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tv   [untitled]    January 29, 2024 3:30am-4:00am EET

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a drastic question for the americans , as far as i understand, the americans set some kind of unspoken parameter, such as the reconquest of our territories, the return of our lands, but currently the question of the use of long-range systems, for example, on the territory of russia, well , somehow it is still not regulated, the americans are still immature, i don’t accidentally said about the story at the briefing in the white house, but the confirmation, including your words, is a recent message. chancellor of germany scholz about the fact that, yes, we are considering the issue of supplying ukraine with long-range missiles taurus, but if we have a warning that the ukrainian side can, you see, hit moscow with them, i want to emphasize a small nuance here, there was no such direct language anywhere, but nevertheless, this message itself, the one enclosed in quotation marks as direct language. it
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was attributed to the events with the il-76 and attributed to the opposite in order to, as it were, attract attention and again the issue of the supply of ukraine and medium-long-range missiles, as if to slow down, and the second quote generally went for a walk, funny about what you see, chancellor not knows that the minister... the ministry of defense of great britain was offering to exchange for in fact, how was the real situation, he said that we are aware of such a position and left it without any comment, instead in the mass media it came out that he does not know anything about this fragment, in the first part he, as it were, said that they have reservations about the possibility of strikes by the ukrainian armed forces on... here is a vivid example of how
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the kremlin uses this anchor , which pulls the information situation, a number of facts. i understand that security guarantees are currently being provided to us, in particular from the g7, we understand that we have stronger and stronger ties with great britain, and the security agreement with the united kingdom shows this in the best way, how we should use it properly. in principle , we are given chances and how to make sure that similar signed memoranda and agreements do not repeat the fate of the so-called budapest memorandum, because there are a lot of correct and pleasant formulas, but the question is still their concrete implementation, that is the question very important, i would even call it the number one issue today in terms of international aid and strengthening the very things that you mentioned, security guarantees, but immediately. i cannot but ask several very
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important questions for myself, for all of us, this is an international agreement, and an international agreement that has a very wide impact on the internal situation, on the external situation, but as you can see, for some reason it is not submitted to the parliament for ratification . meanwhile, the constitution clearly defines that there are similar acts valid only after consent to them is given. parliament, verkhovna rada of ukraine. this, hold now if the information. second, if so, then i will remind everyone that the budapest memorandum was not ratified either, but at that time the previous constitution was still in force and it allowed similar things, including such things as the provision of external guarantees by the ministry of finance, the conclusion of mandatory similar industry agreements and sectoral... agreements and
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so on, and the agreement on security and defense issues could be called such, well, that too a stretch, instead this document, it cannot be ratified from the point of view of the norms of the position of the current constitution, this is the first thing that must be remembered, and therefore here, give me the breeze of the budapest memorandum, it is already deme, and the second thing is the implementation mechanisms . even today, i am convinced that the budapest memorandum is a very serious document, but what is missing there, what is there for ukrainians who take care of this topic, take this document and look at it, how it is designed. the following, if read into the signed agreement, then it is limited in time and duration. it is actually a document. two-year guarantees,
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and also, if we look at international norms, then if we take away the ratification, if we understand that such... an act does not carry an organizational system of support, then it can be interpreted simply as an agreement between the prime minister reshi sunak and president volodymyr zelensky. there is one more thing that is very important. here the problem is competent. if you look at this document, it contains components related to powers ministry of defense, cabinet of ministers and the president. there are things that are related to the competence of the president, that is, in the field of defense policy, there are concrete figures, and the numbers that relate to money and objects are the affairs of the ministry of defense, well, in the extreme case of the cabinet of ministers and so on, that is, all this
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indicates that , that at will, if guarantees were obtained, it is obvious from the huge volume of these things that were discussed... the key point was lost: this is not a law for both sides, it is very important, secondly, the parliaments did not ratify it, hence it is necessary read absolutely clearly, his financial security will be under a big question mark, but from the point of view of political rhetoric, this is a colossal step forward, because it is shown that great britain, but here a comma, an anchor... a country that does not belong to of the european union, keep that in mind, secondly, it is like a country of the anglo-saxon bloc, certainly because it reads like that, and it reads like that, more like a country that belongs to the so-called copenhagen format, which is what placed
