success in the 24th year, the turning point in this war is obvious and general zaluzhnyi himself wrote in his article that in november 22nd, this is the first article that came out then, regarding the plans for the 23rd year, he spoke then about the center of gravity , the center of gravity, according to the definition of the clause, is still in this war, and he defined this center of gravity as crimea, that is, it is obvious that the turning point in this war will come when ukraine starts the deoccupation operation. crimea, without this operation you can sit for several years in strategic defense, you can talk about it, but changes the key issue will not take place, therefore the question is not about personnel issues, but the question is how in the 24th year we will be able to solve the issue of the turning point in the war, actually carry out the beginning of the deoccupation of crimea, this is the key issue, and when we... let

's look at , let's say this situation, then the issue of personnel, it disappears, that is , the main question here is: who will be able to carry out such an operation that will be able to break this war, if general zaluzhny can do it, he can do it, if president zelenskyi believes that other personnel who will decide the fate actually of the ukrainian nation in this war, i think it can be done, because actually, despite the fact that... that there is a really emotional factor, still, i would, i think we have to go back to a more technological question, a disciplined question, how to achieve a result in this war, and not to look anyway at the emotional, political processes that are always raging in the information space. let's return to the situation on the eastern and southern fronts, because these are all political battles, discussions, possible personnel

rotations, they somehow put all the front-line information on the back burner, and now the general staff reports that the invaders have stepped up in the kherson direction, the armed forces of ukraine repelled 15 attacks here during the day. analysts of the american institute of war say that the russians are unlikely to be able to turn their tactical achievements in the kupyansk area into wider mechanized ones. maneuvers are necessary for an operationally significant advance, at the same time today putin talked a lot about avdiyivka, about these 19 buildings that the unit maintains there a veteran or a veteran who walks in front of the russian troops and says that the guys are so prepared, that's how everyone should be, that is , putin's rhetoric is changing a little, that is, he is no longer talking about the capture of large ...

cities, he is talking about avdiivka, about 19 buildings , what they captured there, and they hold these 19 houses, does this mean that it is fundamentally important for the russians to capture avdivka in this situation, and these 19 houses that he mentions are of strategic importance to the russian army, well, to ukrainian too, of course there is none of strategic importance in avdiivka, it cannot be. he said a lot more there , it turns out that this is all his svo, it aims to push ukrainian troops away from the russian borders, which he did not say right away, then there were no ukrainian troops there at all, and now it turns out that he needs to push these troops, so that, as he said, foreign-made artillery, which is in service with the defense forces of ukraine, does not reach the territory of russia, it turns out that he has such and such to populated areas... he said to cities and villages, such and such,

well, of course, about populated areas, in general , putin carries a lot of delusions, but he has started a so-called pre-election campaign, that is, he has, as his press secretary says, to carry all kinds of blizzards about avdiivka, about moving away from the borders, in fact, he understands, that this war is a chance to stay in power at all, that is, he cannot stop this war, actually based on this, he has an extra. its military potential, i have russia invest all the resources they earn now from the sale of oil and other goods into actually military materials, actually turning north korea into a kind of military workshop where they produce munitions, and not only munitions, i think they will soon be making missiles for the russian army, that is, russia is doing, that is , this whole huge russia... it is working now

for , to wage a war in the interests of a group of people who are just going to stay in power, that's all the war is, and as a result they are ready to kill... hundreds of thousands of russians, and of course, hundreds of thousands of ukrainians, for them it's not at all problem, and therefore, again i repeat, when we are told that we need to go into strategic defense, well, excuse me, look at this leader of a neighboring state or empire, and what kind of strategic defense we are talking about, we need to increase our efforts precisely in order to change the character of this war, and do not try to stop and sit down in a strategic position. defense, maybe they will advise us to really move away from the borders and allow putin to declare that he managed to create some kind of security belt there on the border with russia, well, in other words, you don’t have to listen to putin, you still have to still achieve their goals and head to the front,

