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tv   The Context  BBC News  May 31, 2024 8:00pm-8:31pm BST

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it's a road map to an enduring ceasefire and the release of all hostages. this is a moment for all sides to take the deal. and i think they're dangling that wording about a permanent ceasefire in front of hamas, but i'm not sure it's going to be enough to bring them back. another ceasefire proposal is on the table in the middle east. president biden says israel's offered a new proposal to hamas which would see an initial six—week pause in fighting while talks would continue on a permanent ceasefire and rebuilding plan for gaza. we'll have the latest from washington, dc. also tonight, billionaire businessman, past president, now convicted criminal — donald trump's hit out at the us justice system after a jury in new york found him guilty
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in his hush money trial on thursday. today, he delivered a rambling response to the verdict. we'll look at what comes next legally and politically. and after days of uncertainty, labour leader sir keir starmer says diane abbott can run on his party's ticket. and we'll bring you up to date with everything else that's been happening on the campaign trail here in the uk. for weeks now, there have been talks and antipication around a ceasefire deal to end the conflict in gaza, and for weeks, those talks and that anticipation has led to nothing. could there be a breakthrough tonight? president biden has been speaking in the last few hours. he said israel had submitted a comprehensive, new proposal for a ceasefire to end its war with hamas. the plan would involve the withdrawal of israeli troops from populated areas of gaza as well as the release of israeli hostages. mr biden said the proposal has been
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sent to the palestinian side, and he urged hamas to accept it. let's hear some of president biden�*s speech. for the past several months, my negotiators and foreign policy and intelligence community and the like have been relentlessly focused notjust on a ceasefire that would inevitably be fragile and temporary, but on a durable end to the war. that's been the focus, a durable end to this war — one that brings all the hostages home, insures israel's security, creates a better day after in gaza without hamas in power and sets the stage for a political settlement that provides a better future for israelis and palestinians alike. president biden speaking earlier at the white house. with me now is our middle east
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correspondent hugo bachega. what is different in this new proposal that's come from israel? because of course for weeks now we have been hearing of different offers and deals from both sides. yeah, so this proposal is very similar— yeah, so this proposal is very similar to _ yeah, so this proposal is very similar to a _ yeah, so this proposal is very similar to a proposal that was put forward _ similar to a proposal that was put forward by— similar to a proposal that was put forward by egypt, which has been acting _ forward by egypt, which has been acting as — forward by egypt, which has been acting as a — forward by egypt, which has been acting as a mediator in these negotiations. so it is a 3—phase progosat — negotiations. so it is a 3—phase proposal. the first phase is a six-week— proposal. the first phase is a six—week cease—fire that will lead to the _ six—week cease—fire that will lead to the release of some of the hostages _ to the release of some of the hostages who are now being held in gaza _ hostages who are now being held in gaza and _ hostages who are now being held in gaza. and that would seat negotiations happen for a permanent cease-fire. _ negotiations happen for a permanent cease—fire, so we know that yesterday hamas said it would not engage _ yesterday hamas said it would not engage in— yesterday hamas said it would not engage in negotiations before the end of— engage in negotiations before the end of the war, and we have seen that here — end of the war, and we have seen that here in — end of the war, and we have seen that here in israel, the prime minister— that here in israel, the prime minister benjamin that yahoo has rejected _ minister benjamin that yahoo has rejected any idea of a permanent cease-fire — rejected any idea of a permanent
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cease—fire in gaza before the end of the war _ cease—fire in gaza before the end of the war so — cease—fire in gaza before the end of the war. so and before he could achieve — the war. so and before he could achieve the goals of the war. so it's very— achieve the goals of the war. so it's very interesting that this plan has been — it's very interesting that this plan has been announced by president biden _ has been announced by president biden he — has been announced by president biden. he did not mention prime minister— biden. he did not mention prime minister benjamin that yahoo, and also we _ minister benjamin that yahoo, and also we know this is likely to be unpopular— also we know this is likely to be unpopular with some supporters, far i’ili'it unpopular with some supporters, far right supporters of the prime minister— right supporters of the prime minister who have rejected the idea of reaching a deal with hamas. they say that— of reaching a deal with hamas. they say that the — of reaching a deal with hamas. they say that the war must continue until hamas— say that the war must continue until hamas is— say that the war must continue until hamas is defeated and also until all the hostages are freed because they say that— the hostages are freed because they say that military pressure is the only way— say that military pressure is the only way to bring the hostages back. and i_ only way to bring the hostages back. and i think— only way to bring the hostages back. and i think the president described this deal— and i think the president described this deal is a truly historic moment, _ this deal is a truly historic moment, and he said that he urged hamas— moment, and he said that he urged hamas to _ moment, and he said that he urged hamas to accept this deal. he said that this _ hamas to accept this deal. he said that this deal was presented to hamas— that this deal was presented to hamas by qatar come is also been acting _ hamas by qatar come is also been acting as _ hamas by qatar come is also been acting as mediators in this negotiation.— acting as mediators in this negotiation. acting as mediators in this neuotiation. . ,., ., ., negotiation. and so, hugo, what comes next _ negotiation. and so, hugo, what comes next in? _ negotiation. and so, hugo, what comes next in? we _ negotiation. and so, hugo, what comes next in? we wait - negotiation. and so, hugo, what comes next in? we wait for- negotiation. and so, hugo, what comes next in? we wait for a - comes next in? we wait for a response for hamas?-
