tv [untitled] December 18, 2023 9:00am-9:31am EET
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the press was with us. 9:00 a.m. is approaching, the time when we remember all the dead, all the defenders who gave their lives defending our country with you in this russian-ukrainian war. a moment of silence. we will observe a moment of silence in memory of the ukrainian military and civilian citizens of ukraine who died in the war. that it was unleashed by russia.
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there are signs that kyiv is preparing a plan for next year, the german publication welt writes about this, this may be the offensive planned by zaluzhny for this summer, because, as the authors note, ukraine still has access to more than 95% of all weapon systems supplied by the west. we will discuss what plans ukraine can potentially implement next year. russian troops advanced near khromovoy, west of bakhmut, as well as in kurdyumivka, southwest of the city. this
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is reported by the american institute for the study of war. in the direction of bakhmut, the russian army has concentrated almost 80,000 troops, according to the 26th artillery brigade. what is the situation in the bakhmut direction, we will discuss further in this stream. vladimir putin warned finland about the problems that will arise in relations and announced the creation of a new military district in the regions bordering this country. what does the head of russia mean, why did finland close its borders and is it waiting? escalation important news, statements, exclusive comments, all this is in our morning broadcast, join us on weekdays from 9:00 a.m. on the radio liberty youtube channel and also on the air of the tv channel. russian troops advanced near khromovoy, west of bakhmut, as well as in kurdyumivka, southwest of the city. this is reported by the american institute the study of war. at the same time, referring to geo-location footage in on the other hand, to the north of
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bakhmut, the russian army failed to advance, analysts write. the deep state project reports that fighting continues near the village of bohdanivka in the north, and russian forces are also advancing along the chasiv yar highway, in the direction of ivanovsky, southwest of bakhmut. they are successful on the outskirts of the city. in addition, deep state writes that the situation near the tick is difficult. the ukrainian general staff reported repulsed attacks in the bakhmut direction in the russian direction. defense they report the same thing, that they repelled the attacks of ukrainian troops in this direction. what is the situation there? let's talk further. oleksiy tarasenko, deputy battalion commander of the fifth separate assault brigade of the armed forces of ukraine, joined our broadcast. i congratulate you. good morning. oleksiy, tell us what the general situation is in the bakhmut region, how accurate is the information from the deep state analysts there and the institute for the study of war, which one we just announced? in general, what you just
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voiced quite accurately reflects the situation on bahamian direction. in fact, the information from the dibst is usually delayed by several days, so progress in one direction or another, they may be displayed on the map after 3-4 days, this is purely based on our observations. the enemy still continues to attack in many directions, but already. the offensive potential is not as strong as it was , say, a few weeks ago, the passage of enemy infantry groups, the use of fp drones, the use of, ah, sometimes light bro armor, mainly to transport infantry to the front edge, and therefore at the moment, at the moment the front has almost stabilized, and... the russians already do not have the quality
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of personnel that they use, i suspect that the situation will level out in the coming week. in this direction, but tell me about , you said, about the quality, in general, if we talk about the quantity, how many russian forces are concentrated there, what kind of forces are they, because, for example, in the 26th artillery brigade , they recently announced about the fact that the russian army has concentrated almost 80,000 troops in the bahamian direction, can this really be the case figure? well, judging by how persistently the enemy sends. infantry in battle and how often it suffers losses, how great these losses are, the enemy still has a large reserve of direct infantry, and we know that the enemy
