it will be a tragedy for to do so. it will be a tragedy for ukrainians— to do so. it will be a tragedy for ukrainians of president putin wins and it_ ukrainians of president putin wins and it will— ukrainians of president putin wins and it will also make the world more dangerous— and it will also make the world more dangerous and more insecure. it will embolden _ dangerous and more insecure. it will embolden other leaders, not only president — embolden other leaders, not only president putin, but also north korea, — president putin, but also north korea, iran and china to use force. today— korea, iran and china to use force. today it _ korea, iran and china to use force. today it is — korea, iran and china to use force. today it is ukraine, tomorrow it could _ today it is ukraine, tomorrow it could be — today it is ukraine, tomorrow it could be taiwan so therefore it is in our— could be taiwan so therefore it is in our interest to ensure ukraine continues— in our interest to ensure ukraine continues as an independent sovereign nation and the support we are providing is making a difference. there is a steady flow of munitions and weapons from nato allies and _ of munitions and weapons from nato allies and we have seen that this support— allies and we have seen that this support has enabled the ukrainians to actually make big achievements. we have _ to actually make big achievements. we have to — to actually make big achievements. we have to remember where we started — we have to remember where we started. this war started with a full—fledged invasion in february last year—

full—fledged invasion in february last year or in 2022, most experts feared _ last year or in 2022, most experts feared that— last year or in 2022, most experts feared that russia would control the key -- _ feared that russia would control the key -- kyiv— feared that russia would control the key —— kyiv within days and all of you can — key —— kyiv within days and all of you can weeks. the reality is that the ukrainians were able to push lrack— the ukrainians were able to push back the — the ukrainians were able to push back the russian forces and they have _ back the russian forces and they have liberated 50% of the territory that russia occupied at the beginning of the war. they have enabled — beginning of the war. they have enabled to inflict heavy losses on the russian armed forces, more than 300 casualties, thousands of armed vehicles _ 300 casualties, thousands of armed vehicles have been destroyed and hurrdreds— vehicles have been destroyed and hundreds of planes. this is something we all have achieved wilhoul— something we all have achieved without putting any nato soldiers in harms _ without putting any nato soldiers in harms way. butjust by providing military— harms way. butjust by providing military support to ukraine. and ukraihiahs— military support to ukraine. and ukrainians have been able to open the western part of the black sea, to push— the western part of the black sea, to push the russian black sea fleet to push the russian black sea fleet to the _ to push the russian black sea fleet to the east—

to push the russian black sea fleet to the east so they are now able to export— to the east so they are now able to export grain and other commodities through— export grain and other commodities through the black sea. these are substantial achievements and they continue _ substantial achievements and they continue to conduct deep strikes on russian _ continue to conduct deep strikes on russian positions so this idea that it does— russian positions so this idea that it does not— russian positions so this idea that it does not help to help them, actually— it does not help to help them, actually ukrainians have proved the opposite _ actually ukrainians have proved the opposite. and of course we would all like to _ opposite. and of course we would all like to have — opposite. and of course we would all like to have seen more progress on the offensive but we should not underestimate the achievement is the ukraihiahs_ underestimate the achievement is the ukrainians have made and if we want an end _ ukrainians have made and if we want an end to— ukrainians have made and if we want an end to this war, the only way to end this _ an end to this war, the only way to end this war— an end to this war, the only way to end this war is to convince president putin he will not win on the battlefield and the only way to achieve _ the battlefield and the only way to achieve that is to provide weapons to ukraine — achieve that is to provide weapons to ukraine from united states and other— to ukraine from united states and other allies and partners. so, support— other allies and partners. so, support for ukraine is a good deal for nato, — support for ukraine is a good deal for nato, the united states and for all of— for nato, the united states and for all of us _ for nato, the united states and for all of us. then, lastly one more question— all of us. then, lastly one more question i— all of us. then, lastly one more

