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tv   The Context  BBC News  July 16, 2024 9:00pm-9:31pm BST

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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. donald trump is as healthy as anybody i've ever met — i tell him all the time, he's got ridiculous genes. i plan to be a very good vice president for donald trump for four years. they are calling from unity and that is something we have seen from nikki haley and i am assuming, with this message of unity for republicans to come together to defeatjoe biden. i've never ever misused _ or abused my ministerial position. my integrity matters. i have not compromised it. the world is changing fast. the threats are growing. in those circumstances, it's right we take a look at the threats, the capabilities we need, the state of our armed forces, as well as the money that's available to fund those. tonight on the context —
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former british ambassador to the us lord kim darroch, and former chief of staff to donald trump, mick mulvaney. perfect panel for what we will discuss this evening, looking forward to that. first, the latest headlines. the first minister of wales, vaughan gething, has resigned afterjust four months in the role. this morning, four of his labour ministers quit the welsh government, telling mr gething they could not get on with the job unless he resigned. mr gething had lost a vote of no—confidence last month, and had faced questions about a £200,000 donation he took while running to be welsh labour leader. a body found in tenerife yesterday has been identified as the missing british teenagerjay slater. the authorities there said that his death was caused by trauma consistent with a fall in a rocky area. he'd been missing forfour weeks, despite a huge search of the island.
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his mother said simply, "our hearts are broken". police in thailand are investigating the mysterious deaths of six foreign nationals whose bodies were found in a bangkok hotel suite. all six were vietnamese, and some had dual us citizenship. the door was locked and there were no signs of a struggle. jurors in manhattan have convicted the democratic party senator bob menendez at his federal trial on corruption. he was found guilty on all 16 charges, including bribery, acting as a foreign agent, and obstructing justice. prosecutors accused mr menendez of helping direct billions of dollars in us aid to egypt in return for cash, gold bars, and other bribes. in 2016, when donald trump first won the republican nomination, he was viewed as the outsider. his victory was seen then as a repudation
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of the party establishment. last night in milwaukee, where he was formally named as the candidate for a third time, it felt different — more like the fusion of trumpism with republicanism, an embrace prefectly reflected by extraoardinary reception he received, which at times was verging on some kind of religious experience. cheering
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in some ways, trump has become more republican — and in others, the gop has become more like him. the speeches from the stage were a reminder that this is now a trade protectionist party, increasingly hostile to supporting ukraine, questioning of its future role in nato, a party committed to protecting trump from any responsibility for his role onjanuary 6th. and injd vance, the former president has chosen a running mate entirely in the trump mould. i serve my country successfully in the united states marine corps i had a successful business career and i had the vision _ a successful business career and i had the vision and _ a successful business career and i had the vision and agenda - a successful business career —.ic i had the vision and agenda outline with president trump to make the american worker better off, to bring peace to the world and actually events an agenda that is good for american citizens. let's speak our panel for the first time tonight. mick, you know the man
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well, you served with him,i him, iwas him, i was struck by his demeanour last night. a lot of people have commented on it, he is very different. commented on it, he is very different-— commented on it, he is very different. ., ., , different. the word i heard used that stuck in _ different. the word i heard used that stuck in my _ different. the word i heard used that stuck in my head _ different. the word i heard used that stuck in my head was - different. the word i heard used l that stuck in my head was serene which _ that stuck in my head was serene which is _ that stuck in my head was serene which is hot — that stuck in my head was serene which is not usually a word you would — which is not usually a word you would typically use to describe donald — would typically use to describe donald trump. it may well be, listen this was— donald trump. it may well be, listen this was a _ donald trump. it may well be, listen this was a near—death experience, no questions _ this was a near—death experience, no questions about it. their pictures on the _ questions about it. their pictures on the internet of the bullet was in centimetres it passed his head and word came — centimetres it passed his head and word came down from the top of the party, _ word came down from the top of the party, which — word came down from the top of the party, which is donald trump, right after— party, which is donald trump, right after the _ party, which is donald trump, right after the attempted assassination on saturday _ after the attempted assassination on saturday that the themes of the convention would change. but the tone would change. that they would talk more _ tone would change. that they would talk more about unity and reconciliation than about fighting, so curious— reconciliation than about fighting, so curious to see if that holds but your— so curious to see if that holds but your instincts are correct, it looks in the _ your instincts are correct, it looks in the past — your instincts are correct, it looks in the past 48 hours, as if it is a slightly different donald trump.
