolutely right, and i'm - they want? christian, that is i absolutely right, and i'm going they want? christian, that is - absolutely right, and i'm going to add a third category in there, which is pretty surprising when you look at the polls and the crosstabs in those polls, which is that even the republicans who are considered never trump republicans, a lot of whom opposed him in 26 north 2020, you see that a lot of them are going back to the tribe, and they are even willing to vote for donald trump again, and when you ask those voters

why, they say that when push comes to shove, theyjust don't want to seejoe biden win reelection, and thatis seejoe biden win reelection, and that is a worry for the president of the united states, when he is looking at his numbers, he needs to cobble together at least a small coalition of disaffected republicans and democrats to win reelection. it is what got him into the white house the first time, actually a disproportionate number of republicans voted for a democrat for the first time in their lives to put joe biden in the white house, and effective those people are going back to the gop tribe certainly a big worry to the white house at this moment —— and the fact that. let moment -- and the fact that. let me ut on moment -- and the fact that. let me put on screen — moment -- and the fact that. let me put on screen for _ moment -- and the fact that. let me put on screen for our _ moment -- and the fact that. let me put on screen for our viewers - moment -- and the fact that. let me put on screen for our viewers a few. put on screen for our viewers a few measures which may challenge what jennifer was talking about with the rest of the economy. inflation — remember, when we came out of a trump presidency, we were in a pandemic. inflation soared — as it did all around the world — but it is now at 3.4% in the us, lower than germany, france and the uk. a university of michigan index

that tracks how people feels about the economy shows consumer sentiment has surged more than 28% since november. the s&p 500 and dow industrials have set new highs this past week. we are unable market, a full on bull market. —— on able market. and 2023, a great year for the american worker. the economy created 2.7 million newjobs. jennifer, i understand you cannot tell people it is better when they are paying through the nose for gas and groceries and they are not feeling it in their pocket, but you look at those numbers and there is something for the biden campaign to get their teeth into there? thea;r get their teeth into there? they t . get their teeth into there? they t , the get their teeth into there? they try. they try _ get their teeth into there? they try. they try to _ get their teeth into there? they try, they try to tout _ get their teeth into there? they try, they try to tout biting onyx, but the — try, they try to tout biting onyx, but the average person that is feeling — but the average person that is feeling a — but the average person that is feeling a triple and quadruple increase _ feeling a triple and quadruple increase in buying eggs and in this is a tease — increase in buying eggs and in this is a tease of— increase in buying eggs and in this is a tease of life, to live, afford a portal— is a tease of life, to live, afford a portal housing is nonexistent across— a portal housing is nonexistent across country, and they are feeling it in their— across country, and they are feeling it in their pocketbooks —— try to tout _ it in their pocketbooks —— try to tout bidenomics. they don't have the discretionary income they had under

