did you take something apart? we must understand that our peaceful existence is not a given, which is why we, nato forces, must prepare for conflict with russia. rob bauer, head of the nato military committee. newspaper build. the bundesfer is preparing for a military clash with russia. the scenario of the upcoming large-scale nato exercises, under the general name stadfast defender, will be the beginning of the third world war. where nato will have to

demonstrate its ability to rapidly deploy forces from north america and other parts of the alliance to strengthen europe. polish factories are increasing their weapons production severalfold thanks to unprecedented investment in the defense industry. even enterprises that have recently undergone modernization are striving to increase their production, since their capacity has no longer met the needs. in the near future , up to... 230 thousand more people will be conscripted in poland, these are all official sources. europe has 3 to 5 years to prepare for war with russia, estonian prime minister kaya previously said kalas. and such statements rained down like from a cornucopia. they say it, not us. we emphasize that our military doctrine and national security concept are peace-loving. we do not designate specific opponents, hostile peoples. and they

are like a sea wedge, on what interesting territory they are going to fight with russia, they will start a world war, they will start it when the president of russia asks: well, they’re not idiots, we could have ended everything right away with peace agreements, we’re not idiots, that’s what they wanted, that was the plan, they had a special this is confirmed by cynicism, what should we do now? is preparing for the worst, let the best be a pleasant surprise, there are irrational politicians, there are monsters in their veins, not red warm blood, but cold, muddy dead water, and if you look closely , their pupils are yellow, why do they do this, the lizard is dying, new there are no sales markets , there are no new lands to seize, they need to throw humanity into a bloody pool and watch with a cold fish eye...

and our neighbors, stunned, and others, although god forbid, not only for me, but also for the new generation politicians, think about the use of these nuclear weapons, this is a terrible weapon, but we are with the russians, for their money, however, we pay other bills, we received such complexes as iskander, a particularly dangerous weapon, it is coded there, coded, i signed a decree , like... this is a weapon, it can only be used

with the consent of the president, the minister of defense , the chief of the general staff are involved, each has their own functions, but nuclear weapons are even more difficult to use, that’s why we and the iskanders got, we got a lot missile ammunition, first of all, what should we do, understand with a cool head, the bottom is breaking its way, but the epiphany frosts are strong this year, the ice of our statehood is strong, chain all the sea creatures in it and illuminate the water, turn to the west and say: i renounce you, satan, all your deeds, your lying lust, your abomination, your democracy, all your servants, i renounce, your demonic pride, your dirty intrigues, your filthy luxury, your bloody money, i am not afraid of all your reptiles, i believe in the lord and the president, feel free

dive, the lizards will crawl to the bottom.

is the key to our success, i think so, we personally decided to plunge into the holiday together with the fighters like this, well, tell us that on this day all the water is holy, yes, but according to our tradition, you plunge here in this ice hole, and of course, when at the beginning they read a prayer then

together with the entire military team, you go through this ritual, this ceremony, of course you come out of this hole renewed, from this horde of... jordan, i remember when i was on the jordan river, there is also a special feeling there, but here when in it’s such a chill, in the frost, uh, in our opinion, mm , you’re immersed, but this is some kind of special tradition, you know, on the one hand it ’s a wire, farewell to all these holidays of ours, uh, new year’s, christmas, as they say, from nikola to baptism, we have been going for a whole month - and through christmas, now the holiday of baptism, uh, well, you kind of join in. to traditions and to our roots, look what the weather is like now, what nature is around, here we are on vyache now, we are surrounded by forest, the sun is shining, the frost is crackling the ice, well, this is ours, this these are our roots, the most that you can’t get enough of, there’s no need for extra words, even a face, but we’ve caught our beauty

