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tv   The Context  BBC News  May 13, 2024 8:30pm-9:00pm BST

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the uk government says it will appeal against a ruling by a belfast court that parts of the rwanda policy should not apply in northern ireland. sport and for a full round—up, from the bbc sport centre, here's mark edwards. hello from the bbc sport centre. we're going to start with football and we know the premier league title race will be decided on the final day, but it could be a very significant night for aston villa — they could qualify for the champions league with victory over liverpool at villa park. but they had a nightmare start, an own goal from villa keeper emiliano martinez as he mishandled a cross after just 64 seconds, but they equalised through youri thielemans ten minutes later. the lead regained by liverpool.
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cody gakpo has just scored a second for the visitors. a reminder that a win for villa would secure a top four finish and give them a place at europes top table for the first time since 1983. half—hour on the clock, 2—1 liverpool. staying with the premier league, bournemouth manager andoni iraola has signed a one year contract extension through to 2026. in his first season in charge the spaniard has led bournemouth to their best premier league points total, and they could still finish as high as 10th. the all time top scorer in the women's super league vivianne miedema will leave arsenal at the end of the season. the dutch strikerjoined from bayern munich 7 years ago and has scored 125 goals in her 172 appearances for arsenal. she won the 2019 wsl title but was out for 10 months last year with a serious knee injury and has only played 13 times this season. she's only 27, but the arsenal haven't offered her a new contract and manchester city are believed
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to be one of the clubs interested in signing her. ac milan striker 0livier giroud has announced he's leaving the club at the end of the season, and willjoin an mls team. the 37 year old is france's all time leading goal score, and won the world cup with his country in 2018 as well as picking up 3 fa cups with arsenal and the champions league with chelsea. reports suggest he could join his french team mate hugo lloris at lafc. heavyweight boxing's back in saudi arabia this weekend — for the long awaited undisputed heavyweight title fight between tyson fury and 0leksandr usyk. fury�*s fatherjohn has been in the headlines today — he was injured in an altercation with members of uysk�*s camp as the build up to the big fight begins in riyadh. fury senior was later pictured with blood coming from a head wound after security stepped in to stop any further confrontation. tennis — and there's been a major shock at the italian open in rome, as fourth seed andrey rublev has been knocked out by a qualifier. the russian was beaten by 104th ranked alexandre muller of france.
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the 27—year—old into the last 16 with a 3—6, 6—3, 6—2 victory. it's an even bigger surprise as the defeat ends a seven—match winning streak for rublev, who won the madrid masters last sunday. britain's cameron norries was swept aside by greek no six seed stefanos tsitsipas, who came throughb in straight sets who came through in straight sets 6—2, 7—6, to secure his place in the fourth round. top seed iga swiatek beat germany's angelique kerber in straight sets 7—5, 6—3, in one hour and 39 minutes to reach the quarter—finals. the third seed coco gauff of usa fought back from a set down to defeat spain's paula badosa 5-7, 6-4, 6-1. and that's all the sport for now. mark, thank you very much. vladimir putin has reshuffled some
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of his top military advisors, removing the defence minister sergei shoigu from his post, and replacing him with another long—time ally, the economist andrei belousov. shoigu was criticised for some of russia's early setbacks in the war. belousev�*s appointment is seen as cementing the transition of the russian economy to a war footing. the day to day running of the war will remain with valery gerasimov, the chief of the general staff. and right now they are pressing home their advantage. in what has been the most significant ground attack since the full—scale invasion the russians are moving in on ukraine's second biggest city kharkiv, seizing at least nine villages and settlements in the past week. further advances to within 20 miles of the city would put their artillery within range. at stake notjust control of one of ukraine's major population centers but potentially the country's capacity to keep fighting. if kharkiv falls, western resolve may soon follow. let's speak to patrick bewry, a former nato analyst and defence expert at the university of bath.
