had a consistent 20 point lead in the opinion polls tonight, we'll look at why britain's tories are facing such a dropping and why labor line slide won't necessarily make the country as full and enough with the left. i'm feel go embedded, and this is the day. the now is the move the course institute, i think the can. so if i've done a lot of things wrong, we've now hot oil change is of the k all spoke to patients. i'm pretty up, we're in such a mess, but then which one would be the restaurant to go with them? it's a matter of using the best amongst a bad spot which way driven in the ground. we call the forward electric recoverable? gosh, come full. wait. i've got to get the damn thing have been done with so we can start

having something else to watch on television. read it back in the newspapers and talk about in pubs. also on the day that calling it the ghost fleet, the ships, the believe to be transporting sanctions and russian oil under the regulate. to rewrite the, i say a close to denmark, a country that's looking for international backup and its efforts to control the you have these some vessels that don't exist on paper, but they're right here in front of my eyes that show which fleet of oil tank is just working denmark every day, but nobody knows what's controlling it. welcome to the day candidates in britain's general election to have wrapped up campaigning and after 14 days of conservative government. thursday's voters is expected to deliver online slides. victory to the center, left opposition, labor faculty. prime minister, officially, soon act seems. resigned to the idea of losing power. visiting

a school in the final day have become paid. suppose this to prevent what it called a labor super majority of poll after poll predicts one of the biggest and extra lance lives in bottom business history. so i'm working very hard until the last minute. i have this campaign for every vote and you've been out with me across the country saying that and yesterday was a long day because i really believe lots of people have not made up deadlines. and that's why i'm keeps told as many people as possible before the polls close tomorrow to make sure everyone understands that choice ahead of time. and it's a very simple choice. if you want your taxes costs, you'll pension protected on board a secure, and you want to prevent not labor super majority, then vote conservative. your vote will make a difference. lots of people want to say, this is a full on conclusion. analysis shows that some of the truth, your vote can make a difference to preventing that majority and having a texas talking all kinds of factors. so that they're very conservative. well, they believe the sexiest um it has been criss crossing britain. this came about japanese com part he supposes in scotland to choose

a new government. this election is a about change, the charles to turn the page and start to rebuild. that is what tomorrow is all about. it's a stock choice. as we thought for 2 years of tales of division and failure in westminster will despite neighbors lead in the polls, polls of holes are found. the public trust in politics is low and dissatisfaction high and one. so if i just 10 percent of people said they trust cabinet ministers to tell the truth. i've left people wondering whether voting will change anything. i don't think anyone's got any real face, that whichever policy comes in next is gonna make a massive impact. it's a matter of pleasing the best amongst a bad bunch. i'm afraid politics, i'm new guy has been pretty badly served ever since we've made the bad decision for

breaks it. i think the can. so if i've done a lot of things wrong, andrew blake here is professor of politics and contemporary history at king's college in london. he also headsets political economy department joins us from london. a welcome to the w. y as a selection, expect it to be such a long slide for the sentence after labor party. we're currently in a position well simply because the label going to be the look of it, a mess it in the, the number of ups they need in the right seats. that's the way it was under the system. we don't have a proportional system. we have what's called a 1st post the post system, and if you can get the right seats in the right places like votes in the right places, you can win big and that looks like what is going to happen tomorrow. britain's last a general election in 2019 we turned a conservative a government with a significant majority led by bodies johnson. what has happened to turn that into

a vase, a power disaster as well? that's the, that's the, the important question because it's not any the scale of the victory which the projection suggests labor is going to cheap, but the sky and the turn around when they were in 2019. i think the answer to this is the unpopularity, the conservative policy mold in the popularity of labor. and they've achieved this unpopularity by a series of political. these almost as the ongoing scandals of the boys jumps and government the eventually led to him being removed by his own side. then the very short lived list truss permits ship during 2020, to destroy the budget into these bo and shops. he's jack of the goals he called thing, and then followed by that which he snacks, fading really able to deal with the problems that using the heritage. and any many ways making things was not least by the way in which he's handled. the selection

