is she a threat to you? no, no. and i don't care if you say so, let her do whatever she wants. it doesn't matter. i can just say that there's never been a movement like this — make america great again — in the history of our country. chaos follows him, and we can't be a country in disarray and have a world on fire and go through four more years of chaos — because we won't survive it. people are coming in to vote throughout the day here. - we should get an indication later tonight what the numbers - are stacking up to be. if it's a win for donald trump, - well, he could have it all wrapped up by the end of today. our panel this hour, stefanie brown james, who heads the democratic pac the collective, kurt bardella, former senior adviser to republicans on the house oversight committee, political analyst brian stelter. and sumi somaskanda is in concord, new hampshire. new hampshire coming up. first, though, the latest bbc news.

rishi sunak has told mps the uk will not hesitate to respond again if the houthis in yemen continue their attacks on commercial shipping in the red sea. british and us forces carried out joint air—strikes last night — for a second time — on houthi targets. there are fierce battles continuing between israeli soldiers and hamas fighters in southern gaza. at least 2a israeli troops were killed tuesday, the worst day for the idf since the start of the war. and the met office has issued yellow weather warnings tonight for much of the uk, as storm jocelyn brings high winds and heavy rain to large parts of the country. no scotrail trains are currently running. nominations for the 2024 oscars have been announced during an early morning press conference in hollywood. we will get the latest on that from talking movies's tom brook later this hour. good evening. it might seem odd ten months out from a presidential election to put so much focus on the tiny state of new hampshire and a republican primary that will attract just over 300,000 voters.

it is a fraction of the country. but what happens tonight will affect so much of what unfolds later this year. if the polls are right and nikki haley is defeated in new hampshire, then to all intents and purposes, the general election will begin wednesday morning. haley has thrown everything at new hampshire. she has spent twice as much as donald trump and overnight finished top of the pile in the small township of dixville notch — you might call that a landslide. but for all the momentum she has built in recent weeks, it is donald trump who is pulling away. the former president already has the endorsement of those who dropped out in the early stages and last night was predicting the race was won, cheered on by these former opponents. if you want four more years of donald trump, let me hear you scream. cheering if you want the race to be over tomorrow, let me hear you scream! cheering

joe biden is not on the ballot in new hampshire. instead, he will be on stage in north virginia this hour, officially kicking off his campaign with a speech on abortion rights which will form a key part of their campaign. we will dip into that event later in the hour. but let us cross first to concord in new hampshire. sumi somaskanda is there for us tonight. does it feel to you as if this is a split screen moment, that we have joe biden onstage in north virginia at the very time republicans might just be coordinating donald trump? yes, certainly, that is no accident that we have seen presidentjoe biden and his vice president kamala harris as well starting this big push, his reelection campaign, on the very same day as the new hampshire primary, and we've seen a little bit of a lead up of this as well. the vice president kamala harris has announced they are going

to be making a big push on the issue of abortion and reproductive rights and that is because the democrats think that is the issue the good president biden reelected. the other side of that split screen of course is right here in new where we see this race, this two—person race between donald trump and nikki haley, both taking shots atjoe biden, but believe he cannot continue to run the country, but if you look at the issues that they have discussed, both of them have not been very confrontative when it comes to abortion and that is because it is an issue seen as republicans having an issue with some voters, this is a more independent electric, nothing median republican voter, and for that reason it is interesting to see variation in issues —— independent electorate. for nikki haley, she been reaching out to moderate voters, those who might have considered voting forjoe biden as woelfel to we spoke to some of them at one of her events on sunday and a

few of them said, you know, we are democrats, we usually vote democrats, we usually vote democrats, died in the will democrats, died in the will democrats, and they believe nikki haley is the best chance to move forward. we will see what kind of contract that means to be put up against these two candidates who are racing against each other here in new hampshire. irate racing against each other here in new hampshire.— racing against each other here in new hampshire. we talked earlier in the programme _ new hampshire. we talked earlier in the programme about _ new hampshire. we talked earlier in the programme about nikki - new hampshire. we talked earlier in the programme about nikki haley's i the programme about nikki haley's chances. she has thrown every thing in new hampshire, but you look past this, it is south carolina, then nevada, we would have to say that this is a best shot, because it is the most favourable state in which she could win for some weeks to come? bi; she could win for some weeks to come? �* , . . she could win for some weeks to come? �* y ., ., , she could win for some weeks to come? j ., ., ,. ., , come? by far, that is certainly the case, and come? by far, that is certainly the case. and that _ come? by far, that is certainly the case, and that is _ come? by far, that is certainly the case, and that is clear to - come? by far, that is certainly the case, and that is clear to her- case, and that is clear to her campaign as well. that is why we have seen her, as you just mentioned in reporting and in her numbers, she has put ads into this state, three nikki haley ads in the span of a few minutes. it is remarkable to see how much her campaign has invested both in time and money in this state.