question i think. well, the wards are by— question i think. well, the wards are by nature unpredictable but the only thing _ are by nature unpredictable but the only thing we know is that we need to continue — only thing we know is that we need to continue to support them and i am confident— to continue to support them and i am confident we will do so and at the meeting — confident we will do so and at the meeting in— confident we will do so and at the meeting in washington, i am confident that allies will commit to sustaining — confident that allies will commit to sustaining their support for ukraine _ sustaining their support for ukraine. . ~ sustaining their support for ukraine. . ,, , ., sustaining their support for ukraine. . ,, . . , ukraine. thank you, katrina perry with bbc news. _ ukraine. thank you, katrina perry with bbc news. if— ukraine. thank you, katrina perry with bbc news. if i _ ukraine. thank you, katrina perry with bbc news. if i could - ukraine. thank you, katrina perry with bbc news. if i could follow l ukraine. thank you, katrina perryl with bbc news. if i could follow up with bbc news. if i could follow up with my colleague's comments, you refer to a multi—staged response to yesterday's attack, they hold iran directly responsible and do you consider the us to be at war or on the verge of war at this point and what impact will any response have on the hostage ceasefire deal which we are told is at an advanced stage at this point? mr secretary general, can i ask you the nato view on the

us getting involved in a direct conflict with iran, what that means for nato given other priorities like ukraine and the risk to further un funding to ukraine, can nato and other allies keep ukraine going without the us if they need to do that? on the point of eu countries, on the issue of sweden and gratification, is that forthcoming soon and what does that mean for future expansion of nato? so soon and what does that mean for future expansion of nato?- future expansion of nato? so the attacks have _ future expansion of nato? so the attacks have taken _ future expansion of nato? so the attacks have taken place - future expansion of nato? so the attacks have taken place since i attacks have taken place since october on personnel, in both iraq and syria have been conducted by groups that are aligned with iran andindeed groups that are aligned with iran and indeed are supported by iran, funded by iran, equipped by iran. i would note that the presence of our

forces in both iraq and syria has nothing to do with gaza, nothing to do with the conflict that is taking place since october seven since the horrific attacks by and everything to do with making sure that isis does not re—emerge, that is why they are there. something which iran should share an interest but on the contrary, there are groups they are aligned with have been conducting these attacks. as i said, we do not seek conflict with iran or war with iran but we have and we will continue to defend our personnel and to take every action necessary to do that, including responding very vigorously to the attack that just replaced. as mentioned, i will not get ahead of where the president is and certainly i am not going to telegraph the response but as i

mentioned, that response could well be multi—levelled, it could come in stages and it could be sustained over time. at the same time, totally separately, we have been working to try to get hostages back out of gaza under same time to get an extended pause in. that effort is something we are very actively pursuing right now with of course our partners in qatar and egypt as well as israel. those who are trying to expand the conflict, escalate the conflict, they may say that they are doing that somehow in response to gaza but every action they are taking really is to perpetuate the conflict and to

expand it. they do not have the interests of anyone in mind except their own interests as they see them. we are determined again that we do everything possible not to see the conflict expand, on the contrary, we are working to end it and ended in a way that the atrocities of october seven never happen again, as well as the suffering we have seen on the part of israelis and palestinians alike does not happen again, that is what we are working towards and that is where our focus is. we are working towards and that is where ourfocus is. first we are working towards and that is where our focus is.— where our focus is. first on the issue of swedish _ where our focus is. first on the issue of swedish membership, | where our focus is. first on the | issue of swedish membership, i welcome of course that turkey now has finalised the ratification process so with the decision in parliament and the signature from president everyone, this demonstrates that turkey has followed up and delivered on what we

are promised at the nato summit in vilnius last summer. and it demonstrates that nato's door is open. i spoke last week with prime minister orban of hungary because now hungary is the only country that has not finalised the ratification process. the prime minister was very clear he supports swedish membership of nato. he told me the parliament in hungary will reconvene at the end of february and i expect also in line with what he said that the parliament will then finalise the ratification shortly after that. so i am confident that sweden will be a full member of the alliance, that will make nato stronger and send a clear message to moscow and it will demonstrate that nato can decide who