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comes next in? we wait for a response for hamas? yeah, i think now the ball— response for hamas? yeah, i think now the ball is _ response for hamas? yeah, i think now the ball is in _ response for hamas? yeah, i think now the ball is in hamas's - response for hamas? yeah, i think now the ball is in hamas's core - response for hamas? yeah, i think| now the ball is in hamas's core and we are _ now the ball is in hamas's core and we are waiting to see what kind of reaction _ we are waiting to see what kind of reaction is going to come from hamas — reaction is going to come from hamas. we are also waiting to hear from _ hamas. we are also waiting to hear from prime — hamas. we are also waiting to hear from prime minister netanyahu from senior— from prime minister netanyahu from senior is— from prime minister netanyahu from senior is really official. the speech— senior is really official. the speech by president biden came after the start— speech by president biden came after the start of the jewish holiday here, — the start of the jewish holiday here, so— the start of the jewish holiday here, so i_ the start of the jewish holiday here, so i think it's going to think a little _ here, so i think it's going to think a little bit — here, so i think it's going to think a little bit of time before we hear from some — a little bit of time before we hear from some keep israeli officials. but again— from some keep israeli officials. but again prime minister and that yahoo— but again prime minister and that yahoo has— but again prime minister and that yahoo has been under pressure from the families — yahoo has been under pressure from the families of the hostages who remained — the families of the hostages who remained in captivity in gaza and also from — remained in captivity in gaza and also from international leaders to try to _ also from international leaders to try to present a proposal for a cease-fire _ try to present a proposal for a cease—fire. and on the other hand, hamas— cease—fire. and on the other hand, hamas is— cease—fire. and on the other hand, hamas is also been under a lot of pressure — hamas is also been under a lot of pressure to— hamas is also been under a lot of pressure to accept the deal because obviously— pressure to accept the deal because obviously we have seen the humanitarian crisis in gaza continue. _ humanitarian crisis in gaza continue, more than 36,000 palestinians have been killed as a result— palestinians have been killed as a result of— palestinians have been killed as a result of this conflict. so now a new— result of this conflict. so now a new proposal being put forward by
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israel— new proposal being put forward by israel according to president biden so i israel according to president biden so i think— israel according to president biden so i think now we are still waiting to hear— so i think now we are still waiting to hear what kind of reaction is going _ to hear what kind of reaction is going to — to hear what kind of reaction is going to from hamas. you to hear what kind of reaction is going to from hamas.- going to from hamas. you go, thank ou ve going to from hamas. you go, thank you very much _ going to from hamas. you go, thank you very much for — going to from hamas. you go, thank you very much for that. _ going to from hamas. you go, thank you very much for that. just - going to from hamas. you go, thank you very much for that. just hearing | you very much for that. just hearing from the israeli prime minister's office, a statement that has come into us via reuters which says the gaza war will not end until all goals are achieved, including the return of all hostages and the destruction of hamas. we will bring you more reaction from all sides to those proposals which have been announced by the white house through the programme. in 2015, he glided down an escalator in trump tower announcing his run for the highest office in america. today, 2024, donald trump stood in that very same building, and, my, a lot has changed. after a jury in his home city found him guilty on all 3a counts of falsifying business records, the former president delivered a rambling, at times incoherent ao—minute—long speech attacking his opponents, claiming the trial was rigged and pledging he'll appeal.
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on thursday afternoon, on day two of their deliberations, thejury in new york found mr trump had covered up a hush money payment to former adult film star stormy daniels. his sentencing is set for the 11th ofjuly. he could face prison, but legal experts say a fine is more likely. just four days later, on the 15th ofjuly, he'll be officially crowned as the republican candidate for the election at their national convention. in so many ways, it's unprecedented and unpredictable as the us heads towards an election just months away. we'll discuss the fallout with our panel of experts shortly, but first, we start with this report from gary o'donoghue in new york. the breaking news — donald trump, guilty. a watershed moment in this nation's history. the first former president - of the united states convicted on criminal charges. america woke up to news this morning that few would ever have imagined.
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a country that holds itself up as an example to the rest of the world, now with a former president who is a criminal. inside this iconic building that launched the extraordinary political career nearly ten years ago, donald trump vowed to fight on. this is a scam. this is a rigged trial. it shouldn't have been in that venue. we shouldn't have had thatjudge. eight years ago, donald trump famously said he could shoot someone right here in the middle of fifth avenue and not lose voters. now he really is a criminal multiple times over, those voters may well get their chance to prove him right or wrong. staten island was the only one of new york's five boroughs to vote for the quintessential new yorker donald trump in both 2016 and 2020. commuters arriving from the island for work today were remaining loyal. i love trump. why?
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because he's going to make america great again. what do you think of the conviction? he's still going to be president. still going to be president. i've got to get to work. joe biden's out. and you say convicted felon, i don't know what this jury was thinking. i think people are still going to vote for him anyway. - according to the trump campaign, more than $34 million was raised from small donors in the hours following the guilty verdict, almost doubling their previous daily record. but half this divided country believes donald trump got what was coming to him. i don't know what to say. i did not think that this was actually going to happen, and ijust can't believe it. it's about time he was held accountable for something. i can't believe it. it's amazing. donald trump will undoubtedly appeal against this verdict, but that won't happen for months.
