have a good day and see you soon, it's ten o'clock, it's time to find out what 's happening in ukraine and the rest of the world. khrystyna porubiy works in the studio. four injured due to russian attacks on the kherson region. the occupiers shelled the region more than 120 times per day. they hit the ambulance station in stanislav. damaged ambulance. in kherson, there is a shop, cables and a contact network. the movement of trolleybuses was temporarily stopped - said the head of the region oleksandr prokudin. a 56-year-old man blew himself up on an explosive device. near the village

village of zolochiv in the kharkiv region, he was taken to the hospital with a severe shrapnel wound to the chest, reported oleg senigubov, the head of the region. during the day, the russians shelled 15 towns and villages of the kharkiv region, and hailed kupiansk. residential buildings were damaged, the enemy also fired guided aerial bombs on the village of vilkhuvatka, and the enterprise was halved. destroyed residential buildings and infrastructure facilities. such are the consequences. enemy shelling of the zaporizhzhia region. the russians made 84 strikes on 19 towns and villages near the front line, he said the head of the region yuriy malashko. from the drones they hit the fields of malynivtsi and malia tokmachka and from the artillery they attacked novoandriivka and zaliznychne. damaged houses and power lines. in the north , the russians shelled markhanets in the dnipropetrovsk region with artillery. in nivodchyna, there are two

five-story, as many private houses, several pharmacies and a store. enemy shells hit five farm buildings, gas furnaces and power lines. more than 200 families were left without electricity - said the head of the region, serhiy lysak. the dead and there are no injured. the ukrainian military shot down one of the most expensive russian a50 spy planes and hit the air command post of the occupy. il-22 m-11, reported the public with reference to sources in the defense forces. the information was also confirmed by the deputy chairman of the committee on national security, defense and intelligence in the verkhovna rada of ukraine, yury mysyagin. it is known that a 50 was shot down around 9:00 p.m. over kyrylivka. he disappeared from the radar and stopped responding to requests from tactical aviation. according to official data, the russian army before the invasion of ukraine was small only nine reconnaissance planes. one

was probably shot down at the beginning of last year, during the attack on machulyshchi airport. the price of a50 starts at 300 million dollars. and the ill-22 m11 plane was shot down near the coast of the sea of ​​azov. after the damage, he planned to make an emergency landing in anapa, requested evacuation, called an ambulance and fire engines. there is also a version that this plane was hit by russian anti-aircraft defense that was defending crimea. city, at least two wounded are reported. 75, 106, the ego was burned, the landing is planned, an ambulance and a car are urgently needed. series explosions rang out at night in kursk, russia. the local authorities said that the air defense system had been activated. apparently, three missiles were shot down. witnesses reported that they heard at least. four explosions

over the city, and then a bright flash was seen. kursk is located 58 km from the russian-ukrainian border. for meat assaults, russian soldiers are given drugs and psychotropic drugs - reported the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine. such cases were recorded in the 108th airborne assault regiment and the seventh airborne assault brigade of the russian army. the drugs lead to... phoria and dull the pain, because more and more russian soldiers refuse to go on assaults with a sober head, - the general staff noted. during the day , 94 combat clashes took place at the front, most of them in the avdiiv direction, where our troops repelled 25 attacks. near marinka , the russians tried to storm 16 times without success. in the zaporozhye direction , ukrainian defenders repelled 10 enemy attacks. our aircraft struck four concentration areas. the enemy missile

forces hit three areas of enemy concentration, an air defense device and two ammunition depots of the russians. on the international day bul. block, another 980 russian invaders multiplied the armed forces of ukraine by zero, and in total, since the beginning of the full-scale russian invasion , almost 371,000 invaders have become a hole from bublyk on our land. also, ukrainian defenders burned 14 enemy tanks and 20 armored fighting vehicles during the day. 24 artillery systems, one anti-aircraft missile system and two air defense systems of the occupiers were hit. in addition, 34 units of enemy cars and special equipment, as well as defense forces, were burned shot down one cruise missile and four operational-tactical drones. the general staff reminds that the data are indicative. and so that our army becomes even stronger. we