will be a member, moscow has no veto over nato. their own iran, of course iran is responsible for destabilising the region. threatening stability and security in the middle east. it is repressive at home and aggressive abroad. we have seen this through many different attacks and also the different attacks and also the different proxy groups, terrorist groups that iran supports. this underlines of course also the risk of escalation and i therefore welcome the efforts by the united states to address these risks and it is important that we also realise that russia and iran are now aligning more and more. russia is more and more dependent on drones from iran, they have actually built

a new factory in russia built on iranianjoint a new factory in russia built on iranian joint technology. and a new factory in russia built on iranianjoint technology. and in return, russia is providing advanced technology to iran so it demonstrates how authoritarian regimes are coming closer and closer. the only answer to that is nato allies and all those countries that believe in democracy have to stand together as we do in nato. irate stand together as we do in nato. we have been watching a live press conference in washington, us secretary of state antony blinken with the nato general, giving a response to the attack injordan at the weekend when three servicemen were killed. joining us on the panel this evening is kelly hyman, a democratic strategist and lawyer, and christopher steele, former head of the russia desk at mi6 and director of orbis business intelligence. welcome to you, thank you for your

patience standing by for us. let us pick up a couple of things we heard from secretary blinken, with respect to the middle east, he said we will be actively pursuing a pause in the fighting which i am guessing is for a domestic audience and the other point he made, no one has the reach of unrwa in gaza. we need to put them in charge and they need to tackle as effectively and quickly as possible who they have working for them. pick up those points for me. the us always believes in democracy and we always believe the fact that other countries are our allies and want to work towards peace, especially towards the middle east and definitely that is key, to have and definitely that is key, to have a peaceful resolution. but it is also important to note people need to be accountable for their actions and that there could be potential

ramifications for potential actions of harm to people throughout the us and beyond. of harm to people throughout the us and be ond. , . , and beyond. they are actively ursuin: and beyond. they are actively pursuing the _ and beyond. they are actively pursuing the piece, _ and beyond. they are actively pursuing the piece, we - and beyond. they are actively pursuing the piece, we have i and beyond. they are actively - pursuing the piece, we have seen the protests at some ofjoe biden's recent campaign events, lyse doucet made the point that actually president biden has found himself in a situation where he does not have enough leverage over their israelis at the moment, do you think the message that they are working towards a longer humanitarian pause is for at domestic audience, for democratic supporters? i definitely think that is _ democratic supporters? i definitely think that is important _ democratic supporters? i definitely think that is important but - democratic supporters? i definitely think that is important but not - democratic supporters? i definitely think that is important but not onlyj think that is important but not only for democratic supporters but supporters throughout other countries as well. us supports israel and they have made a very clear, that they are allies and definitely want peace throughout the middle east and that is definitely

key. hopefully there will be some type of peaceful resolution sooner rather than later. i type of peaceful resolution sooner rather than later.— rather than later. i thought it was interesting _ rather than later. i thought it was interesting what _ rather than later. i thought it was interesting what you _ rather than later. i thought it was interesting what you said - rather than later. i thought it was interesting what you said about . rather than later. i thought it was i interesting what you said about the response to iran, it will be multilevel and sustained over time, what you make of that? it multilevel and sustained over time, what you make of that?— what you make of that? it has obviously _ what you make of that? it has obviously been _ what you make of that? it has obviously been very _ what you make of that? it has obviously been very difficult i what you make of that? it has. obviously been very difficult for america — obviously been very difficult for america to get much leverage over iran through sanctions. the abbot —— make _ iran through sanctions. the abbot —— make the _ iran through sanctions. the abbot —— make the iranians are skilled at getting — make the iranians are skilled at getting right these things. they are now aligned closely with russia in a 'oint now aligned closely with russia in a joint practice of such types. it is true _ joint practice of such types. it is true sanctions work, economic sanctions _ true sanctions work, economic sanctions work but also we have to look at _ sanctions work but also we have to look at the — sanctions work but also we have to look at the wider spread of this conflict, — look at the wider spread of this conflict, we are up against a group of authoritarian countries who are increasingly closer aligned and determined to undermine the rule of law and _ determined to undermine the rule of law and democracy. someone like vladimir— law and democracy. someone like vladimir putin has a vested interest in standing — vladimir putin has a vested interest in standing up any conflict in the world _ in standing up any conflict in the world he — in standing up any conflict in the world he can to take attention and effort _

