i'm helena humphrey at nikki haley's watch party, where we're waiting to hear from the governor after another apparent defeat. world leaders gather in kyiv to mark two years since russia launched its invasion of ukraine. and the us and uk strike 18 locations in yemen: the fourth wave of coalition strikes on houthi targets. hello, i'm carl nasman. donald trump has taken another massive step closer to the republican nomination tonight. just minutes after polls closed, us media — including our partners at cbs — projected the former president as the winner in the south carolina primary. it's a huge blow to his last remaining rival, nikki haley.

she served as south carolina's governor for six years and was hoping to cause an upset in her home state after resounding defeats in other states. but once again, it was donald trump giving a victory speech tonight, not nikki haley. in 2016, we won and we had unintelligible order a lot talk about it a lot and soon we're going to fix it, we fixed it quickly and in 2020 we could not talk about it although we did get millions of votes the second time but now this is the spirit that i have never seen, we ran two great races. cheering and applause but there has never been ever, there has never been a spirit like this and ijust there has never been a spirit like this and i just want to say that i have never seen the republican party so unified as it is right now. cheering and applause never been like this. donald trump speaking earlier at his victory party in south carolina. we are expecting to hear

from nikki haley very shortly. she is in charleston. and so is our reporter helena humphrey, who is at the haley campaign rally for us. donald trump projected to win south carolina. what's the atmosphere where you are there with the haley camp?— with the haley camp? perhaps ou can with the haley camp? perhaps you can tell— with the haley camp? perhaps you can tell actually _ with the haley camp? perhaps you can tell actually people i you can tell actually people here are in relatively good spirits, i have to say, and i think it's probably down to the fact that going into this, nikki haley has been preparing her supporters. nikki haley has been preparing hersupporters. she nikki haley has been preparing her supporters. she has been saying it is not necessarily about winning, instead it is about winning, instead it is about closing the gap on donald trump but the big question tonight of course we will be bringing you is the margins going into this, how badly or not did she lose? both numbers to look at, for example, 43% is what we saw her manage to gather in new hampshire so if she can match that or do better, it will show that she is continuing to make inroads with the republican party, with republican voters. however i think it's fair to say that

potentially looks unlikely. but we are waiting to hear from nikki haley and the plan as to how she continues to inaudible mel b fourth consecutive losses. when know going into this nikki haley has said whatever happens tonight, saturday night going into sunday, she intends to stay in the race into super tuesday and she has the funds, she has been raising money faster than donald trump for example but of course that does not equate to votes and those all—important delegates that now appears increasingly unclear how she plans to continue.— increasingly unclear how she plans to continue. that is the question. _ plans to continue. that is the question. i — plans to continue. that is the question, i mean _ plans to continue. that is the question, i mean losing - plans to continue. that is the question, i mean losing her. question, i mean losing her home state is obviously not ideal for her home state is obviously not idealfor her campaign home state is obviously not ideal for her campaign and home state is obviously not idealfor her campaign and it was a place she hoped she may perform a bit better than in other states. going forward now and as you mentioned, we know that nikki haley says she intends to stay in the race, how will she continue to justify that? what is the plan going forward now into michigan and super tuesday? figs going forward now into michigan and super tuesday?— and super tuesday? as you say, riaht

and super tuesday? as you say, right now. _ and super tuesday? as you say, right now, she's _ and super tuesday? as you say, right now, she's got _ and super tuesday? as you say, right now, she's got the - and super tuesday? as you say, right now, she's got the cash . right now, she's got the cash in hand, she continues to power on. naysayers and doubters, you know nikki haley always says underestimate me at your peril. that's always been inaudible so on and in terms of going forward to super tuesday, she is already invested heavily in add campaigns that are running there but the question is what is the longer—term strategy and there i think you will find political analysts and strategists say perhaps she is looking for a springs of huys, post, bearing in mind donald trump is facing 91 following charges for criminal cases is potentially something there tripping him up and she has become the soothsayer for the republican party, i told you so, inaudible chaos wherever he goes and i came in second running around me and pick me. it is also this question of political credibility. looking at the margins, she is losing to donald trump continuously. what does that mean inaudible

