challenger, well i think it's too early to tell, yes, right now there's just an advantage in seven of those key states that are always talked about as being important in deciding the fate of the presidency of the united states, but there are a number of other circumstances that can make the weather different, well , first of all, now all of america is waiting for the decision of the supreme court. regarding the decision of the state of colorado to remove ex-president trump from the lists in the primaries in this state, well, we know that the state of maine also made such a decision, and recently literally the state illinois, that is , a lot will depend on the decision of the supreme court, so today there is an opinion that the us supreme court will most likely not intervene legally.

in political matters, that is, in the election of the president of the united states of america, but it comes out of the debate that was on the first day in the supreme court, what exactly will be decided, what the decision will be made, we will see very soon, probably, or maybe later, from this, of course, depends on whether trump will already be a guaranteed contender for the presidential seat from the united states. republican party, is it possible that niki hellia still has any chances? ugh, well, literally on march 5 , super tuesday will take place in three days, which should determine the fate of the democratic- republican primaries in most states. i understand that no matter what this super tuesday is, the court decision you are talking about will be decisive, so there will be a decision.

important, and if the supreme court imagines that if the supreme court sides with the colorado state court, then there will be a situation that possibly a dozen or more states too will make appropriate decisions to remove ex-president trump from the voting lists for these primaries, and then the situation can really change, but this is a supervictor. he will solve the situation in many ways , and nikki haley herself said that at least until holy tuesday, she will continue to participate in the efforts to become the only candidate from the republican party for the elections, and after that she will decide what to do next, and what about on the other hand, even if you imagine that trump will not be able to take part in the elections, that is not automatically in this case... in this case will determine

the presidential candidate from the republican party, it can just completely change the entire configuration, yes, yes, most likely not, of course, that immediately a number of other candidates appear, i think that a number of other prominent figures of the republican party will want to take part in the race, then it will be a completely different country, but if we are talking about ex-president trump and president biden today, then just ... it is about this , that the situation can change, well, but come on, that they both participate, sir oleksandr, trump is participating and biden is participating, who do you think, well , you can’t usually ask, has more chances to win, mr. vitaly, a very difficult task, you know, yes, you can say 49 to 51 and give preference to one of candidates, but it is still difficult to talk about it now, there are still many months before... uh, the elections and a lot of water

can still leak out and a lot of things can change, so now you can guess mostly over coffee and porridge, maybe some political scientists or commentators can to do, as an ambassador, i think that it will not work, mr. oleksandr, well as for the bargaining we've seen for weeks until recently, which involved what appeared to be some democratic concessions on the border. and in the end, they demonstrate these concessions, the republicans are dissatisfied, it still does not lead to any votes for aid to ukraine and israel and taiwan. it turns out that the us-mexico border was not exactly the cornerstone. it appears that us aid to other countries is the real cornerstone of the republicans' breathing space, they constantly trying to do something here. to find some

options, but there is one person whose decision and steps, it seems to me, depends even a little more than donald trump and joseph biden, that is... the speaker of the house of representatives of the us congress, mr. johnson, it seems that he will gather to buy and show that you are a politician, go down in history and maybe help defeat real world evil , that's what he could do, but for some reason, staying in the orbit of ex-president donald trump is so far what he chooses, i don't i know i think on a boy's mind, maybe in a journalistic way, maybe you have thoughts on this matter. the opinion is this, indeed, if mike johnson, the speaker of the lower house, puts to a vote the question of this package of aid to ukraine, israel and taiwan, then this package will gain, according to american experts, somewhere in the order of 280 votes, eh, and it is necessary

in order to the decision was made by some 218, 219, 220 votes, so of course now everything depends. yes, he is under the influence of ex-president trump, but he is also being pressured by a small group of radical y in the house of representatives, the republic, the republican, which is called, that it goes in the direction of ex-president trump, that pressures him and threatens him that if he brings the question to a vote, he can lose his seat, so he has... really the situation in it is not easy for mike johnson, but he should also take into account the fact that the majority of republicans in the house of representatives are unequivocally in favor of aid to ukraine and that this aid should be

decided by voting as soon as possible. in principle, here there is another question like this, is there at all, yours opinion, which is an additional opportunity for president biden to somehow come to an agreement with congress, he is now meeting with... we congress, what can this lead to? and here , you know, mr. vitaly, this is a difficult question, whether president trump can somehow come to an agreement, here yes, here indeed, the whole talk is about internal political struggle in the context of the next presidential election, and here many factors that affect the current one have merged together. the situation and whether the vote on this package will be decided in the near future and a decision made or not, therefore obviously, president biden may also have some additional elements of influence, let's say so, but

