to what extent the united states will be ready to respond clearly and aggressively in the event of immediate danger to nato states or aggression against ukraine. we saw on the example of yemen that it is possible to act clearly and boldly. i don't think there is a particular debate in the biden administration about aid to ukraine. the biden administration wants to provide an additional 60 billion. dollars of aid to ukraine and the vast majority of members of congress, as i have already said, want this aid to go to ukraine. there is only a small group of radical far-rights republicans who use biden's desire to provide this aid to ukraine to demand something else from him. in particular, the new policy on the protection of the american-mexico border. during the russian invasion of ukraine , the administration. biden provided rhetorical

support and took her time with military support, always delivering the next type of weaponry that ukraine desperately needs with some delay. this trend is likely to continue in the future. i do not predict that russia will attack nato territory in the near future, v estonia, latvia or lithuania. russia is stuck in its trenches in ukraine. successfully pushed the black sea fleet out of its territory, and putin understands that if he starts military operations on nato territory, it will lead him to a state of war with the alliance, he does not want that. when i headed the think tank in tallinn, after the russian invasion of ukraine in 2014, we were concerned and studied possible scenarios, according to which, as in the case of crimea, russia could send troops there . their involvement, let's say, the same ones

green men, these are the scenarios where they claim that russia is useless here, these troops occupy some minor administrative centers, and then putin says, these are russian troops, we have taken over nato territory, are you ready for a nuclear war to try to liberate those unimportant buildings? this is not something that worries me, or something that is beyond the scope of an article five answer. in the event that russia attacks nato territory, which could permanently discredit nato. dear mr. ambassador, i would like you have now analyzed a message from the kremlin, which was voiced in his telegram channel by the former president of the russian federation, medvedev. this is an extremely aggressive text. and this is not about the fact that they have changed their narratives, at one time they said that they were fighting, so to speak, with...

the ukrainian government, which is bad in the pews, but not now. medvedev announced a plan for an existential war with what is called ukrainianism and said that it is simply dangerous for ukrainians to be, and they presented huge claims, in particular , about the occupation of our country. medvedev, let me remind you, deputy secretary of the security council of the russian federation, how to perceive. similar threats. since the beginning of the russian invasion of ukraine, former president and prime minister medvedev has looked inadequate, to say the least. because of his aggressive speeches and constant threats to use nuclear weapons. of course, those were just words, but what you're talking about is deeply troubling. because in my opinion, it is true. putin, medvedev. and the elite of the putin

regime have decided that their goal is the destruction of ukraine. they said so. putin spoke about this a few years ago in his very long article in which he denied the existence of the ukrainian nation. therefore, putin's goal is to destroy ukraine. however, he does not succeed. why does medvedev speak like that? in my opinion, such possibly sincere, but unattainable goals for... are related to the fact that he wants to position himself among putin's elite, as we say in english, trying to be more catholic than the pope. i believe that there is no chance that russia will achieve such goals. however, there is a need for europe and the united states provided the promised aid to ukraine immediately. and so that ukraine can protect its sky effectively and better than now. it is absurd to expect that ukraine will be able

to dislodge entrenched russian forces without controlling the skies. yes, well, in any case , we see some extremely positive signals from our friends in the west, in particular , the signing of a number of security agreements, the key one is the security agreement with the united kingdom of great britain and northern ireland, this is extremely an important signal. with on the other hand, we understand that there are unpleasant signals, in particular, it came from the federal minister of switzerland, yes, who said, well, it is very difficult to discuss the peace formula, and it will be very difficult to implement it without having certain agreements. language positions with the russian federation, and here we approach the most important, most problematic dilemma, in particular, it is about how we will implement the peace formula and how ready our friends, partners

and allies will be to implement it, under the conditions that russia will only raise the degree of escalation . with putin there is practically no opportunity to negotiate, since only. a week and a half ago, he stated that his goals in ukraine remain the same, which are to de-nazify and demilitarize ukraine, and to ensure that ukraine never joins nato. when putin makes such demands, and medvedev threatens in his style, they clearly indicate that they are not ready for negotiations. thus, if russia continues to escalate, then of course there will be no negotiations. as far as i remember... the federal minister of italy said that support for ukraine remains powerful, but he would like to see negotiations because everyone wants the war to end. despite this, you can not doubt. we support ukraine and want to continue providing assistance to it. so i'm not the least bit

