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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  March 7, 2024 6:02am-6:30am CET

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campaign to become the us 1st woman president, just like that. the stage is set for a rematch of the 2020 presidential election the roles of challenger and then come into our reverse this time around. but the picture is all too familiar to millions of disenchanted motors who want to see neither job. i'm nor donald trump in the white house on the call for ocean berlin. and this is the day the in all likelihood donald trump will be the republican nominee when our party convention meets in july. well, thank you very much. the call is super tuesday for a reason. i congratulations and wish him well. an amazing night and amazing day. it's been an incredible period of time. oh, i'm terribly frustrated with this country. i mean, the fact that we have plight and prompts to choose from home. and this is
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a crazy one. also on the day, the on chart and world of artificial intelligence, who can make sure the tools creating our wildest dreams today on turn into our biggest nightmares tomorrow. i think this little want to be really valid reasons for concern about how these models. many of them, and i and all the others out there like use for propaganda purposes might be used for nefarious purposes. fraud. welcome to the day. the writing has long been on the wall, but now it's official. the race to become the next president of the united states has turned into a 2 horse event less than 8 months from now. americans will get to choose between an unpopular incumbent, joe biden, and his equally unpopular freed assessor donald trump. as follows, and to get haley's decision to suspend her campaign for the republican party
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nomination, and a massive sweep of victories and super tuesday voting for trump and bind. hayley dropped out after winning just one state when she announced her decision. she congratulate a trump, but refused to encourage her supporters to vote for him. in all likelihood, donald trump will be the republican nominee when our party convention meets in july . i congratulate him and wish him well. i wish anyone well, who would be america's president? our country is too precious to let our differences divide us. i have always been a conservative republican and always supported the republican nominee. but on this question, as she did on so many others, margaret boucher provided some good advice when she said, quote, never just follow the crowd. always make up your own mind. so hailey's campaign didn't survive super tuesday. let's look at how the biggest day in the us. i liked
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her old calendar so far unfolded beyond that super tuesday, this time did not come with big surprises us donald trump cemented his hold on the republican presidential nomination. he said, this is one of the finest run campaigns that anybody has ever seen. that's pretty good, right? as for the real estate and we have no choice because november 5th, right around the corner. november 5th is going to go down as the single most important day in the history of our country. donald trump lead means and then typically hey, he's campaign. hailey has one to primaries making her the 1st republican move in to do so. but it's not enough to win the nomination in a statement or spokesperson said today and stays off to state the remains. the
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large block of republican primary voters who are expressing deep concerns about donald trump does is not the units the are partially needs for success. addressing those voters concerns will make the republican party and america best or for the democratic nomination. president biden is the leading contender and she has no substantial primary challenge. so the trunk bite and re match in november looks quite likely that many american folks are say they would have preferred new options this year rather than a rematch around or oh, i'm terribly frustrated with this country. i mean, the fact that we have biden and trump to choose from, it's disgraceful. it's just disgraceful. we don't need to octogenarians in office running for office. there's plenty of other people who were earlier in their careers who could run and do a better job than those to me. a lot of my friends would be out voting um,
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like you, my girlfriend has and bother voting and cheese hasn't missed the single one. how come our best choice is joe biden? his candidate, he hasn't done anything. you're gonna build up any of his promises. so no, i'm just, i'm just not happy with the, the, the to binary choices. and they're both with super, to stay behind. always will be on the election in november where americans will pick their next president's catherine clue, but as pro joins with alex is a political scientist and transatlantic relations expert with b bertelsmann foundation. here in berlin. katherine, good to see you. now we just turned donald trump, they're saying november 5th is going to be the single most important day in us history. do you agree? well, donald trump would say that because he's also promised to be a dictator on day one, begins changing the internal workings of the american governments. starting with the judicial system started with a single drop per se, and an exercise retribution on all his political enemies. because again, this is a man who is accused in 4 major lawsuits and really only can sleep forward into
