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tv   Washington Journal Kirk Bado  CSPAN  July 29, 2024 7:27pm-8:01pm EDT

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government. de host: we are joined by kirk bado of the national journal hotline. remind us about the hotline and work you do there. guest: the hotline is a trade publication. we have a twice daily newsletter that tracks campaigns all over the map with presidential down to state legislators. the last few weeks have been like our super bowl, christmas and 4th of july. host: and world cupment guest: the olympics as well. throw that in there. >> you wrote an article with the era of last year democrats were
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dreading the slog to chicago but now they are giddy. guest: the vibes are jot vibes are good and it comes after a month of complies disarray after biden's debate performance in june if you talk to democrats there, they were so worried, not just about losing the white house but because of biden's poor performance. they're worried about life outside of the senate, worried about more than double digit losses in the house. all the weaknesses and anxieties democrats had pent up over the last year or so, it's compared to a bit of a sugar high and democrat enthusiasm skyrocketed in the last week or so since harry emerged as heir apparent
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and democrat enthusiasm among younger voters and gen z and color as well, which is a key part of the core part of the constituents and democrats and that's not a part for biden. it's a good feeling for democrats right now is harris starts moving ahead and see that and maybe notot necessarily in e polling s head-to-head with trup and harris, but you see that in the i enthusiasm of democrat donors and harris raised over $200 million in the last week alone, 200% more than what she and biden had on cash on hand well, there's 99 days till the election and early voting till
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the end of september and a week or so later is the convention and harris and her raining mate andd it's squashed ahope for a republican postconvention bounce for trump. the news aboutut biden stepping aside,te harris has completely kind of blotted out the sun on what we could traditionally see postconvention or even -- not even talking about this yet, post-assassination attempt and rally around the candidate. according to the polls we've seen so far and we'll have to need a bit more data here and only been a few, but no real bump for trump since the convention and it's huge and such a narrow margin between the two of them.
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jot line where july 21 biden withdraws and you can see here trump gaining on biden and here's the withdrawal and then here's harris. is it too early to kind of see that it does still look like trump is 48% and harris about 46%. is it too early? >> yes u way too early and right now harris has been inheriting biden's polling and the upside for her and upside for democrats is that they are about the floor for biden and harris is the same and the ceiling is so much higher and if you're a democrat, you should be worried and there's a lot of work to do and good feelings like we talked about on democratic side, but there's a lot of work to do in
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the 99 days. they're the underdog and playing catchup 9 right now. if the national polling average, democrat wills need to win the popular vote by four or five points, maybe six point ifs they want to win the electoral college and she'll have her work cut out for her over the next 99 days. >> as you said, it's only # # days and -- 99 days and certainly understand the challenges of very compressed campaign. >> yes, republicans with r kind ofof scrambling last week to fid ans. attack line against her and they had a attack ad but this allows her to microwave a campaign instantly here and inheriting the biden infrastructure and raising a lot oft money unlike someone that
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gretchen whitmer, josh shapiro and one of those inherited the nomination, they'd have had to create their own nationwide network and that's from biden and there's a lot more enthusiasm right now in the key groups of democrats that they're going to need to get across the finish line. >> if you want to callin in and make a comment to our guest kirk bado. it's party democrats (202)748-8000, republican, (282)748-8001 and independents, (202)748-8002. >> he did not endorse here in the days immediately after biden stepping aside. >> do we know why he didn't? >> he wanted an open process and i think the thinking from what i've heard from democrats is that he wants to nothing out of
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her weigh in and play out. >> immediately after the presidency as well and he's been less interested in party politics and building up infrastructure and he got the party handle this and came in and was the cherry on top for the sunday on harris. >> we're in campaign 2.0 mode and most thing haves changed and fundamentals are the same and same six states will be or down
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to florida and she'll concentrate on those six states and those and arizona and biden has been and nevada adds well and sunas belt states and sendig a lot of time in north carolina as well. she picked roy cooper for the term limited governor and
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>> what do you know about the deii attacks and backlash that lawmakers were saying about the attacking vice president harris' race and gender? >> look, when your headline is we're telling our members not to be racist, that's a problem. but you've seen members of congress and the republican party and more conservative areas like tim burchett from tennessee, harry hagman from wyoming and using that style of attack and dei candidate and conflating biden's promise to put a black woman on the supreme court and picking a black vice presidential candidate.
