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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  July 29, 2024 10:30pm-11:01pm CEST

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is there another way officer rules, the environment is not responsible make up your own mind, dw, made for mines. the after years of authoritarian rule, then as well as once again there to dream, there to dream of democracy of families re united of an end to economic mismanagement and rampant corruption. but it looks like they might be in for a rude awakening. the incumbents, nicholas montero, has been declared the winner of sundays presidential vote by an look toral authority controlled by his government opposition, leaders or crime foul and demand, or a view as both sides. now claim victory, we ask what's next for venezuela? nicole relation, berlin and this is the day the
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i am nicholas my daughter. more of the re elected president of the body and republic of venezuela. missouri was not going to see anyone with this number of votes. no one will defend no democracy outlaw. and our people we wanted freedom to go back to our venezuela to be with our families. we have the guarantee of peace in this country, tranquillity and stability. madura was the dictator, a drug trust. and today there was electronic fraud enough also on the day tensions in the middle east mound over a strike on the is really occupied go on heights. so the weekend that killed 12
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young people, israel says it will not allow the attack to go unanswered, as well as bola, with a rainy and backing launch dinner rainy and miss out here. she can find that to leave on sunday night to assume the stage of israel will not so and cannot ignore this. so the response will come with and it will be severe. read the kasha, the welcome to the show. it was the biggest challenge to venezuela's left wing populace, the chevy stuff in 25 years. the countries and the torres, the fractured opposition, join forces, defined attempts of intimidation and so on to bring down nicholas montero, the man who presided over a crippling economic downfall. and one of the world's biggest displacement crises, the opposition was predicted to win by a double digit margin. and yet incumbent has been declared the winner democratic leaders and organizations from around the world or calling the results into
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question. as is the opposition, they claim the vote was raked by an electoral counsel run by madura loyalists. so we meet the 9 nicholas mcdougall, the re elected president of the boulevard and republic of venezuela. nicholas my doodle was quick to claim victory in front of children and supporters. off to be like daughters council announced he has secured a tut them. with the majority of the vote counted the claim. the opposition was also quick to counter it warranty li onto the telephone, open equilla, and the word that been equilla has a new president elect needs, and it wound up gonzales, who wrote down the opposition. a coalition of bodies which united the stand against my brutal claims,
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its candidate 170 percent of the vote. and that the electronics council numbers are fraudulent. the stand off toner was a tense, might accounting with opposition support as demanding to witness the account. i'm evaluations of rigging my duty was 10 years of time on the hughes of his mentor, who go chavez all together to solve these thoughts have do dependents, rayleigh for the quarter century election authorities and the judiciary off from the under my daughter was tom and a mentoring economy has pretty good over 7000000 people to sleep. venezuelans abroad in columbia federal argentina, mexico have reacted with grief and anger the wedding day. today, the defeat of the miserable dictates the nicholas my doodle was obvious enough.
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today we're going to finish whether to be free people's decision should be respectful. guy, i want to be in my home. i want to be in my country. this is not fair, it's not fair. i want you to free then as well as this is our last hope. we will decide we will decide for the freedom of venezuela, either we lose or we, we are going to fight. many international leaders have also reacted with concern calling on election authorities to release more avoiding data. my doodle, meanwhile, has vowed to hold on to follow and prevent violence. take a closer look with jeff ramsey. he's a senior fellow for venezuela and columbia. the atlanta counselor in washington dc . jessica to see you that 1st of your reaction to how the selection ended up on folding. but thanks for having me. you know,
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i think the fact that it's been over 12 hours since paul's 1st and authority still haven't released a detailed precinct level. the accounts tells you everything you need to know about the election. it really seems like maturer has decided to condemn men as well to another 6 years uh, installation and political conflict. where those who start nicholas monroe would allow a democratic process to now you you know, i think the reality is this isn't over yet. monroe has to convince the ruling elite he has to convince his inner circle that he can keep things under control. but the problem for him is that this doesn't really seem credible. he needs to give the impression to his inner circle that he's gonna be able to continue the country down the road of sanctions release and normalization and global reintegration. and he's just not going to be able to do that fairly without engaging in some kind of