i don't think there is a guarantee that they will be able to resolve the issue unequivocally either, that in the end everything depends, as we just talked about, on whether or not... mike johnson puts the question of aid on the ballot, that's his prerogative as speaker, and only he can decide that. mr. oleksandr, there is another question, there is one more possibility, the so-called petition, here, but it is very complicated, complicated thing, that is, it is meant to collect the votes of 218 members of the house of representatives who would vote for... aid to ukraine and thus solve this issue, but here it is necessary that the republicans first take part in making a positive decision on this issue, well, the democrats, well, this is a very complicated construction, and taking into account that practically

every member of the house of representatives has some interests of his own, which concerns, in particular, the electoral district, the next election, then this construction is very complicated and... well, it seems to me that it can't work, at least in the current conditions. mr. alexander , a lot has been said about what toker carlson has done for putin, uh, a lot actually, and maybe even with his interview, with his presentation, someone prone to such types fell in love with the russian president, but the fact is that after returning , actually justifying it. in his brain and maybe even in his heart, the information he heard began to give a completely different feedback. and tell me, please, how american society reacts to this feedback, is it possible to conduct some kind of analysis here? well, even toker carlson declares that what i heard is just

nonsense and putin is just justifying his attack on ukraine? well, it seems to me that a little bit , he, to be more precise, he meant uh... narrated this putinsky about nazi ukraine, and here in this section he said that this is not a dream, because there can be no nazism in in 2024. well, but in general, he understood, of course, that her interview turned out not to be an interview at all, but his submission to putin, er, his, his effort to avoid any sharp questions, which are typical for journalism, well, actually, he did not act as a journalist, but as a person who constantly putin there, well... they gave him the opportunity to show what a great leader he is and all that, and

secondly, after returning to america, he decided a little to justify himself, but and and and he was interviewed by a rather strong , strong correspondent, i will say yes, quite strong, a strong person, and what i saw, ee carlson just ee... er, if, saying , that it is rushing in relation to nazism in ukraine, at that time repeated all russian narratives about ukraine and generally about the war against ukraine, that putin wants peace, and ukraine does not want peace, that nato provoked russia's attack on ukraine, that ukraine cannot win everyone in this war, well... that he was very surprised that according to the ratings, ukraine in terms of democracy, it looks much better

than russia, he even asked several times if it was true or not, or if he did not completely agree with it, and he said that moscow is much better than new york and all the time criticized america at the same time , well, licking the situation in russia, that is, in my opinion, he is a very person who very, very negatively. to ukraine, and for me this is really a big surprise, because after all, he is an american, he went through such a great practical school at fox news and still has such a mentality regarding ukraine. and tell me, mr. oleksandr, how do you see it in general, now in this situation, with the help of ukraine, we can really say that europe is somehow intercepting the initiative in spol'. states, or is it forced to intercept? well, she is, as it were, forced on the one hand, that she sees

a real threat, and president macron clearly said that russia cannot win this war, and that he expressed the idea of ​​the need to send military units to ukraine, well , let's say, military, military from western countries, well... we know that this idea, although the first reaction was some countries, i would say yes, cautiously negative, but then eh, but not completely negative, they said maybe like you are not on time and so on, but now four countries are already talking about it as exactly what is needed, and i am sure that a great river of support for ukraine will emerge from this stream, and therefore europe... on the one hand understands that it is necessary, and consciously, as it were, considers

increasing support for ukraine, and on the other hand, he understands that if america succeeds there, it will continue to be difficult to solve this issue, then the whole burden will fall on the shoulders of europe, and this is also a necessity, but the fact is that europe is waking up, it seems to me that it has already woken up. and i see in the proposal, the ideas of president macron, a very important thing that will develop and that will undoubtedly be useful to us, will help us in the fight against russian aggression in order to win, to win, i understand, to push russia out borders of ukrainian land. well, the head of the pentagon , lloyd austin, very interestingly formulated his vision and... and his reaction to what is happening, in particular now in europe, to macron's position, and canada, by the way, which is also

interesting, noted that maybe we will consider an option someday , for our special forces or some special forces to be present in ukraine, in particular to train the ukrainian military, that is, this is a trend, and lloyd austin formulated it as follows: if ukraine loses, nato will fight with russia, and well... again, maybe it's a philosophy, but unfortunately there is still no wording, if ukraine does not win, then nato will fight with russia, does this mean, well, so casually that there is still no awareness. and what exactly will be the loss of the russian federation, perhaps our gain in the war, even for our partners? unfortunately, as far as i am concerned, i do not see that there is any clear strategy agreed upon in the west, what it means for russia to lose the war and what it means for ukraine to win, it is clear, ukraine

