tv BBC News BBC News July 3, 2024 7:30pm-8:01pm BST
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, eardley is ,eardley is on the hampshire. in nick eardley is on the conservative bus campaign trail, in the last few hours, ahead of polling stations opening tomorrow. we will hear from stations opening tomorrow. we will hearfrom him now. dirt around the uk trying to get on the front foot and trying to grab the front foot and trying to grab the headline with policies and today when the main message is to vote conservative and stop labour from winning and stomping the historic majority and this is not the place conservatives wanted to be in on the final day of campaigning and i do not think we should lose sight on what those comments we heard and for mel stride, cabinet minister, someone very close to the prime minister effectively said we think labour of when a big majority and vote for us now to make sure that you have an effective opposition. in part to the conservative party this
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real sense of resignation about what is happening and what could happen tomorrow and that is not the place publicly, at least in the prime minister to continue to be defiant and continue to say he is fighting for every vote and continues to say every vote counts were not stop campaigning until 10pm tomorrow night and has another event here in hampshire but, when you speak to people on the conservative party candidates staffers and others, i think there is a fear that this could be a bad result amongst most acceptance and it is likely to lead to a change in government. expecting to a change in government. expecting to 'oin nick to a change in government. expecting to join nick to — to a change in government. expecting to join nick to lee _ to a change in government. expecting to join nick to lee a _ to a change in government. expecting to join nick to lee a little _ to a change in government. expecting to join nick to lee a little bit - tojoin nick to lee a little bit later here on the campaign trail and with rishi sunak we are expecting to hear from live with a stump speech just after eight o'clock and were expecting keir starmer labour leader in the next few minutes and he is out in the west midlands with just
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parker and a correspondent is on the liberal democrat campaign bus. i{fruits liberal democrat campaign bus. quite a wide range — liberal democrat campaign bus. quite a wide range in _ liberal democrat campaign bus. quite a wide range in the _ liberal democrat campaign bus. (zei its a wide range in the number of liberal democrat campaign bus. iei it9 a wide range in the number of seats that the lib dems get up to win and technically they have about eight at the moment and because boundary changes, if they do the best they've ever done, that only about 30 or something and i'll be helping to do better than that but though never admit to it. and they may be 50 or 60 according to some polls but if they do manage, partly a dv is kept they do manage, partly a dv is kept the party likely to a former government and the media but also as a couple of other things, the first thing is, if you're going to vote lib dem, you might get a local champion and an mp batting for you and he talked a lot about his local champions as a concept throughout this election campaign and another thing that's really interesting is the story in the last two days
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discussing what the approach the lib dems have been taken with the strategist and i've abandoned the idea of winning a share of the vote and therefore a number of constituencies because we have a system where you have to be first in each constituency to win it and what that means in terms of the strategy is going out and finding those constituencies and a lot of them conservative and some in scotland as well and place with the lib dems or second where they could become first. and in the south of england, there is a level packing or nudging ahead will not really know until tomorrow night.— ahead will not really know until tomorrow niuht. v :, :, ,:, :, tomorrow night. let's go to edinboro where the leader _ tomorrow night. let's go to edinboro where the leader is _ tomorrow night. let's go to edinboro where the leader is speaking - where the leader is speaking reaching out to our european neighbours and to scotland where we do the right thing on the
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international days take to make incidents of the day like gaza, because our values are your values in this election package. and the people in scotland, we go out and vote tomorrow and i say this. we have a chance tomorrow to shape the future of our country and do what we believe is right for the people of scotland to design the future that is made in scotland and for scotland. that is what we are about as a party, making sure that scotland is able to make a future in scotland is able to make a future in scotland for scotland through independence. in that message, that hopeful message of bringing to the people of our country the connections with our european partners in the pursuit ofjustice at home, the eradication of child poverty in the investment in a
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public services by ending austerity, thatis public services by ending austerity, that is with floating snp means tomorrow and i encourage you to get out tonight and tomorrow to support every single snp vote or to come out and vote emphatically and purposefully for the future made in scotland and for for a better future, future in scotland and thank you very much. john swinney, the snp leader speaking to a crowd of people gathered in edinboro and making it clear that his party would put scotland first earlier but said the election in scotland is on the knife edge and using every opportunity like the party leaders to get the vote out as best they can and