, let’s light fires on the memory baren , we’ll illuminate the long white path with light, we’ll learn the essence of our grandfather’s behests, otherwise we shouldn’t even live, souls to destroy our own, not to serve with those, we will gather strength, take a fist , light up the space and the darkness will recede, okay, okay, okay, okay, okay, okay, breaststroke, we will sing together, okay, okay, okay, okay, okay, but brazy together, we will all hold together,

yes! belarusian winter, all its little things, all its details. some are so beautiful that it’s breathtaking, some are different, but together they are one whole, together, not harmony; looking at them, you feel aesthetic pleasure, you feel that belarus is closer.

on the air of the sas program, i am authorized to say, its presenter nadezhda sas, i greet you. let me remind you that this is a program for those who want to better understand what is happening and understand how these processes, events, people will affect the life of the country of each of us. in today's program we will talk about something that worries many. in the red sea conflict, but first about we will tell you about the key events in world politics this week in our digest: the current vice president of taiwan, the leader of the ruling democratic progressive party cnd, who advocates the independence of the island, won the presidential election. his victory was confirmed by the election commission. shortly before this, the main rival of the cnd, the mayor of the new taibe houyou, admitted defeat. according to the calculation results, 98%. the result of the laiznd vote was 40.2%, while

houyou, representing the china-friendly conservative guomendang party, received 33.4% votes. observers agree that the results of the presidential elections and the new parliament in taiwan will predetermine beijing's decision. is it worth starting a military invasion of the island, which the prc authorities consider their sovereign territory? previously a contender for the presidency of taiwan from the kuomintang party, houyou. directly stated that on january 13, the people of taiwan will make a choice between war and peace. he is confident that a full-scale military conflict can only be prevented by strengthening relations with beijing. former us president donald trump won the most votes in iowa in the party primaries. this was reported by the washington post on january 16, citing exit poll data. at the time of counting, more than 95% of the ballot. trump wins 51% of the vote, ron disantis is in second place with 21.3%,

and nicky haley is in second place with 19.1%. after confirmation of the results, the fourth contender, vivik ramaswamy, announced the end of the presidential campaign, according to a source from bloomberg plans to announce his support for trump. trump won 98 of the state's 99 counties. in 2016 , he was able to gain a majority. january, according to a study, 69% of republican supporters said they intend to vote for trump in the primaries. on january 16, president of belarus alexander lukashenko held a meeting of the security council, which was devoted to the consideration of two most important strategic planning documents and draft concepts.

taking into account the significance of the events taking place there, but the contours of the future are determined not only there, not only in europe as a whole, and i wanted i would like to quote pyotr arkadyevich stalypin on this matter. our eagle is the legacy of byzantium, a two-headed eagle, of course, strong, powerful and single-headed eagles, but by cutting off one head of our russian eagle facing the east, you will not turn it into a single-headed eagle, you will only make it bleed. russia and belarus cannot ignore the processes in the middle east, where

wars are also flaring up, where the situation is pushing towards a nuclear conflict, we will talk about this in today’s program. glad welcome, vadim giggin, general director of the national library of belarus, chairman of the board of the belarusian knowledge society, is present in our studio. hello hello. i am glad to welcome to our studio vladimir kireev, head of the analytical department of the international eurasian movement. political scientist, hello, hello, according to tradition, we begin our conversation with a quick question: vadim frantsevich, should we expect a major conflict involving iran and the united states in the near future? usa and iran, but i think both sides, it is important to emphasize that both the united states and iran are trying to avoid this conflict, it is now not beneficial to either one or the other, well, in short, the united states has a very difficult internal political situation, and this conflict will not be easy for america, with

high degree of escalation into a nuclear conflict, and iran is already doing well, it is expanding its zone. russia, iran and the united states are part of their political ecosystems that exist, have now formed in the world, and we can say that this process,

iran is connected, this also includes russia, china and a number of other countries, and since the relations between these blocs are truly antagonistic, antagonistic at the fundamental level, it is practically impossible to avoid a collision, of course, not in the short term, but in the medium term. i am pleased to welcome political scientist and orientalist karene gevarian to our program. dear karen, greetings. hello, there is an opinion that israel and its lobbyists in the united states of america are interested in dragging iran into the conflict in order to deal with it once and for all. how much do you agree with this opinion? let 's talk about this in a little more detail, please.