under that 40% of the republican electorate are independent here —— they know that 40% of the electorate here. she is pulling back a bit on those expectations, but we saw her today being as defiant as ever, shane she believes she can come up with a very strong finish here, she has not defined what success would look like for her. i do think it is interesting to note that our colleagues and cbs news have reported some big republican donors are looking to see how well nikki haley finishes here. if she can close into a single loss, second place finish, to donald trump, they would consider pouring more money into her campaign going ahead to south carolina. there are some chances for nikki haley to these perform better than the polls are showing at the moment. qm. perform better than the polls are showing at the moment. 0k, sumi, thank ou showing at the moment. 0k, sumi, thank you very _ showing at the moment. 0k, sumi, thank you very much _ showing at the moment. 0k, sumi, thank you very much for _ showing at the moment. 0k, sumi, thank you very much for that, - showing at the moment. 0k, sumi, thank you very much for that, and l thank you very much for that, and just a reminder that sumi will be back with some of the details at the top of the next hour, around 10pm. thank you, sumi, for the moment.

bryan la nza, lanza, donald trump has used her middle name, photoshopped herface over hillary clinton, said she is a rino, pro—china — does he not like her? rino, pro-china - does he not like her? , ., ., ., ~ i., her? first of all, thank you for havin: her? first of all, thank you for having become _ her? first of all, thank you for having become a _ her? first of all, thank you for having become a christian. - her? first of all, thank you for having become a christian. i i her? first of all, thank you for. having become a christian. i think it is a safety issue not be in trump is mexican term. trump looks at politics as, through the kitchen sink and keep it in the same person over and over again. we saw with ron desantis, we saw it withjeb bush and now we see it with nikki haley. it is the way he plays politics for it is brash, aggressive, nonstop cumberland this, and hopefully at some point we can move onto next style of politics. we some point we can move onto next style of politics-— style of politics. we have already discussed tonight _ style of politics. we have already discussed tonight how _ style of politics. we have already discussed tonight how tough - style of politics. we have already discussed tonight how tough this| style of politics. we have already l discussed tonight how tough this is for haley, not least because she is not taking enough of the base, she is doing quite well with moderates and independents, but if you were to make an argument for a continuing past new hampshire onto south carolina, what would that be? i

guess the best argument... i think the most _ guess the best argument... i think the most compelling case she makes is going _ the most compelling case she makes is going to _ the most compelling case she makes is going to be whether or not she finishes — is going to be whether or not she finishes with a reasonable distance of donald — finishes with a reasonable distance of donald trump here tonight. there hy of donald trump here tonight. there by allowing _ of donald trump here tonight. there by allowing her to say, listen, it is now— by allowing her to say, listen, it is now a — by allowing her to say, listen, it is now a two—person race, i want to debate — is now a two—person race, i want to debate donald trump one the one thing _ debate donald trump one the one thing we've never seen, going all the back— thing we've never seen, going all the back to — thing we've never seen, going all the back to 2016, is donald trump in a one-on-one — the back to 2016, is donald trump in a one—on—one against a republican in this kind _ a one—on—one against a republican in this kind of— a one—on—one against a republican in this kind of a — a one—on—one against a republican in this kind of a dynamic, and i think that the _ this kind of a dynamic, and i think that the spectre of that one—on—one competition, i think she could have donem _ competition, i think she could have donem she — competition, i think she could have done... she could beat trump into that confrontation. he will not want to look— that confrontation. he will not want to look like — that confrontation. he will not want to look like he is hiding and afraid of debating literally a woman, who worked _ of debating literally a woman, who worked for— of debating literally a woman, who worked for him in his administration. i think your best chance _ administration. i think your best chance is— administration. i think your best chance is goading him into that confrontation, because if she can -et confrontation, because if she can get him — confrontation, because if she can get him on — confrontation, because if she can get him on the debate stage, anything can happen, because it is life tv~ _ anything can happen, because it is life tv. �* ., ., , ., , anything can happen, because it is lifetv. ., ., , ., , ., life tv. but in who really wants to take a pasting _ life tv. but in who really wants to take a pasting in _ life tv. but in who really wants to take a pasting in their— life tv. but in who really wants to take a pasting in their own - take a pasting in their own state, south carolina? you've got sentenced

jim scott, who she propelled to the sender, who hasjust endorsed donald trump. —— senatortim kaine. nancy mays, and she backs for congress, is with donald trump! there is no accounting for loyalty!- accounting for loyalty! listen, i think the gop _ accounting for loyalty! listen, i think the gop is _ accounting for loyalty! listen, i think the gop is ready - accounting for loyalty! listen, i think the gop is ready tonightl accounting for loyalty! listen, i. think the gop is ready tonight to make the announcement if trump wins that they want him to be the nominee, and we see that with those institution establishing candidates throwing their support behind donald trump. we should pay attention to what us senators will do, and if they start to move, it is time to close this chapter, trump is our nominee, let's move to the next phase and nikki and her team and those who dream of politics, who want it to be extended, the reality is, this campaign, if trump wins, this race is effectively over. stefanie, can i talk to you about the way democrats see this? as