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foregone conclusions and speaking to the correspondent who was with us at the correspondent who was with us at the snp, no complacency withjohn swinney, is there? ila. the snp, no complacency with john swinney, is there?— swinney, is there? no, ithink this is his second _ swinney, is there? no, ithink this is his second campaign _ swinney, is there? no, ithink this is his second campaign today - swinney, is there? no, ithink this is his second campaign today and. swinney, is there? no, i think this i is his second campaign today and he started at 830 and near classico and sunshine in edinboro this evening and we heard from john swinney, some familiar themes of the campaign and has been quite consistent from the start talking about austerity and brexit and the cost of living in the conservatives and attacking labour and if labour do when on friday as john swinney really expects, and they will continue with the conservatives and that is the message thatjohn swinney has been hammering home for some time now but
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this is his eve speech calling for people to get out and vote enthusiastically and motivate the core snp vote to come out and support him because the polls been ensuring that support for independence is around 50% of the remains quite steady by the bulls are suggesting a tight race between the snp and labour across scotland and we hope these campaigns that have been taking place in the last six weeks, for the snp vote is to combine support his party because westminster seats they are voting for, not how the route the: present presence can be seen presence can be seen and heard. we know this is a westminster campaign and people are voting for in in
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westminster but there's so many issues that have cropped up during this campaign and have devolved issues in the snp have been in power and its worth remembering for 17 years, the snp have been in charge of the health service in charge of education despite the fact that this is a westminster election, this is been coming up during the campaign in opposition parties and from the snp, tomorrow, voters will go to the polls on friday morning and will know the voters have decided. hose know the voters have decided. how concerned are _ know the voters have decided. how concerned are they that the vote will not get out because we keep hearing reports that the polls suggest a very clear majority for labour the temptation for people might be not at all and a lot of leaders are concerned about that. yes, that is been interesting that is something thatjohn swinney has been speaking about a lot over the
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last few days and probably longer than that and he has been saying that this election is a foregone conclusion in his opinion and england and labour will win this election and keir starmer will be prime minister come friday but in scotland, it's a very different picture and expected to be a much closer race in scotland in the snp and labourand closer race in scotland in the snp and labour and john swinney saying that seats up and down the country in scotland can only be a handful of votes in between the snp and labour and this evening, here for the last six weeks trying to motivate the core snp votes to support the party tomorrow. : :, , : many seats across the country are predicted to switch from conservative to other parties after tomorrow's election.
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0ur political correspondent alex forsyth has travelled to henley and thame: once the seat of borisjohnson, and considered a tory heartland — but now the liberal democrats have it in their sights. and she's been to great yarmouth, which had a big conservative majority last time round, but as alex explains, is now a labour target. election poll date tomorrow. at great yarmouth, their waking up to the emden facing the country stop till i get a lot ofjunk mail and leaflets in the door. irlat till i get a lot ofjunk mail and leaflets in the door. not reading them know _ leaflets in the door. not reading them know. share _ leaflets in the door. not reading them know. share of— leaflets in the door. not reading them know. share of challengesj leaflets in the door. not reading - them know. share of challenges and them know. share of challenges and the question — them know. share of challenges and the question now _ them know. share of challenges and the question now is _ them know. share of challenges and the question now is whether - them know. share of challenges and the question now is whether the - the question now is whether the people have been persuaded by the solutions on offer.— solutions on offer. whether we get what we want _ solutions on offer. whether we get what we want a — solutions on offer. whether we get what we want a do _ solutions on offer. whether we get what we want a do not _ solutions on offer. whether we get what we want a do not know- solutions on offer. whether we get what we want a do not know stop l solutions on offer. whether we get. what we want a do not know stop by this echoes — what we want a do not know stop by this echoes around the country and some _ this echoes around the country and some of— this echoes around the country and some of the conservatives one pretty comfortably across into his 19 fighting — comfortably across into his 19 fighting under the banner of brexit and politically, things are very different now and it is a sign of
