the situation remains quite difficult, to date, the enemy does not stop trying to carry out offensive assault actions in certain directions on certain sections of the battle line, especially since now the weather conditions have deteriorated very much, which, in turn, has worsened our logistics, as well as the enemy's, but despite this, the defense forces firmly hold the line of combat confrontation er... completely on... the enemy's offensive assault actions are taking place in certain directions, they endure these enemy artillery effects, taking into account the fact that they have a fairly large amount of ammunition and an advantage in artillery in certain areas of the front, that is, the situation is difficult and still critical, but controlled, of course, as general shaptala recently said in an interview, that general tornavskyi excuse me, there was an interview and he said

that there are no frivolous situations at the front, on the front lines, however, is there, is there a feeling that the russians, in principle, do not have much success and that their winter the attack does not end in anything, no, it is possible so to say, there is no data that they are successful , very strong, but also to assume that their offensive... stopping potential has been lost somewhere, also, it should not be assumed, because in principle, any other directions can catch fire, any what a minute, as you said before, there are no minor situations or frivolous on the front, so it is not worth expecting that russia will suspend offensive assault actions in the winter period, the winter campaign, the winter will still be long enough, and accordingly he will start, i so i think, and judging by the situation. which

is happening at the front, maybe even a new direction will be opened, and therefore the enemy’s offensive assaults will definitely continue, and the potential of the enemy is not lost, let’s not forget that the russian federation exceeds ukraine in human resources, that is, they always have somewhere to take and taking into account the fact that they do not have democracy as such, as we do, there is also freedom of speech and everything else, so there... no one asks anyone, they just drive to the front, this human resource, which is now in to this aspect of the warrior of time, what is he, who are these people? uh, i heard about the resource, but i didn't hear it at the end, i'm sorry, those russians who are fighting now, who are they? well, we have already seen the zeks, we have already seen the wagnerites, some, some aitivites. rarely, of course, but there were also what

is today’s statistical average of this enemy of yours, the portrait of the enemy, well, the situation is as follows: the forces of the russian federation use a different category for conducting military operations, there is data, absolute confirmation that they use certain convicts for the equipment of the front edge, i.e. zero for conducting engineering work, and directly at each position there are... three so-called diggers from among the convicts who conduct engineering work constantly, they do not take part in hostilities, their job is only to dig and to equip, this also applies to the second line of defense, and the third, accordingly, if there are offensive assault actions in certain directions, they use convicts of the storm z group, this is the first, the first echelon of the offensive, the second echelon - this is storm b, it is one of the ex-convicts who have already served... i think they served there

for more than six months and signed contracts with the army of the russian federation, and in the third echelon already, if i am needed, then the regular troops of the russian federation go , that is, a soldier of the russian federation, he is different, from convicts to regular troops. today , it is expected that the verkhovna rada will consider the law on mobilization, how important and necessary this decision is, and that... in any case, the military in this new wave will appear in the ranks of the armed forces in 3-4 months in the near future, if it is not too late, or there is a reserve, mobilization is very necessary, it is certainly necessary, because combat operations do not stop at the front at all, that is, certain dynamics are either very high, or there is some variable, but it is still happening , artillery... along

the front edge, our positions are constantly being attacked, accordingly, the personnel is suffering losses, among the wounded, among the sick, among the dead, therefore the replenishment of combat and sanitary... forces in units, this must definitely be carried out, with regard to the law on mobilization , which will already be adopted, this one will be adopted, well, that is , we have legislators who solve these issues and write laws, and as for the ukrainian people, of course, it would be good if they themselves woke up after all, taking into account that the fact that the war has been going on for two years, and this war will not end, probably in the 24th year, and it would be good if it ended at all on the 25th, for example, it would be already for happiness, and... woe in the fact that everyone there is shouting outside the line of battle in the rear, how to avoid mobilization, which would be good , no matter how everyone shouted how to avoid the occupation of our country completely, for some reason, very few people are really interested in this issue, and it is such a big problem, why it is not clear, our

ukrainian people are raising this boat of our country, e- eh, and this is how this people is incited, because if we are here warriors. defense forces of ukraine, we will still not be able to withstand it, it will happen that we will die, then the russian soldier will go further, he will reach transcarpathia, and maybe he will stop only there, for sure respite, and then the ukrainian people, who talk a lot there and talk about great democratic values, without really understanding what they are, uh, will stand in the ranks of the forces of the russian federation, and there will be no one there to ask, accordingly, that the ukrainian people... need to wake up after all and understand that it is time to defend their home. and who is supposed to wake up the people, how are they supposed to wake up, if they have been told for two years that we are about to be in yalta and the armed forces, there cats will do everything for you, well that

