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numbers as follows: if you believe that the russian rebellion threatens the putin regime (0800-211-381), no (0800-211-382). all calls to these numbers are free. at the end of the program, we will sum up the results of this vote. next, we have yevhen dykiy, a participant in the russian-ukrainian war, former platoon commander of the aidar battalion, mr. yevhen, i congratulate you, thank you for being with us today. good evening, glory. of ukraine. glory to heroes. mr. yevhen , ukrainian defenders are actively destroying enemy armored vehicles in the avdiiv direction. in the last three days alone, the occupiers lost 41 units. this was reported by the institute for the study of war of the united states of america. forecasts by american analysts from this institute suggest that the russians are preparing a major offensive in the next few weeks. and this is about the weather, about the frost and

about the fact that if the ground is frosty, then they can go on this offensive, what are the possible scenarios for the development of the situation on the eastern and southern fronts now, taking into account the reports that we have and to the situation in the south and east? well, if you mean what the possible development is in the coming weeks, then...honestly saying, with all due respect to the institute for the study of war, but i physically do not see with whom and with what the russians can attack in a significantly different way than they are already doing it now, but i simply do not see these reserves, these resources in them, if we are talking about plus a few months, for example , about the summer, may be a different story, it will depend on how the mobilization processes will go further in them and how they will go or not in ours, but this is already about a little further... perspective, if we

we are talking about the coming weeks, well, they will continue the offensive actions that they are conducting even now, they absolutely did not stop them and do not expect any frost, but what else could they do to strengthen these offensives, well , frankly, i do not see, the point is that from the fact that we started at the end of last year, to finally honestly say that we have serious problems with the personnel, with the bc, and with the iron, we should not do anything about it. a false conclusion that our enemies have everything in chocolate, but the picture is completely different: both armies are exhausted by the battles of the 23rd year, and the russians are exactly the same the same problems as we have, the same problems with personnel, with bc and with iron, especially, by the way, with iron, by the way, you are very correct, in fact, in the introduction to the question , you emphasized the destruction of armored vehicles near avdiivka, so it is not only there, it is practically everywhere, right now, well, one of the strongest... of our other sides is

that we are destroying russian armored vehicles much faster than the russian defense forces have time to renew them, for example, in terms of tanks, the ratio is about 20 they blink new ones, about 50 are uncanned from warehouses long-term storage, i.e. 70 cars arrive at the same time, and during this same time 100, 120-150 are destroyed in different months, i.e. that is the difference, it increases every month, and we can already see it simply... we can even see what exactly tanks now have to be destroyed by our defenders, they have already gone in large enough numbers, t-55 and t-54 have already gone to the front, and i will remind you that this two-digit index is actually in soviet tank construction, it was the year of adoption , that is, all their tanks were already burned 80s, the tanks of the 70s end, on cars of the fifties are already being replaced, and the other armor, by the way, is even worse than with tanks, you know, i never thought that... i really

saw with my own eyes, that i saw mataliga, for those who off topic, mtlb , an army tractor, it’s not a military vehicle at all, it’s exactly an army tractor for transporting cargo, and... with light anti- bullet armor, so i’ll see a mataliga someday, on which a gun turret is welded on top, cut off from the ship, well, actually, the last time they did this was during the blockade of leningrad, that is, that is, it does not mean that our it is easy for the defenders now, very difficult, and there are not enough of them, in particular, there are very unpleasant signals from avdiivka today about this, but the enemies also have big problems, and what they can do now to make a big offensive and what and... by whom i do not see now, after the next wave of mobilization, perhaps, but now the creeping offensive that is going on will continue, and even he does not think that they will be strong for long, well, for the next couple of weeks, they will definitely be enough, but for how long, we will see, because the same avdiivka, for example , she now works as such, you know

