new hampshire is first in the nation — it is not the last. this race is far from over. there are dozens of states left to go. super tuesday— most of the states are open primaries — _ which means independents and democrats can vote i alongside republicans. that, at this point, | is the only way that nikki haley can take _ the nomination from donald trump. our panel this hour, sonia priya sodha — chief leader writer at the observer and a guardian columnist. scott galloway — professor of marketing at the new york university stern school of business and broadcaster. and joel rubin, former deputy assistant secretary of state for the obama administration first, though the latest bbc news. russia has accused the ukrainian military of shooting down a military plane in the russian region of belgorod, near the border.

the russians say the aircraft was carrying 65 ukrainian prisoners of war and that everyone on board was killed. the un humanitarian agency in gaza says nine people have been killed after two israeli tank rounds hit a building in a training centre, in gaza's main southern city of khan yunis. 800 people had taken refuge there. the us military says iranian—backed houthi rebels have fired three missiles toward an american container ship transiting the gulf of aden. one missile fell into the sea. the other two were shot down by a us warship. there were no reported injuries of damage to the container ship and italy's parliament has approved a controversial deal, which would see some asylum seekers transferred to albania. the plan is to have processing centres on albanian territory, which will deal with the claims under italian law. good evening. donald trump has made a giant step towards the republican nomination, adding new hampshire to the victory

he sealed in iowa just a week ago. the former president saw off a late rally from challenger nikki haley, to take the granite state byjust over 11 points, but any satisfaction he felt at that result, seemed to be overshadowed by his irritation that she is refusing to concede. you know we have to do what is good for party, she was up and i said, quote or while, she's doing a speech like she won. " we had an honour —— unbelievable week last week in iowa, we set a record, it was the best in the history of the caucus, in the history, and i remember, isort of had the same feeling. i am up and emotion and think she's taken a victory lap, we beat her so badly. but, ron beecher also, victory lap, we beat her so badly. but, ron beecheralso, he victory lap, we beat her so badly.

but, ron beecher also, he came in at second then he left, she came in third and she is still hanging around. nikki haley did acknowledge that the odds are stacked against her and congratulated donald trump on his victory. but the former governor of south carolina is determined to fight onto the next primary in her home state in a month's time. i want to congratulate donald trump on his victory tonight. he earned that, and i want to acknowledge that. now, you have all heard the chatter among the political class. they are falling all overthemselves, saying this race is over. it's not over! cheering. well, i have news for all of them. new hampshire, is first in the nation, it is not last in the nation. cheering. this race is far from over. there are dozens of states left to go. cheering.

the unique factor within the new hampshire primary is the size of the undeclared, independent voters. they were 40% of the ballot. and they broke for nikki haley, 60% to 38 % who voted for trump. but it is the republican vote that is so critical. no candidate wins the nomination without carrying their own party. and among those who declared themselves republican yesterday, 74% voted for trump 25% for haley. that is really the story of this election so far. let me show you the early polling from south carolina. a state closer in character to iowa than new hampshire. it is 53% trump, 22% haley. she does have four weeks, to make in—roads into that lead. but that is why there is significant scepticism in the party that haley can win. you have the rnc chair calling for the party tonight, they are the sort

of endorsements that increase the pressure. ikla of endorsements that increase the ressure. ., ., , pressure. no doubt about it, if governor _ pressure. no doubt about it, if governor haley _ pressure. no doubt about it, if governor haley couldn't - pressure. no doubt about it, if governor haley couldn't pull. pressure. no doubt about it, if| governor haley couldn't pull off pressure. no doubt about it, if. governor haley couldn't pull off a win and more moderate state where there is more independence and more couege there is more independence and more college educated voters that lean towards candidate haley, it's difficult to see how things don't get worse. it feels like new hampshire was not only a primary, but it was really a week, kind of signalling the end of the republican astonishment, the bush, cheney era, with the republican party has been co—opted by what you can call a trump element. it felt like the and of the republican party as the establishment, i would like to think. in that they are not coming back, there is no race urgency. she's a last vestige of that. the oint is, she's a last vestige of that. the point is, sonia, _ she's a last vestige of that. the point is, sonia, you _

she's a last vestige of that. the point is, sonia, you can't win an election without independents or moderates come to your side but neither can you win a primary without the republican base, on that score she's been trounced. absolutely, it's a contradiction in the american system that you first of all_ the american system that you first of all have — the american system that you first of all have to appeal to your party core voters — of all have to appeal to your party core voters in order to win the nomination, then you have to go on to win _ nomination, then you have to go on to win a _ nomination, then you have to go on to win a general election. a party core base — to win a general election. a party core base looks very different from the electorate in an american general— the electorate in an american general election, so her argument, and her_ general election, so her argument, and her supporters argument, has always— and her supporters argument, has always been that we are best placed to attract _ always been that we are best placed to attract the swing voters we need to attract the swing voters we need to to get _ to attract the swing voters we need to to get the republican party the best chance againstjoe biden. that isn't where — best chance againstjoe biden. that isn't where the republican base where _ isn't where the republican base where people who go out and vote in primaries— where people who go out and vote in primaries are at the moment. there is a parallel— primaries are at the moment. there is a parallel with the uk where we have _ is a parallel with the uk where we have moved to a system in the uk where _ have moved to a system in the uk where party members vote for party leaders. _ where party members vote for party leaders, and the party membership

