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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  December 19, 2023 1:02am-1:31am CET

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2023 has been exceptional for the leader of north korea and his ballistic missiles program. at least 36 missiles launched, one of them carrying a spice satellite into space. and in the last 24 hours to missile test, japan and south korea thing. one of them was an intercontinental ballistic missile, capable of striking the united states. is there a russian component to kim john owns missile ambitions? north korea has been supplying russia with munitions for it's more a get tonight. we ask is why them your potent is he giving kim john on missile technology in return? i bird, coughing, berlin. this is the day the a course we strongly condemned these actions which are inquiry a violation of un security council resolutions and straighten regional pace.
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instability, what will we put on military? strongly condemned was north korea's provocation. that is, heightening the tension and the korean peninsula and region. you're telling me, oh, well, maybe you know the parties concerned face up to the problem on the peninsula. take action for a political settlement there and maintain pay somebody to billing, but also it coming up. one disappointment after another ukraine's counter offensive against russia has not met expectations, and us agent weapons may or may not continue next year. ukraine's haven't given up and won't give up. we know what to do, and you can count on ukraine. and we hope just as much to be able to count on you or tell reviewers watching on cbs in the united states and to all of you
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around the world. welcome. we begin today with a missile test that may deny everyone, especially the us, any sense of security from north korea. in the past 24 hours, north korea has launched to missile to as one of them, according to south korea and japan, capable of reaching any target inside the continental united states. now if this is true, washington and its allies in asia, we'll have to recalculate the threat potential posed by north korea. the us is already warranty on yang that any missile attack would spell the end of the kim john own receipts. all actions, of course, speak louder than words, it doesn't appear that north korea's leader is motivated by any existential fears at the moment. in fact, the number suggests that north korea is moving forward faster than ever with its missile program. so why the hurry and what or who is making this apparent acceleration possible?
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we have more now with this report. it means a continental ballistic miss silo. icbm rockets against the sky is above north korea. earlier this year, south korea's already described as a grave provocation film young's launch of a suspected similar icbm on monday. it's 5th this year. japan says the southern fuel massaro has the potential range of 15000 kilometers is far enough to hit any way on us territory. this is where the latest north korean missile flew. the icbm was launched from nape showing young reach me at altitude of 6000 kilometers. it landed 17 minutes later about 1000 kilometers away invoices, east of north korea, just outside of japan's exclusive economic, sun. tokyo and washington have condemned appealing instructions. a quick step when we go to yeah, after that we strongly condemn these actions which are in clear violation of un security council or by solutions on press and peace and stability in the region to
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oh, cool. yeah. well either dozens, china, no 3 is only official. i didn't criticize problem young's don't saying no need. that the situation on the korean peninsula was complex. sure to attempt to solve the problem through military to terrance and pressure will not work and people finally back fire further intensify and contradictions and intensified tensions. feel young so so cool moves. why? washington? with a reason for it fluids, i mean the growing north korean threats, the us south korea and japan have accelerated military cooperation in recent months . a us new to have had submarine arrived in south korea on sundays. and all that straightening were ready, fractious ties. the smoke cream sauce, letting those last month look to south korea withdrawing from pods of the military pact. ange, it's easing tensions, but north korea withdrew from the agreements, complete the still images appear to show me young bolstering it submitted to your
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presence at southern border. since now with the latest icbm noise, and that's the one in the side of stability on the career. and then eric blah, blah, here is a career research with the german institute for international insecurity affairs. he joins me now. eric is going to have you with this, we saw a record breaking number of north korean weapons test this year. why is the regime and john getting watching so many missiles right now? you know, i think it's of course, always very difficult to know for sure. the exact reasons as to why in north korea tests, particularly the messiah's in brought up, we can say the latest tests, we have to acknowledge 3 main fact tests the 1st one being the continuation of its nuclear modernization. glenda was 1st announced in january of 2021 by consuming sales. the 2nd one would be the most recent meeting of the nuclear sites up to
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grow between south korea in the us just last week in washington, which as you might know has to update that for us. and south korea's contingency planning of for what to do in the event of a nuclear uh the tech by north korea basically. and the 3rd one of costs, of always being internal reasons. we have a very important level of policy planning meeting. i continue on coming up this weekend, 3 of the 12 sun diversity ratio city mice of came down here. and we know that these dates are often symbolically use. that's what it what, what do you make of this? the re, um, in north korea is providing russian with munitions for it use and it's more against ukraine and in return, russia is providing north korea with missile technology that we're seeing now being put to use. what do you make of that? as you know, we saw close, i called the reasoning coordination between russia and north korea. this is very