at the front. the head of the main intelligence department of the ministry of defense, kyrylo budanov , predicted on the air of the telethon that the russian autumn-winter offensive will soon be exhausted. and then the course of ukraine will begin. budanov says that this move will take place and obviously this move will take place already in the spring, because actually there is a month or so 29 days left until spring. and it is clear that budanov has his own vision, but budanov also gave a lot of different predictions about crimea and the development of events in at the front, is it possible to perceive the eyes or the pro'. noses as such, which can really be implemented in the spring of this year? well, i wouldn't say that they will be implemented in the spring, first of all , the russian offensive will really end in the spring, why will it end, well, first of all, it is impossible to advance so intensively, because they

have been conducting a simply frantic offensive in various directions on a huge front since october , starting from kupyansk and ending really in the left bank of kherson. oblast, trying to break through the front at least somewhere and demonstrate victory, or some winning results for putin's so-called elections, but putin now has to tell some fairy tales about pushing ukrainians away from the border, in fact, he should tell about the breakthrough and de-occupation of the entire donetsk region, for example, it would be much more powerful before the elections. in the turn of this emperor, everyone is on the move, but in reality they will not achieve, of course, their strategic goals, that is already clear, they will actually have a little more than a month left, they will throw in even more resources, this there will be a very tense situation in february, but

i think that they will not achieve any operational success, after that they will really have to, with the beginning of spring and the end of the election campaign... regroup, recover, mobilize clearly, because they have lost a lot a lot of people, a lot of equipment, so they will have to recover, and this period is very similar to the period that was last year, then also in the winter the wagnerites and the regular forces tried to take bakhmut, and then in the spring they stopped active hostilities and went on the defensive, at this time the ukrainian... army began to conduct active offensive actions. i think that this year this algorithm can be repeated, and the russians actually have even greater losses, because now there is no wagner who would dispose of the zetas on such a scale. the soldiers of the regular units are now being disposed of, so the regular units

will have to be restored even more intensively. to do this, it will be obvious, i repeat, to carry out mobilization. for the ukrainian army, again, we cannot know, and this year, i i think it is necessary to launch more disinformation into the information space, unlike last year, when we actually talked online about the offensive and demanded all this information from the ministry of defense and the command, where our tanks went or armored personnel carriers, that is, here i think that the information policy this year must also be modernized and adapted, but the fact that ukraine will carry out offensive actions in the spring and summer of this year, for example, i do not doubt this, despite, i repeat, at the request and suggestions of our western partners, to enter into strategic defense, well, obviously, our capabilities will be correlated with how weapons, in particular ammunition, will arrive in ukraine, because

today josep borel, the supreme representative of the european union for foreign policy, after the meeting of the defense ministers of the european union countries, stated that... that the eu can supply ukraine with only 500, more than 500,000 artillery shells by march instead of the promised million. let's listen to what josep borel said. between last march and the beginning of this year, we delivered 330,000 of ammunition, so we have a third of the goal, mainly these shells are taken from the existing stocks. by march, i expect that number to increase by over 200k, so reaching 524k would be more than half of the goal. mr. mykhailo, it’s all the same , the european union is not keeping up with russia, because russia has more opportunities, of course, they have connected north

korea there, they are taking missiles there, and so on, but this means that the european union will never even i didn't think of going to war with russia, now they are simply forced to rebuild everything on the march its economy, military-industrial complex and more and more and more to produce ammunition, because if they are not enough, we don't have you... and then the question arises, what will happen in the case of a direct conflict between russia and the european union? absolutely right, i think it is very useful for europe, in conditions where the united states may even voluntarily give up its global leadership, well, that is, if under certain conditions the united states can withdraw into itself, declare that in their only problem is the mexican border, and principle european members. nato will be forced to defend itself and take care of its security by its own means, which means that