often _ leaders, and the party membership often look— leaders, and the party membership often look very different today electorate are large. quite often, you get— electorate are large. quite often, you get the skull practice in the uk as well, _ you get the skull practice in the uk as well, selecting candidates believing that the appeal more to the base — believing that the appeal more to the base than the general electric. i said _ the base than the general electric. i said last — the base than the general electric. i said last nightjoel, that it wasn't the result we were looking out for, it was the clues behind the results that are so important, and nikki haley's place in this race has really shone a light on donald trump's key weakness, which is bringing back those who left them in 2020, and convincing the independents and moderates he is with another shot. he independents and moderates he is with another shot.— independents and moderates he is with another shot. he hasn't made up round and with another shot. he hasn't made up ground and that counts, _ with another shot. he hasn't made up ground and that counts, in fact - with another shot. he hasn't made up ground and that counts, in fact he - ground and that counts, in fact he has lost _ ground and that counts, in fact he has lost ground _ ground and that counts, in fact he has lost ground most _ ground and that counts, in fact he has lost ground most of— ground and that counts, in fact he has lost ground most of looking . ground and that counts, in fact he| has lost ground most of looking at exit polls. — has lost ground most of looking at exit polls, college _ has lost ground most of looking at exit polls, college educated - has lost ground most of looking at| exit polls, college educated voters went exit polls, college educated voters weht for— exit polls, college educated voters went for it — exit polls, college educated voters went for it nikki _ exit polls, college educated voters went for it nikki haley, _ exit polls, college educated voters went for it nikki haley, noncollege educated _ went for it nikki haley, noncollege educated voters _ went for it nikki haley, noncollege educated voters went _ went for it nikki haley, noncollege educated voters went for - went for it nikki haley, noncollege educated voters went for donald . educated voters went for donald trump _ educated voters went for donald trump hy— educated voters went for donald trump by a _ educated voters went for donald trump by a significant _ educated voters went for donald trump by a significant margin. educated voters went for donald l trump by a significant margin but these _ trump by a significant margin but these independence _ trump by a significant margin but these independence are - trump by a significant margin but these independence are the - trump by a significant margin but| these independence are the swing state _ these independence are the swing state voters — these independence are the swing state voters that _ these independence are the swing state voters that matter, - these independence are the swing state voters that matter, they- state voters that matter, they determined _ state voters that matter, they determined michigan - state voters that matter, they determined michigan or- state voters that matter, they- determined michigan or pennsylvania or arizona. _ determined michigan or pennsylvania or arizona. the — determined michigan or pennsylvania or arizona, the states _

determined michigan or pennsylvania or arizona, the states that _ determined michigan or pennsylvania or arizona, the states that donald - or arizona, the states that donald trump _ or arizona, the states that donald trump iost — or arizona, the states that donald trump lost to _ or arizona, the states that donald trump lost to joe _ or arizona, the states that donald trump lost tojoe biden. - or arizona, the states that donald trump lost tojoe biden. if- or arizona, the states that donald trump lost to joe biden. if you . trump lost to joe biden. if you can't _ trump lost to joe biden. if you can't get — trump lost to joe biden. if you can't get the _ trump lost to joe biden. if you can't get the independents, i trump lost tojoe biden. if youi can't get the independents, he trump lost to joe biden. if you - can't get the independents, he won't win this _ can't get the independents, he won't win this coming _ can't get the independents, he won't win this coming election _ can't get the independents, he won't win this coming election either- win this coming election either mohth— win this coming election either month so— win this coming election either month so i_ win this coming election either month so i think— win this coming election either month so i think nikki - win this coming election either month so i think nikki haley. win this coming election either month so i think nikki haley isi month so i think nikki haley is exposing — month so i think nikki haley is exoosing them, _ month so i think nikki haley is exposing them, he _ month so i think nikki haley is exposing them, he wants - month so i think nikki haley is exposing them, he wants of. month so i think nikki haley is. exposing them, he wants of the month so i think nikki haley is- exposing them, he wants of the race because _ exposing them, he wants of the race because he _ exposing them, he wants of the race because he knows— exposing them, he wants of the race because he knows she _ exposing them, he wants of the race because he knows she is _ exposing them, he wants of the race because he knows she is shining a i because he knows she is shining a li-ht because he knows she is shining a light on— because he knows she is shining a light on is— because he knows she is shining a light on is weakest _ because he knows she is shining a light on is weakest spot, - because he knows she is shining a light on is weakest spot, which i because he knows she is shining a light on is weakest spot, which is| light on is weakest spot, which is that he _ light on is weakest spot, which is that he is— light on is weakest spot, which is that he is not— light on is weakest spot, which is that he is not attractive - light on is weakest spot, which is that he is not attractive to - that he is not attractive to moderates _ that he is not attractive to moderates and _ that he is not attractive to i moderates and independents that he is not attractive to - moderates and independents and that he is not attractive to _ moderates and independents and she will continue — moderates and independents and she will continue to— moderates and independents and she will continue to fight _ moderates and independents and she will continue to fight in _ moderates and independents and she will continue to fight in this _ moderates and independents and she will continue to fight in this race - will continue to fight in this race and shame _ will continue to fight in this race and shame that _ will continue to fight in this race and shame that spotlight, - will continue to fight in this race i and shame that spotlight, and may will continue to fight in this race - and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for— and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for a _ and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for a break. _ and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for a break, maybe _ and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for a break, maybe he _ and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for a break, maybe he will- and shame that spotlight, and may be hope for a break, maybe he will get. hope for a break, maybe he will get convicted or— hope for a break, maybe he will get convicted or go— hope for a break, maybe he will get convicted or go to _ hope for a break, maybe he will get convicted or go to jail, _ hope for a break, maybe he will get convicted or go to jail, who - hope for a break, maybe he will get convicted or go to jail, who knows. convicted or go to jail, who knows what _ convicted or go to jail, who knows what could — convicted or go to jail, who knows what could happen? _ convicted or go to jail, who knows what could happen? which - convicted or go to jail, who knows what could happen? which is - convicted or go to jail, who knows what could happen? which is why| convicted or go to jail, who knows- what could happen? which is why she was to— what could happen? which is why she was to get— what could happen? which is why she was to get out — what could happen? which is why she was to get out. that— what could happen? which is why she was to get out-— was to get out. that is the point, scott, was to get out. that is the point, scott. when _ was to get out. that is the point, scott. when you _ was to get out. that is the point, scott, when you talk— was to get out. that is the point, scott, when you talk about - was to get out. that is the point, - scott, when you talk about suburban voters and college educated and particularly women, and we might seek —— talk a bit about abortion during the evening and hope for importance of this of those voters, and the swing states and key cities, phoenix in arizona or atlanta and georgia, or pittsburgh in pennsylvania, these are the places that donald trump has the wind to take the ticket, will the be concerned by what they saw last night in new hampshire? it’s