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has transferred a fresh parachute regiment, we know that the army corps are still standing, and the former ones are so called in this direction there are many tank units, mechanized units, therefore the entire grouping is very powerful, and the enemy traditionally keeps the most combat-ready units here. oleksiy, if we talk about tactics and the equipment of the russian troops in the direction of bakhmut, so what can be said here? tactics are quite simple, to... quite primitive, but effective, the enemy simply due to the presence of a fresh resource of infantry, moves forward, regardless of losses, tries, if he rests in a good, say, firing position, orders
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a dozen, a half dozen fpv drones that pick it apart point by point, and the infantry group continues to advance, we do not observe any... let's say there are super new tactical techniques, but the enemy's success is simply dictated by the fact that he has an advantage in fresh infantry units and a significant advantage in the amount of ammunition for the main calibers of artillery, and the weather somehow harms the plans of the russian troops during these offensive actions? it is difficult to say, for sure, that it is the other way around, because, firstly, the enemy rarely worried about the condition of his men in different weather, and the tasks for the enemy servicemen do not change
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depending on the weather, but when we do not have the opportunity to introduce continuous air intelligence, the enemy is trying to take advantage of this, and... without aimed , corrected artillery fire from our side, he is trying to sneak in at a time when only observation posts directly by infantry are being observed. oleksiy, if we talk about the vakhmut direction, ukrainian forces there are currently in a state of defense, defending themselves against russian troops during this offensive? yes, of course, all units switched to positional or maneuverable defense. no tactical actions are observed at any such moments now, perhaps, in other brigades, tactical counter-attacks are taking place, because when the position is lost, when any
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firing position is lost, they certainly immediately try to take all measures to restore the position, therefore local counter-attacks. in order to recapture a lost position, for example, this does not happen every day, but it is the scale of an infantry division, that is, up to 10 men work to tactically improve their position to avoid, ah, let's say, fire on others fire positions from several directions to align the front line. oleksiy, summing up, how long has the russian force been in such an offensive on the ukrainian position in the bakhmut direction, how long has it been going on? it's been a little bit, a little more than a month, a little more than a month, in principle almost the same thing happens every day. i thank you for joining in and telling me about
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the situation in the bakhmut area. oleksiy tarasenko, deputy battalion commander of the fifth separate assault brigade of the armed forces of ukraine, was a guest of svoboda ranok. and we continue: the security service of ukraine opened criminal proceedings due to seniority in one of the places where the commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine valery zaluzhny could be. the agency announced this on its website. the security service emphasized that the equipment was not discovered directly in valery zaluzhny's office, but in one of the rooms that could be used by the commander-in-chief of the armed forces for work in the future. according to preliminary information, the device that was discovered was in a non-working state, no means of storing information or means of remote transmission of audio audio recordings were recorded, and so the detected device was sent for examination. i will remind you that the day before, a number of ukrainian mass media, in particular rbc, babel and ukrainian... pravda, citing their own sources , reported that they had found a wiretap in zaluzhny's office. ukrainian truth notes that
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the premises in question should have been the commander-in-chief's new office, which was inspected before the move. in addition, according to the publication, listening devices were found in the possession of employees. for 2024, ukraine is probably preparing a new counteroffensive for these operations, kyiv is gathering resources, about it reports german. velt and here it is in particular about multi-armored equipment, which was promised to be provided to the partner of ukraine, but it has not yet been used. some of the equipment has not yet arrived at all, for example, leopard tanks , and the fact that ukraine has big plans, as the publication notes, is also evidenced by the list of weapons that the leadership of ukraine handed over to the united states, which includes helicopters, fighter jets, and missile systems long-range, german security expert and political adviser niko langen, to whom the publication refers. welt says the zsu is trying move to mobile warfare, which never materialized during the summer counteroffensive.
