in, in iran and its proxy fighters his bullet at the mos on notice. now it wasn't a declaration of war, but it was as close as it against the word ceasefire. it was not uttered, not even once since then to man his beloved commander and the political leader of hamas had been killed. iran is blaming is real and vowing revenge us today said that it had no knowledge and no involvement in the killings. how is that possible? tonight? america's influence over it is real. it looks mighty weak, nothing. y'all, whose ability to keep his word does not break off in berlin. this is the day. the exam is valid, exact and heavy price for any aggression guides to some any arena. the

me funding we indemnities through til and painful operation and it was supposed to happen. i consider what happened during a run to be a conspiracy you mention with the reading president and diamond is really a tough couple. i'm not going to speculate on what impact any one of that might have the also coming up and trying for the positive spin. the us as an escalation of the middle east conflict is not inevitable. and that a ceasefire between israel and tomas is still possible. i think it's too soon to know what any of these reported events could mean for this inspired deal. but if i could add 2 points, one is that doesn't mean we're going to stop working on it. in fact, we have a team in the region right now as we speak, to try to continue to work with our car parts to move this forward because it's

that important to our viewers watching a p b as in the united states. and to all of you around the world, welcome, we begin the day with an angry and humiliated randy and regime bowing to take revenge against israel. on wednesday, iran announced the death of one of its closest allies. the top from us leader is my own media. and assassination on the rainy and soil that the regime immediately blamed on israel and the year was in t wrong to attend the inauguration of the newly elected the rainy and president. he was importantly killed in a pre dawn air story that could end up triggering it all out. and we're in the middle east. well, after the october 7th terror attacks last year, israel pledge to kill him, the and other from us leaders. but today is really prime minister benjamin netanyahu said nothing of and he is dead. but he said israel will exact a heavy price for any aggression against it on any front into

a wrong. we can only imagine the shock and disbelief an air strike the targeted moss leader inside the uranium capital, as revealed massive failures by your runs intelligence. and it's republican national guard and the new president to the equation along with the region that still cracking down on domestic, defend. and you have a full fledged crisis in the islamic republic for its leaders. and for those proxy groups that allow iran to wield power across the middle east is male head, nea greasy. ryan new president. and what would be one of his last meeting just now is the same thing with president direction. he and his body judge were killed and then strike the mack who me when we indemnities a brutal and painful operation the case of almost all god winning with the efforts of the security forces and reports will be given to the people as soon as possible

was the issue of i do my request is the necessary works to be done yet. so those responsible don't feel like they can help us. is that rivers and then at the time of the day, i mean, it was the political face of how much the military is. the medical group carried out all the all toys. miss susan, tara attacks on israel come, us spies is killed around $1200.00 people. and took the 150 on his hostage, nearly still held on you had not lived in guys or for several years, but ran from us from top top we he lived in a phone near a guy b, c, g, 10. the 62 years old was a child of palestinian refugees from the village of drew. yet as he joined him, us when it was founded in 1980 stephen and was arrested in jail by israel. during the 1st intifada, the uprising again it's randy occupation. mia was exiled to live and on,

but he returned to guys the phone. the 1993. i was like, see, 16, he became the palestinian prime minister in 2006, and continued to rise through how much is rang, eventually become and its political change in 2017. mazda is gaza, lead to yes, yes. and what is believe to of being the math to mind, to feel, to have a similar tech? mia was seen as a more moderate and how much the season is lost several of his own family members and is really a tax on gaza, which have killed nearly $40000.00 people some stain. 3 of him use sums and 4 of his grandchildren were killed in the, at the time a mia insisted that they would not fix ongoing si, fi and hostage told me represented homeless internationally and

moved around the region for diplomatic meetings. he was a key player in negotiations to stop the fighting and gaza. some fia, his killing will be a major sit back and achieving piece in the region is real, has not claim responsibility for him. he is killing but it's prime minister benjamin netanyahu spoke today about an earlier strike on the route that killed a hezbollah leader. flying sugar, you said back shilling and others and had shown that israel had delivered crushing blows to all of our enemies. and then yahoo said that his country is ready for whatever lies ahead. as citizens of israel, challenging days lie ahead. now that since the striking baby boots the threats sounding from all directions and we are prepared for any scenario, we will stand united and determines against any threats. this is very well exact,