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before that, he'll be sentenced and will enter the final lap of this presidential election with a criminal conviction around his neck. this is uncharted territory in the 250—year history of this country. gary reporting there from new york. we have the perfect panel of experts to react to the guilty verdicts and what they mean for the november election. on the legal fallout — shira scheindlin, formerjustice of the southern district of new york. on what the former president might be thinking — his former communications director bryan lanza. and when it comes to what voters are thinking — who better than professor allan lichtman, whose polling model has successfully predicted the winner of every us presidential election since 1984? what a panel. right, we will start
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with the legal stuff next. we heard from mr trump today as we have been saying pretty rapidly. could not make sense of all of it, but he claimed that the courts and the legal system was rigged. he says he wants to appeal the verdict, so what could happen next in terms of what measures he might be able to take given that he is very unhappy? yes. given that he is very unhappy? yes, he is very unhappy _ given that he is very unhappy? yes, he is very unhappy and _ given that he is very unhappy? us: he is very unhappy and rightfully so in the sense that he is now a convicted felon on 34 counts, 34 crimes. so the next thing that happens is the sentencing onjuly the 11th. you don't file the appeal until after the sentence, and to decide this senates, the judge gets a lot of input. the probation department sends a report. each side's lawyers get to ask for the sentence i think is appropriate. people write letters and support and against, and thejudge considers people write letters and support and against, and the judge considers all of the information and then we'll decide what senates to give. and of course everybody wonders if the senates going to include anyjail
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time or not? and i don't have a crystal ball, but my guess at the moment is that it will include eight short period injail. i'm guessing somewhere between 3—6 months, but he won't go in to the prison right after the sentence because 100% i'm sure thejudge will give after the sentence because 100% i'm sure the judge will give him what is called bail pending appeal so he will immediately file his appeal and thejudge will so you will immediately file his appeal and the judge will so you can remain out until after the appeal is done and the appeal could take a year or two because there are two levels of courts, maybe three to which he can appeal. first, he appeals to the appellate court in new york and then to the high court in new york, the new york court of appeals, and that he might even try the supreme court if he loses in the two other courts. so what we're looking at then because we can anticipate given what we have heard from him today that he is likely to file an appeal is that we head towards the presidential election, likely to be anointed the
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candidate at the republican national convention injuly, and he has this or these appeals at various levels of the us court system hanging on the background. so we could be appealing even when he is potentially in the white house. filth. potentially in the white house. 0h, not could be. _ potentially in the white house. oi not could be, he potentially in the white house. ©“i, not could be, he will be filing an appeal immediately after the senates. there is no question about that, and, yes, it will take him past the election, well past. if he wins, he would be president while his appeal is before three quarts. 0k, his appeal is before three quarts. ok, thank you very much. now it have you spoken to mr trump or those close to him since the last 24 hours? , ., , close to him since the last 24 hours? , ., ., ., ,, i. ., hours? first of all, thank you for havin: hours? first of all, thank you for having me- _ hours? first of all, thank you for having me. i've _ hours? first of all, thank you for having me. i've not _ hours? first of all, thank you for having me. i've not talked - hours? first of all, thank you for having me. i've not talked to - hours? first of all, thank you forj having me. i've not talked to the president — having me. i've not talked to the president directly but i have spoken with leadership of the campaign. and what are with leadership of the campaign. what are they with leadership of the campaign. jific what are they saying? with leadership of the campaign. and what are they saying? listen - with leadership of the campaign. and what are they saying? listen cam - with leadership of the campaign. and what are they saying? listen cam ofl what are they saying? listen cam of is a manhattan _ what are they saying? listen cam of is a manhattan jury _ what are they saying? listen cam of is a manhattan jury in _ what are they saying? listen cam of is a manhattan jury in the _ what are they saying? listen cam of is a manhattan jury in the state - is a manhattanjury in the state of new york— is a manhattanjury in the state of new york and a manhattan jury in the state of— new york and a manhattan jury in the state of new york and the stretched loss of— state of new york and the stretched loss of the _ state of new york and the stretched loss of the for this from day one and dissipated it. that's what you
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sow them — and dissipated it. that's what you sow them have such a strong public pr effort _ sow them have such a strong public pr effort with respect to the trial. so there _ pr effort with respect to the trial. so there is— pr effort with respect to the trial. so there is something they expect to an end _ so there is something they expect to an end to— so there is something they expect to an end to this would be the beginning of a process for them and at the _ beginning of a process for them and at the end _ beginning of a process for them and at the end of it was not president trump _ at the end of it was not president trump is — at the end of it was not president trump is probably going to have a quick— trump is probably going to have a quick appeal and it will be vigorous and the _ quick appeal and it will be vigorous and the lawyers are going to be doing _ and the lawyers are going to be doing with the lawyers do. some lawyers — doing with the lawyers do. some lawyers on — doing with the lawyers do. some lawyers on the left and the right site there — lawyers on the left and the right site there is a strong case for appeal on— site there is a strong case for appeal on several lines and it will io appeal on several lines and it will go forward. the question becomes is what is _ go forward. the question becomes is what is the _ go forward. the question becomes is what is the impact on the election? ithink— what is the impact on the election? i think we _ what is the impact on the election? i think we are seeing it in the media— i think we are seeing it in the media right now that the impact is donald _ media right now that the impact is donald trump is breaking records fundraising in the short amount of time _ fundraising in the short amount of time and — fundraising in the short amount of time and joe biden is not. that said something — time and joe biden is not. that said something about where the energy is in the _ something about where the energy is in the selection. that something about where the energy is in the selection.— in the selection. that was pretty star caerin in the selection. that was pretty staggering when _ in the selection. that was pretty staggering when he _ in the selection. that was pretty staggering when he talked - in the selection. that was pretty| staggering when he talked about having people have donated to his campaign since that verdict came in. let's bring alan in on that point. i interviewed un 2016 about this time interviewed un 2016 about this time in the campaign season and i asked you to predict who was going to win and you got it right, you said mr trump would be in the white house and he sure was. what do you think is going to happen now given the
