we are from the states of the baltic states, lithuania, latvia, estonia, and accordingly , semi-official statements are already beginning to appear, in particular , news arrived from estonia, so to speak, that a certain process is underway, when certain countries, representatives of the west, are trying to intervene or intensify such called the process of a possible truce and immediately emphasized, analyzing this situation, that it would be in the map of interests. pressure in favor of the capitulation of ukraine comes from one source, it has always come from there, it is the so-called left-liberal wing of the democratic party, which controls all the so- called quality press. we 've been getting a stream of articles from the new york times, the washington post, the hill, news week, etc. for months now. allegedly, the counteroffensive failed, but you ukrainians don't care. they will never be able

to defeat the russians, great sacrifices, all this must be stopped, but think about an armistice. nothing of the sort, no signals coming from the us administration, although there is much to blame for the lack of haste in deploying us aid. you they mentioned zelenskyi's visit to the baltic countries. speaking together with the lithuanian president at a press conference, he quite harshly publicly reprimanded the insufficient aid, especially in a situation where russia is concentrating an incredible amount of offensive means, trying to suppress the ukrainian defense system, to direct the hail of missiles they receive from iran. against this background , the statement of the three, which, unfortunately, is still little known in ukraine, sounds very positive. these are all well-known friends of ukraine,

the chairman of the committee on foreign affairs michael mccall, the chairman of the committee on armed forces mike rogers, and intelligence committee chairman mike turner. this document on 30 sheets is called the plan for victory in ukraine. sharply criticizes the insufficient, indecisive aid to ukraine, the american administration, and what is very interesting, this document criticizes the narratives of the trumpist republicans, who constantly repeat that the aid must be checked, it is not known where it goes, whether it is stolen or not. it is emphasized that 74 audits by the pentagon were conducted and not a single case was found. misuse

of american military aid. document calls on the biden administration to dramatically increase the supply of arms. and first of all , to clearly formulate politically that the goal is victory. victory of ukraine. withdrawal of occupation troops from the entire territory of ukraine. those weapons that are to be supplied in completely different ones are listed. quantities of f-16 atakams fighters. we now have accurate information about atakams. yes, they were provided, but with a range of 100 miles. and there is a qualification of 180. and the document requires them to be supplied, accordingly, to dramatically strengthen anti-missile defense. in addition, it is required to immediately confiscate and transfer 300 billion confiscated russian funds to help ukraine. bloomberg reports that

president biden spoke in support of such a decision. now everything depends on the europeans, because most of these funds are located in europe. but i confirm again, from the official structures of the republican party, there are no proposals to put pressure on ukraine for the purpose of a truce. on the contrary, there is this very... sad document of the republican party, which demands to concentrate on the victory in ukraine. what else is important about this document, what for such sentiments in the republican party cannot be assumed that in the coming days, a small group of trumpists will be able to block financial aid to ukraine. how many times already, i'm tired of predicting, but i'll say it again. with such a mood

of the republican party , it is impossible to block financial aid to ukraine. i think this issue will be resolved in the coming days. i do not rule out that the republicans are now so disposed, it is very interesting and very positive for us. judging by this document from the pre-election speech of the candidate from nikki haley of the republican party, the reagan wing of the republican party proposes to make the issue of insufficient aid, bordering on betrayal of ukraine by the biden administration, a central element of the republican party's election campaign, and in this atmosphere. i just don't see how the republicans could block this bailout. of course, no one will put pressure on ukraine, because the pressure is already happening, starting from rocket tower and ending with aviation. i don't want to catch up with some, you know, treason or something

conspiracy theory, but this is step-by-step, you understand, pipette support of ukraine , when it comes to important, heavy weapons and their quantity, it is alarming in principle, so i... i cannot rule out that it is possible that they would like to deploy some such the end scenarios are pleasant for us. we understand that our budget is largely tied to american aid, we understand that when they start talking about 300 billion frozen russian assets and their transfer to us, it can be a palliative moment, because in order to adopt such a the solution should also be a whole series of procedures, it's a matter of time, well... you're right, it's a procedural issue, starting with a political decision. by the way, the following detail was revealed: most of these funds - 210 billion in belgium, where the archive

