tv The Day Deutsche Welle March 7, 2024 3:02am-3:30am CET
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campaign to become the us 1st woman president, just like that. the stage is set for a rematch of the 2020 presidential election the roles of challenger and then come into our reverse this time around. but the picture is all too familiar to millions of disenchanted motors who want to see neither job. i'm nor donald trump in the white house on the call for ocean berlin. and this is the day the in all likelihood donald trump will be the republican nominee when our party convention meets in july. well, thank you very much. the call is super tuesday for a reason. i congratulate him and wish him well. an amazing night, an amazing day. it's been an incredible period of time. oh, i'm terribly frustrated with this country. i mean, the fact that we have flight and trump to choose from home. and this is the crazy
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one. also on the day, the on chart and world of artificial intelligence, who can make sure the tools greeting our wildest dreams today on turn into our biggest nightmares tomorrow. i think this little want to be really valid reasons for concern about how these models. many of them, and i, and all the others out there like use for propaganda purposes might use furnace various purposes. fraud. welcome to the day. the writing has long been on the wall, but now it's official. the race to become the next president of the united states has turned into a 2 horse event less than 8 months from now. americans will get to choose between an unpopular incumbent, joe biden, and his equally unpopular freed assessor donald trump as follows. and to get here leaves decision to suspend her campaign for the republican party nomination and
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a massive sweep of victories and super tuesday voting for trump and bind. hayley dropped out after winning just one state when she announced her decision. she congratulate a trump, but refused to encourage her supporters to vote for him. in all likelihood, donald trump will be the republican nominee when our party convention meets in july . i congratulate him and wish him well. i wish anyone well would be america's president. our country is too precious to let our differences divide us. i have always been a conservative republican and always supported the republican nominee. but on this question, as she did on so many others, margaret better provided some good advice when she said, quote, never just follow the crowd, always make up your own mind. so hailey's campaign didn't survive super tuesday. let's look at how the biggest day in the us. i liked her old calendar so far and
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folded beyond that super tuesday, this time did not come. which big surprises us donald trump cemented his hold on the republican presidential nomination. he says, this is one of the finest run campaigns that anybody has ever seen. that's pretty good, right? as for the real estate and we have no choice because november 5th, right around the corner. november 5th is going to go down as the single most important day in the history of our country. donald trump's lead means and in timothy hayley's campaign. halley has won 2 primaries, making her the 1st republican move and to do so was it smells enough to win the nomination. in a statement or spokes person said to day and stays after state the remains,
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the large block of republican primary voters who are expressing deep concerns about donald trump. golf is not the unit c r parssi needs for success. addressing those voters concerns will make the republican party and america besser for the democratic nomination. president politeness the leading contender and she has no substantial primary challenge. so the trunk bite and re match in november looks quite likely. many american folks are say they would have preferred new options this year, rather than a rematch the mattress. oh, i'm terribly frustrated with this country. i mean, the fact that we have binding in trump to choose from. it's disgraceful. it's just disgraceful. we don't need to oxygen ariens in office running for office. there's plenty of other people who were earlier in their careers who could run and do a better job than those to me. a lot of my friends would be out voting like even my
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girlfriend hasn't bother voting in cheese, hasn't missed the single one. how come our best choice is joe biden? his candidate, he hasn't done anything. you're gonna build up any of them from, is it so no, i'm just, i'm just not happy with the, the, the to binary choices. and they're both with super, to stay behind. always will be on the election in november where americans will pick their next president's catherine, please. i asked, broke, joins with alex is a political scientist and transatlantic relations expert with b bertelsmann foundation here in berlin. katherine, good to see you. now we just turn donald trump, they're saying november 5th is going to be the single most important day in us history. do you agree? well, donald trump would say that because he's also promised to be a dictator on day one, begins changing the internal workings of the american governments, starting with the judicial system, starting with the civil director, c, and an exercise retribution on all his political enemies. because again, this is a man who is accused in 4 major lawsuits and really only can slieve forward into
