tv The Context BBC News January 30, 2024 9:00pm-9:31pm GMT
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our panel tonight, brett bruen, professor of crisis communication at georgetown university, and the former conservative ministerjustine greening. first, though, the latest bbc news. pakistan's former prime minister imran khan has been convicted of leaking state secrets and sentenced to ten years in prison. he is already serving a three—year term, after he was convicted of corruption. french president emmanuel macron has called for the eu to control ukrainian agricultural imports, amid continued protests by french farmers who are the blocking motorways around paris. they're angry about increased competiton from ukraine, and what they say are unreasonable environmental regulations. legislators in spain have rejected an amnesty law that aimed to benefit catalan separatists involved
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in a failed bid for independence. one catalan separatist party voted against the text because it wants exceptions for terrorism—related crimes removed. a very good evening. president biden says he has decided what his response will be to sunday's attack on a us base injordan. his security team say it will be multi—tiered approach, not a single strike, and it will unfold over a period of time. the guiding principle is making sure that we continue to degrade the kinds of capabilities that these groups have at their disposal to use against our troops and our facilities and to send a strong signal to their backers in the irgc that these attacks are unacceptable, and the president will do what he has to do to protect
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our troops and our facilities and to look after our national security interests in the region. but the president is in a difficult position here. there have been over 160 attacks on us bases since october 7, and the situation is metastasising quickly towards a face—off between the united states and iran. this is an incredibly volatile time in the middle east. i would argue that we have not seen a situation as dangerous as the one we're facing now across the region since, at least, 1973, and arguably even before that. at home, there are those demanding more than the routine retaliation against iranian proxies. wesley clark, formerly nato's supreme commander in europe, said the president should "stop calling the strikes "retaliation". "this is reactive," he wrote... airstrikes in iran would be a huge step — most likely a step too far. neither washington nor tehran
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believes it is their interests to turn a succession of proxy conflicts into an all—out war. but politically, it would appear that president biden has to push the parameters of what might defined a proportional response. the bottom line is, we cannot see american soldiers killed and have them get away with it. i think we only go after the proxies, and not go after some of the islamic revolutionary guard corps, elements, particularly in syria and elsewhere, it plays right into iran's puppet master, puppet strategy that i just described. let's go straight to our north america correspondent gary o'donoghue. he is watching reaction force in washington. there is a feeling of eminence about this, now that the president has that he has made his
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decision. what are we expecting? typically what happens with these situations is the president, as he has done, — situations is the president, as he has done, meets with the intelligence chiefs, the military chiefs_ intelligence chiefs, the military chiefs and they tend to take him a menu _ chiefs and they tend to take him a menu of— chiefs and they tend to take him a menu of options. ranging from something as extreme, perhaps, as hitting _ something as extreme, perhaps, as hitting targets inside iran, right through— hitting targets inside iran, right through to going after the specific group _ through to going after the specific group that launched the strike. the problem _ group that launched the strike. the problem is, — group that launched the strike. the problem is, they are still saying they have — problem is, they are still saying they have not identified, or they still working on, which specific group — still working on, which specific group is — still working on, which specific group is responsible, but yet they have made — group is responsible, but yet they have made the decision to go ahead. now, _ have made the decision to go ahead. now. that _ have made the decision to go ahead. now, that does raise certain questions about the kind of scale we are talking _ questions about the kind of scale we are talking about here. they're obviously — are talking about here. they're obviously planning on subbing bigger than obviously planning on subbing bigger thahiust_ obviously planning on subbing bigger thanjust the going after the source of each _ thanjust the going after the source of each drone and missile strike that have — of each drone and missile strike that have before. as you say the political — that have before. as you say the political reality is the pressure is on to— political reality is the pressure is onto do— political reality is the pressure is on to do that, and you cannot disengage the fact that this is also an election year, and there's a
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certaih— an election year, and there's a certain expectation from public opinion— certain expectation from public opinion in— certain expectation from public opinion in this country that when america — opinion in this country that when america don't act american service personnel— america don't act american service personnel started dying and those people _ personnel started dying and those people targeting flown back to dover in delaware and the president is going _ in delaware and the president is going to — in delaware and the president is going to go there to meet those bodies _ going to go there to meet those bodies when they arrived back, that ups bodies when they arrived back, that ups the _ bodies when they arrived back, that ups the ante significantly, and sol think— ups the ante significantly, and sol think voti're — ups the ante significantly, and sol think you're going to something the quality— think you're going to something the quality of— think you're going to something the quality of the difference what voti've — quality of the difference what you've seen before and i would think pretty— you've seen before and i would think pretty soon — you've seen before and i would think pretty soon. do you've seen before and i would think pretty soon-— pretty soon. do you think this would be an entirely _ pretty soon. do you think this would be an entirely american _ pretty soon. do you think this would be an entirely american operation, l be an