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further in romstein and so on, it is ready to provide appropriate assistance, but at the same time here... there is a drawback, the essence of which can be that, only in the period of the prime minister from comrade sunak, because if it is not a law, it is only a certain agreement between two persons, then it can should be read exactly like this, and i do not rule out that in some time, after the conservatives leave power, it will be said, let the conservatives sign, let them implement such an agreement, because i say once again, this is not a law, it must be understood , from the point of view of norms of international, international law, you tell me that yes, in international law there are even things that talk about verbal agreements, yes, verbal agreements, but they are not reached in matters of security, security guarantees, especially since these two words
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security guarantees, they talk about that this document was supposed to correspond to the international convention on agreements and treaties, and i... which provides for the mandatory implementation of national constitutional norms from the point of view of actual ratification, i am not saying this for the first time, i hope that in the future, but maybe in in the case of great britain, at least the ukrainian political leadership will return to this issue and send this document to the parliament for ratification, because i do not know for what reasons, i cannot... understand for what reasons the lack of ratification of such a document was allowed, because with from the point of view of information drive, political tone - this is a great step, this is a great step , another matter is why they did not reach the actual
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legal basis and actions of such a document, because you understand when we are now being told about what you see in the budapest the memorandum is not... the word is not translated like that, then in relation to this document you and i will be told that it has not been ratified, on the basis of which certain resources will be allocated from the budget of one state, another state and so on for its implementation. i completely agree with you, this is an extremely important point, this is a fundamentally important point, and let's hope that the prime minister of the united kingdom of great britain and northern ireland, rishi sunak, will also take it. necessary steps when it comes to, in particular, work with by the british parliament, but in any case, similar signals show that certain parameters of what is called a new security agreement for ukraine or a new security format for ukraine, that it
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is taking shape, what should we expect from those states, countries, blocs that we consider our allies, but at the moment they are our friends, partners and buddies. on her own. the agreement that has already been signed and the agreements that will be signed further, what are they talking about? about the fact that the thesis that we are with the nato countries, with each cream cannot... work, because we we should work only with nato as a whole, it does not correspond to the truth. this means that it is very important that today we all realize that the issue of regional, continental, and global security is a multi-component issue. in this system, there may already be, it is obvious, bilateral agreements, further, the region. agreements, further, continental agreements, global
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agreements, but they can form a single entity. actually, this is something that you and i have been talking about for more than a year, which follows from this new year's christmas message then the british foreign minister lis strass spoke to the london city hall when she said that the time of the labile system was coming. soft security, and in fact, if you look at it, these bilateral agreements should be aimed at what, but at ensuring the security of ukraine, at ensuring the security of the countries of central europe, at ensuring the security of the countries of the european continent, further, at ensuring the security of the countries of the north atlantic bloc, ensuring the security of the countries of the euro-russian bloc and the global one. security, actually these components, these components, they should not create a hedgehog
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in relation to each other, and the most appropriate way to select and systematize all this is definitely the romshtein format, and here it is very important that, well, at least somehow in in the rammstein format for today, we should move on to a conversation on this topic, because even the first thing you and i talked about, it looks like: these are some bilateral industry agreements, because it will be read that way from the point of view, actually. now, what does it have to do with central european security? absolutely no way, what we are talking about is like a mirage, like an intermarium, there are two seas, three seas and so on. now, how will it be formed in the system - relationships in the system. nato, and if we add to this that europe today is constantly talking
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about its own security. moreover, the current exercises that are being conducted by nato, which they indicate, that due to the fact that the minimum invited participant is the united states of america, and the united states of america is today 90% of the security that is implemented by nato . the current on... exercises show that there is a selected model and legend, which by 90% are actually the countries and states of europe, and literally a few destroyers of the united states of america, which of the almost 90 thousand personnel participating in this exercise , are present at them, that is, it is already a shot at the model that can be made after the statements of candidate trump about... that we can leave nato, although this is not the answer and it is obvious that it will not
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be, but oh well it is clear that preparations are being made for this, now one more thing, you must understand that in matters of security, the bilateral relations that ukraine will conclude with the nato countries must be implemented in the form of concrete steps, that is, conditionally speaking, training is going on, as, conditionally speaking, but not conditionally, realistically... nato will interact with countries that want to join nato, well, in particular , such as ukraine, then how will they interact with those that have already formed as a separate defense alliance, well, such as, for example, ukus, the indo-pacific bloc, which exists separately today, although in some countries it is invoked, and from here, it is obvious that it cannot be avoided. without formalizing the role played by the contact group, it really