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obvious, but also between north korea and china. on the other hand, just today, we saw the north korea's vice port in minnesota visiting paging, meeting paging. so foreign minister a, so we see this new of our dynamics on the korean peninsula. and then the other side, of course we see a close up tri electoral coordination between south korea to pen and for us. so this kind of escalation, dynamic is already in place and russians closer coordination with north korea is one aspect. and we see political effects and benefits for north korea, for sure. as you know, since 2017, we didn't see any new and un security council resolutions against north korea, the, the missile that north korea and tested today. excuse me. we understand from south korea and japan that it would have been able to hit any point inside the
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continental united states. how realistic is it that, that the north korean dictator would order that kind of attack or you know, it. so if, if we look at the template to realistically, it's of cause not very obvious at the moment that north korea would detect the u. s . or its allies with these kinds of weapon system, but also monthly. the systems are peanuts to be used in the case of an emergency. and i think what we have to realize is that the dynamics of the korean peninsula, at the moment i really sifting a really influx and in this sense of costs, we also see that north korea continuously diversify since my science system. and this of course also leads to create a threat, so you just have to think about an unintended escalation which could happen, especially in times when we don't have stable communication funds with north korea . things like this can escalate very much. and there are also,
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of course going to take the challenges and security challenges coming in though eric fall back with the german institute for international and security affairs. eric, we appreciate your time and your analysis tonight. thank you to ukraine. now we're, their ongoing concerns at the campaign against russian is stalling along the front lines with the supply of western weapons held up by political disputes. ukrainian soldiers are increasingly relying on their own creations to help defend against russian forces. we'll have a special report on that in just a moment, but 1st a look at why the high hopes for ukraine's summer counter offensive have been all but dashed are looking about. but also looking forward in february, you trains president mont, to you since the still insufficient invasion. remembering the full and rewarding failures, he made it, and raising hopes the 2nd year of the little movie stay. and we
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have survived this as now, but we have not been defeated. we'll see. and we will do everything to when will this year to look at the zalinski problem is to take the offense safe in 2023. with his forces boasted by deliveries of western weapons and equipment, hopes will high for a decisive victory into any june of 2 months of preparation. his troops launch their attack. they hit the russians on the 3 axes, one of the east to invite south. the main objective was to cut the russian army into an separate supply lines to try me. it wasn't ambitious plan. after months of intense and costly fighting, ukraine succeeded in making some gains but slowly and painfully about to a full of a 7 village of little. but tna was symbolic of the difficulties ukrainian forces and counted rober pads. wishing defences with dense mun fields, mazes of trenches,
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barbed wire, and on the tank ditches. bottles that fierce because we are moving forward. and that's the main thing that we're i think you guys for every ukrainian flag that is now returning to be trifled place. so they need some, a 5, a time. the training slack was raised a little bit. the name of the end of august, ukraine's army had suffered heavy losses. so lensky said ukraine had waited too long for western weapons. the delay gave rushing more time to the pad. the battle field. as his forces took stalk zalinski headed to washington to boast as a port full lo efforts. after the setbacks, republicans are reluctant to release small funds for ukraine, ukraine's having given up and want give up. we know what to do, and you can count on ukraine, and we hope just as much to be able to count on you. but to crane and united
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states are, it's all i don't want to do next. keefe wants to go back on the offensive for us ones that to pursue a more conservative strategy. vista, meanwhile, has recruits and reinforced its troops vis footage claims to show you what you create in units on the defensive move, eastern city of i discussed ukraine's contra offensive failed to deliver only a new strategy and renewed international support. can break what has now become a stalemate for more i want to bring in now frank lead, which he is a senior lecturer in military strategy at portsmouth university. he's also a former british military intelligence officer. he joins us tonight from oxford. frank, it's good to have you with us. again. if i go back to the early part of this year and think about the anticipation that was building, i mean in the spring that followed a stalled rushing defensive from the the preceding winter. and you had you cree
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receiving heavy weapons and training from nato members. and then at some point we were talking about ukraine's attacks stalwart. is there one event in in your recollection that would explain how we've gone from anticipation to disappointment? well could ab brent, it's nice to be with you. look your report that mentioned expectations and expectations were high certainly about political level. but i would say just before they offensive started, you kind of military officials of highest levels wellness. so treat me all right. as perhaps i'm less than commentators and they accepted the reality that this was an additional that expectations. why that this would be the 1st of a series of blows and an additional campaign. now they blame game since that even those minimal objectives, which by the way, specifically what to get to the town and stronghold of talk mark,
