warship in says it has destroyed a warship in its territorial waters of crimea. a record number of nato countries will this year hit the defence spending target this year. this year, i expect 18 allies to spend 2% of their gdp on defence. and here in the uk, latest data shows the inflation rate is unchanged at 4%. we start this hour in indonesia, where polls have closed in what's billed as the largest and most complex one—day election in the world. more than 200 million people were eligible to vote in the world's third—largest democracy. the election took place in the country's 17,000 islands, across three time zones. the front runner, defence minister prabowo subianto, is hoping to win the presidential vote outright to avoid a second round. the former general is up against two former provincial governors in the contest to replace

the popular outgoing presidentjoko widodo. let's bring in steve. thanks very much. i am here at the venue for the prabowo subianto party watch party as the election results continue to come in. we have early indications showing he is the clear favourite with about 58% of the vote compared to his rivals anies baswedan were 25% and ganjar pranowo it with about 17%. we are expecting him to arrive later this hour and you can maybe her behind me in the indoor sports hall, it is a whole often used fair concerts, music starting to come out from that which is why we are not in there. we are waiting to see him arrive today and see when he claims victory as we expect he might, given at the margin he leads by at the moment. to get

more on the election that has been happening today i am joined by alexander turner from the indonesia programme at nanyang technological university in singapore. first to get your reaction to the quick numbers we have seen that have come out very much in favour of prabowo. . ~ come out very much in favour of prabowo. ., ~ , ., ., come out very much in favour of prabow0-— come out very much in favour of prabowo. ., ~ , ., ., ., prabowo. thank you for having me. yes, so prabowo. thank you for having me. yes. so far— prabowo. thank you for having me. yes. so far it _ prabowo. thank you for having me. yes, so far it has _ prabowo. thank you for having me. yes, so far it has been _ prabowo. thank you for having me. yes, so far it has been showing - prabowo. thank you for having me. yes, so far it has been showing a l yes, so far it has been showing a landslide — yes, so far it has been showing a landslide victory for the prabowo subianto, — landslide victory for the prabowo subianto, around 57,50 8%. this quick— subianto, around 57,50 8%. this quick count — subianto, around 57,50 8%. this quick count has been done since 2009. _ quick count has been done since 2009, they had it in the 2014 and 2019 elections where in the presidential elections they managed

to win _ presidential elections they managed to win again so i leave even though the sounds — to win again so i leave even though the sounds it is only exit polling, i the sounds it is only exit polling, i believe — the sounds it is only exit polling, i believe these are very accurate pictures— i believe these are very accurate pictures of— i believe these are very accurate pictures of the election and mr prabowo — pictures of the election and mr prabowo is a clear winner of the election — prabowo is a clear winner of the election. , y . ., prabowo is a clear winner of the election. , . ., , , election. yes, official results don't come _ election. yes, official results don't come out _ election. yes, official results don't come out further - election. yes, official results don't come out further up i election. yes, official results don't come out further up to | election. yes, official results i don't come out further up to 35 election. yes, official results - don't come out further up to 35 days after the elections but as you say, these quick results give a clear indication and in the past historically they have been accurate as well, so with all things pointing towards a prabowo victory, what does this mean for indonesia to have this, general, he has tried to ascend the presidency three times, and it looks like on his third attempt he will get it?- attempt he will get it? yes, absolutely. _ attempt he will get it? yes, absolutely. i— attempt he will get it? yes, absolutely. i think - attempt he will get it? yes, absolutely. i think prabowo| attempt he will get it? yes, - absolutely. i think prabowo has achieved — absolutely. i think prabowo has achieved his lifelong dream of becoming the president of the

