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who advocates the independence of the island, won the presidential election. his victory was confirmed by the election commission. shortly before this, the main rival of the cnd, the mayor of new taipei, houyou, admitted defeat. with 98% of the votes counted, la cnd's result was 40.2%. then, houyou, representing the china-friendly conservative guomendang party, received 33.4 votes. observers agree that the outcome of the presidential elections and the new parliament in taiwan will predetermine beijing's decision. is it worth launching a military invasion on an island that the prc authorities consider theirs? sovereign territory. the contender for the presidency of taiwan from the kuomintang party, houyu, previously directly stated that on january 13, the people of taiwan will make a choice between war and peace. he is confident that a full-scale military conflict can be prevented only by strengthening relations with. former us president donald

trump won the most votes in iowa during the party primaries, the washington post reported on january 16, citing exit poll data. at the time of counting, trump wins more than 95% of the ballots 51% of votes. in second place is ron disantis, with 21.3%, and niki haley rounds out the top three with 19.1. after confirmation of the results , the fourth contender, vivik ramaswamy, announced the end of his presidential campaign, according to bloomberg's source, planning to announce his support for trump. trump won 98 of the state's 99 counties. in 2016, he was only able to secure a majority of 37 votes. the next round of republican primaries will take place in new hampshire on january 23. according to the study , 69% of republican supporters said.

which was devoted to the consideration of two most important strategic planning documents: the draft national security concept and the military doctrine of belarus. the key directions for transforming modern risks and threats in the sphere of national security are set out in some detail in the concept and military doctrine, the head of state stated, and many of the assessments and forecasts contained there are already coming true, the belarusian leader noted. as an example, the president cited the situation. in the middle east. we are very much and we often talk about ukraine in the program, and this can be understood taking into account the significance of the events taking place there. but the contours of the future are determined not only there, not only in europe as a whole. and i would like to quote pyotr arkadyevich stalypin on this matter. our eagle is

a heritage of byzantium, a two-headed eagle. of course, strong, powerful and single-headed eagles, but cutting off one head of our russian eagle, facing... welcome to our studio vladimir kireev, head of the analytical department of the international eurasian movement political scientist, hello, hello, according to tradition, we begin our conversation with a quick question: vadim frantsevich, should we expect a major conflict involving iran and the united

states in the near future? well, depending on what we mean by the near future, that is , we see how the confrontation between the united states and iran is growing, but i think both sides, it is important to emphasize that both... the united states and iran are trying to avoid this conflict, it is now not beneficial to either one or the other. well, to put it briefly, the usa is very complex internal political situation, and this conflict will not be easy for america, with a high degree of escalation into a nuclear conflict, and iran is already doing well, it is expanding its zone of influence, it is quite effectively solving its economic problems, and there is an open clash between the united states and the entire collective west could also have extremely unpredictable consequences for iran. vladimir konstantinovich, please, russia, iran and the united states are part of their political ecosystems that exist, have now formed in the world, and we can say that this

process is akin to bloc formation, and not a complete process of bloc formation, but nevertheless, complexes of countries that are connected with each other by mutual interests, mutual obligations, mutual... iran and are nevertheless in many ways doomed to enter into direct conflict, because the united states has a contradiction, not even with iran itself, but with this entire ecosystem with which iran is connected today, which also includes russia, china, and a number of other countries, but since the relationship between these...

there is an opinion that israel and its lobbyists in the united states of america are interested in dragging iran into the conflict in order to deal with it. it’s unlikely that they will succeed from my point of view, because i remember the pentagon’s long-ago report, and i think this report was from 2009, they considered what was needed to bring iran to its knees, that is

, to achieve a result so that iran did not arise anymore, but with their sovereignty, in general , try to rein in this country, for this they needed... a ground contingent, almost in a million people, 800,000, who have nowhere to take, this time. secondly, during this time iran has improved everything so much. its weapons system turned out to be so effective in this matter that now it is even more terrible to associate with it, which is why it is clear that now israel, despite the fact that it receives weapons from the united states, every day military transport planes fly to baku and bring weapons there , the secret of polichenelle, which is on the border of azerbaijan and iran... on the territory of post-soviet azerbaijan in zangelan, two, in my opinion, well, maybe