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that kind of election. and on the other hand, nobody will make that case. you will start making it tomorrow in the state of the union address that again, democracy, the system, integrity of the united states is on the line and that will be what he will try to motivate his motors with. but as we saw on super tuesday, yes, both men brought in big victories, but they also showed weaknesses in, in their own campaigns. and so how that will shake out is what the next couple of months will show. and that we've heard a lot of frustrated motors there. where does that? that feeling? so sim from here think well, a lot of it is the fact that they are in fact the age that they are. we effectively have to incumbents running against one another, which is to say that the voters have seen their playbooks. and a lot of americans are looking for a whole new set of fresh ideas. even though the economy on a lot of different scales is booming. you have a 30 year high on suited prices. americans no longer feel that the american dream
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is reachable for them, that their children will have a better fortune than they have had. that promise was broken after the financial crisis, and then exacerbated through the pandemic. so you have a country that is hurting, that is looking for a different options. and the options that they will likely find on their ballots in november are 2 men that are heading it either either in their eighty's or heading into their eighty's. the don't seems to be a fundamental promise of a sort of new and accelerated future. so those 2 men will now focus on trying to win over haley as paul. busy years, which way do you think the more moderate conservatives are likely to mean? now that nikki haley has withdrawn as well. the more conservative followers of the healey campaign will likely line up behind donald trump, perhaps for grudgingly. so, but that's really what is interesting about this haley campaign. it's as we would say in american english to 64000 dollar question, because for every hayley,
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it's important that you ask on one side, you'll get an answer that hit tells toward the other side. the washington post asked 40 haley supporters just a couple of hours ago, and it was pretty evenly split between a possible 3rd candidate, maybe robert f. kennedy. maybe whoever the know labels movement puts forward the joe by word donald trump. so it's really in that sense, nikki haley is right, it's donald trump's, a pitch to those voters to win. but joe biden came out strongly, a couple of hours on social media right after haley's announcement. fighting for those motors, i think we'll hear something to that regard in the state of the union address. he will certainly be pitching toward the haley motor toward the undecided voters. because again, this is an election that will hinge on 3 to 5000000 american voters. and that is it . mm hm. so the stage is set for a rematch of 2020. there seems to be a little appetite among americans for that. how do you think the lack of enthusiasm
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for either a candidate could affect the election to it will be a huge factor. the reason that in 2020 uh, joe 51 and the way that he did was 7000000 votes and we had, you know, a voter turnout that was historically high is because he was able to bring out a coalition, particularly of young voters that really felt at the state and the future of the country was on the line. now you see young waters, particularly air of american african american voters, very affected by the, by the ministrations decision in the gaza. israel situation 14 delegates will travel from the state of minnesota to chicago for the convention that had promoted uncommitted in yesterday's super tuesday balance. so joe biden has issues and trying to keep his coalition together, but he has to hold it together and he has to motivate it to come out in, come out, at least in the same form as he did before because the margins are just so very
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tight to various known characters, how much of a dish, or would you predict be the actual campaign to be? it will it will be similar, but trump will be more straight. and we've already seen that his rhetoric is more extreme. his rhetoric is more strategic, shall we say he now has more people writing a program for him that could have drastic consequences. not only for americans, mastic politics, think of immigration, think of tre, think of industrial policy. but he is also just going to ramp and dial up a ramp up to the dial and possibly break it off because he's already talked about deportation camps. he's talked about military and the american streets. he's talked about invoking the insurrection, act to suppress protesters against him. those are all those are all the tween kids of author, terry, in the world over. and if he continues that way, i don't see him winning the middle of the tax code, the undecided voters,
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the voters who are on the on the fence. and that again, will be a chance for joe biden. as long as these people don't feel like this is an election that they can sit out as long as the arguments around individual race, around a portion around individual protections and around saving democracy still works for the democrats. and they can make rational appeal to the fact that the economy is doing much, much better. and probably anybody expected at this moment now is catherine. clover ashbrook looked at us one fine day, some. thank you so much. my pleasure. the united nation says 2023 was the deadliest year for my grandson's records began a decade ago. at least a 1565 people died on migration routes worldwide. the ones international organization for migrations that last year's total was a 20 percent jump on the year before. the mediterranean sea remains the deadliest