bryan, sees it, republicans looking for a knockout punch. democrats maybe think the same thing for survey believe if don from is the present of nominee, that would give a much needed jolt from democrat will walk away from joe biden's coalition. do you see it that way? i think the democrats definitely want to see _ think the democrats definitely want to see this— think the democrats definitely want to see this race _ think the democrats definitely want to see this race come _ think the democrats definitely want to see this race come to— think the democrats definitely want to see this race come to an - think the democrats definitely want to see this race come to an end, i to see this race come to an end, simply— to see this race come to an end, simply because _ to see this race come to an end, simply because it _ to see this race come to an end, simply because it allows - to see this race come to an end, simply because it allows them . to see this race come to an end, | simply because it allows them to focus, _ simply because it allows them to focus, allows _ simply because it allows them to focus, allows them _ simply because it allows them to focus, allows them to _ simply because it allows them to focus, allows them to put - simply because it allows them to focus, allows them to put all - simply because it allows them to focus, allows them to put all of i focus, allows them to put all of their— focus, allows them to put all of their eggs— focus, allows them to put all of their eggs in— focus, allows them to put all of their eggs in that _ focus, allows them to put all of their eggs in that one _ focus, allows them to put all of their eggs in that one basket i focus, allows them to put all of - their eggs in that one basket where they can _ their eggs in that one basket where they can go — their eggs in that one basket where they can go after donald _ their eggs in that one basket where they can go after donald trump. . their eggs in that one basket where . they can go after donald trump. they view him _ they can go after donald trump. they view him as— they can go after donald trump. they view him as the — they can go after donald trump. they view him as the rematch _ they can go after donald trump. they view him as the rematch that - they can go after donald trump. they view him as the rematch that they- view him as the rematch that they think— view him as the rematch that they think is— view him as the rematch that they think is going _ view him as the rematch that they think is going to— view him as the rematch that they think is going to happen _ view him as the rematch that they think is going to happen and - view him as the rematch that they think is going to happen and it- think is going to happen and it enables— think is going to happen and it enables them _ think is going to happen and it enables them to _ think is going to happen and it enables them to also - think is going to happen and iti enables them to also capitalise think is going to happen and it- enables them to also capitalise on fundraisind — enables them to also capitalise on fundraisind we _ enables them to also capitalise on fundraising. we know— enables them to also capitalise on fundraising. we know that - enables them to also capitalise on fundraising. we know that many. fundraising. we know that many democrats — fundraising. we know that many democrats are _ fundraising. we know that many democrats are still— fundraising. we know that many democrats are still very - fundraising. we know that many democrats are still very much i democrats are still very much against — democrats are still very much against the idea _ democrats are still very much against the idea of— democrats are still very much against the idea of a - democrats are still very much against the idea of a trump . against the idea of a trump presidency— against the idea of a trump presidency and _ against the idea of a trump presidency and that - against the idea of a trump presidency and that has - against the idea of a trump - presidency and that has always been a fundraising — presidency and that has always been a fundraising moneymaker_ presidency and that has always been a fundraising moneymaker for- presidency and that has always been a fundraising moneymaker for the i a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats. — a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and _ a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and so _ a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and so i _ a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and so i think- a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and so i think a - a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and so i think a lot i a fundraising moneymaker for the democrats, and so i think a lot of| democrats, and so i think a lot of folks— democrats, and so i think a lot of folks would — democrats, and so i think a lot of folks would be _ democrats, and so i think a lot of folks would be happy— democrats, and so i think a lot of folks would be happy to - democrats, and so i think a lot of folks would be happy to see this. democrats, and so i think a lot of. folks would be happy to see this and tonight, _ folks would be happy to see this and tonight, but— folks would be happy to see this and tonight, but as— folks would be happy to see this and tonight, but as we _ folks would be happy to see this and tonight, but as we have _ folks would be happy to see this and tonight, but as we have heard - folks would be happy to see this and tonight, but as we have heard from i tonight, but as we have heard from nikki _ tonight, but as we have heard from nikki haley— tonight, but as we have heard from nikki haley and _ tonight, but as we have heard from nikki haley and from _ tonight, but as we have heard from nikki haley and from her— tonight, but as we have heard from nikki haley and from her camp, - tonight, but as we have heard from| nikki haley and from her camp, she has no _