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labour�*s in addition to this campaign that they have their eyes set on seats like this. the political battle under way here is that escaped katie. iii political battle under way here is that escaped katie.— political battle under way here is that escaped katie. in my village yesterday. _ that escaped katie. in my village yesterday. and _ that escaped katie. in my village yesterday, and in _ that escaped katie. in my village yesterday, and in different - yesterday, and in different leaflets _ yesterday, and in different leaflets. : . yesterday, and in different leaflets. : , :, :, leaflets. an expert in animal behaviour. — leaflets. an expert in animal behaviour, it's _ leaflets. an expert in animal behaviour, it's a _ leaflets. an expert in animal behaviour, it's a priority - leaflets. an expert in animal behaviour, it's a priority but| leaflets. an expert in animal. behaviour, it's a priority but not the only issue. {lii behaviour, it's a priority but not the only issue.— behaviour, it's a priority but not the only issue. of course we need housin: the only issue. of course we need housing infrastructure _ the only issue. of course we need housing infrastructure if _ the only issue. of course we need housing infrastructure if the - housing infrastructure if the doctor's— housing infrastructure if the doctor's appointment - housing infrastructure if the doctor's appointment and l housing infrastructure if the doctor's appointment and i i housing infrastructure if the - doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever_ doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets — doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets in _ doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets in is— doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets in is going _ doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets in is going to- doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets in is going to try- doctor's appointment and i cannot, whoever gets in is going to try and | whoever gets in is going to try and do some _ whoever gets in is going to try and do some radical— whoever gets in is going to try and do some radical changes. - whoever gets in is going to try and do some radical changes. the- whoever gets in is going to try and do some radical changes.- do some radical changes. the way --eole do some radical changes. the way people vote _ do some radical changes. the way people vote here _ do some radical changes. the way people vote here will— do some radical changes. the way people vote here will reflect - do some radical changes. the way people vote here will reflect up i people vote here will reflect up someone ends up in number ten but reflects more thanjust someone ends up in number ten but reflects more than just two parties and reformed uk in places like this and reformed uk in places like this and said conservative nerves jangling. and across the country, people have been fighting a defensive campaign and head further the site and the party faces another challenge. henley on teams with the
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recapture in full swing is the epitome of the tory heart lands and is the kind of place to live it into been targeting. it has not escaped the notice of gym business here —— boating business. the notice of gym business here -- boating business.— boating business. there really hasn't been — boating business. there really hasn't been a _ boating business. there really hasn't been a sense _ boating business. there really hasn't been a sense of- boating business. there really hasn't been a sense of people j boating business. there really - hasn't been a sense of people coming to the _ hasn't been a sense of people coming to the policies— hasn't been a sense of people coming to the policies and _ hasn't been a sense of people coming to the policies and where they're - to the policies and where they're going _ to the policies and where they're going to — to the policies and where they're going to do — to the policies and where they're going to do for _ to the policies and where they're going to do for the _ to the policies and where they're going to do for the country. - to the policies and where they're going to do for the country. youl going to do for the country. you don't some _ going to do for the country. you don't some very _ going to do for the country. don't some very enthusiastic going to do for the country.“ don't some very enthusiastic about this collection. i don't some very enthusiastic about this collection.— don't some very enthusiastic about this collection._ the - this collection. i wish i did. the liberal democrats _ this collection. i wish i did. the liberal democrats of _ this collection. i wish i did. the liberal democrats of every - liberal democrats of every deliberate strategy and most of them from the conservatives and a lot of them in the south of england and they are not the only party, the green party is at a national message but on the ground, they have concentrated their campaign where they think they can have the most impact. just of henley high street, the fashion tailor is to wait out the fashion tailor is to wait out the options. i the fashion tailor is to wait out the options-— the fashion tailor is to wait out the o tions. :, :, ,, :, . ._ the options. i do not know which way i'm iioin the options. i do not know which way i'm going to — the options. i do not know which way i'm going to go- _ the options. i do not know which way i'm going to go- i— the options. i do not know which way i'm going to go. i still— the options. i do not know which way i'm going to go. i still undecided? i i'm going to go. i still undecided? still undecided. i don't think any