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verdicts of guilty? iirrul’itli is going to happen now given the verdicts of guilty?— verdicts of guilty? with all due resect verdicts of guilty? with all due respect to _ verdicts of guilty? with all due respect to the _ verdicts of guilty? with all due respect to the last _ verdicts of guilty? with all due respect to the last speaker - verdicts of guilty? with all due | respect to the last speaker who verdicts of guilty? with all due - respect to the last speaker who had a lot of— respect to the last speaker who had a lot of intelligent _ respect to the last speaker who had a lot of intelligent things _ respect to the last speaker who had a lot of intelligent things to - a lot of intelligent things to say, any assessment, _ a lot of intelligent things to say, any assessment, any— a lot of intelligent things to say, any assessment, any punditry. a lot of intelligent things to say, - any assessment, any punditry today or tomorrow— any assessment, any punditry today or tomorrow about _ any assessment, any punditry today or tomorrow about the _ any assessment, any punditry today or tomorrow about the effect - any assessment, any punditry today or tomorrow about the effect of - any assessment, any punditry today or tomorrow about the effect of thisj or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict. _ or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict. you — or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict, you should _ or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict, you should take _ or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict, you should take it - or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict, you should take it and - or tomorrow about the effect of this verdict, you should take it and duel verdict, you should take it and due to it was _ verdict, you should take it and due to it was a — verdict, you should take it and due to it was a great _ verdict, you should take it and due to it was a great british _ to it was a great british philosopher— to it was a great british philosopher david - to it was a great britishl philosopher david hume to it was a great british - philosopher david hume said, to it was a great british _ philosopher david hume said, you should _ philosopher david hume said, you should do— philosopher david hume said, you should do to — philosopher david hume said, you should do to work _ philosopher david hume said, you should do to work to _ philosopher david hume said, you should do to work to superstition, consign _ should do to work to superstition, consign them _ should do to work to superstition, consign them to _ should do to work to superstition, consign them to the _ should do to work to superstition, consign them to the flames. - should do to work to superstition, consign them to the flames. they| consign them to the flames. they have _ consign them to the flames. they have no— consign them to the flames. they have no value _ consign them to the flames. they have no value whatsoever. - consign them to the flames. they have no value whatsoever. i - consign them to the flames. they have no value whatsoever. i do i consign them to the flames. theyj have no value whatsoever. i do as you know — have no value whatsoever. i do as you know however— have no value whatsoever. i do as you know however have _ have no value whatsoever. i do as you know however have a - have no value whatsoever. i do as i you know however have a production system _ you know however have a production system with — you know however have a production system with 13 — you know however have a production system with 13 keys _ you know however have a production system with 13 keys to _ you know however have a production system with 13 keys to the white - system with 13 keys to the white house _ system with 13 keys to the white house which _ system with 13 keys to the white house which has _ system with 13 keys to the white house which has been _ system with 13 keys to the white | house which has been right since 1984 _ house which has been right since 1984 in— house which has been right since 1984 in the _ house which has been right since 1984 in the way— house which has been right since 1984. in the way it _ house which has been right since 1984. in the way it works - house which has been right since 1984. in the way it works is - house which has been right since 1984. in the way it works is six . 1984. in the way it works is six of the 13th — 1984. in the way it works is six of the 13th go — 1984. in the way it works is six of the 13th go against _ 1984. in the way it works is six of the 13th go against the white - 1984. in the way it works is six of. the 13th go against the white house party, _ the 13th go against the white house party, they— the 13th go against the white house party. they are _ the 13th go against the white house party, they are predicted _ the 13th go against the white house party, they are predicted to - the 13th go against the white house party, they are predicted to lose - party, they are predicted to lose and otherwise _ party, they are predicted to lose and otherwise they _ party, they are predicted to lose and otherwise they are - party, they are predicted to lose and otherwise they are a - party, they are predicted to lose . and otherwise they are a predicted winner~ _ and otherwise they are a predicted winner~ have — and otherwise they are a predicted winner. have not _ and otherwise they are a predicted winner. have not made _ and otherwise they are a predicted winner. have not made a - and otherwise they are a predicted winner. have not made a final- winner. have not made a final prediction— winner. have not made a final prediction yet. _ winner. have not made a final prediction yet, but _ winner. have not made a final prediction yet, but on - winner. have not made a final prediction yet, but on my- winner. have not made a final. prediction yet, but on my keys, which _ prediction yet, but on my keys, which are — prediction yet, but on my keys, which are independent - prediction yet, but on my keys, which are independent of- prediction