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tv   The Context  BBCNEWS  March 18, 2024 8:00pm-8:31pm GMT

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he the outcome was preordained. he couldn't care less what the west things— couldn't care less what the west things paints a picture of a president who enjoins the overwhelming support of his people. putin wins but international leaders say the election was neither free nor fair. he's just been at a concert in red square we'll ask what's next for russia. in the uk, what's next for sunak? ministers are telling conservative mps to stop speculating about the future of the prime minister. we'll look at what the latest polls are saying. donald trump cannot raise the money for a bond for his court case. and how's your commute today? in two years' time we could look like this.
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welcome to the programme. we will start with russia. presidential election results give six more years of vladimir putin and there has been plenty of reaction. in the us, they say... they said the vote took place amid systemic internal repression. canada criticised the process was flawed and undemocratic. in the indian prime minister offered warm congratulations. we will look at where russia goes from here. first here is stephen rosenberg in russia. vladimir putin! after the landslide came the love.
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vladimir putin portrayed by the kremlin as a national hero. at a concert marking ten years since russia annexed crimea. "long live russia," he cried. cue the national anthem and some kremlin choreography to make it look as if putin is russia and russia is putin. earlier we saw the crowds pouring towards red square. thousands of russians had been given free tickets for the putin event. after all, a president who claims to have won 87% of the vote needs a decent audience. western leaders have dismissed russia's presidential vote as neitherfree norfair, a stage—managed election. but the kremlin couldn't care less what the west thinks. it paints a picture of a president who enjoys the overwhelming support of his people.
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down at the russian election commission, they'd counted all the votes and they presented all their figures. so its six more years of president putin. but what does that mean for russia and for the world? it doesn't mean anything good for russia, for ukraine, for the world, because putin will continue this permanent war. putin will continue to suppress civil society inside his country. and in that sense, he becomes a full—blooded autocrat dictator. and yet the direction of travel for russia under vladimir putin is already clear. more confrontation abroad and repression at home. few here seem to believe that this election will bring a significant change. if it's the same president, katya says that "i don't think anything will be different."
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in a country that's been ruled by the same man for a quarter of a century, russians are starting to forget what change looks like. steve rosenberg, bbc news, moscow. let's speak to owen matthews, historian, writer, author of the overreach: the inside story of putin's war against ukraine. thank you very much for coming in the programme. thank you very much for coming in the programme-— thank you very much for coming in the programme. where do you think this election — the programme. where do you think this election result _ the programme. where do you think this election result leaves _ the programme. where do you think this election result leaves russia - this election result leaves russia now? it's a sad benchmark. it shows that vladimir putin doesn't care about pretending to be a democrat. it's easy to forget how different he was five years ago, even just five years ago. there was a time when he was very proud of hosting the gs years ago. there was a time when he was very proud of hosting the gb in saint petersburg, there was a time when you want to engage in international order to make friends
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with europe, to butter up american presidents. there was a moment when he did care about is democratic image and now what we see in what we have seen since 2020 and especially since he invaded ukraine in 2022 is that no longer cares what the west thinks and steve rosenberg said at russia that is frankly autocratic and it's a system that has turned into the simple worship of power, its a one—man state now. is into the simple worship of power, its a one-man state now.- into the simple worship of power, its a one-man state now. is there a oint ou its a one-man state now. is there a point you can _ its a one-man state now. is there a point you can pinpoint? _ its a one-man state now. is there a point you can pinpoint? is - its a one-man state now. is there a point you can pinpoint? is it - its a one-man state now. is there a point you can pinpoint? is it a - point you can pinpoint? is it a direct consequence of the war? what has changed? what changed inside vladimir putin's mind about not caring? i vladimir putin's mind about not carina ? ~ , , caring? i think he believed the west betra ed caring? i think he believed the west betrayed him- _ caring? i think he believed the west betrayed him. there _ caring? i think he believed the west betrayed him. there are _ caring? i think he believed the west betrayed him. there are many - betrayed him. there are many inflection points _ betrayed him. there are many inflection points but _ betrayed him. there are many inflection points but i - betrayed him. there are many inflection points but i supposej