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still undecided. idon't think any party— still undecided. i don't think any party has — still undecided. i don't think any party has the answer to every problem _ party has the answer to every problem in. ifi party has the answer to every problem in-— party has the answer to every problem in. party has the answer to every iroblem in. . :, , , , problem in. if i had to sum up this cam iaiin problem in. if i had to sum up this campaign in _ problem in. if i had to sum up this campaign in one — problem in. if i had to sum up this campaign in one word, _ problem in. if i had to sum up this campaign in one word, what - problem in. if i had to sum up this| campaign in one word, what would problem in. if i had to sum up this - campaign in one word, what would you describe it as?— campaign in one word, what would you describe it as?_ in - campaign in one word, what would you describe it as?_ in this - describe it as? haphazard. in this camiaiin describe it as? haphazard. in this campaign is _ describe it as? haphazard. in this campaign is the _ describe it as? haphazard. in this campaign is the final— describe it as? haphazard. in this campaign is the final stretch. - campaign is the final stretch. looking at the latest poll tracker. there are some signs the polls have narrowed slightly, labour have a 19 point lead, with conservatives on 21, reform on 16 and the lib dems on 11 points. yougov have released their latest poll, their latest poll, which follows the same trends — and shows labour on course for a historic election victory. we spoke to patrick english earlier who is director of political analytics who explained the final yougov poll numbers.
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ill and that we spoke to 40,000 local, orthe ill and that we spoke to 40,000 local, or the past couple of weeks and labour do have a pretty unassailable lead right now and it's been stable across the campaign you're projecting at the moment that we think are essential estimates will win 43i we think are essential estimates will win 431 seats tomorrow the conservatives 102. but it's important to express support record does, there's a lot of uncertainty around these figures there are 90 seats which one party, only five points ahead and anything can happen in the range, we have anything from a repeat of 1997 to an even larger record—breaking labour landslide and made this can happen in the spread of other pollsters and projections will echo this but the minute, what we are all pointing out in one direction is a fairly significant and substantial labour victory tomorrow. the conservatives have been talking lots about a supermajority, warning labour is on course to get one. but what exactly does that mean — and does the claim add up?
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tom edgington from bbc verify has been taking a look. so, here we are. the uk is about to choose its prime minister, and some of the polls are suggesting that the labour party could win big, very big. so much so that the conservatives have been warning about a supermajority, something that they claim will make it much harder to hold the labour party to account. indeed, the prime minister himself has posted about it on social media several times. but does it actually exist? well, this phrase supermajority, it doesn't actually have any specific meaning, at least not in uk parliamentary terms. that's because here in the uk,
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once a party wins 326 seats in the house of commons, and that's just over half the party already has enough of its own mps to pass new laws in the commons. well, assuming, of course, it can keep those mps on side and getting a bigger majority than that, well, it's not going to unlock any extra powers. indeed, the institute for government think tank says it's untrue that there would be a sudden dramatic loss in scrutiny should one party win a very large majority. now, this concept of a supermajority, it does exist in some countries, including here in the united states. that's because making certain things happen over in the us congress, like, for example, overturning a presidential veto that does require a two thirds majority. and if one side has reached this threshold, it's known as a supermajority vote. so that begs the question — does having a large majority in the uk make any difference at all? well, it does a couple of things. firstly, the more seats a party
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wins, the more of these select committee chairs it holds. now, these committees scrutinise the work of the government and the balance of the parties at the election is meant to reflect who chairs them. the other thing is this — money, a very large majority, also means less money for the opposition. that's because the smaller parties get money for every seat they win to spend on things like research and on their leader's staff. and remember, big majorities aren't anything new — after the 1997 election, for example, the labour party had a majority of 179, and in 1983 the conservatives won a majority of 144. now the tory cabinet minister, mel stride, he said on wednesday that labour could be on course for the largest majority in british history. but of course, until those votes are counted, we'll have to wait and see who emerges as the winner. and, crucially, by what margin? we are expecting to hear from sir keir starmer very shortly how is the making the last a few hours?