encourage our viewers to join the gathering. a car is needed in the 14th brigade of the 61st battalion in the kupinsky direction. it is too early to carry out combat missions and take them out. our defenders need a pickup. its peculiarity is that it can move through swampy terrain. it costs uah 250,000. you and i have already collected more than 170 thousand. so please join us deposit any amount. remember, every hryvnia of yours brings our victory closer. guerrillas temporarily entered the territory of the military unit of the russian armed forces in feodosiiv. occupied crimea. the 18th guards, anti-aircraft missile, sevastopol-feodosia regiment is located there. this was reported by the partisan movement atezh. those mobilized in this military unit told the partisans when and where it is better to take photos and videos. while karaol

was gabbing on his phones, the agents were able to quickly scout and record everything. the coordinates and all the information have already been transferred to the defense forces of ukraine. they strengthen the border and train. about 500 obstacles were built by the ukrainian military on the border with belarus. this was announced by the commander of the united forces of the ukrainian armed forces, serhiy naev. according to him , psychological obstacle courses provide an opportunity not only to harden soldiers physically, but also morally. in particular, in volyn , servicemen are trained in shooting with small arms and mortars, operate drones, and evacuate the conditionally wounded. battlefield under the guidance of experienced instructors, who are also trained in our operational area, under the leadership of leaders, commanders of departments, platoons, rot, each of them becomes a real fighter. this is necessary to increase their readiness for sudden actions.

the german armed forces are preparing for a possible war between russia and nato, even predicting the course of events in the future. two years, - bild writes, referring to a secret document of budeswehr. it states that tensions between the parties may escalate as early as february. according to calculations, russia plans to mobilize 200,000 soldiers to go on the offensive in ukraine in the spring, expecting to significantly push back our armed forces by june. the publication writes: at first the attack will be hidden, then the kremlin's overt attack on the west will begin in july. cyber ​​attacks and other forms of hybrid warfare are expected, mainly in the baltic states. clashes are also predicted, which the aggressor country will use as an excuse for large-scale exercises at home and on the territory of belarus. and already in october, russia can transfer troops and medium-

range missiles to kaliningrad. instead, the beginning the very war of the russian federation with nato is predicted in the summer of next year. at the same time, the spokesman of the bundeswehr refused to comment on this document. likely. this is just a scenario of exercises that nato plans to conduct. australia decided to dispose of the planes requested by ukraine. it is about 45 teipen military helicopters. they were decommissioned in september of last year, after four servicemen died during rotorcraft training. ukraine asked the australian government to hand over these planes to us. the decision to destroy them caused indignation. of the ukrainian diaspora, which gathered for a rally in sydney, and the ambassador of ukraine in this country noted that there is still hope for the transfer of rotorcraft, although ukraine has not received any response to its request. north korea has tested a solid-fueled

intermediate-range ballistic missile with a hypersonic, maneuverable, guided warhead. this is reported by the local media. the tests are recognized as successful. rocket. flew about 1000 km from the east coast of the country. the launch took place on a day when the delegation is in charge with the minister of foreign affairs of north korea , cho gosonghui flew to russia. these events took place against the backdrop of rising tensions between north and south korea. the next issue will be on the 11th, read more on our website espresso.tv, also on our social networks, join in, put your preferences, then my colleagues oksana vysochanska and roman chaika will continue the analysis. don't switch, stay with the espresso team. team

good morning, thank you for being with espresso, our colleagues have collected all the information for you, we are with we will discuss part of it with our experts, the biggest intrigue of this night, of course, is the intrigue surrounding two planes, and very expensive ones at that, this is a kind of flying radar and the second plane, it was an a50, and the second il is an air point, here we are about them ... we will ask our guest, in particular, the director of the center for military and legal research oleksandr musienko. mr. oleksandr, congratulations, glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes, i congratulate you. mr. oleksandr, how did you make your way through these thickets of various messages, including from the enemy on the other hand, there is no need to rejoice, you are beaten, so beaten, they write, but this is not the work of ukraine, but from... on the contrary, from our side, it is for dnipro that you are reminded of the massive rocket attack