nikki haley and from her camp, she has no plans— nikki haley and from her camp, she has no plans to _ nikki haley and from her camp, she has no plans to not _ nikki haley and from her camp, she has no plans to not continue - nikki haley and from her camp, she has no plans to not continue in - nikki haley and from her camp, she has no plans to not continue in this| has no plans to not continue in this race, _ has no plans to not continue in this race, even— has no plans to not continue in this race, even if— has no plans to not continue in this race, even if she _ has no plans to not continue in this race, even if she does _ has no plans to not continue in this race, even if she does lose by- race, even if she does lose by a considerable _ race, even if she does lose by a considerable amount, - race, even if she does lose by a considerable amount, so- race, even if she does lose by a considerable amount, so we - race, even if she does lose by a . considerable amount, so we could race, even if she does lose by a - considerable amount, so we could see this going _ considerable amount, so we could see this going for — considerable amount, so we could see this going for quite _ considerable amount, so we could see this going for quite a _ considerable amount, so we could see this going for quite a few— considerable amount, so we could see this going for quite a few more - this going for quite a few more weeks — this going for quite a few more weeks. �* ., ,, ., ., , weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick u . weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick u- an weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick up an issue — weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick up an issue with _ weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick up an issue with you. _ weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick up an issue with you. we _ weeks. brian stelter, i want to pick up an issue with you. we have - up an issue with you. we have discussed so many of the congressional publicans have congressional publica ns have endorsed congressional publicans have endorsed him, even though they have reservations in private. i'll give you an example of that. here's donald trump telling his supporters last week that what he requires is immunity from prosecution. you're going to have to give the president — you'll have to allow a president, any president, to have immunity, so that president can act and do what he feels and what his group of advisers feel is the absolute right thing. and here's what nikki haley's surrogate, the new hampshire governor chris sununu, said about that this weekend. do you agree — should a president have total immunity, _ even for things that cross the line? of course not. the amazing thing about that clip is he was dead serious, he wasn't even making one of his ridiculousjokes. he was dead serious about that, and that should get everybody...

i don't care what political party you're from, whether you're an extreme conservative or a socialist liberal — everybody should be concerned with that type of mentality going into the white house. and yet you are saying if he is the nominee, i that you are going to support him? how can you say that you'll| support him if you disagree with that statement? look, at the end of the day, i think most republicans are going to get behind the republican nominee. i'm hoping that it's obviously nikki haley. brian, no to immunity, absolutely we must stop him, but if he wins, we are all in! isn't that the reason people are losing faith in politicians? brian stelter, let me bring you in the stop sorry, we have two tonight! i bring you in the stop sorry, we have two tonight!— two tonight! i would say 1000%, he is, two tonight! i would say 1000%, he is. because — two tonight! i would say 100096, he is, because this _ two tonight! i would say 100096, he is, because this binary _ two tonight! i would say 100096, he is, because this binary choice - two tonight! i would say 100096, he is, because this binary choice is - is, because this binary choice is what fills americans in this moment, when most americans want anything but a biden trump rematch. there are partisans, loyalists on both sides, they want biden, they want trump, most americans do not, and yet this is where we are heading. the general election starts tonight when trump wins in new hampshire. yes, haley

will try to continue on, but haley israel presented above trump's danger and general election. she matters because she is showing there's a sizeable number of republicans that don't want to vote for trump in the general election, so, yes, kristin knew was that he will bactrim, but he will hold his nose will doing it, and they were good numbers of republicans might choose not to vote in the fall if trump is on the ballot against biden. that is why trump is weak, evenif biden. that is why trump is weak, even if he is going to look very strong tonight —— chris sununu. and all this coverage makes them look very strong. he is actually very weak candidate heading into the next nine, ten, 11 months of this. {either nine, ten, 11 months of this. other b an, nine, ten, 11 months of this. other bryan. you — nine, ten, 11 months of this. other bryan. you were — nine, ten, 11 months of this. other bryan, you were going _ nine, ten, 11 months of this. other bryan, you were going to - nine, ten, 11 months of this. other bryan, you were going to come - bryan, you were going to come on this. i want to pick up on this point of politicians talking with a forked tongue. we had ron desantis just the other week saying, look, unless you kiss the ring for donald trump, he is going to crucify you, you've got sununu singh, absolutely, we have to stop donald trump, so many republicans talking like that, and yet on the subside they see the

reality of being on the outside of the circle and get behind him. listen, it is to politics and politics _ listen, it is to politics and politics is— listen, it is to politics and politics is about winning elections. you don't — politics is about winning elections. you don't want to alienate the base that has— you don't want to alienate the base that has to — you don't want to alienate the base that has to elect you. they note trump's — that has to elect you. they note trump's voice matters, it is implied loudly— trump's voice matters, it is implied loudly to— trump's voice matters, it is implied loudly to the conservative networks and you _ loudly to the conservative networks and you cannot afford to alienate them, _ and you cannot afford to alienate them, so — and you cannot afford to alienate them, so is — and you cannot afford to alienate them, so is much as they are appalled _ them, so is much as they are appalled why it what he is to make of those _ appalled why it what he is to make of those who want to levy political future _ of those who want to levy political future ultimately fall in line and will fall— future ultimately fall in line and will fall in line. -- future ultimately fall in line and will fall in line.— future ultimately fall in line and will fall in line. -- want to have a political future. _ will fall in line. -- want to have a political future. just _ will fall in line. -- want to have a political future. just under- will fall in line. -- want to have a political future. just under four . political future. just under four hours of voting in new hampshire. coming up, we are going focus on one of the key issues in this campaign, and that is border control. a bipartisan group of senators still trying to find a compromise that would stop the surge of migrants across the us border with mexico and crucial to that, the issue of aid for ukraine. all that to come after the break. let's take a look at some of the stories in the headlines in the uk. a coroner has ruled that a 13—year—old boy died after being deliberately pushed into a river in south wales injuly 2019. the coroner said christopher kapessa had been pushed into the water