more, but such israeli support bases already exist, this is a fact, and what worries me more is that in the post-soviet space, instead of really leaving everyone alone and implementing settlement processes , and we know what happened in the transcaucasus, so israel is trying. this is a fire , but i must say that still many people in the elite, the political elite, in baku understand this, i’m not talking about yerevan now, because i don’t consider armenia to be as sovereign as azerbaijan, so this is important, as for the iranians, i remind you that it is there that the main concentration of the armed forces of the iranian troops is on the border with... with azerbaijan and armenia, and 100,000 military personnel, excellent weapons,

installations with ballistic cruise missiles and 40,000 fighters of the ksir, corps the guards of the islamic revolution, they are waiting for a blow from there, they have been waiting for a long time, they have equipped it very well, that is, if there is an attempt to carry out military operations, new military operations in the transcaucasus, then... iran will not even have to cross the border, because iran is able to remotely stop these hostilities, as i imagine, although i am not a military expert. as for the attempt to involve the americans in a direct conflict with iran, then one must understand that iran and the iranian elite, the american elite, without any love, have their own channels of direct interaction and... it must be said that this sobriety and hyper-rationalism of the iranian

political elites also influence american politicians and the military, so i’m just like a low probability, but everything is in in this raging world, everything is possible, but i evaluate the direct and even indirect clash between iran and the united states as... but they stopped worrying. and israel’s positions, which are very strong, are in northern

kurdistan. for your viewers, i’ll just say that there are two kurdistans in iraq. and they fought terribly among themselves twice. very seriously. they are completely opposite to each other. and, southern kurdistan, so to speak, with its capital sulaymaniyah, it is truly completely pro-iranian. and he was controlled by the clan.

100%, the only thing is, i can’t imagine at this stage any serious blow from armenia or azerbaijan against iran, that is, it will either be some kind of provocation, well, i think not... aliyev, nor pashinyan, well, in real life they won’t agree to this, and yes, their territory can be used there somehow, but still, you can’t expect a major blow here either, you know, as they present in the west that hezbollah, they even attribute hamas to the pro-iranian groups, although this is not so, there are contacts, but we must not forget the differences: iran controls mainly shiite groups , although the shiites are different, for example, if

we are talking about yemen, there is such zaydi shiism, it is somewhat different, hamas is after all - iran is very large in the region, and look how the policy of the united states has failed states, they set one of their goals to reduce iran’s influence everywhere, but achieved its increase, because now it is impossible to deny close contacts between iran and hezbollah, although hezbollah’s leaders have their own interests, they pursue their own policy in lebanon, the influence of iran on the bash regime. assad, syrian government, but there we know that it is balanced by russia, which also has a very strong position, of course, iran’s influence on yemen, but such a primitive idea of ​​​​the houthis as simply iranian proxies is wrong, this is a coalition that includes a variety of forces, including to the surprise of many , it must be said that there are socialist forces there, there are communists there, there are

sunnis there, iran has strengthened its position in afghanistan, of course, and... so we must understand, this is some kind of confederation, or something of different groups with with its own interests, with its leaders , with its own history, of which iran is the leader, a certain subregion has arisen, i would call it that, under the influence of iran, and we must not forget the growth of iran in iraq itself, because for the americans this is horror, they planned to put iraq under complete control, but...

the majority of the population of iraq are shiites, there are also different groups there, baghdat, for example, is divided, here you have listed these groups, again syria, the majority of the population is sunnis, but the allawites also united around bashar al-assad, shiites and christians, that is, those ethnic groups that, in the event of a victory of the islamic

state or, in principle, the islamists, will simply be subjected to total massacre ; lebanon has traditionally been split along religious lines ; history, when the americans got in there, they not only stirred up this tangle of interests, but they led to such a growing explosion, and what we are now seeing is a crisis of the entire american strategy in the middle east, which assumed that their leadership

ensures the isolation of any of their opponents, the creation of a pro-american coalition that will allow... without a big war to quickly level out influence and control all processes, we can safely say that now the united states does not control the processes, there is an obvious collapse in the region the system of international relations that the americans have been trying to create for at least the last 30 years, of course, we were at the beginning, when there was an aggravation, and in the palestinian-israeli conflict, we discussed the interest the united states of america is in it, but at this stage. i don’t think that the united states was at all interested in the conflict in the gas sector; it is a product of the activities of other forces.