of eu securities is located. this cannot in any case be a substitute for the financial one, which is less than the 61 billion aid, because it is... and judging by the latest statements of zelenskyi and the military-political leadership of ukraine, every day we are talking about hours and days related to air attacks on ukrainian infrastructure and simply on ukrainian civilians . this is a great emotional outburst, you literally quote the exact same phrases from this republican document. my advice to the ukrainian politicians and, above all, to the council. this document appeared on the website of the house of representatives a week ago. and for some reason there was no reaction in ukraine. i understand that president zelensky, the office of the president,

may not be very comfortable speaking too positively about him, because he sharply criticizes the biden administration, and the president works with the president. but it is a document of congress, there is the verkhovna rada, there are inter-parliamentary relations, i propose to make a maneuver immediately, the document is signed by the three heads of the leading committees of the house of representatives, republicans, it is defense, intelligence and foreign policy, there are the same three heads in the verkhovna rada, the chairman of defense intelligence , if i were them, i would immediately fly to... the states , have a meeting with these colleagues, create such a working group of six committee chairs, three of these wonderful republicans, mccall, rogers and turner, and three ukrainian committee chairs, for them to constantly discuss the plan

for the victory of ukraine, to discuss and implement it, to put pressure on the congress and the council, on the relevant government implementation mechanisms. this is a very powerful ally of ours, which is being formed now. the reagan wing of the republican party is gaining ground over the trump wing. and it is fair. with our words and yours, he criticizes biden for insufficiently active support of ukraine. i also recommend immediately translating it into ukrainian in all mass media, there is an excellent selection of events from 2014. all those the stages at which bidenivska is an administrator. remember how painful the bidding was to provide first the hymers, then the patriots, then the abrams, and finally the atakams, this is a new

trend, the republican party seems to be framing their election campaign as a criticism of biden for not fulfilling his role as leader of the free world, and this is a positive trend, you definitely need it. maximum support from ukraine. andrii andriyovych, well, i would like to ask you about the forecasts, it is about the big davos forum. we understand that the issue of russian aggression against ukraine. there will be extremely powerful on the agenda, on the other hand, we understand that the kremlin also works with certain environments. we saw the reaction of europe on our most difficult day in washington. on december 12, when zelenskyi's visit failed, when he failed to convince the american congress to sign this bill, it caused a very strong reaction in europe. no need to remind me about orban, we know very well that

the 50 billion project was approved. and politically an important invitation to start eu accession negotiations for a country at war is unprecedented. and packages of financial assistance, which were additionally provided by the scandinavian countries and acceleration of the transfer process. for example, in the sharp statement of the foreign ministers of france and great britain, these fears of europe, europe very concretely perceived the warning. the american administration, in trying to get this approval of the financial plan, warned very clearly that refusal would lead to war. i remember how austin, come on god bless him,

he was now sitting at the table after the operation and saying: "i am now forced, i am now considering plans to transfer american soldiers to europe, because in case of refusal of funding and success of putin, we will have to fight with the russians, you know, what is it all about? he failed to convince the hesitant members of the chamber, but it made a huge impression on the europeans. europe has now dramatically increased its political support for ukraine. in my opinion, this trend will dominate the forum. and it certainly should be used by the ukrainian delegation. once again , i call on ukrainians and politicians, first of all the verkhovna rada, to immediately respond to this document, to make it an interparliamentary document. once again i repeat my position to create. permanent commission of three heads, the three heads i mentioned, turner, rogers and

mccall and three heads from the ukrainian verkhovna rada, to make it a political rammstein, you see, there were hopes that rammstein would meet once a month and plan the victory of ukraine, but he did not fulfill this role turned into a message about the arms deliveries that the americans have made so far. and there should be a body that daily jointly plans the victory of ukraine, politically decides what is needed for this victory. thank you very much andrii andriyovych for this extremely important and relevant conversation, i want to remind our tv viewers that andrii pionkovskyi, a famous political scientist who is in washington, was currently working on spresso. the time of our program has run out, stay with the espresso tv channel. my colleagues will inform you about all the most important things the events of this of the day , take care of yourself and your loved ones, see you on the air