the trump _ discretionary income they had under the trump administration, so the numbers— the trump administration, so the numbers can say one thing, but the voters _ numbers can say one thing, but the voters that— numbers can say one thing, but the voters that will be going to the polls _ voters that will be going to the polls to — voters that will be going to the polls to say, i want a change because _ polls to say, i want a change because i_ polls to say, i want a change because i am feeling the impact with my family. _ because i am feeling the impact with my family, my budget is not what it was and _ my family, my budget is not what it was and what i needed to be, and might— was and what i needed to be, and might savings is not what it was, that's— might savings is not what it was, that's to — might savings is not what it was, that's to be — might savings is not what it was, that's to be the driver for every person— that's to be the driver for every person going to the polls when it comes— person going to the polls when it comes to — person going to the polls when it comes to the economy. mary person going to the polls when it comes to the economy. mary ann, it used to be — comes to the economy. mary ann, it used to be your _ comes to the economy. mary ann, it used to be your perception _ comes to the economy. mary ann, it used to be your perception of- comes to the economy. mary ann, it used to be your perception of the - used to be your perception of the economy influenced your politics. i wonder if these days it is your political leanings that determine how you view the economy? it sure seems that — how you view the economy? it sure seems that way. — how you view the economy? it sure seems that way, especially - how you view the economy? it sure seems that way, especially if - how you view the economy? it sure seems that way, especially if you i seems that way, especially if you listen _ seems that way, especially if you listen to— seems that way, especially if you listen to donald _ seems that way, especially if you listen to donald trump _ seems that way, especially if you listen to donald trump at - seems that way, especially if you listen to donald trump at a - listen to donald trump at a rally, but here — listen to donald trump at a rally, but here is— listen to donald trump at a rally, but here is the _ listen to donald trump at a rally, but here is the reality— listen to donald trump at a rally, but here is the reality for all- listen to donald trump at a rally, but here is the reality for all the i but here is the reality for all the economic— but here is the reality for all the economic indicators— but here is the reality for all the economic indicators are - but here is the reality for all the economic indicators are movingl but here is the reality for all the i economic indicators are moving in the right— economic indicators are moving in the right direction— economic indicators are moving in the right direction and _ economic indicators are moving in the right direction and people - economic indicators are moving inl the right direction and people have ten months — the right direction and people have ten months to— the right direction and people have ten months to start _ the right direction and people have ten months to start feeling - the right direction and people have ten months to start feeling the - ten months to start feeling the benefits — ten months to start feeling the benefits of— ten months to start feeling the benefits of it, _ ten months to start feeling the benefits of it, so _ ten months to start feeling the benefits of it, so there - ten months to start feeling the benefits of it, so there is - ten months to start feeling the i benefits of it, so there is plenty of time — benefits of it, so there is plenty of time for— benefits of it, so there is plenty of time forjoe _ benefits of it, so there is plenty of time forjoe biden _ benefits of it, so there is plenty of time forjoe biden and - benefits of it, so there is plenty of time forjoe biden and the i of time forjoe biden and the democrats _ of time forjoe biden and the democrats to— of time forjoe biden and the democrats to benefit - of time forjoe biden and the democrats to benefit from i of time forjoe biden and the i democrats to benefit from that, of time forjoe biden and the - democrats to benefit from that, but i democrats to benefit from that, but i want _ democrats to benefit from that, but i want to _ democrats to benefit from that, but i want to emphasise _ democrats to benefit from that, but i want to emphasise one _ democrats to benefit from that, butj i want to emphasise one point here. the issue _ i want to emphasise one point here. the issue that — i want to emphasise one point here. the issue that is _ i want to emphasise one point here. the issue that is going _ i want to emphasise one point here. the issue that is going to _ i want to emphasise one point here. the issue that is going to drive - the issue that is going to drive this race — the issue that is going to drive this race is _ the issue that is going to drive this race is abortion. _ the issue that is going to drive this race is abortion. women l the issue that is going to drive i this race is abortion. women are the issue that is going to drive - this race is abortion. women are the majority— this race is abortion. women are the majority in _ this race is abortion. women are the majority in this — this race is abortion. women are the majority in this country, _ this race is abortion. women are the majority in this country, women - this race is abortion. women are the majority in this country, women are i majority in this country, women are going _ majority in this country, women are going to _ majority in this country, women are going to go — majority in this country, women are going to go to — majority in this country, women are going to go to the _ majority in this country, women are going to go to the polls _