it is really necessary to have a defense-industrial system that provides ammunition, provides armored vehicles, provides all necessary military tools, which together with ukraine, of course, with ukrainian potential, confront russia and prevent russia from attacking europe, including, for example, the baltic states. to poland or, well, let's say, romania, yes, or bulgaria, that is, this task has really not been carried out so far seriously, that is, even in 23 22, these measures were not carried out, and indeed the decision to release a million ammunition for ukraine was only made, borel said in march, i think that the decision to fly stoso was only made in march... more you remember, there were long discussions between poland and france about who should finance who, they lasted

until june, i think, and maybe even july, and only then real funds began to arrive and they started to develop this production, then there is no surprise that they are now only in march they will fulfill half of the plan, they could not have time in six months to actually deploy new plants, find engineers, provide... raw materials, components and so on, it is not such a simple matter in fact, to produce 1 million munitions, if the munitions industry is actually 30 years old was collapsing, and now, in principle, there is a chance that the productivity of this european system, including ammunition, will increase already in geometric progression, that is, when the factories will be built, or they have already been built, and the scaling of these production processes is simply under... already on a normal course, and indeed europe will be able, for example, to produce

a million ammunition for ukraine by the end of the year, plus provide its armed forces at least partially, and if the united states still, after all, at least the 24th year they endured in the same way as they supported ukraine before, then ukraine could actually receive 2 million ammunition this year, which means that the ukrainian army could use about... shells per day, this is a fairly decent level , russia can now even use more, due to the fact that north korea actually, according to some data, the combined, combined capabilities of north korea and russia, they are somewhere 50x50, means four or even more millions of ammunition per year, and this, well, this means that... it will be difficult for europe and ukraine itself to oppose such an alliance to this axis of evil, and therefore

it is still desirable for the united states to remain the leader and still remain in our coalition, the western coalition, which is fighting the axis of evil. well, the very end of our conversation, the military-industrial complex of ukraine, he also, in principle, it should cover our needs, including artillery ammunition. what is happening in the military-industrial complex now, is something happening? yes , of course it does, but unfortunately, a lot of time was wasted, in fact, the ammunition industry began to develop. only in the 19th and 20th years, and then there was no such impetus for really large-scale projects, and only then , literally there in 22-23, already after the full-scale aggression, the processes began when we say that both 155 mm ammunition and mortar mines began to be produced on such

an industrial scale, there is, of course, hope that, let's say, in a year or two, ukraine. will be able to provide for some of its needs in a certain way, but it will definitely not be able to independently produce there, for example , a million or 2 million munitions, we see that the entire european union, let me remind you that germany, a powerful superpower, and france , and italy, and the netherlands, i.e. countries from the top ten economies of the world, they cannot in a year, even more adjust the production of combat. pastures in sufficient quantity, what can we say about ukraine , which is in a difficult economic state , in a state of war, that is, there are, let's say, plans, there are efforts, but it is obvious that we ourselves will not be able to do it, we will not be able to produce 2 million tons, 2 million pieces of shells, for example, in six months, there are absolutely no illusions here,

we are all waiting for the decision of the congress of the united states of america to open funding. and regarding this large amount of 61 billion dollars and of course internal problems in the united states of america does not allow this . how will it affect the armed forces of ukraine, our capabilities, and in particular the capabilities you spoke of, not to stand on the defensive, but to do everything in order to exhaust the russian army, so that it does not accumulate resources and capabilities for the distance . th offensive or further massive strikes on the territory of ukraine? the logic of the process suggests that, in fact, those contracts that were financed last year and are being implemented are, well, yes, like ammunition contracts, they were financed in the 23rd year, and are executed in the 24th, and there are also contracts regarding maintenance,

for example, our f-16s or glsdb supplies, which should already be put into service with the armed forces and... and so on, that is, the logic of the process suggests that such a failure will not happen immediately, that is, we have a chance to receive a certain amount of ammunition under the contracts of the 23rd year, to ensure, for example , the arrival of aviation, its maintenance for a certain time, the arrival of other tools, in including long-range ones, that is, i mean that, for example, in the 24th year there is still a chance to extend those contracts that were in the 23rd year and apply them in the 20th. the fourth, but what will happen on the 25th, if the united states does not give money on the 24th, this means that, for example, even, well, i would say, the maintenance of the f-16s that will enter service with the armed forces of ukraine , and the f-16 is a very delicate machine, it needs constant maintenance and is very expensive, and this means that, for example, without the support of the united states, europe,