in fernhill in what he called a "dangerous prank". other children — including the boy found to have pushed him — thenjumped into the river to try to save him. the world health organization says measles cases have risen thirty—fold across europe, describing it as an "alarming rise". more than 30,000 cases were reported by 60 eu member states in the first ten months of last year. that compares with around 940 cases two years ago. the composer lauriejohnson, who provided some of britain's best loved television themes and film music, has died at the age of 96. some of the most memorable include the avengers, the professionals, animal magic and this is your life. his family said in a statement that his music touched the lives of millions around the world. you're live with bbc news. one of the key issues being highlighted on the campaign trail is the fentanyl crisis.

more than 110,000 people died of opioid overdoses last year alone. for republicans, that is wrapped up in the crisis at the border. a lot of it coming across from mexico, and of course they put the blame squarely on china, who supply many of the precursors that are used in fentanyl production. sumi has been speaking to people personally impacted by this crisis in new hampshire. so i got some waters, i got foil, i got condoms, narcan... the day is getting started for andrew warner. man, the other day, i couldn't believe... i couldn't believe i found you in that doorway. i thought you were dead. safe sex kits — that has narcan in it — and gloves... dry socks, warm hearts, a friendly touch and narcan — medication to counter the effects

of opioid overdoses. yesterday, i overdosed. people around me, they thought i was dead. god gave me a second chance. yeah. this is america's fentanyl crisis. the us has more opioid deaths than anywhere else in the world. it's become a central part of the primary campaign here in new hampshire. well, i mean, if it hasn't affected you, you know, personally, i would say that that's definitely a "yet". the state saw its number of drug deaths more than double since 2013. the amount of people that have been affected by this, either with family members, you know, or themselves or co—workers or, you know, i mean, there isn't a place in an america that is immune to this crisis, you know? the overdose epidemic has made its way onto the campaign stage here in new hampshire. nikki haley has compared opioid deaths to war deaths, and she talked about fentanyl as a national security issue.

we've had more fentanyl cross the border last year that would kill every single american. number one cause of death for adults 18 to 45 — fentanyl. and don't think for a second china doesn't know what they're doing when they send it over. biden and the radical democrats do nothing at all to stop the death - and devastation caused by- this invasion into our country. instead of doubling the numberl of irs agents, we should double the number of ice and border patrol agents. | it shouldn't be handled as a criminal crisis. i believe that this should be considered a health crisis. jenny and kelly are cousins. they both lived on the streets, addicted to fentanyl and other opioids. both were in and out of treatment for years. now, they're sober. lots of families are like ours —

theyjust don't talk about it. i was the kind of addict where you put me in a boat in the middle of the ocean, and i would find the fish that got me high. yeah. it started with legal pain medication from the doctor and quickly devolved into a spiral of addiction. it normalises the abnormal. it makes things that sober people would not be ok with. you know, like, living in a car isn't that bad if you're high. but then when you're not high any more, the anxiety starts to take over, and it's either use again or get help. seeing her now, it's hard to believe, but this wasjenny just a few years ago in the grips of addiction. you know how to make it... what if i don't, though? what if! don't, though? than i will show you- — a mom of four children, including 13—year—old laura, jenny is now a recovery and prevention counsellor.

kelly is notjust her family. they've been an integral part of each other�*s recovery. we asked jenny and kelly about the promises they've heard from the campaign trail. the flow of drugs at the border doesn't affect me. it doesn't. i got drugs when fentanyl wasn't a thing. they're focusing on the wrong thing. i think that they need to be focusing on the mental health of our country. i think they need to be focusing on the recovery aspects and the resources that are available, resources and the resources that are available. resources that are direly needed here. it kind of goes with your outfit a little bit, too! the number of overdose deaths fell by 24% in manchester last year — a testament, andrew says, to a whole community approach. in the streets, though, they can only save one life at a time. devastating for so many families. republicans want to cut social care, but they would say the only way to solve the fentanyl crisis is to secure the border. last week, president biden hosted

the "big four" congressional leaders at the white house to try and find compromise on the changes house republicans are demanding that would release that vital ukraine aid they have attached to it. there are some positive noises coming from the senate that a deal can be struck. but here's a conversation that really interested me out the back of that meeting last week. this is fox news' laura ingraham putting the house speaker mikejohnson on the spot. the president actuallyjust got off the phone with me right before the show. and he said he has spoken to you about this deal and that he is against it and he urged you to be against this deal. he was extremely — president trump was — adamant about that. your reaction to that, given the fact that, look, he knows how to do this enforcement stuff, you don't need some new bill coming out of the senate to get the border enforced? yeah, president trump is not wrong. he and i have been talking about this pretty frequently. i talked to him the night before last about the same subject. we don't have the text of whatever

