anxiety is anxiety, and every day at 9 o'clock we remember all those who died because of the russian occupiers, all military and civilians, so now there is a moment of silence. let's observe a moment of silence in memory of the ukrainian military and civilian citizens of ukraine who died in the war started by russia.

my greetings, this is svoboda ranok, my name is kateryna nekrecha, and we are starting the information day together with you, and on this broadcast we are saying the following: the forces of the russian federation continue to pressurize avdiivska. direction, the armed forces of ukraine say that they are trying to restrain this assault and prevent the forces of the russian federation from advancing deep into the positions. what is happening near avdiivka and in other areas of the front, and who controls nevelske? putin stated that he is ready for negotiations, taking into account guarantees for moscow, and that russia is militarily and technically ready for a nuclear war. why did he talk about negotiations right now, is he really ready for them and under what conditions official kyiv is ready from its side. on this. the government is cutting

aerospace specialties. the kosmo profile association urges ministers not to do this. how it can affect rocket, space and aviation industries and the future of the country? every weekday morning from 9:00 a.m. we talk about events in ukraine and the situation at the front. stay with us to stay updated . russian forces continue to pressurize the avdiiv direction over the past day. the ukrainian defense forces repelled 20 attacks in the areas of berdychi, orlivka, tonenke, pervomayske and nevalske settlements, as reported in the morning briefing at the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine. the third assault brigade of the armed forces of ukraine, which is fighting in the avdi direction, is said to be current the task is to contain the assaults and prevent the russian forces from breaking through the defenses in this direction. the commander-in-chief of the armed forces oleksandr syrskyi, who visited the front line, says that the operational situation on the eastern front remains difficult,

notes that the activity of the russian army in some areas of the front has noticeably decreased and connects this with the heavy losses of the russian federation in the past two weeks. syrsky also says that, i quote: all the settlements that the enemy tried to capture remained under the control of the armed forces of ukraine. two days earlier, in the russian ministry of defense officially announced the capture of the village of nevelske in the avdiiv direction. this statement of the russian ministry of defense was refuted by the spokesman of the defense forces of the tavria direction of the armed forces of ukraine, dmytro. ukrainian analysts of the deepstate portal confirm that nevelske is under the control of the armed forces of ukraine, although on the analysts' map , the southern part of the village is in the gray zone, and fighting continues there. we will talk about the situation at the front further. roman pohorily, co-founder and analyst of the deep state ua project, joined our broadcast. congratulations, roman, thank you joined congratulations, glory to ukraine. glory to the hero, tell us what the situation is like in the avdiiv direction, is it really the hottest thing on the front now?

is it more difficult for the armed forces now, perhaps in zaporizhzhia, near the work center, describe the situation in the avdiyivka area, it is really quite difficult, it is one of the hottest directions, where the enemy, having concentrated a large number of forces, constantly presses, he tries to advance, looks for weak places and the whole shade from berdychi to pervomaiskyi, you can say so, all the settlements that are located along the battle line. are in such a hot situation, there are constant assaults and the fighters who are there are restraining the enemy with their efforts in order to prevent them from advancing further, except for some land attacks, that is, there are vehicles and infantry, the enemy is constantly shelling, both with artillery and aviation, also very much annoyed by fpv drones, but our fighters also work with fpv drones, others. means of

fire damage to destroy the enemy, in general the situation really remains difficult and battles are being fought every day and every night, but what can be done now to say about nevelskoe pod? the takeover of which the ministry of defense of the russian federation reported two days ago, this was denied by the ukrainian general staff . well, this information is not true, it has already been refuted by the armed forces of ukraine and by us, but heavy battles are being fought there, the enemy literally every day tries to make some maneuvers there, to carry out some... assaults on the outskirts, battles are being fought on the approaches, but the settlement itself is controlled by the military forces of the defense forces, they do not let the enemy in, they hold back, and of course, what should be expected, how often this is done, when the enemy announces in advance about some kind of capture, about some movements, then you can

expect such a further increase in the dynamics of offensives, therefore that they will have to confirm their words, which they invented. therefore, well, our military is always ready for this, they hold back assaults there every day, but in general you have to be ready that there will be more dynamic and more active actions, although they are not there every day anyway small roman, the russian ministry of defense says that the main task for the troops of the russian army in the avdiiv direction is to prevent the ukrainian defense forces from regrouping and bringing in new forces . it is as if part of their, their task, in many areas they are trying to hunt for logistics, for example, for movement, and