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travelling quite far, and it's almost to the point now where to keep checking google maps to figure out where i am and we started the day off in wales where he addressed the crowd of supporters and candidates and we headed up by the plane, the same plane that the squad used in its data may in scotland and lanarkshire and i was labour party supporters and activists in the scottish labour leader was there and he really was quite a enthusiastic atmosphere over the last couple of days i've been following the labour campaign i've been dipping in and out of various campaigns throughout the last six weeks and activists certainly are upbeat and the applause is not of been for keir starmer today from
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these activists, their labour party supporters you would expect that to some extent but they been allowed in the been long and there's a mood of optimism and excitement amongst labour supporters at the moment but that being said, this campaign is been criticised for being in some cases, unambitious with the manifesto and sir keir starmer campaign is been criticised as becoming somewhat boring and speaking to people around the leader of the last few days, they are feeling that a careful cautious strategy has paid off to some degree and are trying to emphasise the moment getting out that vote because they're hearing messages from the conservative party they think labour could be having some super majority in downplaying that in events and they do not want people to sit on
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their hands and sit at home and think it's not working and that some kind of done deal and we keep hearing the slogans that if you want change, you have to vote for it and we are at the third event of the day chris across the country and being on a bus a plan and a train and all modes of transport.— on a bus a plan and a train and all modes of transport. some delirium settini and modes of transport. some delirium setting and we _ modes of transport. some delirium setting and we understand - modes of transport. some delirium setting and we understand and - modes of transport. some delirium setting and we understand and to l setting and we understand and to bring with us and from the labour party to the newspaper in the 11th hour throwing their weight behind sir keir starmer? that hour throwing their weight behind sir keir starmer?— sir keir starmer? that is an interesting _ sir keir starmer? that is an interesting one _ sir keir starmer? that is an interesting one and - sir keir starmer? that is an interesting one and there . sir keir starmer? that is an i interesting one and there have sir keir starmer? that is an - interesting one and there have been quite some time since the sun newspaper endorsed the labour party and that news emerging today and sir keir starmer on the record was asked this by the media in scotland since he was delighted to have their
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backing and he said it showed up which change the labour party in recent years and is emphasise by quite a lot, thejourney recent years and is emphasise by quite a lot, the journey has taken the labour party since its huge loss and 2019 and speaking to a senior labour party official earlier, they were less ecstatic but on balance, it is good to receive an endorsement like that allow debate as to how much these things actually make an impact at this stage of the game but they'd rather have it than not. so it's a bit of a boost as we had towards polling day tomorrow. thank ou ve towards polling day tomorrow. thank you very much _ towards polling day tomorrow. thank you very much and — towards polling day tomorrow. thank you very much and on _ towards polling day tomorrow. thank you very much and on the _ towards polling day tomorrow. thank you very much and on the labour campaign, setting up ready for the events this evening mercer keir starmer will make that address in the west midlands and not quite there yet butjessica trying to keep up there yet butjessica trying to keep up with them but we will be there to
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hear what he has to say very shortly. now to the us election, because the new york times is reporting tonight thatjoe biden has told one of his allies that he's weighing up whether to continue in the race for the presidency. mr biden has faced criticism of his performance in a tv debate with donald trump last week. 0ur north america editor sarah smith sent this report from washington. the white house are pushing back against those stories think that the idea thatjoe biden is worried that he cannot salvage his chances in this race is totally false but that is not going to quell the growing fears that there are inside the democratic party. in stories from anonymous sources and recent meeting forjoe biden struggle to finish his sentence and lose his train of thought but going public, thousands more are saying they're afraid to do so in the next few days if you cannot convince voters that he is up
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to the job. in cannot convince voters that he is up to thejob. in polling suggested nearly three quarters of people now think that he is not to be president and by you have the biden campaign insisting that is definitely going to carry on, the parties not been very impressed with the situations take you to solve the situation and he did appear on my television give a brief statement on monday night and he reaches officials to try to reassure them but many feel he should have done that earlier and senior lawmakers on the hill, needs to recover the situation quickly and it's giving an interview to abc television which will air on sunday and i'll be watched very carefully by his party in the electorate. people injamaica have been warned to stock up on food and water and stay indoors, as hurricane beryl bears down on the island, with winds of up to 150 miles per hour, the hurricane has claimed at least seven lives, as it moves through the caribbean. thomas magill reports.