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david _ slightly different donald trump. david lammy the new foreign secretary in the uk has metjd vance twice in recent weeks and by the polls, the labour government bought it sensible to open communication with the trump team and the prime minister decided he would bring the former president rather than send a message. we are told they spoke for about ten minutes of the weekend but they are from very different sides of the track at here a clip that is getting plenty of air time today that which reminds us of the special relationship that will need some work. i have to beat up on the uk just one additional thing. i was talking with a friend recently, and we were talking about, you know, one of the big dangers in the world of courses nuclear proliferation — though of course, the biden adminstration doesn't care about it — and i was talking about, what is the first truly islamist country that will get a nuclear weapon?
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and we were like, "maybe it's a iran, may be pakistan already kind of counts," then we finally decided, "maybe it's actually the uk, since labourjust took over." that gives you an idea of how difficult it will be.— see david lammy did a good job building some links around the figures surrounding donald trump in us quite a good call in the meeting withjd us quite a good call in the meeting with jd vance us quite a good call in the meeting withjd vance given this position he has just been given. second, withjd vance given this position he hasjust been given. second, i'm i'm glad the firm acted the phone call to trump which is different for more in the right thing to do because these things matter and i think trump will appreciate it. third, what you have seen isjd vance as a kind of tribute band to the main act of donald trump and, make it as a friend of his grateful to be on a panel with him but i'm fascinated by the logic behind choosing him because i wonder what he is bringing to the ticket if you pick tim scott
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the african—american senator fort north carolina, you would have got someone who would have brought another community with him. vance is young and obviously very smart, but i wonder what he brings to the ticket apart from the huge support of the maga band. and for us europeans, you have to deal with the pitch you are playing on and you will have to make the best of and do our best with a trump government which looks very probable now. i will get into the jd vance of what will get into thejd vance of what he brings in a second and give mick a chance to respond, but since you say you need to form this relationship, ijust wonder, let me put a picture up on screen. you will see who was at the convention, boris johnson thumbs up alongside donald trump. nigel farage is also there at the convention. as the prime
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minister, do you have to use every ability you have to get in with the trump team, if, as it looks increasingly likely, he will return for a second term? if increasingly likely, he will return for a second term?— increasingly likely, he will return for a second term? if you do, but i would not — for a second term? if you do, but i would not worry — for a second term? if you do, but i would not worry too _ for a second term? if you do, but i would not worry too much - for a second term? if you do, but i would not worry too much about i for a second term? if you do, but i i would not worry too much about boris johnson being there who apparently did a speech to probably the smallest crowd of his lifetime and the kind of environment of the convention today at nigel farage has been a long—term friend, but has four seats so i would not worry about all of the noise around the outside. do your best building your relationship with trump and there will be some smart people you can do business with the and try and get across arguments that we need to make about some of the policies trump has expanded during his campaign that caused some doubts and concerns in europe like what he said about ukraine, like what he