some kind of phenomenon that for so many years we have not really woken up since 91, considering, and considering our such a rich history of ukraine and the great confrontations of several... that the ukrainian people don't wake up, in fact, it's kind of strange, maybe i don't even know what needs to be done, so many stories have already been written, a lot of good books have been written, about what happened and what will happen to the ukrainian people in principle in the future, if they they will not fulfill this mission of pretending and understanding that they are ukrainians and must protect their land, which... well, this is actually a disaster, even our ukrainian writer mykola dzhera wrote a work, well , if ukrainians would actually read it, once they would understand it, then they would see what will happen to them in the future, if they still do not come out of sleep,

it is necessary to fight, to defend the country, but certainly not with bare hands, what do you need, your brigade , what do our military need, first of all , well, at this stage of the war, no one is defending our country with bare hands, this is already some kind of fantasy, there is no doubt that much more bc is needed than it is at the moment at the front, that is, bc it has always been needed, because the artillery calculations there are mortars or other units from the fire support class, they are enough teach well, they work and are ready to work 24x7, even now, well , relatively recently, in this war , unmanned aerial vehicles are showing themselves very well. unfortunately, unmanned aerial vehicles serve there, for example, from several minutes to several weeks, because this is just consumable material, they are an excellent addition to the artillery and in the complex it plays a very big role, that reconnaissance, adjustment, that they directly destroy certain positions

of the enemy there, therefore our battalion is not exceptional in any way , we need means of reconnaissance or pre-reconnaissance and destruction of the enemy at this stage, in general... to say that the defense forces of ukraine are fighting with their bare hands, well, that is not true, the defense forces ukraine prepares them and gives them weapons accordingly, so this is some kind of myth. for our viewers, you are now seeing a qr code on your screens, in fact, you just saw a qr code, this is the soldiers of the fourth operational battalion of the rubizh brigade assembling a quadcopter, and this drone. the scout will help the infantry to see the operational situation on the front line, to save the lives of personnel. 270,000 must be collected, so help the military, help mr. mykhailo, whom you just saw, with whom we are talking about the needs of our army. well

mr. mykhailo, the very end, let me ask you not about forecasts, but about, let's say, eyes. sobriety after year of sobriety and to a certain extent, but what i read many british or american military analysts, they also complain that so far ukraine, at least at the level of political command, has not had realistic goals for it in this war, and it may have led to excessive losses, including military personnel excessive losses at the front, or we hope that this is ... a realistic assessment of capabilities is returning to the army, you know, today i

saw an interview with one of the priests in the west of our country, to my great regret, the region that i love very much, and there the priest calculated certain moments, how much the region allocated to help the armed forces from the budget for for 2023 and this percentage was 1.78 and holy. about the fact that he buried his brother-in-law there, his sister had two small children left there, as well as how many parishioners he buried and the percentage of aid 1.78, so that you understand, and the deputies are sitting in this meeting hall, with lowered heads, probably but clearly without a conscience, because taking into account what is happening in our country and 1.78 aid, well, it's about nothing really, so... we also have a political dream, but the biggest dream we have is the ukrainian people, nothing lets us

down so much in this situation, only her reluctance to understand the situation in which ukraine and ukrainians themselves are. well, i see in this a certain reproach to the mass media as well, because this is the task of the mass media, to show not the distorted picture and not the propaganda that someone there wants from the authorities. well, at the mass media level, we've lost since '91 , actually. well, mr. mykhailo, anyway, some say that this is basically a war that should have started in 1991, a war for independence, we postponed it, maybe it gave the country a greater opportunity to prepare, but in any case it is a war now, absolutely, maybe we as a country had to go through all this, because we still fought for history. for his state in different periods not in the composition as it is now, and as a nation, as a country that has

to become there and become powerful there from the point of view of the economy, politics and the whole army and everything else, maybe we should have gone through it, of course already in the civilized world and in the 21st century it would seem that it could be avoided, but as time has shown, then no, we will see it turns out, it took 30 years for the majority of ukrainians to say that they would vote now. for vyacheslav chornovol, so it took 30 years to get it, not a fact, well, yes, it is only a survey, that is, it is in theory, and how it would be in practice, it is not yet known, and who would be there, we will soon have the next elections somewhere there to a certain extent, so i think we will make sure that the ukrainians have not learned any lesson, or rather from this history, mr. mykhailo, thank you very much for this conversation, no no no calm day, a calm day as much as possible. lieutenant colonel mykhailo kryzhanivskyi, the commander of the fourth operational battalion of the rubizh brigade of the national guard of ukraine was in

touch with us. well, next we will have mykola malomuzh, general of the army of ukraine and head of the service of foreign intelligence of ukraine in 2005-2010 , but it will be after a short break, we will return very soon, stay with us. nothing has worked out yet, not yet, zakrep. oh, normakt, dear, take normakt. normolact eliminates constipation, normalizes bowel function, restores the number of lacto and bifido bacteria. everything worked out! normolact and everything will work out. there are 20% discounts on anti-catarrhal drugs in psyllanyk, pam and oskad pharmacies. oh, and we got wet, can you have some tea? mom, dad, what to do in order not to get sick? vitamin c, d3, zinc and essential, quercitin for strengthening vessels just take quertin immuno. all in one package. in one capsule, four. components together, so simple, one capsule a day, so convenient, quertin immuno, there are discounts on