potentially a run in 2028 and could that hurt her political credibility in the long run? a lot of those questions we will be waiting to hear more about from nikki haley when she shows up from nikki haley when she shows up here at this inaudible party in the coming minutes. we up here at this inaudible party in the coming minutes.- in the coming minutes. we are expecting _ in the coming minutes. we are expecting to — in the coming minutes. we are expecting to hear— in the coming minutes. we are expecting to hear from - in the coming minutes. we are expecting to hear from nikki . expecting to hearfrom nikki haley shortly. we've already heard from donald trump, his victory speech. thank you very much, helena humphrey in south carolina with the nikki haley campaign. iwant carolina with the nikki haley campaign. i want to bring in campaign. iwant to bring in the campaign. i want to bring in the panel to break down what we are seeing. with me here is democratic strategist hyma moore and republican strategist rina shah. rina, i would love to start with you. projections showing donald trump— and again, this is not a surprise he will win in south carolina, to the results so far tell you about the race?— results so far tell you about the race? , , , ., ., the race? these results out of south carolina _ the race? these results out of south carolina right _ the race? these results out of south carolina right now- the race? these results out of south carolina right now are l south carolina right now are rather unsurprising to me. i would be waiting to see what the end result is and we will want to split hairs to see

where exactly the votes landed up. 50 delegates are on the line here tonight and i know trump would like to take home all of them. that's just not how the primary structured. 29 will go to him of course but then you have to see how the votes are split across many congressional districts. nikki haley went into today was my primary not having much support, the south carolina political establishment. she has often times said she didn't mean it —— need it. this is different than when she ran for governor and one and i think in some ways we have to see this on its face for what it is. yet another primary loss that would have been nice to have but doesn't indicate the seismic shift in the race that so many people are saying tonight is and that shift will come when the mathematics have to be on her side on super tuesday, so let's see what she has to say tonight. i think you've her

tone is still attacking trump, we can expect her to stay in this for the long run but again, deny�*s results to me are unsurprising. she will go to live another day. we unsurprising. she will go to live another day.— live another day. we are monitoring _ live another day. we are monitoring that - live another day. we are monitoring that party, i live another day. we are i monitoring that party, the watch party in south carolina and you can see on your screen the crowd actually looking to be in a pretty good mood there. inaudible, we are monitoring the early results and again, this coming in, it's only been about one hours since the polls closed, 58% now to donald trump and about a1% nikki haley. if the margin were to stand and again, we will have to wait to see the final results, would it be an encouraging result for haley? i be an encouraging result for hale ? ~ , be an encouraging result for hale ? ~' , ., ., haley? i think trump would not have done _ haley? i think trump would not have done as _ haley? i think trump would not have done as well _ haley? i think trump would not have done as well as _ haley? i think trump would not have done as well as he - haley? i think trump would not have done as well as he wouldl have done as well as he would have _ have done as well as he would have thought, it will be the reality— have thought, it will be the reality he will have to contend with _ reality he will have to contend with and — reality he will have to contend with and i_ reality he will have to contend with and i think governor haley knew— with and i think governor haley knew she — with and i think governor haley knew she wasn't going to win the race, she wasn't going into win~ _ the race, she wasn't going into win~ she — the race, she wasn't going into win. she wants to cut through the numbers of donald trump and she wanted to prove she can

still be viable next week, the week— still be viable next week, the week after next onto super tuesday— week after next onto super tuesday and if these numbers are closer_ tuesday and if these numbers are closer like they were in new— are closer like they were in new hampshire as rina mentioned, i think she has a reason — mentioned, i think she has a reason to— mentioned, i think she has a reason to stay in for another day~ — reason to stay in for another da . , ., ., �* , day. interesting. rina, that's the margin right _ day. interesting. rina, that's the margin right now- day. interesting. rina, that's the margin right now and - day. interesting. rina, that's the margin right now and we| the margin right now and we will see what goes of course south carolina one of these states where democrats if they so choose can vote in the republican primary, independence also. other states going ahead now that nikki haley can still make the case, hey, look, super tuesday is coming up where she may go ok or is this really the last stop on the campaign trail where she hoped she may be able to over perform? hoped she may be able to over erform? , _, �* ., perform? this couldn't have been the — perform? this couldn't have been the last _ perform? this couldn't have been the last stop, - perform? this couldn't have. been the last stop, for weeks now her team has known she could maybe come close, within striking distance of trump. i've always said the delta cannot be fast here because if it were, and it's not looking that way. again, this is a situation in which trump should have fared much better but we don't have much reporting as yet so we have to be careful at