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sometimes says about nato. i’iiii about ukraine, like what he sometimes says about nato. i'll 'ust cuickl sometimes says about nato. i'll 'ust quickly come — sometimes says about nato. i'll 'ust quickly come backi sometimes says about nato. i'll 'ust quickly come back to i sometimes says about nato. i'll 'ust quickly come back to the i sometimes says about nato. i'll 'ust quickly come back to the point h sometimes says about nato. i'lljust quickly come back to the point on i quickly come back to the point on whatjd vance brings to the ticket, my hunch would be that, we talked about the trump co—opting the party in the fusion of trump and republican. in the fusion of trump and republican-— in the fusion of trump and republican. in the fusion of trump and re - ublican. ., ., ., in the fusion of trump and reublican. ., ., ., , republican. the word i have heard is chemist i republican. the word i have heard is chemistry i think _ republican. the word i have heard is chemistry i think by _ republican. the word i have heard is chemistry i think by picking - republican. the word i have heard is chemistry i think by picking jd - chemistry i think by picking jd vahce — chemistry i think by picking jd vance the trump team is sending a very powerful message which is they think this _ very powerful message which is they think this is — very powerful message which is they think this is their election to lose and they— think this is their election to lose and they are probably correct. back in 2016— and they are probably correct. back in 2016 donald trump had to pick mike _ in 2016 donald trump had to pick mike pence because he needs to shore up mike pence because he needs to shore up his— mike pence because he needs to shore up his support with the christian evangelical republican base. he does not need _ evangelical republican base. he does not need to do that right now. he does _ not need to do that right now. he does not — not need to do that right now. he does not have a ridiculous estate were _ does not have a ridiculous estate were picking a vice president could help him _ were picking a vice president could help him dramatically he will win 0hio _ help him dramatically he will win 0hio but — help him dramatically he will win 0hio but where jd vance is from, so i 0hio but where jd vance is from, so i don't _ 0hio but where jd vance is from, so idoh't think— 0hio but where jd vance is from, so i don't think he feels he needs to supplement the ticket. what he wants is someone _
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supplement the ticket. what he wants is someone he thinks he can work with and — is someone he thinks he can work with and if— is someone he thinks he can work with and if it _ is someone he thinks he can work with and if it is a generational type — with and if it is a generational type of— with and if it is a generational type of change, that is fine too, but trump — type of change, that is fine too, but trump has realised the only person— but trump has realised the only person he — but trump has realised the only person he cannot fire in the next term _ person he cannot fire in the next term would _ person he cannot fire in the next term would be the vice president so he wants— term would be the vice president so he wants somebody that he can work well with _ he wants somebody that he can work well with and that chemistry i think is probably the overarching reason that he _ is probably the overarching reason that he was chosen over someone like tim scott. _ that he was chosen over someone like tim scott, good friend of mine, someone — tim scott, good friend of mine, someone like marco rubio over someone — someone like marco rubio over someone like marco rubio over someone like doug programme or even nikki haley~ _ someone like doug programme or even nikki haley. donald trump got the vice president he wanted. alongside this is the former reporter blinken alongside us tonight is the former republican congressman of illinois, rodney davis. probably heard us talk about the extraordinary reception trump got last night in the hall, very different from his first in 2016. i was at the convention in 2016 and last night was reminiscent of the first night of the convention in 2004 with the incumbent president george w. bush. it is good to hear
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from my good friend make again and to make and i are probably surprised that the republican party is as unified as it has ever been and donald trump is doing what he should do post debate and post tragic assassination attempt. he is toning down the temperature, toning down the rhetoric. he setting an example for the american people giving them a reason to be very comfortable with supporting him. share a reason to be very comfortable with sopporting him-— supporting him. are north america editor sarah _ supporting him. are north america editor sarah smith _ supporting him. are north america editor sarah smith described - supporting him. are north america editor sarah smith described it - supporting him. are north america editor sarah smith described it as l editor sarah smith described it as messianic wind and i heard that this morning, it sounded a bit over—the—top, then i saw the clip of senator scott preaching from the stage. have a listen. because on saturday the devil came to pennsylvania holding a rifle, but an american lion got back up on his feet and he roared! cheering. oh, yeah!