indeed, israel, the israeli lobby, the british lobby in the united states. would really like to involve the united states like a fist, that is, take such a golem without a head, but powerful, and hammer on iran with its fists, it is unlikely that they will succeed from my point of view, because i remember the long-ago pentagon report, and the report is in my opinion, in 2009, they considered what was needed in order for iran to put on knees, well, that is, to achieve. so that iran would no longer arise with its sovereignty , in general, to try to rein in this country , for this they needed a ground contingent of almost a million people, 8000, which there is nowhere to get, this is the first time, the second time, during this time iran has so improved its entire weapons system

, it has turned out to be so effective in this matter, that... now it’s even more scary to get involved with him, which is why it’s clear that now israel, despite the fact that they receive weapons from the united states, is militarily transport planes fly to baku and bring weapons there, it’s an open secret that on the border of azerbaijan and iran on the territory of post-soviet azerbaijan in zangelan, two, in my opinion, well, maybe more, but...

the political elite in baku understand this, i’m talking about yerevan i’m not saying now, because i don’t consider armenia to be as sovereign as azerbaijan, so this is important. now, as for the iranians, i will remind you that it is there that the main concentration of the armed forces of the iranian troops is on the border with azerbaijan and armenia, 100,000 military personnel, excellent weapons. installations with ballistic cruise missiles and 40,000 fighters of the ksir, the islamic revolutionary guard corps, they are waiting for a blow from there, they have been waiting for a long time... they have equipped this very well, that is, if there is an attempt to carry out military operations, new military operations in transcaucasia, then even iran

there will be no need to cross the border, because iran is able to remotely stop these hostilities, as i imagine, although i am not a military expert. as for the attempt to involve the americans in a direct conflict with iran, then we must understand what iran has. at the iranian elite has no love from the american elite, and they have their own channels of direct interaction, i must say that this sobriety and hyper-rationalism of the iranian political elite also influences american politicians and the military, so i have a low probability of... yes everything in this raging world is possible, but i assess a direct and even indirect clash between iran and the united

states as unlikely at the present time. moreover, these blows that iran carried out, directly, it was iran itself that carried out in erbil, here you need to understand that there are three on the territory of northern kurdistan.

after all, here, too, one cannot expect , you know, as they present in the west, that hezbollah, they even attribute hamas to pro-iranian groups, although this is not so, there are contacts, but we must not forget the differences: iran controls mainly shiite groups, although the shiites are different, for example, if we are talking about yemen, there is such zeidi shiism, it is somewhat different, hamas is still a sunni group, but nevertheless, yes, the influence of iran is very great. in the region and look how the policy of the united states has failed, they set one of their goals, reducing iran’s influence everywhere, but achieved its increase, because now

one cannot deny close contacts between iran and hezbollah, although hezbollah’s leaders have their own interests, they pursue their politics - in lebanon, the influence of iran on the regime of bashar al-assad, the syrian government, but there we know that it is balanced by russia, which also very... strong positions, of course, the influence of iran on yemen, but such a primitive idea of ​​​​the houthis as simply iranian misdeeds is wrong, this is a coalition that includes a variety of forces, to the surprise of many, it must be said that there are also socialist forces , there are communists there, there are sunnis there, iran has strengthened its position in afghanistan, of course, but we must understand that this is some kind of confederation of different groups. with its own interests, with its own leaders, with its own history, as if the leader of which is iran, a certain subregion arose,

i would call it under the influence. iran and we must not forget the growth of iran in iraq itself, because for the americans this is horror, they planned to put iraq under complete control, but we see how tehran’s influence is growing in this region as a whole, but i say again, it will be simplistic and say, that the tehrans gave a command, they began to carry it out, this is not happening. for clarity, let's look at the map, a map of pro-iranian groups in the middle east. here is a specific situation, here we have a gulf, we are used to calling it persian, in arab countries they call it arab, yes, here is bahrain, 75% of the population are shiites, the ruling dynasties are sunnis, let’s say, yes , then there is saudi arabia, the region with the most oil, so to speak, rich, adjacent to the persian gulf, mainly shiites live there, the situation of the shiites in saudi arabia