the united states, what i think vadim franzovich said was that the united states was creating a system of control over the middle east, the greater middle east. this is a planning horizon that was carried out at the beginning of the 2000s, even partly at the beginning of the late nineties, this is a plan for the redevelopment of a large neighboring east from... iraq, turkey and this is iran , they had such big plans, they are almost completely buried, the united states has de facto left iraq and afghanistan and is present there very symbolically, well, situationally. was the palestinian-israeli conflict beneficial to the united states? i think it's wrong. most likely, it was a bad dream for them, what happened. why they became so involved in this process is also quite understandable, because there is

a very large influence of ethnic jewish groups that are neoconservatives, to a very large extent there is a large consensus in the american political community, not in society, in the political community, that israel is an old and long-term partner of the united states, so they got involved quite uncompromisingly in spite of. goals, another question is that in the region itself an independent process is taking place, and the process is the formation of these, there are macroblocks at the planetary level, there are microblocks at the regional level, at the regional level there are enough it is obvious that the dominance in this region has always been with the sunni majority, and the shiites have always been small, isolated groups, humiliated and insulted, by and large, american foreign policy has been disorganized, broken all these alliances. created conditions, naturally, with very great creativity of iranian foreign policy, different groups acted there, but

they acted quite effectively, they managed to create shiite groups from very disparate ones, here vadim frantsovich said that zidis from yemen are so different from the iranian shiites, but we will say that the allawites from syria recognized their shiites as full-fledged just a few years ago at... at a spiritual council in iran and this recognition is political, they have not been recognized as normal shiites for hundreds of years , and there will also be ismailis, and various groups of turkish shiites, druze, who do not consider muslims at all, well, are not considered muslims by many, but these are all disparate groups, they suddenly began to unite, because they saw for themselves a historical chance to increase their political weight in their regions and... and their orientation towards iran is very significant, because it is a resource dependence, not ideological, it is a resource dependence, now they act as a single whole, in many ways, yes, they have different views inside,

but the logic of survival dictates that they closely cooperate with each other, and this is not a matter of belief, it is a matter of strategic play, when they are surrounded by enemies, their only chance to win is to unite and unite, of course, not with each other, with iran. that's why yes, the united states is losing control of the situation, they are not playing the game now, they are only responding, they have a reactive position, some country, apparently iran, have an active position, these groups, yes, they are interested in the conflict, but they are acting very coordinated with iran, iran quite possibly acts in concert with someone else, with some other countries, and does not make a decision alone, but nevertheless, the united states in this situation is reactive in the region. strong, they only answer from your let us remind you about the war in the red sea, which is happening off the coast of yemen, in our short story, we look together: on january 15

, an american ship was hit by a missile attack off the coast of yemen. the shell hit the left side of the cargo ship, which managed to stay afloat, but the impact led to a fire in the hold. the emergency occurred approximately 177 km southeast of the yemen city of aden. struck by the houthi group ansar allah, who decided that it was heading to israel. sukhogroz ignored the warning. approves yemen tv channel. the yemeni and houthi armed forces consider all american and british warships and vessels involved in aggression against our country as hostile targets. we confirm that a response to the us and uk attacks is inevitable and that any new aggression will not go unpunished. the container ship continued moving. in the gaza strip began attacking

israeli-linked ships in the red sea. this had a negative impact on trade. sea transport through the suetsky canal has decreased sharply. world trade volumes due to attacks in the red sea fell. i think shipping companies will not rush back to sea. it is also reasonable to assume that the atrocities in the red sea will not stop; in my opinion, they will even intensify. the conflict flared up instantly. the us announced a military operation to protect shipping. in the washington region, 10 more countries supported this issue. on friday night, the states and the uk launched an operation against the ansar allah movement. we have made it clear, as have many other countries, that the houthis' actions will have consequences. we also they have repeatedly tried to make it clear to iran that their support for the houthis must be stopped. us and british military forces attacked targets in four provinces of yemen.

the headquarters were mainly attacked by aircraft. arsenals, warehouses, military equipment, radar stations, missile launchers and manufacturing plants. us president joe biden called the military operation a response to a threat to freedom of navigation, without ruling out continued military action. however, a number of countries have condemned this method of resolving conflicts. in russia strongly condemned the actions of their allied states. they opposed it. mass protests took place in the capitals of yemen, where they also expectedly opposed the invasion of foreign armed forces. anti-american and anti-israeli slogans became the weapons of the demonstrators. corinia alexandrovna, we looked at the story, recalled the chronology of events, in your opinion, what is russia’s game in the current situation, because