yet, but on my keys, which are independent of all. prediction yet, but on my keys, i which are independent of all this but look— which are independent of all this but look at — which are independent of all this but look at the _ which are independent of all this but look at the fundamentals - which are independent of all this but look at the fundamentals ofl which are independent of all this . but look at the fundamentals of an election. _ but look at the fundamentals of an election. a — but look at the fundamentals of an election. a lot _ but look at the fundamentals of an election, a lot would _ but look at the fundamentals of an election, a lot would have - but look at the fundamentals of an election, a lot would have to - but look at the fundamentals of an election, a lot would have to go i election, a lot would have to go wrong _ election, a lot would have to go wrong for— election, a lot would have to go wrong forjoe _ election, a lot would have to go wrong forjoe biden— election, a lot would have to go wrong forjoe biden to lose. - election, a lot would have to go wrong forjoe biden to lose. he| election, a lot would have to go i wrong forjoe biden to lose. he is down _ wrong forjoe biden to lose. he is down only— wrong forjoe biden to lose. he is down only two _ wrong forjoe biden to lose. he is down only two keys _ wrong forjoe biden to lose. he is down only two keys and -
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wrong forjoe biden to lose. he is down only two keys and their- down only two keys and their are four chickie — down only two keys and their are four chickie keys. _ down only two keys and their are four chickie keys. social- down only two keys and their are four chickie keys. social unrest, i four chickie keys. social unrest, foreign — four chickie keys. social unrest, foreign policy. _ four chickie keys. social unrest, foreign policy, success- four chickie keys. social unrest, foreign policy, success and - four chickie keys. social unrest, l foreign policy, success and failure there. _ foreign policy, success and failure there. and — foreign policy, success and failure there, and third _ foreign policy, success and failure there, and third party. _ foreign policy, success and failure there, and third party. our- foreign policy, success and failure there, and third party. our keys l foreign policy, success and failure i there, and third party. our keys are based _ there, and third party. our keys are based on _ there, and third party. our keys are based on history— there, and third party. our keys are based on history and _ there, and third party. our keys are based on history and its— there, and third party. our keys are based on history and its possible i there, and third party. our keys are based on history and its possible an event like _ based on history and its possible an event like this _ based on history and its possible an event like this which _ based on history and its possible an event like this which as _ based on history and its possible an event like this which as you say- based on history and its possible an event like this which as you say is l event like this which as you say is without— event like this which as you say is without precedent— event like this which as you say is without precedent in— event like this which as you say is without precedent in us - without precedent in us history, potentially — without precedent in us history, potentially cataclysmic, - without precedent in us history, potentially cataclysmic, could i without precedent in us history, . potentially cataclysmic, could have an effect— potentially cataclysmic, could have an effect on— potentially cataclysmic, could have an effect on the _ potentially cataclysmic, could have an effect on the election _ potentially cataclysmic, could have an effect on the election outside i an effect on the election outside the keys— an effect on the election outside the keys and _ an effect on the election outside the keys and the _ an effect on the election outside the keys and the speaker- an effect on the election outside the keys and the speaker was i an effect on the election outside . the keys and the speaker was right. it's the keys and the speaker was right. it's not _ the keys and the speaker was right. it's not going — the keys and the speaker was right. it's not going to _ the keys and the speaker was right. it's not going to dent— the keys and the speaker was right. it's not going to dent his _ the keys and the speaker was right. it's not going to dent his core - it's not going to dent his core base. — it's not going to dent his core base. but— it's not going to dent his core base, but even _ it's not going to dent his core base, but even if— it's not going to dent his core base, but even if he - it's not going to dent his core base, but even if he eroded l it's not going to dent his core . base, but even if he eroded two it's not going to dent his core - base, but even if he eroded two or 3%, base, but even if he eroded two or 3%. that _ base, but even if he eroded two or 3%. that can— base, but even if he eroded two or 3%. that can be— base, but even if he eroded two or 3%, that can be fatal. _ base, but even if he eroded two or 3%, that can be fatal. but - base, but even if he eroded two or 3%, that can be fatal. but we - 3%, that can be fatal. but we have to look— 3%, that can be fatal. but we have to look about _ 3%, that can be fatal. but we have to look about are _ 3%, that can be fatal. but we have to look about are the _ 3%, that can be fatal. but we have to look about are the swing - 3%, that can be fatal. but we havel to look about are the swing voters, the moderate — to look about are the swing voters, the moderate voters, _ to look about are the swing voters, the moderate voters, the - to look about are the swing voters, i the moderate voters, the independent voters _ the moderate voters, the independent voters because — the moderate voters, the independent voters because donald _ the moderate voters, the independent voters because donald trump- the moderate voters, the independent voters because donald trump cannot i voters because donald trump cannot win with _ voters because donald trump cannot win with his— voters because donald trump cannot win with his base _ voters because donald trump cannot win with his base alone _ voters because donald trump cannot win with his base alone and - voters because donald trump cannot win with his base alone and those . voters because donald trump cannot win with his base alone and those of| win with his base alone and those of the voters _ win with his base alone and those of the voters who — win with his base alone and those of the voters who might _ win with his base alone and those of the voters who might be _ win with his base alone and those of the voters who might be vulnerable | the voters who might be vulnerable to reacting — the voters who might be vulnerable to reacting against _ the voters who might be vulnerable to reacting against a _ the voters who might be vulnerable to reacting against a felon - the voters who might be vulnerable to reacting against a felon who - the voters who might be vulnerable to reacting against a felon who was| to reacting against a felon