, the saturday political club is on the air, we welcome you, friends, khrystyna yatskiv and vitaly portnikov, thank you for being with us on this beautiful evening, we will summarize the main events of this week, for the week has become stressful. i would say, in fact, it is difficult to remember which one has not been like this recently, despite the fact that we will talk about the situation in our country, we will also mention how the confrontation in the middle east is developing, some events, quite a few events unfolded there these days, we will talk about the events in poland and, in addition, about the prospects of security guarantees for us and from our partners, well , let's start with the military situation and everything that... oleksandr mosienko, director of the center for military legal research, is in touch with us. oleksandr, glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. congratulations, mr.

oleksandr. so, let's start with what is happening in the sky of ukraine, how dangerous are these north korean missiles, how many of them there are, how will the situation with russian arsenals, especially missile ones, if we talk about the latest events in ukraine, develop in general. information. in fact, there is not much about the number yet, we are talking about the fact that there may be several dozen, well, again, it may be, this is according to the version of our american partners, who gave accordingly. statistics and several launchers for them, respectively, these are kn-23 missiles, which in principle are actually very similar to the iskander operational-tactical missile systems, and in fact such let's say so, quite similar, the facts of their use are known at least three times, and the ukrainian investigation has even confirmed this

by the ukrainian prosecutor's office, at least one unsuccessful one of these cases can be singled out , which has already been... confirmed, this is what i was talking about john kirby, the adviser on strategic communications of the us white house, who said that on december 30 one such missile was launched and it fell in a field in the zaporizhia region, i think it is clear that the field was not a target, but happened some event that made this missile not fly, maybe its technical condition, maybe they haven't learned how to operate it properly in russia yet, some factors are happening, i would pay attention to... to today's event actually in this sense, because today appeared quite interesting message in the summary of the air forces of the armed forces of ukraine, that 20 missiles, which were launched by russia on the territory of ukraine, obviously among them are ballistic ones, it is not specified whether they were kn-23 missiles, they are not in the list, but it states about

the fact that 20 missiles did not reach the targets, ah , maybe the priority ones, where they were launched because of... the fact that radio-electronic warfare systems were used by ukraine, this is an interesting thing, because before i do not remember this in the reports of official, and this may mean that ukraine is trying against the background of the fact that we currently do not have a sufficient number of systems to combat ballistic missiles, such as tima or patriot, well, they are trying to experiment with such options as acting as rebs and rejecting these missiles on course ideally so that they... go off course and fell and hit the target not in big cities, but somewhere outside the city, somewhere in the fields , somewhere in the forests, where there are no people, or a smaller number of people are there, cars, equipment, anything, enterprises and so on, that's it very interesting thing, i think, if it will be further developed in this way, then it is promising from

the point of view that it will strengthen our air defense, please tell me, mr. oleksandr, that the northern korean, in particular, ballistic missiles, does this mean that russia actually is now paying attention to this ally of its, because iran, which is already traditional for us , may in the near future be busy with other things closer to itself, and in fact will support its proxy armies in every possible way, in particular there are... the houthis, hamas, maybe hezbollah . you know, iran, it seems to me, the case is complicated by many circumstances, by many. and, i think that certain decisions, which were adopted in the fall of 2022, about the possibility of transferring two types of ballistic missiles to russia, they are being postponed for some reason, and maybe even

may be canceled, maybe, maybe not, we don't know for sure yet. but there is a reason that iran did not cross this, this border and did not take a certain step, perhaps because they are constantly threatening israel, they have elections there in march for this council of experts, and you you know that they again began to declare that israel must be destroyed, etc., it seems to me that, against the background of this, it is probably not very logical to transfer missiles to russia, because they will ask, why are you transferring missiles, if you are preparing for war, maybe there are other... factors that have the same effect, some channels of communication are minimal, which remain with the united states, and there is still hope to conclude the sanctions agreement, yes, which was in effect, then was canceled by president trump at the time, because at the end of the day, the position of the special representative for iran in the united states is not abolished, it exists, despite the fact that the united states is