the heavy price for any aggression against those from any arena, hold 0 actually. i my 1st guest is certain 25 years in israel's defense intelligence community, and that includes being head of it's iran and research branch is now with the atlantic council and specializes in the middle east national security intelligence . i'm happy to welcome back to the program. danny, it's a trend of it stand. it's good to see you again. it's good to have you on the program. you know, as well as i do, the middle east has been a power cag for a long time. what do these 2 killings at the top of his below and tomas what do they mean for the risk of it all? well wider we're breaking. yeah. well, them send you having the i think that the as the describe the thing right to so we on the branch of uh, severe escalation and even the region of the war. i think those 2 events are putting us closer and closer as of only those to advance by the sweats. coming out

from taylor. i'm and tomorrow we're here from the secretary general. uh for some us run up talking about that as well. the nice things that we are is something it won't be contained in a way that maybe some intervene by the us or the original superpower. and i think that the escalation is almost imminent. and i see that uh, we are close as we have a beam direct glass between the east rather because by law and definitely between that is run anywhere on the places that you've ever been. what needs to happen immediately to pull both sides back from the brink, in your opinion, this associates the i am not a very good good use of thing. there is no, not enough other things that someone can take or do in order to prevent the reaction from you on our end. because by the retaliation against these ramps lubricating, also super and some of the things that you're supposed to have to absorb this

friday. and then hopefully input, sorry, most of the time, right, what happens quoting, so vapor. and then if we're able to for lift, then we'll maybe with time limit that the spot that maybe we can contain it. but the real problem just decide that it's not only the only easement contained the current situation, but we have to remember that's without the ceasefire in augusta. that doesn't continue. and why both sides all 5 sites big with fire. i think it's safe to assume that even you can contain reports installation in the future. one is just around the corner. so months we have a very both of the situation and i hope it's after the retaliation of this. but let me run it to the end. it will be we tell you guys and things like that. i bought a tree, and they said that when we started, i hope that the domestic community was intervene, pressuring both sides to contain a future that we thought an issue. because these not escalation, like i mentioned, the imminent and without some of that will be the end of the day,

will be able to contain the current situation for the final system to the left full stage for that nobody wants. but i think we are very close to be there. well, the is really prime minister last week when he spoke in washington, he gave a very long speech. he did not mention the word ceasefire once in his speech. and i know that israel promised after the october 7th terror attacks to kill, you know, how do you and other hamas leaders. but honey, it was also one of the main point me and one of the main people involved in the negotiations about a possible seas for and also about a possible hostage deal. so it doesn't look like it's really, really wants that ceasefire to take place. is that your read on what nets in yahoo wants as well. again, it's very hot. so each user lead lives rather than trying to have a lead,

usable. ready system especially if any else, but i would say this, i think that it's made at the uh, from the civic product over. it was obvious that these right we've been going to, it's our, him. but the main problem right now is that you mentioned is the fact that we have no other choice and that's we got those are between of ceasefire and i'm not sure that the killing is made. let me uh, would it get us closer to these problems that need to in, in terms of reaching that agreement and you know, ron of negotiations boma come us at the cutter. i think i'm like seeing a blog he was interested in. the deal again is not a good many of the parents are very bad man, but if you want to release off hostages, things of kidding i'm, you know, i'm not really getting just closer to where we want to be. i think now we have to wait a few the quote to you guys, hopefully a one bedroom or a deal. so the bottom of things i think showing that in general terms of the civic was something is, wasn't sponsored too fast for the current situation. i'm not sure what the feeling

and we promote bill as i'm sort of the thing that it was a small one, but you have to make them see what's uh, how things with developing. ready the future without a sunday, i'm very pessimistic for the chances for deals and the co into weeks and even months. you're saying that you're not convinced that killing amelia is going to be um, productive for israel, for getting a ceasefire. the united states, the secretary of state said today that the us had no knowledge of the plan to kill any yet. and also it was not involved in the plan. that's hard to believe. but if that is the truth, what does that tell us then about the relationship between is real and it's most important and why the united states? what does it tell us also about washington's ability to influence is re, as well as think of those countries of the coast house, 12 corporation between them. both are independent,