who was not convicted — to reacting against a felon who was not convicted by _ to reacting against a felon who was not convicted byjoe _ to reacting against a felon who was not convicted byjoe biden- to reacting against a felon who was not convicted byjoe biden or- to reacting against a felon who was not convicted byjoe biden or his. not convicted byjoe biden or his political— not convicted byjoe biden or his political enemies _ not convicted byjoe biden or his political enemies but _ not convicted byjoe biden or his political enemies but by- not convicted byjoe biden or his political enemies but by a - not convicted byjoe biden or hisj political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons— political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons in— political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons in a— political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons in a trial— political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons in a trial that - political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons in a trial that was - political enemies but by a jury of 12 persons in a trial that was not| 12 persons in a trial that was not rigged. — 12 persons in a trial that was not rigged. the _ 12 persons in a trial that was not rigged. the judge _ 12 persons in a trial that was not rigged, the judge bent- 12 persons in a trial that was not rigged, the judge bent over- rigged, the judge bent over backwards _ rigged, the judge bent over backwards for— rigged, the judge bent over backwards for trump. - rigged, the judge bent overl backwards for trump. trump rigged, the judge bent over. backwards for trump. trump is lawyers — backwards for trump. trump is lawyers and _ backwards for trump. trump is lawyers and plenty _ backwards for trump. trump is
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lawyers and plenty of - backwards for trump. trump is lawyers and plenty of chances i backwards for trump. trump is. lawyers and plenty of chances to backwards for trump. trump is - lawyers and plenty of chances to vet the jury. _ lawyers and plenty of chances to vet the jury. and — lawyers and plenty of chances to vet the jury. and they— lawyers and plenty of chances to vet the jury, and they had _ lawyers and plenty of chances to vet the jury, and they had full— lawyers and plenty of chances to vet the jury, and they had full chance i the jury, and they had full chance to put— the jury, and they had full chance to put on— the jury, and they had full chance to put on a — the jury, and they had full chance to put on a case _ the jury, and they had full chance to put on a case and _ the jury, and they had full chance to put on a case and they- the jury, and they had full chance| to put on a case and they did not. they— to put on a case and they did not. they put— to put on a case and they did not. they put on— to put on a case and they did not. they put on one _ to put on a case and they did not. they put on one substantive - they put on one substantive witness who backfired — they put on one substantive witness who backfired. do _ they put on one substantive witness who backfired-— who backfired. do stay with us. thank you _ who backfired. do stay with us. thank you very _ who backfired. do stay with us. thank you very much _ who backfired. do stay with us. thank you very much and - who backfired. do stay with us. | thank you very much and might who backfired. do stay with us. . thank you very much and might be worth going to the bookmakers every time alan said something like this because he is always right. you will stay with this, judge thank you very much as a gift through the legal timeline and the legal ramifications. we appreciate that. now a short break. we are going to take a short break and then hear from a trump voter about whether the conviction impacts their vote. around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news.
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so what difference will mr trump's conviction make? will it turn away his loyal supporters? or will it harden their resolve? and what difference will it make to swing voters? a snap survey overnight
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from reuters/ipsos found that most trump supporters, 56%, say the conviction will have no impact on their vote. 10% say they are now less likely to vote for the former president. but 35% said that the conviction makes them more likely to vote for donald trump, a sign of the unwavering support for the republican nominee. now, let's speak to one die—hard trump voter, sandra wong. i first met sandra when i was covering the 2016 election, one of the many die—hard trump fans i met on my travels while covering the campaign. sandra lives in the key state of florida. when i met her again midway into his presidency, she loved him even more than before. so how does she feel now? i had to get her on to find out.
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hello, sandra. hello. how are you? nice to see — hello, sandra. hello. how are you? nice to see you. _ hello, sandra. hello. how are you? nice to see you. nice _ hello, sandra. hello. how are you? nice to see you. nice to _ hello, sandra. hello. how are you? nice to see you. nice to hear- nice to see you. nice to hear from ou. nice to see you. nice to hear from you- sandra. _ nice to see you. nice to hear from you. sandra, are _ nice to see you. nice to hear from you. sandra, are you _ nice to see you. nice to hear from you. sandra, are you going - nice to see you. nice to hear from you. sandra, are you going to - nice to see you. nice to hear from| you. sandra, are you going to vote for mr trump? _ you. sandra, are you going to vote for mr trump? more _ you. sandra, are you going to vote for mr trump? more than ever. . you. sandra, are you going to vote . for mr trump? more than ever. maga more than ever. _ for mr trump? more than ever. maga more than ever. there _ for mr trump? more than ever. maga more than ever. there are _ for mr trump? more than ever. maga more than ever. there are many - more than ever. there are many --eole more than ever. there are many people watching _ more than ever. there are many people watching her _ more than ever. there are many people watching her in - more than ever. there are many people watching her in the - more than ever. there are many - people watching her in the world who are saying what is used to going to vote for donald trump with matt he is now a convicted criminal. he is a slew of other cases heat faces as well. he is controversial. why would anyone still vote for him? that's what some would ask so we are going to put that to you. what is your answer to that? i’m to put that to you. what is your answer to that?— to put that to you. what is your answer to that? i'm a well informed voter. and — answer to that? i'm a well informed voter, and when _ answer to that? i'm a well informed voter, and when you _ answer to that? i'm a well informed voter, and when you say convicted, | voter, and when you say convicted, who convicted him? not the people of the united states. a minority who were seeking a political revenge on the man that we know is sure to win in november.