concerned by what they saw last night in new hampshire? it's really unusualto night in new hampshire? it's really unusual to your— night in new hampshire? it's really unusual to your panelists _ night in new hampshire? it's really unusual to your panelists this - unusual to your panelists this point, we know in the us have minority rule, 80% of our senators are from 20% of the publishing, we kind of look at this as a series of bad decisions between bad decisions in terms of the candidates. no one is happy with the candidates proposed here, and if you look at, i think if you look at the media once a person there is a race right now, the states have already voted, effectively, only five haven't voted, texas, california, new york, or they ardianto revolted, there are five or so that matter, and what is striking in —— striking and frightening, they can about the state of the world, the conflict in the middle east or the war in ukraine, ourapproach the middle east or the war in ukraine, our approach to china, trade policy, we do set the tone, i think, for the world on a lot of levels and it will come down to maybe tens of thousands of soccer

mums, not evenjust maybe tens of thousands of soccer mums, not even just five states but seven counties. mums, not even 'ust five states but seven counties.— seven counties. could you overly, joel, seven counties. could you overly, joel. over— seven counties. could you overly, joel. overthat. — seven counties. could you overly, joel, over that, that _ seven counties. could you overly, joel, over that, that the - seven counties. could you overly, joel, over that, that the decision | joel, over that, that the decision comes on to five states? the fact that the party machinery only leaves options were to candidates, you have been phillips up in that is a have a short, and a fresh face indicated action nikki haley who won't get a chance because the party has decided. , . ., , ., , decided. they are not party others were saying _ decided. they are not party others were saying that _ decided. they are not party others were saying that joe _ decided. they are not party others were saying that joe biden - decided. they are not party others were saying that joe biden must i decided. they are not party others| were saying that joe biden must be were saying thatjoe biden must be in and _ were saying thatjoe biden must be in and donald — were saying thatjoe biden must be in and donald trump _ were saying thatjoe biden must be in and donald trump must - were saying thatjoe biden must be in and donald trump must be - were saying thatjoe biden must be in and donald trump must be it, i were saying thatjoe biden must be in and donald trump must be it, it| in and donald trump must be it, it is the beast— in and donald trump must be it, it is the beast itself— in and donald trump must be it, it is the beast itself who _ in and donald trump must be it, it is the beast itself who say - in and donald trump must be it, it is the beast itself who say they- is the beast itself who say they want _ is the beast itself who say they want to keep _ is the beast itself who say they want to keep donald _ is the beast itself who say they want to keep donald trump - is the beast itself who say they. want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, _ want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, trut— want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, but i— want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, but i think— want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, but i think to— want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, but i think to the - want to keep donald trump orjoe biden, but i think to the point- want to keep donald trump orjoe| biden, but i think to the point that were _ biden, but i think to the point that were discussed _ biden, but i think to the point that were discussed in, _ biden, but i think to the point that were discussed in, these - biden, but i think to the point that. were discussed in, these independent voters _ were discussed in, these independent voters that— were discussed in, these independent voters that are — were discussed in, these independent voters that are in _ were discussed in, these independent voters that are in the _ were discussed in, these independent voters that are in the swing _ were discussed in, these independent voters that are in the swing states - voters that are in the swing states in the _ voters that are in the swing states in the middle _ voters that are in the swing states in the middle of _ voters that are in the swing states in the middle of the _ voters that are in the swing states in the middle of the country, - voters that are in the swing states in the middle of the country, they| in the middle of the country, they are up— in the middle of the country, they are up for— in the middle of the country, they are up for grabs _ in the middle of the country, they are up for grabs. that _ in the middle of the country, they are up for grabs. that is - in the middle of the country, they are up for grabs. that is why- in the middle of the country, they are up for grabs. that is whyjoe i are up for grabs. that is whyjoe biden— are up for grabs. that is whyjoe biden was— are up for grabs. that is whyjoe biden was the _ are up for grabs. that is whyjoe biden was the appealing - are up for grabs. that is whyjoe . biden was the appealing candidate are up for grabs. that is whyjoe - biden was the appealing candidate in 2020. _ biden was the appealing candidate in 2020, because — biden was the appealing candidate in 2020, because he _ biden was the appealing candidate in 2020, because he was— biden was the appealing candidate in 2020, because he was seen- biden was the appealing candidate inj 2020, because he was seen amongst democrats. _ 2020, because he was seen amongst democrats. and _ 2020, because he was seen amongst democrats, and this _ 2020, because he was seen amongst democrats, and this is— 2020, because he was seen amongst democrats, and this is where - democrats, and this is where the study— democrats, and this is where the study mission _ democrats, and this is where the study mission came _ democrats, and this is where the study mission came in, _ democrats, and this is where the study mission came in, bernie i study mission came in, bernie sanders— study mission came in, bernie sanders was— study mission came in, bernie sanders was doing _ study mission came in, bernie