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in his opinion, the kherson region can be the starting point of offensive actions. meanwhile, the new york times, which spoke to the ukrainian military and marines, calls the operation of the armed forces of ukraine on the left bank of the kherson region, i quote, as suicide and a futile act, it is about the attempt of the ukrainian military to gain a foothold on the left bank and hold the bridgehead there, however... with of the main problems lies in the fact that, as the publication notes, in most places on the military of the left bank of the armed forces of ukraine seems to have nowhere to pay off. i noted that earlier the wall street journal wrote that western diplomats and military strategists say that an exhausted ukraine needs time to recover, so kyiv will not be able to launch a new counteroffensive until 2025. we receive such different assessments, but we want to summarize and analyze them further on the air, together with mykhailo makuruk, a sergeant of the armed forces of ukraine and the spokesperson of the infor community, i welcome you to our air, thank you for joining. good
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afternoon, thank you for the invitation. in your opinion, whether in the current state of ukraine to carry out offensives, large-scale offensives, and is it possible to predict the counteroffensive actions of the armed forces of ukraine for next year, for the summer of next year, for example, is it too early to talk about this, and is it possible to predict such a thing, because we periodically make such forecasts and assessments , you see, we read in various western media. people, let me live. whatever you are talking about, what forecasting, well, this is a war, neither side at the moment can carry out major offensive actions, because - our equipment is heavy, their equipment is heavy, the ground the frost is not frozen, but more soggy, tracked and wheeled vehicles will not come, at the expense of resources, there is a double vision here, since the front is constantly dynamic, it is not... stable in our country, and there may be a breakthrough from one side, from the other side at any time,
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at any time, as for the new york times article, i'll just remind everyone that this ukrainian editorial is a cheap russian slop, i was not wrong, let's remember andrew kremer, his ten years of work in moscow as an editor , the propaganda of sputnik b, when he drove and poked sputnik b demonstratively, pointing to... one-time statements and articles about the discrediting of the armed forces of ukraine, so i really ask you to remember that the new york times and its ukrainian editorial office are not an authoritative source, and to the fact that they say that we hired killers there, i can say one thing, they turned to my old friend and fellow magyar, he refused to give them this interview completely, which he himself emphasized, they did not name a single fighter, they did not name a single brigade, they sucked everything out of their fingers, so... when someone writes obscure articles that are meant to be simple
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to show the incompetence of the ukrainian army, if they wanted to expose themselves, and the needlessness of the help of our western partners, and when our ukrainian media blow it up, you know, it somehow smells very bad. mykhailo, let me clarify, you are talking about the article that we quoted from the new york times, which talked to the military and marines who participated in the operation on the left bank of the kherson region, correct? and the wording to occupy possible bridgeheads, sorry, it is objectively incorrect, the bridgeheads are already occupied, and people they are already working there and applying it to the equipment. very powerful impressions, both in terms of manpower and equipment, they were so full of energy, they summoned their standard general teplinsky, who simply cannot do anything on these platforms, and they summoned the famous airborne division by landing, it also cannot cope , that's why they talk about it theoretically, what the consequences can be, they are already given these consequences, and they also don't have many
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resources, here an entire airborne division is drained and destroyed. mykhailo, but you see, the publication german edition welt just writes about there are so many positives that ukraine is right, that is , the day before we heard all the materials that ukraine should even dig in and be in a defensive phase there, but velt wrote that there are chances that zaluzhny may be preparing a counteroffensive, which he wanted, in fact, was preparing for the summer of this year, and they are just writing about the kherson region, about the fact that the kherson region can become a starting point for these actions, then explain. what is the importance of this operation on the left bank? this is the creation of another bridgehead for the offensive. at the moment we have an offensive bridgehead for of the offensive near vasylivka, there is tokmak, there is berdyan, ughledar, let's not forget, and this is another fifth created, which , in principle, like the sword of damocles hangs over the rus, and it, it is heavy, that is indisputable,
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but it has a huge strategic value. you understand, from the shore of the black sea to kakhovka, there is a line of more than 100 km, and it is quite difficult to hold it, and when you still have such offensives, the bridgehead on the other shore, which is actively being carried out, including sabotage work by our military, is being actively destroyed their equipment, their resources, and the fact that, i will say it again, they drove there, as they think, the greatest luminary of military science, teplitov, that says a lot about what they have, their attempts to squeeze out this bridgehead, what ended with a massive defeat, destroyed weapons and another blow to the so-called russian airborne troops. mykhailo, you say that making forecasts is a thankless task, because