entirely american operation, or would it be, as we have seen with the red sea operation, something that other allies would be involved in? r . ., , that other allies would be involved in? ~ ., ., that other allies would be involved in? the americans always want to do coalitions whenever _ in? the americans always want to do coalitions whenever possible, - in? the americans always want to do coalitions whenever possible, for - coalitions whenever possible, for pretty— coalitions whenever possible, for pretty obvious political reasons, and so _ pretty obvious political reasons, and so i — pretty obvious political reasons, and so i think they will be working hard to— and so i think they will be working hard to make sure that there is some kind of— hard to make sure that there is some kind of other— hard to make sure that there is some kind of other elements to this. the obvious— kind of other elements to this. the obvious other element is the british — obvious other element is the british. the british tend to come along _ british. the british tend to come along when others might not. they
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certainty— along when others might not. they certainly did so on those attacks inside _ certainly did so on those attacks inside yemen, against those houthi targets _ inside yemen, against those houthi targets so — inside yemen, against those houthi targets. so i would not be surprised if there _ targets. so i would not be surprised if there were some other involvements. how much, how broad that is. _ involvements. how much, how broad that is. i_ involvements. how much, how broad that is, i think is questionable. there — that is, i think is questionable. there is— that is, i think is questionable. there is certainly real risk for some — there is certainly real risk for some of— there is certainly real risk for some of those other countries in the region. _ some of those other countries in the region, otherarab some of those other countries in the region, other arab countries, some of those other countries in the region, otherarab countries, for example. — region, otherarab countries, for example, getting involved or becoming part of any coalition, taking — becoming part of any coalition, taking this action. they would not want _ taking this action. they would not want to— taking this action. they would not want to do— taking this action. they would not want to do that. all these things, i'm want to do that. all these things, i'm sure. — want to do that. all these things, i'm sure, are going on furiously behind — i'm sure, are going on furiously behind the _ i'm sure, are going on furiously behind the scenes, but the bottom line is— behind the scenes, but the bottom line is there is going to be a response. _ line is there is going to be a response, and it has to demonstrate a certain— response, and it has to demonstrate a certain amount of strength, and i think— a certain amount of strength, and i think they— a certain amount of strength, and i think they will try as much as they can to _ think they will try as much as they can to minimise the casualty claims, the canto minimise the casualty claims, the casualty— can to minimise the casualty claims, the casualty numbers in this. they will try— the casualty numbers in this. they will try and — the casualty numbers in this. they will try and emphasise assets, capabilities, as they call it, and they— capabilities, as they call it, and they will— capabilities, as they call it, and they will do their best afterwards to publish as much material as they can to _
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to publish as much material as they can to demonstrate what they have achieved. _ can to demonstrate what they have achieved, because that is part of winning — achieved, because that is part of winning the pr war. just achieved, because that is part of winning the pr war.— winning the pr war. just a quick final one. _ winning the pr war. just a quick final one, gary. _ winning the pr war. just a quick final one, gary. there _ winning the pr war. just a quick final one, gary. there is - winning the pr war. just a quick final one, gary. there is a - winning the pr war. just a quick. final one, gary. there is a debate on this side whether parliament should be consulted when there is military action of this kind. how involved is the us congress in this? not very. there was a debate here about _ not very. there was a debate here about military authorisations. the president— about military authorisations. the president does have pretty broad legal— president does have pretty broad legal powers in this area. and in some _ legal powers in this area. and in some cases, you get it after the fact. _ some cases, you get it after the fact. or— some cases, you get it after the fact. or you _ some cases, you get it after the fact, or you going get approval after— fact, or you going get approval after the — fact, or you going get approval after the fact, but this is not a declaration of war, which of course is only— declaration of war, which of course is only congress can declare war, in that sense. — is only congress can declare war, in that sense, so they are balancing the pressure from politicians inside congress. — the pressure from politicians inside congress, but not necessarily involving _ congress, but not necessarily involving them very closely. what they will— involving them very closely. what they will do, which is what they always— they will do, which is what they always do— they will do, which is what they always do any circumstances,
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christian. _ always do any circumstances, christian, is keep what's called the -an- christian, is keep what's called the gang of— christian, is keep what's called the gang of eight informed. that's the key members of leadership on both sides— key members of leadership on both sides in— key members of leadership on both sides in the house and the senate and the _ sides in the house and the senate and the key members of the intelligence committees in both houses — intelligence committees in both houses i— intelligence committees in both houses. i am sure they will be commuting to them and letting them know what— commuting to them and letting them know what is going on. gk, commuting to them and letting them know what is going on.— know what is going on. ok, gary, for the moment. — know what is going on. ok, gary, for the moment, thank— know what is going on. ok, gary, for the moment, thank you _ know what is going on. ok, gary, for the moment, thank you very - know what is going on. ok, gary, for the moment, thank you very much i know what is going on. ok, gary, for| the moment, thank you very much for that. it's time to bring in our panel. brett, can i get you to react to that tweet from wesley clark? he is not a lone voice, there are other senior generals and republicans who want the president to consider an attack within iran. how much pressure domestically is he under right now? pressure domestically is he under riaht now? ., . ., , pressure domestically is he under riahtnow? ., . ., , , pressure domestically is he under riaht now? ., . ., , , ., right now? you certainly see not only from _ right now? you certainly see not only from general— right now? you certainly see not only from general clark - right now? you certainly see not only from general clark but - only from general clark but certainly a number of republicans, the presidential candidate nikki haley, calling for taking out certain iranian leaders, and it is very easy sitting from the sidelines to opine on these things, it is very hard when you're sitting in the situation room, weighing the costs