i think is what it has to do depend, is to take the live events decision in order to prove it secuity, but goes without saying the euro with the us. but a backup, especially if we are the 2 ways you need to. ready or is that is why i think it's imperative to make sure that the american administration know what is what he wants to do. know what, how is but one, so things to be develop. and i think we will be highly dependent on them also because he. ready and whether going towards or using the us to contain the pressure iran and produced by us to do that. but this government not to escalate even further. the thing is that with god, i don't need to be the kitchen. how strong the cooperation is. of course of action is i think it's quite strong, but i think it definitely got i think the administrative is highly glory. that's what you're gonna be doing right now with the 2 is the situation and. ready those good lord and i think the pressure both sides because they have to give it is towards the future. ok. dennis and turn events as always we appreciate your time.

appreciate your valuable analysis tonight. thank you. thank you very much. well, immediately after the strike on wednesday morning, iran bound to take revenge for the killing of it's my of any of the he had come to tehran for the inauguration of the runs the president lawsuit, possess key on the president today, said that iran will quote, defend its territorial integrity, dignity, honor, and pride and will make the terrorist occupiers regret their cowardly act. i was and did a statement read out on the reading and television of the country. supreme leader, i told her all the whole money directly threatened is really claiming that it had leave the ground for a harsh punishment. and it was a runs duty to seek revenge for the killing of it's my own. i need, you know, yes, called about to leave. for more, i'm joined now by ali. i told you john, director of the center for middle east and global order. he joins with you're not

from right here in berlin. it's good to see you again. ron, promising to punish is real, but with in iran leadership after the killing of honey it into a wrong. do you think that there will be consequences for this failure and intelligence and national security inside the wrong one in terms of the consequences? i'm not sure of but then again it's very clear that there are being such deficits and huge deficits on terms of providing security in terms of air defenses. and so it's a quite a she navigation for the right hand side after all the year was a top regime guess going to, to iran to attend to the inauguration or the, or the president must with business john. and also meeting together with the add of the power students nomic jihad with the supreme leader of the law. here on the,

the harmony that then um you know, at the so powerful it's not real public or ron was not able to protect one of these . she ad eyes and when i was top gas, so there is lots of pressure. now i'm sure you know in the wrong to respond to that kidding. yeah, iran is bound to take revenge. do we know what that could possibly look like as well as the new york times reports that were just published an hour or so ago is correct. and uh, this morning when there was an emergency meeting of the supreme national security console, which isn't a lead buddy task to deal with vide so national security and foreign policy issues . at this meeting us supreme leader at harmony according to the north times and its sources has ordered the wrong to strike israel drake.

so difficult, this of course, would present. uh, you know, a huge escalation uh, potentially uh, but then again, the main see um what we saw, what we saw on april 13th uh with the unprecedented address, a sort of buyer on an ease. uh which uh, you know, there's a lot of confusion about that. but after, you know, at the end of the day these various, together with the support of the united states and its regional partners, were able to defend israel quite strongly. so maybe, uh, this kind of, uh, you know, scenario gonna be repeated uh, basically uh, being a show for us from the iranians side. but beyond that, of course, the lawn can activate different components of the so called excess of a resistance of who these and gammon with also launched a long range besides quite recently a to ease well uh, but also pro iranian,

amid dishes in iraq and syria tried to re targeting you uh, the us military presence there. and so of course not least testable in the north of, uh, israel. but then again, uh to potentially not to the extent of, you know, the, i mean, at the end of the day the, the amount remains that, uh you, your own, it has to, uh, show a kind of a face saving response. but then again, it would be a huge risk to draw in the united states into uh, to me, at least for yeah. and also creates a veritable northern front between has the and the israel at the end of the which you run. a news is crown jewel as well. let me just ask you about how boss and his bullet their, their face and trust in the radian regime. i mean, is it,