the crisis is objective to it? beneficial given the diversion of the attention of the same united states of america from ukraine, but the middle east is also important for moscow, in itself , isn’t russia losing influence now, when it occupies the role of primarily an observer, let’s first, let’s not absolutize the fact of the confrontation between shiites and sunnis, because in islam there are only those recognized... there are five hubs, here, so these are not the only phenomena, but phenomena within islam, within each mashab, sunnis and shiites have their own sectarians who they hate more than each other, so the situation here is much more complicated, this is the first, second, these are completely rational people, there is no need to attribute excessive religious fanaticism to them, another thing

is that yes, it is favorable when you belong to the same mashab and profess the same religious values, this is pleasant, but this does not mean that you are not you can find a worthy partner or counterparty in some other groups, which in fact is also happening in the middle east, because if we talk about, if we focus only on this religious confrontation, it will not be clear to us whether india supports politics and the actions of iran, for example, the latest strikes on terrorist groups in pakistani belluchistan, which iran carried out, were supported by india, and some of the pakistani politicians themselves, because despite the fact that the pakistani foreign ministry has declared all sorts of protests and is behaving so directly, let’s say, quite strange, for now i

put the word strange in quotation marks. at the same time , the pakistani military is in the port of banderabas in iran and is conducting joint naval exercises with the iranian naval forces, that's how you do it you will understand, you understand, in fact, splits occur within countries not only and not so much on religious principles, and saudi arabia must take into account its sheites also because they live in regions where the main... the main oil production takes place, now the answer to your question: we are washing and intensifying the creation of infrastructure, and continental communications north-south, and we are interested in the process of stabilizing the region, eliminating all hooligans and terrorist groups, in this

in a sense, we will rely on that... a state that is not involved and is not , how can i put it, not seen in interaction with dangerous, destabilizing... iran or turkey, who will be, who has the resource to restore order or without order in the region , but now they can’t. understand that, perhaps, after all, if you look at reality, then, perhaps, iran is in a stronger position, while iran is supported by such a large state as india, quite influential, so

iran has good relations with the chinese people a republic, so in this case, and i can even say, we see, in general, a rising power in the macroregion. which, by the way, has long gone beyond the boundaries of its macro-region in the backyard of the americans, in latin american countries, especially in venezuela, iran is one of the largest and most serious partners, i note that in caracas the iranians are already building a metro, although they themselves are only 20 years ago they began to master these technologies for the first time, the construction of the metro, what a stormy time it was. relations between iran and latin america, that’s why today we are also interested in interaction with iran, i won’t go into details, we understand that by the way, this is

important, look what iran has done over the past 40 years, and this is very important, the weapons iran were american, during this time. and iran switched to our russian, russian standards, we have our own engineering school, so our systems became congruent, do you think the iranians did this with what aim, probably with the long-range aim of expanding interaction and strategic relations with russia, since you are in minsk, i understand that it certainly fits into this same format. completely fits belarus and another short answer to vadim, the fact is that i did not mean at all that azerbaijan or armenia would attack iran, the scenario could be much

simpler, it will be carried out, now we will not say who will be the initiator, what some kind of provocation that will force the iranians to respond, then everyone is in favor... that’s when karina alexandrovna said, you know, here we are talking, we’re mentioning here religious groups, she absolutely agrees with the analysis that these two powers are growing, turkey and iran, and this is history, a thousand years old, two state

formations, one with a center in constantinople , the second in one of the cities of iran, at first it was the roman empire there and the zaroostrian state formation, then byzantium, already christian, opposed. and iran, which the followers of the prophet muhammad took advantage of, creating their own political entity, then the ottoman empire and shiite iran, when they collided again and acquired political significance, these differences between sunnis and shiites, as long as the ottoman empire was sunni, and they were, they were interested in translating this confrontation into a religious factor, everything returns to normal, in this plot, americans, even in our reasoning we we see that the americans. this is an absolutely foreign body that is alien here, which does not give any order, so we need to constantly analyze the american factor, they came with something, well, let’s forget this history of the usa, the soviet union, the nineties americans

promised, we guarantee peace, settlement , calm, order, once again, nothing worked out, but why should we mention the event of 1993, when the agreement on palestine was signed, let's remember... a statement by jake sullivan, assistant to the president of the united states for national security , who said: “well, here it is,” he says, the middle east, the result of our leadership is calm, in general, he says, “i have a headache right now,” he said. salevann says more about ukraine and some other regions: well, in the middle east in general i don’t have a headache, he said in september, in october the whole world already had a headache around what was happening there and was changing institutionally, as before, as it was before, israel focused its armed forces on confrontation with large arab powers, egypt first of all syria, here is the southern front, the northern front, so israel is divided into the southern district, the northern district. then suddenly