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complicated negotiations with the opposition and really opening up to power sharing . i just don't see a way for montero just carrying out a bleeding power of i just don't really think people in his television are standing up for it. do you see him sharing the power so far? we haven't so farm bureau has absolutely refused to engage in meaningful concessions and negotiations with the opposition. but you know, i think you have to remember that material doesn't govern alone. see relies on the military. the security forces, key members in his own ruling party to be able to maintain power. and you know, i think he's effectively inviting, the biggest loyalty test that he's based in the years. i really doubt that as well . and a leads are leader for 6 more years of refreshing sanctions and economic catastrophe under him. i want to get to the role of the military now that you mentioned it in a 2nd. but 1st let's look at the economy. of course has been
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a downward spiral for basically the 10 years that he's been in power. the us precisely ease sanctions on the resume in caracas, in exchange for a commitment to conduct free and fair elections. now that it looks like that did not materialize. how do you expect washington to react? you know, i think the administration is weighing as options. um, you know, i do believe that if the white house that doesn't announce new sanctions on municipal or they'll be criticized as being weak on the 0. but i also think that the administration is looking to avoid fuel in at least in part, continued waves of migration from it as well. so, you know, i think the administration is between a rock and a hard place here. economic hardship, not only are result of course of these sanctions, but and that combined with the lack of perspective is what led some 8000000 venezuelans to leave the country. putting pressure on the entire region,
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the us as well up to a 3rd of the population. now say they want to go abroad rather than live through another 6 years under montero. what would the effect of another mass exodus be for the region? well, i think it would be absolutely devastating. you know, and i do think that as well as today, i don't believe that the bureau is capable of turning the economy around. you know, the reality is with the individual and economy lose at least 75 percent of its value since manero took office. and i think the see that, and they, they recognize that another 6 years of drove and power will mean 6 more years of economic chaos and political persecution. and those are exactly the reasons why venezuelans are leading the country by the millions. now the, the countries bearing the brunt of the, the exodus coming out of a venezuela or countries like columbia, brazil,
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the neighboring countries. what role do you see them play in this current scenario where we have to political forces, again, claiming that they are the legitimate leadership of the country. you know, so far we've seen statements from the military commands that have been very limited . um, you know, the, the, the mr. defense for the election saying that they would respect the results. and so far they've really kept a low profile. i think the focus in the next couple of hours and day is really going to be all on the armed forces all on these key figures inside materials coalition that he relies upon in order to maintain power. you know, i think it is true, it has to be said that the opposition under and will, it goes out as his leadership, as maintained, unity and message discipline. and you know, they do have the evidence in hand documents fraud and mobilize the public against
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monroe's power drug here. so, you know, i don't think this is over. i think there is some situation that still in flux and i really wouldn't bet on things thing exactly. as they are the next week, i think the situation is volatile, and i don't think it's over just yet. all right, you don't think it's over just yet. our chat is almost over. we have about 50 seconds left. i want you to, you know, consult the crystal ball. what is going to happen in the next weeks, months, years? well, you know, i think the us and particularly our allies in europe and that america is going to be absolutely crucial. i think unless we see greater multilateral coordination in order to push the government to respect the results and restore event, as well as fundamental right to elect their own leaders. that i do think we risk further and stagnation and continuation of the crisis. but i'm confident that the us and our closest allies are going to get their act together in orchestra,
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in response to frenzy of the atlanta council. many things, great speaking to you. thank you. the, the ukraine anticipation is growing over the imminent delivery of western rate of 16 fighter jets. they're expected to arrive in the coming weeks. and keith says they will be a game changer in their efforts to repel russia's invasion. but speculation is rife over where they will be based many ukrainians are concerned that having the jets in their neighborhood could lead to intensified russian attacks. the long wait is almost over. after months of intense training and preparations at 165 digits are about to touch down and ukraine. they can't come soon enough for ukraine. you and president phil, automated, zalinski. he says the plains are a game changer and no give, keep the chance to break rushes dominance of ukraine's aerospace. but keeping the
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jet safe will now be a priority in speculation. is rife of a with that will be stationed ukraine is not confirmed with the going to park the aircraft, but many experts say when the air force base in west and ukraine is an ideal candidates. the start will cost you and tina face is located roughly half way between keys and the beef. it's home to ukraine, 7th, tactical aviation brigade, and with it so the era underground shelters. it's a logical option. but in the town of style across the and t, now, just across the river, people concerned many local sites. i appreciate all the support ukraine gets from abroad. but the increasingly fee of being court in moscow is cross is in the center . concentrating such high powered weapons in one place means that the enemy will seek to destroy these weapons. so for us, as residents of the town, this is