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thank felt sure. by about 20 kilometers, i thought that would get that they didn't, those expectations was much, and it has been, as i said, something of a plane game for the sweet problem, the salts that was mentioned. then you'll find summary before is one element. the us recommended on tape probably rightly one focused assault with pipes and developing the tax and it's western binding data. the military's sensible military strategy will also 1 may not exist and there was no one main access. they also west can commentators. we'll talk about the delay again, mentioned in your report that allowed the rest is to strengthen. that force is what the kinds of side is. yes, we are waiting for those weapons west. and as would say roughly that ukraine should be expected to conduct combined dogs. i'll probations near they didn't tell them nearly enough time to change another treat culture, set up. the blame game has now stopped and we all why we all asked for
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a single question. you asked us for a single event? no, i don't think so because of course the overriding element today, since the enemy's go to vote on russian defense is, was simply too strong. for example, to ask you, i wasn't the us recently, and i was struck by the reporting beer about this more. and the message was that us military officials had been pushing ukraine to follow the one certain strategy. ukraine's military officials wanted to follow a different strategy and that explains why we're at what has come to be an unfortunate place in, in this course of events. can we explain? is it that easily explain that the ukrainians have not done what the americans would have liked them to do? as i'd say about staging on the spaces with all due respect to those uh, those senior mountain advisors, the reality is on the ground. well, then, you crane has an army of 800000 men and a few 1000 come back,
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come with the male competence. you cannot prepare an army that size to fight the kind of combined alms operations. the nato professional forces trade for decades in this would be expected to fight, even if they had the time, they didn't have anything like the resources they required to do so. for example, the assumptions for such combined dogs operations in the west nato would be on well in, for example, a rock in 2003 or 1991 that we would have both of welding at dominance doesn't lead simple at dominance. there's no way to your credit is we're going to get the, even the, the able to the area of drugs. so those assumptions, i think will misconceived from the stopped ukraine, has its own military culture, which is derived from soviet and electric culture. and that's the natural way of things, and i mean like that, you kind of shift that in, in, in one and a half years of intense combat, all the 7 years of there's all 3 nights of training that went to school. so not,
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i don't buy that tool, i'm fine and i would stress the one point that if the united states and a senior come on does a political leaders what really determined to allows you probably not just to sustain itself, but to go forward. and when they should release, so number is they have thousands of mother, she vehicles ready to go in the long time. no, i bought it for a long time along with many others that dr. goes to the release of those depends on a long term strategy, which we have yet to see in the united states. yeah. and pull this up for that much . well, and i'm wondering what, what is this doing to the psyche of the, the soldiers ukrainian soldiers. they have been hearing now for more than a year from the west, particularly from the united states that we are with you as long as it takes. and now president zalinski was just in washington trying to convince him, politically doesn't get on the hill to keep the aid and the weapons going at least into next year. i mean, that's a radically different position than what we've been hearing for most of this more
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be that that's got to, we're down to the morale with the soldiers. yes. while you hit the nail on the head with comments, as long as it takes those of us familiar, which is pretty much all of us, and many, many of us will remember that they, it was now that defined the previous less than compounds and isn't defined. now, now of course we don't have boxes, so as the, as the defining stable what we have is not as long as it takes, but as long as we come to quote, president bite and the other day. and this goes back on to keep mistake. if there was one will come back to the soldiers on the front of the 2nd. and so by simple one, we did not set a long term strategy early enough. i'm talking about 18 months ago. we have must not forget that you probably will have to defend itself, not just next year, but for to 2 years and 10 years ahead. those preparations are being made either. now let's go the soldiers at the front. i've spoken to 2 people at the front in the
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last 2 weeks and, and a few people in case of today and the soldiers that, of course neurology is actually not as low as you would think. it's the kind of morality you would expect in the nutritional bottle. it's, it's that these people a hot day. what that determined, but they understand that difficulties lie had a still contra talking and they're still holding on now. and it's likely that they will continue to hold it to the new. yeah. but of course, the main constraint is the side is how long cannot go on in the absence of the kind of bust assistance that they will need not just next year, but into the future. you know, frankie and i, we've talked numerous times since this will begin to end and correct me if i'm wrong. but tonight i, i can hear some serious frustration in your voice about, you know, concerning the way this war is going right now. let's look into 2024. what would be, what do you consider to be a realistic path that we're going to see? the ukrainian military being able to take so right,