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the war is happening here and now and it is not known how everything can return, and to summarize 2000... the 23rd year, well, from the world's point of view, in your opinion, it will be remembered, here i do not give my evaluations, i just take the most popular conclusions, again there is western media, then it will be remembered an unsuccessful counteroffensive and a dead end for ukraine or not, you will forgive me for such a harsh language of the military, but what about the western media, what about our society is extremely stupid, we resisted, sorry, we resisted against the greatest resistance... on this continent, we , moreover, we fight back, and when they say about success or failure counteroffensive, then i want to ask the western media what percentage of the promised equipment and shells we received in order to make it as far as possible, well , no one really indicates how many tanks we received, how many
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bmps we received, how many shells we received , how much artillery we got from lunch. no, and when we are caught in force, i understand that the german publications and all kinds of western media, they are great theorists of war, i will simply remind everyone that the german bundessphere did not conduct after the second world war no one successful military operation, and in general his combat capability is a very big myth, and that's why, in my opinion, we survived, that's the main thing, i turn to this again. welt's material and there they say that ukraine has access to 95% of the weapons supplied by the west and that it seems to be accumulating resources for the offensive next year. you say that the west , and not only you, and other military analysts there, that the west did not provide everything necessary, and we also hear from the military at various points on the front that there
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no, there is not enough of such weapons, as, for example, they are in the hands of the russian forces, in your opinion. it is possible to accumulate here for the next year, and are they constantly supplied there , at least in insufficient quantities, but go from the west to the front? ugh , i can’t see this, i don’t work in the rear service, unfortunately, but, well, we have a total lack of ammunition, but capitally, we close all this thanks to fpv, we close, well, on that part of the front that is my unit, we are for... we have a total lack of ammunition for mortars, for barrel artillery, and the europeans simply... they know this perfectly, like the americans, and they do nothing, but you understand, it is very, well, very funny, how will the 23rd year be remembered by the promise of the european union, the powerful european union to give a million
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shells, which he did not fulfill, north korea fulfilled its promise in three weeks, gave a million shells to the russians, this is what he will be remembered for, in my opinion, will be remembered for complete complete impotence, and we were late for the decision of our western partners, and will enter like this in history the fact that ukraine has endured, as you mentioned it earlier, we should not forget about it, you said, let's go, and thank you for your analysis, in such a vivid form, nevertheless, we really have work to do, so to speak, in discussion of such assessments by various analysts of the western media, there is a lot of it, and it is important that the opinion of the ukrainian military and analysts was also heard, mykhailo makaruk, sergeant of the armed forces of ukraine, spokesman for the napalm information community, was a guest of svoboda ranok. and then let's talk about finland, but finland can have problems in relations with russia, russian president putin said in an interview with the moscow kremlin-putin program,
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to pavel zarubin, a russian journalist of the state tv channel russia-1. putin did not specify what kind of problems, but connected them with finland's accession to nato. in addition, the head of the kremlin announced the creation of the leningrad military district, which was disbanded back in 2010 and which borders finland, norway, and the baltic states. the finnish authorities did not comment on putin's intentions. finland was taken and dragged into nato. we had some disputes all disputes, including those of a territorial nature, were resolved long ago in the middle of the 20th century. the kindest and cordial relations were. there were no problems, now there will be. because we will now create the leningrad military district and concentrate certain military units there. putin's comment was made in the pro-kremlin program of the state television. against the backdrop of growing tensions in relations between finland and russia. in recent weeks, finland has completely closed its borders with russia due to the flow of migrants. they are mainly from the middle east trying to cross borders and asking for
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asylum. finland has officially stated that the russian authorities are encouraging migrants to go en masse to the border, thus trying to destabilize the situation in the country. let me remind you that after the russian aggression against ukraine in helsinki, they decided to join the north atlantic alliance, and in april of this year, finland officially... became a member of nato about the restoration of the leningrad military district . russian state media reported back in october. it is interesting that the troops of this district took an active part, in particular in the soviet-finnish war. next, we will discuss this and other topics on our broadcast. andreas sumland, candidate of historical sciences and political sciences, analyst of the stockholm center for east european studies, joined our broadcast, i congratulate you. hello, thank you for the invitation. but this is a warning. putin, to finland about the problems, he did not explain exactly what it could be, but what could he mean? well, i think it's more of a