world he can to take attention and effort and — world he can to take attention and effort and resources away from ukraine, — effort and resources away from ukraine, which should be priority, certainly— ukraine, which should be priority, certainly in— ukraine, which should be priority, certainly in europe. you ukraine, which should be priority, certainly in europe.— certainly in europe. you made reference _ certainly in europe. you made reference to _ certainly in europe. you made reference to russia _ certainly in europe. you made reference to russia and - certainly in europe. you made reference to russia and iran i reference to russia and iran aligning on drone technology, russia lending iran more advanced technology in recent months, do you see evidence of that? fries. technology in recent months, do you see evidence of that?— see evidence of that? yes, not 'ust iran but see evidence of that? yes, not 'ust nan but also — see evidence of that? yes, not 'ust iran but also north i see evidence of that? yes, not 'ust iran but also north korea. �* see evidence of that? yes, not 'ust iran but also north korea. ith see evidence of that? yes, not 'ust iran but also north korea. it is“ iran but also north korea. it is incredible _ iran but also north korea. it is incredible north korea is supplying russia _ incredible north korea is supplying russia with weapons which breaks the un embargo and should lead to some punitive _ un embargo and should lead to some punitive action against russia under international law and by the international law and by the international community. at the moment— international community. at the moment we are not saying that. one of the _ moment we are not saying that. one of the problems is that with all the conflicts— of the problems is that with all the conflicts around the world in different regions, some of the focus has been _ different regions, some of the focus has been taken off the really bad perpetrators like russia and north korea _ perpetrators like russia and north korea who are not being held accountable. in korea who are not being held accountable.— korea who are not being held accountable. _, , ., . accountable. in the course of that ress accountable. in the course of that press conference _ accountable. in the course of that press conference you _ accountable. in the course of that press conference you will - accountable. in the course of that press conference you will have . accountable. in the course of that i press conference you will have heard the us secretary of state say it is essential for congress to pass the

package for without delay. the us would be sending the world a message it is not serious about defending freedom and democracy around the world otherwise. the $60 billion aid package has been delayed by yoking video to the crisis at the mexican border. the top republican on negotiating it says the proposal could be on the floor by the end of the week. do not have a vote count on this because everybody has to be able to read it and be able to go through but i do feel positive about it because even the initial feedback has been good. but having called for this urgent action, donald trump is now telling republicans he doesn't want the deal that's been negotiated. even though it's probably one of the most far reaching, conservative package of measures that's been negotiated in 30 years. i'd rather have no bill than a bad bill. a bad bill you can't have and this one was happening. mikejohnson, the speaker,

he just said it's dead on arrival in the house. it's dead on arrival. we want either a strong bill or no bill and whatever happens, happens. the stand off in washington coincides with a similar problem here in europe. this week eu leaders are due to meet in brussels, to approve 50bn euros of aid for ukraine which was vetoed in december, by hungarian prime minister, viktor orban. veto. to give money to ukraine is easy to do because in short term, the money for ukraine is already in the budget, so there is not any extra decision to give it in short term. in long term and the bigger sum of money, my position is that we should give it outside. orban who is perhaps president putin's closest ally here in europe and is promising to exercise his veto again, in spite of threats that are coming from the commission. so ukraine is having to ration its use of artillery — and focus instead on the one area where it has an edge, its drone production. both sides have been using drones extensively. but kyiv now appears to have