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betrayed him. there are many - inflection points but i suppose it's inflection points but i suppose its academic interest for historians but i think the final came in the august of 2021 there were mass protests against rigged elections in belarus and that was the moment, in the eyes of putin, yet another western backed attempt to intervene and produce a regime change and he decided at that point of the west was completely incorrigible, the west was determined to do the same for him as it had attempted to do to lukashenko in belarus, has six fully done in 2014 in kyiv and he thought that was a western orchestrated coup and he came to the conclusion that the, there was no further possibility to discuss with the west and he could or what he liked and what he wanted to do was launch a full—scale offensive of ukraine which happened a year and half later. let’s
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offensive of ukraine which happened a year and half later.— a year and half later. let's focus on that. what _ a year and half later. let's focus on that. what do _ a year and half later. let's focus on that. what do you _ a year and half later. let's focus on that. what do you think - a year and half later. let's focus on that. what do you think are l on that. what do you think are fundamental ambitions now? he has another six years in power, potentially beyond that as well. what you think you will be aiming for? �* , ., , what you think you will be aiming for? �* , . , , ., for? it's really interesting to look, for? it's really interesting to look. not — for? it's really interesting to look, not of _ for? it's really interesting to look, not of the _ for? it's really interesting to look, not of the content - for? it's really interesting to - look, not of the content necessarily of his very long and boring state of the union speech which she gave a few weeks ago but how much time putin devotes to the war, 14 minutes and the rest of the two—hour speech is all about his agenda. and that's important because from a western perspective think it's important for us and significant and it appalls on a daily basis and that's his actions in ukraine. putin himself, for his domestic purposes, the war is not a central part of his domestic agenda. it's almost a footnote, although he is spending 40% of his budget on war expenses, that is not the central
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thing for him. his speech was full of incredibly boring workaday things that any politician would promise — health spending and so on and development. and i think that's a really important indication that his main ambition isjust really important indication that his main ambition is just to present his administration as stable, business as usual and i think in his mind, to as usual and i think in his mind, to a significant degree he has basically won the war in ukraine. it was back in september 2022 that he celebrated the annexation of those new ukrainian territories and from now on it's a footnote in his agenda of making russia great again. owen, very interesting _ of making russia great again. owen, very interesting perspective - of making russia great again. owen, very interesting perspective and - very interesting perspective and thank you for coming in the programme. one extra note that in the last couple of hours eu foreign ministers have agreed on a new package of sanctions against those
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perceived as complicit in the death of the russian opposition leader and their support for the idea of using frozen russian assets to support ukraine. i frozen russian assets to support ukraine. ., , , frozen russian assets to support ukraine. . , , . ukraine. i have seen there is a stron: ukraine. i have seen there is a strong sunport. _ ukraine. i have seen there is a strong support, there - ukraine. i have seen there is a strong support, there are - ukraine. i have seen there is a | strong support, there are some member— strong support, there are some member states would have more details _ member states would have more details but there is a strong swoon— details but there is a strong support to take the revenues of the windfall_ support to take the revenues of the windfall profits. and to use it as a support— windfall profits. and to use it as a support ukraine. how? military with the european peace facility and to support— the european peace facility and to support the development of ukrainian defence _ support the development of ukrainian defence in _ support the development of ukrainian defence in industry. haiti. trying to get some functioning government. the us says a transitional body to lead haiti is getting closer. take a listen. i understand that haitian stakeholders are very close to finalising membership and remain in active discussions with caricom leaders as it