is going to its internationally recognized borders, in relation to russia, or there is e. concept yes, and it is closed, it is not not for publication, maybe it has already been formed, maybe it is kept behind seven locks , and no one can even extract some information for the press, maybe it is, and if it is, then it is better, but if it is not, then it is very bad , but we need rather not, well, wording is also important, but rather we need help so that it... is exactly as we need it, and to correct this mistake, when the western leaders themselves admit that the delay in helping ukraine some types of weapons were 6-12 months old, so that such a mistake would not be made again and that we would have weapons went exactly the one we are asking for, at the time when we

are asking and in the volumes we are asking for, then it will be realistic to talk about the fact that ukraine really... can and will liberate all its lands, in principle, and protect europe, in principle but if we talk about what is still connected in the united states with donald trump, do you think that his advisers can also now consider how the situation in the russian-ukrainian war is changing, and that they really have some real plan. of how to settle this war, or is it just words trump? i think they're planning there, and i think they, if ex-president trump wins the election, they'll have a plan, well, let's think back to the previous situation, when the first time

trump won the election, there was such, there was such a big... yum, well, and then it turned out that the situation was changing a little along the way, that , firstly, trump gave us javelins, everyone is talking about it now, secondly, he moved europe there, sending a brigade, as far as i remember, to nato, on the european territory of nato, thirdly, which is very important, he brought... american russian diplomats, read spies, and this decision was so difficult to make, but he made this decision, and another important decision, which was made, as we remember, pompeo's declaration, in which it was recorded in writing that the united states will never recognize except for russia, it

's like that declaration of veles, which in 1940... was adopted regarding the baltic states, which stood the test of time, and eventually the baltic republics of the former soviet became independent states, so i i think they have a plan, the only thing that i also, if i think that today it is difficult to predict what will be the actions of the president, ex-president trump, if he is re-elected to this position, no one ... well, if clearly today does not see this, what is important for us is the support of america, of course we must thank america for the great support it gave us and which allowed us to endure, now of course we must continue to work with america so that it continues this assistance , because without her, without her help, we will be much more difficult. thank you, mr. oleksandr,

oleksandr motsyk was in touch with us, the former ambassador of ukraine to the united states of america. and now we will talk about what is happening in moldova with mariana prysiazhniuk, a graduate student of journalism at bucharest university. congratulations, ms. marianne. good day. well, there was such a sensational story with this congress of people's deputies, the self-proclaimed transnistrian moldavian republic, there was even talk that russia was preparing to join this region, which has long been controlled moscow since the late 80s, early 90s, one might say. but it seemed strange to me that the people who commented on these events believed that the issue of annexation could be resolved in 24 hours, because we have the experience of crimea and know that this is not the case, that is not how everything is resolved overnight. after all , did moscow and teraspil really achieve this congress? thank you for your remark, i think

it is very apt, and it seems to me, first of all, that if the president of russia wanted to annex the territories of moldova, it is the least what would he expect, some kind of real address from the representatives, conditionally some kind of enclave there, some kind of quasi-republic, it would be some kind of... like a mongoose special operation and we would have seen some recorded videos a long time ago, well, i'm speaking figuratively on telegrams, and this it would have happened a long time ago. as for transnistria itself, it seems to me that for them, as such an economic enclave, well , in fact, a black hole, these are actually very dark times, and they themselves do not even realize how dark they are, because in fact they have not very many and there are not very many alternatives left. time to implement certain two or three scenarios with the maximum benefit for themselves, because ukraine has already announced that

it is considering stopping the transit of gas to its territory in general, and this is actually the only condition for the existence of such a safe for the transnistrian quasi-elite, and in fact there is a year left, on the other hand, for the interest of moscow, this is, of course, first of all... a story about the elections in moldova, about the re-election of pro-european forces, well, first of all, it is language is about maisandu's re-election , which her party is counting on, because it is also a problematic sector, because apart from her party's action and solidarity, which will nominate her in the future as a candidate, well , in fact, there are no pro-european alternatives, and these are also certain challenges for kishenev in this , therefore... these are elements of destabilization directed at this very story in order to discredit kishenev's power as much as possible, that it does not cope with reintegration, sabotages the negotiation

process, does not cope with economic regulation, energy regulation, other things, but there is also an interesting element of gagauzia, because it is an autonomy within the republic of moldova, and separatism in gagauzia, in my opinion, is even more dangerous, because it is a legal autonomy. which enjoys the rights of autonomy, it has the right to decide certain issues locally, but this is all nonsense, it is all used not in order to, for example, develop the gagauz culture, culture, develop and nurture the gagauz language, but they use it to to nurture russian peace, therefore and on legal grounds, in fact, that's why it's even more dangerous, well, to draw the line briefly, i think that for transnistria, well... gagauzi, as such an appendage of separatism at the level of ideas, is somewhere around 2004-2005, when