sanders was doing well - study mission came in, bernie sanders was doing well in - study mission came in, bernie . sanders was doing well in 2020, study mission came in, bernie - sanders was doing well in 2020, and in south _ sanders was doing well in 2020, and in south carolina _ sanders was doing well in 2020, and in south carolina joe _ sanders was doing well in 2020, and in south carolina joe biden _ sanders was doing well in 2020, and in south carolina joe biden one, - in south carolina joe biden one, and all of— in south carolina joe biden one, and all of the _ in south carolina joe biden one, and all of the opponents _ in south carolina joe biden one, and all of the opponents to _ in south carolina joe biden one, and all of the opponents to joe biden - all of the opponents to joe biden essentially— all of the opponents to joe biden essentially quick— all of the opponents to joe biden essentially quick and _ all of the opponents to joe biden essentially quick and endorsed . all of the opponents to joe biden. essentially quick and endorsed joe biden, _ essentially quick and endorsed joe biden, why? — essentially quick and endorsed joe biden, why? because— essentially quick and endorsed joe biden, why? because they- essentially quick and endorsed joe biden, why? because they viewed| essentially quick and endorsed joe - biden, why? because they viewed him as the _ biden, why? because they viewed him as the one _ biden, why? because they viewed him as the one who— biden, why? because they viewed him as the one who did _ biden, why? because they viewed him as the one who did get _ biden, why? because they viewed him as the one who did get the _ as the one who did get the moderates, _ as the one who did get the moderates, independent, i as the one who did get the - moderates, independent, swing as the one who did get the _ moderates, independent, swing voters in the _ moderates, independent, swing voters in the midwest — moderates, independent, swing voters in the midwest and _ moderates, independent, swing voters in the midwest and these _ moderates, independent, swing voters in the midwest and these five - moderates, independent, swing voters in the midwest and these five to - in the midwest and these five to seven— in the midwest and these five to seven states, _ in the midwest and these five to seven states, and _ in the midwest and these five to seven states, and that - in the midwest and these five toi seven states, and that his appeal and that— seven states, and that his appeal and that is— seven states, and that his appeal and that is where _ seven states, and that his appeal and that is where donald - seven states, and that his appeal and that is where donald trump i seven states, and that his appeali and that is where donald trump is always— and that is where donald trump is always been— and that is where donald trump is always been weak— and that is where donald trump is always been weak and _ and that is where donald trump is always been weak and that - and that is where donald trump is. always been weak and that is where the ballot _ always been weak and that is where the ballot ground _ always been weak and that is where the ballot ground will— always been weak and that is where the ballot ground will be. _ always been weak and that is where the ballot ground will be. just - always been weak and that is where the ballot ground will be.— the ballot ground will be. just one elements, sonia, _ the ballot ground will be. just one elements, sonia, that's _ the ballot ground will be. just one elements, sonia, that's always i elements, sonia, that's always looking at from the exit poll, and we can put it up screen, if trump is convicted, as fit to be president? yes, 57%, 42%, more people in new hampshire think he would be fit to run it than iowa, and that is the unknown factor in and that is why nikki haley is staying in it. i nikki haley is staying in it. i think that is right and clearly people — think that is right and clearly people try— think that is right and clearly people try -- _ think that is right and clearly people try -- who— think that is right and clearly people try —— who are - think that is right and clearly people try —— who are loyal. think that is right and clearlyi people try —— who are loyal to trump, — people try —— who are loyal to trump, and _ people try —— who are loyal to trump, and the _ people try —— who are loyal to trump, and the republican. people try —— who are loyal to - trump, and the republican base, it clearly— trump, and the republican base, it clearly isn't — trump, and the republican base, it clearly isn't such _ trump, and the republican base, it

clearly isn't such a _ trump, and the republican base, it clearly isn't such a issue _ trump, and the republican base, it clearly isn't such a issue for - trump, and the republican base, it clearly isn't such a issue for them. i clearly isn't such a issue for them. how— clearly isn't such a issue for them. how would — clearly isn't such a issue for them. how would it— clearly isn't such a issue for them. how would it go _ clearly isn't such a issue for them. how would it go. if— clearly isn't such a issue for them. how would it go. if he _ clearly isn't such a issue for them. how would it go. if he was - how would it go. if he was convicted? how would it go with moderate — convicted? how would it go with moderate voters? and that is the big question— moderate voters? and that is the big question i_ moderate voters? and that is the big question i think. so, absolutely, i think— question i think. so, absolutely, i think the — question i think. so, absolutely, i think the issue republican party has his when— think the issue republican party has his when you take a step back, it is absolutely— his when you take a step back, it is absolutely crazy, the idea that a president— absolutely crazy, the idea that a president —— is being convicted of, or former— president —— is being convicted of, or former president, rather, presidential candidate, becoming more _ presidential candidate, becoming more popular because of that conviction, it's completely crazy but that — conviction, it's completely crazy but that is— conviction, it's completely crazy but that is a position where we are at with— but that is a position where we are at with some of the republican core based _ at with some of the republican core based and _ at with some of the republican core based and that i think is a real problem — based and that i think is a real problem for the republican party. that not _ problem for the republican party. that not only can trump do no wrong, the more _ that not only can trump do no wrong, the more the — that not only can trump do no wrong, the more the system seems to be set against him. — the more the system seems to be set against him, the more they like them _ the biden team has been eager to get to the next stage of the campaign. they firmly believe that once it is a biden trump match up, the choice for the country

will become much clearer. in a statement last night the president said "it is now clear, that donald trump will be the republican nominee. and my message to the country is the stakes could not be higher. our democracy. our personal freedoms — from the right to choose to the right to vote. our economy — which has seen the strongest recovery in the world since covid. all are at stake. there has though, been some hand wringing among democratic strategists. some concerns expressed recently by barack obama that a trump challenge is being taken too lightly. and is response the president is now deploying two of his top advisers from the white house to his campaign. jennifer o'malley dillon who ran his 2020 operations, will move across. so too mike donilon who is perhaps closer to the president than any other. he will plot their 2024 strategy. does that convince you that your take —— they are taking the issues more seriously? it is