worried about these statements. i believe that in the case of aid to ukraine from the european union, and it will be at the level of 27 countries, if. viktor orbán will finally give in, or, as many european leaders at the eu-26 level claim, without hungary. aid will come, and the more russia escalates, the more aid will be received by ukraine. bilateral security agreements. i have already mentioned the security agreement with the united kingdom of great britain and northern ireland, we understand that additional security agreements are brewing. there are certain, so to speak, general phrases. the key story , how things will be filled, such as, for example, the provision of the necessary military assistance and so on, and so on and so on, we understand that, well, it will depend on how much and how far our security partners are willing to go

agreements, as far as i think, in terms of the actual presence of nato troops on the territory of ukraine, but there are some nato members that we ... talked about, which are not under the auspices of nato, can send their own military forces and assets to ukraine. this question comes up from time to time and there is no clear answer as to what the limits are for individual western partners of ukraine, other than that nato will not directly intervene unless some nato member states are attacked by russia. however, returning to to your previous question, the more russia escalates,... the more likely it is that some nato member countries will intervene in the situation on the ground. i also think that the more ukraine can succeed in keeping the black sea fleet out of the black sea, the more it can prepare, with the support of its western

friends, to destroy the land bridge between crimea and russia. i am sure that we will see even more help from the countries of the west. former president donald trump has shown that he can recruit. he won in the primaries, and won, albeit in one state, but with a crushing result. well, accordingly, european countries, members of nato, are very worried. we are very worried. donald trump gives quite strange signals. thus, in his last interview, he stated that he knows how to negotiate with putin and could help and... i am quite skeptical of donald trump's promises, but donald trump is the reality of the political life of the united states. what can we expect in the coming months? first of all, the chances that donald trump will become

candidate from the republican party are very high. the next primaries will be held on tuesday in new hampshire and he will likely win again by an impressive margin, which is something. happened in iowa. i think that his main rivals, nikki haley and ron dessance, will drop out and trump will become the republican candidate. it's too early. predict whether he can defeat joe biden, but if that happens in november, he has expressed his opinion on nato's effectiveness several times in the past and suggested that the united states withdraw out of the alliance, but he won't be able to do that because congress has passed a law that says the president of the united states cannot withdraw the united states from its treaty obligations to nato. the senate approves contracts only it has the power to cancel. the us is in the north atlantic treaty, but that won't

happen, so the united states will stay in nato. trump aggressively talks about ending the war on his first day in office. if he is removed, which means that he will put pressure on the president zelensky to conduct negotiations, even if ukraine is not ready for them, and this causes concern. on the other hand, don't forget. that it was president trump , after coming to power, who did what barack obama did not dare to do, namely, he gave ukraine the importance to do, and accordingly, the key story is also the desire of russia to make the aggression against ukraine the longest, not only the largest war after the second world war on the european continent, but also the longest, so we see that russia wants to stretch in time. add additional resources north korea, iran and possibly

the people's republic of china. in my opinion, it is important that ukrainian society does not lose the spirit of struggle that it has demonstrated until now. political differences within the country should not be used to stir up tensions arising from the war. now , more than ever, ukraine needs to remain united. i support president zelensky that now is not the time to hold elections. certainly not in the midst of an existential war. in addition, i have full confidence that ukraine will win victory and that we will eventually provide ukraine with the support it needs. if she continues to fight, not only those incredibly brave soldiers, men and women who are on the battlefield, but also the entire civil society that has come together to support ukraine and... if russia remains as demoralized as it is on the battlefield, ukraine will inevitably win. however, it is important that ukraine

maintains internal unity similar to the transatlantic unity with which all of us in nato must support ukraine. and the biggest threat to the victory of ukraine, on in my opinion, there is a question of our ability to provide the necessary assistance that ukraine needs to win. thank you very much, mr. ambassador, for this extremely important conversation on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our tv viewers that now matthew bryza, former adviser to the secretary of state of the united states of america, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council, worked for them. glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. the time of our program has run out, stay tuned to the spresso tv channel. my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events of this day. watch yourself. your loved ones, do not ignore the air alarms, see you on the air,

hello, this is svoboda ranok, an informational project of radio svoboda, top guests every day, this is the shipping district, kherson. turn on live, we are somewhere in the vicinity of bakhmut, we tell the main thing, on weekdays at 9:00, i am here temporarily, i will return home soon, live. now where you are.