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america 0nline has a connotation, the second coming in the eyes of senator scott. —— lion. why do you think the party feel such a connection to donald trump when he has not always been a natural republican? i has not always been a natural republican?— has not always been a natural reublican? . ., , republican? i will let an answer that senator _ republican? i will let an answer that senator scott _ republican? i will let an answer that senator scott question - republican? i will let an answer. that senator scott question since republican? i will let an answer- that senator scott question since he knows him a lot better than i do, but the republican party has changed. the republican party has become more of a party in many aspects that is different from the party than when mick and i were serving together in congress was up it is become more polarised as our nation has become more polarised and thatis nation has become more polarised and that is reflective of the american voters. also reflective of the fact that we have constant focus and a 24 hour news cycle, focused on nothing but the political differences that we have here in america, rather than talking about the many more of times that republicans and democrats in washington agree on issues. what
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washington agree on issues. what about jd vance? _ washington agree on issues. what about jd vance? we _ washington agree on issues. what about jd vance? we were - washington agree on issues. what aboutjd vance? we were discussing how much he is of the trump mould, turning up the temperature in much the same way. telling us it would be a unity convention, preaching it from the stage, but he is not a unity candidate, is he? ida. from the stage, but he is not a unity candidate, is he? no, why would you _ unity candidate, is he? no, why would you say — unity candidate, is he? no, why would you say he _ unity candidate, is he? no, why would you say he is _ unity candidate, is he? no, why would you say he is not - unity candidate, is he? no, why would you say he is not a - unity candidate, is he? no, why would you say he is not a unity. would you say he is not a unity candidate, i think that is a perception that's completely false. as kim has described come he's deeply opposed to spending more money on ukraine and probably two thirds of the republican party support more money ukraine. ads, thirds of the republican party support more money ukraine. a vice resident support more money ukraine. a vice president does _ support more money ukraine. a vice president does not _ support more money ukraine. a vice president does not determine - support more money ukraine. ce: president does not determine what the final outcome is when it comes to policy decisions and spending decisions. forsomething is to policy decisions and spending decisions. for something is up to the legislative branch. i think it is very short—sighted to say thatjd vance is a divisive vice presidential candidate and i think this as mick said earlier, this is a comfort factor for president trump, someone who believes he will speak
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to the same vision that he has to. and president trump has said numerous times, he has concerns about the ukraine funding that i supported when i was in congress. look at, we will have these debates within the republican party, we will have these debates within the republican and democratic party. there are democrats who feel the exact same way about ukraine funding that jd exact same way about ukraine funding thatjd vance has done. but let's also remember, the speaker of the house mikejohnson, he voted one way before he was speaker and then realised the dire situation of what was happening and ukraine and what vladimir putin is capable of and he helped shepherd in record funding just a few months ago. if helped shepherd in record funding just a few months ago. iijid helped shepherd in record funding just a few months ago. iij vance a- eals to just a few months ago. iij vance appeals to the _ just a few months ago. iij vance appeals to the base _ just a few months ago. iij vance appeals to the base and _ just a few months ago. iij vance appeals to the base and widens i just a few months ago. iij vance appeals to the base and widens of| appeals to the base and widens of the base, i thought one of the interesting guests they brought to the stage last night was the teamster president sean 0'brien, we've never had a teamster president speak to the republican convention
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before and it really underlines how the party is changing. let's have a listen to what he said in the reaction he got which is interesting. the american people aren't stupid, they know the system is broken. we all know how washington is run. working people have no chance of winning this fight. that's why i am here today. because i refuse to keep doing the same things my predecessors did. cheering. today, today the teamsters are here to say we are not beholden to anyone or any party. mick, it is a fascinating excerpt into the thinking of the trump camp on what they need to do, particularly in the swing states. here's part of his posts on his social media site yesterday