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- your healthy sleep and instant furniture renewal at a good price. call! hello, this is svoboda ranok, an informational project of radio svoboda. top guests every day. this is the shipping district, kherson. turn on live. on weekdays at 9:00. verdict with sergie somewhere in the vicinity of bakhmut. we tell the main thing. rudenkom, from now on in a new, two-hour format. even more analytics, even more important topics, even more top guests: foreign experts, inclusion from abroad, about ukraine, the world, the front, society, and also

feedback. you can express your opinion on the bad day with a phone survey. in... and join the verdict with serhii rudenko every weekday from 20:00 to 22:00 at espresso. dear friends, mykola malomuzh, general of the army of ukraine, head of the foreign intelligence service of ukraine from 2005 to 2010 is already on your screens. mr. mykola, good morning. good morning, glory to ukraine, heroes. well, if we talk about the situation now on the front, bilt writes that in fact it can be considered that the attempted russian winter offensive is coming to an end, that is, the russians have already exhausted their mobilized potential to a certain extent and major breakthroughs are unlikely to be expected, would you agree

with this assessment, or really the russians failed to achieve their short-term goals. regarding capture, in particular avdiivka, for example, and kupiansk. well, the entire strategy of the russian federation was aimed at capturing avdiivka, kupyan, st. krimin and moving in kharkiv, was determined before the new year. it was putin who set the task for the collegium of the ministry of defense four months ago, powerful reserves were prepared, for example, in the kupyan direction , 110,000 only representatives of manpower, that is , several tank, so to speak, divisions and the army. in the same way, about 50,000 were involved in the avdiivka direction to capture avdiivka, this was the moment of truth for putin, to show that some settlement, more or less significant, was captured before the new year, before the start of the elections, and others were motivation, it is clear that to hold bakhmut and push back our troops and advance in the direction of zaporizhzhia is a recruiting plan

, that is, to drop our landing force in the kherson region, these tasks were just at the beginning. in the fall, then, respectively, in the winter and today at the beginning of the year, none of the strategic tasks were completed and could not be completed, we clearly possessed the situation, how strategic offensive operations were formed, maneuvered, and indeed in some places there were retreats for several kilometers, but we entered precisely to those positions which beneficial to us, and what is most important, apart from the fact that we did not give the opportunity to capture those specific cities and objects that russia planned. we are destroying a huge number of reserves, this is today in a war that is so difficult, with a shortage of ammunition to some extent and incomplete loading of our... capabilities with high-precision weapons, but still the main task is being carried out, and the fact that even today for 800, representatives enemy soldiers were destroyed and up to a thousand were wounded, this

already indicates that russia's defense capabilities are being undermined on a daily basis, we have repeatedly you presented on the air, summed up the results for at least a month, up to 10-12 brigades are destroyed or disabled during one month, these are literally the last four months. the end of autumn, it's winter already this year, so some new resources should be built up for large-scale offensive operations , as planned, for example, on january 15 on kupens and on kharkiv, but they are constantly threatening, an information campaign is constantly being conducted that this particular direction will be breakthrough , will not work because we already have all the movements and units of the armed forces of ukraine and russia, we powerfully form fortified areas and of course strike from the flanks and from other sectors where the enemy cannot advance, that is, we have now created

a powerful defense model, it is equally flexible, but on the other hand, having intelligence data, we destroy precisely the enemy and on the approaches, it is very important, when they have not yet entered the battle, and on the front line they are already at zero directly, but this is exactly this technique, at the moment it is very effective. in terms of destroying the reserve and preventing the concentration of large forces for carrying out strategic offensive operations, i think not, the kupin direction , what they are planning, and even less the capture of avdiivka, will practically not be implemented in them, we will use this tactic until we accumulate our strategic reserves, work out a new strategy, i think for the spring, and this is already preparation, carrying out operations, well , of course, for this we will receive all the resources from western partners and at our expense. ppk and at the expense of the correct position, the americans confirmed that we the procurement of ammunition, especially of various types on the markets of international

military cooperation, is a quick and effective way to replenish the resources and deficits of our armed forces, they have repeatedly said. there is an article by lawrence friedman, professor of military studies at king's college london, i follow his publications, you probably do too, mr. general, and he writes. however, he draws attention to the fact that although there were a lot of optimistic forecasts regarding the offensive of last year's ukrainian, and today, accordingly, there is a reaction that on unfortunately, these are meager results in terms of territory and so on, but he says that few people pay attention to the fact that 2023 was also the year of the offensive not only by the ukrainian army, but also by the russian army, he says that the russians actually carried out more bigger efforts in attempts to break through and seize new ukrainian territories, but achieved even less results and suffered even greater losses, and therefore he summarizes, in fact, that