congratulations, friends, dmytro didora and vitaly portnikov are on the air of the saturday political club. today we will analyze the most important topics of this week, precisely that the russians lost a long- range radar plane. the results of the international forum in davos and in the third hour and the analyst from vitaly portnikov are already in the second part of our program, and anatoly is already in touch with us. deputy general director of a company engaged in electronic warfare, aviation expert. good evening, glory to ukraine. reroy slavy. congratulations. congratulations, mr. anatolia. well, let 's start, maybe with the fact that you can explain to us how ukrainian rap really improved. as far as we can now redirect russian missiles to locations other

than those planned by the russian military command and which it may have. consequences for the further course of the war? well, in fact, if we talk about the improvement of ukraine's electronic warfare systems, we can see from the last shelling that most of the missiles did not even hit the target and disappeared from the radars. here, of course, we would like these missiles to change course and return to their home port, but then again, for now, what does the means of electronic warfare, which implemented anti-aircraft defense, give good results. it is safe to say here. about a-ah 40% decrease in the accuracy of russian missiles, and therefore there is actually room for improvement, and there is still something to close directly with the means of radio-electronic warfare, but again here it should be noted that the enemy is also learning, for example, it is already known that some modernizations directly x101 missiles, in terms of

countering means of radio-electronic warfare, but actually so far we see that air defense is coping. by 90%. as for, let's go let's talk about the topic that was on this week , just for everyone, the russians lost the plane, as we promised, as we said today, the long-range radar tracking of the a50, and of course the question remains, what exactly was hit by this plane that was shot down, what kind of weapon could have targeted it such a plane, and how will it now affect... the shelling in ukraine? well, again, if we are talking directly about the a50, then taking into account its location close to the waters of the sea of ​​azov, we can talk about the shooting down, for example, we could say about directly shooting down patriot systems that could reach these, that is, that wandering patriot that destroyed

a lot of russian planes at the end of the year and in general recently, but again it should be noted here. that ukraine was able to implement and build a new air defense system like the franks, this is when american missiles are implemented on old soviet launchers, this is when s-300 radar radar systems are used together with patriot launch systems, so in fact it should be noted here and weapons that are in service with the armed forces of ukraine are already ukrainian. and we can safely say that the russian a50 was shot down by ukrainian weapons, all these other details can already be omitted, i think, regarding the direct loss of the a50 aircraft by russia, in fact the a50 is an aircraft from the old soviet times, and the most interesting thing is that the aircraft, which russia planned to put into

service as a replacement for the a50 and the a-100, the so-called prime minister, russia will not... build and currently has only one aircraft, although it has been planned since 2016 to deliver about four aircraft, so at the moment, we will see that the activity of directly involving these types of aircraft will decrease, at least at a distance of 200 km from the borders of ukraine, this will allow us to strengthen the air defense system and the air defense will... directly, because such targets were scanned directly by radar systems detection, launchers also monitored the movements of our military, so in fact it should be expected that this is being created, here it should be said that

a certain buffer zone is being created, which will allow working directly with our ground service is much easier. because there will be less air force and direct missile attacks no longer have an accurate cut-off in front of, well, how they did, first they scanned, and then tried to break through air defenses due to the work of the radar stations of these planes, now they can fly much further and, of course, they will not be able to to fully scan the entire airspace of ukraine. well, one more such improvement is that ukrainian drones have been in use for the last few days all the time they get into the russian oil depots, how does it happen that they seem to get into these objects, it is obvious that the russians clearly understand that the oil depot is a strategically protected object, but they miss it every time these. and so? here it should be noted that the trigger of this situation was probably the fact that our foreign partners forbid and do not advise us

to directly use samples of western equipment on the territory of the russian federation, therefore, precisely due to the desire of ukrainians to create weapons that could aim at the energy sector, the oil sector on russian airfields, in ukraine with... directly bepila, which are capable of breaking through air defenses due to low visibility and low altitudes, and to deliver such loud blows on oil, oil stored and on russian airfields, we saw that strategic aviation was also destroyed at the expense of some drones, so here i think that we will see even more interesting situations, because the example of the last one... in the leningrad region, which is 1200 km, shows that ukrainian demolitions are underway far forward and can not only in the future

not only be able to directly target places where oil or fuel are stored, but also at factories that already produce russian shakhet drones, russian x1 missiles, which are also not far from moscow, by the way, mr. anatoly, tell me about without... clarification of 1,250 km about this and the minister of strategy for strategic sector industry oleksandr kamyshchin confirmed the russian media say that the drones flew over bryansk, smolensk, tversk, they flew over many regions of russia, that it can mean, in russia there is no air defense, or these drones in our country are very equipped with a system that does not see them, neither ... air defense nor electronic warfare? well, again, due to the fact that we have the opportunity to receive components from more developed countries, we still

