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intellectuals who interpret and comment on the most relevant social discussions, which news will be analyzed by the guests of the project this week and, in fact, who will be the guest of the studio, we will find out already this sunday, unequivocally, the topics will be relevant, the guests will be special, their own names with myroslava barchuk, sunday 17:10 at espresso. i'm here temporarily, i'll be back home soon. live now where you are.

i welcome you, dear tv viewers, on the air of the tv channel, the program studio zahid. we will analyze the most important events of this week, which will undoubtedly determine the events of the coming months. our guests today are matthew bryza and mark fagin. mark feigin, a figure of the russian opposition in emigration, will be working on the espresso tv channel now. deputy of the state duma, iconic video blogger. glory to ukraine, mark, congratulations. glory, greetings anton, greetings to all viewers. well, carlson landed in moscow. so we understand that none of the journalists probably received similar honors, they were literally carried away like a written off bag. and so, the key story is not even what putin said in the carlson interview. the key story is why this representative of the bourgeois empire was so gently perceived in moscow.

journalism, and what he could bring, so we understand that carlson is not carlson himself, carlson is a person extremely close to one of the candidates, the main candidates for the position of president of the united states, and it is possible, he could even to occupy a very high position in the event of trump's victory. what can i say, it's like a visit unexpectedly, his picture in the big theater appeared in the kremlin public in a telegram. you know, it's been a tradition since soviet times to honor guests with space, ballet and something like that, so it's no coincidence that he ended up there with fsb operatives, i think he may or may not have known, but he was definitely accompanied, there was some kind of escort right in big theater, and even then it was clear that he had arrived. putin gave this interview, as if sending a message to trump that it sounds publicly that we are ready to negotiate, we the administration cannot come to an agreement, they do not hear us, we want to... negotiate with someone

new, who will become the master of the oval office in january 2025, that we are ready to cooperate with america, and that there is mutual understanding with america, it can also be achieved with the next administration and so on , but the price of the ukraine issue, then we are ready to negotiate, this is, to put it briefly and concisely , the main leitmotif of the interview that carlson showed, now regarding the personality of carlson himself, you know that in the american press sometimes there are... reports that trump he is considered as one of the candidates for the nomination for the post of vice president from the republican party, and midesanti was called, although it seems that trump himself did not have a relationship with desantis, others were called, therefore, to claim that carlson cannot be in the post of vice president, i personally, i do not believe that he will become a candidate for vice president and vice president under trump, but besides that, if the american press writes about it, it is not accidental. more than the connections of carlson,

who is a favorite among journalists, yet since the time of fox news, trump has been quite obvious, and what he could have secretly given to trump after that, all the same as moscow. ready to cooperate, i think that trump and his entourage already have channels, for that you don’t need a publicly illuminated carlson to conduct something there specifically, i think there are opportunities for exchange, for sure, but the public element is important here, on the other hand, the weight of this carlson , he has a youtube account, he already left fox news, he has 800 or 900 thousand subscribers there, i'm afraid to lie, yes, of course, some of his videos have 2-3 million views. that is, the interview with putin will also have so many views. and how

is carlson articulated? he says we have a right to know, we have to find out what's going on. mark, look, well, the key story is what was in the pockets. harlson, who was going to putin, and that he stuffed some informational baggage or some informational package, he stuffed it in his bosom when he returned to trump. the key story here is that these signals are hidden, not publicly articulated. i'll say right away, i think it's about putin trump is wrong, he is certain as a developer. he has exactly this kind of psychology, the psychology of a businessman, in addition to being semi-criminal , semi-ecstasy ... you know, when there are beauty contests, a bit of cinema,

it's all kind of mass media, he probably thinks like this: listen, don't negotiate, you get 20% of ukraine, we'll take 80 , great business, you get a bare 20%, it's territories and... all preferences are related to access to the sea, is there any new geopolitical situation for you? putin does not want 20%, he wants 100%, this is important to understand. and here is this hope that even if trump wins the election, they will not agree, because 20% is not enough for putin. moreover, 100% of ukraine is not enough for him, his goal is what was stated in his memorandum in december 2021, stated in his memorandum. the former eastern bloc, its demilitarization of the borders in may 1997, ahead of the nato membership of these countries, that is what he will push for, and the hope is that in the end they will not agree, because for trump it was a concession for nothing, about

trade for air. i think that putin now can maneuver not to reveal all his cards. does he want to simply change the atmosphere in... the united states in the political establishment or in the government where trump can come to even start talking to him? secondly, there are sanctions, and oil, and an embargo, and the removal of his status as a war criminal, all this putin wants, of course, and will make these demands, it goes without saying, we understand it, but this is only a derivative of the main demand about the fact that he wants all of ukraine, he will never be satisfied with what he has left for himself 20. and 80 will go to nato and the european union. this is important to understand. they will never agree on this, even with such a convenient negotiating partner for him as trump. in my personal opinion, trump knows where to stop, also because such a task of positions