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the potential —— and the potential consequences of those actions which i know a lot of my former colleagues are doing right now. so i think that most likely, as admiraljohn kirby suggested, is that we are going to see, yes, a series of strikes that diminish iranian proxies capabilities to launch those drones, to launch those missiles, but i would add one more additional element, and that is i think we have toissue element, and that is i think we have to issue a threat to iran that we will interdict, that we will take out any ships, any transport that is moving drones, that is moving missiles, and that will say to tehran, "we will no longer tolerate, you no longer stand by and watch as you no longer stand by and watch as you are moving these not only into yemen, not only into lebanon and gaza, we are going to take a significant effort to try and change the dynamics of what is a regional
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conflict." . w' , �* conflict." just quickly, brett, dissensions _ conflict." just quickly, brett, dissensions are _ conflict." just quickly, brett, dissensions are not - conflict." just quickly, brett, dissensions are not working, conflict." just quickly, brett, - dissensions are not working, and the iranians are exporting around 3 billion barrels of oil a day —— the sanctions are not working. to china, to india. would it not... it is not for me to advocate with the americans would do, but a lot of people have sort of spoken about getting to the finances of this, and the navy taking out their export capability when it comes to oil. —— and then may be. using that is on the table? l and then may be. using that is on the table? ~ . and then may be. using that is on the table? ,, , ., the table? i think it is worthwhile to review the table? i think it is worthwhile to preview that _ the table? i think it is worthwhile to preview that that _ the table? i think it is worthwhile to preview that that might - the table? i think it is worthwhile to preview that that might be - the table? i think it is worthwhile to preview that that might be a i the table? i think it is worthwhile i to preview that that might be a next step, if iran continues to engage in this kind of behaviour. they are already under significant economic pressure because of the sanctions that were imposed after president trump pulled out of thejcpoa, the nuclear agreement, so they are feeling the pinch already, and a second pinch would hit them quite hard and it would be quite
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destabilising for leaders in tehran. what you think the response of the uk government will be to this? we have already heard from secretary blinken, justine, last night, saying it is worth that it has been since 1973, and now we are going to further colic at the by expanding this conflict. —— complicate the decision. is it the right decision at this time?— decision. is it the right decision at this time? the us will have to react, inevitably. _ at this time? the us will have to react, inevitably. that _ at this time? the us will have to react, inevitably. that is - at this time? the us will have to react, inevitably. that is a - at this time? the us will have to react, inevitably. that is a given| react, inevitably. that is a given full of _ react, inevitably. that is a given full of the — react, inevitably. that is a given full of the big question is really the objectives, the military objectives, it now seeks to have for itself. _ objectives, it now seeks to have for itself. and — objectives, it now seeks to have for itself, and then i think also the messaging, how it is going to explain — messaging, how it is going to explain this to the outside world. and for— explain this to the outside world. and for the uk, explain this to the outside world. and forthe uk, i explain this to the outside world. and for the uk, i think our foreign secretary— and for the uk, i think our foreign secretary now is for cameron, he was prime _ secretary now is for cameron, he was prime and _ secretary now is for cameron, he was prime and asked her when we had —— he was prime minister we had the serious _ —— he was prime minister we had the serious strikes. i thickly have some of the _ serious strikes. i thickly have some of the very— serious strikes. i thickly have some of the very experienced in that broken —
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-- i think —— i think we have some but he seriously— —— i think we have some but he seriously expands in that role. these — seriously expands in that role. these are _ seriously expands in that role. these are comp gated decisions. it is much _ these are comp gated decisions. it is much more than what the us does in response — is much more than what the us does in response to this latest loss of life. in response to this latest loss of life it _ in response to this latest loss of life it is — in response to this latest loss of life. it is how this affects what is happening — life. it is how this affects what is happening with the houthis, how it plays— happening with the houthis, how it plays back— happening with the houthis, how it plays back into what is happening in gaza. _ plays back into what is happening in gaza. and _ plays back into what is happening in gaza, and the need for some resolution— gaza, and the need for some resolution to that, what it means for a _ resolution to that, what it means for a global economy. there are lots of different — for a global economy. there are lots of different issues, but one of the things. _ of different issues, but one of the things. my— of different issues, but one of the things, my reflections, on the syria crisis _ things, my reflections, on the syria crisis and _ things, my reflections, on the syria crisis and the messaging any military— crisis and the messaging any military objectives and diplomacy objectives was right at the beginning, both, ithink objectives was right at the beginning, both, i think the objectives was right at the beginning, both, ithink the us objectives was right at the beginning, both, i think the us and the uk _ beginning, both, i think the us and the uk set — beginning, both, i think the us and the uk set them aside moscow, and what are _ the uk set them aside moscow, and what are the issues was that we were not prepared to follow that up —— assad _ not prepared to follow that up —— assad must — not prepared to follow that up —— assad must go. the learning for me was to— assad must go. the learning for me was to never— assad must go. the learning for me was to never make a different attic statement — was to never make a different attic statement you are not 100% committed to follow _ statement you are not 100% committed to follow through on. those are the sort of— to follow through on. those are the