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relates to the make up of a transitional presidential council. i expect them to have an update, hopefully as soon as today and will refer you to them in caricom. let's ta ke let's take a look at the situation on the ground. it has been another deadly day with 14 bodies die on the suburbs of port—au—prince. gangs have taken control of most of the capital. and forced the prime minister to resign. un says siutaiton remains volatile — warning that increasing numbers of children in haiti are going hungry. let's speak to ambassador daniel foote, former us special envoy to haiti. thank you very much for coming in the programme. thank you very much for coming in the programme-— thank you very much for coming in the programme. let's start with the olitics, the programme. let's start with the politics. this — the programme. let's start with the politics, this attempt _ the programme. let's start with the politics, this attempt to _ the programme. let's start with the politics, this attempt to try - the programme. let's start with the politics, this attempt to try to - the programme. let's start with the politics, this attempt to try to get i politics, this attempt to try to get some sort of transitional body. same some sort of transitional body. some organisation — some sort of transitional body. some organisation no _ some sort of transitional body. some organisation up and _
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some sort of transitional body. some organisation up and running - some sort of transitional body. some organisation up and running the country again. how optimistic are you that that can happen anytime soon? �* ., .,, , . you that that can happen anytime soon? �* ., , . . . soon? i'm not optimistic at all because this _ soon? i'm not optimistic at all because this is _ soon? i'm not optimistic at all because this is another - soon? i'm not optimistic at all. because this is another example soon? i'm not optimistic at all- because this is another example of what the us did 32 months ago when they named henry, the haitian people never accepted him... is they named henry, the haitian people never accepted him. . ._ never accepted him... is the former prime minister. _ never accepted him... is the former prime minister. yes, _ never accepted him... is the former prime minister. yes, who _ never accepted him... is the former prime minister. yes, who can - never accepted him... is the former prime minister. yes, who can now | prime minister. yes, who can now would not — prime minister. yes, who can now would not get _ prime minister. yes, who can now would not get back— prime minister. yes, who can now would not get back into _ prime minister. yes, who can now would not get back into haiti. - prime minister. yes, who can now| would not get back into haiti. what the us and caricom have done is take a group of haitians and they have chosen them and they expect these haitians to choose functional government for the rest of the ii government for the rest of the 11 million haitians and is not going to work because once again, it is the international community choosing a government for haiti, it has never worked in the past and is not going to work now and we're going to fall back into this to— 15 year cycle...
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is there any way of avoiding that? do you think this transitional council will not work and what would you be trying?— you be trying? haitian national dialouue. you be trying? haitian national dialogue. they _ you be trying? haitian national dialogue. they need _ you be trying? haitian national dialogue. they need to - you be trying? haitian national dialogue. they need to talk- you be trying? haitian national- dialogue. they need to talk through this. this is a very complicated and i need to talk about reconciliation, justice for the gangs, how they're going to move forward. two years ago, shortly after i resigned we had been working on political accord with civil society and opposition political parties and they came to that accord broadly enough in my opinion two years ago. it has unravelled in the time since then, but i am highly confident that the haitians, if given space by the international community, will quickly reach some sort of political accord, which...— accord, which... does that include the can: accord, which... does that include the gang leaders _ accord, which... does that include the gang leaders and _ accord, which... does that include the gang leaders and the - accord, which... does that include the gang leaders and the gangs i accord, which... does that include l the gang leaders and the gangs are in control? how does that work? that's not up to us, is it? who is
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an up to? the haitians. and the haitians are only the ones who can tell us what kind ofjustice they want the gang leaders. i guarantee you the haitians do not want criminals running haiti and the political future of these guys is not existent.— political future of these guys is not existent. , ., ,., .. not existent. there is no political future for them _ not existent. there is no political future for them and _ not existent. there is no political future for them and yet - not existent. there is no political future for them and yet there - future for them and yet there doesn't seem to be there is a power vacuum the moment in terms of being in control of them. it's really difficult to see a way forward. well, the us is going to try the same thing that we have tried... this will be the sixth time since 1994 that we have done this and each time it drives haiti further into catastrophe and violence and we need to try something different this time and that is haitian self—determination. and that is haitian self-determination. ~ . self-determination. we will leave it there. self-determination. we will leave it there- thank— self-determination. we will leave it there. thank you _ self-determination. we will leave it there. thank you very _ self-determination. we will leave it there. thank you very much - self-determination. we will leave it there. thank you very much for - there. thank you very much for coming in the programme.
