the kremlin is informed that behind-the-scenes negotiations are underway, in which putin initiated, that russia is ready to stop at the existing borders. yes, yes, but it’s no secret that putin has always talked about the possibility of negotiations. now that it is not the russian side, but european officials who have come to bow, his words about the negotiations sound even more confident. i quote an american newspaper. we will not give up

what belongs to us, putin promised, adding dismissively that if they want to negotiate, let them negotiate. i believe, having a weak negotiating position, it is unlikely that this phrase would sound exactly like that. as a result of the northern military district , territories along the dnieper, along the chernigov, sumy, and poltava regions will most likely go to russia, and nikolaev and odessa will be added to this. since they are considered original russian, i named the hypothetical situation in bukovina and transcarpathia, and as for the rest of the territory, most likely, in order to maintain a balance of reducing radicalism , it will be divided into two countries - ukraine and western ukraine. residents of the latter will only be happy dreamed of this since the beginning of the 20th century, practically a paradise for bandera, while the territory will most likely exist under the protectorate of poland. subsequently

, it is possible that a referendum will be held there and western ukraine will become part of poland, but this is if the poles forget the historical enmity and the volyn massacre. but in general, the serpentarium in the form of a free and independent western ukraine and poland should cause maximum discomfort. central ukraine will remain under the protectorate of russia, may it remain kiev, zhytomyr, cherkassy, ​​kirovograd regions. here's what. as for turkish interests in ukraine, this is, of course, unlikely; after the transition of crimea to russia, ankara was very unhappy, because the peninsula belonged to the ottomans for three centuries. according to open sources, on october 20, 2020 , turkish president recep erdogan publicly stated that russia unfairly took crimea from the ottoman empire in 1783, and these lands should be returned to modern turkey.

which is a continuation of the empire. the odessa port is also of interest to the turks, so they are trying to promote their desire during behind-the-scenes negotiations, but the odessa region will not be given to them, they need it themselves. although it seems that during the failed counter-offensive in the ssu, erdogan backed the wrong horse and decided to contribute to the victory of ukraine in exchange for territory. he handed over the commanders of the national guard to azov. which, until the end of the northern military district, by agreement with russia, were not supposed to stick their noses out of the turkish sands. this happened a month later after the start of the so-called counter-offensive of the armed forces of ukraine. coincidence? if we consider that the west already wants to end the war, then negotiations are already underway, only they will be conducted on russia’s terms, that is, on the terms of the winner. now neither the interests of the west nor the interests of ukraine.

no one is interested in the fate of zelensky, because the situation is predictable and it is not in favor of bandera, not in favor of the western nazis, but this is different, yaksinia lebezeva was with you, see you in the next program. in the next few minutes we will only talk about sports. hello. let's start with hockey. capital dynamo in minskan today continued the khl regular season with a match against a car.

for the second time in the group stage of the seha-league of the east division, brest plays to a draw with zenit. on the eve of the club, the world championship was scheduled in

st. petersburg 33:33, and the current champion remained in the role of catching up until the last minutes, and therefore the won point is a good result for the team in... brest ended the outgoing year the day before, and it turned out to be eventful for the team, namely meshkovites, current winners of sekhali in the division east, again champions of belarus and winners of the country's super cup. everything is in order in the current tournaments, all the leagues in their group of defeats are not known only by swearing, although on monday evening the team of eduard kaksharov was tense.

easy goals, we scored several times, we began to play a little better in defense, so due to this we managed to equalize. the meeting of the teams in brest also ended in peace, but the teams scored fewer goals, 32:32. after seven games, the mishkovites have 11 points, four wins and three draws. this is the first

line of group a. only one match remains until the end of the group stage of the tournament. january 23 at home against the perm bears. before that, on the 13th and 17th of this month , the breshchanians will play with guftsk and kronon , respectively, in the belarusian championship. a trio of belarusian tennis players will compete in the qualifications of the first grand slam tournament of the australian open season. ilya ivashka is in the men's singles draw, while the girls have irina shimanovich and yulia cooking. qualification starts on january 8. in the main draw of the australian open.