, to put it mildly... well, so to speak, is not so hot, this is a serious, perhaps one of the biggest political problems for saudi arabia , along with contradictions within the family itself, most of the ruling family, the majority of the population of iraq are shiites, there are also different groups there, baghdad, for example, is divided, you have listed these groups, again syria, the majority of the population is sunni, but the olawites have united around bashar-assad , shiites and christians, that is, those... ethnic groups that, in the event of the victory of the islamic state or, in principle, the islamists, will simply be subject to total massacre. lebanon is traditionally split along religious lines, it is laid down in the constitution, so you know, in lebanon there is no the population census has been carried out since the thirty-second year, and why? because the alignment of ethnic groups, political , in which only a christian, a maronite can be president, only a sunni can be a prime minister, only a shiite can be the head of parliament,

their deputy there is divided among orthodox christians, so this was recorded at the time of the thirties, since then the census has not is being carried out so as not to shift this alignment, plus palestinian refugees, in fact, this is such a subtle tangle of contradictions that has been taking shape not just over the years, centuries in a region with its own history , when the americans got in there, they not only stirred up this tangle of interests, but they led to such a growing explosion, and what we are now seeing is... the entire american strategy in the middle east, which assumed that their leadership would ensure the isolation of any of their opponents, the creation of a pro-american coalition that would quickly neutralize influence and control all processes without a major war. we can safely say that now the united states does not control the processes. in the region, there is an obvious collapse of the system of international relations that the americans have been trying to create for at least the last

30 years. of course, we... at the beginning, when there was an aggravation, and in the palestinian-israeli conflict, we discussed the interest of the united states of america in it, but at this stage i really absolutely agree with vladim frantsivich, control has been lost, their actions in your opinion how do you characterize and how can you avoid a really big grandiose collision that will cost millions, billion lives. i don't think the united states was interested in the conflict at all. in the gas sector, it is a product of the activities of other forces. the united states , what i think vadim franzovich said was that the united states was creating a system of control over the middle east, the greater middle east, we are talking about a planning horizon that was carried out at the beginning of the 2000s, even partly at the beginning of the late nineties, this is a plan for the redevelopment of the greater middle east with the segmentation of large states, a focus on sects, a focus

on radical groups in order to... make this area chaotic and control these chaotic groups, there was also the idea, by the way, of creating a greater kurdistan, disbanding iraq, turkey, and this is iran, these were big plans for them, they practically completely buried united states, de facto left iraq and afghanistan and is present there very symbolically, well, situationally, to say that the palestinian-israeli conflict was beneficial to the united states, i think that this is wrong, most likely it is it was a terrible dream for them, what... happened, why they became so involved in this process is also quite clear, because there is a very large influence of ethnic jewish groups, which are neoconservatives to a very large extent, there is a large consensus in the american political community, not in society, in the political community, that israel is an old and long-term partner of the united states, so they joined in quite uncompromisingly contrary to their goals. another question is what is in the region itself there is an independent process, but

a process. creativity of iranian foreign policy, it broke all these alliances, alliances created the conditions, naturally, with a very large group, different groups acted, but they acted quite effectively, they managed to create shiite groups out of very disparate ones, here vadim franzovich said that... zeidis from yemen are so different from iranian shiites, but we will say that allawites from syria and shiites were recognized as full-fledged just a few years ago at a spiritual council in iran, and this recognition is political,

they were not recognized as normal shiites for hundreds of years, and there will also be ismailis, and various groups of turkish shiites, druze, who are not considered muslims at all, are not considered by many...