on the city of dnipro and the large number of victims a year ago , when they got into a residential building, so with those planes, how to verify all this, well , the enemy definitely has nothing to be happy about, i think that ’s for sure, but that’s not necessary, let them not be happy, it’s just that i think it’s quite complex combined operation and the key to the mind. of how it became possible, he is in the events on the eve of january 13, i want to remind you when the air force made an official announcement that some of the missiles with which russia attacked ukraine on the morning of january 13, saturday, were neutralized by rep means, that is, they did not hit the targets, some of them either exploded in the air, or were rejected and actually disappeared from the radar, fell outside the population. points, which, of course, in this way causes less destruction and casualties, so i think that

ukraine began to use the means of radio-electronic warfare quite actively, i do not exclude that the ukrainian forces gained in this the plan is a serious reinforcement, and it is also connected with the visit of the british prime minister rishisunak to kyiv, because now it is the british department of the french thale corporation. worked very powerfully, and they tested many interesting solutions in the means of radio-electronic warfare, and thus it became possible or two options that can be said: the first is that the ukrainian forces managed to create a large number of so-called false targets, that is, the rebs worked it out and this there was an imitation of a powerful missile attack, and to distinguish, do you understand, to distinguish whether does a real rocket fly or not. on the radar it is impossible, that is, it will always be turned on, there is a target on the radar, there is a point, it is not recognized,

it does not give the appropriate signal, and thus, accordingly, the work of the enemy's anti-aircraft defenses was provoked, which actually hit their planes, that is, they , if the russians say that they shot them down, yes, but why could they shoot them down, that is the main reason, not because they just did, they shot them down, because... it was caused and provoked by the ukrainian side, therefore it is a success. the second option, which maybe it’s that in general ukraine has started to use certain means, again, radio-electronic warfare, which can be installed on drones, of various types, which can deliver powerful pulses and actually cause certain events on board, failure of the same electronic there are many, various types of equipment on anti-aircraft defense aircraft. which can cause a fire and an explosion on board in the same way, i.e. a short circuit and so on, it can also

be from ground platforms or surface platforms, well, here it is probably more from drones, these are the versions, i believe that they are the two most likely reasons why this event happened, well, but it means that our capabilities are growing, and this is very good news, mr. oleksandr, our capabilities are growing, this is our internal ukrainian credit, because... we started working harder, to produce more, do we owe it to some recent fresh agreements, i don't know, with japan, with britain, with someone else and... what are the prospects, we know that similar agreements, as with great britain, will soon be with the united states of america and with several dozen more countries how effective can such agreements be, so that it does not remind us of agreements of the budapest memorandum type? well, first of all, it must be said that it is combined, i think

that ukraine is also using internal resources, i will tell you that we have an understanding that at the level... with the same drones that need to be produced more, it is necessary to produce and means of radio-electronic warfare, this is not discontinuous, these are generally concepts that should go together, because you need to have your own strike unit, your own drones of various types, and starting from from the simplest fpv, ending with more complex ones, systems for a longer range, etc. and of various types, well, accordingly, it is necessary to have means to counter enemy drones, missiles and aviation, and... that is why they are working on it, of course, we are helped by our partners, britain is very actively helping, other countries, the united states, providing certain information, which leads to the success of our ukrainian forces, and we see this on repeated examples, as for the agreements with britain, i consider this agreement important, because first of all, in our appeared

a document that formalizes, perhaps with at least one country, the status quo that we had, but it exists. in fact, in words , that is, they were, let's say, commitments that or, let's say, the good will of britain and other countries that provided us with the same weapons, now a more formalized document has appeared, an agreement that, in my opinion , is more important. in terms of whether we should have expected this agreement to replace nato, we should not, because this agreement cannot replace nato, because if britain signed an agreement that it directs its... military personnel to ukraine in one way or another, it meant that it would have to consult with nato about this, or reach agreements with most of the countries that are part of the alliance, so it is unlikely that this would happen, so this the agreement cannot contradict the treaty on the north atlantic alliance, in the rest of it it contains quite such good provisions, which i think will be