and entire families, and some even took their pets with them. this christmas race was held for the twelfth time, and the organizers donate all the money raised to the red cross. that 's all for now, love sports, work hard and win, happy holidays.

far from the bustle of the city, here are your roots , your strength, go forward to come to yourself, slow down and enjoy the moment. and the direction will be suggested by the elements, every step, unity with nature, wild, ancient, our own, fir tree. belarus inspires.

hello, the program “say don’t be silent” is on air, victoria popova and tatyana shcherbina are in the studio. and today our guest is analyst of the belarusian institute of strategic studies, economist alexey avdonin. good afternoon. good afternoon. hello, alexey. the british publication the economist recently published a new magazine with a cover in the form of a graphic rebus. this is a kind of forecast for 2024 in the form of such riddles and drawings of symbols. and after the publication of this issue, the entire public began to solve all these puzzles, to look for meanings. well, with your help we will try to figure it out. what exactly are the key trends expected in 2024? main.

must be accepted, but you correctly noted that their main trend is laid right in

the center, this symbol is 8 6 8, if we show the picture again, we can see that this number 868 is laid right in the center, and what does this mean and where did it come from, this is a reference to the famous film of the fourteenth year, which was registered in the guinness book of records for the largest number curses, verbal curses, there are just 868 of them, but why this one? the figure was used in this rebus, this just means that the elections will not be easy, the old elites are leaving, new ones are coming, there will be a struggle between them, naturally, this will be a struggle expressed in certain disagreements and media disagreements, on some television platforms , in newspapers,

leaking some information to one politician or another, that is, the struggle will be difficult, and of course this will be accompanied by certain curses, but that’s why they lay down and say that the twenty-fourth year is the year of election campaigns in a huge number of countries of the world, more than seventy, in my opinion, and it’s not for nothing that this number is six, and here is 866, it is made in the form of a cube with six sides, yes, but this kupa also represents the ballot box.

world will grow, what is this connected with, it is clear that each country is trying to maintain leadership in the economy, in finance, and at the same time crush its competitor, we see how the united states of america together with their satellites are trying to introduce more and more sanctions, not only against china, but also against russia, against belarus, against certain...

technologies, all the sanctions that have been introduced against china over the past, probably 7 years, starting with biden, the sixteenth year, they were all aimed at suppressing the possibility of transferring advanced technologies to china, and what technologies are primarily related to microelectronics, the production of ultra-small, ultra-fast conductors, the creation of the so-called artificial... the sun or taka poppies , this is research in the field of atomic energy, this is research in the field of space, all this is being done for a reason, in order to not give the opportunity to either china, or russia, or us, and not to make a technological breakthrough , in the concept of national security

of the united states of america from december twenty-two, here is literally the latest, fresh, technology block was placed in black and white, before it did not exist, now they have written it down, indicating that technology is the main factor maintaining the leadership of the united states of america, everything must be done to prevent other countries from obtaining technology; moreover, it is very, very clearly stated that technology, the carriers of technology, are people. employees, specialists, scientists, we need to maximize the number of specialists in the field of stem. stem is the natural sciences, that is, mathematics, physics, chemistry.

we will not hold a scientific conference now, it is important to say that the united states of america is trying to slow down the technological development of china, both russia and us, but in reality this is an illusion, you see, this is how they sat down, sat in the office, this is how we are now drinking tea at the table, and we are talking like this, who are our enemies, yeah, here we go, so that they it was good for us, it was bad for them, let's figure it out at the beginning. then we’ll tell our managers there to start implementing this concept through sanctions and so on, but this is an illusion, the concept of our national security, but you know, because just as you can’t keep

the technological process of human development, you can’t prevent someone from this you can’t give technology, it will still somehow escape, especially since we have already decided that technology is people, and billions of chinese people can somehow be kept in the american basket. it will be very difficult, of course, accordingly, all this can, this confrontation can lead to some negative consequences in the global economy, that is, are there any financial turmoil awaiting us, experts are trying to speculate on whether the dollar will collapse, well, yes , that is, to put it bluntly - where to invest money, but at the same time these same experts give the answer. that uh, of course, the natural equivalent of value throughout the history of mankind, that is , for more than 40 thousand years, and realized somewhere