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>> her campaign was a race to the left in the democratic primary and that's what they want to focus on. now, they really have had message discipline here and coming from the top and not just speaker johnson but trump as well and the candidate and presidential run. >> what are we seeing now now that president biden is out of the race? what are we looking at in the house and senate? >> we're see ago lot more enthusiasm right now on the going to parse through what's going on with polling on the
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senate democrats are running ahead of harris in the battleground and it's a blue state in california and new york and urban centers as well and harris hispanic voters and black voters and there's a lot more there and worry that had harris is on the top of the
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ticket and garcia too and suburban areas around new york city and mike law herrera and anthony de-esposito. >> what does this mean for the house? >> difficult and narrow and helping for a lot more than biden dragged down democratic enthusiasm. the senate, that's a different story. >> all right, talk to callers. tom is up first. republican in birmingham, michigan. hi, tom. >> good morning. i'm a registered republican. first voted for george h.w. bush and probably will not vote for harris and being in this area and voter history and >> absolutely. michigan will be the battleground and competitive at presidential level and senate
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level and at they house level right now and look at latest polling from this weekend and the first week, her favorables jumped 11% in the polls two weeks ago and favorable under water and now plus one and if nothing else, it gives democrat as bit of a hard reset right now. we mentioned senate candidates and creating own weather outside of the national environment but harris and democrats are still downright now. they're going to have to be democratic candidates will have to be quite the storm system to overcome the national environment and open seat like in michigan and now retiring and that's going to be one of the hardest holes for democrats right now.
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>> clear ditches in the harris campaign is a campaign for humanity and the trump campaign is white supremacy. no matter how many -- no matter what the words they use. what they are mustering up is the fear it's a campaign for all americans, all human beings, black, white, red, yellow.
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all of them. and to make this country live up to its creed that all men are created equal and not this white supremacist idea of white racist christians they they should dominate the land when this country is made up of all different people and we should all be respectful of each other. >> all right, any comment, kirk? >> thatgu said harris is right there. that's exactly the type of contrast they want to paint right now and you got the memo on the campaign strategy. >> al, in columbus, ohio, independent line. >> yeah, i just wanted to elaborate on what that caller spoke on before i got on.
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the thing about kamala and open boarders, i hear the republicans saying that which she was the -- the democrats are for open boarders but i like to know when was the border ever closed in the united states? when was it ever shut down from all immigrants? and another thing that the caller before me said, i want to know the definition of the left and the right. when you say liberal, if you take it to the extreme, you're talking about, okay, you might say communism but it's talking about freedom for everybody and the same amount of being liberal with all things we need to survive. everything that goes with it and then talking about conservative
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and what -- the right, what is that? is it just to conserve that for white people? >> all right, al. he did mention the border, how big of a deal is that going to be? >> it'll be massive and one of the stronger republican talking point against kamala harris is that she was the de facto border czar for president biden is she had responsibilities for it. the republican campaign committee released a memo early last week laying out policy centric attack against harris and lines they want their candidates to follow and immigration was blaming her for the border crisis, increase in immigration, increase in crime and that's a pretty salient line and released a textbook ad that we'll see copy and pasted throughout the campaign cycle and tieing to harris' more liberal statements from the 2020 race andnd also tieing to harri'
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responsibility for the border. a democrat in arizona or nevada, michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, get ready to see that swapped in with your name throughout the next 99 days. >> we're taking your calls and reminder of the phone lines, democrats 20827488000. republicans, 202-47-4801 and infants (202)748-8002 and chuck on the republican line in clinton, south carolina, you're next. >> good morning. i've been interested inli polits since the start of seventh grade and what i'm saying now is this thing since they started cable news and all that and it's a team support and we don't care whaten happened and you have a n
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of people that don't understand and runs and go back to dc and liberal and don't have a clue about what i think and what they don't understand is from now on and i see these guys working for them working on the table and and that doesn't mean guys don't
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go like that and -- >> chuck, we got that one. immigration and inflation. >> the name at the top of the ticket might change and vice presidential candidate for them and concerned about immigration and offering a potential political her consideration right now with former president trump where jd vance wasn't looking to expand the map at all and wasn't someone like doug burgum or nicky haley or at least could have added a modicum of moderation to the ticket and jd vance 39 years old and going
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back and going for harris is considering right now and between josh shapiro anden minnesota and here in kentucky and someone that can balance out the ticket with a little bit more moderation and expand the map. >> alumni of unc have to support fellow alumni and going to help out a little bit. >> he pronounces his last name a little bit different. >> it's so interested and >> the
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democrats. going for the country and it's the idea that go for the country and that's when you see liberal side believes that government can influence with them and going on the line for jobs and help the little man and i come from the state of texas and the state capitol.