of course, can try to pull all this burden, and ukraine will try, but again still. without these financial resources of the united states, in the 25th year or even at the end of the 24th year, a real failure can occur, a failure that can already categorically affect the situation at the front, and we will not be able to compensate in any way either with our own resources or with european ones. thank you, thank you, mr. mykhailo, it was mykhailo samuts, a military expert. friends, we will continue to work live on the tv channel, and we will be joined by dana yarova, adviser, deputy. deputy minister of defense of ukraine, member of the public anti-corruption council ministry of defense ms. dana, i welcome you and thank you for joining our broadcast. greetings from ukraine, greetings from the studio. mrs. dano, yesterday, in the higher anti-corruption court, they could not choose a preventive measure for liev, who worked

for the ministry of defense and was involved in, let's say so. accused of embezzling 1.5 billion hryvnias of shells for the armed forces, and this criminal scheme was with the managers of the lviv arsenal and several foreign companies. what can you tell us about this story, why these anti-corruption cases are so difficult and cases where people are suspected of embezzling huge sums during the war, these are... just catastrophically large sums, how does the ministry of defense perceive the course of these cases and are there any safeguards against such cases? rods and such sums , there were no embezzlements of such a scale, let

's say so, the lviv arsenal, it was inherited from the previous head of the ministry of defense from his vice, let's say so, for the weapons themselves, and from those stories that happened in the ministry of defense at 20'. the second year, i wouldn't even start war, because right at the beginning of the war, i think that more or less everything was, well, you know, it was very hot, everyone tried to do everything they could, but somewhere according to my observations, somewhere from may 22, they started, you know, when it's dark in the room, you can't see absolutely anything that 's happening, and we all know that... the procurement of the ministry of defense was removed, let's say, the visibility zone, and the people who were watching there, for example, by tv

security, this is what happened on prozoro, of course, the purchase of weapons will be always with more, let's say, with more nuances closed to ordinary citizens, that 's right, but the case of the lviv arsenal, it's so, you know, so... simple in its kind, i don't even know how to describe it, the point is , that we had three special exporters at the beginning of the full-scale invasion, arms trade is generally a very regulated process, and literally at the beginning of vinnytsia, special exporters became special importers in one day, we started buying a lot of weapons, and at some point it appears in itself such a company as lviv arsenal, which... has never engaged in the purchase of weapons in its activities, never. at one point , on one day, she gets a license to carry out

such activities, but she does not have a license to contract with the supplier that they declared and about which they gave their commercial proposal, and she also did not have a license to carry weapons on the territory of others countries these are mandatory documents. those that are simply impossible, without which to start any process at all, but the process was started, this company made a proposal of the ministry of defense , the proposal was accepted, in one day a decision was made to advance in the amount of 97%, this minus the commission of the lviv arsenal itself, and thus the funds went abroad, why is it so difficult now, well... in general, the question was a long time ago, when these documents already got to the law enforcement agencies, and they got there at the beginning of our activity, it was still the spring of the 23rd year,

i had only one question, why is the issue of the lviv arsenal still not proven, at least to law enforcement, no criminal proceedings have been initiated cases, not that they have not been proven to the court, because there we have more complex stories with a more complex evidence base, here everything is simple... you know, absolutely everything is clear and absolutely everything, well, i don’t know, simpler is impossible, but why do you now say, well, the measure of prevention has been changed, there is a nuance here that may have been taken into account during the opening of this criminal case, but i think that it may somehow be, let's say, corrected, it is the fact that this criminal case was opened under court. essentially naboo, but due to the fact that naboo is not opened a criminal case, this one was opened, this criminal case was opened against, excuse me, yes , the national police, together with the sbu and together with