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saying... the strategy, seemingly is to chip away at the biden base, the organised labour which forms a key part of that democratic support. and part of that democratic support. and jd vance is probably uniquely situated _ jd vance is probably uniquely situated to do that, coming up from very poor— situated to do that, coming up from very poor beginnings in ohio, the rust— very poor beginnings in ohio, the rust belt— very poor beginnings in ohio, the rust belt of the united states of america — rust belt of the united states of america and it is widely expected he will spend _ america and it is widely expected he will spend most of his time in those sort of— will spend most of his time in those sort of blue—collar communities that voted _ sort of blue—collar communities that voted for— sort of blue—collar communities that voted for ronald rankin in 1980 and then donald trump once in this election— then donald trump once in this election cycle. there are two types of unions _ election cycle. there are two types of unions the government workers uhiohs _ of unions the government workers uhiohs the — of unions the government workers unions the service workers union and the manufacturing union workers. the government— the manufacturing union workers. the government unions are gone, they're solidly— government unions are gone, they're solidly democratic, but there is a real battle — solidly democratic, but there is a real battle for the other two and union— real battle for the other two and union workers, not the leadership of them _ union workers, not the leadership of them which — union workers, not the leadership of them which of the democrat party, but donald trump thinks he can reach
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out and _ but donald trump thinks he can reach out and get _ but donald trump thinks he can reach out and get votes from blue—collar workers _ out and get votes from blue—collar workers in — out and get votes from blue—collar workers in factories and from service — workers in factories and from service workers. some of the reasons you saw _ service workers. some of the reasons you saw him — service workers. some of the reasons you saw him proposed to and taxation on tipping, _ you saw him proposed to and taxation on tipping, it— you saw him proposed to and taxation on tipping, it is a big deal in las vegas _ on tipping, it is a big deal in las vegas where a lot of folks of folks work _ vegas where a lot of folks of folks work for _ vegas where a lot of folks of folks work for tips in our a member of the service _ work for tips in our a member of the service workers union. unions will be a _ service workers union. unions will be a battleground in those battleground states and jd vance fits that — battleground states and jd vance fits that operation very nicely. rodney davis. not all business was pleased with the announcement last night, murdoch paying a lot of attention, lobbied hard for donald trump not to pick a jd vance and it has set off some panic amongst republican donors because they look at his policies on trade, tariffs, labour and antitrust and they believe that could be damaging to big business. how do you seeit? damaging to big business. how do you see it? i damaging to big business. how do you see it? ., �* ~' ' , see it? i don't think he differs much from — see it? i don't think he differs much from donald _ see it? i don't think he differs much from donald trump - see it? i don't think he differs i
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much from donald trump osman much from donald trump 0sman viewpoint on many of those issues. many donors are then going to have a binary choice between the existing biden policies as our tax code changes that we implemented in 2018 begin to expire in 2025, are we going to have a biden administration try to address this expiring individual tax rates and other tax provisions, or did they prefer to have donald trump back in the white house to work with republicans to be able to address this tax code changes. frankly, for business people, when it comes to economic issues, it seems to be pretty simple choice between president trump and president biden. when you talk about blue—collar labour, this has been an ongoing phenomenon over the last decade. i can remember running for congress in 2012, being told by united auto workers at the caterpillar facility in decatur illinois that they would never vote for me because i was republican. by the end of my service in congress, the end of my service in congress, the same union workers were
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reminding me when they did not think i was republican enough.— reminding me when they did not think i was republican enough. always good to net our i was republican enough. always good to get your thoughts, _ i was republican enough. always good to get your thoughts, rodney - i was republican enough. always good to get your thoughts, rodney davis, . to get your thoughts, rodney davis, thank you for coming onto the programme. we will talk plenty more about the implications of this for europe and the wider world the break. around the world, you are watching bbc news.
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it is fair to say europe was already panicked about a second trump presidency, concerned the us will cut off aid to ukraine if he were to win a second trip. and then came the annoncement that jd vance would be his running mate. as we have discussed, the ohio senator is one of the most isolationist members of the republican party, vehemently opposed to using more funds to help ukraine. 0ne senior eu official, who was granted anonymity to speak to politico on monday, said the appointment of vance was a "disaster" for ukraine — and, by extension, for the european union. here's vance speaking on ukraine in a fox news interview.