implemented. uh, i want to get your attention back. to your colleagues, only from the american institute for the study of war, they many analysts, models, simulate situations, but we were interested in one, because it coincides with the dates, it was announced earlier that january 15 should be exactly this deadline, when russia will massively launch the next attack, january 15 has come, no intelligence has confirmed, well, we have what we have as of today. the following analysis suggests that russia is concentrating, concentrating amphibious assault brigades in order to repeat the hostomil amphibious operation only with helicopters. this is what your colleagues from the institute for the study of war write about: how real are such operations, well, we understand that they were real at the

time when there was a treacherous attack in 22, and now in the 24th year, it should be considered simply. as a model or is it a real threat? first of all, you see the situation, the tension in our northeast is still maintained, the enemy's troops continue to transfer there, build up, and, let's say, general syrsky also spoke about this in an interview, that the enemy is preparing to resume hostilities in the direction of sibersk actions, that is, it is obvious that the loss is certain, our forces prevent it... but perhaps this is not such a large-scale attack, but it will still intensify in local areas. as for amphibious operations, well i think that in the direction of kyiv it is out of the question from the point of view of success, maybe the enemy will try, we can not rule out any scenario, maybe they will try, but from the point of view of success i doubt that they

will be able to achieve it , because now mobile fire groups are working, precisely... which work in the direction of air defense, shoot down shaheds in the same kyiv region, and in principle quite successfully, well, if they shoot down the shaheds, then a larger target that is more visible, the same military helicopters, is easier to shoot down with the same manpads , after all, which our forces have, not to mention the other means of air defense that are available, which concerns other parts of the territory of ukraine, i will tell you that i am generally surprised why... this news came out like this, you know, about the fact that this could be, i think that the risk of such operations, it is always present, as long as it continues war, that is, threats that the enemy may try to make. on that or another area of ​​landings, they are always there, and at this moment they are present, just as they were present a year ago, and now, simply, whether

the aggressor will be able to achieve success in this sense, i have serious doubts, because all areas, even the front, including covered by certain means of air defense, ground forces, units that monitor it, which i... think will destroy, well, from what is available, let's look at the facts and examples of use: russian attack helicopters when they are applied, they act in such a way that in order not to enter the zone of damage, at least portable anti-aircraft missile systems manpads. why do they do this? because there were cases when they came closer to the front line and were shot down by ukrainian troops repeatedly and shot down in large numbers. that's why they didn't risk it. in this case, would they risk coming in from somewhere, try, theoretically, i would not rule it out or reject it, and such risks will exist as long as the war is going on, but

i doubt that it can be implemented successfully. mr. alexander, if we are talking about what it is hardly possible for them to carry out such attacks in ukraine, here, of all places, it was heard that some hybrids are planning to attack moldova in that direction as well. attacks, using transnistria, which is also temporarily occupied, and the germans are already writing about some possible hybrid russian actions in the baltic countries, and to affect nato countries in this way, to what extent, how real are such scenarios, or are these countries simply hedging, well, they have to but training should be carried out somehow according to some scenarios, and here is a good legend. no, the scenarios are completely real. er, this absolutely scenarios that have been described many times and discussed many times, now they are updated, just before, you understand

what is the difference, i would say, before these scenarios were discussed by experts, journalists, retired military and so on, that is, books were written on these scenarios many times, and now these scenarios are being discussed in the high offices of the eu and nato countries and... it is being discussed in germany. what bild published, i am practically convinced, is the complete information given to bild for publication by sources in german intelligence and the ministry of foreign affairs and the ministry of defense, perhaps, that is, these are the scenarios that are being considered. what's more, they published plans, both preemptively, and to, well, let's say, mobilize more nato and the eu, and show german society what can happen, but also pay attention. that reaction methods are published there, and it is shown that 300,000 military personnel, of which about 10%, approximately 30,000 from the bundeswehr,

will be ready to deploy and oppose these russian operations. i think it's also a demonstration for russia that nato is getting ready to such scenarios, there is an understanding of what plans can be implemented and applied, and so that the enemy does not think that it can be or for... nato a potential adversary, so that they do not think that it can be so easy and simple. but in general, i perceive it very positively, the presence of such publications. moreover, the terms that are set are more realistic than those given by german experts in the assessment that the collision of russia with nato will not be avoided after 6 years, nevertheless, here are more realistic terms, and it seems to me that the conclusions that had make the germans out of this one situation, well, at the very least, now to additionally support ukraine by providing us with the taurus long-range missiles that we need now, that is, it is very simple, the conclusion is very simple for everyone: you do not