around 12-14,000 years, gold was the natural equivalent of value. in simple words, if we take gold, for example, 12,000 years ago and bring it here, for this gold, we are still here, now, at this time. we’ll buy whatever we want, and if we take some paper money there from the 9th century and bring it here, well, it’s clear that are worth nothing, yes, so it is here , the most important problem for the world economy , world finance, is, of course, this topic, but what should act as a new equivalent of value, yes, when they say, let's come up with a new currency, brix, let's create it will be a new currency for... everyone , let's make the yuan a world currency, yes, but the currency must be a world currency, have certain properties, first of all, the main property is the ability, well, of course, as

a means of payment, that is, it must be accepted in all countries of the world, secondly, it must have free movement, that is , enter and exit the country and from any country, the yuan does not have these properties, it must immediately be recognized that the yuan is an extremely limited in its properties monetary units that are used in payments, but in that including only among limited countries, but it cannot go out and become a world currency, due to the restrictions that exist in china itself and in the chinese economy, this must be openly said and recognized, and at the same time it must be said that brix will create a world currency. will become a replacement dollar right here now. well , there is no need to say that some bitcoins, cryptocurrencies will become a world currency, that is, we still come to the conclusion that at the moment the dollar and its

derivatives in the form of the euro are used as world currencies, but the problem with the dollar is a little different, in any financial economic model. a balance is maintained between goods and money, and just in 2012 this balance in the united states of america was disrupted, it was then that the external debt exceeded the volume of gdp usa, now this external debt is more than 130, there it is 127, some say, well, approximately 130% of gdp, that is, 30 times. more, that is, imagine actually growing by 30% in 11 years, that is, the economy of the united states of america does not keep up with

this mass, and if... the cost of producing a hundred dollar bill is in the region of 12 to 15 cents and well, round up to 10 cents let's compare the equivalent of 100 dollars and 10 cents , how much is the marginalized novar, a thousand percent, introduce yourself, this is 100% they every time they are confiscated, they go there to the united states of america, of course, this model does not suit everyone, this is a model according to...

they said anyway, they will ask you what kind of economist, so in what currency should i keep my money? yes, we will touch on gold a little, yes, because everyone will now run to jewelry stores to buy gold, but gold is always valued first of all , monetary gold, monetary gold is those that our banks sell, it has 999 fineness, it these are the same ingots, yes they are ingots, yes but... you also need to invest in buying bullion very carefully, you need to understand the value of gold, how it grows, at what price you can buy this bullion, at what price to sell it, where to invest , first of all, you know, they always ask where to invest, you need to invest in yourself , in your children, in your health, so that you can live longer, be more with your children, grandchildren,

give the next generation... more to them, so you should always consider money as a means to achieve some goals, and not for in order to save, while completely destroying your life, your way of life due to some kind of savings, i agree, that is, money should work, however, well, after all, for the economy of belarus, what the coming year has in store, i know that you don’t like fortune telling

economics, of course, it is important for us that our products are sold abroad, since we sell them abroad, it means that we have an influx of foreign currency, yes, we earn it, all this dynamics is fully reflected, will be reflected in our statistical data, we currently have, imagine, gdp is growing with at a rate of 3.8%, that is, about 4% , the gold and foreign exchange reserves are growing, it... is already more than 8 billion 250 million dollars, in my opinion, at the same time industry is growing at a colossal rate of 8%, all this will continue in the twenty-fourth year, these are so high the pace will continue, why? because belarus maintains the balance that we talked about about the usa, it maintains the balance of production of goods and services