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around the world and across the uk. this is bbc news.
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this us lawyers for donald trump say he can't find the multi—million dollar bond he needs to appeal against a judgment in his civil fraud case in new york. the former us president has to find $464 million in cash, or the new york state authorities can start seizing his properties. the lawyers say they've spent countless hours trying to negotiate with 30 bond companies, but with no success. let's go to new york and speak to correpsondent nada tawfik. isa is a big sum of money. talk us through what happening. that's exactly right — through what happening. that's exactly right and _ through what happening. that's exactly right and when - through what happening. that's exactly right and when donald l through what happening. trust�*s exactly right and when donald trump was hit with these two consecutive civiljudgments and massive amounts of money that he was ordered to pay,
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there was this big question is if he had enough cash on hand. earlier this month he was able to get $91.6 million bond in the ag definition case but what we have heard from his lawyers in this court filing is they having trouble getting any bond company to give them a bond of more than $100 million so that seems to be the big sticking point. they say it has been practically impossible to secure a bond and they are asking the court deplores the judgment until they have exhausted their appeal. and their argument is that this will really hurt donald trump's right to an appeal, that they have gone to 30 different companies and none of them would either give him a bondin none of them would either give him a bond in that magnitude of an amount or if they were willing to they were not willing to accept his real estate as collateral. he argues that
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the amount he owns in his business is worth more than the judgment but nevertheless, these bond companies want an assurance in cash or stocks. so donald trump says that would simply be too much money, he said it is unprecedented for a private company to have to come up with nearly $1 billion in cash to secure a bond. we will see what the judge has to say about that request. you touched on — has to say about that request. you touched on in _ has to say about that request. you touched on in their but remind us why he has to find this money and what a bond is a wireless four. yes. what a bond is a wireless four. yes, well, bond — what a bond is a wireless four. yes, well, bond companies _ what a bond is a wireless four. 133 well, bond companies take on the responsibility for any payouts encase defendant loses their appeal and has to pay the full amount. in new york, in orderfor and has to pay the full amount. in new york, in order for donald trump to be able to appeal the judgment, he either has to pay the full award or request a pause of the judgment and secure a bond in that amount. so
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it's not as simple as him being able to appeal and try to come up with the money later. if he doesn't come up the money later. if he doesn't come up with this money, the new york attorney general says that by march 25, her office will start the process of trying to seize his assets and they will ask the judge to start the process. there is a countdown coming, donald trump had previously asked the court to put down $100 million bond, and that would obviously lessen the amount he would obviously lessen the amount he would have to put in cash but that was rejected. so here is another attempt by him to try to get by without having to put up this massive amount of money and perhaps having the attorney general got after his assets.— having the attorney general got after his assets. thank you so much for that. uk politics, latest on the conservative party. rishi sunak has dismissed speculation about plots to oust him before the general election. reports have been swirling in recent
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days that some conservative mps want commons leader penny mordaunt to replace him. pm says its just politics. i'm not interested in more westminster politics. it doesn't matter. what matters is the future of our country, and that's what i'm focused on. that's what i get up every morning, working as hard as i can to deliver, whether it's cutting people's taxes, increasing the state pension, today, increasing the number of apprenticeships and talking to small businesses. those are the things that matter to people. and as we've seen over the last few weeks, our plan is working. inflation is coming down, wages are growing, the economy is back to growing again and if we stick to this plan, i can deliver a brighterfuture for everyone in our country. that's what i'm doing. this take a look at the polls. well, this is the bbc poll tracker, updated as of last week. rishi sunak�*s conservatives on 23% — and the opposition labour party