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russia would not have invaded ukraine if donald trump had been president. everybody agrees with that, even a lot of my democratic colleagues privately agree with that. but here's the issue, is we now have spent $200 billion. what's the goal? what are we trying to accomplish? is there a risk of an escalation into nuclear war? because there is when you have a buffoon running foreign policy and we have a lot of them right now in washington, dc. i think what president trump has promised to do is go in there, negotiate with the russians and ukrainians, bring this thing to a rapid close so america can focus on the real issue, which is china. that is the biggest threat for our country, and we are completely distracted from it. the theme of the convention today is that make america safe again, but if you were to speak to donald on this issue, he would say that kind of appeasement, which would be his word of russia, does not keep america safe, that russia will not stop at the borders of ukraine and they are already preparing in poland for a ukrainian, how do you make that
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argument to the americans if it is a donald trump presidency? it’s a argument to the americans if it is a donald trump presidency? it's a good ruestion, i donald trump presidency? it's a good question, i think _ donald trump presidency? it's a good question, i think the _ donald trump presidency? it's a good question, i think the word _ question, i think the word appeasement is not out of place given that, if you stop american weapons shipments to ukraine and say to zelensky, do a deal with putin now, it would involve surrounding a large chunk of ukrainian territory to putin, so appeasement is an appropriate word. what are the arguments that can be made to donald trump about stopping this. because i think vans is going to be a key player in this debate —— vance. and it is about whether he wants to be the president to lose ukraine and hands putin a big victory a launch pad he will be to move on into other parts of eastern europe. i think, in
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the end, enough europeans, first of all do more in terms of weapons to help ukraine, but second, your place in history is not to be the man who lost ukraine, but to be the man who supported western policy on ukraine and eventually delivered a deal which kept ukraine as a sovereign country, then that might that was the argument that david cameron made to donald trump and the argument that david cameron made to donald trum— to donald trump and mar-a-lago some months auo to donald trump and mar-a-lago some months ago when _ to donald trump and mar-a-lago some months ago when they _ to donald trump and mar-a-lago some months ago when they stalled - to donald trump and mar-a-lago some months ago when they stalled over- months ago when they stalled over payments to ukraine, do you think that would wash this time? i payments to ukraine, do you think that would wash this time?- that would wash this time? i think it is a fair conversation _ that would wash this time? i think it is a fair conversation to - that would wash this time? i think it is a fair conversation to hide. i it is a fair conversation to hide. in it is a fair conversation to hide. in fact — it is a fair conversation to hide. in fact i — it is a fair conversation to hide. in fact i know what donald trump will ask— in fact i know what donald trump will ask which is what is the long—term plan here. i heard my good friend _ long—term plan here. i heard my good friend kim, _ long—term plan here. i heard my good friend kim, i_ long—term plan here. i heard my good friend kim, iasked ifi long—term plan here. i heard my good friend kim, i asked if i was posted say kim _ friend kim, i asked if i was posted
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say kim or— friend kim, i asked if i was posted say kim or board, —— lord. i say kim or board, —— lord. alternate. say kim or board, —— lord. i alternate. yeah, congressman or rodney davis, never know. what alternate. yeah, congressman or rodney davis, never know. what does the end of this — rodney davis, never know. what does the end of this look _ rodney davis, never know. what does the end of this look like? _ rodney davis, never know. what does the end of this look like? does - rodney davis, never know. what does the end of this look like? does it i the end of this look like? does it look— the end of this look like? does it look like — the end of this look like? does it look like russia giving up all of its ground it has taken in ukraine, trythe— its ground it has taken in ukraine, try the way, — its ground it has taken in ukraine, by the way, does that include crimea, — by the way, does that include crimea, that is a conversation i do not believe — crimea, that is a conversation i do not believe we have had in a wild. does _ not believe we have had in a wild. does ukraine have the ability deed to do— does ukraine have the ability deed to do that — does ukraine have the ability deed to do that with only ukrainian soldiers — to do that with only ukrainian soldiers or do we have to commit western— soldiers or do we have to commit western soldiers to accomplish that. ithink— western soldiers to accomplish that. i