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sort of issues that will be uppermost in the us and also uk and any coalition minds right now. that is rather any coalition minds right now. trust is rather interesting. twice, donald trump stepped back from a direct strike on iran, despite the bluster that sometimes we got from him, so if you set expectations too high, sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have not to sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have got to be _ sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have got to be so _ sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have got to be so careful. _ sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have got to be so careful. and - sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have got to be so careful. and it - sometimes it backfires? indeed. you have got to be so careful. and it is i have got to be so careful. and it is more of— have got to be so careful. and it is more of a — have got to be so careful. and it is more of a messaging issue. diplomacy is about— more of a messaging issue. diplomacy is about messaging. and therefore there _ is about messaging. and therefore there is— is about messaging. and therefore there is the public diplomacy but also the — there is the public diplomacy but also the back channels. president biden— also the back channels. president biden would have been right to be more _ biden would have been right to be more cautious as things stand, but clearly— more cautious as things stand, but clearly this— more cautious as things stand, but clearly this is escalating over time. — clearly this is escalating over time. the _ clearly this is escalating over time, the various conflicts that we are seeing — time, the various conflicts that we are seeing around the middle east now. _ are seeing around the middle east now. so— are seeing around the middle east now. so it — are seeing around the middle east now, so it is an exceptionally difficult — now, so it is an exceptionally difficult time to manage diplomatically. we difficult time to manage diplomatically. difficult time to manage dilomaticall . ~ ., ~ ., diplomatically. we talked about the clinical pressure _ diplomatically. we talked about the clinical pressure biden _ diplomatically. we talked about the clinical pressure biden is _ diplomatically. we talked about the clinical pressure biden is under - clinical pressure biden is under already, in respect of the stance he has taken over gaz support he has shown to israel, and we saw last week when he was in north virginia
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and skelly protest at one of his rallies. i wanted to play our audience a clip from the weekend full of this is former speaker nancy pelosi, who was addressing some of those protests. this is what she said. i think some of these protesters are spontaneous and organic and sincere, some, i think, are connected to russia, and i say that having looked at this for a long time, now. you think some of these - protesters are russian plants? i wouldn't say these are plants, i think some financing should be investigated. what do you make of that? it is pretty interesting. it makes me recall something we are talking about recently, that all the under 35 is about -- 7596... -- 75%. .. that —— 75%... that same audience is getting all their news from tiktok stub i wondered whether some of this protest movement is actually, some of it will be well—founded, but is some of being driven by chinese
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algorithms, russian plans? are there outside forces working within the knighted states to destabilise was —— the united states to destabilise? there are various efforts... the first time they invaded ukraine back in 2014, and one of the things i learned from that experience is it is not always, as the question raised, russian plants — instead, russian has a wide range of tools, and they have become even more sophisticated in the last ten years at co—opting both media and these academics, politicalforces, and one of the things i emphasised in the situation room during these debates is russia is not trying to prove that they are right, they are simply trying to sow discord, division, and this kind of situation, whether it is in gaza, the broader issue around the middle east, is ripe for them to come in, to pull some of those
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strings that they have already established with some of the extremist groups, some of the most extreme voices on social media, and what we are seeing play out in some of these protests is just exacerbated, amplified, by what moscow is able to do with their meddling. so it is something should be cognizant of and i think there certainly should be an investigation as former speaker pelosi raised. especially in an election year. we will pause there. around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news. let's look at some other stories making news across the uk today. a man armed with a crossbow has been shot dead by police in south—east london. the met said the man, who was in his 30s, was trying to force his way into a building in the surrey quays area, just before 5am on tuesday, and was threatening to hurt the people inside. he was given first aid but died at the scene. the nhs app has been updated for users in england. the new features include a prescription tool with a digital bar code that can be used
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in pharmacies without the need for a paper prescription. nhs digital says the app will also show average local hospital waiting times for patients who require non—urgent treatment. shop prices are rising at their lowest rate since may last year according to new figures. the british retail consortium said the drop was partly because of heavy discounts in the january sales. increases in food prices have also slowed compared with december — with the cost of butter, tea and milk falling. you're live with bbc news. power—sharing in northern ireland could finally be up and running again by the end of this week after the main unionist party, the dup, backed a deal with the uk government on post—brexit trade arrangements. there's been no government in northern ireland for two years now. the dup walked out in protest at customs checks that were imposed between northern ireland and great britain. but now the party's leader sirjeffrey donaldson says
