like that, also to say he took advantage of his clothes, ties with autonomy, and impersonated him to get bank approval of launch. why transfers autonomy himself has not been accused of any wrong doing up next the business i've been fizzle and stay with the the innovation green, the green revolution global. so listen to a whole lot of crime. it's probably up to speed. if the care subscribe to the subscribe to plan, it's a one of over $200.00 lucky it's across the poland meant to shield the country from ukrainian products. farmers here on a collision course with the expansion of the european union. about this the

because the idea do you membership offers economic opportunities to millions. we know exactly what they want. we want to be part of you. more and more people and new states are in favor of letting new countries joined the club. and you officials have been pledging to make it happen. completing our union is the call of history. it is the natural horizon. i'll say your opinion, but the countries in line to enter are poorer than those already in the us. and some europeans worry that enlargement will straighten their livelihoods. we must probably go for the bankruptcy. in this episode, we will look at what it means for us citizens to join one of the world's biggest economy. i think that that will do that and give us some legitimacy. we will assess the cost of enlarging work with talking peanuts, frankly speaking,

and we will ask him to you afford to grow. that's all coming up on business beyond for more than a decade that you seemed like a close was club with a line of members waiting to get in turnkey became an u membership candidate in 1999 in 2018, the succession process was suspended. but that's a story for another episode. in 2005 north macedonia, joined the que montenegro, follow the 2010 serbia in 2012 and albania, and 2014 for our country to join the u. it must, shall feel certain criteria like being a democracy, respecting the rule of law and human rights, and having a functioning market economy. for the past 20 years of reforms of candidates have been slow and the use montrose was anti enlargement. this is the former president of the european commission, john crew jim kirk. this is for miss jones and problem is my doctor's

visit. that's kind of knowing me, given buggy by test to do in just a few to them. when russia invaded ukraine in 2022, all that changed, the war catapulted you expansion to the top of the agenda. in 2004, poland farmers joined the ranks of the biggest food producers in the u. u crane enters the union. that role is under threats because ukraine's industrial farms dwarf europe and one's lucas is a green and pink farmer. i asked him, what would happen if you train were to join the you any time soon? we must probably go for the bankruptcy. i think. and because it would be easily clued up of, uh, all of the much cheaper uh, products from uh, the okay. what's the health of you innovation funds? lucas, invest in new technology for us. produce your opinion. we have incredibly high

standards of for production. we have follow up some documentation tracking, probing for $3.00 side uh services. we could fight the system to measure every move month of february peak, or every upholstery. if you crane were to join the european union, it would likely get the biggest chunk of its agriculture budget. at the same time, farms like this one and poland would lose out on subsidies. the. but it's not just subsidies. lucas worries about. he thinks opening the use borders to ukraine before it meets europe in food production standards. a cell play like we have the football match. and the, uh, like one thing is not getting the costs or yellow carts. yes. for, for uh, for what they doing because of the war. yes. and uh, and it's sure to do which should be managed by governance and government of your opinion. back in warsaw, tom mostly watch the sky of the polish economic institute is more optimistic. for

example, place farmers quotes, try to produce more complex products so they can try to move up on the leather of volume for the action. and so to try to seek opportunities, for example, in buying some roll basic commodities from ukraine to work on them here and sold them with the some of the marketing of your guy. we're taking a detailed look at the economics of ukraine joining. but what about the other cabinet of the western balkans? most countries in this region after you candidates for over a decade, north macedonia, even for 2 creeping reforms in the region by lateral disputes between new countries and candidates and slow reactions from brussels stalled enlargement process. but here the economic story is a different one. the cost of admitting the western balkans would be significantly smaller. the take basically to 6 western book and countries. um,

georgia and most of us have them all out to get a we demographic we speaking, we're talking about more or less the same size of the united kingdom. we're talking peanuts frank, speaking peanuts for the you. but let's look at what it means for canada. countries to join one of the world's biggest economies, montenegro psychiatric for the to head, the q. it's a joining the you and that this market on top of it. so it kinda seems like it's already a member since 2002 montenegrins has been paying was yours for the country with a population of 630000. europe's currency offers a guarantee of stability. but new membership doesn't only promise abstract macro economic benefits. it would also be felt increasingly yeah, it's not pivots found as an online learning start up in montenegro is capital for her being and you citizen would be transformative. i think that that would be,

that give us like more legitimacy on the one side and on the other side, like back to brand perceptions. being part of the you would be a stamp of approval for international investors. and another thing is like, oh, we never did business with a visa montenegro. we didn't know how to do the sort of payment options. what that loaning relations for them hasn't. but if we have talked a futile opinion, would it be different? and for many of them, they said that from the different because they know about it. okay. yeah, it's not, it's by far not the only montenegrin with high hopes for you membership. 80 percent of the population wants to be part of the union citizens and the western balkans are on average just 14 percent of their european neighbors. at this moment, we are around 45 to 48 percent of leaving sound of confess to you companies, and that's the big 3 in succession pos converging in