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thank you for coming on the program. let's start with the region, this traditionally does happen when the new president is elected or reelected as is the case with vladimir putin. what did you make of the introduction of andrei belousov to the ministry of defence? it’s to the ministry of defence? it's exactly what — to the ministry of defence? it�*s exactly what happens. you expected the new term the shuffles to happen. i think it was a little bit more surprise it was an economist. defence ministers are sometimes the best that don't necessarily have military experience they need to be really good managers and economists. it's about commending the forces without he has a background in economics, phd as well as being an adviser to putin and first deputy minister. what he will do is what the kremlin spokesperson talked
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about is the idea of innovation. his job, his portfolio will to make things more effective in defense, to put the economy more on a war footing, to make sure that everything is leveraged to do that as best with the armed forces in a way that showing that one of the criticisms is he just way that showing that one of the criticisms is hejust didn't way that showing that one of the criticisms is he just didn't have the aptitude for this. indeed in the last month his sub minister was arrested for corruption, which is always a sign that the politics and political tide is moving away from you in russia if that happens. what you in russia if that happens. what are ou you in russia if that happens. what are you seeing _ you in russia if that happens. what are you seeing around _ you in russia if that happens. what are you seeing around kharkiv as mac russians are advancing some of the advances made. fist russians are advancing some of the advances made.— advances made. at what cost? it remains to _ advances made. at what cost? it remains to be _ advances made. at what cost? it remains to be seen. _ advances made. at what cost? it remains to be seen. the - advances made. at what cost? it| remains to be seen. the russians advances made. at what cost? it - remains to be seen. the russians are trying to concentrate on this village which is only about three miles from the ukrainian border. the trying to encircle that. they take in smaller villages. it was the ease of which they were able to take that which was concerning. in that area
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is basically a buffer zone and people, both forces control by surveillance rather than boots on the ground. it was big concern. i've seen the ukraine commanders report that the russians actually walked through in small groups to seize ground and raised questions about what was being monitored and wed. i think the russians are trying to encircle, cut the supply routes around and make it more difficult to see if the ukrainians could hold on. it is going to fall in the mid—return, i don't think so. i think the russians outside ukraine will be moving as much reserve as they have two spare into the area to try to shore up the lines. we know there were fortifications being built in that area previously. i think that's less likely. they are certainly to keep the pressure on, draw reserves away and create this wider buffer zone to stop some of the cert two drone attacks and missile attacks that have been
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hitting that area of russia. the? hitting that area of russia. they are making _ hitting that area of russia. they are making advances _ hitting that area of russia. they are making advances because the weapons are getting to where they are needed for ukrainians. david cameron made a point on the sunday shows that if the west got its act together it could out muscle russia 25-1. but together it could out muscle russia 25—1. but seemingly that doesn't happen. what is the problem with supplying weapons to the front? this is it. i think supplying weapons to the front? ti 3 is it. i think the calculus is not interested in some nations don't think it is because ukraine is a nato ally. we've seen that differ in the way that some nations including the way that some nations including the us have helped israel, for example. first of all, you've basically this weapon package and were talking about 60 billion that us pledge, it's come through. it's really only about 30 billion improper military hard way that the ukrainians would see. that needed to come in october. ukrainians needed to mobilise to increase and they did
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it for political reasons that it's only getting ready. they also need to fortify and again for political reasons they didn't. for numerous reasons they didn't. for numerous reasons we're basically, the ukrainians have handed russia a window of opportunity. that's exactly what they are pushing now forfor exactly what they are pushing now for for that they think they're worth having a go. i guarantee there chancing globally in the idea of what we see, we will attack and see what comes of it. if we get a break we can try to exploit. it's still difficult to exploit for them all this surveillance, satellites, drones to support the armour is very hard to hide and mask them and break through without being seen. it's difficult to make major breakthroughs was that not impossible but much more difficult. are you suggesting in spite of the lack of arms at the front what the ukrainians still hold is the advantage of the american support?