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pisses me off, because i went through the contact group in minsk, when i hear ramstein called the contact group for defense assistance to ukraine, well, as the ukrainian classics say, to contact, it does not mean to decide, you understand, and all this suggests that, as of today, those who outline and those who sit on the button of european security and regional european and continental, in general and global, they do not... quite clearly understand, but how all this will interact with each other, how it will cooperate, because holding additional meetings, even online meetings, it does not solve the issue of ensuring the urgent supply of troops with ammunition, armored vehicles, maintenance of all this and so on, so i can say that so far
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, if we take the path that i started on. go ukraine, signing bilateral guarantees on security, and the transition to regional security it’s not even visible, moreover, i don’t see that they understand this problem, because when you listen to people like orban or people like fico, they, what do they think, that we will stay here under nato, and you try there , but they think so in vain, i will remind them about... the trip from suvorov to the alps, it is not clear what he did there, but keep in mind, monuments to suvorov are still standing all over russia, no one took them anywhere, so where can get into the boot of a russian soldier, this is known only to the moscow führer, and it is very necessary understand well thank you very much, mr. ambassador, for this extremely important conversation on the espresso tv channel,
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i want to remind our viewers that roman bezsmertny, an iconic politician and diplomat, was working for them now. verdict with serhii rudenko from now on in a new two-hour format, even more analytics, even more important topics, even more top guests, foreign experts, inclusion from abroad, about ukraine, the world, the front, society, and also feedback, you you can express your opinion on a bad day with a phone survey, turn it on and tune in, the verdict is with serhii rudenko, every weekday from 20:00 to 20:00 for espresso. myroslav chakh will now work in the espresso studio. public figure, historian, journalist, deputy of the polish diet of the second and third term. glory to ukraine, mr. myroslav, i congratulate you. i congratulate you as a hero. donald tusk and president zelensky, denys shmyhal, met, talked, we understand, in fact, it is about a complete reset
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not only of certain tactical points, but about a new vision in general. what is called economic-social-security policy of nato's eastern flank. this story is much bigger than bilateral polish-ukrainian relations. so the meeting took place and it was symbolic that donald tusk made his first foreign visit as the head of the polish government to kyiv. poland and ukraine are starting to work on guarantees, the so-called agreement on security guarantors, that is , poland joined the statement of the g7 group from vilnius from... from the nato summit last year, and the development of a bilateral document similar to the document signed by great britain and ukraine from during the visit of prime minister sunak in january of this year, this is an extremely important fact, because the government of the previous polish government,
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the government of morowiecki, did not join this declaration, which was very significant and very worrying. a signal that poland is withdrawing its support for ukraine. today, this page has already been turned and poland is returning to supporting ukraine in the military aspect, which was confirmed by president zelensky, who said that a package of military aid from poland is being prepared. the second result of tusk's visit to kyiv - this is what has been appointed, a very well-known person, a well-known politician, pavlo koval, as a representative. the government of poland to the affairs of the reconstruction of ukraine, well, it means that there is a person, he is extremely sympathetic to ukraine, a guest in espresso for many years, now the head of the foreign affairs committee of the diet, that is, a prominent figure in polish politics, is responsible for this and that person, i think he has ambitions and a desire to develop
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this very cooperation, so that these are not declarations, but filled with real meaning. and now regarding the specific situation with agriculture, with transportation and so on, then prime minister shmyhal announced the results, and he said that a bill is being drafted in the ukrainian parliament on equalizing the rights of polish and ukrainian carriers, i think that this is not a problem, for poland poland is invited, polish companies are invited to... the construction of the autobahn from kraków to rivne, i.e. everything that really concerns the residents of lviv and the western region, if the autobahn is built to rivne, it will greatly simplify everything. good luck and so on, this is the second aspect, and the third is related to the fact that the work is starting, or in fact , the work is already continuing on the issue
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of agricultural production, the export of ukrainian agricultural products to poland not to be this stumbling block in bilateral, bilateral relations, and from the fact that what i am following is that poland is approaching the adoption of the romanian model, that is, there is an export of agricultural products, but in some... some part of the grain, for example, corn or something, when there is too much import to poland, then the license system for ukrainian exporters, i.e. then you have to go to their ministry and get such an appropriate license, i think that this is ultimately a clear and realistic package of cooperation for those very specific cases that, well, for the last six months or more like six months, we are all in favor of. life, so nothing was in trouble, such as in the relationship between president zelenskyi and president andrzej duda, then the clouds began to thicken, well
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, accordingly, we received several extremely significant scandals, well, we understand that the geopolitical page has been turned, that’s already largely history, and the second point, can something like this happen again now, well , let's say it happened, well , actually, calling a spade a spade, an embargo on agricultural... economic four agricultural products, and before it was on all kinds, plus the blocking of the border meant that poland entered into this trade, trade war with ukraine, we call it our own, there was a state of trade war between ukraine and poland, we did not call it that, so as not to thicken colors and so on, so as not to inflame atmosphere, it was actually a trade war. only the trade war is simply unique, because what caused losses to ukraine, well, of course , yes, the front trucks are blocked, 600, 400