a huge scary meat grinder, and being inside a meat grinder is generally terrible, including for our defenders, but the ratio of losses is one to 10 in our favor. in this sense, the avdiivka meat grinder is definitely very profitable for us now, and it will remain so as long as the route through the eagles and through the roller is maintained, but if , god forbid, the orcs manage to cut this route, well, then we will have to leave avdiivka, but as long as the route is maintained through the eagle before it is shot through, it is used in extreme regime, i.e. at night and not in columns, but in separate cars, but bc is going, food is going, the wounded are being taken out, accordingly, kokssokhim is a reliable fortress with very good concrete floors, which in principle even the cabins can withstand, so this combination works as long as it works the route and ours is held on koksakhima, it is objectively beneficial for us, because the losses that the orks bear there are actually ten times greater than ours, this is not even

a bakhmut ratio, the bakhmut ratio was one to seven, one to eight, here 1:10 precisely at the expense of koksakhim in bakhmut there was simply no such fortification. therefore, let's look even further south, let's look at krynyk, here is a village that consists of four streets, well, there is already one russian airborne division left in its entirety, and they can't do anything, our marines are actually kept there in numbers, we won't even say in which, because it is far from even a full brigade, it is believed that there are brigades of marines, well, it is not a full brigade, it is closer to a battalion in fact, but but they have been holding on and for four months now they have not been able to corrupt them from there, this is ... an indicator, they understand the danger of that direction, they understand how critically unpleasant it is for them that they fixed ours 60 km from the trench, but they simply have not yet are able to gather enough groups to take ours out of there , that's why i don't see a big offensive now, but this little creeper,

of course, he will be there all the next weeks, he won't stop, then there may actually even be a pause when they end, but. .. this is a pause like there was, for example , in slobozhanshchyna in september, when they advanced there from june to august, and they were knocked out so much that they had to take a month's pause, during this month they formed a new army from the reservists, the so-called 25th general army, and since september, there has been a continuous attack there again, which has not advanced territorially, since september of last year, but it continues all the time, there every day we have to repel these attacks, but somewhere it will be like that for now. meanwhile, the minister of defense of germany, boris pistorius, once again warned europe and the countries of the north atlantic alliance regarding the possible aggression of russia in a few years. in an interview with the newspaper tages spiegel, he stated that he wants to wake up german

society with this warning, and also demands that the bundeswehr be ready for war. i will quote the minister of defense of germany. we must take into account that volodymyr. putin may one day even attack one of the nato countries. of course, we have to think of worst-case scenarios, if only so that we know where we will be short in the event of an emergency, and where we need to prepare better. our experts expect that this will become possible in 5-8 years. mr. yevgeny, can russia, taking into account its state and its capabilities of the military-industrial complex and politics , in 5-8 years reach a level corresponding to that which the north atlantic alliance has now. yes, there are two answers, two in one. well, first of all, this, this is now being decided in ukraine, and it completely

depends on how the war ends in us. in the case of a russian victory, i fully agree with the analysis of the bundeswehr experts, this... it was a couple of months before the speech of the current pistorius, when simply at the level of an expert environment they gave an assessment that in the event of a victory in ukraine, russia would need 5-6 years to renew... the combat capability of its army to that level , in order to actually fight with nato in case of anything. i agree with this assessment, absolutely. in 5-6 years, they will be able to do without war. in 5-6 years and even in 8 years , it is absolutely impossible to simultaneously wage a war of such intensity in our country and renew the combat capability of the army. but if we have a war ends, then yes, they will take a break, at the same time , they will not go back to the peaceful rails from the military, which they started last year. and in 5-6 years. so on the military tracks, well, they will even resume, but what is the second

part of the answer, and what does it actually mean to fight with nato? the fact is that, excuse me, but fighting the bundeswehr is not such a difficult task, but fighting other europeans, as the chief diplomat of europe, joseph borel, very correctly called them, he very successfully expressed that europe has grown bonsai of the army, that is, it looks like a tree, but it grows half a meter high in the frame. this is real about the european armies , that is, in fact, they are not capable of fighting against the russians now, but from the word of mouth, no, well, the baltics will resist heroically, the poles are seriously fighting, the finns, it is certain that, well, actually, no one else is capable of us at all , the baltics are very small in number , the finns are the same, that's why, that's why, in fact, when we now talk about a war with nato, we assume that nato remains as it is now, where the main military by force... the united states of america, and the russians, if