he actually says the same conclusions that we just heard from you, that the russians are unlikely to succeed before the elections in march in russia, some trophy should be brought to putin, who wants to show it to the russians, which means that after the elections, putin, who... said that he would not announce mobilization, will find himself at such a fork in the road again. to continue the war, at least until the presidential elections in november in the usa, if putin hopes for a change of power there, he will have to carry out a new mobilization, according to laurence friedman. otherwise, maybe now is the best time for putin to really begin the cautious probing, freezing of the conflict, so to speak, in ukraine, that is. a certain suspension of the war, what do you think about the scenario described by mr. friedman? well, first of all, we say that

the mobilization resources in the russian federation are not unlimited, many analysts say, yes, they are unlimited, i just know russia and its capabilities, so they could grab everyone, but on the other hand , this model of hidden mobilization is a direct mobilization is planned, this is the involvement under... the force format of quotas for each region, how much to raise according to unofficial mobilizations, these are mercenaries, these are convicts , these are private structures that form private units for the armed forces of russia, these are special services that recruit people, that is, through various channels, that is, this whole armada has already been tested, and the 23rd year showed everything that they had the ability to covertly mobilize up to a million people, in fact, it is now devalued , it does not give such an effect, we... we are talking about the fact that during the war we destroyed up to 90% of the personnel of the professional units of the russian federation, this is a powerful undermining, this is

what ... what is currently being hired and mobilized is this so to speak, additional resources that have neither the level of training nor coordination, are not ready to effectively underline, and in those sectors where we spoke of the four, more or less professional units are still rushing in, they have not solved the task, and the undermining of this mobresursu will be very powerful, something should be done systematically, they had a defining year on the 23rd, but it showed that it was actually a failure, but on the 24th there is no way to start mobilization with such huge losses, and we can see from all the intelligence and even closed sociological research , a huge problem today in russian society, regarding the huge number of killed and wounded who do not return home, or return, well, according to huge problems, that is why at the moment it is a threat, putin would like to demonstrate against the background of the victory, that he achieved something in russia, new territories, captured there

, neutralized some... threats, here it turns out that there is no result and huge, huge losses, and this is already felt more and more by the family, after the elections, mass mobilization will begin under the threat of our offensives, this is a huge destabilization for him, it will turn out that he has not achieved anything, he will lose on the battlefield, and we have such prospects in the new strategy, so of course, against this background, to prepare some kind of mass mobilization, it will be very difficult, there will be very huge shifts in the system, because... after the start, i directly emphasize the offensive operations, at least in the south, and we can see that there is a prospect in crimea, this is already a powerful weakness for putin, this is a weakness of the regime, which will feel all his surroundings and everything russian society, which is now to some extent zombified precisely by the regime, and when there is a loss, then everyone will quickly see the light of day, and it will be anti-putin campaigns then , we will see what the scenario will be, but before that we really need to endure today's effort at the front in the winter, and the spring , as we say, a new

strategy... here is what the old man once said, but it must be done competently, systematically, comprehensively, and not at one moment move along the dragon's tooth or alternating fields, this should be a completely different approach that will ensure effective , pending those measures, which will really destroy the enemy from different sides from the front, from the bodies, from the flanks simultaneously, the destruction of deep bodies with the help of the latest weapons, missile systems of our partners and our own production, this is what... will break all myths and no mobilization there in russia will no longer be relevant, because many russians will already orient themselves with such a format, it will definitely be those who will be mobilized, destroyed and no one will be ready to go to war directly, they will support putin, they will say that he cheated them that they did not know that he is such a dictator and the like, but it is under the influence, i say , of our victories, and then the situation in russia will move further, the internal destabilizing format,

it is still powerful. don't hit him in the back, and that's the prospect of quick wins. well, thank you very much for this conversation, mykola malamush, general of the army of ukraine and head of the foreign intelligence service of ukraine in 2005-10 was in touch with us. thank you, and now our informative analytical hour with lesya vakulyuk is coming to an end, we are actually leaving already now for a general national moment of silence. andriy and i will return to the air in odessa. later on the air from the press will be the project of our colleagues from radio svoboda svoboda ranok, and we remind you that at 9 o'clock the whole country will honor the memory of those ukrainians, civilians and soldiers, whose lives were taken by russian aggression, so remember them, ahead of us a few more hours of the marathon and there will be many interesting guests, stay with us, we will keep you

informed. let's honor the memory of ukrainian soldiers and peaceful citizens of ukraine with a moment of silence died in the war started by russia.