majority in this country, women are going to go to the polls in - majority in this country, women are going to go to the polls in droves i going to go to the polls in droves because — going to go to the polls in droves because having _ going to go to the polls in droves because having a _ going to go to the polls in droves because having a freedom, - going to go to the polls in droves because having a freedom, a - because having a freedom, a right, taken _ because having a freedom, a right, taken away— because having a freedom, a right, taken away from _ because having a freedom, a right, taken away from them _ because having a freedom, a right, taken away from them is _ because having a freedom, a right, taken away from them is anathema because having a freedom, a right, i taken away from them is anathema to them. _ taken away from them is anathema to them. and _ taken away from them is anathema to them. and when— taken away from them is anathema to them, and when you _ taken away from them is anathema to them, and when you look— taken away from them is anathema to them, and when you look at _ taken away from them is anathema to them, and when you look at the - them, and when you look at the polling. — them, and when you look at the polling. from _ them, and when you look at the polling, from 9—70%, _ them, and when you look at the polling, from 9—70%, every- them, and when you look at the . polling, from 9—70%, every single demographic. _ polling, from 9—70%, every single demographic, women, _ polling, from 9—70%, every single demographic, women, men, - polling, from 9—70%, every single demographic, women, men, by. polling, from 9—70%, every single i demographic, women, men, by race, gender. _ demographic, women, men, by race, gender. geographic— demographic, women, men, by race, gender, geographic location, - demographic, women, men, by race, | gender, geographic location, income, all support— gender, geographic location, income, all support abortion _ gender, geographic location, income, all support abortion rights, _ gender, geographic location, income, all support abortion rights, and - gender, geographic location, income, all support abortion rights, and we i all support abortion rights, and we have seen. — all support abortion rights, and we have seen. we _ all support abortion rights, and we have seen, we saw— all support abortion rights, and we have seen, we saw that _ all support abortion rights, and we have seen, we saw that in - all support abortion rights, and we have seen, we saw that in 2020, i all support abortion rights, and we i have seen, we saw that in 2020, we saw that _ have seen, we saw that in 2020, we saw that in— have seen, we saw that in 2020, we saw that in the — have seen, we saw that in 2020, we saw that in the 2022 midterms, i have seen, we saw that in 2020, we. saw that in the 2022 midterms, which is why— saw that in the 2022 midterms, which is why democrats _ saw that in the 2022 midterms, which is why democrats perform _ saw that in the 2022 midterms, which is why democrats perform so - saw that in the 2022 midterms, which is why democrats perform so well- saw that in the 2022 midterms, whichj is why democrats perform so well and republicans _ is why democrats perform so well and republicans did — is why democrats perform so well and republicans did not, _ is why democrats perform so well and republicans did not, but— is why democrats perform so well and republicans did not, but republicansl republicans did not, but republicans are really— republicans did not, but republicans are really good — republicans did not, but republicans are really good at _ republicans did not, but republicans are really good at working _ republicans did not, but republicans are really good at working the - republicans did not, but republicans are really good at working the refs, i are really good at working the refs, in this— are really good at working the refs, in this case — are really good at working the refs, in this case the _ are really good at working the refs, in this case the media, _ are really good at working the refs, in this case the media, and - in this case the media, and getting them _ in this case the media, and getting them to— in this case the media, and getting them to only— in this case the media, and getting them to only focus _ in this case the media, and getting them to only focus on _ in this case the media, and getting them to only focus on the - in this case the media, and getting. them to only focus on the economy. women _ them to only focus on the economy. women don't — them to only focus on the economy. women don't care _ them to only focus on the economy. women don't care about _ them to only focus on the economy. women don't care about the - them to only focus on the economy. i women don't care about the economy if they— women don't care about the economy if they don't _ women don't care about the economy if they don't have _ women don't care about the economy if they don't have the _ women don't care about the economy if they don't have the ability - women don't care about the economy if they don't have the ability to - if they don't have the ability to make — if they don't have the ability to make a — if they don't have the ability to make a decision _ if they don't have the ability to make a decision about - if they don't have the ability to make a decision about their i if they don't have the ability to i make a decision about their own health— make a decision about their own health care. _ make a decision about their own health care, about _ make a decision about their own health care, about their- make a decision about their own health care, about their own i make a decision about their own i health care, about their own rights, and they— health care, about their own rights, and they realise _ health care, about their own rights, and they realise that _ health care, about their own rights, and they realise that is _ health care, about their own rights, and they realise that is just - health care, about their own rights, and they realise that is just the i and they realise that is just the beginning — and they realise that is just the beginning of— and they realise that is just the beginning of taking _ and they realise that is just the beginning of taking rights - and they realise that is just the beginning of taking rights away and they realise that is just the i beginning of taking rights away from women _ beginning of taking rights away from women that — beginning of taking rights away from women that in _ beginning of taking rights away from women. that in the _ beginning of taking rights away from women. that in the end _ beginning of taking rights away from women. that in the end is— beginning of taking rights away from women. that in the end is really- women. that in the end is really going _ women. that in the end is really going to — women. that in the end is really going to drive _ women. that in the end is really going to drive this _ women. that in the end is really going to drive this election. i women. that in the end is really going to drive this election. justj going to drive this election. just cuickl , going to drive this election. just quickly. leigh — going to drive this election. quickly, leigh ann, that is a going to drive this election.- quickly, leigh ann, that is a very concerning message —— conservative message. that would normally be at the heart of what conservatives are campaigning on. the heart of what conservatives are campaigning on-— campaigning on. yet, but on the issue of abortion _ campaigning on. yet, but on the issue of abortion is _ campaigning on. yet, but on the issue of abortion is not - campaigning on. yet, but on the issue of abortion is not aligned i