this point. i think about 22% now estimated reporting. this is a situation where we cannot take the bait. this is not humiliating. if the delta were vast it would be a repudiation of her candidacy and it is not. we have to understand what she stands for also. she is the only person who stands between donald trump and the white house. his team has gotten uncomfortable in talking about her because they realise what they have to do is inaudible they have to do is inaudible the open of the segment we heard him say he fixed the border. the board hasn't been fixed and republicans know that, good republicans know the border crisis was not created by abiodun and has not been handled well by biden, i must add, and i worry about that but trump never finished add, and i worry about that but trump neverfinished building trump never finished building the trump neverfinished building the wall and so, this is again an election which would be all about turnout and so far when you look at iowa, new hampshire and i'm not counting nevada because haley and trump did not compete there, it was a caucus and a primary and haley chose not to compete, this is the

third state she has one but again, it's a situation in which the map is still very much doable, it can be on her side but we not there yet. let's pick up on the issue of immigration, hyma, interesting to see in some of the exit polls in south carolina four out of ten voters listing immigration as their top issue. of course this is a state that really is nowhere near the us—mexico border. do you anticipate immigration will be the key issue going ahead to this next date on the republican calendar and then also of course november for a likely match—up of trump and biden? i likely match-up of trump and biden? ~ , likely match-up of trump and biden? ~' , ., biden? i think it will be an issue for— biden? i think it will be an issue for the _ biden? i think it will be an issue for the remainder i biden? i think it will be an issue for the remainder of| biden? i think it will be an - issue for the remainder of the year. — issue for the remainder of the year. to— issue for the remainder of the year, to be frank. republicans will content with this in their primary— will content with this in their primary next week and onto super— primary next week and onto super but this is a general election— super but this is a general election issue and we as we mentioned, president trump did not do _ mentioned, president trump did not do what he said he did and president _ not do what he said he did and president biden believes he's done — president biden believes he's done as— president biden believes he's done as much as he can and wants— done as much as he can and wants to _ done as much as he can and wants to do more. this will be another— wants to do more. this will be another one of those things that— another one of those things that voters will have to look at the — that voters will have to look at the record of both, current

and _ at the record of both, current and former president, and decide _ and former president, and decide what makes the most sense — decide what makes the most sense for americans? this will be sense for americans? this will he an— sense for americans? this will be an important issue not the most — be an important issue not the most important i believe but a top issue _ most important i believe but a ton issue-— top issue. rina, nikki haley, all along _ top issue. rina, nikki haley, all along the _ top issue. rina, nikki haley, all along the campaign - top issue. rina, nikki haley, all along the campaign trail i all along the campaign trail and especially in south carolina, she's been saying that she doesn't believe that donald trump can win in a general election rematch with joe biden. it doesn't seem as if that issue or that statement from her may be resonating with these primary voters but is that something that you think donald trump will be paying attention to and trying to combat that statement? is it something you may even agree with, that he may struggle in a general election? i with, that he may struggle in a general election?— general election? i think former general election? ithink former president - general election? ithink former president trump| general election? i think . former president trump will absolutely struggle when it comes to november but anything can happen between now and then as we know, it's that kind of election. we are in uncharted territory when it comes to how we are looking at the former president, he is standing for re—election under such complicated charges, under

indictment across three states indictment across three states in the district of columbia so fourjurisdictions, 90 some counts of criminal wrongdoing, so he has not yet had a conviction and a conviction could come down on him by summertime, before november, in at least two cases. we can at least say that much. so that very much opens the door for somebody else. i think trump's messaging right now is again to say to the most fervent, ardent supporter of his i am your guy, you like my administration popping output, trust me again, i am better than biden and most people forget he is three years biden's jr people forget he is three years biden'er because he comes out in a way in which almost forget that time has touched him and he lost in 2020 so he is really banking again on that real support that remains within the right wing for him, the love for his administration public policies. haley's entry point is a multitude of things. she messages well on abortion, does well in hypothetical match—up