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led by sir keir starmer a long way ahead on 44 %. business secretary kemi badenoch told the bbc those conservative mps speculating should �*stop it'. i've been saying for a long time that there is a small minority of mps that think this is something to be talking about, should stop it. we have local elections, people need to know what the government and local government has been doing for them. but i also know that the prime minister has seen this happen many times before, people used to put out similar rumours about other candidates for many years, it's just part and parcel of politics. let's speak to lucy fisher, whitehall editor of the financial times. thanks for coming in the programme. thanks for coming in the programme. thanks for coming in the programme. thanks for having me. is thanks for coming in the programme. thanks for having me.— thanks for having me. is this 'ust the usual swirl i thanks for having me. is this 'ust the usual swirl of i thanks for having me. is this 'ust the usual swirl of politics? h thanks for having me. is this 'ust the usual swirl of politics? is h the usual swirl of politics? is there any more to us? put into some context for us please. i there any more to us? put into some context for us please.— context for us please. i think last week was. _ context for us please. i think last week was. by _ context for us please. i think last week was, by the _ context for us please. i think last week was, by the estimate - context for us please. i think last week was, by the estimate of - context for us please. i think last i week was, by the estimate of many context for us please. i think last - week was, by the estimate of many of his colleagues, rishi sunak�*s worst week in politics to date. i know
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there has been said many weeks but things seem to be getting worse for him and his administration. i think the handling of lee anderson's defection to reform and the questions about his judgment in giving him such a senior position as deputy tory chair were brought into the spotlight and rishi sunak was much handling of the racism row involving frank hester, there was the grumbling of the redefinition of extremism and a real sense of malaise about the government not having a sense of direction and nothing seeming to move the polls, all those colourless last week into this feverish febrile atmosphere in westminster and i was certainly struck by mps who are normally quite cautious and who in previous times had always told me that it would be madness to change the leader and they were beginning to say they thought that may be a last roll of the dice might be worth considering. so there was that... that grew into
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this feverish pitch at the weekend. to temper that, i would say and i have been a westminster day stalking the corridors and things feel calmer today with rishi sunak and others not having come out to dismiss some of the speculation and intrigue of plus as tittle tattle or westminster gossip. it feels like temperatures have reduced, cooler heads are prevailing today but i think the key moment of danger coming up for rishi sunak is and made a second, the date of the local elections and mayoral election throughout the country and i think the day after that we have the results will be potentially dangerous for him if the tory party suffered severe electoral rout. so that's the key date for all our diaries then. the aftermath of those local election results because on the one hand, the conservative party does have the reputation for being quite ruthless and if they don't think they can with a leader than they changing but on the other hand,
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they changing but on the other hand, they have been through in recent years an extraordinary period of high number of prime ministers and conservative party leaders and there will be many, i'm sure, who are slightly dreading doing all that all over again. slightly dreading doing all that all over aaain. , , , slightly dreading doing all that all over aain. , , , , slightly dreading doing all that all overauain. , , , , over again. yes, they must be said there are many _ over again. yes, they must be said there are many tory _ over again. yes, they must be said there are many tory mps, - over again. yes, they must be said there are many tory mps, a - over again. yes, they must be said i there are many tory mps, a majority still who think it would be foolish to say the least to and change leader and for the party to go into the election with its fourth prime minister since 2019, however, what has happened in the last six months is the tory mps have seen rishi sunak pull every labour available to him, whether it be reshuffled, whether it be a party conference and a big conference speech with an eye—catching initiative like banning smoking for the next generation. he has roared back and green policies, he has two major fiscal events has roared back and green policies, he has two majorfiscal events in the autumn statement and the budget where he unveiled billions of pounds