perhaps he acts in coordination with someone else, with some others countries , and not alone makes a decision, but nevertheless , the united states in this situation is a reactive force in the region, they only respond, with your permission, let us remind you of the war in the red sea, what is happening off the coast of yemen in our short story, look together: january 15 american ship suffered a missile attack off the coast of yemen, the shell hit the left side. dry cargo ship, which managed to stay afloat, but the impact led to a fire in the hold. the incident occurred approximately 177 km southeast of the yemen city of aden. the ship was hit by the houthi group ansar allah, who decided that it was heading to

israel. sukhogroz ignored the warning, according to the yemen tv channel. the armed forces of yemen and the houthis are considering all american and british warships and vessels involved in aggression against our country. as hostile goals. we confirm that a response to the us and uk attacks is inevitable and that any new aggression will not go unpunished. the container ship continued along the route; the ship's crew reported no injuries or significant damage. let me remind you that in mid-november, the shiite paramilitary movement ansar allan, ruling in the north of yemen, as a sign of support for the palestinians in the gaza strip, began attacking ships associated with israel in the red sea. this had a negative impact. in trade, maritime transport through the suetsky canal decreased sharply. volumes world trade fell due to the attacks in the red sea. i think shipping companies will not rush back to sea. it is also reasonable to assume that the atrocities in the red sea will not stop; in my opinion, they will even

intensify. the conflict flared up instantly. the us announced a military operation to protect shipping in the region. washington was supported by 10 other countries on this issue. on friday night, the states and... great britain began an operation against the ansar allah movement. we have made it clear, like many other countries, that the houthis' actions will have consequences. we have also repeatedly tried to make it clear to iran that their support for the houthis must end. us and british military forces attacked targets in four provinces of yemen. generally , headquarters, arsenals, military equipment warehouses, missile launcher radar stations and production facilities were attacked by aviation. enterprises. us president joe biden called the military operation a response to a threat to freedom of navigation, without ruling out the continuation of military actions. however, a number of countries

have condemned this method of resolving conflicts. russia strongly condemned the actions of the states of their allies. even the americans themselves were against it. mass protests took place in the capital of yemen, where they also expectedly opposed the invasion of foreign armed forces. anti-american and anti-israeli slogans became the weapons of the demonstrators. karenaya alexandrovna, we looked at the story and recalled the chronology of events. in your opinion, what is russia’s game in the current situation, because the crisis is objectively beneficial for it, taking into account diverting the attention of the same united states of america from ukraine, but the middle east is also important for moscow, in itself, so isn’t russia losing influence now that it occupies the role of primarily an observer.

first of all, let’s not absolutize the fact of the confrontation between shiites and sunnis, because in islam there are only five recognized madhabs, so these are not the only phenomena within islam, within each madhab, sunnis and shiites have their own sectarians, who they hate more than each other, that’s why here...

we will not understand, for example, india’s support for iran’s policies and actions, for example, the latest strikes on terrorist groups in pakistani baluchestan, which iran carried out, were supported by india, and some of the pakistani politicians themselves. because, despite the fact that the pakistani foreign ministry has declared all sorts of protests and is behaving in such a way, frankly, quite strangely, i put the word strange in quotation marks for now, at the same time the pakistani military is in the port of banderabas in iran and is conducting joint naval exercises with the iranian naval forces, that's how you understand it, you know, in fact, splits occur within countries not only and not...

happened, but there would be a process of stabilization of the region, the elimination of all hooligans and terrorist groups, in in this sense, we will rely on a state that is not involved and, how to say, unnoticed in interaction with dangerous and destabilizing groups such as the banned isis and various others , including muslim brothers. for americans, so i thought,

while i was listening to your conversation, in fact, now a very interesting question arises from my point of view, who is stronger, iran or turkey, who will be, who has the resource to restore order or without order in the region, now they cannot help but understand that perhaps after all, if you look at it realistically. then, perhaps, iran is in a stronger position, while iran is supported by such a large state as india, quite influential, iran has good relations with the people's republic of china, so in this case, i can even say, we see in general, a rising power in the macro-region , which has long gone beyond the borders of its macro-region in the backyard ...