world's— becoming the president of the world's largest democracy. we have to wait _ world's largest democracy. we have to wait and — world's largest democracy. we have to wait and see on what he is going to wait and see on what he is going to do— to wait and see on what he is going to do next. — to wait and see on what he is going to do next, because prabowo, yes, he does promise — to do next, because prabowo, yes, he does promise he will continue presidentialjokowi's legacy, but presidential jokowi's legacy, but whether— presidentialjokowi's legacy, but whether he will continue to uphold this promise when he resumes office in october— this promise when he resumes office in october it — this promise when he resumes office in october it remains to be seen. i think— in october it remains to be seen. i think we _ in october it remains to be seen. i think we will— in october it remains to be seen. i think we willjust have to wait and see for— think we willjust have to wait and see for the — think we willjust have to wait and see for the next eight months about that. see for the next eight months about that is— see for the next eight months about that. , ~ , see for the next eight months about that. , ,, , ., that. is it likely that he will chance that. is it likely that he will change course, _ that. is it likely that he will change course, though, - that. is it likely that he will| change course, though, and that. is it likely that he will - change course, though, and tell us the influence that the current president has had on these elections

given that his son is the vice presidential running mate to prabowo?— presidential running mate to prabowo? , ~ , prabowo? yes, i think he definitely has two consider _ prabowo? yes, i think he definitely has two considerjacobi's _ prabowo? yes, i think he definitely| has two considerjacobi's influence, has two considerjacobi's influence, given— has two considerjacobi's influence, given that _ has two considerjacobi's influence, given that today is a result of the president's overwhelming popularity among _ president's overwhelming popularity among indonesians, confidence in presidential polling remains at 80% as of now. — presidential polling remains at 80% as of now, so yes, he will have to consider— as of now, so yes, he will have to considerjacobi's input but there is a lot of— considerjacobi's input but there is a lot of discussion over shaping his new cabinet— a lot of discussion over shaping his new cabinet and the role of his

coalition— new cabinet and the role of his coalition partners, including jokowi's _ coalition partners, including jokowi's son, so i think this is something _ jokowi's son, so i think this is something we will have to wait and see over— something we will have to wait and see over the next few months as there _ see over the next few months as there is— see over the next few months as there is the _ see over the next few months as there is the transition from presidentjokowi to the there is the transition from president jokowi to the next president. ifi president jokowi to the next president-— president jokowi to the next president. . ., , , ., president. if i could 'ust get your cuick president. if i could 'ust get your quick thoughts _ president. if i could 'ust get your quick thoughts on _ president. if i could just get your quick thoughts on what - president. if i could just get your quick thoughts on what the - president. if i could just get your| quick thoughts on what the youth vote has meant? we know 50% of the electorate are under 40 and that prabowo had a very aggressive social media campaign to attract young voters. , , ., , , media campaign to attract young voters. , i. , , .,, voters. yes, the youth seemingly has backed prabowo _ voters. yes, the youth seemingly has backed prabowo if _ voters. yes, the youth seemingly has backed prabowo if we _ voters. yes, the youth seemingly has backed prabowo if we believe - voters. yes, the youth seemingly has backed prabowo if we believe the - backed prabowo if we believe the result _ backed prabowo if we believe the result of— backed prabowo if we believe the result of the exit polling so far. people — result of the exit polling so far. people over the age of 40 tend to have lower— people over the age of 40 tend to have lower voting margins, but since they are _ have lower voting margins, but since they are in _ have lower voting margins, but since they are in the minority this time

around _ they are in the minority this time around they are not the decision makers — around they are not the decision makers in — around they are not the decision makers in the election, it is the youth _ makers in the election, it is the youth that— makers in the election, it is the youth that are making the decisions. alexandr, _ youth that are making the decisions. alexandr, we believe it there, but thank you so much for speaking to me today. —— we will leave it there. the sun is starting to go down, but the celebrations are just starting to ramp up. we are expecting the stadium to get louder and louder as the night wears on as a prabowo and his running mate arrive at the venue. it seems like no one will be able to stop him now as the polls reveal such a big margin that he is on the lead and it looks like he is on the lead and it looks like he is on track to become indonesia's next president. . ~' , ., on track to become indonesia's next president. ., ,, , ., , . president. thank you very much indeed. ukraine military says it has destroyed a russian warship of