and the balance of finances, we earn money on... in foreign markets, we accumulate this money at home, like a safety cushion, we direct it to new projects, new technologies, create new enterprises for infrastructure. roads, schools, universities, medical centers, and thereby develop our society, that is, we are implementing the so-called smart economy, but let’s remember our president, what is the most important factor he said, what is important for us is speed, yes, you can talk and plan for a long time , to expect that we will have everything, in the end, if we are not prompt, do not quickly make decisions, promote our products, then of course we may not see such results, we must understand that there is no other economy, and there is no other,

no other existence, we are now in the conditions of transformation of the world economy, in these conditions some leave, those who cannot rebuild, and those who are more mobile, more come. .. flexible, have high speed, they will occupy a good market position in the coming years, this is our goal in itself, our movement, so i think the twenty-fourth year will be a wonderful year with higher rates of economic growth, an excellent forecast, alexey, thank you, let’s not breathe on him, let’s take a break, i remind you that we have a telegram channel. say, don’t be silent, subscribe, ask questions and suggest guests. we are connections.

meeting people worthy of admiration gives a lot of useful emotions, impressions, new contacts, enthusiasm, and the opportunity for creativity. i brought this citrus tree as a gift to the staff of the botanical garden and visitors - a unique citrus - this is decapon. they will talk about themselves and their hobbies. that is, it turns out like this this is the flour that is used in feed for farm animals and for domestic animals. we have a citron, in general it is larger than a human head, it grows. when i was carrying his fetus at the airport, they even scared me, they thought that i was carrying it. they will also share a secret. your success, determination or activity, this is hard work, the lazy, the lazy usually do not achieve anything great, finally love, but it is very important to understand for yourself that this is where you

grew up, who you came from, what kind of startup you came from and what company you came from? look belarus project on the belarus 24 tv channel in the center of events is a charismatic presenter, and two active teams, i often give hints to the participants in our game, but they still build a tower, because i suggest the wrong answers, my name is vasya chekhov, this is a show tower, we are starting, they will compete for the right to become the best in this game. in the first round, i will ask questions to the teams in turn, each team will have its own question, and you discuss it a little, 10-15 seconds, put forward some version, if the version turns out to be correct, the team earns one point, and if it is incorrect, it goes here to the center. and builds a tower from one element, which country is unofficially called the land of morning freshness? let's say that khrudsky , khrutsky, i accept this answer from the reshetniks , build a tower, tricky questions, ingenuity, cunning, and of course, building a tower, and

polina, please build a tower, the first element, nothing bad happened, you just decided to build, well, that’s great, watch the intellectual program, the tower is on our channel, on the air again, say don’t be silent, we’re visiting analyst at the belarusian institute for strategic studies, economist alexey avdanin. the other day, at a meeting of the un general assembly, a resolution was adopted. russian federation on preventing the glorification of nazism, which, in general, allows us to hope that the world will not go crazy and that the memory of the feat of the red army and the soviet people will

still be maintained, in fact, what we are doing, and i would like in connection with this , tell our viewers such an interesting fact from your biography, but probably little known. we learned that your father, alexey vasilyevich ovdonin fought in the great patriotic war, it was his father, not his grandfather, you are a late child, and your father was 57 years old when you appeared, what did your father tell you about? tank school added 2 years to himself and in order to enter the ulyanovsk tank school, in fact, when the war began, their group, their training platoon, studied, only graduation was made at an accelerated rate in december of the forty-first year 20. december 2, the forty -first year, and after that they went to

receive new t-34 tanks in the forty-second year , already in february, march, april, they were fighting in north of moscow, in april on april 6-7, my father was seriously wounded, the tank was knocked out, and he, well, he, of course, was not just an ordinary tanker, he was the commander...