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that kind of election. and on the other hand, nobody will make that case. you will start making it tomorrow in the state of the union address that again, democracy, the system, integrity of the united states is on the line and that will be what he will try to motivate his motors with. but as we saw on super tuesday, yes, both men brought in big victories, but they also showed weaknesses in, in their own campaigns. and so how that will shake out is what the next couple of months will show. and yet we've heard a lot of frustrated motors there. where does that? that feeling to stem from here think? well, a lot of it is the fact that they are in fact the age that they are. we effectively have to incumbents running against one another, which is to say that the voters have senior playbooks. and a lot of americans are looking for a whole new set of fresh ideas. even though the economy on a lot of different scales is booming. you have a 30 year high on suited prices. americans no longer feel that the american dream
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is reachable for them, that their children will have a better fortune then they have had that promise was broken after the financial crisis, and then exacerbated through the pandemic. so you have a country that is hurting, that is looking for a different options. and the options that they will likely find on their ballots in november are 2 men that are heading it either either in their eighty's or heading into their eighty's. the don't seems to be a fundamental promise of a sort of new and accelerated future. so those 2 men will now focus on trying to win over haley's followers. which way do you think the more moderate conservatives are likely to mean? now that mckayla has withdrawn? as well, the more conservative followers of the healey campaign will likely line up behind donald trump, perhaps for grudgingly. so what, that's really what is interesting about this haley campaign, it's, as we would say in american english to $64000.00 question,
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because for every haley at the corner that you asked on one side, you'll get an answer that hit tell us toward the other side, the washington post asked 40 haley supporters just a couple of hours ago, and it was pretty evenly split between a possible 3rd candidate, maybe robert f. kennedy. maybe whoever the know labels movement puts forward the joe by word donald trump. so it's really in that sense, nikki haley is right, it's donald trump's, a pitch to those voters to win. but joe biden came out strongly, a couple of hours on social media right after hailey's announcement. fighting for those motors, i think we'll hear something to that regard in the state of the union address, he will certainly be pitching toward the haley road or toward the undecided voters . because again, this is an election that will hinge on 3 to 5000000 american voters. and that is it . mm hm. so the stage is set for a rematch of 2020. there seems to be a little appetite among americans for that. how do you think the lack of enthusiasm
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for either candidate could affect the election? and it will be a huge factor. the reason that in 2020 uh, joe 51. and the way that he did was 7000000 votes. and we had, you know, a voter turnout that was historically high is because he was able to bring out a coalition, particularly of young voters that really fell at the state. and the future of the country was on the line. now you see young waters, particularly air of american african american voters, very affected by the, by the ministrations decision in the gaza. israel situations 14 delegates will travel from the state of minnesota to chicago for the convention that had promoted uncommitted in yesterday's super tuesday balance. so joe biden has issues and trying to keep his co listen together, but he has to hold it together and he has to motivate it to come out in, come out, at least in the same form as he did before because the margins are just so very
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tight to very known characters, how much of a dish, or would you predict be the actual campaign to be? it will it will be similar, but trump will be more straight. and we've already seen that his rhetoric is more extreme. his rhetoric is more strategic, shall we say he now has more people writing a program for him that could have drastic consequences. not only for americans, mastic politics, think of immigration, think of tre, think of industrial policy. but he is also just going to ramp and dial up the ramp up to the dial and possibly break it off because he's already talked about deportation camps. he's talked about military and the american streets. he's talked about invoking the insurrection, act to suppress protestors against him. those are all, those are all the 12 kids of author word, terry, in the world over. and if he continues that way, i don't see him winning the middle of the tax code, the undecided voters,
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the voters who were on the, on the fence. and that again with you. chance for job. i'm as long as these people don't feel like this is an election that they can sit out as long as the arguments around individual race, around abortion, around individual protections and around saving democracy still works for the democrats. and they can make rational appeal to the fact that the economy is doing much, much better. and probably anybody expected at this moment now is catherine clover ashbrook looked at us one foundation. thank you so much. my pleasure or the united nation says 2023 was the deadliest year for my grandson's records began a decade ago. at least a 1565 people died on migration routes worldwide. the ones international organization for migrations that last year's total was a 20 percent jump on the year before. the mediterranean sea remains the deadly as