an ally and supports israel, that is, a lot of points, with north korea, it seems to me that everything is obvious. and look how kim used it to his advantage propaganda i've been watching for the last few weeks, you know, these are propaganda videos from kim from north korea, i think he's flourishing every time about what he's watching, i'm helping russia, north korea supports russia, it's okay, we provide such support , what a great country we are, let 's start a war against south korea ourselves, or launch missiles somewhere, let them fall into the sea, that's why, but behind... the pieces of north korea there is another state that cannot be removed from the account and which, without , i think, a blessing whatever pyongyang is doing, i mean china, and obviously, but... i understand the nature of why these missiles were transferred, i think they are being transferred as missiles to save russia at a time of crisis when in

they had problems with the fact that they are now adjusting the output and increasing the output of ammunition, but they still need time, it does not happen in a day, in a week, in two, and accordingly, at this moment, this vacuum had to be filled, and so i came to the support of north korea, which also helps, all the more in terms of ballistic missiles, if russia produces about 100 of those missiles a month, then they clearly have problems with ballistic missiles, because iskanders, they are used in small quantities and not as often as other types. and tell me, please, mr. oleksandra, in principle, russia has a chance this year to increase the production of its own weapons, to the extent that it can produce these ballistic missiles, projectiles, artillery weapons for such and such a mass. use, they certainly have this in their plans, that is, it is a russian plan, of course, what to increase, they even voiced figures of up to 5 million artillery shells

per year, so that it would be desirable for them to receive, of course, this year they will not produce that much, that is for sure, i have great doubts, because if production does not have time to turn around, it does not happen such, let's say, see it happen, but what they are producing... which , in principle, will be able to produce about 2 million shells a year this year, it is a challenge, it is also a lot, in fact, it is quite a significant number, and it must be understood. our intelligence suggests that, judging by kirill's interview budanov, which he recently gave to limont, that their technical quality is falling, but at the same time these weapons are being produced, as for tanks, i do not think that growth can happen, as well as ... for missiles, especially ballistic ones, but but according to the winged ones, there are also reasons to believe that they can increase their own production of such missiles by 10-20%, that is

, they plan to produce somewhere between 100 and 150 missiles per month, these are the trends from what can be said, well, traditionally, in spite of everything, despite the war against ukraine, the most expenses the budget will go from the point of view of weapons production, equipment and modernization, this is for the russian fleet, that is, this... especially for nuclear submarines, especially for their modernization, construction of new ones, they plan to build at least five more nuclear submarines by 2028 submarines, that's why a lot is laid there, which shows that russia, in addition to the war against ukraine, nevertheless maintains these, let's say, aggressive steps and a demonstration of aggression against the west, because it is clear that nuclear submarines are not against ukraine , as you see now actually the possibility of the russian federation making some kind of breakthrough, possibly in several sections and

sections of the front, because some foreign analysts say that it is unlikely that they will succeed, and say that the winter offensive of the russians has actually already failed, it is very strange to hear this in the middle of winter, in fact, half is ahead, but less than that, many believe that no, they will still try, in particular in kharkiv region. are there any signs that something is really brewing? yes, this preparation, it continues, in principle, you know that it is not in vain, and our military leadership gathered just for in this direction, on kupinsky, and the minister of defense, and the commander-in-chief of the armed forces, the chief of the general staff, the commander of the ground forces, because it is really fixed there, well, you understand, from the point of view of the fact that the kupyansk direction, this direction from the north eastern flank. it will always be that way as long as the war lasts, because it is advantageous for the enemy to conduct offensive operations from there , because the territory of russia is close, because