of a group near moscow, then near voronezh, here near voronezh my father was still very seriously wounded, after that he was completely burned, with burnt lungs, face, crooked fingers, they wanted to put him in combat, but they decided to reassign him as responsible for mechanics, tank mechanics, and after that he already... served in transbaikalia and so it happened,

that already in 1945 he had to fight, among other things, with the kwantung army, and therefore his father also has military orders, two orders of the red star for participation in hostilities, two orders of the patriotic war and medals, including medals. for the victory over germany, when stalin looks west towards germany and for the victory over japan , when stalin looks east, so my father , of course, raised me in these traditions of understanding and knowledge of that difficult period and what soviet power meant, soviet. a union for everything soviet

people, yes, we will not divide the russian, belarusian, for the entire soviet people, because if they had not survived then, it is clear that the fascist machine would have destroyed everyone, the genocide would have been the most terrible, the destruction would have been the most terrible, in principle there was no such thing if the country were no longer belarus or russia, in principle we would not exist, because... there was only one orientation, towards harsh destruction and suppression. subsequently , after the war, my father continued to serve in the armed forces of the soviet union and graduated from the academy armored forces named after stalin, at that time it was now called after frundze , then it began to be called, and he, among other things, was the commander in separate tank divisions and... at one time he participated in

operations important for the soviet union, but we will not mention them, because everything is still about them, all the documents have not been disclosed, well , your father admitted that if not for the war, he would have become an artist, he painted in oil on canvas, here are his paintings, but we can see, but you do you notice any talents in yourself? artistic, in reality this is the father. where did he manage to draw so well, he himself is from moscow, and his father, that is, my grandfather, studied at that moment, this is the twentieth. the thirties in moscow on baumanka, at baumanka university, and there they had a dormitory, as for - students, applicants, because what kind of students, they all went through the civil war, my grandfather went to classes with a revolver with a saber, you know, with personal names , besides, there

on baumanka, in one of the buildings there was a master in the basement, they were painting posters, various, slogans, posters, and in the evenings they made a living by making copies of all famous paintings, my father, when he was 10-11 years old there, so as not to go with various punks and not end up in some kind of criminal case, he went there to this, well, you can call it a studio. if now in modern language, and his masters were taught to completely make copies of any paintings, besides, well, he still had to have some kind of predisposition, yes, of course, this is a talent in reality, only after when my father retired, he could do it from small

reproductions, because back then, what kind of printing was there, just when the collapse of the soviet union was happening, well, nothing like that, but he could do it from old reproductions. from magazines, and anything they show by kovsky or rembrandt , whatever you want, he could scale it from a small reproduction to make any picture in perfect proportions, you notice some talents in yourself, you have a desire, of course, the ability to draw, to prepare canvases , but what is important for drawing is that it is time, you understand, in order to be able to do this, you are waiting for a happy retirement, right? well, to be honest, when they ask me, i can make originals, well, no, i’m sorry, not originals, make copies, i can make copies of those paintings - any, well, not absolutely any, of course i need to train, but in terms of aivazovsky, please, yes, we will

know that now we can turn to you not only for economic forecasts, but for gifts from relatives, now there are colors. the whole palette, now the possibilities are much wider, you can depict, remake, but here, now they have also been preserved, but you know, they always ask, this is art, artists, it will die when artificial intelligence appears, because they paint such pictures, what for? these artists, but in reality we must understand that the artist always conveys the soul, but my father always said that depending on who you paint the picture for, he just painted for acquaintances, or even friends, it is not for sale painted, and he says, if

a person has a bad soul, the painting will not work, it’s just that it won’t work, paint and oil will leak, it won’t work, that’s the picture. always feels a person, yeah, a very interesting part of your biography, alexey , it turns out that one day we need to dedicate an issue to your personal life, thank you very much, of course, for coming to us, and let’s hope that those pictures that you will give us in the future if you write and speak, they will show very good results, because we come to you with an open soul and feel the same response to us, you always come to... for which we thank you very much and separately. tatyana shcherbina, victoria popova, we say goodbye to you for today, goodbye. goodbye, alexey avdonin is speaking now. i congratulate everyone on the new year holidays, the main thing is health to you, your family, well-being, development, formation, and most importantly, believe in

yourself, believe in the future, it will be bright, carefree for us, but most importantly, it should only be founded. on your efforts, your aspirations and your goals. alexey, well, in a picture painted by artificial intelligence, i’ll ask you to write for us too something good big. on the air again, don’t be silent, and today our

guest is the analyst of the belarusian institute of strategic studies, economist, alexey avdonin. it seems like we’ve had a rest, alexey, from the pandemic, we’ve already managed to exhale that the coronavirus has passed, but suddenly news from china that some new terrible diseases are coming again, another pandemic awaits us, this is propaganda.