they are not ready now, will not be ready either in six years, or in eight, or in 10 years to fight with the american army. the difference in technologies, well, more than per generation, it's more like two generations, er, quantitatively, the american army is comparable to the russian one, but qualitatively , it is two generations ahead of it in terms of weapons. actually, the only experience of a direct confrontation between the russians and the americans was in the 20th year. in syria, when some towers of the kremlin did not share something there, that is and there, through diplomatic channels , they angered the wagnerians, they actually gave this signal that ours are not there, so yours are not there , the americans said, they were gone, the battle actually continued, but the only direct confrontation between the russians and the americans in the 21st century lasted one hour, more than 200 wagnerians killed, not a single american killed, this is the difference between russia and america, even in a conventional war on... speaking of nuclear weapons, but we assume that america will fit in, and the russians hope that

with trump coming to power , which they very much hope, trump will destabilize nato so much that that, in principle, he may even withdraw american troops from europe altogether, he may even leave the alliance altogether, as he threatened, but then, nato without america is a completely different story, nato without america, well , to be honest, not even now would withstand a direct blow from russia, therefore... actually, here, in order to evaluate it from a military point of view, the first question here is what will be the big geopolitics, and first of all the big geopolitics of the states. well, by the way, in addition to pistorius and rob bauer, this is the head of the military a nato committee, warned this week that nato forces and civilians in the west should prepare for all-out war with russia. let's hear what rob bauer had to say. we must realize that peace is not a given, that we live in peace, and

that is why we are preparing for a conflict with russia, but the discussion is much broader, it is also about the industrial base and about people who must understand that they play a certain role. mr. yevhen, why is the world talking about a possible war with russia and not talking about what the world has to put an end to an aggressive... country with an aggressive leader putin, that the world should carry out the demilitarization of russia, the deputinization of russia, because the world is still afraid of russia, but we overcame our fear, because we had no choice, well, we were afraid too, let's honestly , and then the war started and there was no choice left, and then it turned out that it is not such a terrible devil that they are portraying, but it has not yet started for them, they are very afraid of a war with russia, moreover, these fears are very different, well, first of all in turn, they are based on the fact that russia is a state, and they admit that the russian regime is so crazy that in the event of a losing

war it will simply launch a nuclear weapon on principle, but let everyone die with us, but they are afraid of the unpredictability of this regime and its nuclear arsenal, so of course, except moreover, they understand that even if it is possible to avoid a nuclear conflict, then in a conventional conflict, as you and i have just discussed, apart from the united states, no other... country is currently ready to fight russia, but purely technologically not ready, i.e. well, there are not enough weapons, for example, he is the commander of the army of belgium, also one of the nato countries, which is actively helping us, but now... we are waiting for 16 of them, so the belgian commander directly said that if we proceed from such a consumption of shells as now in ukraine, the belgian army has bk for 18 hours of war, not for 18 days, for 18 hours, and they all have approximately the same situation in europe right now, and therefore of course they are feverishly trying to catch up with the results of a 30-year dream, here

they are for 30 years they fell asleep in heating, they are 30 they did not see for years, did not want to see that danger was growing nearby. monster, moreover, they fed this monster with their money, and they did not believe that this monster would ever be able to come to them, they now understood it, but you can’t do 30 years of warmth in one year there more than in a month, here they are they are urgently renewing their defense industry, billions of investments are currently going there, but in addition to money , there is another dimension such as time, but you can't buy it, they are trying to catch up, but they need time for this, and the most unfortunate thing in this story is that in fact, this is the time... we are winning for them now, because they have time to prepare for the future war with russia, because we are here now fighting the current war with russia, literally in a week , two facts that indicate that our western partners are ready to give us long-range weapons, and it was french