they have constant logistical capabilities there, and in principle it is advantageous for them in terms of trying to draw our forces from other directions, that is, strictly speaking, the purpose of these offensive actions was to intensify combat operations there in two places, ivanivka added, aa in the kupi district. there was only senkivka, now also ivanivka, he is considering the scenario of forcing the oskil river north of kupyansk in two places, well, all these plans are known, ukrainian forces there are ready for defensive operations, the fighting in the senkivka area has been going on for a long time, some notable successes no, but i think that the enemy will try to break through there, they will also go to the avdiivka area, he this donetsk direction is large and avdiyivka. and maryenko, he remains one of the priorities, and it is obvious that there will be, and i admit that the russian troops can still achieve some tactical successes, well, tactical ones,

somewhere they are so advanced... they will advance, somewhere they will be able to reach some frontiers leave, somewhere probably our forces will withdraw from the point of view that the situation may be complicated and it will be necessary to withdraw to other lines and hold the defense, but i agree with the analysts who talk about breakthroughs, well in what sense breakthroughs, breakthroughs operational-strategic level, but let's say that this offensive will continue in the russian east and the initiative will be with them, at least until the end of winter, i think so. at the same time, er, the prospects of developing a significant success, there, to seize the donetsk region, or to seize the big cities, or to seize kharkiv, as it has now started there, russian propaganda has been actively involved, they will not succeed. well, by the way, i want to clarify this, because in this forecast, the eurasia groups that are currently being discussed, because these are the risks that were outlined in time chronology. it is said that ukraine

can either enter a new geopolitical trajectory, security guarantees, possibly membership in nato, even the european union, protection of the territory, etc., or the loss of most of the territory, even in the donetsk region and part of the kharkiv region . and, in this, in this i can agree with the second point, but i don't really understand what it means, how the first point can help us now, that is, you understand. geopolitical trajectory, if it is tied directly to the front line, i mean substantively, and will multiply the supply of weapons, resources and ammunition, so that ukraine can change, ukrainian forces can change the situation, then yes, but in order to avoid point two, we need to continue the defensive operations that are being conducted, by the way, the missiles that are currently being talked about by stormshadow, scalping, supplying others,

maybe atakams, we are now considering from the point of view not of offensive actions, but of defensive actions, in order to hit the rear of the enemy and not give them the opportunity to develop rapid offensive actions, and from this point of view, if it is supposed to be prognostication of the groups, it means that the geopolitical realities will be changed somewhat, here i support, of course, i agree, but we need solutions directly on the battlefield, in addition to going to the geopolitical realities, but... i will tell you that we can really take some territories, like maryinka for example, yes, this too can be considered a loss, of the donetsk region, yes, well, this is a loss of a destroyed but inhabited points of the ukrainian destroyed, but at the same time, well, that is, yes, yes, of this level, but i think that there will be no significant advances and successes, although there are certain, say, areas where the enemy is trying to intensify offensive actions and still

implement them. certain maneuvers, as they think, such as, for example, now, i remembered maryanka, move towards kurakhov and at the same time one group, which comes out leaner than the coal miner and tries to go to the junction, again with pincers creating surrounded by our group, they are trying, well, it is blocked so far, that is, there is no, you know, all the same, the russian troops, they are loading, they are seriously slipping, and this advance gives them a considerable resource. and price, and as a result it cannot lead to a breakthrough, it can either be so creeping, and in order for it to be creeping, it needs to be accelerated, accelerated and constantly fed, and what does this mean? this means that at some stage it will be necessary to stop and regroup and then crawl again, but it is again for us just as much a question of how far our capabilities will be ready not just for defense, in the future also

for offensive, because... for defense, in principle , now the defense operation of the ukrainian forces is built quite well and gives results, that is, it should not be scary right now, as the commander-in-chief of the armed forces said, general zaluzhny at the briefing , let's not, you know, sacredly over every populated place on the map, it's important, and it hurts, of course, but, but i don't see any prospects for the enemy to make a rapid breakthrough, anyway , thank you, oleksandr musienko, director of...military legal research, we're going to break for just a few minutes now, but please stay with us, we're going to have quite a lot of fun talking for the next hour and 30 minutes. events, events that are happening right now and affect our lives, of course, the news feed reports about them, but it is not enough to know what is happening, it is necessary to understand, antin borkovskii and invited experts are sober.

evaluate events, analyze their model.