the senate has cooked up yet, and so we have to reserve judgment, i think, to see what comes out of it. kurt, let me pick this up with you. it is probably the key issue in this debate, the crisis at the border, and it should be, with 12,000 people coming across a day, but do the republicans really want a deal or do they want the issue to debate in the election? , ., , , election? they want the issue. blessin: election? they want the issue. blessing they _ election? they want the issue. blessing they want _ election? they want the issue. blessing they want is - election? they want the issue. blessing they want is for - election? they want the issue. - blessing they want is for something to actually get done on this and to take this issue all the playing field —— the lasting they want. listen, i have been talking about immigration, republicans have been baiting immigration as far back as i can remember. the first election i worked on was 2006, the congressional race, and the whole election was on the issue. the republicans have in using the issue for 2—wood have tickets to motivate their base, juice their turnout, try and win elections for it is always and win elections for it is always an invasion, it is always a border crisis, it is always about border security, that for all the times

repelling as a been in power, have the white house and congress, they have never actually done anything about this so—called crisis, they like having the issue. about this so-called crisis, they like having the issue.— about this so-called crisis, they like having the issue. acklin, it is worth making _ like having the issue. acklin, it is worth making the _ like having the issue. acklin, it is worth making the point _ like having the issue. acklin, it is worth making the point it is - like having the issue. acklin, it is i worth making the point it is tougher both caucuses —— stefanie. for democrats they will be stuff they will not like and they will have to begrudge. it will not suit either party? n0 audio you might have muted. have you muted? i you might have muted. have you muted? ., ., , ., ., , , muted? i totally agree that this is an issue that _ muted? i totally agree that this is an issue that is _ muted? i totally agree that this is an issue that is for _ muted? i totally agree that this is an issue that is for both _ muted? i totally agree that this is an issue that is for both parties, l muted? i totally agree that this is j an issue that is for both parties, a consistent— an issue that is for both parties, a consistent issue, and let's not forget — consistent issue, and let's not forget that a part of this package is aid _ forget that a part of this package is aid for— forget that a part of this package is aid for ukraine, the democrats definitely— is aid for ukraine, the democrats definitely want something to happen of a deal— definitely want something to happen of a deal to happen so that this much—needed aid can get to ukraine, but the _ much—needed aid can get to ukraine, but the republicans definitely see this as _ but the republicans definitely see this as a _ but the republicans definitely see this as a political issue that if there — this as a political issue that if there is— this as a political issue that if there is some progress made on it that it _ there is some progress made on it that it correctly help biden's campaign efforts, that is something they don't—