think those discussions are fair to have, — i think those discussions are fair to have, if— i think those discussions are fair to have, if you're going to write a check _ to have, if you're going to write a check for — to have, if you're going to write a check for $60 billion as we have 'ust check for $60 billion as we have just done, — check for $60 billion as we have just done, i think you have a chance to discuss — just done, i think you have a chance to discuss so — just done, i think you have a chance to discuss. sol just done, i think you have a chance to discuss. so i think those are compositions that donald trump is going _ compositions that donald trump is going to _ compositions that donald trump is going to want to have. not to say that he _ going to want to have. not to say that he will cut a deal in 24 hours with putin. — that he will cut a deal in 24 hours with putin. i_ that he will cut a deal in 24 hours with putin, i don't think that will happen — with putin, i don't think that will ha en. �* ., with putin, i don't think that will ha en. �* . ., with putin, i don't think that will ha en. �* ., ., ., ,, happen. and then we have to talk with zelensky _ happen. and then we have to talk with zelensky and _ happen. and then we have to talk with zelensky and i _ happen. and then we have to talk with zelensky and i do _ happen. and then we have to talk with zelensky and i do what i happen. and then we have to talk with zelensky and i do what he i with zelensky and i do what he wants to do. we will go to a short break and on the other side must talk aboutjoe biden and the nbc
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interview last night. we will be right back. hello there. things did brighten up a bit today, but still, temperatures peaked at around 20 or 21 degrees. we've also seen some heavy showers developing in scotland and northern parts of england as well, but once those move away overnight, the next few days, the rest of the week looking much more promising with drier and warmer weather on the way as well. and that's mainly because we're going to replace low pressure with high pressure that's moving in from the southwest — that's going to bring with it those rise in temperatures. still some heavy showers though this evening across eastern scotland and north east england to finally move away into the north sea. the showers elsewhere will fade away more quickly. skies will clear as it becomes drier overnight and temperatures will dip away to around 10 or 11 degrees — a few short—lived mist and fog patches in western areas. heading into tomorrow, though, on the whole, a sunny start and a lovely day on the way. temperatures will rise quickly.
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that will lead to some cloud development, and there's just the risk of one or two light showers, but on the whole, it should be dry and with light winds and some sunshine, it's going to feel a lot warmer and temperatures are going to be a few degrees higher than what we saw today. we could actually reach 25 degrees on wednesday afternoon for the first time this month. 25 is not particularly impressive for this time of the year, but we're going to find temperatures getting higher than that later on in the week. there is a weather front in the northwest that's going to bring some cloud and some patchy rain, but ahead of that, we're drawing in southerly breezes, bringing us these higher temperatures. with that weather front, we've got this cloud across scotland, northern ireland, through the irish sea, with most of the showers, england and wales seeing more in the way of sunshine again. those temperatures continuing to rise, reaching 27 degrees, actually, in the south east of england. it's not going to be as warm as that in scotland and northern ireland, and there'll still be more cloud here, at least to start with on friday. any rain becoming confined to the walls of far northwest may well brighten up.
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but again, it's across england and wales where we'll see the drier weather with more sunshine and those temperatures continuing to rise. the warmth may push a little bit further north, but the highest temperatures, 29 or 30 degrees, are likely in the southeast. is it going to last? well, unfortunately, it looks like things are going to change over the weekend. some wet weather developing, pushing eastwards and dropping the temperatures.
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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. president biden insists he is up to the job and says trump choosing jd vance as his running mate is no surprise. while donald trump was accepting his party's nomination in milwaukee last night, joe biden was sitting for an interview with nbc, part of the ongoing clean—up after his disastrous debate with trump earlier this month, and still confronting the question that refuses to go away. will he be his party's nominee when the democrats meet in five weeks' time? is there a sense of wanting to get back on the horse? i'm on the horse. where have you been? i've done 22 major events with thousands of people, overwhelming crowds.
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a lot's happening. i'm on the horse.

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