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yes. the intelligence surveillance reconnaissance access can bring to bear. they stretch their finite assets and especially with israel and gaza, taking a bit of bandwidth from international military surveillance capability in support of the ukraine. there is an element of the ukraine. there is an element of stretching going on, of course. it remains to be seen, if they can hold on until the end of the summer, the ukrainians, they could probably get their chins a bit. that will of they've weathered the storm. and more us aid will come through. the question is, can they do that? more broadly the idea of unfortunately, these delays mean the chances of ukraine really being able to launch a major offensive in 2024 you potentially in 25 to take back the ground is starting to slip away. certainly from where i'm looking.
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the last aid package was defensive. it was short range air defence, long—range air defence, artillery etc. in the stuff that ukraine needs to hold what it's got rather than tanks. f—16s, when they come on stream but you've got to be able to use those and have a whole package. patrick, always good to get your thoughts. thank you for coming onto program. patrick bewry speaking to us about the situation in the ukraine. around the world and across the uk. this is bbc news.
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many of those who crossed the channel in lorries or small boats were assisted by a man identified as barzan majeed. a bbc investigation, which we ran last week, tracked him down to the city of sulaymaniya. majeed — also known as the scorpion — admitted on tape that he had helped thousands of families secure passage to the uk. and we can now report that on sunday, as a result of that investigation,
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he was arrested in iraqi kurdistan. 0ur reporter who tracked him down and interviewed him is sue mitchell. we started this investigation about eight months ago, barzan majeed is wanted across europe for crimes he committed smuggling people across the english channel, by his own admission he smuggled 10,000 or no in lorries and small boats across the english channel, some times in crossings that went disastrously wrong. i investigated with former british servicemen rob lawrie, we tracked him through germany, belgian, france into turkey, always one step behind him. he was on the run, hence had been sentenced to ten years in his absence, 26 members of his gang had been arrested and they were in prison but he had vast resources to help hide him, he has made a fortune from people smuggling. we tracked him down to iraq and we lay in wait, confronted him and it was part of a bbc podcast to catch a scorpion that was released on friday.
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almost instantly, the iraqi authorities got on to the bbc to ask for help so they could pursue him themselves, and we were able over the weekend to supply them with information, enough they could raid him at 7.00am this morning, he is in custody now, the national crime agency in britain and the belgian prosecutors have thanked the bbc. they are delighted to have caught him and to finally think that he will be facing justice for his crimes, this has been ore for his crimes, this has been over a year coming and it has taken the bbc to force this situation, bring it to head but we're really pleased he will now be dealt with, and we wait to see what developments lay in store. such a good report from sue mitchell. congratulations to her. congratulations to her. the british government's plan to send illegal migrants or asylum seekers to rwanda has been struck down in northern ireland, by a judge in belfast. the judge ruled that the illegal
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migration act undermines protections guaranteed in the region under post—brexit arrangements. it's not the final word — the government said tonight it will "take all steps to appeal" the ruling. but the key thing is the judge felt that the act breaks the terms of the windsor framework signed by rishi sunak and eu last year. let's speak to dr chelvan, a human rights lawyer who is head of immigration and public law at 33 bedford row. welcome to the programme again. this is where brexit meets the rwanda bill. let's go back to what was agreed under the windsor framework how does it apply to migration? importantly, this nt legal migration, not particularly the rwanda actjust passed in parliament. it's not in relation to removal to rwanda. but that uk has now gotten to the position is asylum
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any undocumented margaret commended to the uk notjust arriving on boats but anyone arriving could not make asylum and determined that this is even a bigger picture that's what's happening in the rwanda act. we know in the rwanda act the parliament specifically took out protections of human rights protection legislation. it's even larger than it rwanda in relation to the situation where the united nations setting there's a total asylum been in relation to refugees seeking sanctuary. when it comes to the windsor framework agreement under article seven, humphrey has made it quite clear, looking at various sections and two parts of the sections looked at in relation to the procedure are going to be able to make it asylum a claim but you would be granted refugee status, projection or ease of relation into trafficking and