take -- they are taking the issues more seriously?— more seriously? it is crystallised that donald _ more seriously? it is crystallised that donald trump _ more seriously? it is crystallised that donald trump is _ more seriously? it is crystallised that donald trump is the - more seriously? it is crystallised. that donald trump is the nominee more seriously? it is crystallised - that donald trump is the nominee and these _ that donald trump is the nominee and these two _ that donald trump is the nominee and these two additions, _ that donald trump is the nominee and these two additions, they _ that donald trump is the nominee and these two additions, they are - these two additions, they are veterans of— these two additions, they are veterans of the _ these two additions, they are veterans of the campaign, i these two additions, they are i veterans of the campaign, and these two additions, they are - veterans of the campaign, and they came _ veterans of the campaign, and they came into _ veterans of the campaign, and they came into work— veterans of the campaign, and they came into work with _ veterans of the campaign, and they came into work with president - veterans of the campaign, and they| came into work with president biden a bit came into work with president biden a hit earlier— came into work with president biden a bit earlier than— came into work with president biden a bit earlier than last _ came into work with president biden a bit earlier than last time _ came into work with president biden a bit earlier than last time so - came into work with president biden a bit earlier than last time so she . a bit earlier than last time so she has been — a bit earlier than last time so she has been alongside _ a bit earlier than last time so she has been alongside the _ a bit earlier than last time so she has been alongside the president a bit earlier than last time so she i has been alongside the president in the oval— has been alongside the president in the oval office _ has been alongside the president in the oval office in— has been alongside the president in the oval office in the _ has been alongside the president in the oval office in the last _ has been alongside the president in the oval office in the last few- the oval office in the last few years — the oval office in the last few years and _ the oval office in the last few years and is— the oval office in the last few years and is regarded - the oval office in the last few years and is regarded as- the oval office in the last few- years and is regarded as someone who knows him _ years and is regarded as someone who knows him to— years and is regarded as someone who knows him to get— years and is regarded as someone who knows him to get the _ years and is regarded as someone who knows him to get the job done - years and is regarded as someone who knows him to get the job done three i knows him to get the job done three years— knows him to get the job done three years ago. _ knows him to get the job done three years ago. when— knows him to get the job done three years ago, when the _ knows him to get the job done three years ago, when the president - knows him to get the job done three years ago, when the president was i years ago, when the president was running _ years ago, when the president was running as— years ago, when the president was running as a — years ago, when the president was running as a candidate, _ years ago, when the president was running as a candidate, he - years ago, when the president was running as a candidate, he was - years ago, when the president wasi running as a candidate, he was also told to— running as a candidate, he was also told to shape — running as a candidate, he was also told to shape up— running as a candidate, he was also told to shape up his campaign, - running as a candidate, he was also told to shape up his campaign, so l told to shape up his campaign, so right— told to shape up his campaign, so right now— told to shape up his campaign, so right now you _ told to shape up his campaign, so right now you can _ told to shape up his campaign, so right now you can see _ told to shape up his campaign, so right now you can see there - told to shape up his campaign, so right now you can see there try. told to shape up his campaign, so right now you can see there try toj right now you can see there try to turn on _ right now you can see there try to turn on all— right now you can see there try to turn on all the _ right now you can see there try to turn on all the cylinders _ right now you can see there try to turn on all the cylinders and - right now you can see there try to turn on all the cylinders and have| turn on all the cylinders and have raised _ turn on all the cylinders and have raised a — turn on all the cylinders and have raised a lot— turn on all the cylinders and have raised a lot of— turn on all the cylinders and have raised a lot of money— turn on all the cylinders and have raised a lot of money and - turn on all the cylinders and have raised a lot of money and have i raised a lot of money and have not needed _ raised a lot of money and have not needed to— raised a lot of money and have not needed to deploy _ raised a lot of money and have not needed to deploy that _ raised a lot of money and have not needed to deploy that money- raised a lot of money and have not needed to deploy that money and i raised a lot of money and have not l needed to deploy that money and do ads, but _ needed to deploy that money and do ads, but the — needed to deploy that money and do ads, but the message _ needed to deploy that money and do ads, but the message is— needed to deploy that money and do ads, but the message is clear, - needed to deploy that money and do ads, but the message is clear, the l ads, but the message is clear, the target _ ads, but the message is clear, the target is _ ads, but the message is clear, the target is clear. _ ads, but the message is clear, the target is clear, and _ ads, but the message is clear, the target is clear, and now— ads, but the message is clear, the target is clear, and now we're - ads, but the message is clear, the. target is clear, and now we're going to see _ target is clear, and now we're going to see hard — target is clear, and now we're going to see hard messaging _ target is clear, and now we're going to see hard messaging by— target is clear, and now we're going to see hard messaging byjoe bidenj to see hard messaging byjoe biden against _ to see hard messaging byjoe biden against donald _ to see hard messaging byjoe biden against donald trump. _ to see hard messaging by joe biden against donald trump.— to see hard messaging by joe biden against donald trump. some of those warninus against donald trump. some of those warnings came _ against donald trump. some of those warnings came from _ against donald trump. some of those warnings came from the _ against donald trump. some of those warnings came from the governor- against donald trump. some of those warnings came from the governor in l warnings came from the governor in michigan who wanted them to lean against their ace, which is of course the abortion issue. here is

what he had to say as night. in the past year, trump himself endorsed the federal ban, promising to lead the charge, god love him. and that means even if you live in a state where extremist republicans are not in charge of state government, your right to choose, your right to privacy is still at risk. but as long as i have the power of the presidency, know this — if congress pass a national abortion ban, i will veto it. cheering. i will veto it. interesting debate, and we're within from poland, setting up a new issue there as well, and one thing to look at it, do you think it is a stronger card for the democrats in the election than it was in the midterms? it election than it was in the midterms?— election than it was in the midterms? ., ., , , midterms? it would only become stronaer, midterms? it would only become stronger, america _ midterms? it would only become stronger, america is _ midterms? it would only become stronger, america is supposed i midterms? it would only becomej stronger, america is supposed to midterms? it would only become i stronger, america is supposed to be the shining light on the hill, moderate values, it's out rallying