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around, but unprecedented numbers of deaths were also recorded in africa and asia. while european states are trying to clamp down on a regular and border crossing i want to welcome community because she is the associated director of the migration policy institute enjoys we know from parents welcome to the day and 2023 was the deadliest here for migrant since records began, are more people seeking to leave their home countries, are they choosing more dangerous routes? a mix up its mix of factors more people are leaving the end. the routes are also increasingly dangerous. and here what, what i want to phone died also is that the number of tests is, is much higher than what the un, my organization for migration as managed to, to record and, and, and we need to think, um, you know, so many families that are left for years without knowing what, what has happened to, to their relative. and i believe the,
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the situation speaks to the pressing need for you many targeting operation in the many turn in to assess migrants who are facing desperate and situation. let's see. what do you make of the ears policy and the the attempts to get a unified stance and, and um, and handling of the, the arrival of my friends that they have time and again called a crisis. yeah. they, they are too many challenges for you in policy maker. one is the number of people there's and will, forcibly displace is, is increasing around the word from you brain on the stones to your, you all, a sudan. and, and so europe, you know, has been deploying many efforts to bulk and ukrainian refugees. but people from other part of the word are also hoping to be protected in europe. and the other 10 inches is a significant portion of the people who are launching an s o in claim in europe are
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likely to receive international protection and returning them to their country of origin is a fin extremely challenging. so there's, they are no easy solution to this issue of building us from system so that they can deliver, you know, faster, better decision is, is important. but so he's working very closely with countries of origin countries of transit, including to address a very factor that drives these people and to take this routes. and i think we also need to be honest, the people are coming to europe also because they know they can find jobs in their country in germany, in france. and initially, what are the main drivers of migration or what happened? the drivers in the past year, especially so this migration drivers are, you know, are always very complex. um if, if we look just i'd, lets say um do 2 national, these are national geo top arrival and in the you last year who lots of nestling claims. syrians, enough guns, and it's clear said findings using government or driving people to flee their
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country. and the neighboring countries are not welcoming them anymore. you wrong protest in turkey are already hosting millions of, of refugees and experiencing challenging challenges punched cole, you know, um, political debates and, and they also adopting more restrictive policies. now, there have been efforts in several countries now to send migraines to 3rd can. what do you make of this? an out of sight, out of mind vitality. this is a line, the broader training you're up to, to externalize these issue. we've seen investment in the past few years, you know, in border, in, in working with their country to increase border management and to smuggling efforts. now not all of these deals with their country in our body, in a sense we need, we need agreement with countries to manage migration together. the issue however,
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is, is when these, these agreements are way for your p n government to escape to evade their responsibility. wanting to come to, to international protection and all of their international commitment that they've made. you know, with the geneva convention to do to begin with. yeah. migration. pretty much the world over is a highly politicized issue. how dangerous is that? i mean, it is an issue that, that there is that i think affect oliver society and the policy makers need to address what's, what's very challenging. it's like migration ease of realty. and i think we're a number of, of government in the past few years and have been looking. i've been looking for it for short term solution for easy one and, and, and i failed to explain to the public. and that these require, you know, much more structural efforts. and i think we also need to keep in mind that, you know, with climate change affecting a number of a fluid and middle income country. and it is likely that the many of the driver
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that's an are drive, you know, that are affecting people or not. but that are pushing them to leave a home at the moment. will be exhaustive dated in the years to come. that was coming because of the migration policy institute. thank you so much for those insights. thank you. the link for this is stephen hawking ones warrants that artificial intelligence will be either the best or the worst thing ever to happen to humanity. and it seems like with every passing day, we're edging closer to finding out as holding fast. and humans, especially legislators, are struggling to keep up. now the makers of chat, g p t, have launched another revolutionary tool that a sparked all and lots of concern. these puppies don't exist. the video is generated by an occupational intelligence algorithm. they may, sora,
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the new text. the video generates it from open a i. a year ago, the best day i videos were like this rather confusing big commercial. now open a i says, or a can create clips like this from a use of text prompt, a brief written instruction of what to show. this the company says was created from the prompt, tour of an art gallery with many beautiful works of 10 different styles. spots as spectacular as many examples on sorres' homepage might seem open a admits the program still has some flaws. a video generators need to apply the laws of physics and understand how lighting changes in a moving scene, for example. and so it doesn't get all of that just yet.