campaign efforts, that is something they don't want to see, so i think we will— they don't want to see, so i think we will continue to see a stem eight on this— we will continue to see a stem eight on this issue — we will continue to see a stem eight on this issue for a long time to come — on this issue for a long time to come. �* ., ,, ., ,., come. brian stelter, there are some republicans. — come. brian stelter, there are some republicans. we _ come. brian stelter, there are some republicans, we should _ come. brian stelter, there are some republicans, we should say, - come. brian stelter, there are some republicans, we should say, that. republicans, we should say, that look at this and say, we will never get 60 votes in the senate even if donald trump or the president, this is the best deal we are ever going to get. you have the likes of lindsey graham in the senate say, take the deal, take it now, but of the end of the day, it falls on house republicans who as kurt has said, want the issue.— said, want the issue. house republicans _ said, want the issue. house republicans face _ said, want the issue. house republicans face a problem | said, want the issue. house - republicans face a problem they seek reelection _ republicans face a problem they seek reelection later— republicans face a problem they seek reelection later this _ republicans face a problem they seek reelection later this year. _ republicans face a problem they seek reelection later this year. they - reelection later this year. they have _ reelection later this year. they have nothing _ reelection later this year. they have nothing to _ reelection later this year. they have nothing to go _ reelection later this year. they have nothing to go home - reelection later this year. they have nothing to go home and i reelection later this year. they. have nothing to go home and so reelection later this year. they - have nothing to go home and so and say, have nothing to go home and so and say. this— have nothing to go home and so and say. this is— have nothing to go home and so and say. this is what— have nothing to go home and so and say, this is what we _ have nothing to go home and so and say, this is what we were _ have nothing to go home and so and say, this is what we were able - have nothing to go home and so and say, this is what we were able to - say, this is what we were able to accomplish— say, this is what we were able to accomplish in— say, this is what we were able to accomplish in the _ say, this is what we were able to accomplish in the last _ say, this is what we were able to accomplish in the last two - say, this is what we were able toj accomplish in the last two years, this is— accomplish in the last two years, this is what— accomplish in the last two years, this is what we _ accomplish in the last two years, this is what we have _ accomplish in the last two years, this is what we have done - accomplish in the last two years, this is what we have done to - this is what we have done to adventure _ this is what we have done to adventure priorities. - this is what we have done to adventure priorities. don't l this is what we have done to i adventure priorities. don't have this is what we have done to - adventure priorities. don't have a sales— adventure priorities. don't have a sales pitch — adventure priorities. don't have a sales pitch to— adventure priorities. don't have a sales pitch to their _ adventure priorities. don't have a sales pitch to their voters. - adventure priorities. don't have a sales pitch to their voters. they i sales pitch to their voters. they could. _ sales pitch to their voters. they could. if— sales pitch to their voters. they could. if they— sales pitch to their voters. they could, if they wanted, - sales pitch to their voters. they could, if they wanted, to - sales pitch to their voters. they could, if they wanted, to bring i sales pitch to their voters. they - could, if they wanted, to bring back this immigration— could, if they wanted, to bring back this immigration compromise, - could, if they wanted, to bring back this immigration compromise, what could, if they wanted, to bring back. this immigration compromise, what it does not _ this immigration compromise, what it does not appear— this immigration compromise, what it does not appear that _ this immigration compromise, what it does not appear that is _ this immigration compromise, what it does not appear that is going - this immigration compromise, what it does not appear that is going to - does not appear that is going to happen— does not appear that is going to happen for— does not appear that is going to happen for some _ does not appear that is going to happen for some as _ does not appear that is going to happen for some as you - does not appear that is going to happen for some as you said, i does not appear that is going to - happen for some as you said, there are many— happen for some as you said, there are many that — happen for some as you said, there are many that are _ happen for some as you said, there are many that are pushing, - happen for some as you said, there are many that are pushing, but - are many that are pushing, but this is one _ are many that are pushing, but this is one of— are many that are pushing, but this is one of the — are many that are pushing, but this is one of the stalemate _ are many that are pushing, but this is one of the stalemate issues - are many that are pushing, but this is one of the stalemate issues that| is one of the stalemate issues that sours _ is one of the stalemate issues that sours people — is one of the stalemate issues that sours people on— is one of the stalemate issues that sours people on politics. _ is one of the stalemate issues that sours people on politics. as- is one of the stalemate issues that sours people on politics. as we -

is one of the stalemate issues that l sours people on politics. as we were talking _ sours people on politics. as we were talking about — sours people on politics. as we were talking about earlier. _ sours people on politics. as we were talking about earlier. some - sours people on politics. as we were talking about earlier. some of- sours people on politics. as we were talking about earlier. some of the i talking about earlier. some of the behaviour— talking about earlier. some of the behaviour of — talking about earlier. some of the behaviour of these _ talking about earlier. some of the behaviour of these politicians, - talking about earlier. some of the behaviour of these politicians, it i behaviour of these politicians, it causes _ behaviour of these politicians, it causes people _ behaviour of these politicians, it causes people to _ behaviour of these politicians, it causes people to tune _ behaviour of these politicians, it causes people to tune out - behaviour of these politicians, it causes people to tune out and l behaviour of these politicians, it. causes people to tune out and give up, causes people to tune out and give up. and _ causes people to tune out and give up, and immigration— causes people to tune out and give up, and immigration is— causes people to tune out and give up, and immigration is a _ causes people to tune out and give up, and immigration is a great - up, and immigration is a great example— up, and immigration is a great example of— up, and immigration is a great example of that, _ up, and immigration is a great example of that, even- up, and immigration is a great example of that, even though| up, and immigration is a great . example of that, even though as you shared _ example of that, even though as you shared with— example of that, even though as you shared with laura _ example of that, even though as you shared with laura ingram, _ example of that, even though as you shared with laura ingram, partisan. shared with laura ingram, partisan media _ shared with laura ingram, partisan media will— shared with laura ingram, partisan media will try _ shared with laura ingram, partisan media will try to _ shared with laura ingram, partisan media will try to make _ shared with laura ingram, partisan media will try to make it— shared with laura ingram, partisan media will try to make it the - media will try to make it the number one salient— media will try to make it the number one salient issue _ media will try to make it the number one salient issue of— media will try to make it the number one salient issue of the _ media will try to make it the number one salient issue of the election. - one salient issue of the election. just really— one salient issue of the election. just really quickly, _ one salient issue of the election. just really quickly, bryan - one salient issue of the election. just really quickly, bryan lanza, i just really quickly, bryan lanza, donald trump— is he the elephant in the room on this? does he call the shots? ~ , , ., , shots? absolutely. he has been callin: shots? absolutely. he has been calling the _ shots? absolutely. he has been calling the shots _ shots? absolutely. he has been calling the shots because - shots? absolutely. he has been calling the shots because he - shots? absolutely. he has been calling the shots because he is. shots? absolutely. he has been l calling the shots because he is hit the target last eight years. i remember kurt in 2006 custom we have been consistent. we want some form of border security. we'll see if compromise is real. we are certainly not talk about amnesty for anybody, that conversation shifted about eight years ago. that conversation shifted about eight years ago-— that conversation shifted about eight years ago. we'll get a quick break. eight years ago. we'll get a quick break- stay _ eight years ago. we'll get a quick break. stay with _ eight years ago. we'll get a quick break. stay with us. _ for our uk viewers,