most likely, but we cannot say that this is some kind of pandemic or some kind of provocation of the americans again, and these are the phenomena

which, in principle, have always accompanied humanity, it all depends, of course , on how modern medicine responds to these challenges, and as for natural disasters, which is also mentioned in this prediction by economists, that a series of... different conditions, yes , sudden changes in human conditions, it will intensify, they say that people’s habitat will change, this is an increase in temperature or vice versa, a sharp cold snap, or floods, or volcanoes, or earthquakes, in the end people will need change your place of residence, and most importantly, what are these things for...

then i also contacted colleagues from china, asked if there was a strong earthquake, he says, well, not so much an earthquake, but an extremely low temperature, which led to frostbite people, yes, that is, we see several factors, on the one hand , the earthquake factor, the other factor is extremely anomalous low temperatures for this area, which lead to the death of people, well, of course. that the state is forced in these conditions to take emergency measures, allocate

additional funding to eliminate all these cataclysms , remember the events that just a few weeks ago there was a storm in the black sea, which led to great destruction, everything is in these predictions, well , let's call them that, but the british in this magazine have them registered. says that natural disasters, or epidemics, pandemics, they will lead to the most important thing: the state may not be able to cope with these new conditions, and will gradually lose trust among the population, and its this trust can be taken over by large corporations , banks, and this is right in the text and this is not a very good forecast, but they, you know, always tend to exaggerate and draw what is important to them, yes, that is, they lead to what, to what thought, already over the course of probably

the last 30 years, they lead to only one thought.

will control, this first of all suggests that currently large banks, corporations, investment companies will invest more and more money in artificial intelligence, what does this mean, so that it’s easier to explain to our viewers and not go into some kind of conspiracy theories and stories about terminators , doomsday, uh, in reality. this is a natural process, and any enterprise or company owner, he always focuses on reducing costs, over the past 400 years of the development of the capitalist method of producing goods and services, we have observed all this, in the beginning there were water machines, yes, which received movement from rivers, for example , then steam, then electricity and so on and so forth, yes, all this was

aimed at reducing the number. manual labor to replace it with machine labor, but until a certain point it was impossible to replace the work of engineers, designers who developed all this, and at the same time, the question had to arise whether it was possible to replace designers and engineers, and they said: no, it’s impossible, we have there are no such possibilities, because these are complex processes, mathematics, physics, chemistry, calculations, now thanks to artificial...

feed, draw, issue a drawing, now with the use of artificial intelligence it takes, well, about two weeks to develop completely, and they also compare it, the chinese cited this in one article, the effect of artificial intelligence, and cited as an example how long it took to develop a military sea liner, here is isminets , for example. they said it used to take about 15 years, development, design and so on, now gradually with computers in the middle of the 20th century it decreased to approximately 89 years, now with the help of artificial intelligence this can be created in a few months, but what does this mean: on the one hand, you can develop cars, like civilian

equipment, but this is also space. these are weapons, these are robots, that is, all this can be developed and implemented very quickly, so in the near future we will most likely see investments in artificial. a huge number of the middle, the so-called middle class, who from the beginning of the twenties identified themselves as the middle class, that is, the wealthy class, and these are engineers, designers who received salaries good, now they are already on the street, we have already been observing these processes for the last, probably, 3-4 years in europe.

with the help of various subsidies, how this will end, it will end with only one, and we already see this with you, the only means of fighting socialist protest, this

protest of the masses can only be right -wing radical parties, and the number of right-wing leaders who are now emerging in european countries to power, evidence that corporations, those that govern. these processes, they made a decision, in order to suppress social riots, right -wing radical parties, leaders are needed, they are not inventing anything new, in any books on political science it is written that capital has always used right-wing radical parties to fight socialist protest, protest of the masses, why, because that they base their policies, these right-wing parties on...