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new legislation has been agreed with westminster, which would "remove checks on goods" and which he says would mean an end to northern ireland "blindly following eu laws." we don't know what that wording is. the details will be published tomorrow. so, let's talk to justine about this. it is really interesting, isn't it, that if the wording was to change dramatically from what has been agreed with the european union in the protocol, then they would need to be involved, but the dup seemed to suggest tonight there's been enough movement for them to accept the deal?— accept the deal? indeed. i think everybody _ accept the deal? indeed. i think everybody has _ accept the deal? indeed. i think everybody has been _ accept the deal? indeed. i think everybody has been in - accept the deal? indeed. i think everybody has been in a - accept the deal? indeed. i think everybody has been in a bind. if accept the deal? indeed. i think- everybody has been in a bind. if you are dup _ everybody has been in a bind. if you are dup in— everybody has been in a bind. if you are dup in northern ireland, effectively, not allowing stormont to come _ effectively, not allowing stormont to come back, and northern ireland to come back, and northern ireland to have _ to come back, and northern ireland to have a _ to come back, and northern ireland to have a government, you are under huge _ to have a government, you are under huge pressure because that has meant public— huge pressure because that has meant public sector workers have not had a pay rise _ public sector workers have not had a pay rise and — public sector workers have not had a pay rise and the country has now been _ pay rise and the country has now been facing quite significant,
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severe — been facing quite significant, severe public sector strikes. if your— severe public sector strikes. if your receipt -- if —— if you are rishi sunak back in westminster, actually, the challenges this issue of how you diverge from your pien sanders post—brexit, the more you do that, the war— post—brexit, the more you do that, the war that — post—brexit, the more you do that, the war that means you cannot have a fortune _ the war that means you cannot have a fortune was— the war that means you cannot have a fortune was border between either northern— fortune was border between either northern ireland and the rest of the so... so... the dickens concern to many brexiteers — so... the dickens concern to many brexiteers is — so... the dickens concern to many brexiteers is this a been achieved by the _ brexiteers is this a been achieved by the uk — brexiteers is this a been achieved by the uk essentially agreeing to mirror— by the uk essentially agreeing to mirror eu — by the uk essentially agreeing to mirror eu rules. brexit awesomely meant _ mirror eu rules. brexit awesomely meant we — mirror eu rules. brexit awesomely meant we had to follow eu rules, but we have _ meant we had to follow eu rules, but we have no— meant we had to follow eu rules, but we have no say over them — that were not really _ we have no say over them — that were not really be — we have no say over them — that were not really be the sovereignty and taking _ not really be the sovereignty and taking back of control many people have thought brexit would be. the deal will be _ have thought brexit would be. lie: deal will be welcomed have thought brexit would be. ti;e: deal will be welcomed in have thought brexit would be. ti9: deal will be welcomed in northern ireland, not least because the uk government will support the return of stormont with a package of £3.3
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billion, but also some relief in washington. i was looking back at the role that the americans have played over the last year more than 200 delegates from the american—irish state legislators caucus travelled to belfast in september. on his visit, presidentjoe biden promised some $6 billion in new investment if and when power—sharing was restored. in the 25 years since - the good friday agreement, northern ireland's gross domestic product has literally doubled, - doubled, and i predict— to you if things continue to move in the right direction, it'll more than triple. j there are scores of - major american corporations wanting to come here, wanting to invest. - many have already made homes in northern ireland, _ employing over 30,000 people. and injust the past decade, - american business has generated almost $2 billion in investment in the region - $2 billion. - yeah, that is really the point, isn't it, then northern ireland, for
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all the troubles it has had with brexit, it must be attractive in some respects to outside investors? and not least because the republic of ireland has been booming. they have so much money, there treating a sovereign wealth fund. i sit on the board of the clinton institute, and one of the things understand is to understand how important ireland is to president biden himself, and so for those in the rest of the united kingdom, what this represents, i think, is the removal of a pinpoint in the special relationship. it will open up the possibility, i think, for that relationship post—brexit to be rekindled in lots of different ways we talked about how at the outset of the programme, the us and the uk had responded jointly to the houthis strikes. i think you will
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see more of this, you will see the biden administration, certainly if there is a second term, cosy up to downing street in new ways. {lilla there is a second term, cosy up to downing street in new ways. 0k, we leave it there. _ let's turn to ukraine. a lot of our focus in recent weeks has been the 60 billion dollars of aid that is held up in congress, yoked as it is to the border bill the senate is still trying to negotiate. there is overwhelming support in congress for ukraine to get this aid. but there is a sizable group of republicans who question whether this money is really being spent on the war effort. this weekend, ukraine's sbu security service said it had uncovered a corruption scheme in the purchase of arms, by the country's military, totalling the equivalent of about $40 million. in some respects, that shows the government is rooting out corruption which has been endemic and is a major obstacle to future membership in the european union. but on the other hand, the timing could hardly be worse. joining me now from kyiv is senior non—resident fellow at the atlantic council, michael bociurkiw.