cry for democrats and also for republicans, in places like mexico, cementing a woman's right to choice, which is traditionally been a very catholic, and america going back, it's a motivating story and some ads are very powerful, showing women in texas who are literally physically threatening their lives are at threat, and their ability to have more children, and they have to leave the state, and we have a governor who came in third, ron desantis, who wanted to take the limit down to six weeks. i think the rallying cry for messaging for democrats is going to be choice. i think for the republicans it will be immigration. tline think for the republicans it will be immigration-— immigration. one is to finish on, sonia. we _ immigration. one is to finish on, sonia, we were covering - immigration. one is to finish on, | sonia, we were covering the rally last night up in north virginia, and we didn't get to what he was saying because he was interrupted so many times by protesters in the crowd who are campaigning fora times by protesters in the crowd who are campaigning for a cease—fire in the middle east and that is going to

be a feature of the early part of the campaign, and it would be a problem forjoe biden. it the campaign, and it would be a problem forjoe biden.— the campaign, and it would be a problem forjoe biden. it would be a feature of the _ problem forjoe biden. it would be a feature of the whole _ problem forjoe biden. it would be a feature of the whole presidential, i feature of the whole presidential, notiust_ feature of the whole presidential, notjust democratic feature of the whole presidential, not just democratic primary but the whole _ not just democratic primary but the whole election campaign, i think, because _ whole election campaign, i think, because we are seeing a presidential election— because we are seeing a presidential election being fought against the backdrop of an increase in the chaotic— backdrop of an increase in the chaotic world, characterised by growing — chaotic world, characterised by growing levels of instability, whether you look at russia— ukraine, as a - _ whether you look at russia— ukraine, as a - israel. — whether you look at russia— ukraine, as a — israel, looking at taiwan or china, _ as a — israel, looking at taiwan or china, it's — as a — israel, looking at taiwan or china, it's incredibly high—stakes, so president biden faces the seaway has guit— so president biden faces the seaway has quit visiting from his own party for his— has quit visiting from his own party for his position on israel— gaza, particularly _ for his position on israel— gaza, particularly his strong support for israel. _ particularly his strong support for israel. but — particularly his strong support for israel, but when you look at the where _ israel, but when you look at the where the — israel, but when you look at the where the nation is broadly, they may not— where the nation is broadly, they may not he — where the nation is broadly, they may not be in step with the democratic core base month so it would _

democratic core base month so it would he — democratic core base month so it would be high—stakes and i think would _ would be high—stakes and i think would he — would be high—stakes and i think would be a big issue in the campaign. do you want president trump _ campaign. do you want president trump with an america first foreign policy, _ trump with an america first foreign policy, what does that mean for america's— policy, what does that mean for america's role in the world? and for us here _ america's role in the world? and for us here in— america's role in the world? and for us here in the uk, it would be a hugely— us here in the uk, it would be a hugely high—stakes election for that reason _ hugely high—stakes election for that reason. we hugely high-stakes election for that reason. ~ ., ., . , . ~ and if the uk is turning left, why are so many in europe, turning right. all that to come. let's look at some other stories making news. the body that looks into potential wrongful convictions was warned it could have missed important dna evidence in rain cases a year after first rejecting an appeal by andrew malkinson. his conviction wasn't overturned until a decade later and his lawyers say the criminal cases review commission report means he could have been exonerated earlier. police have shot a dog dead after reports of it attacking a man in hamilton in scotland. officers were called

to the tinto view area of the town on tuesday to deal with the "dangerously out—of—control" animal. the man was taken to hospital with "serious injuries" following the incident, which involved a "large bulldog—type dog". almost ten million people in england now can't access free earwax removal services on the nhs. the hearing loss charity rnid warned that some people are resorting to "dangerous self—removal methods" if they can't afford to go private. the government says patients can still be referred by their gp if the problem is linked to hearing loss. you're live with bbc news the russian foreign minister sergei lavrov has called an emergency session at the security council tomorrow, to discuss events surrounding the downing of a russian transport plane, near the city of belgorod. the russian account is that ukraine brought down the plane deliberately — and on board were 65 ukrainian pows who were due to be exchanged at the border later today.

the ukrainians are less sure about who or what exactly was on board. but they seemed to admit earlier that they might have shot it down "it was up to russia to ensure the safety of our defenders under the agreements that had been reached," said a spokesman. "ukraine had not been informed of the need to ensure the safety of airspace near the city of belgorod at the defined time". "this was, they added, "russia's deliberate actions aimed at putting the lives and safety of the pows under threat". we can now speak to peter zalmayev who's a ukrainian political scientist and director of the eurasia democracy initiative. i know that president zelensky does tend to put out an evening address, has there been any clarity tonight from the ukrainian authorities as to what went on here? ihla. from the ukrainian authorities as to what went on here?— what went on here? no, we are waitin: what went on here? no, we are waiting for— what went on here? no, we are waiting for the _ what went on here? no, we are waiting for the final, _ what went on here? no, we are waiting for the final, official- waiting for the final, official version. we know on the 24th, a prisoner exchange was supposed to have taken place between the two countries, ukrainians sort of left

the door open to the idea that they may have something to do with it by saying they were not informed, that this would be the plane and the belgorod airport was that they would be taken to. is belgorod airport was that they would be taken to. , . ., . be taken to. is that normal protocol. _ be taken to. is that normal protocol. if _ be taken to. is that normal protocol, if there _ be taken to. is that normal protocol, if there is - be taken to. is that normal protocol, if there is a - be taken to. is that normal i protocol, if there is a prisoner return, do both sides observes —— observed a cease—fire while it's ongoing? observed a cease-fire while it's onauoin ? . , observed a cease-fire while it's onuroin? . , , ., , observed a cease-fire while it's onuuoin? ., , , ., , ., ongoing? that is precisely what it is not, the _ ongoing? that is precisely what it is not, the situation, _ ongoing? that is precisely what it is not, the situation, the - ongoing? that is precisely what it is not, the situation, the flight i is not, the situation, the flight plans and how his nurse would be transported and dropped off, they are arranged way ahead of time, which along with other additives, would i put the possible cementing might be our russian action to discredit ukraine in a very sensitive time.— discredit ukraine in a very sensitive time. ., . ., sensitive time. you are referring to the use of some _ sensitive time. you are referring to the use of some of _ sensitive time. you are referring to the use of some of this _ sensitive time. you are referring to the use of some of this aid - sensitive time. you are referring to the use of some of this aid outside| the use of some of this aid outside the use of some of this aid outside the borders of ukraine and the dangers that might create.