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specific provisions regarding children. one part thejudge looked at specific windsor framework agreement and the bastion of rishi sunak ability to find a situation between united kingdom and republic in relation to eu law. importantly, the biggest situation is it's a declaration of incompatibility. even with victims who are subject to trafficking and slavery under article four or article 3, articles six and processing of age assessments and issues of children be a process, this is a much wider impact on nations, notably claims of refugee claims in ireland but also the whole of the united kingdom where thejudge has made it quite clear that when this act comes in force, illegalacts clear that when this act comes in force, illegal acts 2023 is not yet enforced it will clearly be contrary to the provisions of the human
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rights and therefore they will have to take it back to parliament to revise it and make it compatible. right. this is going to be catnip to the brexit wing of the conservative party. we should be clear, the arguments around withdrawing from the european court of human rights do not apply in this instance because northern ireland is a signature to the windsor agreement cannot withdraw from the and hcr, correct? , ., , ., ., correct? even before you have the good friday _ correct? even before you have the good friday agreement _ correct? even before you have the good friday agreement as - correct? even before you have the good friday agreement as well. . good friday agreement as well. that's why everybody is been highlighted, we can't separate the different organs of the state. we're supposed to still have a relationship between northern island and the united kingdom and the rest of the union. and the united kingdom and the rest of the union-— of the union. what i misunderstood is, are of the union. what i misunderstood is. are you — of the union. what i misunderstood is, are you suggesting _ of the union. what i misunderstood is, are you suggesting that - of the union. what i misunderstood is, are you suggesting that because were a signatory to the windsor agreement and in fact we would think that migration relates to that part
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of the windsor agreement and therefore by extension northern ireland, you are saying that actually it now pertains to the whole of the united kingdom because were signatory? the whole of the united kingdom because were signatory?— were signatory? the findings in relation to _ were signatory? the findings in relation to northern _ were signatory? the findings in relation to northern ireland, i relation to northern ireland, specific to the windsor agreement is one part. the other part of the judgment which applies to the whole united kingdom is certain provisions of the act, sections five through seven are incompatible with the european provision of human rights protection for the part of our human rights act 1998 which relies on the whole of the united kingdom. i understand. surely if you were here illegally in the united kingdom you would go to be absolutely safe to northern ireland, wouldn't you? trio. northern ireland, wouldn't you? no, no. the northern ireland, wouldn't you? no, n0- the term — northern ireland, wouldn't you? iifr, no. the term illegal migrant occurs in 2022, the national borders asked him an individual has a right to
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come to the united kingdom, claim asylum and have their asylum claim determined for them if they are a genuine refugee be granted sanctuary. we've got to get rid of this term illegal because we've always accepted... this term illegal because we've always accepted. . ._ this term illegal because we've always accepted... there will be asylum-seekers _ always accepted... there will be asylum-seekers but _ always accepted... there will be asylum-seekers but some - always accepted... there will be | asylum-seekers but some illegal asylum—seekers but some illegal migrants coming here for work will come through that passage, correct? you know we look at statistics, even the small boat crossings, refugee council said a report in 2023 that 80 to 90% are genuine refugees. we know from the facts of relation that the home—office of statistics and the home—office of statistics and the backlog of last year 70 to 80% were granted status before they even go to the tribunal system. we know that the majority of the individuals who come to the uk to claim assignment are not illegal migrants. that is clear. assignment are not illegal migrants. that is clear-— that is clear. doctor chevlan thank ou for that is clear. doctor chevlan thank you for coming _ that is clear. doctor chevlan thank you for coming on _ that is clear. doctor chevlan thank you for coming on the _ that is clear. doctor chevlan thank you for coming on the program. i
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the english premier league is a £5 billion industry — yet football seems incapable of producing a an equitable system to ensure the survival of the smaller clubs in the lower league. for the first time the conservative government is set out plans to regulate the sport, and that bill is currently going through the committee stage, where the fierce lobbying begins. this week mps will sit and listen to both sides of the argument as to why regulation and redistribution is a good idea or bad idea. and this is where politics meets sport. the english football league represents 72 professional clubs in the three lower tiers. its supporters would argue that this is a red wall issue. and if you think about it, many of the smaller teams in english and welsh football are from red wall towns, versus the clubs who belong to the big cities. borisjohnson understood that. its why he supported a regulator in the first place. let's speak to chairman of the english football league, rick parry. interesting political slant. an issue that means so much in so many that in fact it is about the redistribution of wealth and a