of course the same area of ​​belarus, where their troops are being pulled away by ours, that is, they are forcing our fighters to stay there as well, this is also part all this... work, but we see that there are units along the entire front line, they are on combat duty, they are fighting, they are restraining the enemy, and there are no large-scale failures along the front line, so it is difficult to call it a success, because we have fighters, we have reserves and they are working, doing their job. roman, in the summaries of the diptet, you began to inform about the belo-moscow, seversky and belgorod shades, which according to your data. takes place in the border zone in the kursk and belgorod regions, how strong there are hostilities and which russian forces oppose the russian volunteers who entered there from ukraine? well, usually, the first ones to take up the fight there and then flee, as everyone saw, are

the russian border guards, then the reserves, that is, the regular brigades, are drawn up, the russian guard is already active there, but it is still being strengthened due to some events. battles are being fought, some activity is being conducted, it is already more internal to those forces that want to liberate their country, there is not much information from there, so here we can only follow and, well, observe how the course of events is going, how long it will all take to continue and what scale it will reach is unknown, but something is happening, something is happening, the main thing here is to monitor whether... whether the citizens of the russian federation themselves will raise and take it, because without them there is no way to do here, and although it has been 10 years already war, until nothing so obvious happened, that enlightenment is in the heads, they approve of wars, they approve of occupations and terrorism, supporting their power, so it all depends

on them, either they will go crazy and destroy and rebuild their country, or everything will be like this, as and there is, and what do you think has to do with the fact that... valery gerasimov could be replaced as chief of the general staff of russia, as reported by a number of russian media? well, while this information is not confirmed, it is not official , of course, that there are, how to say, reasons, there are many reasons, because, for example, all the tasks that are set in the dates, there are avdiyivka, novomykhaivka, maring, the district as a whole. marinas, nekryna works, absolutely everything does not coincide with the dates they have to complete the tasks, now there are a lot of them, for example, they have arrivals there, others problems, and they are not solved, and there is no

need for this, when there is a change, there is no need to look for something positive in this, because now muscovites have a lot of problems, and this is in our hands, a person can be replaced by someone more... a better mind and head, and it can get worse, so change is not always a good thing, although there is a bell that something is wrong with them, although it... always has been with them. and finally, i want to ask you about this news: deepstate ua signed a memorandum of cooperation in defense changes, what does this mean? does this mean that you will not publish information to the official position of the general staff or the ministry of defense, for example? i will start with the last one, our work, marking on the map, in general , what we do will not be reflected on it, the situation does not change, there are no controls, no pressure. there is nothing, we worked and will work as it is, this is a certain cooperation with

a certain exchange of information, all i can say about it, unfortunately, well, in general, it shows that our map is useful, our activity is necessary, and we we will try to to work even harder in the future, making more efforts for everyone to win. thank you for the inclusion and for your answers, roman. co-founder and analyst of the deep stateua project was a guest of svoboda ranok. in the russian belgorod and the region , shelling is announced at night and in the morning. a missile air alert was announced there. the governor of the region, vyacheslav gladkov, says that the driver of the passenger car died as a result of the flight. in russian public places, a video is being widely distributed, where you can see a burning car and hear the sounds of gunfire.

according to gladkov, on the approach to bilhorod shot down eight air targets, and the russian ministry of defense says that these were rockets. ukraine is blamed for the shelling. he noted that the day before, the russian volunteer corps of the legion of freedom of russia and the siberian battalion, which now claim to have entered the territory of the belgorod and kursk regions and are fighting. with the russian army, but the day before they warned that they would inflict fire damage on military positions in belgorod and called on local residents to evacuate from the belgorod and kursk regions. putin is ready to negotiations, but wants security guarantees for russia. he said this in an interview with dmitry kiselov, host of the russian state channel russia-1. answering questions about the likelihood of negotiations, putin repeated several times that he is ready and wants to win. but at the same time he complained that russia was allegedly deceived more than once, so he wants serious