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but as the world is discovering with the text and image generators, these algorithms run fast. some of the bags like this one created with mine journey, already creeping into the public domain. they could be very disruptive, politically, socially and personally, making it very difficult to determine what's real and what's not open. i is so concerned about the dangers sort of could pose, it's not releasing the program until it has safeguards in place. daniel ariah is a senior fellow at the center for international governance innovation, and an expert on artificial intelligence. daniel, welcome. are we heading toward a world where we can't trust anything, not even videos. and so in cute little hobbies. i mean, i think unfortunately that's where we're at now. we can, you know, government mandate certain requirements to make sure that these images are
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legitimate. we can develop authentication tools. we can, you know, develop a more critical awareness for how the videos are distributed, where they're made. there's a lot we can apply. but i think the fact of the matter is that we're entering a new era when in which this kind of technology becomes widespread. it's democratizing and i think the more people that are involved in creating a crafting this technology, more they spread through social media and more possible will be for states or governments to constrain atlanta and how they're used. so it is a very difficult problem. we're chasing for all of us, non experts out there who, you know, don't want to be filled other, any reliable tricks to identifying a i generated images to tell real from fake it might be so far. if you look at even the videos of sar right now, you can see some issues around the snowflakes or get, for example, of those copies. or you can look at the basic physics that are floyd, but i mean these technologies are improving and leaps and bounds. we're looking at
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an s curve or exponential shift and how these, these tools improve. and so i think whatever we did today, we use forensic analysis, or we started to reverse engineer how these videos for constructed down the road a year or 2. it will be impossible to use the same method. so i think it's a, it's a difficult and under and we're facing. that's not to say it's not resolvable. i don't mean to be pessimistic. i think that it's just a new phase in maternity and it's something that is challenging, but not impossible to solve. part of it is just the agency of the people are citizens that are the people themselves were consuming the media. they have to be made aware of the fact that this video gonna be real and until we get there, i want to take a closer look at the political impact with you, because we're in the middle of the biggest election year in history. how big of a threats do you think a poses to democracy? i mean, i think democracy face has a lot of challenges right now,
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i think as one of those things. but there's no doubt democracies are in some respects moving too slowly. technology has, is accelerating in its pace. our legislature legislators are slowly trying to resolve these issues around regulation. but i don't think that in another child will do the job then that'll analog i was uses that you know parliament or like, uh, coders. and so they're trying to right out with the legislation, i can manage this shift. the facts of the matter is that, you know, coding is disappearing as a profession. so somehow something has to be done with regard to how democracy's function and how they operate in terms of a good straining and mat, edging and regulating technology. what, what your suggestion would be when it comes to safeguards that needs to be put in place to prevent this from creating complete and utter chaos. well, i don't know if it's going to treat great, complete, or chaos,
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but i think people are losing faith in our institutions. and that's not without good reason. but the fact is that we as a, a, a driving civilization are dealing with changes that we've never seen before. and the consequential changes is that we need to begin to deploy tools and government government tends to be one of the more resistant domains to uptake in terms of leveraging these technologies that i think united by that i mean a on software. and i think government has to move faster, has to be much more attractive, much more efficient at understanding the changes ahead rather than always playing catch up and is predictive to ad trillions of dollars to the global economy in the next couple of years. and just to wrap up, who will be the winners and losers of this development to i mean, obviously the corporations are going to do well. microsoft is going to do as a half the prize and opening i. i think there's room for startups in new software
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companies that will disrupt older markets. if you look at the film industry, for example, there's a huge opportunity to disrupt tyler films are made. and i think there's a room for young smart, how rich people to become involved in developing new software platforms. and we said that, hey, i is also an automated technology. and so lots of people lose our jobs unfortunately. and so i think we have to start to consider what our economy looks like when people fall out of it. i think that's happening already. and i think that as we begin to robert heads around where this is going, we should start thinking about experiment. so i don't just mean you be, i mean there's other approaches to this, but i do mean think about an economy in which not everybody's working at full capacity. that's something which they need to consider. feel like, well bring you in more often to have you explained this brand new world to us. that was daniel ariah with a center for international governance and innovation. thank you so much. thank you . a british though has welcome this spiking curity, which i promise is not
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a i generate and this is a baby porcupine. the car, even name is in baldwin and names were joyce, and these are the 1st pictures of the 14 fed published by the zoo newborn joins a family of 3. the suit capers. still don't know whether the car is male or female, but one thing they're sure of the one month old has a confident, adventurous personality, and follows its mother everywhere. just as a church side is there a time, but make sure to stay informed. stay engaged and stay in touch for now though, from the entire team here on the day. thank you so much for sending parts of your day by the
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germany desperately means for skilled workers. what are the solution? one's on board is focused on drawing in more international talent. other businesses or offering recruits a 4 day work week? a i will handle the paperwork in the future. is that all as hip and cool as it sounds? total labor markets are evolving, made in germany next on d. w. conflicts with sarah kelly 5 months into the war and gaza and sadly chaos around and aid con boy has glaringly highlighted the desperation and climbing death
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full amongst civilians. my guess is sweet on complex phone is not through with finding form egyptian foreign minister and long time diplomat. at what point is egypt have no choice, but to consider opening a folder to thousands onto monetary in ground conflict. in 60 minutes on dw, the moving away when it's 40 degrees celsius in the shade can be deadly. during times of climate change. i asked where hers, what was the most difficult part of their job? uniformly, they spoke about she being the most difficult part of their jobs. men described it as a feeling of drowning. the sky was melting and you couldn't breathe. how do rising temperatures change from different parts of the world
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in fennel, march 15th on dw, the, your job, your life, your future. so how can you navigate what lies ahead? where and how you work can make all the difference. maybe a new app could help you find the perfect job or a 4 day work week to clear your head. but well, artificial intelligence put your job at risk, or kind of shrinking population create a labor shortage. and what's the difference and how you relax and celebrate make check it out. this edition of made.
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