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rhetorical act, i don't think there's really going to be anything materially, the moment of action for russia was in this period after finland submitted an application for joining nato, and before joining. nato before the ratification of finland's accession to nato, and now finland is a member of nato, and we know simply from the warnings of previous periods that russia, as a rule, does not interfere with any, well, with troops, does not interfere with nato member countries, that is, it is rather such a rhetorical a strategy to frighten the west and... there, well , to divert attention from ukraine, isn't it putin's policy, it is actually aggression against ukraine into
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a full-scale invasion, isn't that what became the impetus for finland to join nato, because putin traditionally blames the west for growing in this way, but this decision of finland was made, probably not just like that, yes, yes, it was just that... this is the behavior of russia, and both finland and sweden , they decided to change their long-term policy of neutrality and submitted applications to join nato, and, as i said, there was such a gray period, you could say, a period when finland had already announced that it wanted to join in nato, but not yet. member of nato, then you can was to act, and now it is already, if there will be any, well, any attack from russia, it will be
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then. article 5 of the nato treaty will be used, and then russia will fight with all nato countries, because now it just sounds frivolous to me, and there could be, say, in the baltics, other targets of russian aggression, say the city of narva in estonia is the most russian city abroad . of russia, this is an even bigger russian city than seva- sevastopol, but there, russia has not done anything and will not do anything, because narva on the territory of nato. well, the analysts of the institute for the study of war say that putin's statements that russia is not interested in invading nato are very similar to the persistent statements of the kremlin at the end
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of 2021, at the beginning of 22. in the fact that russia will not make a full-scale invasion of ukraine there, or in the coming years, is there a possible escalation between russia and nato member countries, there are the baltic countries, finland, poland, in your opinion? well, my opinion here is slightly different from the assessment of other experts who believe that both earlier it was believed that there could be an escalation in the baltics, or from poland, or from romania, or now from finland. and i do not think that this is likely, because, well, if you look at how russia behaved before, well, how exactly does this indicate that in moscow there is a very good separation of nato territory and non- nato territory, that is, i i can imagine that something could happen there in moldova or in georgia, where i
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am now. in tbilisi, but it will not apply to nato territory. andres, if we are talking about finland and russia the federation, well, it is already known that the borders of helsinki were closed there, and as soon as the full-scale russian invasion of ukraine began, finland closed it, trains do not run there, for example, and recently there was a story that moscow accused helsinki of that those, well, they kept these trains for themselves. finland says that these trains, well, there have been talks about this for a year and a half and there are certain financial obligations, this strain of relations, this trick, one might say, with migrants, we have already observed it and earlier on the borders there between belarus and poland, for example, what is happening here, and again, these are really attempts at such escalation, destabilization, maybe in finland, is it possible that this is a step towards something?
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more dangerous, well, this is a strategy , sometimes it is called a hybrid war, that is, if the war were not military instruments, it really happens and it is practiced in russia, and it also applies to members, member countries of nato, here, for example, this strategy with migrants, and well, finland has a very large border with russia, and of course there are such... hybrids there methods, that is, not military tools, they are especially, russia can especially use this, and that is why finland is now forced to take such steps, even if it does not meet, let's say, european standards, there should not be such restrictions for people, but here it is clear. the problem
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is that this, well, that russia is using it, the rights of people in the european union, belarus used to do it there with lithuania, with poland, and lukashenko also tried to use it, but well, well, this is such a war, no , no, not military, if war, which is going on, it has been and it will continue, but i don't think it will... lead to an actual military escalation. andres, you say that you do not think that the russian leadership will dare to somehow attack nato countries there. recently, the ministry of defense of estonia published such a strategy for the victory of ukraine and the defeat of russia, and there they believe that in fact this war is possible, that ukraine can win within the next three years or even less, if the aid to ukraine is increased and by imposing, they say, the prospect of an unbearable level of exhaustion of russia. how are you
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