crimea. this shows the moment the warship was hit and they say a large landing ship was near the resort at the time of the attack. moscow has not commented although it did say its forces had shot down six aerial drones over the black sea as well as another three over russia. james has more on the sinking. we have seen photos put out by ukraine's military seeming to show smoke on the horizon and looking out over the black sea of crimea and it appears to be this landing ship. it is the second type of vessel in almost as many months that has been destroyed by ukrainian forces. we are yet to hear anything from the russian installed authorities there, they are instead reporting several ukrainian drone strikes further afield, but what this means, we are talking about a landing ship that can carry several hundred tonnes of

cargo, hundreds of personnel and up to a dozen armoured vehicles. it is the most efficient way for russian forces to move the men and equipment forces to move the men and equipment for its southern war effort of the ukrainian coast. and we make this the 24th russian vessel that has been damaged or destroyed by ukraine, which barely has a navy. it has lost control of most of its coastline and yet it has used these marine —type drawings that travel over water, marine —type drawings that travel overwater, packed marine —type drawings that travel over water, packed with explosives, or cruise missiles to great effect, which has severely damaged russia's navyin which has severely damaged russia's navy in this area, undermined its presence commit to the extent that ukraine can now establish its own trading route for grain once more and it has lessened russian missile strikes from the black sea itself. and russia's ability to repair these vessels will replace them completely, it really is questionable given how ukraine has

reasserted itself on the black sea, so this will be welcome news because further north it is a different story where you have ukrainian generals seriously considering tactical retreats in some areas as russian ground forces continue to launch wave after wave of attack. what we are seeing is the russian navy continuing to be frustrated by ukraine, which only has a handful of chips itself. we have had this report today that the kremlin has denied that putin had proposed a ceasefire in ukraine to the intermediaries, what you make of all of that? i intermediaries, what you make of all of that? ~ , , intermediaries, what you make of all of that? ,, , , ., of that? i think this is nothing surprising- — of that? i think this is nothing surprising- l— of that? i think this is nothing surprising. i think _ of that? i think this is nothing surprising. i think vladimir i of that? i think this is nothing - surprising. i think vladimir putin, if you look at his recent interview with tucker carlson where he announced repeated and challenged his rationale for this war and he said he would be open for negotiations on his terms, i think vladimir putin is still looking to take as much of ukraine as possible

and he is also looking to consolidate what he has taken over the past ten years in his campaign of aggression against ukraine. i think the idea of there being any kind of negotiation on russia's side was, when ukraine was under enough pressure from its own allies or that he was able to present something tied in a ribbon as some can be when the territory taken so far. i think we are yet to reach that point but the point ukraine is making is the idea of any ceasefire will not stop there for russia. ukraine is already having to balance its economic priorities, president zelensky has to make political decisions when he mobilises men in his population, whereas for russia it can remain on a war footing. whereas for russia it can remain on a warfooting. eight can whereas for russia it can remain on a war footing. eight can continue to mobilise hundreds of thousands of more soldiers, it can manufacture more soldiers, it can manufacture more equipment, more missiles, which

it continues to launch against ukraine and a vladimir putin's overall goal, dream, price is here, kyiv, and the whole of ukraine and i cannot see that changing anytime soon. the nato chief, jens stoltenberg, has said that a majority of the alliance's members are ramping up their defence spending amid russia's ongoing war against ukraine and worries about a possible return of donald trump to the white house. on the campaign trail, mr trump had threatened he wouldn't protect nato members from a russian attack if they didn't pay their share. speaking ahead of a nato defence minister meeting in brussels, mr stoltenberg said defence spending across the alliance had increased significantly, but he underlined that all 31 allies had to reach the agreed spending target. this year, i expect 18 allies to spend 2% of their gdp on defence. that is another record number. and a six fold increase from 2014, when only three allies met the target.