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worth of personal and business tax cuts and yet nothing has seemed to move the dial in terms of the polling and worse than that, there is this, in some polls at least, the reform uk party is a small number of percentage points from the conservative so as one tory mp summed it up to me last week, they said they would always believe there will be full offer tory votes in the general election and things couldn't go below the floor but now they're beginning to question whether the general election could be an extinction level event for the party, came to what happened to the conservatives in canada. i think it is that sense of tory mps being very worried about the general election, in many cases being self interested in many cases being self interested in losing their own seeds that is leading to the sense of despair and panic that we have seen tip over into all this public talk of plotting and revolt. extinction level event, _ plotting and revolt. extinction level event, that _ plotting and revolt. extinction level event, that is _ plotting and revolt. extinction level event, that is a - plotting and revolt. extinction level event, that is a phrase l plotting and revolt. extinction i level event, that is a phrase that will stick in the mines. thank you
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very much, lucy. great to have your analysis. one extra note about downing street today. former us president barack obama has paid a visit to hold undisclosed talks with rishi sunak. here he is leaving after what 10 downing street say is a courtesy call while he's in the country. we know nothing at all about the discussions. this is bbc news. hello there. it's felt quite warm out there for many of us today, particularly where we've had the blue skies and the sunshine, but the weather is changing again and changes are happening out to the west because this cloud is coming in from the atlantic. the winds are picking up. we're going to see some rain arriving as well. ahead of that, we've got some mild air. it could make 15 degrees around the moray firth and 16 is quite likely in the south—east of england. we do see that rain coming in, together with stronger winds
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into northern ireland and we'll see one band of rain pushing eastwards overnight, followed by a second band of rain that's developing. that one could be quite heavy rain with gusty winds, gales likely in the far north of scotland. it will be a pretty mild night out there, milder than it was last night. temperatures no lower than 9 or 10 degrees. those two bands of rain that we start with in england and wales willjust tend to fade away and it will brighten up in many places, leaving just a few showers. a few showers will continue in northern ireland, but the earlier, heavier showers in scotland will move away, sunshine will come out and the winds will ease as well. temperatures still reaching 12 or 13 degrees in scotland and northern ireland, but again peaking at 16 in the south—east of england. we could see a bit of rain developing in the south—west of england by the end of the day. that weather front is going to move back northwards again overnight and into wednesday, taking rain northwards too. some of that rain for a while affecting northern ireland, perhaps some southern and eastern parts of scotland. most of the rain more likely
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from the south—west into wales, through the midlands and across northern england. scotland and northern ireland turning drier and brighter through the day. across the south—east of england it may stay dry, as well. here it is still quite mild — 16 or 17 degrees — but behind the rain, to the north, things are cooling off a little bit now. we're all going to see some rain over this week ahead, but there may not be too much rain across the north—east of scotland and we're probably going to miss most of the rain in the south—east of england. it's going to be wetter in the west, particularly across western parts of scotland. as we head into thursday, we will see the winds picking up across northern areas and these weather fronts bringing more rain into scotland and northern ireland in particular. as we move into the end of the week and into the weekend, it's staying windy, but the wind direction is changing, eventually coming to the north—west or the north. that will bring colder weather and lots of showers.
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hello, i'm lewis vaughanjones. you're watching the context on bbc news. ina call in a call with benjamin netanyahu resident biden raises concerns over israel's plan rafah offensive, teams from both sides will meet in washington to discuss it.
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we'll head up to the bbc sport centre. hi sarah. we start with a huge day at the bottom of the premier league ? where nottingham forest say they're extremely disappointed with the decision of an independent commission to impose the sanction of four points for breaching the division's profit and sustainability rules. the punishment means forest drop into the relegation zone with luton now sitting just outside the bottom three. in a statement, forest added that there were �*dismayed by the tone a very strong statement from nottingham forest, they are extremely disappointed with the sanction because it's drops them into the relegation zone beneath luton town. but they also are very critical of how the premier league
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have behaved in all of this, they

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