notjust well in hypothetical match—up not just against well in hypothetical match—up notjust against biden but other democrats because she is seen as more moderate and look, we are careening towards what seems like inevitably another biden— trump rematch at the entryway for haley is still very much there because a delicate maths is still not my crosstalk. we delicate maths is still not my crosstalk._ delicate maths is still not my crosstalk. ~ ., , ., crosstalk. we are still waiting for a potential— crosstalk. we are still waiting for a potential speech _ crosstalk. we are still waiting for a potential speech from - for a potential speech from nikki haley and we can see on the screen the scene there in charleston. rina, iwanted the screen the scene there in charleston. rina, i wanted to mention because you mentioned abortion, before this issue coming up in terms reproductive rights and both trump and nikki haley have a response to the supreme court's decision in alabama which ruled that embryos can be considered children. you mentioned on your twitter that you said it makes your heart and stomach churn. it's already appending ivf treatment so what do you think this will do to the campaign going forward? could this throw a wrench into these elections and campaign?— a wrench into these elections and campaign? this is a moment where i and campaign? this is a moment where i had _ and campaign? this is a moment where i had to _ and campaign? this is a moment where i had to take _ and campaign? this is a moment where i had to take off— and campaign? this is a moment where i had to take off the - and campaign? this is a moment where i had to take off the cut i

where i had to take off the cut of political analyst and put one on of being a regular american citizen, a mother of three. i'm of childbearing age, as i millions of other american women, who are completely aghast by what the republican party has done and i've been a lifelong registered member of the party and i've always been anti—abortion for myself but pro—choice for other women and what i'm seeing right now is a focus in alabama, the supreme court saying we are ok with an unelected bureaucrat getting between you and your doctor in the exam room and getting involved in a decision that should be between a woman and her doctor. the issue of frozen embryos is so difficult to talk about because millions of women face facility issues every year. ivf is a modern system of reproductive technology that benefits are so many families and when i came on capitol hill as a senior republican aide, it was a talking point, that we were there to strengthen the american family so what the alabama supreme court is doing is not recognising the separation of church and state and i don't believe they are

interpreting more here, i believe they are trying to govern what they think is public opinion and it's all very bad for republicans at the end of the day. this is not good, it does not hold well, it touches many american women and just in alabama 2021 for example, the cdc estimated there were approximately 400 live both deliveries that resulted because 900 some embryos had been successfully resulting in those live births, so this is again a frozen embryo issue is not something, is not be sparring away thing, it is a thing that is impacting the lives of millions of american women that i don't think we'll forgive the republican party for going so far in the aftermath of the overturn of roe v wade. just wanted to — overturn of roe v wade. just wanted to get _ overturn of roe v wade. just wanted to get your - overturn of roe v wade. just wanted to get your thoughts hyma from the democratic angle about reproductive rights. how will this issue affect this general election? it’s will this issue affect this general election? it's not a winnin: general election? it's not a winning issue _ general election? it's not a winning issue for _ general election? it's not a i winning issue for republicans and we've seen this time and time — and we've seen this time and time again over the past few elections. if not one on that. president _ elections. if not one on that. president biden and vice

president harris have talked about— president harris have talked about this this week ostensibly, they believe this is a matter of choice and freedom. this election, in addition _ freedom. this election, in addition to immigration and abortion, the president would like to— abortion, the president would like to talk about democracy, choice — like to talk about democracy, choice and freedom. they going to drive — choice and freedom. they going to drive the message home as much — to drive the message home as much as— to drive the message home as much as possible over the next few weeks and months and they believe — few weeks and months and they believe that women in this country— believe that women in this country should choose whether they want to grow their families or not. it's going to be families or not. it's going to he an— families or not. it's going to be an issue that will be top of nrind — be an issue that will be top of mind. just _ be an issue that will be top of mind. just like immigration, just— mind. just like immigration, just like _ mind. just like immigration, just like ukraine and israel. abortion _ just like ukraine and israel. abortion will be a really important issue.- abortion will be a really important issue. hyma, rina thank you— important issue. hyma, rina thank you so _ important issue. hyma, rina thank you so much _ important issue. hyma, rina thank you so much you - important issue. hyma, rina thank you so much you both| important issue. hyma, rina . thank you so much you both and we will have to leave it there with plenty to discuss later on tonight. thanks again for your insights. tonight. thanks again for your insiuhts. . ~ tonight. thanks again for your insiuhts. ., ,, , ., turning now to ukraine, and world leaders gathered in kyiv today to show solidarity with the people of ukraine on the second anniversary of russia's full—scale invasion. this is what the country's territory looked like