live from brussels is our defence correspondentjonathan beale. admittedly it has to be agreed first, but if those increases are agreed on, how significant will it be for nato? i agreed on, how significant will it be for nate?— be for nato? i think it is the prejection — be for nato? i think it is the prejection of— be for nato? i think it is the projection of what _ be for nato? i think it is the projection of what jens - be for nato? i think it is the - projection of what jens stoltenberg projection of whatjens stoltenberg are saying, 18 countries of the 31 members of nato, could soon be 32 if swedenjoins, it is members of nato, could soon be 32 if sweden joins, it is waiting for hungary to give that approval in parliament, but that is a significant change from 2014, which is when they first set the goal of countries trying to reach a target of 2% of the gdp being spent on defence. then it wasjust of 2% of the gdp being spent on defence. then it was just three countries and jens stoltenberg saying now, at the end of this year, it will be 18 countries, so that is a significant. you then ask the question why is that? i'm sure donald trump would like to take some

credit for it, he was going for more spent 20 he was president and those countries that seem to be 18 is because of what rudd may putin has been doing in ukraine and clearly the goal was set in 2014 when he first invaded crimea and now that concern in europe is much greater since the full scale invasion in russia. i think it is russia that has caused this a dramatic increase in defence spending in europe rather than donald trump when he was president. is than donald trump when he was president. , , ., , president. is there still any fallout from _ president. is there still any fallout from those - president. is there still any fallout from those remarks| president. is there still any - fallout from those remarks from trump? are they talking about it at all? he trump? are they talking about it at all? , ., , , r all? he is not president, is he? at the moment _ all? he is not president, is he? at the moment. of— all? he is not president, is he? at the moment. of course _ all? he is not president, is he? at the moment. of course those - all? he is not president, is he? at - the moment. of course those comments donald trump said on the campaign trail have caused concern here, but

jens stoltenberg himself has dealt with donald trump when he was president of the four years and he was very careful. he does not criticise and he hasn't today directly donald trump, but he has made clear what donald trump has said, that nato is about collective defence so an attack on one country as an attack on all. and he was making clear today, jens stoltenberg, that it is in the us interest to be part of the nato alliance. nato countries have fought alongside the us in past wars, afghanistan, iraq, for example, and the only time nato has invoked the article five treaty which is the collective defence treaty is when america was attacked in 911 in new york and that is when nato responded collectively, so i think he is stressing the positives that there is a lot here for the us to be part

of nato, rather than antagonising donald trump, because everybody here knows it is a possibility they may have to work with him again. thank ou ve have to work with him again. thank you very much _ have to work with him again. thank you very much indeed. _ around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news. let's look at some other stories making news here in the uk. more than a hundred families looking after severely disabled adults and children outside hospital have told the bbc that the nhs is failing to provide enough vital support. the health service says help is based on individual needs, and guidelines ensure consistency across england and wales. however, some families describe the system as adversarial. ultra—processed foods should be clearly labelled, experts say. scientists said the warnings were needed because some ultra—processed foods could fall into the "healthy" green category of the "traffic—light" system, and some people may be unaware that what they were buying was ultra—processed. these types of foods have been linked to obesity and heart disease. labour has suspended

a second parliamentary candidate over comments he allegedly made about israel. graham jones, the former labour mp for hyndburn, is also facing an investigation, the bbc understands. on monday evening, labour withdrew support for the party's candidate for the rochdale by—election, azhar ali, for apparently making antisemitic remarks. you're live with bbc news. there are reports coming from gaza that the israeli military has ordered palestinians to evacuate the nasser hospital in the southern city of khan younis. videos posted on social media show an announcement made on a speaker attached to a drone, with a crowd of people seeming to leave the hospital compound. the israeli army has not yet commented on the reports. hundreds of people have taken refuge at the nasser hospital, while medical staff have continued to treat the sick and wounded. israel claims that hamas uses hospitals as cover for its operations. that's in khan younis. meanwhile, in gaza's