president emmanuel macron who spoke about scalps, and rishi sunak, because in kyiv he signed an agreement on cooperation with... president zelensky, at what stage do you think the west will say: listen, let's go long-range missiles on military objects, objects that are on the territory of the russian federation, because there is no other way out, because if we do not destroy these military facilities located on the territory of erefia, then this war will last a very long time, i think that's where you correctly said the word long. i think that we have more chances to make long-range missiles ourselves. i will still remind you that you and i live in a country that, some 20 years ago, was one of the top 3 in the world for launching space satellites, and we launched these same space satellites converted into civilian ones targets with satan's missiles. this is actually

an intercontinental ballistic nuclear missile, which our yuzhmash made, made in quantity. about 100 units per year, yes, it was lost, it’s not for us, it’s not that the production line was standing all the time and it’s enough to turn the switch and rockets will fall, it’s not like that, but still we, in principle missiles to the space country, we have a sufficient technological level, now the question is how to organize it correctly, money is already allocated, the missile program is working, and you know, i believe more in our missile program, rather than what i will finally find. our partners will say, well, okay, we give you these missiles without prior restrictions, but you can already use them at least in moscow, although in principle with regard to britain, i completely allow such a turn and even quite soon. thank you, mr. yevgeny, for the conversation, it was yevhen dyky, the former platoon commander of the aidar battalion. friends, we work live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our

youtube and facebook platforms. please don't be stingy, like this video for that, to pray. trending on youtube and facebook, and remember that during each program we conduct a survey, today we ask you about whether the russian rebellion threatens the putin regime, yes, no, everything is quite simple on youtube, if you sit in front of the tv and watch us on tv, please pick up the phone and vote if you think the russian rebellion is a threat to putin's regime (0800-211-381) no, 0800. 211 382, ​​all calls are free for you to these numbers, at the end of the program we will summarize this voting. next with us is yevhen magda, executive director of the institute of world politics. congratulations, mr. yevgeny, i am glad to see you on our air. congratulations, glory to ukraine, mr. serhiy, today you have an opportunity to make

a wish between two yevgenys. a hero glory, i will do so, mr. evgeny, only you have disappeared somewhere. please restore contact with yevhen magda and now we will talk with yevhen about what is actually happening in ukraine, in particular in the ministry of defense of ukraine, because we see that corruption cases around the ministry of defense simply arise almost every day, and we see that the state bureau. of investigations has already announced the search for roman grenkevych, the son of the detained lviv businessman igor grenkevych, who had large contracts, 23 contracts with the ministry of of the security of ukraine, and we know that three of the five members of the so-called organized criminal group, in which ihor

hrynevych was involved, the court already yesterday chose a preventive measure, this is an arrest with an alternative bail of half a billion hryvnias, so when we look, mr. evgeny on these corruption scandals, that is obviously, we should also talk about how this... it could happen that the owner of construction companies became the largest contractor of the ministry of defense and caused losses of 1.5 billion hryvnias, well, that is, in the current conditions of economy and the understanding that every penny should be calculated, how could this happen, he took it to the mountain, well, but the mountain is the same, well , when it comes to such money, it is obvious. the highest mountain should probably look at all these things, and not not be part of all this, and if this mountain was part of

all this, then the sbu, together with the sbu and the general the prosecutor's office must also give certain conclusions, if they do not give it, what does this indicate? first of all, i will say an unpopular thesis that in democratic countries... war is often profited from, this is historical experience, one profited from the first world war, one profited from the second world war, in different ways, but you know, i think that such a scale of abuse as in ukraine, well, it is difficult to say definitively, because the war is ongoing, and we probably do not know everything and cannot say, but it was still hard enough to imagine, we still live in paradigms of the first and second world wars. war in what sense then, when everyone was bad , there were food on cards, you remember, well, that's how our

grandparents talked about them, but by the way, in the soviet union, for example, commercial restaurants worked in what kind of people could get there in the same moscow, well, i'm not talking about that now, secondly, this case, well, it's... intensive information promotion, i personally get the impression that there is a certain feeling of a false object, because this case is so active a number of contenders for the status of leader of public opinion are doing pr, they expose abuses with such anti-corruption zeal that i get the impression that in... after the end of the russian-ukrainian war , not only new oligarchs will appear in us, as already mentioned , for example, the western press, but also the new anti-corruptionists, better than others. where