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union island, just off saint vincent and the grenadines, is the latest part of the caribbean to feel the full force of hurricane beryl, with 90% of its homes either destroyed or damaged. in grenada, it's a similar story, where power lines are down and roofs have been ripped off buildings by the hurricane's deadly force. its prime minister has been assessing the devastation and says the island of carriacou has been very badly affected. it is almost armageddon—like, almost total damage or destruction of all buildings, whether they be public buildings, homes or other private facilities. there is literally no vegetation left anywhere on the island of carriacou. hurricane beryl now threatens jamaica, as a... next in its path is jamaica, where people are being urged to stock up on food, water and candles. beryl is rapidly moving northeast across the atlantic, its power
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and size visible from space. and this is how it looks in the dominican republic, where high tides, heavy rain and strong winds of more than 240 kilometres per hour have been relentlessly battering its coastline. as some communities across the region start to assess the damage and devastation, others injamaica and mexico are preparing to batten down the hatches, hoping this category four hurricane will begin to weaken in the coming hours. thomas magill, bbc news. hello there. uk forecast in a moment — first, a quick look, though,
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at the satellite picture across the caribbean, where we have hurricane beryl on its final approach to jamaica. now, this is a major hurricane — we are expecting some severe damage towards jamaica over the next few hours as that hurricane arrives. here in the uk, well, the weather's been a good deal quieter, but summer is on its holidays. the temperatures are forecast to stay well below average through the rest of this week, and indeed, through the weekend beyond. the reason for that is down to the position of ourjet stream — it's running across the uk at the moment, so we get the colder air to the north side of the jets — that's why it's cool. and these troughs, well, that's what makes areas of low pressure form. so that's exactly what we've got around the uk over the next few days. now through the remainder of the night, with low pressure to the north of scotland, we're looking at lots of showers for scotland and a few for northern ireland, 1—2 for the far north of england. the weather becomes drier further southwards, with temperatures overnight ranging from around 8—11 celsius. the weather picture for tomorrow — well, it doesn't look too cheery, with low pressure firmly in charge. closest to the centre of the low pressure — that's where we'll have some of the strongest winds, with showers in western scotland merging together to give some longer
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spells of rain, particularly for the hebrides and the highlands, as well. there will be quite a few showers for northern ireland and northern england. further southwards for wales, the midlands, east anglia, and southern england, it's a drier day with more in the way of sunshine. in the sunshine, temperatures high, teens to low—20s — won't feel too bad. butjust14 in glasgow — really? and with the winds for western scotland picking up to gusts of 40mph, that will add to a cool feel. we've got another area of low pressure then that develops across the uk into friday into saturday, as well. so there's no change to the unsettled weather pattern we're experiencing right now. the first signs of that next area of low pressure will be this band of rain moving in to southern parts of england and wales. the rain band could get a bit further northwards. scotland and northern ireland overall on friday should be a bit drier and brighter. sunny spells a bit more widespread, but there will still be some showers around. and that same area of low pressure develops a bit further as we head into saturday —
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the leaders of all the main parties have been travelling the country making their final appeals for votes. two seniors say they expect to lose to labour. in a separate blow for the conservatives this afternoon, the sun newspaper endorsed keir starmer is the next prime minister. i'm martine croxall. 0n the last day before the polls open at seven o'clock tomorrow, political leaders have been crisscrossing the country making their final push for support. sir keir starmer has accused the conservatives of what he called voter suppression, speaking after the work and pensions secretary said the work and pensions secretary said the poll suggested labour was held
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