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good to see you. i wonder what your thoughts are? it is good to see you. i wonder what your thoughts are?— thoughts are? it is a pretty eye-popping _ thoughts are? it is a pretty eye-popping figure, - thoughts are? it is a pretty eye-popping figure, and i thoughts are? it is a pretty i eye-popping figure, and this thoughts are? it is a pretty - eye-popping figure, and this was for eye—popping figure, and this was for the purchase. — eye—popping figure, and this was for the purchase, military— eye—popping figure, and this was for the purchase, military procurement, of 100.000 — the purchase, military procurement, of 100,000 shells— the purchase, military procurement, of 100,000 shells of— the purchase, military procurement, of 100,000 shells of ammunition, i of 100,000 shells of ammunition, which _ of 100,000 shells of ammunition, which should — of 100,000 shells of ammunition, which should have _ of 100,000 shells of ammunition, which should have gone _ of 100,000 shells of ammunition, which should have gone to - of 100,000 shells of ammunition, which should have gone to the - of 100,000 shells of ammunition, i which should have gone to the front line but— which should have gone to the front line but did — which should have gone to the front line but did not. _ which should have gone to the front line but did not. that _ which should have gone to the front line but did not. that money- line but did not. that money went straight _ line but did not. that money went straight out — line but did not. that money went straight out of _ line but did not. that money went straight out of the _ line but did not. that money went straight out of the state _ straight out of the state budget, prosecutors _ straight out of the state budget, prosecutors say, _ straight out of the state budget, prosecutors say, right _ straight out of the state budget, prosecutors say, right into - straight out of the state budget, prosecutors say, right into the i prosecutors say, right into the hands — prosecutors say, right into the hands of — prosecutors say, right into the hands of these _ prosecutors say, right into the hands of these thugs - prosecutors say, right into the hands of these thugs in - prosecutors say, right into the i hands of these thugs in western ukraine. — hands of these thugs in western ukraine. and— hands of these thugs in western ukraine, and then _ hands of these thugs in western ukraine, and then some - hands of these thugs in western ukraine, and then some of- hands of these thugs in western ukraine, and then some of that| hands of these thugs in western - ukraine, and then some of that money was sent— ukraine, and then some of that money was sent out— ukraine, and then some of that money was sent out of— ukraine, and then some of that money was sent out of the _ ukraine, and then some of that money was sent out of the country. _ ukraine, and then some of that money was sent out of the country. this - was sent out of the country. this has got — was sent out of the country. this has got a — was sent out of the country. this has got a lot— was sent out of the country. this has got a lot of— was sent out of the country. this has got a lot of headlines - was sent out of the country. this has got a lot of headlines here i was sent out of the country. thisj has got a lot of headlines here in ukraine. — has got a lot of headlines here in ukraine. and— has got a lot of headlines here in ukraine, andjust_ has got a lot of headlines here in ukraine, and just in _ has got a lot of headlines here in ukraine, and just in the - has got a lot of headlines here in ukraine, and just in the past - ukraine, and just in the past 24 hours _ ukraine, and just in the past 24 hours or— ukraine, and just in the past 24 hours or so. _ ukraine, and just in the past 24 hours or so, prosecutors - ukraine, and just in the past 24 hours or so, prosecutors did - ukraine, and just in the past 24| hours or so, prosecutors did ask ukraine, and just in the past 24 - hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for— hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for one — hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for one of— hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for one of those _ hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for one of those charged - hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for one of those charged in- hours or so, prosecutors did ask for bail for one of those charged in the| bail for one of those charged in the area around — bail for one of those charged in the area around $7 _ bail for one of those charged in the area around $7 million. _ bail for one of those charged in the area around $7 million. it- bail for one of those charged in the area around $7 million. it was- area around $7 million. it was actually— area around $7 million. it was actually denied. _ area around $7 million. it was actually denied. so _ area around $7 million. it was actually denied. so a - area around $7 million. it was actually denied. so a lot - area around $7 million. it was actually denied. so a lot of i actually denied. so a lot of questions _ actually denied. so a lot of questions on _ actually denied. so a lot of questions on actually - actually denied. so a lot of questions on actually howl actually denied. so a lot of. questions on actually how this actually denied. so a lot of - questions on actually how this was allowed _ questions on actually how this was allowed to— questions on actually how this was allowed to happen. _ questions on actually how this was allowed to happen. of— questions on actually how this was allowed to happen. of course, - questions on actually how this was allowed to happen. of course, it i questions on actually how this wasj allowed to happen. of course, it is great _ allowed to happen. of course, it is great this— allowed to happen. of course, it is great this was _ allowed to happen. of course, it is great this was found _ allowed to happen. of course, it is great this was found out, - allowed to happen. of course, it is great this was found out, the - allowed to happen. of course, it is great this was found out, the fourl great this was found out, the four or five _ great this was found out, the four or five men— great this was found out, the four or five men have _ great this was found out, the four or five men have been _ great this was found out, the four or five men have been charged, i great this was found out, the four. or five men have been charged, but what _ or five men have been charged, but what is _ or five men have been charged, but what is going — or five men have been charged, but what is going to _ or five men have been charged, but what is going to be next _ or five men have been charged, but what is going to be next for- or five men have been charged, but what is going to be next for them? i or five men have been charged, but| what is going to be next for them? i what is going to be next for them? suppose the longer the fighting drags on, more tempting it is to look for to blame for all that. does this incident, what has been uncovered at the weekend, and the