southernmost city of rafah, a top un official has warned an israeli assault there could lead to a "slaughter". more than a million palestinians are crammed into rafah. a un spokesman told the bbc they had not seen any israeli evacuation plans. rafah has come under heavy israeli bombardment in recent days, with at least 67 people killed there on monday, according to gaza's hamas—run health ministry. let's speak to rebecca inglis, who's an intensive care doctor based in london and the co—founder of gaza medic voices, which has been hearing first—hand accounts from doctors in gaza. can you tell me more about that order to evacuate the hospital and what you have heard about what is going on there?— going on there? certainly. nasser medical hospital _ going on there? certainly. nasser medical hospital has _ going on there? certainly. nasser medical hospital has been - going on there? certainly. nasser medical hospital has been underl medical hospital has been under siege for the past 23 days, so there has been fighting and snipers stationed around the hospital, so

for the past 23 days, no one has been able to access or leave the hospital. during that time period, we know that there were about 400 plus patients inside the hospital, about 300 medical staff and thousands of refugees, so internally displaced people. during this period of siege, everything has been getting harder and harder and the amount of fighting around the hospital has been getting worse and worse. and then yesterday, there was an announcement is made through drones and other messages that were sent to the hospital that they needed to evacuate. i sent to the hospital that they needed to evacuate.- sent to the hospital that they needed to evacuate. i think we are watchin: needed to evacuate. i think we are watching some _ needed to evacuate. i think we are watching some of _ needed to evacuate. i think we are watching some of that _ needed to evacuate. i think we are watching some of that footage - needed to evacuate. i think we are | watching some of that footage now from outside the hospital. tell us a bit more about what has been going on. we understand that some have been having to evacuate that others are staying, give us more detail. i

are staying, give us more detail. i think the internally displaced people have evacuated. had a message from a surgeon trapped in the hospital a couple of hours ago and he said after yesterday, the first few people who tried to leave were shut out, two in the arm and one in the abdomen. they were supposed to leave on the designated route that israel had said but today there were further announcements from drones, you can see in the footage at the flying drone is the announcing through a speaker saying you must evacuate or we are going to bomb the hospital, and so now he says that almost all of the internally displaced people have left and then the final bit of the message that he sent was we can hear right now the drones saying to the medical staff, stand outside of the building, so leave the building and come and stand outside, and so we don't know what is happening as we speak, but thatis what is happening as we speak, but that is the situation a couple of hours ago.

that is the situation a couple of hours ago-— that is the situation a couple of hours ao. ., ., , hours ago. you mentioned people bein: told hours ago. you mentioned people being told to _ hours ago. you mentioned people being told to move _ hours ago. you mentioned people being told to move and _ hours ago. you mentioned people being told to move and evacuate, | hours ago. you mentioned people - being told to move and evacuate, but is there a safe route they know about? because we have not yet had confirmation from the israeli government about evacuation plans. so, it is worth pointing out this is specific to nasser medical complex and the people kept there. the evacuation plans in rafah, as you mention, were equally unclear. there is no white safe in gaza at the moment, no essay for the thousands of people to go, and no clear plan for how they will get anywhere safely. —— there is nowhere safe in gaza, know where the thousands to go. there has been shooting into the hospital grounds, people have been getting shot by the hospital gate and the staff have been struggling to try and say forget them, so the message i got from this same surgeon yesterday was that our people in the courtyard of the hospital who have

been shot and injured, men, women and children who are crying out for help but we are unable to retrieve them and get them because of the amount of shooting that was still going on, so this is going on inside the hospital at the moment. within this hospital itself, there was also a member of staff that was shot on the 8th of february, a few days ago now, by a drone with a gun on it and this member of staff was inside the hospital building and they were shot in the chest while at work, and so i think that the situation has been deteriorating, but there is no clear route. i understand from the messages we received they were told which direction to head on, but the route they were then provided with did not prove safe as they still got shot regardless as they headed along that route. we have no idea where these people are heading to at the moment. all they have been told is told to go. they can't head to rafah because of all the problems, everyone in rafah is under threat at