create products that are resistant to electronic warfare, or invisible for air defense, but it should be noted that the russian anti-aircraft defense, like most air defenses in the world, they do not have the ability to see low altitudes. targets of small size, and this, by the way, will be the opening of a brand new market, a new industry, in relation to the development of such radar stations. further, again, if we take into account the number of lost air defense systems on the temporarily occupied territory of ukraine by the russians, and here it must be understood that most of these means were transported precisely from the border parts of russia, therefore, in fact, the air defense of russia. significantly reduced, lost weight, so to speak of defense, let's recall those systems that they put on such stands as on columns,

yes, here, and in order to try to detect uavs directly more qualitatively. and say this is a continuation of the topic of drones, i still have such a more childish question, can you really assemble drones at home? and again, let's face it, due to the democratization of high-tech means, most fpv can actually be assembled at home, moreover, i, as a person who, in my childhood , directly assembled small planes that were started even on engines under oxygen pressure, i can't really say that this is not a problem, here the question is that currently most of the non-canvass solve. operational tasks, that is, breaking through air defenses, distracting attention, destroying targets at close range, but again, this

industry in ukraine is developing, and in the future we will be able to build more high-precision , high-tech means, and we see that we are already building those , which arrive russian air defense, so in fact, again after all, having an engineering education and having clear technological maps, on the right... you can assemble a drone at home from components. a million drones about what we were told about fpv drones, this is a real opportunity for ukraine, and if, for example, every ukrainian sits down in the kitchen or at home to assemble this drone, by the way, when they focused on these drones, they said that there are free courses, which will teach this, will we cover the needs of the army, will we have enough of them, because... the russians are also actively starting to use them, well, if every ukrainian will start collecting at least one drone a month, then you can imagine, there will be more than

a million here, in fact. what about the quality, we understand that directly in order to assemble these drones, first you will have to undergo training, then the system of receiving these drones, again the same fpv, you need to understand that for example, when you will return this fpv, the quality its assemblies, its quality and control of its workability will have to be checked by certain bodies, and i understand that in the future... most likely , a certain structure will be built that will allow to teach, and directly help with components, and also directly accept these fives in order to check the quality of this work. if we talk in principle about how much we will be able to cope with our own missile technology, we understand that if we do not have our own missiles, and the allies will forbid us

to use their weapons. for strikes on the sovereign territory of russia, russia still has a certain victory, at least for the preservation of military arsenals, a drone does not replace a missile, it seems to me in this situation, well actually, a drone, if we are talking about a drone, it does not have such a powerful ability to deliver a large amount of warhead, but then again, if we use a drone against the same oil depots, then we see that for detonation of such a tank does not... a lot of explosive parts are required, but in ukraine , for example, jet drones are already appearing, and this will allow to break through air defense at the expense of, let's say, new systems with higher speeds at higher speeds, therefore in principle it's not that far from a jet-powered drone to a full-fledged missile, and in fact there are some systems that develop

missiles directly. that's why again it takes time, if we go back, for example , to a year ago and remember how many drones there were and how this industry worked in these directions, then we will see a significant difference, because, for example, at the end of 2000 23 in ukraine, there were more than 300 companies that were directly engaged in the construction of various types of multi-copter and wing-shaped drones on avdiivskyi. direction let's move on to the front, to ours , in the avdiiv direction they say 250 aerial bombs in january, the russians have intensified the use of aviation, they summarize that they use less equipment, but they use aviation more, it has increased a lot, what is the reason for such an activation of the russians by aviation in this direction area of ​​the front, well, again, we understand that the battles are for ardeivka.

a very long time has been going on, and in fact the kremlin has an understanding of taking some territories like the soviet union, i.e. at any cost, any victim, so actually the introduction at the expense of warplanes or helicopters is understandable, because support from the sky is an important part of conducting hostilities, but then again, let’s wait... after all , the strengthening of ukrainian airspace at the expense of f-16 , then we will see who will rule it. well, in principle, as much as it can be considered that the planes really determine in the current situation, if you take into account the air defense systems, the course of this war, that's how we expect the f-16, it can't be, what they will get into service there, and then it will turn out that the russians are still capable of resisting them precisely with help, at least on the anti-aircraft front.