it has to be shaken now or, or how do you see it? oh that there was some, you know, uh, shaking credibility uh all along. um, since uh, october 7th, because of your running reluctance to strike um, you know, these rel directly um, so um this particular credit ability problem. uh amounted to the kind of iranian director sold that we saw on april 13th. uh so again, i guess it's a credibility problem for the song republic both with its inside a support space but also must know to be within the access of uh, you know, the so called access of resistance. um, uh, but the iranians uh, you know, the discredit ability problem has to be dealt with. uh, but then again we, we cannot forgot about there was a clear pattern of dependence uh,

one sided lead. so that is disabled. has a mouse or the one sort depended upon a test runs support and not vice versa. okay. i'll wait until the new john director of the center for middle east in global or do we appreciate your time and your analysis tonight? thank you. good. seeing you again, us. thank you. with the background to honey is kili is the word and god's in between him us. it is real, the us has been pressuring is really to agree to a ceasefire, but these really government has resisted any of death, makes a ceasefire. seem less likely than ever. nevertheless, the body ministration thinks that it's still possible. i want you to listen to what the us national security council spokesman john kirby said about that today. we still believe there's a viable process. we still believe there's interest in counterparts and we still believe that there are meetings and discussions to be had. we wouldn't have

a team over there right now if we didn't believe that it was possible to try to gather, gathered together and push this forward and push this forward. let's say in washington the, i'll get our correspondence bill, jimmy lounge, he's following the story for us. so janelle, weakness and fear, let's start with weakness. the fact that israel was able to possibly carry up his assassination to the fact that the us was unable to, to sway is really to do something differently. us influence on israel is anything but strong. is that what you are hearing right now in washington? of the well, in a word brenda. yes. and the fact that the us did not know about this attack of dots according to the secretary of state and to the blinking. and that this attack was not co ordinated by washington. that kind of does seem a bit more indicative of the limited influence that the us appears to have. but it's also worth noting out that this idea that the u. s. has on been unable to

exert influence on israel effectively. it's worth pointing out that that has been a discussion here for a longer time that you asked for all it's a part of israel for it's a part of its military campaign for all the diplomatic cover that the u. s. has provided at the you when and the un security council, the fact that it's the by israel, in terms of the health to get send off a tax off from iran. the us has been kind of like a passenger in district in it's been unable to press iran into a achieving certain kind of goals such as are appearing, appearing more restrained or getting more humanitarian aid into gaza. so prime minister benjamin netanyahu was just here last week. he met with bite and he met with harris. he spoke before congress and the white house also made it clear then that what they wanted to see was not in yahoo is

a full backing of this sort of ceasefire hostage release. steal it came and went without having given that backing. and that clearly shows you that he was not pressured to do that. but what everyone here is also aware of is that benjamin then yeah, who more than anything is motivated by domestic concerns, by domestic pressure is his personal ambition. perhaps his goal of staying in power, and that is a square that washington that has not been able to circle it. now let's talk about the fear. the big fear is that the united states will be drawn into a wider, more in the mean, the least. is there a sense in washington tonight that is indeed what could be happening now? i mean there is an argument to be made that saw that a wide or regional conflict was happening. all right, do you have the who sees and the red sea have bought it? rain and back to militias in iraq and syria. and these tensions between israel and

has the loss, but of course saw the fear that this could motivate the iran and it's proxies to the exact so a very harsh response, of course, and a drag that us into a wider, into an even deeper conflict. of course, so that is a concern here now for now the white house is maintaining this line that a wider escalation is not necessarily inevitable john kirby, who or who's our quote we played there earlier in the show. he also said that today, but also worth noting that this is a region that is full of where the u. s. is, is very much of represented. the white house has been saying that it still sees a diplomatic solution as the way forward for a more peaceful and secure region. but you can certainly tell that nerves are on edge here. yeah. yeah. i mean, amazing. the they're,

they're taking the positive spin on this, what we'll see if that's where events indeed to take is janelle, in washington. janelle, thanks for your recording. thank as well, the day it continues online. you'll find this on the x, also known as twitter and youtube. the w news, you can follow me on social media at bring dot tv and remember, whatever happens between now and then tomorrow is another day we'll see you then everybody, the

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