developed technically sophisticated models, that can fly long distances, and strike deep in russian territory. and in the past three weeks, there has been a determined effort to hit russia's energy infrastructure. in one attack they attached explosives to train carriages in the urals city of nizhny. a blast took place next to facilities owned by gazprom, the country's third biggest oil producer. a kamikaze drone crashed into an oil depot in the oryol region. and the week before last an oil terminal, in st petersburg — putin's home city — came under attack. let's bring in patrick bury, an associate professor in security at bath university. lam sure i am sure you have been listening to the secretary general, this is all very timely. that scenario i just set out with the ukrainians reaching deep into russian territory using advanced drone technology, is that incidental or part of a determined effort to try and disrupt the wealth

of russia, the money that is funding the war? ,., ., ~' of russia, the money that is funding the war? ,., ., ,, , the war? good evening. i think it is absolutely part _ the war? good evening. i think it is absolutely part of _ the war? good evening. i think it is absolutely part of a _ the war? good evening. i think it is absolutely part of a determined - absolutely part of a determined strategy and an emerging strategy to target russian energy infrastructure and industrial capacity. quite aside from the attacks last three weeks, they have been harassing attacks, there is lot of russian production outside that range there has also been a 300% increase in industrial fires inside russia so something is going on in there as well. you can see how when ukraine are on the defensive on the front line and russia has the initiative at the moment, it is still able to exert threat —— much pressure on a strategic level to make more difficult. one of the interesting things on social media this week was a russian driver stopping and seeing

an s 300 air missile parked on the road deep inside russian territory which they have had to do because of the drone threat. this is what it is about, dragging resources, the same way the russians are doing another around the around the world, the ukrainians are trying to drag some of the russian resource for ayr defence away as well. secretary bfinken defence away as well. secretary blinken was _ defence away as well. secretary blinken was saying _ defence away as well. secretary blinken was saying it _ defence away as well. secretary blinken was saying it is - defence away as well. secretary | blinken was saying it is essential this package gets passed this weekend but was reporting in the wall streetjournal us officials are mapping out a new strategy which takes the emphasis away from the counteroffensive and instead focuses on ukraine funding —— fending off a russian advance, what you make of that? ., , russian advance, what you make of that? . , .,, , that? that is the most prudent thin. that? that is the most prudent thing- there — that? that is the most prudent thing. there is _ that? that is the most prudent thing. there is nothing - that? that is the most prudent thing. there is nothing about l thing. there is nothing about ukrainian maximalist aim to take back all territory received since 2014 which is completely fair. the differences yens stoltenberg was

saying look what ukraine has achieved. first and foremost that has defined itself as a nation in population which has exerted its right to exist and arms and it has rolled back the russian army and defended a lot of vets land but whether it can take all of this back as a prudent and strategic question to ask and then what falls out of thatis to ask and then what falls out of that is how do you see what is coming for next year, fingers crossed all this eight is coming from the eu and the us as soon as possible because it is having an effect but how do you use that resource and it would be more prudent and a lot of people are saying this to go on the defensive which is a sensitive —— ascendant form of warfare at the moment. reconstitute yourself, retrain and get enough to be able to operate at higher levels of military and then have an offensive in 2025, much more