is unacceptable for the american elite, for the american doctrine, for everything that the united states has done in the last 30-35 years after the fall of communism, the victory in the cold war, etc. therefore, in fact, carlson can only conduct a framework offer, an invitation to a device called , behind which, without even hiding, even in this interview, maybe somewhere out of sight, out of the interview, out of the frame, it was about that, let's start a dialogue, let's negotiate, we can agree on everything , i am inclined to anything, i am ready for anything, it is in such expressions that putin could convey something to trump, we hope that the administration of the current ... current president biden, she will be able to implement what was announced or promised, but we see that everything is again and again somehow slips, in your opinion, what are the possible undercurrents, yes, well, on the one hand, we understand that the republicans, they are for ukraine, yes, but in

fact we see that they cannot come to an agreement, and everyone is starting to shake this unfortunate border with mexico, yes, which has also gained importance, i don't i know, well, the same thing... it turns out that way, but it cannot be considered outside the context of the election: the election in america is a determining factor, in which the republicans definitely take advantage of the situation. pressure on the democratic administration, biden himself on his entourage in order to achieve maximum benefit for themselves in the elections, because the dispute about the border, about illegal migrants, by the way, the biden administration is resisting, says to let in 500 migrants a day, and the republicans say 10, now they go and insist that not a single person at all, which looks completely logical and correct from the same republicans, but the problem is... why is it connected with ukraine, why is it connected with international issues, which, to put it mildly, is not

part of the american agenda at all. the ukrainian issue does not affect taxes, migrants, or health care reform in the united states, not for anything, just cynical american politics, whether we like it or not, is determined in many ways by the nomination of trump, because if nikki haley were nominated, this problem ... would not exist, if she had a high rating and was the first applicant, then most likely such a situation would not have arisen. us senators, republicans who influence the issue, depend on trump's opinion. they seek their re-election. and the republican electorate largely supports him. there, the asking price is six republicans who constantly torture the rest and the head of the speaker of the house of representatives johnson. six people who. this is not

beneficial to him, so he slows down the inclusion of the issue on the agenda. we'll see how it ends, we don't decide in advance, we'll see, but this blocking is caused precisely by the actions of trump's rabid supporters with the help of republican congressmen. the fact remains that somehow it turns out that some small group sets the record for the republican majority. its conditions, which means that it is profitable for someone, to this deep-seated, possibly deep state, and perhaps it also somehow fits, i don’t know , into the program regarding ukraine, well, i wouldn’t like to be such a pessimistic conspiracy theorist, well, but such a strange coincidence, you know, when the americans can’t find money and promises , promises, promises, this is also a very profitable moment for the democratic administration, because president biden has. apart from the decision of the congress, there is an opportunity to help with weapons and military aid first of all. there is such an opportunity

by bypassing congress with its budget decisions pentagon, so what, but what does he declare? he says: no, we will not do this, let all the responsibility be on the republicans. if they refuse to allocate this 60 billion, let them be responsible for everything. that is, this is some kind of game on the part of the democrats. we know that inside a democratic administration. which is aimed at forcing ukraine to negotiate with moscow through concessions, to give up this 20% of the territory, to get what it is not yet known, there are not even parameters of possible negotiations with moscow that would be beneficial to ukraine, we do not know, because the previous conditions for the liberation of the occupied territories are rejected from the threshold by moscow, and in general the west also calmly reacts to this ultimatum from moscow. therefore, yes, we can assume that for the democrats as well. for biden, this is a very convenient position, from which he will say: i am ready to help, i even made concessions on

the borders, i am ready for a fence on the mexican border, but they do not want , you see how the republicans behave in an ultimate manner, so for some part of biden's entourage, giving him extra points, it is profitable to present it as a problem only in republicans, here, of course , the pattern of the game is more complicated and the conclusion is unambiguous. has become a hostage of the election campaign in the united states, and until november it will probably continue to do so. we're already in february, there's at least another six months to go, but sooner or later it has to end. well, in any case, putin is going to visit his esteemed partner erdogan in the near future. well, we understand that syria, libya, the red sea, these are all understandable stories, but for putin to go personally, it means that he must... bring something, hear something and something get. i believe that putin is going