precisely, this is been the redline that might be used to cloud the west interfering his response, the uk is actually i don't need to pander, the uk is a standout, they have very validly ignored vladimir putin's redlines, which is something washington is very wary of and search a the foreign minister has said he is intent on calling in session of the security council and the fact that it russian propaganda acts already publish a ostensible list of ukrainian prisoners of war that were on that plane that perished, ostensibly, that is all very iffy. it smells of a typical russian kgb operation meant to discredit ukraine, and don't forget that relatively recent example from

2014, wendy malaysian boeing was shut down mh i7 2014, wendy malaysian boeing was shut down mh 17 was shutdown over eastern ukraine, all sorts of credible institutions, including the court in the netherlands proved that it was russians that were behind it, the russian still claiming it was indeed ukraine. 50 the russian still claiming it was indeed ukraine.— the russian still claiming it was indeed ukraine. . , , indeed ukraine. so many interesting thins and indeed ukraine. so many interesting things and what _ indeed ukraine. so many interesting things and what you _ indeed ukraine. so many interesting things and what you have _ indeed ukraine. so many interesting things and what you have told - indeed ukraine. so many interesting things and what you have told us i things and what you have told us there, joel, former state department emergent sessions, your security tomorrow, how was it not be in the context of the row of aid going on in congress at the moment? thea;r context of the row of aid going on in congress at the moment? they will not look highly _ in congress at the moment? they will not look highly on _ in congress at the moment? they will not look highly on russia's _ in congress at the moment? they will not look highly on russia's attempts l not look highly on russia's attempts to politicise — not look highly on russia's attempts to politicise this, _ not look highly on russia's attempts to politicise this, and _ not look highly on russia's attempts to politicise this, and it's _ to politicise this, and it's actually— to politicise this, and it's actually a _ to politicise this, and it's actually a set _ to politicise this, and it's actually a set up - to politicise this, and it's actually a set up to - to politicise this, and it's actually a set up to the l to politicise this, and it's i actually a set up to the bigger picture — actually a set up to the bigger picture of— actually a set up to the bigger picture of aid _ actually a set up to the bigger picture of aid to _ actually a set up to the bigger picture of aid to ukraine, i actually a set up to the bigger picture of aid to ukraine, it. actually a set up to the bigger picture of aid to ukraine, it is| picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied _ picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied up— picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied upand— picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied up and bottled _ picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied up and bottled up- picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied up and bottled up in- picture of aid to ukraine, it is tied up and bottled up in the| tied up and bottled up in the house i’ili'it tied up and bottled up in the house right now — tied up and bottled up in the house right now. house _ tied up and bottled up in the house right now. house republicans- tied up and bottled up in the house right now. house republicans do. tied up and bottled up in the house. right now. house republicans do not seem _ right now. house republicans do not seem to _ right now. house republicans do not seem to want — right now. house republicans do not seem to want to— right now. house republicans do not seem to want to muster _ right now. house republicans do not seem to want to muster the - right now. house republicans do not seem to want to muster the votes i right now. house republicans do not. seem to want to muster the votes the need to— seem to want to muster the votes the need to provide — seem to want to muster the votes the need to provide the _ seem to want to muster the votes the need to provide the united _ seem to want to muster the votes the need to provide the united states i need to provide the united states to provide _ need to provide the united states to provide supports _ need to provide the united states to provide supports ukraine _ need to provide the united states to provide supports ukraine for- need to provide the united states to provide supports ukraine for his i provide supports ukraine for his fight _ provide supports ukraine for his fight against _ provide supports ukraine for his fight against russia, _ provide supports ukraine for his fight against russia, and - provide supports ukraine for his fight against russia, and it i provide supports ukraine for his fight against russia, and it is i provide supports ukraine for his i fight against russia, and it is tied