considered and planned than the attack in 2024. you might see the emphasis switched to the drones in the black sea. let me bring in kelly to what is going on in washington. donald trump said blame me for all this, no deal better than a bad deal, does that mean the deal is dead on the arrival when it gets to the floor? if it dead on the arrival when it gets to the floor? . . dead on the arrival when it gets to the floor? . , , ., ., the floor? if it was up to former president _ the floor? if it was up to former president trump _ the floor? if it was up to former president trump it _ the floor? if it was up to former president trump it would - the floor? if it was up to former president trump it would be - the floor? if it was up to former. president trump it would be dead the floor? if it was up to former- president trump it would be dead on arrival. _ president trump it would be dead on arrival, absolutely. he does not want _ arrival, absolutely. he does not want this— arrival, absolutely. he does not want this to happen, he's not thinking _ want this to happen, he's not thinking about the american people. we have _ thinking about the american people. we have to — thinking about the american people. we have to think that voters want to see our— we have to think that voters want to see our leaders do our work to fix the system — see our leaders do our work to fix the system and that is exactly what president _ the system and that is exactly what president biden said he will do, he will sign _ president biden said he will do, he will sign the bill. as you said earlier, _ will sign the bill. as you said earlier, this is everything the republican party want in an

immigration bill. not only will it help the — immigration bill. not only will it help the us but also help you can as well _ help the us but also help you can as well the _ help the us but also help you can as well. the fact that a former president once it dead on arrival shows— president once it dead on arrival shows he — president once it dead on arrival shows he is— president once it dead on arrival shows he is putting himself first before _ shows he is putting himself first before the american people and the american _ before the american people and the american people should be watching best and _ american people should be watching best and make that determination on election— best and make that determination on election day, what is best for our country — election day, what is best for our country. someone who puts himself first, _ country. someone who puts himself first, as _ country. someone who puts himself first, as former president trump does _ first, as former president trump does or— first, as former president trump does or somebody who puts people and the american people first as biden did. the american people first as biden did i_ the american people first as biden did. ., . , , did. i thought it was interesting that yens stoltenberg - did. i thought it was interesting that yens stoltenberg said - did. i thought it was interesting that yens stoltenberg said we | did. i thought it was interesting i that yens stoltenberg said we will be meeting injuly for a nato summit and plotting how nato goes forward for the next 75 years. i will put on screen —— screen a message donald trump posted in the last 24 hours when he talks about that meeting in 2018 in helsinki when he stood next to president putin and questioned the fbi. he names all these people

at the end, how many would you want or choose, would you choose president putin or these misfits? what is more in question, nato for the next ten months or 75 years? how allies share intelligence with allies share intelligence with allies going forward? —— share intelligence with the us. on the one hand we have new members coming in, finland and sweden, the alliance is more united than it has never been especially around ukraine but on the other hand we have this very strange and unwelcome questioning of the whole of western security coming from donald trump and various supporters of his in the republican party so i think it is absolutely critical that nato sticks together,

that nato continues to think for itself in the world that it is. irate itself in the world that it is. we are not itself in the world that it is. we are rrot in _ itself in the world that it is. we are not in the _ itself in the world that it is. we are not in the post—war era where the west— are not in the post—war era where the west could relax and take for granted _ the west could relax and take for granted its ascendancy and wealth, we are _ granted its ascendancy and wealth, we are in— granted its ascendancy and wealth, we are in a — granted its ascendancy and wealth, we are in a very difficult situation and it— we are in a very difficult situation and it is— we are in a very difficult situation and it is critical that the united states— and it is critical that the united states as — and it is critical that the united states as part of a democratic alliance — states as part of a democratic alliance going forward and also countries — alliance going forward and also countries like japan which have i think— countries like japan which have i think a _ countries like japan which have i think a great potential to support both militarily and indeed financially you and other countries that are _ financially you and other countries that are fighting on the front of democracy. that are fighting on the front of democracy-— that are fighting on the front of democra . . . ,, . democracy. patrick, can i talk about the situation — democracy. patrick, can i talk about the situation in _ democracy. patrick, can i talk about the situation in ukraine, _ democracy. patrick, can i talk about the situation in ukraine, there - democracy. patrick, can i talk about the situation in ukraine, there has l the situation in ukraine, there has been lots of pressure on president zelensky to get results and obviously money is linked to that. strong indication that the chief of staff will be replaced, they deny that tonight in kyiv, what is going on then why is that significant? the rumour mill — on then why is that significant? the rumour mill is _ on then why is that significant? tie: rumour mill is certainly running into overdrive. there have been

