for the last 14 years, but the center left opposition, labor politics. i've had a consistent 20 point lead in the opinion polls tonight will look at why britain's tories are facing such a dropping and why labor line slide wasn't necessarily making the country as full and enough with the left. i'm feel go and by then this is the day the now it's in the course institute. i think the can. so if i don't a lot of things room, we now hot oil change is of the k all spoke to the patient. i'm probably up, we're in such a mess, but then which one would be the restaurant? so wait. it's a matter of using the best amongst a bad spot which way driven in the ground. we call a forward electric. we call

a full gas console voice. i've got to get the damn thing have been done with so we can start having something else to watch on television. read it back in the newspapers in telegraph, in pubs. also on the day that calling it the ghost fleet to be ships, i believe, to be transporting sanctions and russian oil under the regular like to re re dot i say close to denmark, a country that's looking for international backup and its efforts to control the you have these some vessels that don't exist on paper, but they're right here in front of my eyes that show which fleet of oil tank is just working denmark every day, but nobody knows what's controlling it. welcome to the day candidates in britain's general election to have wrapped up come painting have after 14 years of conservative government. thursday's voters is expected to deliver a landslide victory to the centre, left opposition. labor party. prime minister officially soon act seems resigned to

the idea of losing power. visiting a school in the final day have become paid. suppose this to prevent what it called a labor super majority of poll after poll predicts one of the biggest and extra lance lives in bottom business history. so i'm working very hard until the last minute. i have this campaign for every vote and you've been out with me across the country saying that yesterday was a long day because i really believe lots of people have not made up deadlines. and that's why i'm keeps told as many people as possible before the polls close tomorrow to make sure everyone understands that choice ahead of time. and then it's a very simple choice. if you want your taxes costs, you'll pension protected up or to secure, or you want to present not labor super majority vote, conservative your vote will make a difference. lots of people want to say, this is a falls on conclusion. analysis shows that some of the truth, your boat can make a difference in preventing that majority and having a texas taught your pension protected so good that they're very conservative. well,

they believe the sexiest um it has been criss crossing britain. this came about japanese con pipe, he supposes in scotland to choose a new government. this election is all about change, the charles to turn the page and start to rebuild. that is what tomorrow is all about. it's a stock choice. as we thought for 2 years of payoffs of division and failure in westminster will despite neighbors lead in the polls, polls of holes are found. the public trust in politics is low and dissatisfaction high and one. so if i just 10 percent of people said they trust cabinet ministers to tell the truth, that's left half people wondering whether voting will change anything. i don't think anyone's got any real face, that whichever policy comes in next is gonna make a massive impact. it's a matter of pleasing the best amongst a bad bunch. i'm afraid politics,

i'm new guy has been pretty badly served ever since we made the bad decision for breaks it. i think the can. so if i've done a lot of things wrong, andrew blake here is professor of politics and contemporary history at king's college in london. he also headsets political economy departments, joins us from london. a welcome to the w. y is a selection, expect it to be such a land slide for the sense of after labor party. we're currently in a position well simply because of labor going to be the look of a mass city in the, the number of votes they need in the right seats. that's the way it was under the system. we don't have a proportional system. we have what's called a 1st post the post system, and if you can get the right seats in the right places, the right votes in the right places you can win big and that looks like what it's going to happen tomorrow. britain's last general election in 2019, we turned

a conservative a government with a significant majority led by baris johnson. what has happened to turn that into a vase a power disaster? well, that's the, that's the, the important question because it's not any the scale of the victory which the projection suggests labor is going to cheap, bought the sky and that the turn around when they were in 2019. i think the answer to this is the unpopularity the conservative policy move in the popularity of labor . and they've achieved this unpopularity by a series of political. these almost as the ongoing scandals of the boys jumps and government that eventually led to him being removed by his own side. then the very short lived list truss permits ship during 2020 to destroy the budget entities but and shops these jekka. there was a qualifying and then followed by that where she snacks, fading really able to deal with the problems that using the heritage. and any many

ways making things was not least by the way in which he's handled. the selection campaign, coupled with that, we've got severe economic problems in the country. we've had a cost of living crises, energy crises, and what, and i think the highest, highest burden since the 2nd level. so there's, there's a, there's a variety of political and economic factors going on that between them conspired to just destroy the popularity of the concert with the policy and governments. okay, so this is about an unpopular conservative party involved with a particularly popular labor party. what is the labor of promising to do in government? one of the priorities, the labor of a deliberately as they would put it on the problem of a saying with the hope of over delivering. but they all talking about a cheap being growth. they all talking about some areas of political reforms that just the pollution such as f as to eliminate corruption. but on the other hand,