guarantees and confidence that ukraine will not use this time for rearmament. we know the various options in question, we know the evidence to convince us that the moment has come. we we want, i repeat once again, to resolve all disputes and this conflict. by peaceful means, and we are ready for it, we want it, but it should be a serious conversation with the provision of security for the enemy's side as well, and in this case, the security of russia. ukraine has not yet officially responded to putin's statements regarding the possibility of negotiations, but mykhailo podalyak, the adviser to the head of the office of the president of ukraine , wrote on his page on the x network that russia did not start the war for the sake of peace and the russian elite... does not want any agreements. the russian federation started the war not for the sake of peace, but only for the sake of destroying a foreign

state. seizing foreign territories, and eventually gaining dominance in europe. the nature of this war is deliberately genocidal on the russian side, which means that it is completely thought out by the russian elite, who do not want any commitments except one - the right of the strong to ugly violence. only after realizing all this, you can come to the only correct decision. ukraine should. to have parity of arms to force the aggressor to lose. mykhailo podolyak also commented putin's nuclear threats, which he expressed in the same interview with kiselov. in particular , putin stated that russia is ready to use nuclear weapons in the event of a threat to the security, sovereignty and independence of russia, although until now he had not even thought about it. so, according to the adviser to the head of the office of the president of ukraine, in fact , putin's nuclear rhetoric shows the extreme fear of the russian elites, who categorically do not want to lose and suffer. personal responsibility, but the usa is currently not changing its position on nuclear weapons

because of putin's statements. washington is still not sees no signs that russia is preparing to use nuclear weapons in ukraine, reuters reports citing an anonymous white house official. russian political scientist ivan preobrazhensky, with whom my colleague oleg galev discussed putin in an interview, believes that the russian president is trying to put pressure on ukraine's allies with the thesis about nuclear weapons and negotiations. and western societies, especially now that there is talk of a possible deployment of troops to ukraine. let's listen. in your opinion, is russia really? do you need negotiations now? and why is putin bringing this thesis into the public space once again? i think that now vladimir putin is being used. i think that now vladimir putin is using the situation in his interests, after information appeared in the western media that he allegedly really planned to use nuclear weapons, and only pressure from india and china at the request of the united states was able to stop. in

reality, he was not ready to use nuclear weapons even when russia was losing. temporarily occupied territories in the center and on the south of ukraine, no, even more so, now he is taking advantage of the moment, while the western elites and western public opinion are again worried about the possibility of russia using nuclear weapons, are again afraid of this, and accordingly he is trying to maximize this fear, so that then useful idiots in the western elites and simply agents of influence of the kremlin additionally shook the situation and intimidated western politicians, who only now began to talk about expansion. are such putin's pre-negotiations possible at all, and under what conditions, when you know the honest intentions of vladimir, everything will be very, very bad for russia both at the front and inside the state, or after all for russia, if it is necessary in the future, then only in

order to restore its own strength for a while, and then do what she's doing , i think, to be honest, "i think that's about the situation right now. vladimir putin is interested in continuing military action in any case. even if he loses, he has no alternative. ending the war for him, it is an unexpected and forced contact with the population russia, when he will somehow have to explain why all this happened. besides, it also applies to victory. he cannot stop hostilities, say that he won. in addition, in parallel, russian capabilities are unlimited, but putin, as can be seen from his statements, it is very clearly visible, all the analysts are talking about it, he is now confident that he can win, and if he is confident that he can win, then it makes no sense to discuss the conditions of defeat for him, and objectively, even the military defeat of russia does not mean that in russia itself some serious changes are taking place. putin has serious problems, but we

have no guarantee that putin will not be able to overcome them. accordingly, if we are talking about real deterioration. the situation inside russia from the economic side, and about the military defeat, it still does not lead to the guaranteed removal of putin from power, although at least it creates certain opportunities, and here the question is how consolidated the remnants of the russian opposition will approach this on the one hand, and on the other of another, ukraine as the only serious military adversary, well western elites, as those who can influence the situation inside russia with the help of some political pressure, so far it is clear that there is no

future for russia, they are afraid that... russia is a country of 140 million people with nuclear weapons, it will be destabilized even more, and this is a very important political task for the ukrainian authorities, to convey to the leaders of the event that there is no other alternative, only a military defeat of russia and then political changes, only a military defeat of russia and then political changes. olek joins our broadcast sahakyan, ukrainian political scientist. oleg, welcome to our broadcast, thank you for joining. glad to see and hear, congratulations. a hundred to each other. what did putin say in this interview, in this conversation, how did he formulate it, comparing it with some interviews from the past, what impression did you get, is putin really ready for negotiations? no, i don't think we can take his interviews like that at all, they are now aimed at an internal audience, as pre-election, in fact campaigning to