today we are also interested in interaction with iran, i will not go into details, we understand that, by the way, this is important, look what iran did. over the past 40 years, and this is very important, iran had american weapons, during this time, and iran switched to our russian, russian standards, we have our own engineering school, so our systems are congruent

became, do you think, the iranians did this with what aim, probably with the long-range aim of expanding interaction. and strategic relations with russia, since you are in minsk, i understand that belarus, of course, fits completely into this format, and another short answer, vadim, the fact is that i did not mean at all, that azerbaijan or armenia attacks iran, the scenario could be much simpler. will be committed, now we will not say who will be the initiator, some kind of provocation that will force the iranians to respond, then everyone will make noise, and turkey will have to somehow stand up for azerbaijan, no, no, in no case, neither aliyev nor pashinyan

are interested in starting unconditional actions, i completely agree , but provocations are possible, and you know this very well, iran, and this is a thousand-year history, two state entities, one with its center in constantinople and the other. in one of the cities of iran, at first it was the roman empire there , the zarathrian empire, this is the state education, then byzantium, already christian, and iran opposed, which the followers of the prophet muhammad took advantage of, creating their own political entity, then the ottoman empire and shiite iran, when

these differences between sunnis and shiites collided again and acquired political significance, since the ottoman empire was sunni and they were...

i don’t have a headache - he said in september, in october the whole world already had a headache around what was happening there and changing institutionally, before it happened that israel oriented its armed forces towards confrontation with the major arab powers, egypt, first of all syria, here is the southern front, the northern front, so israel is divided into the southern district, the northern district, then suddenly groups began to appear, first these were palestinian groups, then they began... to internationalize, which began to pose a greater threat. what do we have now? israel is waging a war in the gaza strip with a group that is not a state entity, there is a quasi- state hamas, drawing attention 2/3 of its armed forces. losses, well

, there is debate about losses in any case, these are hundreds of dead, several thousand wounded. now we can go into a long discussion about how many there really are. a second war is brewing. there are interests, indeed there are already these interfaith cooperations, for example, the conclusion of an agreement mediated

by beijing between iran and saudi arabia, and the conflict that broke out is in the midst of such a quiet, calm settlement between israel and the united arab emirates, israel and bahrain , israel and saudi arabia, what seemed unthinkable a few years ago , in other words, often religious contradictions have now begun to fade into the background... in the foreground - politically, economically, we are facing a challenge and before the stage, the formation of a new face of the middle east, in which there will definitely be less of the united states, definitely a leader, one of the leaders will be iran, turkey will have stronger positions, a very serious position for the updated one, no longer the same as it was 20-30 years ago in saudi arabia, and of course, here we are talking about...

i remind you that on the air of the saz program i am authorized to say in today’s program we are talking about the security crisis in the middle east and i would like to draw your attention to the certificate that we prepared with our colleagues , who are the houthis, pay attention to the screen, let's talk in more detail. the houthis, followers of the ansarul movement, which was founded in the early 1990s in northern yemen, have emerged as a wezaidi community covering about 30% of the country's population. presumably. number of movement reaches 10 million people. husism is based on the concept of the coronal path. according to this concept, the koran contains everything

necessary for the organization of muslim society. the houthis say they are defending their religion from sunni influence and their country from external aggression. according to western experts, the houthis allegedly enjoy hidden military and financial support from iran and its allies, represented by the lebanese hezbollah movement. massive strikes. britain and the united states on houthi positions in yemen, this is the third military attack on the movement. this happened for the first time in 2004. i will add that hussism can be called a reformist islamic teaching of the new wave of the postmodern era, that is , reformers in the 20th century tried to break the bone traditions of islamic societies, turning to primary sources in order to give way to modernity. in the form of westernization, and said hussein , the founder of the movement, tried to revive the role of the koran as a self-sufficient source

of not only spiritual, but also socio-economic development of islamic societies, blocking the influence of western ideology, as well as deeply connected with him the materialistic interests of israel, declaring it imperialist and hostile to islam. vadimir franzovich, what kind of relationship do... interests have such a policy, very precise, very effective, based on military power, on an economy formed