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around, but unprecedented numbers of deaths were also recorded in africa and asia. while european states are trying to clamp down on a regular and border crossing i want to welcome community because she's the associated director of the migration policy institute enjoys we know from parents. welcome to the day and 2023 was the dental is here for migrant, since records began, are more people seeking to leave their home countries, or they choosing more dangerous routes. a mix of it's mix of cypress more people are leaving the end. the routes are also increasingly dangerous. and here what, what i want to phone died also is that the number of tests is, is much higher than what the un, my organization for migration as managed to, to record. and, and, and we need to think, um, you know, the many families that are left for years without knowing what, what has happened to, to their relative. and i believe the,
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the situation speaks to the pressing need for you. many tardies operation in the many turn in to assist migrants who are phasing desperate and situation that see what do you make of the ears policy and the, the attempts to get a unified stance and, and um, and handling of the, the arrival of my friends that they have time and again called a crisis. yeah, they, they are too many challenges for you in policy maker. one is the number of people there's and will, forcibly displace is, is increasing around the word from you brain on the stones to your, you all, a sudan. and, and so europe, you know, has been deploying many efforts to bulk and ukrainian refugees. but people from other part of the word are also hoping to be protected in europe. and the other challenges is a significant portion of the people who are logging and so in claim in europe are
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likely to receive international protection and returning them to their country. of origin is a fin, extremely challenging. so there's, they are no easy solution to this issue of building a split system so that they can deliver, you know, faster, better, and decision is, is important. but so he's working very closely with countries of origin countries of transit, including to address the very factors that drives these people. and to take this route. and i think we also need to be honest, the people are coming to europe also because they know they can find jobs in our country in germany, in friends, and initially, what are the main drivers of migration or what happened? the drivers in the past year, especially so this migration drivers are, you know, are always very complex. um if, if we look just i'd, lets say um do 2 national, these are national geo top arrival and in the you last year who lots of nestling claims. syrians and off guns, and it's clear said findings using government or driving people to flee their
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country. and the neighboring countries are not welcoming them anymore. you're wrong . protestant turkey are already causing millions of, of refugees and experiencing challenging challenges of punched coal. you know, um, political debates and, and they also adopting more restrictive policies. now there have been efforts in several countries now to send migraines to 3rd con. what do you make of this? an out of sight, out of mind vitality. this is a line, the broader training you're up to, to externalize these issue. we've seen investment in the past few years, you know, in border, in, in working with their country to increase border management and to smuggling efforts. now not all of these deals with their country in our body, in a sense we need, we need agreement with countries to manage migration together. the issue however,
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is, is when these, these agreements are wait for your p n government to escape to evade their responsibility. wanting to come to, to international protection and all of their international commitment that they've made um, you know, with the geneva convention to do to begin with. yeah. migration. pretty much the world over is a highly politicized issue. how dangerous is that? i mean, it is an issue that is that there is, i think effect oliver society and the policy makers. nature dress. what's, what's very challenging is like migration ease of reality. and i think we're a number of, of government in the past few years and have been looking. i've been looking for it for short term solution for easy one and, and, and i failed to explain to the public. and that these require, you know, much more structural efforts. and i think we also need to keep in mind that, you know, with climate change affecting a number of fluid and you know, income country. and it is likely that the many of the driver that's an our drive,
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you know, that are affecting people or not. but that are pushing them to leave a home at the moment. will be exhaustive dated in the years to come. that was coming because of the migration policy institute. thank you so much for those insights. thank you. the link for this is stephen hawking ones warrants that artificial intelligence will be either the best or the worst thing ever to happen to humanity. and it seems like with every passing day, we're edging closer to finding out as holding fast. and humans, especially legislators, are struggling to keep up. now the makers of chat, g p t, have launched another revolutionary tool that a sparked all and lots of concern. these puppies don't exist. the video is generated by an occupational intelligence algorithm. they may, sora,
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the new text. the video generates it from open a i a year ago, the best, hey, i videos would like this rather confusing via commercial. now open a i says, or a couldn't create clips like this from a use of text prompt, a brief written instruction of what to show. this the company says was created from the prompt, tour of an art gallery with many beautiful works of 10 different styles. about as spectacular as many examples on sorres' homepage might seem open. i admit the program still has some flaws. a video generators need to apply the laws of physics to understand how lighting changes in a moving scene, for example. and so it doesn't get all of that just yet.