groups began to appear, first these were palestinian groups, then they began to internationalize, which became pose a great threat that we have now israel is waging a war in the gaza strip with a group that is not a state entity, there is a quasi- state hamas, involving the attention of 2/3 of its armed forces, losses, well, the debate is about losses, in any case, this hundreds killed, several thousand. israel is at war with hezbollah. hezbollah is not a state organization, it is quasi-state, and this is also the contradiction that koren aleksandrovna spoke about pakistan. the military is one thing, the military is another. that's almost all beirut politicians in power are pro-american, almost all of them have european education. and hezbollah is an anti-american group. but its influence on lebanese politics is much greater

than that of any officially existing political parties, although hisbol is again represented in the lebanese parliament, that is , we can give these details for a long time, they are curious, interesting there, and add another plus here personal connections that exist, interests, indeed there are already these interfaith cooperations, for example, the conclusion of an agreement mediated by beijing between iran and saudi arabia, and the conflict that broke out... this is in the midst of such a quiet, calm settlement between israel and the united arab emirates, israel and bahrain, israel and saudi arabia, something that has been happening for several years ago it seemed unthinkable. in other words, often religious contradictions have now begun to fade into the background, political and economic ones come to the fore; we are facing a challenge and the stage of forming a new face of the middle the east, in which...

looking at what is happening, there is probably no better way to describe it, black earthly blood promises us swelling veins, everything destroying boundaries, unheard of changes, unprecedented rebellions. let me remind you that on the air of the saz program i am authorized to state that in today’s program we are talking about the security crisis in the middle east, and i would like to draw your attention to the certificate that we have prepared. with colleagues, who are the houthis? attention to the screen? let's talk

in more detail. the houthis, followers of the ansarullah movement, which was founded in the early 1990 in the north of yemen. originated in the zaydi community, it covers about 3% of the country's population. presumably, the movement's population reaches 10 million people. husism is based on the concept of the coronal path. according to this concept, the koran contains everything necessary for the formation of muslims. the houthis claim that they are protecting their religion from the influence of sunism, and their country from external aggression, according to western experts. the houthis allegedly enjoy hidden military and financial support from iran and its allies, represented by the lebanese movement hezbollah's massive british and us strikes on houthi positions in yemen are the third military attack on the movement, the first time this happened in 2004. i will add that...

the economic development of islamic societies, putting a barrier to the influence of the ideology of the west, as well as israel’s deeply connected materialistic interests. showing it to be imperialist and hostile to islam. vladim franzovich, what is iran’s own attitude towards the houthis? how do you think? well, i would say rationally. in general, this is the main term that we now see from everyone experts who have a deeper knowledge of the issues. this is a very rational and pragmatic policy of iran. because this

is how western eyes see iran as a totalitarian society. in fact, there are also legally competing groups of conservatives and traditionalists. liberals, there are some groups in the middle, as a result of this competition of ideas, interests, such a policy arose, very precise, very effective, based on military power, on an economy formed under the conditions of sanctions pressure, all this stabbed iran, iranian society, iranian politicians, and began to make it possible to pursue such a policy, i would compare, you know with what, how the soviet union was shaken up in the trials of the twenties and thirties, including economic influence, this is approximately what corresponds to today's iran, yes, there is a contradiction, maybe , well, not that it’s a contradiction, as

they noted here and vladimir spoke about it, the difference in the ideology of zeidism there, you can talk about it for a long time, classical... iran is a necessary condition for power for them influences because a coalition led by

saudi arabia has been fighting against the houthis for many years. saudi arabia has one of the largest military budgets in the world and is a leader in arms purchases. saudi arabia has almost all weapons, except nuclear weapons, for example, and missiles, let me remind you that right in the midst of this invasion of arab monarchies in yemen, trump entered into an agreement with ryad on the largest supply of weapons worth, in my opinion, 60 billion perhaps, for many billions of american weapons, and yet the houthis withstood, withstood this blow, moreover, they began to strike back with effective blows, which forced the reads to negotiate with them. of course, it must be said directly that without the support of iran this would have been impossible, they would have been crushed, and this determines mutual interest, and for iran this is control, what is the strategic importance of yemen and in particular aden, which at one time was squeezed out by the british, that is, this was included into the system of global planetary british