under sanctions pressure, all this stabbed iran, iranian society, iranian politicians and made it possible to carry out such politics, i would compare it, you know, with what, as the soviet union was shaken up in the trials of the twenties and thirties, in as a result of pressure from the imperialist west, in the end we received a fairly balanced, post-military policy, a kind of golden era of the power of influence of the soviet union, including economic influence, this is approximately what corresponds to today's iran. yes, there is a contradiction, maybe , well, not that it’s a contradiction, as was noted here, vladimir spoke about this, the difference in ideology there, zeidism, you can talk about this for a long time, classical shiism, but the houthis are also not just followers of the teaching that you said is... a confederation of various political and religious groups, including sunni, including socialist-

oriented, but it must be said that socialism in its various... forms, like the arabs under the influence of egypt before in general, so is the soviet one, let me remind you that there was a pro-soviet people’s democratic republic of yemen in the south for a long time. yemen consisted of two parts, as they said, northern yemen, southern yemen, there was anti-soviet, pro-soviet yemen, and therefore these fragments that political picture, they united around the houthis, iran is a necessary condition for them, the power of influence, because . a coalition led by saudi arabia has been fighting against the houthis for many years. saudi arabia has one of the largest military budgets in the world and is a leader in arms purchases. saudi arabia has almost all weapons except nuclear weapons, for example, and missiles. let me remind you that, uh, right in the midst of this invasion of arab monarchies into yemen , trump concluded agreements with a number of people on the most

a large supply of weapons worth many, in my opinion, 60 billion or so, many billions. american weapons and yet the houthis withstood, withstood this blow, moreover, they began to deliver retaliatory, effective strikes that they were forced to negotiate with them, of course, it must be said frankly that without the support of iran this would have been impossible, they would have been crushed, and this determines mutual interest, and for iran this is control, which is the strategic importance of yemen and in particular aden, which at one time was squeezed out by the british, that is, this was part of system.

eritrea ethiopia and there, by the way, the situation has sharply worsened, ethiopia has now recognized the independence of somaliland, and somaliland is northern somalia, the former british somalia, which is directly adjacent to this strait, here is india, a fast-growing economy, and singapore, the strait of malax, these narrow cities,

whoever controls them controls all the goods.

foreign policy, make sure that its economic, political, military capabilities are not able to solve all these issues , remove it from the equation, make united the states are just an ordinary country, well , like a big one, like india, like australia, like brazil, argentina, well, just a country, in this situation no one is now interested in avoiding conflicts, the united

states, yes, they may not want these conflicts, but they cannot avoid them. because if they avoid them, then they will automatically lose the status of world hegemon, and the rest of the world, seeing that the united states, its influence has wavered, is striving.

this is a direct clash between two nuclear powers, most likely the ussr and the usa , with the use of nuclear weapons, yes, which, well, with some monstrous consequences for humanity, now they are increasingly saying that perhaps it is already underway, well, when we say, it is already underway, such emotional assessment, we see instability in the world, well, it’s like emotions should still be there. be justified by some theoretical conclusions and such a pragmatic analysis, so we can say, given that conflicts have intensified everywhere in the most unexpected regions, there, we recently

had clashes with the papau of new guinea, even, it would seem, ae , that is, the third world war as a certain stage in the development of mankind, which will mean the end of western hegemony, the formation of a new world, most likely, most likely, with several centers influence, as regions with... their regional powers, will go through the third world war, which will take place or is already taking place in the form of several successive and simultaneous large and smaller local conflicts, some of which will involve large players, as we see, for example, in the example of the ukrainian conflict, with a high, high degree of probability, risk of using nuclear weapons in one of these conflicts, that’s it. the picture of the third world war, unfortunately, as a result, yes, there will be a different world, more, hopefully, fair, but certainly more stable. well, in conclusion, let’s pay attention to the map, to the attempts.