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a higher risk factor. we are very worried to the in the room. is that the finish line stano costs you and tina has often felt rushes rather than this conflict. in august 2023 ukrainian authorities say moscow bombed a corn storage facility in the region. and as recently as mid july keeps, as it shut down, 5 russian cruise missiles at 11 drones targeting started real closely and seeing if a defense forces in the region say that russia has been stepping up its attacks over the past month. trying to find weaknesses and experimenting with new techniques that the toys use and the increasing the explosive charge on the right and then use the model. nice thing that cruise myself with fragmentation, munitions, the damage lights on the vehicles will scroll just left over the new one will definitely not everyone believes the f sixteens will be able to turn the tide in
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this war. but at least they would also give you kind of charles to try something new. israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu is warning of what he calls a severe response to a rocket strike that killed 12 young people. and he is really occupied golan heights on saturday. that, you know, visited the site of the deadly attack in the drew's era village of my style shines today. israel blames the around back. lebanese militant group has beloved for the strike on the sports field was killed, teenagers, and children is really security cabinet has authorized that y'all and his defense administered to decide how and when to respond. some residents of the village came out to protest against them. yeah, i was visit, accusing him of exploiting their tragedy for political purposes. a rocket strike has renewed fears of an all out war between israel and has the law.
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in a moment i'll be talking to a former head of israel's intelligence agency. the most sought to gauge how likely an open conflict is. but 1st, a look at the military capabilities. both sides could throw up as buller rockets fired from southern lebanon, intercepted by as really air defense is a common occurrence in recent weeks. but some of those rockets make it through, and israel has retaliated with devastating airstrikes. has the law was founded as an anti american and anti israel militia in the 1980s when it carried out deadly car bombings on american forces in lebanon? the group has 5 several wars with israel since then, and has become a major political force backed by hundreds of millions of dollars and funding from around the militia of prizes, secrecy and typically doesn't reveal information on his capabilities. so any estimates of his forces are just that. but in recent years,
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us intelligence has parted strength of $45000.00 soldiers, including full time and reserve is fighters. the groups leader referred to having 100000 fighters and 2021. if that were true, they would have more soldiers than the lebanese army. last year, the us estimated that has the law also has a $150000.00 rockets and missiles. more than enough to overwhelm is rarely air defenses and cost significant damage to infrastructure. in a more is real, has one of the world's most modern militaries, in addition 287-0000 active duty soldiers through about 465000 reservists. it also has about 1400 tanks as well as significant artillery and multiple rocket launch and capability. it also has an air force with over 200 jet fighters and almost 150 helicopters. and that's why they considered to have nuclear weapons. so it's unlikely to use them right across its own border as there's also the iron dome,
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an advanced anti missile system that is intercepted thousands of rockets from hezbollah and a mouse. something has belie itself, lacks an all out war would likely cause significant damage to is rarely and lebanese cities with high civilian casualties after months and finding him austin gaza. israel's army is also in danger of being overstretched. and there worries that intense fighting could bring in iran and the u. s. and a major regional conflict. and for him however, he is the former director of israel's intelligence agency ma side and he enjoys me now from tel aviv mr. hillary, welcome to d w. i want to start with the question everybody is asking today, how close are is real and has the law to an all out war i think, uh, we will know. uh, once israel, uh, we uh take action as the is as
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stated that you would be the depend on the scope of the step we are taking which is on the one hand to be a very from one and they see a one. and then the other hand, to allow the other side not to respond to this, the survey you have been involved in this kind of decision making in the past. what would be your advice to prime minister netanyahu in terms of responding to this attack? now that the ball is very much and israel's court, i think it is impossible for israel to refrain from responding to the attack. it was an attack which gonna turn out to, you know, and ignore units act like this would probably have a very,
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very bad infect. mondays rose to turn to capabilities and therefore their response is absolutely essential. but it has to be a response which on the one hand, as i said, is very clear. i also property thing filled up to a point, but it also is allows the other side to refrain from the reset of the aging and in a manner which will bring the entire region into a regional will. that is not in the interest of it's not in the interest of yours, but out today. and what is more important than anybody is not in the interest of here on what, what another full fledged military, the operation mean for the war in god. because from, from what i've been gathering, it's also not very much in the interest of israel. right. have another war on their