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levelling up within sport. how are you going to pitch it this week? precisely that. making clubs sustainable, which we define as ensuring that they are not dependent on owner funded which the majority are at the moment. we need a combination as you touched on redistribution to make the club solvent and better regulation to make sure that a prophet again for that were big supporters of the bill. we had 30 years in football to sort ourselves out and we haven't. this is a huge shame, arguably the biggest since the creation of premier league. we embrace it. provided it's done properly and provided the regulator does actually have the real powers to get things done. ~ . , have the real powers to get things done. ~ ., , ., , done. with regards to the powers the re . ulator done. with regards to the powers the regulator would _ done. with regards to the powers the regulator would get, _ done. with regards to the powers the regulator would get, are _ done. with regards to the powers the regulator would get, are you - regulator would get, are you confident that it will be strong enough to the premier league to be forced to make an offer that will
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really create sustainability in english football? taste really create sustainability in english football? really create sustainability in enalishfootball? , . , english football? we sincerely hope so. our position, _ english football? we sincerely hope so. our position, just _ english football? we sincerely hope so. our position, just to _ english football? we sincerely hope so. our position, just to be - english football? we sincerely hope so. our position, just to be clear. so. 0ur position, just to be clear is that provided the regulators can meet in strategic objectives, carries out a proper, rigorous, independent review of finances we're happy to go with that. when i could be constantly running to the regulator asking for a change. the big plus now is a proper transparent, independent, a comprehensive review, the like of which frankly has never been done. we had very little negotiating power. it's not the case of too willing powered two parties negotiating with each other. we can't go anywhere else for that we can't go anywhere else for that we can't attach ourselves to bundesliga, for example. probably would have to take but the premier league gives us. we believe the premier league is massively important for that we believe the government think so too. at the end the day the catalyst for the review
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was the devise of barry and we know how important clubs are. fin was the devise of barry and we know how important clubs are.— how important clubs are. on that issue, or how important clubs are. on that issue. or in _ how important clubs are. on that issue, or in the _ how important clubs are. on that issue, or in the clubs _ how important clubs are. on that issue, or in the clubs say - how important clubs are. on that issue, or in the clubs say look, . issue, or in the clubs say look, this is not a problem of finances and all rulership and club management problem. barry a good example. maybe a regulator would take issue with the english football leagues fitting the test which has led supporters down for that a better fit and proper is something we embrace was actually of the last few years with the cars up in pretty good. taste few years with the cars up in pretty aood. ~ few years with the cars up in pretty iood, . ., ., , few years with the cars up in pretty aood. ~ ., ., ., few years with the cars up in pretty nood. ~ ., ., ., ., few years with the cars up in pretty ood. ~ ., ., ., ., ., , good. we turned away a lot of owners that we didn't — good. we turned away a lot of owners that we didn't think _ good. we turned away a lot of owners that we didn't think were _ that we didn't think were appropriate. maybe that's not always been the case in years gone by. but recently we've been much more rigorous for them to have an independent test where regulators got statutory powers, better powers of inquiry, gathering intelligence, criminal prosecution for people who step out of line. we absolutely
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embrace that and say yes, please, bring it on. as you say ensuring we have better owners is very much a part of the plant. if the clubs are sustainable... if you look at what happened to clubs derby, bolton, reading, the reading owner did put a end to have a go at getting out of championship and failed. the proper funding is it brilliant until it isn't. either owners lose interest, they don't have money, they become ill and that's when clubs fall off the cliff. we need a much more balanced approach. what we can't haveis balanced approach. what we can't have is that total dependency on owner funding. have is that total dependency on ownerfunding. there is enough money in the game to go around. enormous value, we think and should be supported. value, we think and should be supported-— value, we think and should be su--orted. ., ., , ,, , supported. the fair game pressures u-rou supported. the fair game pressures a-rou is supported. the fair game pressures group is called _ supported. the fair game pressures group is called to _ supported. the fair game pressures group is called to the _ supported. the fair game pressures group is called to the bill— supported. the fair game pressures group is called to the bill to - group is called to the bill to include a ban on nation states owning football clubs. aka saudi arabia, newcastle. is that something