there should be elections on both sides and in ukraine , in fact, the pro-european government should be re-elected in moldova, and this method of theirs, on which the so-called transnistrian identity is based, on the blockade, on the unification of moldova with romania, and on demonization. of ukraine there, well, that is, all this comes to life, well, that's it becomes their real policy, which one they use for, including for relations with russia, that is, the arrival of the head of hagruzi yevgenia hutsol in moscow is not a coincidence, but just such a systematic destabilization work? i think not, because since the time of the transnistrian war, the gagauz quasi... military forces and political organizations that were organized at that time, they always had a certain cooperation with the transnistrian separatists, it was all

fueled by moscow, that's all was fueled also at some level personal contacts, and here, for example, such an interesting moment that we noticed with colleagues, at the so-called congress of transnistrian deputies, the representative of gagauzia, ivan burgudzhi, was seen, it is very interesting. a historical figure without understatement, because he, from the point of view of the gogaus, is their national hero, who stood at the origins of this republic, which lasted four years. from the point of view of moldovan legislation, this is , of course, a separatist character who still continues to participate in very dubious stories, well, as the father of the transnistrian congress deputies, but borguji was not only the founder of it. movement, the national movement of the gagauz, if i'm not mistaken, he also gathered the gagauzia guard, that is,

the gagauz military organizations that took part in the fighting. clashes with kishenev in 1994, so all these personal connections are simply the end of the story that continued, began in the late 80s, unfolded to the maximum in 1992, 1994 and escalated in 2004, and now this is another twist in inter-political cycles, huh, well, that is, we can assume if moldova was willing... to take certain economic steps towards the unrecognized transnistria, certain economic ties between moldova and the so-called pmr existed all these years, then there would be no appeal to the russian federation for an economic protection measure be. on the other hand, in lavrov, the minister of foreign affairs of the russian federation , the definition of the moldovan regime appears in his rhetoric. we can assume and

roughly understand what they want in pmr. and what does the russian federation actually want from this story? and for the russian federation it is also on the one hand there may be a story about the elections, in order to operationalize the moldovan map in a certain way , in order to start, well, it already started in principle with putin's speech to the federal assembly, but actually this is the international geopolitical dimension that fits into the narrative of the unification of the post-soviet space , and i think that this could be one of the assumptions, secondly, of course, the arsenal of weapons that is located on the territory of occupied transnistria, many experts assess these opportunities for ukraine as such that could change positions in our favor on at the front and because of and because of the hunger for ammunition and because there is a lot of ammunition

there specifically for soviet weapons, for the soviets... artillery, which countries are too unable to supply, and this could help ukraine a lot and actually change the schedule on the field of the battle we have, well, another such another assumption, this is of course the destabilization of the republic of moldova as an ally of ukraine, it is also important for russia, because transit routes also pass through the territory of moldova, by the way. the territory of occupied transnistria in that volume transit routes pass through it, which also help ukraine a lot, so this is a complex story, and despite the fact that the republic of moldova in many respects does not twist, does not play up its political rhetoric, as it should be, if we are talking about real solidarity between good- neighborly relations within the framework of good-neighborly relations between countries , sanctions, for example, and so on, but

still... to turn moldova finally in the direction of pro-russian influence, this would greatly help russia, because it would also isolate ukraine, because creating something like similar to us we have on the border with poland, i think that if they received a positive effect from all their actions in transnistria, then this could also happen. and you can explain what are the real capabilities of the russian army, which is located on the territory of the transnistrian moldavian republic, the so-called, there is also a russian army there, it makes up. from russian citizens and local residents, but it exists there, what can it really do? eh, i think it's a risk that existed, exists and will exist for a long time, within the framework of what we are we have with transnistria, because this is the contingent that we have on our borders first of all. according to various estimates, there are up to 20,000 troops there, all of them are controlled without exception by the russian

federation, starting with... military ogrv is a force in which the 14th army of the soviet union was reformed, which fought against moldova in 1992, then these are peacekeeping forces that were formed as a result of the peace treaty between khishnev and moscow, and the so -called transnistrian army, which has the largest number in terms of numbers, but still it is under the control of the russian federation, because according to various estimates of persons, both pocket and western intelligence, and according to journalistic research, in principle, the power block, the mgb, the army, everything related to the so-called defense, this is all under the control of moscow, without exception, in terms of their combat capability, well and it's hard for me to say, it's hard for me.