issue of abortion is not aligned that way, i think conservatives would say a foetus, a baby was involved, so it is about freedom for that baby, foetus, too, but i was that baby, foetus, too, but i was that if the economy is absolutely going to be a key issue, abortion is also going to be a key issue. that was proven to be accurate in the 2022 midterm elections as well. i will say, seeing many of the democrats i talked to, they are pretty ecstatic and thrilled that tonight could be the donald trump's coronation to the republican nomination. they think that once it is biden versus trump, people are going to be reminded...— going to be reminded... people focus. it will— going to be reminded... people focus. it will help _ going to be reminded... people focus. it will help biden. - going to be reminded... people focus. it will help biden. we i going to be reminded... people| focus. it will help biden. we are auoin to focus. it will help biden. we are going to take — focus. it will help biden. we are going to take a _ focus. it will help biden. we are going to take a quick _ focus. it will help biden. we are going to take a quick break. i focus. it will help biden. we are going to take a quick break. 0n| focus. it will help biden. we are i going to take a quick break. on the going to take a quick break. 0n the other side, we are going to talk about a key foreign policy issue, and that is the attacks in the red sea. do stay with us. hello there. good evening. it's a very stormy period of weather and we're seeing the second named

storm in just a few days. storm jocelyn follows hot on the heels of storm isha, hampering the clear—up. we've seen heavy downpours of rain move eastwards today along with strengthening winds. and here goes that deep area of low pressure just passing to the north of scotland, following the same track as isha. perhaps the wind gusts not as severe for most, but with the trees, the structures having been weakened from the previous storm and the ground pretty saturated, there will still be some strong impacts. much of the north and the west of scotland, towards exposed coasts in particular, underneath a met office amber weather warning until 8am tomorrow morning for gusts of wind of up to 75—80 mph. gusts towards irish sea coasts of up to 65 mph. widely, 40—50 mph gusts, even to low levels and away from the coast. so a very windy night all in all, but it will be mild. dry towards the south, blustery showers, torrential downpours at times further north across scotland. so still a very windy start to the day. in fact, much of the north of the uk throughout the day tomorrow is covered by a lower level yellow weather warning for the strength of the wind still.

there'll be some blustery showers blowing across scotland, down through wales, and towards the end of the day, we'll see this area of cloud just creep into south—west england. some patchy rain on that. temperatures not quite as high as on tuesday, but still mild for the time of year, with double figures for most. but it will be turning milder still as this warm frontjust creeps its way further northwards and eastwards as we head through thursday. again, a tight squeeze on the isobars. it will be windy, but not as windy as on tuesday, with further downpours of rain across northern ireland, north—west england and into western scotland too. possibly some of that rain a little wintry over the tops of the hills before the milder air digs in. highs of 13 degrees celsius for many. there will be more rainfall, of course, across western scotland. it's here where we'll see the ground pretty saturated. another 100 millimetres of rainfall, perhaps, by the time we get to the end of the week here. also north—west england, some high rainfall totals. so, while wind is the main concern, rain could also be a problem by the time we get to the end of the week. and there are some flood warnings in force. as we head through friday, it's a bit more settled. it will be turning cooler by night,

particularly towards the north and the east, as we head through the week. some more rainfall for many, particularly in the north and west, over the weekend. bye— bye.

the us and uk launch more strikes against houthi targets. rishi sunak describes the action as self defence. this get into all the very shortly, but first come up to the sport sector. good evening. cameroon are through to the last 16 at the africa cup of nations, but they left it very late against the gambia in group c. they were losing 2—1 with five minutes left to play, but scored twice to win 3—2. christopher wooh's injury—time header taking the five—time champions through to the knock—out stage, where they'll face nigeria on saturday. the gambia thought that they had secured a point a few minutes later, but that was overturned because of a clear handball, so a first win and relief for cameroon. that result also means that the four—time champions ghana are definitely out,

unable to qualify as one of the best third—place finishers.