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going to see all kinds of things happen where they are going for the mobile room has crashes and east palestine and real crushing things like that and these are things where they actually the government stepped back and let business do whatever they want. i'm in district 10 and have michael mccaul and he doesn't show up and campaign. he doesn't have to. hot tub tom delay, gerrymander this whole state one time and ever since then, all state
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universities here in the stateit of texas are forbidden to use dei in their enrollment anymore. all of theirth programs and pasd along republicans and internal lost them. 2,000 are black in a state that's 14% black andho those wil come out of the republicans this year. they're going to try and do with all the abortion bans and things like that . they're treatment of women, they're going to try and do everything they've done in texas and steam rolled everybody and they're gone that try and do that on a nationwide level. >> we should talk about texas gerrymandering and the republican party in texas, but i think one of the thins we haven't talked about today is that contrast of deputies want
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to draw with republicans on reproductive health and abortion rights mentioned at the end and that's one of the big drivers behind this enthusiasm for harris right now not because she's younger and a woman of color, but because she's able to talkan a lot more eloquently and prosecute republicans on abortion right and saw that this weekend with all the major campaign committee chairs of the democrat partych going out and hitting the sunday show and harris, it's her belief she can talk about abortion as a black woman because of how the inequities and reproductive healthcare at that community disproportionately saying that president bidenor was reluctanto do and see her as being able to prosecute that case and republicans in a much more efficient way and that's the
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way. >> jay in mississippi, independent line. >> good morning and to me, to me that was a shock because harris was so low that they couldn't find her before and i can't see how all of a sudden she's got so popular. i'm going to ben honest with y, i watched the other day the team teamster president get up on the republican convention and almost endorse donald trump for president. he didn't endorse him but almost did.
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let me tell you something, when labor unions and stuff and stuff like that, things are not going to go well for the deputies and that's all i got to say. >> that's a good point about the labor union and so too with the election right now. one of donald trump's reasons for picking vance isn't because he was trying to double down on that maga base, but because vance kind of can speak to that sort of working class union member voter here. he's a stronger republican and see that as a concerted effort from the republican party and -- >> there's a journal in the national journal hot line what it takes to end a presidential campaign and you're calling it
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with last week and biden as been part of the public life for over 50+ years and went back to 1987 and looked at how you had the first time and what his considerations were and for that i used the really seminole book richard van cramer what it takes about 1,978th presidential campaign and it was the best campaign book of all time. other parallel and going for delaware and spotting the
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reforms of the supreme court and talking about how the plagiarism scandal plaguing his campaign that never caught fire s and running to be the heir to the kennedys and couldn't quite get there. his consideration was that it's his failing campaign is going to overshadow the supreme court confirmation hearingng of robert abortion and abortion was the reagan appoint -- bourg and he was the reagan appointee and wrote one of the most lively and intelligent and educated things about the constitution of america of knock seizure disorders and and then riding in down and and h.s. advertise consideration at that time was a single supremeou court justice. >> his decision to drop out 40
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years later was so much more and if you're going to democrats and future of democracy and at least in the democrats mind is at stake in this election. it's not just one supreme court justice. it could be this and could be the presidential immunity and going to tip the scales 40 years ago and imagine the pressures on him now and it's all about building legacy. >> nick in delray beach, florida, you're next, republican. >> that is laughable. what a great story that joe biden dropped out of 1988 presidential race over judge bork. that takes the cake but that's not what i called about and i'll try to get through this without laughing and i'm going to talk quickly because cspan doesn't like the fact i speak intelligent and truthfully and you like to cut me off quickly and i'll speak fast.
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number one, i cannot believe that cspan is still allowing people to come on the air waves and talk about white supremacy and racism and all this calling republicans and donald trumps white supremacists and everyone that votes for donald trump wants to bring back white supremacy and the domination. when is c-span going to wake up and grow up? >> is that all you've got to say, nick? >> no, it's not. >> sorry, i hit the button too fast. oscar in racine, democrat. >> the recent continuous false information about kamala harris being a dei pick. i'm trying to figure out why is she a dei pick when she was elected by the people by the
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state of california to be their attorney general. she was elected by the people of california to be their senator. she was elected by the people of the united states to be the vice president. so how is that a dei pick? >> any commentary? >> that undercuts the republican message that she's not qualified and that's at the heart of the republican attack line she was a state attorney general and she was a district attorney, she was a senator from california. she has a pretty impressive resume, at least enough for bide ton think she was qualified for th vice presidency. >> what do you think -- >> coming up tonight on c-span 2 and superiority and secretary of the air force melissa dalton and journal policy analyst and presidential election results and later former secretary of state condoleezza rice and
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former defense secretary robert gates talk about u.s. support for ukraine and national security threats from china and iran. all coming up tonight on c-span 2. ... >> cspan.org.

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