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way that the counteroffensive has stalled, to support more pressure on the commander—in—chief of the armed forces? it the commander-in-chief of the armed forces? . . . , the commander-in-chief of the armed forces? :, ,, , ., , the commander-in-chief of the armed forces? , , forces? it absently does, because we hear reports — forces? it absently does, because we hear reports of _ forces? it absently does, because we hear reports of various _ forces? it absently does, because we hear reports of various equipment, i hear reports of various equipment, whether— hear reports of various equipment, whether it — hear reports of various equipment, whether it is hear reports of various equipment, whether it i— whether it is automobiles or tanks or artillery shells, _ whether it is automobiles or tanks or artillery shells, to _ whether it is automobiles or tanks or artillery shells, to the - or artillery shells, to the point they— or artillery shells, to the point they have _ or artillery shells, to the point they have to— or artillery shells, to the point they have to ration _ or artillery shells, to the point they have to ration these - or artillery shells, to the point. they have to ration these things, or artillery shells, to the point - they have to ration these things, i think— they have to ration these things, i think he _ they have to ration these things, i think he is— they have to ration these things, i think he is trying _ they have to ration these things, i think he is trying to _ they have to ration these things, i think he is trying to keep- they have to ration these things, i think he is trying to keep morale i they have to ration these things, i. think he is trying to keep morale up in very— think he is trying to keep morale up in very difficult _ think he is trying to keep morale up in very difficult circumstances, - think he is trying to keep morale up in very difficult circumstances, but. in very difficult circumstances, but at the _ in very difficult circumstances, but at the same — in very difficult circumstances, but at the same time, _ in very difficult circumstances, but at the same time, president - in very difficult circumstances, but. at the same time, president zelensky knows _ at the same time, president zelensky knows this— at the same time, president zelensky knows this is — at the same time, president zelensky knows this is a — at the same time, president zelensky knows this is a big _ at the same time, president zelensky knows this is a big problem _ at the same time, president zelensky knows this is a big problem and - at the same time, president zelensky knows this is a big problem and i- knows this is a big problem and i will mind — knows this is a big problem and i will mind you _ knows this is a big problem and i will mind you that _ knows this is a big problem and i will mind you that last _ knows this is a big problem and il will mind you that last august, he proposed — will mind you that last august, he proposed a — will mind you that last august, he proposed a legislation _ will mind you that last august, he proposed a legislation equating. proposed a legislation equating corruption _ proposed a legislation equating corruption with— proposed a legislation equating corruption with treason - proposed a legislation equating corruption with treason during i corruption with treason during wartime. _ corruption with treason during wartime. and— corruption with treason during wartime, and he— corruption with treason during wartime, and he said - corruption with treason during wartime, and he said people i corruption with treason during. wartime, and he said people like those _ wartime, and he said people like those for— wartime, and he said people like those for five _ wartime, and he said people like those for five men _ wartime, and he said people like those for five men that - wartime, and he said people likel those for five men that have been charged _ those for five men that have been charged should _ those for five men that have been charged should face _ those for five men that have been charged should face justice, - those for five men that have been charged should face justice, but i those for five men that have been i charged should face justice, but not necessarily— charged should face justice, but not necessarily the _ charged should face justice, but not necessarily the firing _ charged should face justice, but not necessarily the firing squad. - necessarily the firing squad. christian. _ necessarily the firing squad. christian. i— necessarily the firing squad. christian, i bet— necessarily the firing squad. christian, i bet you - necessarily the firing squad. christian, i bet you if- necessarily the firing squad. christian, i bet you if i - necessarily the firing squad. christian, i bet you if i went| necessarily the firing squad. . christian, i bet you if i went out on the — christian, i bet you if i went out on the streets _ christian, i bet you if i went out on the streets of _ christian, i bet you if i went out on the streets of kyiv— christian, i bet you if i went out on the streets of kyiv and - christian, i bet you if i went out| on the streets of kyiv and asked everyone one _ on the streets of kyiv and asked everyone one they— on the streets of kyiv and asked everyone one they thought - everyone one they thought could happen— everyone one they thought could happen to — everyone one they thought could happen to these _ everyone one they thought could happen to these chaps, - everyone one they thought could happen to these chaps, they - everyone one they thought could i happen to these chaps, they would recommend — happen to these chaps, they would recommend the _ happen to these chaps, they would recommend the firing _ happen to these chaps, they would recommend the firing squad. -
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happen to these chaps, they would recommend the firing squad. thatl happen to these chaps, they would i recommend the firing squad. that is the mood. _ recommend the firing squad. that is the mood, especially— recommend the firing squad. that is the mood, especially considering. recommend the firing squad. that is| the mood, especially considering the ordinary— the mood, especially considering the ordinaryjoe — the mood, especially considering the ordinaryjoe worked _ the mood, especially considering the ordinaryjoe worked so _ the mood, especially considering the ordinaryjoe worked so hard - the mood, especially considering the ordinaryjoe worked so hard to - the mood, especially considering the ordinaryjoe worked so hard to raisel ordinaryjoe worked so hard to raise money— ordinaryjoe worked so hard to raise money for— ordinaryjoe worked so hard to raise money for the — ordinaryjoe worked so hard to raise money for the armed _ ordinaryjoe worked so hard to raise money for the armed forces, there| money for the armed forces, there are so— money for the armed forces, there are so many— money for the armed forces, there are so many volunteer— money for the armed forces, there are so many volunteer efforts - money for the armed forces, there| are so many volunteer efforts going on right— are so many volunteer efforts going on right now— are so many volunteer efforts going on right now to— are so many volunteer efforts going on right now to raise _ are so many volunteer efforts going on right now to raise money, - are so many volunteer efforts going on right now to raise money, to- are so many volunteer efforts going| on right now to raise money, to give a quick— on right now to raise money, to give a quick end — on right now to raise money, to give a quick end to— on right now to raise money, to give a quick end to the _ on right now to raise money, to give a quick end to the armed _ on right now to raise money, to give a quick end to the armed forces, i a quick end to the armed forces, because — a quick end to the armed forces, because people _ a quick end to the armed forces, because people don't _ a quick end to the armed forces, because people don't trust - a quick end to the armed forces, because people don't trust the i because people don't trust the system — because people don't trust the system -- _ because people don't trust the system -- to— because people don't trust the system. —— to give _ because people don't trust the system. —— to give equipping. | because people don't trust the . system. —— to give equipping. i'fire system. -- to give equipping. i've not a system. -- to give equipping. i've got a minute. _ system. —— to give equipping. got a minute, but presumably that feeling is expended when you start to talk about the draught and how much bitterness there is around the draught? much bitterness there is around the drau . ht? :, much bitterness there is around the drau~ht? :, . much bitterness there is around the drau~ht? :, :, , .