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you would support? i arabia, newcastle. is that something you would support?— you would support? i think it's a little bit above _ you would support? i think it's a little bit above our _ you would support? i think it's a little bit above our station. - you would support? i think it's a little bit above our station. i - little bit above our station. i think it's much more an issue that is relevant to the premier league. we're focusing on doing what's right across the lower reaches. government hasn't shown any great enthusiasm for the regulator getting involved in foreign policy. we're trying to focus on the things that we can influence. taste focus on the things that we can influence-— influence. we have to leave it there. influence. we have to leave it there- rick — influence. we have to leave it there. rick parry, _ influence. we have to leave it there. rick parry, thank- influence. we have to leave it there. rick parry, thank you | influence. we have to leave it i there. rick parry, thank you for coming on the program. 0n the other side of the brake panel will be here and we will focus on the big speech from rishi sunak. stay with us for that. hello there. we've seen a real mixture of weather across the country today, across parts of northern and eastern scotland and down the eastern side of england, there has been some
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warm spells of sunshine. i've seen temperatures go to 23 degrees in a few spots, but it's a different story further southwards and westwards, with outbreaks of rain for northern ireland, wales and south west england. the rain has all been tied in with this curl of cloud, which is an area of low pressure. these weather fronts have been particularly slow moving, so it's been raining for most of the day for these areas and the front will continue to be slow moving as we go through the night. eventually, the rain crawls its way across the midlands into eastern england, gets into more of scotland through the night. but it should start to ease off across parts of wales, and the south west of england, although there could be a few showers here. temperatures overnight for most around 11 to 14 degrees. so we are looking at a mild night and a mild start to tuesday. this time, though, the rain will be pushing its way in across scotland and eastern areas of england. so that's where some of the wettest weather's going to be. a bit brighterfor northern ireland, wales and south west england, but not dry. it will be a day of sunshine and showers for these areas and some of the showers through the afternoon
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could turn out to be quite heavy with an odd rumble of thunder. for many areas, temperatures reached the upper teens. it is a bit above average for this time of year and where the sunshine comes out, it won't feel too bad. for the middle part of the week, wednesday we've still got our low pressure still in the same kind of area, still a day of sunshine and showers for many of these southern and western areas, although we could have some more persistent outbreaks of rain for eastern england. the driest, warmest weather, it's likely to be across northern scotland where the warm spots could get up to around 22 or 23 degrees celsius or so. 0therwise, high teens to low twenties. again, not feeling bad where the sunshine bothers to put in an appearance. thursday, low pressure is still with us. this time we could have some lengthier heavy outbreaks of rain moving into central and eastern parts of england. but again, the driest weather is likely to be across northern scotland, where locally could see temperatures of around 22 or so. 0therwise, generally our temperatures into the high teens. through friday and indeed the weekend start of next week, it's the north of the country that will have the driest and some of the warmest weather as well. with some pockets might we see temperatures into the twenties across northern scotland for england
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and wales though, different story generally it's going to be quite unsettled with plenty of showers around. hello, i'm christian fraser,
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and this is the context. technologies like ai will do for the 21st century what the steam engine and electricity did for the 19th. the government, rishi sunak keeps saying everything's fine, but everybody knows it isn't. and that's why we're laser—focused on living standards. is this the beginning _ of an argument from you that says, "be careful what you wish for, better the devil you know"? . in a word, yes, chris. laughter. joining me tonight on the panel are guto harri, former downing street director of communications and political analyst, mary—anne marsh first, the latest headlines. donald trump's former lawyer is testifying at a new york court in the ex—president�*s hush money trial. michael cohen alleges trump told him
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to be prepared for "a lot of women" who could come forward when he entered

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