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so to talk to the level that object is will clearly be to hold on to what they've gotten and managing to do that now under under very great pressure. the challenge will kind of course, look i've, who's got to crystal, but the likelihood is i'll be the russian if it's after the russian election size, i suspect uninstalled the restroom mobilization. now that will challenge zalinski on his, on his team to essentially to introduce conscription because one of the main constraints in ukraine in a overall training approach is not in power. the 2nd, the cost is equipment. so with those constraints in mind, the expectations should be that will hold on to what we call. but also there's another element here. and i think that another approach they will take of should take is to strengthen the connective tissues of their own forces west. now even looking towards china is looking at a cross domain integration. now you can't,
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these aren't going to get that yet. but if anyone's going to get there in europe, they stamped bond. i think just to summarize, general sellers, these a statement, i think pretty much like this we called last week look, we're looking for something to, to, to break the on past it to break the, the style. make the take it out since then. ok. but evidently, all on i think what that might be is, is this it called trust unaided to gratian and strengthening, for example, that electronic wolf at capabilities focusing on the uh that the terrible uh, effects of, of drove off and not doing that right now. but like all of this absolutely requires huge amounts of less than assistance. they will need to sustain this additional right into the future. and what we need now is a decades of strategy as to how you create is going to go from what amounts to us. next stop you're telling me where the mission roster of equipment started west and us into a need. so
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a nice has started on sources. we see popped. i've seen that start with the essex deeds on the defenses, which i, which a great site, particularly i, defenses. but across the piece. not so much. right, before we let you get to don't ask you, would you, how important is of us congressional approval of more aid for ukraine? how important is that to ukraine's military being able to, you know, survive all the 2024 or, i mean, are we, or are we at a situation that is that dire? but it's absolutely essential, but it always has to be, you know, this, it shouldn't be a moment to panic anymore than this time. last year was in the us assistance on to lesser extent, european or the cup. it's bad that i think in terms of equipment is a, this is in terms of equipment we're talking about here because a good credit is going to ask fair amount of money from europe, but they're not gonna have to spend it on anything. they need us material assistance, us assistance with neighbors and combination from around the world. if they don't
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get that, they will be in trouble and they may have to be serious consideration given to another approach, the military in the military defense. so it's absolutely central, but it always has been brent since day one. the us set itself up in this war to be awesome to look democracy. and right now it's not b c dot definition. and some would say, i would say certainly for at least for the last year or so it hasn't, it hasn't released opened this hospitals. it shows no sign of doing so. and i'm speaking care of the thousands of times on it because i'm yes, stretching it across the board and pull the enable us, hold all that together. it shows no sign of releasing those any time soon i needs to military analysts. frank language is always frank. we appreciate your time and your honest and candid analysis. very important right now is it always is. thank you. thank you. but for germany says it has signed a historic agreement to deployed troops. in lithuania,
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it will be the 1st time that german bonus, their soldiers are permanently stationed outside the countries on boarders german defense minister orest. the story is saying, germany is ready to defend native territory historic signature, germany and miscellaneous, signed a roadmap for the deployment of a german boot in despair brigade to the baltic country. for the 1st time since world war 2, the german army will station soldiers permanently abroad. the reason rush, i poses a threat to europe as a whole, not just ukraine. some 4800 german military personnel and 200 civilians will make up the list way. any a brigade they are there is to detailed rest it from attacking. the small bolted countries a potential threat, the west, the military lines, nato, is taking very seriously. with the less way near brigade, germany aims to help springs and nato's eastern slang. since specialists invasion of ukraine and february 2022. the bonus van has redefined its goals. the focus is
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now on national defense and strengthening nato of today's a milestone. is that very new project and the very impressive project kind of thing . we signed the roadmap as is absolutely new for germany. absolutely new for the buddhist with the 1st time we do that. it's a huge challenge, but we are really willing to do it. and we are keen on being successful together without at least reading and friends. germany already leads nato, as multinational bethel group. and this, when you of some 1000 troops which will be integrated into the new brigade. the german defense minister also used the occasion to sign the german soldiers stationed already in this way. now, as part of a traditional christmas trips visit. it is hopes that the new german brigade will help secure nato's eastern border. it will likely be fully operational by 2027. this is the day we will see you tomorrow. the
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a pulse, the the beginning of a story. that takes us along for the ride. it's about the perspectives culture information. this is the the news w.
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mine's the slow death of an african fishing village, a combo in sierra leone have made their living from fishing for centuries. but no. strollers are threatening the coast. many villagers have been forced to abandon their families because they have no suit to intone, need boats, empty men. in 45 minutes on d, w, the, the monumental structures of the stone age milestones in the history of mankind. some of its greatest needs as a monument to stone arrangements that people elected long before the pyramid
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