control, gibraltar, south africa, cape town, which means aden, india, singapore, hong kong, here british base points. fleet aden, in principle, hadeida, in principle, yemen itself is control over the baboalmandeb canal and the channel is a strait, and the babalmandeb strait, which connects the red sea, the indian ocean, this is considered control over suez, without control over these straits there is no logic in the vanity canal, look how when a real threat to shipping arose as a result of the middle east conflict, all tankers, bulk carriers, gas carriers,

escalations, i don’t really

see any prospects for this, i think there will be an escalation, it is logical, it is embedded in the logic of the modern political-economic process, the aggravation will occur multifactorially, not only in this region, not even in the middle east alone, now tension will form, not form, but come to the surface in many regions of the planet, we only what did they see... ethiopia is putting forward claims, sudan and ethiopia have claims, and so you can have claims against each other, egypt has claims against ethiopia for the nile, and so you can list, list, list, the whole world is full of conflicts, contradictions, when the world hegemon does not satisfy the majority of humanity, most of...

make the united states just an ordinary country, well, as big as india, like australia, like brazil, argentina, well, just a country, in this situation no one now is not interested in... avoiding conflicts, the united states, yes, they may not want these conflicts, but they cannot avoid them, because if they avoid them, they will automatically lose their status as a world hegemon, and the rest the world, seeing that the united states has wavered in its influence, is striving to overload its capabilities and solve its problems, in addition, to remove the actual question of how far each of the players can go, how far they can go.

and as is usually the case, there were no sanctions from the civilized west. the duty officer stated as if

nothing had happened. unfortunately, we have returned to a time when military force became the main argument in building interstate relations. unfortunately, many structural factors now point to an extremely high probability. a qualitative increase in the level of military conflict, in fact, is leading a number of world participants, the world is heading for disaster, in your opinion, will the presence of a cold, sound mind prevail over without a cold mind, which means a cold war, he said, but the war is hot, more and more experts are changing the picture, what is the third world war, we said earlier, there was a clear program for the third world war - this is a direct collision of two nuclear powers. most likely the ussr and the usa, with the use of nuclear weapons, yes, which, well, with some monstrous consequences for humanity, now they are increasingly saying that perhaps

it is already underway, well, here we are, when we say , it is already underway, such an emotional assessment, we see instability in the world, well, it’s as if emotions should still be justified by some theoretical conclusions and such a pragmatic analysis, so we can say, given that conflicts have intensified everywhere in the most unexpected regions, there... there have recently been clashes with papulo guinea, even, it would seem, that is , the third world war, as a certain stage in the development of mankind, which will mean the end of western hegemony, the formation of a new world, most likely, most likely, with several centers of influence like regions with their regional powers, will go through the third world war, which will take place or is already taking place in the form of several successive and simultaneous, large and smaller local conflicts, some of which will involve major players, as we see, for example, in the example

of the ukrainian conflict, so at a high, high level. independently commit to a serious escalation, even if the iranian leadership insists on greater caution. i don’t think that the iranian leadership will insist on greater caution, but again, they are coordinating their policies, and the possibility of further aggravation is dictated by more than one side, and hezbollah and the houthis

will not unilaterally increase aggression. this will happen with a mutual increase in aggression, western countries will behave aggressively, these shiite countries, which are, as it were, united with each other, not even countries, but groups, organizations, will increase the level of aggression on their part, that is, this is a process in which two parties participate, which stimulate each other , unilaterally, they will not increase aggression , but vladim franzovich, yes, no one is interested, neither iran, i think, nor the united states in a sharp increase in rates, of course, this is some kind of signal, now that washington is sending, everyone is sending - after all, apparently ineptly, but this does not mean that major players are not interested in a direct clash, that the situation will de-escalate, no, we will observe in this region, as in others, an increase in confrontation, but the trend is inevitable, a decrease in the influence of the united states,

thank you very much, in conclusion our interesting. discussion, i would like to say this: the famous writer mark twain once joked: god created war so that americans would study geography. and how did he turn out to be right? attacks from american ships on yemena forced the citizens of the united states of america to learn about the existence of this country. but seriously, the events in the middle east remind us of what a unipolar world was like, in which the elite of one country decided who and where to bomb. the rest silently accepted her choice. such a world no longer exists, but the transition to a new system will also be unpleasant. thank you. it was the “sas is authorized to declare” program. the conflict in gaza is gradually developing into a war throughout the middle east.