a lot of what they doing is talking about what they're rolling out. for instance, they've been very clear on the storm leadership to completely roll out, ever rejoining the opinion. and then i need to rule that out. but that will allow ever joining the rejoining the single market where they even offer or indeed the customs union. however, with funding to freedom of movement. so it's a lot of it is about things they preclude the, but they do have some offers including areas such as energy where they're proposing to create that kind of nationally owned energy company. great. but to ship energy. so they have some offices in there, but it's also about what they don't want to do. and the other thing they've tried to be clear of them is they're not going to be a tax raising policy. it's interesting to, to, to look at the predicted turnaround in voting on the predicted for tunes, if the conservative policy, which is rule for 14 years, this was a policy, this is a policy that's internationally had a reputation as just i'm election winning machine now. it looks like it's going to

not just be elect, totally humbled, but potentially subjects to a takeover. tell us about nigel fire raj, and his attempts to destroy or even takeover. a potties whose will view is the 1000000 miles away from his own. the firewall is a very influential figuring bridge policies and he's achieved the influence without ever having being elected to the cape call him and he's been in the european parliament didn't turn up much, but he was a member never been in the u. k. paul. and now that might be a bounce exchange, but more important use and managed for the 3rd time really to lead the policy does have a huge impact on one of the big impacts has been to pressure wise, the conservative policy from the right to threaten them and it totally without necessarily a winning and the thing, but to pressure them into moving into the policy as the found your dental as as impulse. and now certainly it could be the case that post the general election, which is coming on the states the conserves,

just went ahead such should these austria inflicted on them and possibly found lodge might find himself empowerment as a m p for plants. and we will see that there will be some kind of problem back to the control of the conservative policy. and perhaps playing into that battle will be the potential of a takeover by a group on what you might call the populace drawn to the concert the policy which was that might reach out. we'll be working with 5 origin, whatever is good around here. so yes, there will be, there will be various bits to take over the conservative policy, some of which might even involve reaching out to and incorporating fire out. but that will probably depend on what happens to him. more homes just how bad is the conservatives tomorrow night? so many of the people that we had an average pause. disillusioned with the state of british politics, is a different policy, a running things after 14 years, likely to change that of a different policy. if it comes to power,

she looks like it will, will be inheriting all the problems that, that have been all can be created by the conservatives, or at least been faced by the conservatives. none of those problems go away that they have off the general election and it doesn't matter how logical majority is. they will get what we call the honeymoon period. when they've given a bit more jobs been been a bit more optimism amongst the public perhaps. and they perhaps have the opportunity for a while to blame problems on the previous governments, but that will not last for ever a never 1000. and back to our previous discussion, all the evidence suggests that the small case of a huge unpopular government winning a general that we're losing a general election as opposed to a hugely popular position, winning a generalization as was the case perhaps in 1997 with label it but certainly black . now, the fact that the not huge,

the popular may mean that they become very unpopular very quickly, or it could on the other hand, work in the phase when these i think what storm was attempting to put off is a dampening down of expectations. so that when things all what she eat is that she noticed and, and, and lights by the public. but certainly none of these problems are going to go away . and in some areas, arguably, particularly with respect to the you, storm and may have boxed himself in a bit with the varieties you've just made. so to me before the election, that makes it difficult for him to achieve progress. ok function for it. so has through that, so clearly professor andrew blake from king's college funded thank you so much. despite a raft of sanctions and russia is still shipping on selling it's crude oil to the world. the danish trades and i much use transit point for the commodity which is helping funding most goes war efforts in ukraine stopping the flow of money also

depends on of things the ships. now the danish government is facing pressure to take more aggressive action, shadow, sleek, dark fleet, ghost fleets, sinister, synonyms, for decrepit, vessels with questionable ownership and an adequate accident insurance, which environmental is say or carrying sanctioned russian oil way too close for comfort in the danish straits it is extremely serious and it is extremely risky. the sort of thing is a carrying over a $100000.00 tons of crude oil, that is toxic to humans, into the environment. and we'll put waste to our coastlines for that case. if a, if a big accident happens, a small accident did happen here in march. when the 15 year old then panama flag, andromeda star collided with another ship. luckily it was empty, but the crew reportedly could not prove the vessel head proper insurance, typical of shadow fleet ships. so we're left for the bill. we're left with the clean upright seems to dina streets or international waters. russia is allowed to