want to send 30,000 troops to the bundeswehr, at least for now, we are talking about 30,000 troops for a direct war with russia, give us now, well, 130 taurus, for example, plus additional types of weapons to destroy the enemy. here i think that it is fair and clear. i am now looking at the materials of the investigation of the international community, it was published by the website the insider, they conducted an analysis on the procurement and restoration, in particular , of russian missile weapons, the kind that go to air-to-ground aircraft, such as the caliber missile, such as the dagger missile, well , in particular, in the dagger, 46 imported radio electronic computers are completely in the name of the corporation, which through china, american and other parts are imported, bought in and are.

us customs declaration codes, that is , it turns out that if our colleagues already know all these schemes, we are talking about the sanctions policy on weapons of mass destruction, these missiles peaceful cities are being shelled, and all this is already known to our fellow journalists, which means that the special services and states also know why it is not stopped until now, it is being stopped, i will tell you that it is just sanctions, it is like a reaction, that is, it is still a scheme. . bypassing , they go ahead, and accordingly, during the validity of these different schemes, whether there is liberal export control somewhere in individual states, or, let’s say, there are black schemes, whether middlemen are used, imported for civilian needs, transported according to documents and taken for of the military, that is, it always goes ahead, the sanctions are actually blocking it, and russia is constantly trying to come up with some

mechanisms, schemes to bypass it. but in the end it will all be sanctioned, i will tell you that the information that is available, for example, in terms of the calibers you mentioned, in the period from october to december, by the way, russia moved a cache of caliber missiles from the occupied crimea to the krasnodar territory, and in principle, from september to december, they brought four missiles to this storage, this explains why the use of caliber missiles is not so frequent, compared to a year ago, in just a matter of time. but these missile attacks are intensifying, russia used them just right, in my opinion, and four, three or four missiles, that is, it is decreasing, production of ballistic missiles is also decreasing, this explains why they took the north korean kn-23 and use their own iskanders less . the only thing russia still has potential for, unfortunately, is that they are capable of producing 100 and intend to increase this year to 120-130 missiles per

month. x101 and x-555, this is for strategic aviation tu-95. this is where they store and daggers despite the sanctions and even the fact that production stopped in 2022, now they still resumed it and will produce it, this is a small amount, from two to four missiles per month, but still, so these are the largest such production, where russia continues to store. resource capacity to manufacture these missiles. mr. oleksandr, the estonians have calculated that in three years it is possible for europe to restructure its life and work in such a way, switching to a military economy, in order to help ukraine, and so that the threats we previously talked about for nato and for the baltic countries, in particular, were more illusory than today, so as not to be so significant. the poles have already begun to produce more of their factories, there are their

zechvotspolita editions. writes about the fact that they are increasing, in particular, the production of tnt , and not just increased it, but to the maximum level possible at a certain enterprise, by the way, this is the plant in bydgoszcz, where a russian missile almost reached a little more than a year ago, how realistic is it that all of europe will go the way of poland, that they will really start to tighten up they are already bringing their entire economy under this state, under the state of war in ukraine, i will tell you. i say, that is, 2023 was one of those years when production was ramping up, that is , there was such a state when contracts were signed, the issue of investment, the allocation of european union funds was resolved, everything was not as simple and fast as we would like, but these issues were resolved bureaucratically moments, one german rain metal received for 6.5 billion euros, actually providing guarantees for contracts.

for the production of weapons, ammunition, this, well, for one concern, that is quite a lot, everyone is now receiving, increasing production with the expectation that for just three years, i.e. from 2024 to 2027, the production of various types, types of ammunition and projectiles will be increased several times. 2024 will already be more produced in 2024 than, for example, in the 23rd or 22nd. the peak is still expected in 2025, i.e., an increase there, say three or four times, should not be expected right this year, but should be expected in 2025, but europe is now quite on this path, let's say with confidence. thank you, mr. alexander, oleksandr mosienko, director of the military legal research center , was in touch with us during that time.