did the previous anti-corruption activists go in their mass, who, as you remember, probably promised to demolish zelensky in any case, well, this was true before the beginning of a large-scale invasion, this must be understood because... in the conditions of war, any call for the overthrow of the existing government , in my opinion, will not be useful, it must be understood absolutely clearly and absolutely by everyone, but the absence of these calls does not mean permissiveness for of our government, because the people who came to power en masse in 2019, in my opinion, they simply cannot stand it. tested by war, they failed the test of their own effectiveness, they failed the test of the fact that they

were actually unprepared for war. i i am not saying any concrete things now, they were unprepared for the fact that the war will last a large-scale war, for so long, and this is me at the moment... for you and i, it is a serious problem, because in the conditions of war, quite natural things happen, i emphasize, the natural concentration of power in one hand, in the hands of the supreme commander-in-chief, here, by the way, this is provided to a large extent by the legislation, but when phrases are heard from our powerful olympians that we have no opposition, i apologize, but where did it go? we no opposition at all or what? it shouldn’t be like that, well, that’s how they talk about the fact that

journalists don’t even exist, you know that... in 2019, when zelenskyi’s team came to power, the head of the office of the president of ukraine andriy bohdan said that we journalists are not needed at all, we have bloggers, there are social networks, we will directly communicate with people, and here we are actually seeing the consequences of this deployment of this thesis, and during the last five years it all happened, because we saw how drain tanks appeared in telegram. channels that began to be used in the office of the president of ukraine and began to be perceived as a means of mass information, although there are many questions about who keeps these drain tanks, what information is distributed there, and now we see that in order to discredit those people who are engaged in journalism investigations, this is the team of denys bigus, yuriy nikolov, who works with our money, people who write about

corruption in the ministry of defense. people who say that public finances are spent on some kind of monitoring are stupid, and, i'm sorry, i can't say it any other way, monitoring is of dubious quality, let's say this, and millions of money go there, suddenly they become the object of close attention of unknown people, the sbu says that we will find everyone, the police say that we will find everyone, well here in this situation, the most important thing is that... the sbu and the police do not step on themselves, because when it comes to surveillance, we are talking about eavesdropping, about systematic journalists, the answers to these questions should be quite strict, timely and such that others do not it was usual observe or spy on journalists, how do you think our state looks in

the eyes of our western partners now, given the facts of pressure on journalists? doesn't look good because one of the foundations of our opposition to russia is the assertion that we are fighting not to become subordinate to russia, and we are fighting not to become a little russia, so to speak, and accordingly... this, well, in my opinion, a very serious point, because if we do not effectively prove that we are not russia, russia light, or little russia, we will not receive support from the west, it is absolutely obvious, so we need to demonstrate that we are

a democratic country in which it works. democratic mechanisms that work democratic things, and we can actually ensure effective interaction, well, it is not for nothing that journalists are called the fourth power, and social networks are called the fifth, and when they start social media through social networks, well, there are more messengers, well, accordingly, they begin to replace the fourth power . then this is not a very good result, well, look, an interesting phenomenon, y at the moment, the printed press, i think you know it, is no worse than me, it is going through very difficult times, and why in the countries of the european union and in the united states, not every newspaper went bankrupt, dievelt, figaro, finance.

times, the economist, these are both newspapers and magazines , they didn’t go anywhere, some of them remained as thick, it’s just that people read the press there and they form accordingly the financial independence of these publications, which usually have owners and which usually have their interests, but as far as i'm concerned, they don't promote them the way they do in ukraine, we're replacing telegram. channels, anonymous telegram channels of what should be and create media interest for the whole society, why have we found ourselves in such a situation, it is not quite good for us, well, because maybe, mr. yevgeny, that the owners of media projects also suffer from the authorities, now i'm not going to talk about the owner of the media company, but...