use them even though most of its crude oil cannot be sold directly to europe and buyers because of sanctions. but that free passage is coming under scrutiny. so this country is relatively narrow. waterways are a strategic gateway between russia's ports and it's major markets. but the growing number of these completely unregulated ships and growing public awareness about the dangers they posed are putting pressure on the danish government to do something about them. investigative journalist, do you all can kicks for, has been exposing the fleets, merging business practices. they have flags states in countries like the bon, which is a military dictatorship, but recently had a cool, some experts say the shadow fleet, now carrie's 4th, 5th of all russians, exports of crude oil, under the regulatory radar. you have the some vessels that don't exist on paper, but they're right here in front of my eyes. the show which fleet of oil tank is

just working at the monk every day, but nobody knows what's controlling him. thing that's very interesting. and i think i, we need to get to the bottom of who is controlling him. now, the danish government pleasures an international coalition will try to force better practices on the fleet. but how sanctions experts at the keep school of economics institute believe the key is to more aggressively target ships known to be flooding their obligation to have credible oil spill insurance. the vessel would be identified as a property of a sanctioned entity. but most importantly, anyone, anyone interacting with a special for the cargo that it carries a could face enforcement action themselves. that recommendation goes further than the european union's new sanctions on some shadow fleet vessels, banning them for the 1st time from european ports and services. but that doesn't block the ships from sailing through international waters like the danish straits weather and how to do that is highly controversial. we're willing to go out and

intercept and stuff to ship because if we uh, then we uh, in the, in the cross hairs of moscow saying okay, then not just stop the ship. so we'll just like the next ship going through, make sure that it has an accident and so that they have a huge pollution in dang, is waters. and then denmark can do that a bag teen up. and good luck with that. moscow has already threatened to denmark with retaliation just for considering a response to the dark fleet, but without one billions of dollars in the legal oil revenue will continue flowing through european waterways to the kremlin war test. a lot report from dw correspondent terry schultz, who joins us now. a welcome terry. what do you think is the most concerning aspects of things? ghost leads to the fact that the undermining sanctions against russia, setting its oil, defendants, war against ukraine or the potential for an environmental catastrophe. positively,

no accountability you have very little accountability because as i mentioned, the so called insurance companies sometimes can't even be found in i heard stories about owners of the ships, you know, try trying to be tracked. and there, there would be addresses like in supermarkets, in india and, and things like that. so there really is very little accountability, but it really seems to be the environmental angle that's raising concern right now . and that's due to some near misses of accidents that have happened in the dentistry. it's just in recent months and really showed just how likely it is that there will be an accident. one of these days, the environmental experts i spoke with said, is absolutely not a matter of, of, if it's just a matter of when. so let's look at bad because when i, the environmental disaster happens, is that for denmark to deal with a load, or should the a you be doing more to how?

as a both, i mean it, it would probably wash up most quickly on danish tours. but let's think about all the other countries around the baltic sea as well. none of them would be immune from the results of a disaster, like that. you know, if a $100000.00 tons of oil is on a ship is going to contaminate a huge amount of waterways and know what country is going to be able to deal with it by itself. the you of course, would be affected as well and perhaps it, it will put more of the ships on it, sanctions list, but it doesn't have some of the toughest sanctions that experts believe would really make a difference. and that is a banding, any kind of transactions with this oil that's carried on the ship, and that would affect a lot more companies, banks making transfers. anybody buying these oil products. and the e u doesn't really have this kind of means the united states does. one of the, the, the particularly striking things about your pool is the fact that be ships that are actually allowed to sail without proper insurance. this is

true and until now there have, there hasn't been a way to stop them. you can't just board the ships out of suspicion that they don't have insurance. and that's why concerns about their potential for environmental destruction is becoming really important. now, because there may be a way to stop ships from sailing if they don't carry insurance. and that's something that taking it from the environmental aspect has not been tried yet. and that's really what people who want to stop this shipment. so looking at now, there may be a way to use their environmental risk as a way to stop the ships from sailing. and what about the customer who is buying this sanctioned oil? it's probably you and me sometimes though. and that's because once this oil, this is on these, a russian shadow fleet ships is transported to another country. in this case,

most likely india that's where a lot of it is, is being processed. it is delivered to india, it is reprocessed there. and it is actually sold back to the european union. i was even told that there were danish ships that went to india and carried it back after it had passed through the danish streets with all of these risk. so that's where uh, another place where things could get a lot tougher. there could be a band on using the oil once it's processed in another location. and that would really take a lot of it off the market for to can do as of a terry, thanks so much. that's a ton of shoulds in brussels. when he's ready, john strike is killed. a senior has belong combined in southern lebanon. these pictures posted on social media a set to show the aftermath of the attack. this is the 2nd time an x ray. the strike is killed that has block amanda in recent weeks. since of war and guys have