video films, we believe we extend the ellipse that has been following montenegro progress towards new membership. closely. she says, the biggest cost of accession won't fly with you. it's not the question of the costs costs on mainly costs of local communities because it's not to brussels questions, how will converge to them or how we will so so little it's all job. it's our accountability, it's how long, specifically, the road to and you membership has been long from montenegro, was much still to be gained higher living standards, a bigger customer market and more international appeal. many people in montenegro hopes that new membership would bring about an economic boost onto macros. government aims to join the blog by 2028 experts warren that goes unrealistic. so far, the us only approved

a fraction of bunch and that grows for forms sometimes leads us don't know exactly what they want. we know exactly what they want. we want to be part of you a basis as soon as possible. and look in montenegro unveiled a paradox. economically the western balkans could be embraced by the single market and lift the living standards of millions, admitting the countries as much cheaper than admitting ukraine. but the region, the succession process has dragged on, while ukraine's principle meant and behind it. that's because the question of whether the you can afford to expand is about much more than just money. the put your should we usually i should put in a blogs, you able to give them as much money. do you think you can, as always, should, the key is email you have shown when they cannot multiple sort of position

being part of the new comes with a mutual defense guarantee. so attacking a member state is more costly. it's part of the rationale driving ukraine's push towards europe to a degree in research. as you enlargement obvious reasons. um the us now seen enlargement as a security and instrument so that you want so not for security reasons. and the budget is part of the discussions. i thought it might not necessarily be the deciding factor in that was an armed conflict raging on its borders. perhaps the better question is no longer whether the you can afford to expand, but whether it can afford not to. so they're all good to be economic costs, but the argument is that those economic costs are what undertaking, given that the strategic upside of doing is overall. the downside of not doing it is is halting right. lottie. mere putin's land grab,

has pushed you leaders to reevaluate the importance of expansion. so in the sense, enlargement was revised because it was a george, he lost it, which is tied to eastern europe. and the challenge to those that believe in, in large memo brovio, and that's also the focus on it. i mean, the question is, how do we tagged on to that moment? what also remains to be seen is whether the warren ukraine creates enough momentum for new members to put their money where their mouth is. where does that extra money come from? actually, that is also an open question. um, it is possible that it comes from the cook member states. um it is also possible that the you raise this its own money through new own resources. there are discussions at the moment. for example, slip plastic tax or for with the new i'm carbon adjust adjustment mechanisms. the question of whether that you can afford to expand or not as

a matter of perspective. and many of the costs can only be estimated for now. but look at the past, the large man's rounds can offer some lessons on the benefits of letting new countries joined in poland, initial costs for the u. a translated into an economic boom for the country, and that boom helps member states to one pond. joining the european union and european colon markets a few years ago, we started read the they nomics and profound transformational bodies economy. i think what, what we kind of polished is that of course, these are poor countries that went into the e u. at the same time, it comes with benefits for the internal market, which becomes a big got, it comes with benefit, the cost of work for us becomes larger. and there is another lesson to be learned from the past. any budget resourceful to new members doesn't happen over night. during the last enlargement around new member states only received

a fraction of their agriculture funding initially. then the funding was increased in phases. b, u x really has a reputation mechanisms to ensure that the fluctuations of what member states receive and pay in is not too high. and the also has a dictation mechanisms to do with enlargement. which was that also the, the, the extra costs on not immediately, very, very big. at the beginning of this episode, we asked whether that you can afford to expand what's clear is that an enlargement wave would mean a drastic economic re shuffle. for some in europe society that change would be felt concrete least do i end up losing positive budget? well mostly, yes, you do, you my view of this is unavailable scenario. fence a, toby mars 3. this is positive scenario because when you are on that by every to

means you are a reach level of and uh, concert with a strong economy. at the same time, living in new countries, springs, economic opportunities to millions of people. and that's the big 3. the accession boss converging in the homes. we believe expand of the experts we spoke to emphasized that when it comes to enlargement, affordability is also a question of political will. so they're all good to be economic costs. and the argument is that those economic costs all, well, i'm just taking a given that the strategic upside of doing it overall. the downside of not doing it is, is often the question that remains is there enough momentum in europe and large mon plans to move member states to from the bill? if you have the time, please fill in the survey on the on screen link or in the description. thanks for

watching and take care the . this is where i live, mr. kenning, 7 for an aide. work is in garza, that'd be in hopes that the humanitarian situation, my ease, and the desperately need of food can begin to reach the hundreds of thousands of risk of funding for how realistic of those hopes, my guess is yeah, mega and head of them. the wage and refugee council, for decades of experience and the humanitarian field. he's also informed that different amount of who was supposed to be involved with the low piece thoughts between israel and the palestinians in the 1990. how does he think the salvage was connected? and 6 months the war.