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hands. no, i don't think, you know, interested have another war in the, on our hands. but at the same time, we try not to accept a situation in which we have a large section of the country which is under fire almost daily. and where a overs over 80000 people have left the homes. we cannot live with this situation indefinitely. hm. and i want to bring up an a detailed up might not be so mine or what do you make of the fact that has blood denies being involved in this as well? um at 1st uh they did not respond to the various items. it took me a long time to take the responsibility. i suppose that they also consider what was in their interest. but in any way,
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everybody understood it was that they took this action. i'm not sure if a clearly was a time between this particular to the football or sensor because that is very possible that they had another type of us in mind and that they the target we say it was not to target use. they originally intended to. it's incessantly operation has a lot and i'm us, of course, are both backfire on, but throughout your time at most side, how did you experience the 2 groups to differ from each other? you know, it has the less superior military might decide i think one has to remember that when it comes to guys as they are, be, uh, so the element which makes decisions on words kind of action
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they should take or in the case of cause, but then also, they have others that they have to take into accounts have to take into account the governments of 11 on after taking into account the government of syria. and what is more important, they have to take into account your know, today of all days, the new president of your own as assume the office of president after you run the election there. and it's clear that he is not intending to embroil the environment least in the war. his interests are totally opposed to this. and therefore, if there isn't the radian influence here, which is quite possible this to be the 1st test in which the radians recipient.
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and also have a something to say as to what kind of the of the retaliation or response the is. but lou take off the israel, carries out the operation intends to pay out. how do you expect tear on to, to position itself in this? you say this is the word they do not want it as a war. hezbollah doesn't want it is a war that israel doesn't want, couldn't this be a, an off ramp to diplomacy? and the reason i say that is there is such a possibility. i think one has to be patients. i don't think this will be done over night. but i think that's where you have now this you uh, uh, rang in government and you presidents and the president who has a different policy on international affairs. and who has an interest in
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opening up a guy, i know the one kind of another with united states. and i think this is a new, a very important track to which we will see possibly in play in this particular case as well. this is the 1st step test. there is of the evidence, the iran can exist on the fuse by the, in the situation like this, as israel's farmers by to the airframe. however, thank you so much for your fascinating insights in your time. thank you. and that's so for the best to that's our time, but make sure to stay informed. stay engaged and stay in touch. you can follow our team on social media. our handle there is at c, w, e news. if it is the latest headlines you're looking for, there is always our website that it's b, w dot com for now though,
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the entire team here on the day and roll them. thank you so much for spending part of your day with us by the
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poisons a 10 a t p. fast. these chemicals are in almost everything and they cannot be removed. and so if i don't think it will get to grips with the appropriate mr. because the thing is why is you probably the spiral down to the control ones because always piece stuff. yes. the in 15 minutes on the double you some people say it's like the holidays.
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you know? so i woke up how nice and streamlined of the beaten track, taking caribbean, adventure to with a star, ex sugar cane. try meet fascinating people and get a glimpse into the past. the same kid scenic right away in 90 minutes on the w the computer. do you do the same to tennis? she survived our streets. thanks to music. he was the nazis favorite conductor. he is martin, the, the genuine, 2 musicians under the swastika, a documentary about this sounds of power,
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inspiring story about survival of the home. i go get the tennis. i was the only one what lies look in nazi germany. watch now on youtube. dw documentary. welcome to the tire timelines, kinds of sofas. thanks to read it to you. you can't get anywhere else in the world. germany, if you go to a prostitute, you pay twice or $3.00 times as much from the other half the service in 2023. it documentary uncovered corruption on child abuse. the youngest one, for example. let me show you this was now the film team, investigate the, the was exactly,
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it has changed the, the red lights, dark shadows, 6 tourism in time and stuff all the 16 on d, w. the business data we news and these are a top story. israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu was visited the sports field where a rocket strike killed 12 young people. and the is really controlled golan heights on saturday. that, you know, as warrant of a severe response to the attack, israel blames has, will offer the strikes. but the militant group denies any responsibility as well. and president nicholas madura is accused as rivals of attempting a crew hours after winning his 3rd term and office opposition. leaders are accusing madura foul play,
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also claiming victory us for zill and other countries are calling for.

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