begun that have been near daily across the board of fighting between israel and the 11 on based mills, and group dw, is mohamed straight to invite roots. explain to me the significance of this strike to what the situation is. escalating again on the news is right in the front as well. i lunged at returning yet to the attacks on its way of following the coming off. it's seen the amenities to go home a lawsuit also known as a bu, now me and this is the, this was quite expected, this a retaliation. and this intensity given the significance and importance and higher rank off the killed military commander. and also it is the 3rd military figure senior military figure killed by his while since the beginning of this confrontation 1st, we saw almost to lean back in january and the toddler of delight in mid june. and

now, mohammed, not a sudden, every assassination was followed by a big environment escalation that lost it for weeks and seemed to reach the point of an all out war between the adversities. this has been from think diplomatic efforts, particularly from an us friends and in germany. you have been so far successful in pressuring all parties to avoid the large scale war. so now we are anticipating the large and a in the intensity. and the a skate of this round of escalation between has bland as with so i'm gonna try to in by roast or recent weeks have brought in the daily exchanges of rocket 5 between israel and has blah, blah has 5 and unprecedented number of ms file setting of wildfires that have consumed factors of northern israel unforced, tens of thousands to flee. the w correspondent, tonya craven has been talking to firefighters,

protecting people who have chosen to stay caesar as area defense systems, to stone rockets in southern living on the ground and northern israel firefighters are busy extinguishing fires. close by across the board and strikes between is around a newborn you submit a 10 group, has one not got a as early as managing a bigger team. then usually the addition of my size to the wi fi is season means he needs all the help, he can get somebody to go far as of the by minute before the stuff i was in the last month. you know, but i'm assuming you told me it has been much a very good but some more accurate shooting. familiar with him. and as a result of this rocket sidney deceptions, the sandy fires gun started to be got a guy. so we got like, yeah. and because of the dryness and strong we in the name of logan. so you'll see a large burned area here. but option the adults get the,

i mean you would the infinity name. some of this is the often most of a fire sparkman is us ever defense system shut down incoming miss of the last few days have been quieter than usual, says i was a lie, but his team is preparing for all scenarios, including a full scale war. the who this is the come, we know it will be much more severe. this is why we're getting ready for receiving forces in equip around an impression, in gospel stuff. and we're now at a stage when we're waiting for the next way. i know, but i hope it doesn't come a few kilometers away. another fire has spread in recent weeks to the outskirts of keyboards, showing you we've had a few attend around show us across the border area here and the boss of drones overhead. this border area is relatively calm today, but people here have been living on this right for more than 8 months now. and they

fear 10 gets much worse is about it, and testable will end to a full scale war. last year who died just family, a worried about the fires as well as the potential more the places he says fee is like an additional weapon used against them here in the upper got any and all around the board or if they've been on there is an extra war. okay, there, there was a real war, missiles, jones fires, alarms all the times, a lot of noise. it's also from the, he's rarely side um, at the airplanes in the sky all the time. and it's been changed from 3 alarms a day to 3 days without in any of the basically we know that he's but i have the ability to hurt us to injure us in any given moment. and we are just, you know,

hoping that we would, that, you know, that idea of who would be able to to defensive of the home is just outside the officially recreation zone, which stretches 5 kilometers into israel from the border. that means they are like tens of thousands of others have not been told to leave, but fearing war and fire. he and just how many if left twice since october 7, last year, each time they came back. but the suitcases are packed to and that's the day you can follow the team on social media at cdw news. latest headlines always available on t w dot com or on with the companies have a good day. the

enter the conference zone with tim sebastian in the early hours of february 24th just over 2 years ago. are you currently in, jo? listen care of be. i'm mistaken, both on the russian this i'll call this thing the city. see me up on the money and go, woke up, went out and began reporting in real time, how you can use as it falls on a daily basis. conflict then on the w stepping into this building is an emotional experience.

used to be addressed in head causes of the g d. c. name it's did for the the know it's a space will test stores in 45 minutes on d, w, the o. january 2021. the attack on the united states capital become an idea of what you said. we had power. we should have power. power is being taken away from us. and by any means necessary, we can get thousands of people to talk among them. some of these manipulative voices are former high ranking military leaders. why did us base

trends tended backs on democracy? and what does this mean for the upcoming your next? the enemy within the to lie 12 on the in the early hours of february 24th just over 2 years ago. are you kidding me? and joe listed in care of the unmistakable sound. the rushing miss, i'll talk you thing. he says he really believe that he to be lying in a fit with a russian bullet in his head. but it didn't happen instead, any upon the money. and co woke up went out and began reporting in real time how ukrainians acted for a full, on the daily hourly face of his new book, cold. i will show you how it was found. the 1st 3 months of moscow's invasions and his remarkable new love affair with his own country. here upon the money

and co welcome to come.