campaign, coupled with that, we've got severe economic problems in the country. we've had a cost of living crises, energy crises, and, uh, what, and i think the highest highest button since the 2nd level. so there's, there's a, there's a variety of political and economic factors going on that between them conspired to just destroy the popularity of the concert with the policy and government. okay, so this is about an unpopular conservative party involved with a particularly popular labor party. what is the labor promising to do in government? one of our priorities, the labor of a deliberately, as they would put it on the problem of a saying with the hope of over delivering. but they all talking about a cheap being growth. they all talking about some areas of political reforms that just the pollution such as f as to eliminate corruption. but on the other hand, a lot of what they doing is talking about what they're rolling out. for instance,

they've been very clear on the storm leadership to completely roll out, ever rejoining the opinion. and then i need to rule that out. but it's rule out ever joining the rejoining the single market where they even offer or indeed the customs union. however, with funding to freedom of movement. so it's a lot of it is about things they preclude the, but they do have some offers including areas such as energy where they're proposing to create that kind of nationally owned energy company. great. but to ship energy. so they have some offices in there, but it's also about what they don't want to do. and the other thing they've tried to be clear of them is they're not going to be a tax raising policy. it's interesting to, to, to look at the predicted turnaround in voting on the predicted for tunes, if the conservative policy, which is rule for 14 years, this was a positive, this is a policy that's internationally had a reputation as just i'm election winning machine now. it looks like it's going to not just be elect, totally humbled, but potentially subjects to

a takeover. tell us about nigel fire raj, and his attempts to destroy or even takeover. a potties whose will view is the 1000000 miles away from his own. the firewall is a very influential figuring bridge policies and he's achieved the influence without ever having being elect to to the cape call them and he's been in the european parliament. have been tied up much, but he was a member never been in the u. k. paul, and now that might be a bounce exchange, but more important needs and managed for the 3rd time. really to lead a policy does have a huge impact on one of the big impacts has been to pressurize the conservative policy from the right to threaten them. and it totally without necessarily a winning and the thing, but to pressure them into moving into the policy of is the founder of dental as, as impulse. and now certainly it could be the case that post the general election, which is coming on the states the console just went ahead such should these austria inflicted on them and possibly found lodge might find himself empowerment as

a m p for plants. and we will see that there will be some kind of problem back to the control of the conservative policy. and perhaps playing into that battle will be the potential of a takeover by a group on what you might call the populace drawn to the concert of the policy, which will some might reach out. we'll be working with 5 origin, whatever is good around here. so yes, they will be, they will be various bits to take over the conservative policy, some of which might even involve reaching out to and incorporating fire out. but that will probably depend on what happens to him, more homes just how bad is the conservatives to more annoyed so many of the people that we had in our reports. disillusioned with the state of british politics is a different policy, a running things after 14 years, likely to change that a decent policy if it comes to power, which it looks like it will, will be inheriting all the problems that,

that have been all can be created by the conservatives, or at least been faced by the conservatives. none of those problems go away that they have off the general election. and it doesn't matter how logical majority is. they will get what we call the honeymoon period. when they're given a bit more jobs been been a bit more optimism amongst the public perhaps. and they perhaps have the opportunity for a while to blame problems on the previous governments. but that will not last for ever. it never does. and back to our previous discussion, all the evidence suggests that the small case of a huge unpopular government winning a general that were losing a general election as opposed to a hugely popular position, winning a generalization as was the case. perhaps the 1997 wouldn't label it, but certainly black. now, the fact that they know huge, the popular may mean that they become very unpopular very quickly or could,

on the other hand, work in the phase when these i think what stone was attempting to put off is a dampening down of expectations. so that when things all retrieve, it is that she noticed and, and, and liked by the publics. but certainly, none of these problems are going to go away. and in some areas, arguably, particularly if it was back to the you stallman may have books himself in a bit with the varieties you've made so to me, before the election, that makes it difficult for him to achieve progress. okay, so i can't find it. so has through that, so clearly professor andrew blake from king's college funded thank you so much. despite a raft of sanctions of russia is still shipping on southern it's crude oil to the world, the danish straits. and i much use transit point for the commodity which is helping funding to moscow's war efforts in ukraine. stopping the flow of money also depends on stopping the ships. now the danish government is facing pressure to take more