we are going to focus on the storms. storm jocelyn coming into the uk just a few hours after storm isha. let's bring in ben rich. storm issues, such a mist across the country over the last 26, 48 issues, such a mist across the country over the last 24, 48 hours. are we going to get more of the same? . are we going to get more of the same? , ., ., , ., ., ., ~' are we going to get more of the same? , ., ., , ., .,, same? this form does not look as bad, but same? this form does not look as bad. but partly — same? this form does not look as bad, but partly problem _ same? this form does not look as bad, but partly problem is - same? this form does not look as bad, but partly problem is that. bad, but partly problem is that as you have said, storm isha left so much damage and so much disruption any more when he weather on top of that could well cause further issues. it isa it is a succession of storms. this is isha, that real monster storm sunday night into monday. we had a slightly drier, clearer gap, and this great swirl of cloud behind the here, this is storm jocelyn, at the centre of the storm is where we had the strong as of the winds. you can see this hook on our earlier satellite image, that is where we had the strong as of the winds. that

is moving across the north of the uk. the ones that have been picking up uk. the ones that have been picking up over recent hours. thus likely to touch maybe 80 mph around some of those expose coast —— gusts. a broader area across all of scotland, northern england, the midlands unaware we have yellow warnings in force for the met office and in this area, we could see some problematic strong winds. quite a broad swathe of the country affected once again. the winds will be peaking as we go through the course of the night. these are some of the winds we have seen just recently. the strong us? so far west wales, 76 mph, butjust in the last little while we saw a gust of 71 most per hour on the eastern side of northern ireland, so, yes, those winds ratcheting up to the early hours of the morning, wednesday morning. we will see those wind gusts touching 70, maybe 80 mph. with that we are seeing quite a lot of hefty showers and

thunderstorms moving across scotland in particular, so could be quite a troublesome night sleep not only the strength of the wind but those really downpours moving through, squally winds, gales as we start the morning, but storm jocelyn will be moving away tomorrow, so those? will slowly ease and the weather tomorrow afternoon does not look too bad. still blustery but not as windy. it was rattling my windows. we asked matt last night, talking about the pattern. do you see an increasing pattern. do you see an increasing pattern of these storms that have greater ferocity then maybe we saw in recent years? this greater ferocity then maybe we saw in recent years?— in recent years? this year is a particular— in recent years? this year is a particular lease _ in recent years? this year is a particular lease one _ in recent years? this year is a particular lease one so - in recent years? this year is a particular lease one so far. i in recent years? this year is a . particular lease one so far. there are various complex reasons for that. el nino, which we know is going on in the pacific right now, is one thing that can lead to more winter storms. certainly what we have had recently is a strong and powerfuljet have had recently is a strong and powerful jet stream. have had recently is a strong and powerfuljet stream. the strong winds high up in the atmosphere. thatjet stream actually partially fuelled by partly cold weather they

had in the us and canada last week. that powerfuljet had in the us and canada last week. that powerful jet stream had in the us and canada last week. that powerfuljet stream have been reaching around to it miles per hour and that is what has been giving the energy to spin up all these various areas of low pressure. one thing you might well ask is, climate change, does cleanin change makes it storms like these more likely in the uk? actually this is one area where scientists are quite unsure about the impact of climate change. one thing we do know is that any warmer world, we see heavier rain, so when these storms to come through, rain will be more and more of an issue, christian. . ~' , ., will be more and more of an issue, christian. ., ,, , ., , . christian. thank you very much indeed. batten _ christian. thank you very much indeed. batten down _ christian. thank you very much indeed. batten down the - christian. thank you very much l indeed. batten down the hatches christian. thank you very much - indeed. batten down the hatches if you want to look plenty more information there. hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. joe biden and kamala harris continue their campaign in virginia, with abortion rights expected to feature prominently — this is the live event in manassas.

it's no coincidence that tonight, as results come in in new hampshire, the presidentjoe biden and his vice president kamala harris will be on stage together in manassas, north virginia. let's ta ke let's take you back to the life pictures. they'll be talking abortion rights, a key issue for democrats in this campaign. in fact, it's an issue that has worked well for democrats ever since the supreme court overturned the roe v wade provisions in 2022. biden and harris will be on stage tonight with their spouses, first ladyjill biden and second gentleman doug emhoff will be there. it's the first time the four of them have appeared together since the campaign officially began. a short while ago, we heard from democratic consultantjulie zebrak. 2024 is going to decide how