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the man that we know is sure to win in november-— the man that we know is sure to win in november. now, sandra, is there an hinu in november. now, sandra, is there anything donald _ in november. now, sandra, is there anything donald trump _ in november. now, sandra, is there anything donald trump can - in november. now, sandra, is there anything donald trump can do - in november. now, sandra, is there anything donald trump can do to - in november. now, sandra, is there| anything donald trump can do to put you off him? laughter. so far, he has not. i don't... i have not heard anything from him that will make me change my mind. and what would you, in terms of if he ends up being put behind bars, and how would you feel about that? it does not change my mind. there is a lot of innocent people in jail, it does not change my mind. there is a lot of innocent people injail, in prison. a lot of them. so those people that are outside they are seeing what's going on in the media is now more convinced than ever to vote for an innocent man, innocent! carry—on, sandra. and what issues are going to matter to un this
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election? it sounds like a matter what donald trump says or whatever policies he has, he is always going to be your man. policies he has, he is always going to be your man-— to be your man. yes. i support everything — to be your man. yes. i support everything that _ to be your man. yes. i support everything that he _ to be your man. yes. i support everything that he is _ to be your man. yes. i support everything that he is for, - to be your man. yes. i support| everything that he is for, which to be your man. yes. i support i everything that he is for, which is putting america first, border control, pro—life, freedom of religion. those are my views. that's what i support. he has my vote. qm. what i support. he has my vote. 0k, sandra, what i support. he has my vote. 0k, sandra. thank— what i support. he has my vote. ok, sandra, thank you very much for answering those questions and many people have. you are even more of a die—hard trunk fan that when i met you on those two previous occasions and they are where you are in miami, i've been to your house or maybe i will visit you once again. thanks for the moment, sandra wong. you are welcome, for the moment, sandra wong. you are welcome. thank — for the moment, sandra wong. you are welcome, thank you. _ for the moment, sandra wong. you are welcome, thank you. that _ for the moment, sandra wong. you are welcome, thank you. that was - for the moment, sandra wong. you are welcome, thank you. that was nice - welcome, thank you. that was nice was and always _ welcome, thank you. that was nice was and always nice _ welcome, thank you. that was nice was and always nice to _ welcome, thank you. that was nice was and always nice to catch - welcome, thank you. that was nice was and always nice to catch up - was and always nice to catch up with people you meet when you are out on your travels. people you meet when you are out on yourtravels. i people you meet when you are out on your travels. i could see you on my screen when i was speaking to sandra, you were beaming. what
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screen when i was speaking to sandra, you were beaming. what a lovely woman- _ sandra, you were beaming. what a lovely woman. she _ sandra, you were beaming. what a lovely woman. she is _ sandra, you were beaming. what a lovely woman. she is lovely. - sandra, you were beaming. what a lovely woman. she is lovely. we i sandra, you were beaming. what a i lovely woman. she is lovely. we were beamin: lovely woman. she is lovely. we were beaming for — lovely woman. she is lovely. we were beaming for another _ lovely woman. she is lovely. we were beaming for another reason, - lovely woman. she is lovely. we were beaming for another reason, i - lovely woman. she is lovely. we were beaming for another reason, i note. l beaming for another reason, i note. i was entertained by it. listen, i think— i was entertained by it. listen, i think people ask how does... what is president— think people ask how does... what is president trump's power? is his ability— president trump's power? is his ability to— president trump's power? is his ability to connect with people. he clearly— ability to connect with people. he clearly fitted with sandra in a way that she — clearly fitted with sandra in a way that she is — clearly fitted with sandra in a way that she is never that it was a politician _ that she is never that it was a politician and estimate is him and drop _ politician and estimate is him and drop but — politician and estimate is him and drop. but the first person i've seen have _ drop. but the first person i've seen have that _ drop. but the first person i've seen have that reaction and it reminds me of that— have that reaction and it reminds me of that and _ have that reaction and it reminds me of that and i'm sure we will see more _ of that and i'm sure we will see more of— of that and i'm sure we will see more of the way. i of that and i'm sure we will see more of the way.— of that and i'm sure we will see more of the way. i asked consider this question _ more of the way. i asked consider this question but _ more of the way. i asked consider this question but i _ more of the way. i asked consider this question but i feel— more of the way. i asked consider this question but i feel like - more of the way. i asked consider this question but i feel like i - this question but i feel like i want to ask you the same. what could donald trump do to really put you off him? . ~', ., _ donald trump do to really put you offhim? . ~', ., _.,. . off him? talk seriously about a third term- _ off him? talk seriously about a third term. 0k, _ off him? talk seriously about a third term. 0k, we'll— off him? talk seriously about a third term. 0k, we'll was - off him? talk seriously about a - third term. 0k, we'll was punishment in that third term. ok, we'll was punishment in that answer— third term. 0k, we'll was punishment in that answer was _ third term. 0k, we'll was punishment in that answer was up _ third term. 0k, we'll was punishment in that answer was up to _ third term. 0k, we'll was punishment in that answer was up to get - third term. 0k, we'll was punishment in that answer was up to get people l in that answer was up to get people like you have people like sandra particularly in others i met in 2016 do i still remain in touch with them of the call themselves the deplorable, some of them. is it like it's a blind faith for donald trump,