up fight against russia, and it is tied up in _ fight against russia, and it is tied up in the — fight against russia, and it is tied up in the mystic— fight against russia, and it is tied up in the mystic immigration- up in the mystic immigration battles, _ up in the mystic immigration battles, aid _ up in the mystic immigration battles, aid to _ up in the mystic immigration battles, aid to israel- up in the mystic immigration battles, aid to israel in - up in the mystic immigration battles, aid to israel in the l battles, aid to israel in the supplemental— battles, aid to israel in the supplemental bill- battles, aid to israel in the supplemental bill the - battles, aid to israel in the i supplemental bill the president battles, aid to israel in the - supplemental bill the president has requested, — supplemental bill the president has requested, it's— supplemental bill the president has requested, it's been _ supplemental bill the president has requested, it's been months. - supplemental bill the president has requested, it's been months. so. supplemental bill the president has requested, it's been months. so iti requested, it's been months. so it has the _ requested, it's been months. so it has the potential— requested, it's been months. so it has the potential to _ requested, it's been months. so it has the potential to keep - has the potential to keep republicans _ has the potential to keep republicans in _ has the potential to keep republicans in line, - has the potential to keep republicans in line, as i has the potential to keep l republicans in line, as was has the potential to keep - republicans in line, as wasjust discussed. _ republicans in line, as wasjust discussed, and _ republicans in line, as wasjust discussed, and not _ republicans in line, as wasjust discussed, and not flip, - republicans in line, as wasjust discussed, and not flip, but- republicans in line, as wasjust discussed, and not flip, but i. republicans in line, as wasjust. discussed, and not flip, but i still think— discussed, and not flip, but i still think the — discussed, and not flip, but i still think the president, _ discussed, and not flip, but i still think the president, he _ discussed, and not flip, but i still think the president, he will- discussed, and not flip, but i still think the president, he will keep| think the president, he will keep tranging — think the president, he will keep tranging away _ think the president, he will keep tranging away at _ think the president, he will keep banging away at this _ think the president, he will keep banging away at this on - think the president, he will keep banging away at this on how i banging away at this on how important _ banging away at this on how important it— banging away at this on how important it is— banging away at this on how important it is to _ banging away at this on how important it is to prevent. banging away at this on how - important it is to prevent russia from _ important it is to prevent russia from succeeding _ important it is to prevent russia from succeeding for— important it is to prevent russia from succeeding for our- important it is to prevent russiai from succeeding for our national security — from succeeding for our national security 50 _ from succeeding for our national security. so there'll_ from succeeding for our national security. so there'll be - from succeeding for our national security. so there'll be lots - from succeeding for our national security. so there'll be lots of i security. so there'll be lots of discussion_ security. so there'll be lots of discussion about _ security. so there'll be lots of discussion about the - security. so there'll be lots of discussion about the incident i security. so there'll be lots of. discussion about the incident and then go— discussion about the incident and then go to — discussion about the incident and then go to the _ discussion about the incident and then go to the bigger— discussion about the incident and then go to the bigger picture - discussion about the incident and then go to the bigger picture the| then go to the bigger picture the stop then go to the bigger picture the st0p feature, _ then go to the bigger picture the stop feature, just _ then go to the bigger picture the stop feature, just briefly, - then go to the bigger picture the stop feature, just briefly, there i stop feature, just briefly, there were _ stop feature, just briefly, there were reports— stop feature, just briefly, there were reports that _ stop feature, just briefly, there were reports that there - stop feature, just briefly, there were reports that there were i stop feature, just briefly, there - were reports that there were people. there _ were reports that there were people. there were _ were reports that there were people. there were reports _ were reports that there were people. there were reports there _ were reports that there were people. there were reports there were - were reports that there were people. | there were reports there were people from the as of brigade from that, they were due to come back to play such a rolling variable, the russian parliamentarians wanted them to be executed, consider would be no tears spent in moscow over this.— spent in moscow over this. indeed, and to quote _ spent in moscow over this. indeed, and to quote it _ spent in moscow over this. indeed, and to quote it even _ spent in moscow over this. indeed, and to quote it even more - spent in moscow over this. indeed, and to quote it even more recent . and to quote it even more recent example, about one year and a half ago, in the early months, there is a missile launched the building

housing ukrainian prisoners of war, including fighters who russia consider terrorists and extremists, they pulverised any split—second, all who were inside. russia never took responsible to for it and blame it on the ukrainians, which goes to tell you that this is a propaganda move for the mayor presented limits on the ukrainians and bring us his people to say where dealing with these terrorist people.— people to say where dealing with these terrorist people. thank you for that, peter, _ these terrorist people. thank you for that, peter, we _ these terrorist people. thank you for that, peter, we will— these terrorist people. thank you for that, peter, we will see - these terrorist people. thank you for that, peter, we will see what | for that, peter, we will see what president zelensky has to say and we will cover that security council meeting tomorrow, just a quick break and the panel will be here when we get back, stay with us. hello there. as storm jocelyn cleared our shores, wednesday has been a day for assessing the damage that was left. but it was a slightly quieter story with the winds gradually easing down. we did actually see some brief

glimpses of sunshine, not a bad afternoon in hexham, northumberland. and as we go through the evening and overnight, the winds will continue to ease. we've got these weather fronts starting to slowly drift in from the west. they'll bring outbreaks of rain, but they will also introduce this south—westerly flow, which is driving milder air right across the country. so there'll be a lot of clouds to start the day on thursday. outbreaks of drizzle, misty conditions along west coasts and some rain moving out of northern ireland into northern scotland. but by the afternoon, most of the persistent rain will have eased away. it will stay damp and drizzly with a few showers out to the west. but an incredibly mild story for all of us. 13 celsius in london — at this time of year, we should be seeing temperatures around 7—8 celsius. there will be some showery outbreaks of rain into northern england. hopefully a brighter story into the afternoon for northern ireland. mild here, and still very mild particularly in comparison to where we were just over a week ago in scotland, highs of 10—12 celsius. now, through thursday night into the early

hours of friday morning, there'll be a spell of heavier, more persistent rain, as the cold front starts to push its way steadily eastwards. hopefully that will clear away from east anglia. here, it will be a mild start on friday morning. clearer skies, fresher conditions, 4—5 celsius in the far north and west. but that's where we'll have the best of the sunshine. and on the whole, a ridge of high pressure will build on friday, keeping things largely fine and quiet. a few scattered showers along north and west—facing coasts of scotland and northern ireland. a little bit fresher here, but generally those temperatures above where they should be for the time of year still, at around 6—12 celisus. into the start of the weekend, england and wales still under this influence of high pressure, quiet and dry. toppling across the high, we'll see weather fronts. so as we look further ahead, there's always the risk of some wetter and windier weather into the far north and west, nowhere near as severe as it has been. and on the whole, that mild trend is going to stay with us. the best of any sunshine certainly across central and southern areas, but not a bad weekend

ahead for most.

hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. new polling predicts the eu parliament could see a far right surge when elections take place injune. and they could top the polls in nine member states.

new polling out today predicts a �*sharp turn to the right�* in the european parliamentary elections this summer. the "anti—european" populists are forcecast to finish first, in at least nine eu member states. and that would reshape eu policy making in the midst of an already fraught period. today it was the french farmers protesting at the european parliament. we have seen similar protests in italy. and in germany. at the heart of it, a cost of living crisis, and a green transition that adds further uncertainty. more broadly, though is a theme across europe that we have heard again and again in the united states. the idea that government is too remote, too detached from the lives of ordinary people. the polling comes the european council on foreign relations, the reports co—author is kevin cunningham who joins us from dublin.