to negotiate with two countries. he was in saudi arabia before that, and now he will go to turkey to choose or propose a format for talks on ukraine, either the istanbul one, which has already been held, or the summit in jeddah, which took place in august last year and which was hosted by saudi arabia, and there negotiations were held with trump, as the future president, will already be in november. if... suddenly the elections end with his victory, then on january 20, 2025 he will already be inaugurated and will be ready to hold negotiations with him and perhaps a natural site in moscow or washington. no one will go, it can be istanbul, jeddah or riyadh, this is the global south, it can host, not some kind of geneva, as it was with biden. it seems to me that putin is interested in supporting such an idea from the global south, the initiators of the summit in jeddah, saudi arabia and other countries, and the istanbul format was already in 2022, and

putin now appeals to him, says: "here, you fools we didn't agree then, so i can do it." assume that in addition to other issues related to relations between turkey and moscow, erdogan and putin, it will be a priority to resume negotiations on their site on favorable terms for putin. it seems to me that he will agree on this. speaking of putin's framework visions and proposals. we remember, yes, how many throwaways there were devoted to the istanbul format of throwaways, i don't know, careless wording and so on and so on and so on. well, they tried to make ends meet. of the then prime minister of great britain boris johnson, although in any case we understand that it was not his decision, not his vision, simply, the collective event could not accept such a thing, there the withdrawal from the istanbul agreements was a combined decision, the deanery in buchi really influenced the readiness of the event at that moment in the spring of 22

to supply weapons in significant quantities so that ukraine could defend itself . and the position of ... society was taken into account, ukrainian society did not want any agreements due to concessions, plus it was clear that the success against which these negotiations began, moscow, when they attacked ukraine on february 24 and approached to the kyiv region, turned out to be imaginary, that is , the opportunity to implement this plan was very small, because in general the kyiv region was protected and... moscow's losses were huge, and they were not ready for that. the plan provided for three days or seven days, maybe a month, that is, a short period of blitzkrieg. and he suffocated and no one was ready for the continuation in the form of a blitzkrieg. it was necessary to withdraw, regroup and start a long, long war, which is happening now.

you know, i think it wasn't some kind of wrong decision by. the event had then other intentions, and the fact that the west does not fulfill its obligations, let's say frankly, regarding the supply of such weapons that it promised, it was not ukraine that asked the west within the framework of romstein, the big seven, two nato summits already, promised to supply these weapons. i remember when i predicted that war is possible. and it happened against the background of the successful kharkiv operation to liberate kherson, and there were promises that almost tomorrow we would provide rockets to the attacks, icebreakers and the rest in order to finish this matter on the battlefield, but nothing happened, they did nothing

provided, then there was the pentagon, the scandal at the end. 2023 , when the documents were revealed and it turned out that the supply of these promised weapons, tanks and the rest, is generally very slow, and that the offensive will not start in march, april, or may, because they are simply underequipped, undertrained soldiers of the ukrainian army, as promised in the right number, unsupplied weapons, of course, if you do not fulfill yours. the event and the promises of the event were different, so now this problem cannot be blamed only on ukraine, they say their the counteroffensive choked, or rather did not fulfill the tasks that were set before it, and

you fulfilled all obligations so that ukraine would implement all these... and moscow will lead them in a different way. putin was given at least six months to rest, he managed to create the notorious surovykin line in three rows, minefields and a sea of ​​other things. thus, he created a favorable position for himself for negotiations, so he can now press. there is only one problem: if the west did not give in to this pressure, putin would not achieve anything, nothing. this is exclusively because the weakness of the west caused by elections in which even the democratic. the voters' relatively calm attitude towards themselves, not giving

reasons for intensifying criticism from trump and the republicans. therefore, the negotiations will resume only under the new administration, there is no chance for this under the previous one. what do you think will fit into putin's russian self-reappointment agenda. with the war, and how far they will be ready, so to speak, to go all the way in what is called an existential war. for putin , the votes of voters are not important, he himself determines how many votes he will get , sentiments are important to him, it is important to him that people do not rebel, do not be indignant, agree, recognize and behave quietly, this is really important to putin, it is pointless to deny it, and he watches over public affairs. putin would not give up power, he secured

the result with bayonets and defended it, he would write that he has 90% and would not let people come out and be outraged by this violation, substitution or falsification of the results, but sentiments are still important, he must control them , they must correspond to his wishes, his intentions, that is, so that in no case... a serious, irreconcilable contradiction should arise. the real picture cannot be replaced only by virtual, invented elections and their results. can not. people still have to be loyal. he watches over it. war is definitely a stimulant. people began to live worse. someone is sent to the front, someone is in the army, someone got scared and left, relocated outside of russia, and wants to return, etc. that is, a lot of problems related to the war. how about another way? putin cannot take a break, he is now, as he writes forbes, i read this article, is preparing for an offensive in the kharkiv region, it is possible that this is an ambush and a dogfight, perhaps the actions of the russian army,