aggressive action. a shadow, sleet, dark fleet, ghost fleet, sinister. synonyms, for decrepit, vessels with questionable ownership and an adequate accident insurance, which environmental is say or carrying sanctioned russian oil way too close for comfort in the danish straits. it is extremely serious and it is extremely risky. the sort of thing is a carrying over a $100000.00 tons of crude oil. that is toxic to humans, into the environment, and will put the ways to el coastlines for that case. if a, if a big accident happens, a small accident did happen here in march. when the 15 year old then panama flag, andromeda star collided with another ship. luckily it was empty, but the crew reportedly could not prove the vessel had proper insurance. typical of shadow fleet ships. so we're left for the bill. we left with the clean upright since the danish streets are international waters. russia is allowed to use them

even though most of its crude oil cannot be sold directly to europe and buyers because of sanctions. but that free passage is coming under scrutiny. so this country is relatively narrow. waterways are a strategic gateway between russia's ports and it's major markets. but the growing number of these completely unregulated ships and growing public awareness about the dangers they posed are putting pressure on the danish government to do something about them. investigative journalist do you all can kicks for, has been exposing the fleets, merging business practices. they have flag states in countries like the bon, which is a military dictatorship, but recently had a cool some experts say the shadow fleet. now kerry's 4th 5th of all russians exports of crude oil under the regulatory radar. you have these some vessels that don't exist on paper, but they're right here in front of my eyes that show which fleet of oil tank is just working denmark every day, but nobody knows what's controlling him. i think that's very interesting and i

think i, we need to get to the bottom of who is controlling him. now, the danish government pleasures an international coalition will try to force better practices on the fleet. but how sanctions experts at the keep school of economics institute believe the key is to more aggressively target ships known to be flooding their obligation to have credible oil spill insurance. the vessel would be identified as a property of a sanctioned entity. but most importantly, anyone, anyone interacting with a special for the cargo that it carries a could face enforcement action themselves. that recommendation goes further than the european union's new sanctions on some shadow fleet vessels, banning them for the 1st time from european ports and services. but that doesn't block the ships from sailing through international waters like the danish straits weather and how to do that is highly controversial. we willing to go out and intercept and stuff to ship because if we uh, then we uh, in the,

in the cross hairs of moscow saying okay, then not just stopped the ship. so we'll just like the next ship going through, make sure that it has an accident so that they have a huge pollution in de ms. waters. and then denmark can do that a bag teen up. and good luck with that. moscow has already threatened to denmark with retaliation just for considering a response to the dark fleet, but without one billions of dollars in the legal oil revenue will continue flowing through european waterways to the kremlin war chest. a lot report from dw correspondent terry schultz, who joins us now. a welcome terry. what do you think is the most concerning aspects of base ghost leads to the fact that the undermining sanctions against russia, setting its old funded war against ukraine or the potential for an environmental catastrophe? the positively no accountability you have very little accountability

because as i mentioned, the so called insurance companies sometimes can't even be found in i heard stories about owners of the ships, you know, try trying to be tracked and there, there would be addresses like in supermarkets, in india and, and things like that. so there really is very little accountability, but it really seems to be the environmental angle that's raising concern right now . and that's due to some near misses of accidents that have happened in the dentistry. it's just in recent months and really showed just how likely it is that there will meaning any kind of transactions with this oil that's carried on the ship. and that would affect a lot more companies, banks making transfers that anybody buying these oil products and the u. doesn't really have this kind of means the united states does. so what are the, the, the particularly striking things about your pool is a fact, but be ships are actually allowed to sail without proper insurance.