two years ago. you can see the crimean peninsula, annexed by russia in 2014, and areas in the east of the country controlled by russian—backed separatists. this is the lay of the land now. ukraine's president volodymyr zelensky today urged his people to keep fighting, insisting russia can't destroy their dreams. james waterhouse has this report from kyiv. it was a stage with significance, where a high—profile castjoined ukraine on this now solemn day. the ruins of the hostomel airbase near kyiv, where the tone of this war was set. russian forces descended here on the first day of their invasion. the objective was to use it as a landing base to take kyiv but the ukrainians stood firm and the capital held. this place is the symbol of moscow failure. this place is a symbol

of ukrainian pride. but the cost of their defence is mounting. around the country, scenes of loss are constantly replicated. in nearby bucha, olha visits her son's resting place. translation: my niece's husband and another niece's husband - are buried here, and the son of a friend from work. there are a lot of our guys here, school friends of my daughter, too. so many people. this is a different war from 2022. ukraine is hanging on instead of liberating and, unlike russia, it can't keep its economy on a total war footing and is, as ever, reliant on western help. under the chandeliers of the mariinsky palace, president zelensky signed security agreements with canada and italy.

translation: we must do everything possible l and within our power to make 2024 a decisive year for restoring real and long—term security for ukraine, europe and the world. but alongside all of this attention, there was an elephant in the room. press conferences like this for president zelensky are now about injecting urgency, but there is a notable absentee — the us. last year, there was a white house visit with president biden. this year, there hasn't been. but what will be more concerning to kyiv is a $60 billion military package still blocked by the us congress. so was today ukraine looking towards other allies to fill the gap? and are they even able to? shows of unity aren't enough to stop russian advances on the frontline. they're making their size count while kyiv is trying to buy time, but it's expensive.

james waterhouse, bbc news, kyiv. with western leaders gathering in ukraine, promising support, the bbc�*s chief international correspondent lyse doucet is in kyiv with a look at how ukrainian people are feeling. the mood is very grim. ukrainians have to believe the promises of western leaders because they know they can't win this war without the support of western allies. and they are very grateful for all the help they've received but there is no hiding the fact that as this war enters its third year, ukrainian forces are now outgunned and outnumbered on frontlines. and ukrainians are realising that in addition to fighting military battles, they've also got to fight a political one, to keep urging their allies to keep sending arms and ammunition, and to send them more quickly.

and there's certainty now when this war will end, no certainty over whether europe, britain, ukraine itself can fill the gaps now being left by the united states, which is delaying this critical aid. and every day of delay means deaths on the battlefield and more doubts, and those doubts are only playing into president putin's hands. meanwhile in russia, the body of opposition figure alexei navalny has been handed over to his mother, according to a family spokesperson. mr navalny died suddenly in prison last week. his mother had previously said she has been forced to sign a death certificate, saying he died of natural causes. she had reportedly been told to agree to a secret burial. if she refused, he would be buried at the prison colony where he died. here's our russia editor steve rosenberg. alexei navalny�*s mother had spent a week trying to persuade the authorities to release her son's body so that she can lay him to rest. she's finally succeeded.

in a post on social media, a spokesperson for the late opposition leader announced that mr navalny�*s body had been handed over to his mother, and this regarding the funeral: alexei navalny was vladimir putin's most vocal critic and he became russia's most famous prisoner. in this penal colony beyond the arctic circle, he was serving a 19—year prison sentence on charges widely seen as politically motivated. this is where he died. in a video message earlier today, his widow, yulia, had accused president putin of killing her husband and of holding his body hostage. the kremlin has previously described claims that it was behind mr navalny�*s death