the kremlin, are precisely such as to provoke expectations of an invasion from the belgorod region, for example, to kharkiv or kupyansk, it doesn't matter, they say that they concentrated 500 tanks on kupyansk, a tank army there, armored vehicles, armored cars, in the same amount, and 40 thousand troops. that is, the situation here looks like putin would naturally want more success, to take kupyan or avdiivka, which he did not took, by the way, what was not prophesied about avdiivka, that she had two weeks left, then everything, but putin did not take her, it is important for him to get this result, but he will not risk too much until march 17, there are six weeks left, not so many. to survive these 6 weeks until march 17, and then to resort to some new efforts in a new situation with a new government, new powers, possibly

established in the new government by his successors, daughters, close people who are children, descendants, which is what putin certainly wants , that is then, it seems to me, the option of an offensive is more realistic, in my opinion , there is little time left before the elections, but let's imagine that they will go to kupyansk tomorrow. i was there in kupyansk, many people say, why are you talking about it all the time, i can testify as a person who was there. not according to the globe or the stories of others or telegram channels, i saw the splinter below kupyansk. i don't know how to overcome it without huge losses. apparently, everything is possible in the world. they have a lot of shells, the north koreans are supplying them, they will bombard the whole city with them. but i repeat it is impossible to overcome this ford just like that, the river is small. but the kupyans are not elevated, the forest is further on, the terekons, the officers showed me, they were stationed there, it is not very well visible from the position even with binoculars, because the distance is great,

i want to say that i have no idea how it can be done in six weeks, but here avdiyivka , there are no such problems there, the terrain is flat, but they did not reach it either, so i think that this is a more long-term plan, and not one that before the elections he wants to show the russian voters the result, look, i took kupliansk, i it doesn't seem like it's for this... thank you very much max for this extremely interesting conversation, i want to remind our tv viewers that mark fegin, a figure of the russian opposition in emigration, a former member of the state duma and a well-known blogger, was currently working on espresso. bleeding and inflammation of the gums. my advice, lacal active. lakalut aktiv actively overcomes the bleeding of the gums for... protects against periodontitis and visibly tightens the gums. lacquer active - an action that you feel immediately. novelty. lacquer active plus with two-phase technology and active plus ingredients for even more active protection

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and technical equipment for our unit , thank you, glory to ukraine, heroes, glory, exclusively on the air of our channel, congratulations, friends, on the air of politclub on the espresso tv channel, the most relevant topics of the week: the war of russia against ukraine, the war in the middle east, the crisis on the border between ukraine and poland, topics causing resonance in our society: drone attack on kyiv and other cities of ukraine, drone attacks on moscow and other cities of russia. analysis of the processes that change the country and each of us. the country should get the right to start negotiations on joining the eu. vitaly portnikov and guests of the project: we are bored because there is nothing to fight about. let's make it up. they help

to understand the present and. to predict the future for the world, a second trump presidency will be terrible. a project for those who care and think. political club. every sunday at 20:10 on espresso. our guest is matthew bryza, former adviser to the united states secretary of state, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council. glory to ukraine, dear mr. ambassador, i congratulate you. glory. the united states once again surprised , unpleasantly surprised, and we understand that this can have catastrophic consequences for us, in particular , it is about the lack of agreement between republicans and democrats on the ukrainian issue, i do not even undertake to take into account the entire geopolitical situation and the internal american situation, it is extremely difficult, but not agreed, can they agree? first of all, it is clear that the lack of consent goes beyond the question

of aid. ukraine, there is no agreement on aid to israel and taiwan, as well as on strengthening the protection and administration of the us-mexico border, which the republicans insisted on as a condition for providing aid to ukraine, israel and taiwan. thus, the entire governing structure of the us congress, which spans both houses, begins to fall apart. in addition to the above-mentioned problems , there are other shortcomings of congressional leadership. president donald trump'. is pouring over agreements reached by senators and members of the house of representatives, expressing his disagreement over the passage of laws or bills, as he seeks to create obstacles for president biden in the upcoming elections in november. such defiance further deepens the dysfunction of the us political and legislative systems. unfortunately, ukraine found itself trapped in this chaotic state of affairs. currently, the political and legislative systems of the united states are disconnected, and

the search remains undefined. the ukrainian question has become a tool in the hands of the election donald trump's headquarters, with which he wants to try to publicly destroy the biden administration and biden himself. let's look at it from another angle. i do not believe that donald trump is using ukraine as a political tool against biden. instead, one theory suggests that president trump may not want to help ukraine because he wants to... support putin. however , it appears that ukraine has become an unwitting collateral victim in trump's desire to prevent biden from achieving any legislative victories in the united states congress. states of america. as i mentioned earlier, legislation to strengthen the security and administration of the us-mexico border to better control the flow of migrants has received widespread support.