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but as the world is discovering with the text and image generators, these algorithms loan fast. some of the bags like this one created with mine journey, already creeping into the public domain. they could be very disruptive, politically, socially and personally, making it very difficult to determine what's real and what's not open. i is so concerned about the dangers sort of could pose, it's not releasing the program until it has safe guards in place. daniel ariah is a senior fellow at the center for international governance innovation, and an expert on artificial intelligence. daniel, welcome. are we heading toward a world where we can't trust anything, not even videos. and so in cute little bobby's, i mean, i think unfortunately that's where we're at now we can, you know, government could mandate certain requirements to make sure that these images are
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legitimate. we can develop authentication tools. we can, you know, develop a more critical awareness for how the videos are distributed and where they're made . there's a lot we can apply. but i think the fact of the matter is that we're entering the new era when in which this kind of technology becomes widespread. it's democratizing and i think the more people that are involved in creating and crafting this technology more they spread through social media. more possible before states are governments to constrain atlanta and how they're used. so it is a very difficult problem. we're chasing for all of us, non experts out there who, you know, don't want to be fold other, any reliable tricks to identifying a line generated images to tell real from fake. it might be so far if you look at even the videos of sore right now, you can see some issues around the snowflakes or get, for example, of those copies. or you can look at the basic physics that are floyd, but i mean these technologies are approving and leaps and bounds. we're looking at
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an s curve or exponential shift and how these, these tools improve. and so i think whatever we did today, we use forensic analysis, or we started to reverse engineer how these videos for constructed down the road a year or 2. it will be impossible to use the same method. so i think it's a, it's a difficult and under and we're facing that's not to say it's not resolvable. i don't mean to be pessimistic. i think that it's just a new phase in maternity and it's something that is challenging, but not impossible to solve. part of it is just the agency of the people are, are citizens that are the people themselves were consuming the media. they have to be made aware of the fact that this video gonna be real. and until we get there, i want to take a closer look at the political impact with you because we're in the middle of the biggest election year in history. how big of a threats do you think a poses to democracy? i mean, i think democracy face has a lot of challenges right now. i think as one of those things. but there's no doubt
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democracies are in some respects moving too slowly. technology has is accelerating and it's pace. our legislature legislators are slowly trying to resolve these issues around regulation, but i don't think that in another child will do the job. and that'll analog i was use is that you know, parliaments or like a coders. and so they're trying to write out that the legislation that can manage the shift the fact of the matter is that, you know, coding is disappearing as a profession. so somehow something has to be done with regard to how democracy is function and how they operate in terms of the constraining and mat edging and regulating technology. what, what your suggestion would be when it comes to safeguards that needs to be put in place to prevent this from creating, completing the other and pay us well, i don't know if it's going to treat great, complete, or chaos, but i think people are losing faith in our institutions,
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and that's not without good reason. but the fact is that we as a, a driving civilization are dealing with changes that we've never seen before. and the consequence of those changes that we need to begin to deploy tools in government. government tends to be one of the more resistant domains to uptake in terms of leveraging these technologies. and i think about that, i mean a on software. and i think government has to move faster, has to be much more effective, much more efficient at understanding the changes ahead rather than always playing catch up and is predicted to add trillions of dollars to the global economy in the next couple of years. and just to wrap up, who will be the winners and losers of this development to i mean, obviously the corporations are going to do well. microsoft is going to do as a half the prize and opening i. i think there's room for startups in new software
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companies that will disrupt older markets. if you look at the film industry, for example, there's a huge opportunity to disrupt tower films are made. and i think there's a room for young smart, how rich people to become involved in developing new software platforms. we've said that, hey, i is also an automated technology, and so lots of people lose our jobs. and fortunately, and so i think we have to start to consider what our economy looks like when people fall out of it. i think that's happening already. and i think that as we begin to robert heads around where this is going, we should start thinking about experiment. so i don't just mean you be, i mean there's other approaches to this. but i do mean think about an economy which not everybody's working at full capacity. that's something we shouldn't need to consider. feel like, well, bring you in more often to, i mean, explain this brand new oral to us. that was daniel ariah with the center for international governance and innovation. thank you so much. thank you. a british
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though has welcome this spiking cutie, which i promised is not a i generate and this is a baby porcupine. the car, even name, is in baldwin and named joyce, and these are the 1st pictures of the fortune pet published by the zoo and newborn joins a family of 3. the food capers. still don't know whether the car is male or female, but one thing they're sure of the one month old has a confident, adventurous personality, and follows its mother everywhere to as a short side of their time. but make sure to stay informed, stay engaged and stay in touch for now though, from the entire team here on the day. thank you so much for sending parts of your day by the
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big hot dogs make a strong case against smoking in frames because health is urgent need is the constant, harassment can even lead today and when the little ones that have to defend themselves, they can focus on germany desperately means skilled workers. what are the solution? one job board is focused on drawing in more international talent. other businesses
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or offering recruits a 4 day work week? a i will handle the paperwork in the future. is that all as hip and cool as it sounds? total labor markets are evolving night in town many. in 60 minutes on d w, the you'll see about the meeting that goes in the media and legal law. give a lot done, but again, i will stop into that and i'll give you a go on. would you? are you able to order that up? joe made any of the water power into the more people than ever on the move world wide in such a base are nice to jump. be able to use a minute. they can t mess with the guns already. already a few megs of a piece and that engine room does all of the piece and minutes useful or is that almost 3 gets expose?
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go to lunch when you find out about all the story info, migraines, reliable news for migrant, wherever they may be. the hello and welcome to focus on your my name is, let's show this month the russians will take to the polls. critics called the election of fars because boston has basically extinguished most a position. recently in moscow, thousands shouted the name of kremlin critic, i'll exceed the bony, they paid their last respect, laying down flowers at a funeral.

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