"obnoxious and unacceptable". at moscow's main cathedral, people queued to pay their respects to alexei navalny. for in the orthodox faith, the ninth day after death is a significant moment. outside, there were police checks, officers demanding id from some of those who'd come here. and across town, more flowers. there are no details yet of when or where mr navalny will be laid to rest. the last thing the authorities will want is for his funeral to become a very public display of support for the man who had challenged the kremlin. steve rosenberg, bbc news, moscow. turning to the middle east now. the us and uk together have launched "more than a dozen" air strikes against houthi targets — that's according to us central command. in a statement, the uk defence secretary grant shapps said royal air force typhoons were involved in the precision

strikes — the fourth wave of strikes in response to the iran—backed fighters' attacks on commercial shipping in the red sea. as was the case in the previous joint strikes, australia, bahrain, denmark, canada, the netherlands and new zealand all provided assistance. it comes israel as continues its operation against hamas in gaza, carrying out air raids in the southern city of gaza. —— the southern city of rafah. israeli leaders are meeting saturday night after the latest round of negotiations with the us, egypt and qatar on a new ceasefire in gaza in exchange for the release of hostages held by hamas. in israel, clashes broke out at protests demanding the release of those hostages. police in tel aviv used water cannon to disperse the demonstrators, who are also calling for the resignation of the israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu. the un agency for palestinian refugees, unrwa, has paused aid deliveries to northern gaza, saying hungry and exhausted people have at times tried to capture aid from passing trucks.

a reminder of the breaking news we are following from the south carolina primary — our partner cbs news projects that former president donald trump has won the south carolina primary, beating nikki haley again. it's still unclear what the final number of delegates will be with votes still being counted. these are only preliminary figures. we will continue to track that election for you all night. we will have more coverage here on bbc news at the top of the hour, and you can also head to our website, where we have a live page covering all the reaction. stay with us here on bbc news. hello there. we had fewer showers around on saturday and with clearer skies and light winds,

it is turning pretty chilly out there but we've got some more rain to come, i think, on sunday. it will come from this area of low pressure that will tend to slide across towards france and that's where we'll get any mild air heading. we're still going to be in the chillier conditions and we've got a more widespread slight frost by early morning. again, the lowest temperatures, like the previous night, are going to be in north east scotland — minus five or minus six. and mist and fog patches, too, which will be a little slow to clear in the morning. but we'll see rain developing across south west england and south wales during sunday morning, and that rain develops more widely across the southeast of england during the afternoon. away from here, though, we are going to find the odd shower cropping up but many places will be dry with some sunshine after the early mist and fog and again, temperatures around eight or nine degrees. it's getting windy with that rain in the south and more rain is not good news at all — 15—25 centimetres quite widely could lead to some further flooding. and the rain should clear away from south wales and southwest

england on sunday night but continue in the southeast, where it's going to be very windy — strong to gale force winds here. a few showers will get blown in further north from off the north sea but with more of a stronger northeasterly wind for england and wales, it won't be as cold. frosts early monday in scotland, where we've got the clearer skies. a few showers in scotland and northern ireland shouldn't last too long. the rain slowly creeps away from the far south east of england and then, with that northeasterly wind, there'll be some sunny spells for england and wales and maybe the odd shower around as well. quite windy, actually, towards the south—east, particularly in the morning — strong to gale force winds here. the winds ease a bit in the afternoon and again, we'll see typical temperatures on monday around nine celsius. so, as one area of low pressure brings some rain in the south of england then moves away, we'll see this brief ridge of high pressure overnight into tuesday morning, so turning chilly in the south ahead of a weather front that will bring some rain down from the northwest this time. so, we'll see some rain on tuesday across scotland and northern ireland,

followed by sunshine and showers. that rain heading into england and wales. east anglia and the southeast still look like being fine and dry here but turning more cloudy. the rain will tend to peter out as it runs southwards. and, for many parts of the country, wednesday will be a dry day with some sunshine for a while.

voice-over: this is bbc news. we'll have the headlines for you at the top of the hour, which is straight after this programme.

it was europe's biggest refugee crisis since world war ii — 10 million ukrainians driven from their homes by russia's invasion. commotion this is hard to believe in the europe of 2022. people arejust crushing all around me, trying to get onto these trains. screaming a woman — a young mother with a baby there screaming because everyone's getting crushed. shouting she has to get on with her baby. women and children. back then, they struggled to reach the trains on platform 5 of lviv station. the memories are flooding back of all of those people, thousands, and nobody that we met had any idea

what was ahead of them —