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trucks are standing, they cannot enter ukraine with humanitarian aid, with a normal commercial component there , military aid of ukraine, but it caused damage to the polish economy. poland earns in general, when we take into account the exchange of goods between ukraine and poland. poland earns from ukraine, because it exports more than it imports from ukraine, for two years now, war years, and thank god that donald tusk, as the prime minister, understood this situation, and that he used all his leverage to stop this state of affairs, it is so when talking about the global aspect, but we overturned it that page, i believe that there will be no return under the current government to... this state, the biggest guarantee of this state is himself, himself, the very person of donald tusk. it feels like this year, well, it can go under
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the sign of two donalds, it's donald tusk, without a doubt, yes, when we talk about eastern european politics, and donald trump, when we talk about continental security politics in general. i am very grateful to you, anton, for telling me what donald tusk's coming to power in poland means. of the so-called weimar triangle, it is france, germany and poland, and the role of poland under tusk's premiership will be much greater in europe than it was under yaroslav kaczyński or andrzej duda, this is clear, and the relations between the country and poland in such perspective, when you look at them, they have something very important meaning, in the end, ukrainians do not need to explain this, now regarding donald trump, i
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carefully follow the primaries and what is happening, well, everyone has already written off our lady nikihelev, in fact, already in a losing position, so i would think that this politics, it is a complicated thing, the election campaign is the same, very important are... qualities, leadership qualities and the results of the primaries in new hampshire were not so bad 55 to 44, this in favor of trump means that nicky hall is not in such losing positions for me, but well , other wiser people who are more familiar with the american situation, they say that it is lost, well, let's say it is lost, but all the observers who say that trump is not too satisfied with the course of the primaries, but with attention to the fact that... among republican voters, a third says that he will not vote for him under any circumstances, and there is such a category, which are those who have not yet decided, that is, who
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are looking, and yes, they have a negative electorate or a negative perception of trump is very large and it is getting stronger, that is, when we calculate the overall national level, when trump will have a duel between the president and biden, the results may be very different, although today trump leads with a margin of 3x-4% over biden, so to speak, and everyone says, god, biden can't win and so on, so so so so situation. it doesn't sound like that. now the republican primaries show that there is no such great dominance of trump among republican voters. yes, he has enormous dominance in the republican party, but not among republican voters. so i understand. well, in any case, trump is back in a big way politics and trump will shape the political agenda in the united states, well , until the elections, so we don't know what
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the cinema will be like. election campaign in the united states , but trump's influence is already there, he started giving out signals, sending signals, and no one can decipher them correctly, well, because trump is trying to keep his mystery geopolitical, maybe he's just lying, maybe he's just promising, but in any case, he demonstrates that he might have some kind of plan, but given his previous political credit history in europe remembered very well his threats, so to speak, to nullify the influence of the united states... europeans began to think in global categories, and global categories consist in what they understand, america is objectively determined to confront china, china's forces are weakening, the economy theirs is weakening, but the americans have to, there is this broken wall or whatever it is called, the americans have to deal with
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the challenges in asia. india is not easy. india is forming its own so-called nationalist agenda. god knows whether the indians will not come to the head, so that they also have some kind of empire there, one day 3 thousand years ago they will return pakistan, well, what do they try to do from time to time. so americans have something to do, right? russia is a threat, all europeans recognize at the moment that... russia is an existential threat to europe, and europe needs to prepare for confrontation with russia and not rely so much on american, american help, and when we talk about trump, i will always stress until now 11 months before the election who is the president of the united states right joe biden, you have to ask joe biden, understand all the schedules and so on, but trump has not yet
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become president. the president of the united states is joe biden, and we need to talk about what joe biden will do for ukraine and what he has committed to in relation to europe, and here an extremely important role, and it is american observers, journalists, experts, everyone is talking about the activation of great britain and the absolutely united position of the conservatives, the labor party, and the labor party. they will also have elections in the fall, regarding security issues. questions, the position is the same: support ukraine, strengthen nato and strengthen the european component. the speech of the british minister of defense, who explained the uk's security guarantees for ukraine, is simply phenomenal. there was also a phrase that i just remembered: great britain said: "our alliance with ukraine is for 100 years, we will not leave ukraine, russia, you forget it."
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that great britain has left.

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