the moment, so the whole situation is unspeakable. they have been short of food increasingly in this hospital under siege during this time period and so the humanitarian living situation of all of these people, we have seen from the video it is families with their possessions tied to carts and bikes, we don't know where they are heading right now. we don't know where they are heading riaht now. ~ ., ., ,., we don't know where they are heading riahtnow.~ ., ,, ., right now. what about the access to e . ui - ment right now. what about the access to equipment and _ right now. what about the access to equipment and medical _ right now. what about the access to equipment and medical supplies? . equipment and medical supplies? yesterday, we understand that one of the warehouses within nasser was actually bombed, and said that warehouse with medical supplies inside burnt down, so that was the stuff they had on the grounds of the hospital. right now, the medical supplies dwindled to the point at which there was very little medical care that they were able to provide, and this was a hospital where there

were apparently seven premature babies that were needing medical aid, there were patients in intensive care, dialysis patients, so there was a huge amount of medical need that they were not receiving the care they needed because of the siege, because of the dwindling capabilities of stuff that was delivered to the hospital. we know in rafah, despite that huge population, there is a very small number of hospitals that have been completely overwhelmed and put out of service right now because the bombings that have started in rafah have produced so many injured people that they have been swamped and they are really not very functional at all at the moment and we are getting desperate messages from doctors and other members of health care staff in those hospitals in rafah. so at the moment, you know, the situation that we thought it couldn't really get any worse sounds like absolute hell at the moment and i think as a

humanitarian community we are terrified about what will happen in the next hours if not days.- the next hours if not days. thank ou ve the next hours if not days. thank you very much — the next hours if not days. thank you very much indeed _ the next hours if not days. thank you very much indeed for - the next hours if not days. thank you very much indeed for explain the next hours if not days. thank i you very much indeed for explain to us about what you know about the situation at the nasser hospital. plenty more for you on all stories on our website, there is a live page on our website, there is a live page on the israel gaza situation. to stay with us on bbc news. goodbye for now. hello again. for many of us today, fairly cloudy and rain on and off. but the north of scotland sees something slightly different, here we have clearer skies and fresher conditions. for the rest of the uk, these weather fronts moving from the south, northwards and eastwards. in between them, some brightness developing across north wales and the midlands into east anglia, but you can also see where we've got the clearest skies, temperatures

here between 6 and 8 degrees, milder for northern ireland, the rest of england and wales. well into double figures, 15 at best. through this evening and overnight, bands of rain push northwards, taking all this cloud with them. some of that will be heavy and persistent across northern england and scotland and quite a mild night, thatair pushing further north. in aboyne it was —4, tomorrow morning, +5. tomorrow, ourfronts moving north and all this mild air coming up from the near continent before this later thsi weather front comes in bringing more rain. another fairly cloudy day for most, the rain continuing to push northwards across scotland and then we have the second front coming in bringing rain as well but ahead of it and behind it, brighterskies. tomorrow, across eastern england, up to 17 degrees

with the milder air pushing further north across scotland as well. thursday into friday, the rain eventually pushes away with the wind changing direction, so temperatures dipping a little bit but still mild. there goes the rain, a fair bit of cloud left in its wake with some showers here or there but equally, bright weather too. instead of temperatures being 17, it will peak around 14. you can see too across scotland into northern ireland, between eight and 12 degrees. on saturday, cloudy again for many, brighter breaks developing but later on, another front sweeping into the west, bringing rain and strengthening winds as well. temperatures from six, in lerwick, up to 14 in the south of england and south wales.

millions of indonesians have voted for the next president against a backdrop of major concerns over youth unemployment. the uk �*s inflation rate remains

unchanged at 4% in january. what will this mean for interest rates? welcome to world business report. millions of people across indonesia �*s 17,000 millions of people across indonesia �*s17,000 islands and three time zones have now voted for their future president, the front runner is the defence minister prabowo subianto, a retired general, who has been dogged by allegations of human rights abuses. it has prompt to fears that indonesia is in danger of sliding back towards its authoritarian past. the candidates have set ambitious growth targets of “p have set ambitious growth targets of up to 8% annually in the world's 16th largest economy. at home there are major concerns with youth unemployment, and beyond its borders geopolitics and global economic uncertainty may get in the way of their lofty goals. my their lofty goals. my colleague is covering the election in jakarta. indonesia is the largest economy in

south—east asia and it has a big bearing on this