this is true. and until now their habits, there hasn't been a way to stop them. you can't just board the ships out of suspicion that they don't have insurance. and that's why concerns about their potential for environmental destruction is becoming really important. now, because there may be a way to stop ships from sailing if they don't carry insurance, and that's something that taking it from the environmental aspect has not been tried yet. and that's really what people who want to stop this shipment. so looking at now, there may be a way to use their environmental risk as a way to stop the ships from sailing. and what about the customer who is buying this sanctioned oil? probably you and me sometimes though. and that's because once this oil, this is on these, a russian shadow fleet ships is transported to another country. in this case, most likely india that's where a lot of it is,

is being processed. it is delivered to india, it is reprocessed there. and it is actually sold back to the european union. i was even told that there were danish ships that went to india and carried it back after it had passed through the danish streets with all of these risk. so that's where uh, another place where things could get a lot tougher. there could be a band on using the oil once it's processed in another location. and that would really take a lot of it off the market for talking to you as of a terry. thank so much for that. so tony schultz in brussels or when he's ready, john strike is killed. a senior has blog combined in southern lap and on these pictures posted on social media a set to show the aftermath of the attack. this is the 2nd time and these really strikers cube it has block amanda in recent weeks. since a warning guys have begun, they have been near daily across the board of fighting is main,

is right on the level based mills. and group dw is mohammed straight to invite roots. explain to me the significance of this strike what the situation is, escalating again on the the news is right in the front as his beloved lunched, return the to the attacks on its way of following the coming off. it's seen the amenities to go home a lawsuit also known as a bu, now me and this is the, this was quite expected, this a retaliation. and this intensity, given the significance and importance and higher rank of the killed military commander. and also is the 3rd military figure, the senior military figure killed by his royal since the beginning of this confrontation 1st, we saw almost a week back in january and the toddler of delight in mid june. and now mohammed law, sudden every estimation was followed by

a big and violent escalation that lasted for weeks and seemed to reach the point of an all out war between the adversities. this has been from think diplomatic efforts, particularly from an u. s. friends and germany. i've been so far successful in pressuring all parties to avoid the large scale war. so now we are anticipating the lodge and, and the intensity. and d, as kate, of this round of installation between has bland. this was so i'm gonna try to in by roost. recent weeks have brought near daily exchanges of rocket 5 between israel and has blah, blah has 5 and unprecedented number of ms file, setting off the wild files that have consumed factors of northern israel unforced, tens of thousands to flee. the w correspondent, tonya craven has been talking to firefighters, protecting people who have chosen to stay caesar as area defense system

shoots don't rockets and southern living on the ground in northern israel firefighters are busy extinguishing fires. close by across the board and strikes between is around a newborn you submitted to and group has one not got a as early as managing a bigger team. then usually the addition of midsize to the wi fi is season means he needs all the help. he can get somebody to go far as of the by minute before the stuff i was in the last month. you know, but i'm assuming you told me it has been much a very good but some more accurate shooting. familiar with the him and as a result of this rocket sidney deceptions the, the sandy fires gun starts to be got guy. so the guy that yeah. and because of the dryness and strong we in the name of logan. so you'll see a large burned area here, but option the adults get the i me,

you would the infinity name. some of this is the often most of a fire sparkman is as ever the defense system shut down incoming miss of the last few days have been quieter than usual says of july. but his team is preparing for all scenarios including a full scale war. the who this is the come, we know it will be much more severe. this is why we're getting ready to hold receiving forces in the can we put on an impression, in gospel stuff and we're now at a stage when we're waiting for the next way. i know, but i hope it doesn't come a few kilometers away. another fire has spread in recent weeks to the outskirts of keyboards, showing you we've had a few attend around show us across the border area here and the boss of drones overhead. this border area is relatively calm today, but people here have been living on the site for more than 8 months now. and they fear 10 get much worse is about it, and testable will end to

a full scale war. last year who died just family, a worried about the fires as well as the potential more the places he says fee is like an additional weapon used against them here in the upper got any and all around the board or if they've been on there is an extra war. okay, there, there was a real war, missiles, jones fires, alarms all the times, a lot of noise. it's also from the, he's rarely side um, at the airplanes in the sky all the time. and it can change from 3 alarms a day to 3 days without in any of the basically we know that sees but i have the ability to hurt. that's the interest in any given moment. and we are just, you know, hoping that we would, that you know, that idea of who would be able to defensive that home is just outside the

officially recreation soon. it stretches 5 kilometers into israel from the border. that means they are like tens of thousands of others have not been told to leave, but fearing more and quiet. he and just how many of the left twice since october 7, last year, each time they came back, but the suitcases are packed and that's today you can follow the team on social media at cdw news light. these headlines always available on t w dot com or on with the w, have a good day. the

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