the ministry of defense, will there be any , shall we say, further consideration of this criminal case as we would all like to still guilty, in the end they were responsible for the distribution of a large amount of funds. i'll tell you, it's not even in the amount of funds, it's in the number of artillery shells, you understand, it's, well, whose life is it, it's just the life of people who were not covered by artillery at some point, as it were it didn't sound pathetic, even if we move away from the option of money and approach the option of the price of a person's life, i would really like to, and i will say so here on my own behalf, i probably have since may. talked to everyone from the law enforcement agencies regarding this case, and frankly, i can only wish for our law enforcement agencies to bring this case

to ... court and demand from the court, well, we have such, you know, a very complex court system, so that there is no some conditional judge vovka, who will say that everything was normal. unfortunately, we will not see part of the funds, already they came out, there is an investigation, i don't have the right to tell, but we will not return them, and part of the funds were seized in the accounts of the lviv arsenal, and after the conclusion of the trial. trial of this case, they must be returned to the ministry of defense. here is such a story , but there are many such stories, i will say this, what kind of fuses, well , today there are such, let's say this, you know, we now even have more fuses and more such big problems with non-approval of payments or with non-approval of contracts, just because that people

they are afraid to put put his signature under one or another of the documents, but it is not a question of whether the contract is bad or good, it is a question of the development methodology, the development of the risk identification methodology, this is the main thing, as soon as the methodology is developed in the ministry of defense and the risk assessment methodology is agreed with all law enforcement agencies, then we will be able to evaluate them normally, because now i see the ministry of defense the reverse side of this medal, then. when we have completely transparent contracts with our manufacturers, they are not approved, because there is a caveat. very briefly, if possible , ms. dano, how can it be that there are so many anti-corruption bodies, so many controllers, and such large contracts with such risks were concluded with the lviv arsenal, and with the grenkevich family, that is, what does this indicate? well, what can i say, all these

scandals, these are scandals, when, these are all these contracts, excuse me, these are contracts of just the period, until that grandiose scandal in the month of february ripened in the eggs, and after which some such, you know, we started push the smoke curtain away a little ministry of defense and to be harsh, but i constantly say, i am very sorry that rezniuk was taken for an egg due to the poor quality of the jacket. they didn't shoot for the lviv arsenal and they didn't shoot for the polish company alpha, i'm very sorry for that, i'll tell you honestly, but it looks like some shooters are responsible for it, those who signed there , and the minister is not responsible for it , and i understand what you are talking about, but until the people who put their personal signatures are interviewed and charged with suspicion, go to a person who controlled it and

, let's say, agreed to this process is not possible, let's hope that after all, even i will say now, maybe something seditious, under the pressure of our western partners, after all, the people who are currently under investigation, they will start talking about those people who told them to conclude such a contract, but without political will, without such a will of the minister of defense, this could not happen, true, well, i will tell you now, the assumption is mine, but it is not supported by anything, it cannot. .. nothing to say, on at that moment the ministry of defense was closed to everyone, including the public. thank you for the inclusion, it was dana yarova, volunteer, adviser to the deputy minister of defense of ukraine. friends, we work live on the tv channel, as well as on our youtube and facebook platforms. for those who are currently watching on social media, please like our video, don't be stingy, this is necessary to promote our content on

youtube and facebook. well, take part in our survey, today we ask you about whether it is necessary to block petitioners' accounts and deprive them of the right to drive a car, as provided by the government's bill on mobilization. 56% yes, 44% no, these are the intermediate results we have on television, during the television broadcast, and we will conduct this survey in the second part of our program. there are 10% discounts on citramondarnitsa in the psarysnyk bam and oskad pharmacies, there are 15% discounts on sinus hot and sinus caps at psyasnyk, pam and oskad pharmacies. great return of great lviv. the largest conversational format of ukraine - speaks.