~' , draught? now, and 'ust quickly, i was last weekend — draught? now, andjust quickly, i was last weekend at _ draught? now, andjust quickly, i was last weekend at the - draught? now, andjust quickly, ii was last weekend at the cemetery, and you _ was last weekend at the cemetery, and you get— was last weekend at the cemetery, and you get a — was last weekend at the cemetery, and you get a very— was last weekend at the cemetery, and you get a very vivid _ was last weekend at the cemetery, and you get a very vivid picture of. and you get a very vivid picture of how many— and you get a very vivid picture of how many men— and you get a very vivid picture of how many men have _ and you get a very vivid picture of how many men have died - and you get a very vivid picture of how many men have died fighting and you get a very vivid picture of. how many men have died fighting in this war. _ how many men have died fighting in this war. and — how many men have died fighting in this war, and again— how many men have died fighting in this war, and again when you - how many men have died fighting in this war, and again when you see i this war, and again when you see the depth _ this war, and again when you see the depth of— this war, and again when you see the depth of greed — this war, and again when you see the depth of greed happening _ this war, and again when you see the depth of greed happening during i depth of greed happening during wartime. — depth of greed happening during wartime. it — depth of greed happening during wartime, it really— depth of greed happening during wartime, it really upset - depth of greed happening during wartime, it really upset people, | depth of greed happening during i wartime, it really upset people, so ithink— wartime, it really upset people, so i think you — wartime, it really upset people, so i think you are _ wartime, it really upset people, so i think you are going _ wartime, it really upset people, so i think you are going to— wartime, it really upset people, so i think you are going to see - wartime, it really upset people, so i think you are going to see more i i think you are going to see more voluntary— i think you are going to see more voluntary efforts _ i think you are going to see more voluntary efforts raising - i think you are going to see more voluntary efforts raising money. i think you are going to see more i voluntary efforts raising money for equipment— voluntary efforts raising money for equipment for— voluntary efforts raising money for equipment for the _ voluntary efforts raising money for equipment for the front _ voluntary efforts raising money for equipment for the front lines i voluntary efforts raising money for equipment for the front lines that| equipment for the front lines that will bypass— equipment for the front lines that will bypass the _ equipment for the front lines that will bypass the whole _ equipment for the front lines that will bypass the whole system. i equipment for the front lines that i will bypass the whole system. let's hope it _ will bypass the whole system. let's hope it works _ will bypass the whole system. let's hope it works-— will bypass the whole system. let's hope it works. michael, always good to have you — hope it works. michael, always good to have you on _ hope it works. michael, always good to have you on the _ hope it works. michael, always good to have you on the programme. i hope it works. michael, always good i to have you on the programme. thank you for coming on this evening. we are going to go to a short break. on the other side of it, we are going to go deep on the constitution,
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clause three, article 14. we will speak to a historian about how... what it means for donald trump? and what do you think about getting a chip implanted in your brain? elon musk has done it. we will speak about it. hello. today has been a beautiful day for many northern parts of the uk. however, it is not going to last. beautiful blue skies and sunshine overhead for this weather watcher close to belfast during this afternoon. but on the earlier satellite picture, you can see that trouble has been brewing — this shield of cloud here. and from within this, we will see an increasingly deep area of low pressure passing to the north of the uk. now, this low has been named by the norwegian weather service, named storm ingunn, because it is set to bring
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winds of more than 100 miles per hour in norway. the winds not as strong here, but northern parts of the uk can expect some very wet and very, very blustery weather as we head through the day on wednesday — those winds picking up, actually, through tonight across the north—west of scotland. we will see gales developing, some rain eventually moving in. further south and east, some clear skies. where we have this zone of clear weather, we could well see a touch of frost — temperatures, for example, in birmingham and cardiff getting down to freezing. not as cold further north and west with more cloud, that strengthening wind and some outbreaks of rain. so, many parts of england and wales starting wednesday with at least some spells of sunshine. northern ireland and scotland, though, clouding over with outbreaks of very heavy rain. in fact, just about here, a line of really intense downpours sinking south—eastwards with some squally, gusty winds. those wind gusts generally 50—60 miles per hour across parts of northern ireland, northern england and scotland. but in the north of scotland, we could easily see gusts in excess of 80 miles per hour, likely to cause some damage and travel disruption.
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our rain band continuing itsjourney southwards into the afternoon. to the south of the rain band, mostly fine, limited spells of sunshine. behind the rain band, it will — for a time, at least — turn a little bit colder. and our band of rain sinks ever further southwards through wednesday evening, weakening a little as it goes. that rain band will then clear into thursday, high pressure builds. so thursday's actually a pretty decent day — lots of dry weather, some spells of sunshine, although that sunshine will turn hazy from time to time, with some high cloud streaming in from the west. thicker cloud bringing rain back into the north—west of scotland. but that band of rain comes in association with a warm front. and as that works across the uk, it leaves us with some very mild conditions indeed for friday — highs of 14 or 15 degrees. staying mild but often cloudy into the weekend. bye— bye.
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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. donald trump has been disqualified from running as a presidential candidate in two states. what does it mean for the general election? how will the supreme court rule on that and why are the us historian getting involved. last year, colorado's supreme court
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