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no matter what. even if he is convicted in all the other cases that he faces, he himself that he can stand in the middle of fifth ave and do whatever and he would still have that support. i and do whatever and he would still have that support.— have that support. i think that's where our _ have that support. i think that's where our politics _ have that support. i think that's where our politics is _ have that support. i think that's where our politics is today. - have that support. i think that's where our politics is today. it i have that support. i think that's where our politics is today. it is| where our politics is today. it is red versus _ where our politics is today. it is red versus blue, republican versus democrat — red versus blue, republican versus democrat~ i— red versus blue, republican versus democrat. i think you have the same phenomenon take place in the democratic party, right? so you saw and actually — democratic party, right? so you saw and actually saw this take place during — and actually saw this take place during barack obama. there was never any disagreement with anything there which is _ any disagreement with anything there which is bizarre. usually with senior—level people he had disagreements but you had a bunch of sycophants— disagreements but you had a bunch of sycophants saying yes, yes, whatever you say _ sycophants saying yes, yes, whatever you say. listen nothing to happen to both parties— you say. listen nothing to happen to both parties in of politics is where it is and _ both parties in of politics is where it is and the — both parties in of politics is where it is and the roles were reversed and with— it is and the roles were reversed and with hunter biden, you see the same _ and with hunter biden, you see the same rationale taking place. and as someone who _ same rationale taking place. and as someone who used _ same rationale taking place. and as someone who used to _ same rationale taking place. and as someone who used to be _ same rationale taking place. and as someone who used to be a - same rationale taking place. and as someone who used to be a commsl someone who used to be a comms director for donald trump, what would you have said to him today after he finished that ramble, i think it's fair to call it that. i
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think it's fair to call it that. i would not call it rambling. remember, his audience is not you and i_ remember, his audience is not you and i did _ remember, his audience is not you and i did to — remember, his audience is not you and i did to me most of the time. his audience is working class, blue—collar voters was when i would say it's _ blue—collar voters was when i would say it's his _ blue—collar voters was when i would say it's his position at this predicament moment is the deck is stacked _ predicament moment is the deck is stacked most of our being with un the working—class votes that the american — the working—class votes that the american citizen is stacked against them _ american citizen is stacked against them economically in the american system _ them economically in the american system is _ them economically in the american system is stacked against them politically. and look at me, the american — politically. and look at me, the american system is now set against me judicially. and i think that connects— me judicially. and i think that connects him with the working—class voters _ connects him with the working—class voters in _ connects him with the working—class voters in the — connects him with the working—class voters in the blue—collar voters and ithink— voters in the blue—collar voters and i think that's — voters in the blue—collar voters and i think that's a good thing. gk, i think that's a good thing. ok, thanks for— i think that's a good thing. ok, thanks for the _ i think that's a good thing. oil, thanks for the moment. i think that's a good thing. oi, thanks for the moment. back with i think that's a good thing. (zii, thanks for the moment. back with you after a short break. he used to work for donald trump. you are watching the context here on bbc news. hello there. tomorrow marks the start of meteorological summer, and there's going to be a lot of dry weather this weekend and some warm sunshine as well. and earlier today, it was very
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pleasant in cumbria, but there was a chilly wind blowing. some of the strongest winds have been here in norfolk, gusting 40 mph. the wind off the north sea making it feel quite chilly. and around the edge of this area of high pressure, this is where we've got the strongest of the winds that's been bringing a lot of cloud to some eastern parts of england. a little rain earlier as well, but that's moving away. we're still going to hang on to some cloud for eastern areas of the uk overnight. one or two spots of rain heading down across eastern parts of scotland. but further west, we're going to have clearer skies and lighter winds as well. it could turn a little chilly, 6—7 degrees firs thing in the morning. heading into tomorrow, and it will warm up in the sunshine and there'll be more sunshine across east anglia and the south—east of england, should be dry here as well. a bit more cloud, though, coming down across scotland into northern england and the midlands could bring one 01’ two showers. otherwise, it should be dry. sunny spells for northern ireland, lots of sunshine in scotland. temperatures in the central belt reaching 20 degrees
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on saturday afternoon. and across the south—east, it will be a warmer day with more sunshine and the winds not as strong either. the high pressure that's bringing a lot of dry weather is tending to get pushed away a little bit on sunday. and around the top of that high, we're seeing more cloud coming in from the atlantic. that'll bring cloudier skies into scotland and northern ireland, maybe a few spots of rain in the north—west. some of that cloud will push into northern england. but further south, we've got some sunny spells. the winds continuing to fall lighter across south—eastern areas. so it's warming up here further. highs could reach 22 degrees. and still quite warm across north—east england, eastern scotland with some sunshine. not quite so warm in the west of scotland, where we've got all this cloud. and that cloud will push its way southwards overnight and into monday together with that weather front, which is very weak. so there's little or no rain on that. it's more cloud that's moving southwards, followed by sunshine in northern england and scotland and perhaps northern ireland. temperatures reaching 17—18 degrees. further south, even with some cloud, we've still got highs of 20 celsius. but the area of high pressure is getting pushed away, and that's allowing north—westerly
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winds to come in. those will be stronger on tuesday. polar maritime air could bring some showers. wintry over the scottish mountains, still warm and dry in southern england.
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hello, i'm rajini vaidyanathan. you're watching the context on bbc news. the us and germany say ukraine's military can use western—supplied weapons to strike targets
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inside russia — as fighting intensifies in the kharkiv region. more on that in a moment. sport and for a full round—up, from the bbc sport centre, here's gavin. hello from the bbc sport centre. straight to a very busy night of women's football, with plenty of european qualifiers taking place right now. one of those teams in action — the defending champions england, they're up against france at newcastle united's st james' park. and glenn havejust taken and glenn have just taken the lead, beth mead with the goal in the first half. england goalkeeper mary earps coming off injured early there. elsewhere: scotland v israel. 3—0 scotland, as they look to go top of their group. republic of ireland v sweden. 0—1 sweden.

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