something is almost confirmed and then not so we willjust have to wait and see. i don't know ioo%. but it might be related to the internal intelligence agency revealing yesterday that basically it had uncovered a corrupt plot in the ministry of defence with senior figures over a conch —— company that is making mortar shells and live earth worth about $40 million. i don't know what that is it but it broke yesterday. a minister was made to take responsibility for this previously unfired and this could be the next level up but that is my thinking, but it is only circumstantial at the moment. does that tally with _ circumstantial at the moment. does that tally with what _ circumstantial at the moment. does that tally with what you're _ circumstantial at the moment. does that tally with what you're hearing? we have known for some time that he would _ we have known for some time that he would be _ we have known for some time that he would be removed. it seems that the reasons— would be removed. it seems that the reasons for— would be removed. it seems that the reasons for that are more political than anything else. that zelensky actually— than anything else. that zelensky actually sees him as a threat.

zelezny— actually sees him as a threat. zelezny was in charge of the counteroffensive this summer which did not— counteroffensive this summer which did not go— counteroffensive this summer which did not go very well. but he is a solid _ did not go very well. but he is a solid and — did not go very well. but he is a solid and capable officer and everyone wants him to stay in place, especially _ everyone wants him to stay in place, especially in — everyone wants him to stay in place, especially in the west. one everyone wants him to stay in place, especially in the west.— especially in the west. one to watch. thank _ especially in the west. one to watch. thank you _ especially in the west. one to watch. thank you very - especially in the west. one to watch. thank you very much. | especially in the west. one to i watch. thank you very much. we especially in the west. one to - watch. thank you very much. we will go to a quick break, we will talk about donald trump's court cases. and also we will discuss with the panel some interesting stories tonight. hello. after an extraordinarily mild sunday in the north of scotland on monday, the milder air pushed southwards, albeit with a lot of clouds and outbreaks of rain. that was how it looked in cornwall earlier on. something chillier, pushing into the north of scotland, at least for a time. you can see that colder air here on our air mass chart across the northern half of the uk. milder conditions further south in that mild air, that's where we've

had a lot of cloud. that cloud has been producing some really heavy rain, particularly across parts of northern england in the colder air well, something a little bit clearer overhead. and as we head through the nights, that area of cloud and increasingly patchy rain will swing away eastwards. and those clearer, colder conditions getting in across northern ireland and scotland. so a frost here, maybe some ice in places to start tuesday morning. but that will give way to actually quite a lot of sunshine and just the odd shower into western scotland. now england and wales, starting with a fair bit of cloud, the odd shower, maybe still some showers in eastern counties by the afternoon. but for the majority here, we will see some spells of sunshine, a little bit chillier than some of us have been used to recently. seven to 11 degrees. now through tuesday night and into wednesday it's all eyes to the northwest, this deepening area of low pressure. see all the ice bars squeezing together here that shows that we're going to have a spell of really strong winds, particularly across scotland, gales widely, but in the far north, gusts of 80 miles per hour, particularly as this band of heavy, squally rain sinks south. that rain getting

into northern ireland and northern england, another wet day over high ground, for example, in north west england to the south of that, mostly dry, fairly mild cold air behind our frontal system with some wintry showers for a time in the north of scotland. now, thursday looks like a quieter day, some spells of sunshine, although cloud will build across north western parts, rain into north west scotland. and that begins a push of really mild air for the end of the week. this warm front working across northern scotland on thursday night. behind it, a wedge of really very mild air indeed. that mild south west of the flow, also quite a moist southwesterly flow. so there will be more in the way of cloud as we look ahead to friday. but it is going to be exceptionally mild temperatures of 12 to 14 degrees. bye for now.

hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. speaking to the us media, author ejean carroll says she'd like to give some of the $83 million she won in her defamation case against donald trump to something he hates. while we have been watching events

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