raise the turnout, he appears with an absolutely enviable frequency now once a day, actually. in some interview he meets with various circles, this all indicates that this is an internal need, in the interview itself he paid little attention to the issue of war, only casually, as sociology confirms this, in russia the topic of war is extremely unpopular, the russians have supplanted it to the periphery and vice versa, when it breaks into their lives, whether it is the threat of mobilization, or the topic of losses, or ukrainian drones fly somewhere, or russian resistance forces enter the territory of russia, this very seriously triggers society and the authorities have to... react to this and , accordingly, lose a part of the audience in this way, because many people do not like the war , they do not oppose it, they say that it is okay, let it continue, but let it not touch us. and this is actually the current situational consensus around the war, which is why putin spoke about nuclear weapons quite cautiously, but he spoke about them so that europe would hear, because in this way he is trying to at

least take a parity position with macron, who intercepted the escalation initiative and also began to play into strategic uncertainty, now not only russia, but the positions of all the tools on the table and the fact that the west has to guess what the red lines are in putin's head, but now putin too. will have to do exactly the same, none of his analysts, none of his advisors can now tell putin that europe will definitely not send in troops, that europe will definitely not shell russia, or will not do anything else. now all this is possible only with a certain probability, low, high or unlikely. and china is clear that it would not like to tease too much, since xi jinping backs down categorically against the use nuclear weapons, even the threat of using nuclear weapons, and not because of peace. first of all, because the chinese arsenal is a serious argument, and in the event that someone starts swinging a nuclear baton, or applies it, the value of this arsenal

is immediately devalued several times, a nuclear arms race begins, this is what weakens china itself , that is why putin here is trying on the one hand to show cliques in one and the other direction, but at the same time not to step on painful calluses so that it is too unperceived to be sharp and not to cause a backlash against oneself, but really very ba... a large part of this interview was devoted to russian issues and the glorification of the entire situation there , the country, the country of dreams, kiselyov said about it there , a lot of attention was paid to it, but nevertheless putin spoke several times about the negotiations and specifically about a serious conversation, not about some carrots that can be offered to moscow, but there are written guarantees, a serious conversation, but still, if we proceed from putin's logic, from his statements. what guarantees should these be for moscow and is it clear that moscow is not going to sit down for negotiations with kyiv, with whom do you want to negotiate, right there with the usa and advanced

european countries? the intergalactic council is preferable with other civilizations, judging so far, because russia makes ultimate demands, and it flatly does not see any scope for compromises and conversations, their conditions are quite specific and clear, these are all territories. which they grabbed, remain for them, leave them the opportunity to grab more by ensuring the demilitarization of ukraine, as well it is desirable that nato recognized all these encroachments of russia on other states and, accordingly , allowed them an exclusive zone of their interests and russia’s limitation of the sovereignty of neighboring states around, also there the lifting of economic sanctions, well, a lot of good things, that is, in other words, putin is talking about , that let's you admit we're a one goal winner and admit our brute force game rules are barbaric as a general rule boce should be rewarded and he who

plays by the rules he who follows laws, he must be in a losing position, let's fix this and sign it in blood, it is already obvious to everyone that this will not happen, so why is putin talking about it, for russia the topic of negotiations is not an end in itself, putin is not talking about it in order to negotiate, he speaks for... in order to create an illusion in the west and in the global south that he is ready for negotiations. he does two things: first, he replaces the victim of the conflict, he says: "we need a guarantee, not ukraine." we are the victims of circumstances and we attacked on ukraine not just like that, but because they restricted us, destroyed us, wanted to destroy us, humiliated us and continued on the list. look, everyone else is humiliated in the world, you see, we are with our fists, we protect it, but you, if you are not with your fists, if you do not destabilize the world, then you will be despised. this is a message to all these barbaric internationals and many different revanchist regimes in the world, and we are the victim, not the aggressor. and the second point, the negotiations, they immediately arouse different degrees

of interest in different states, as in the west and elites, as well as in the global arena, this brings dissonance and tension to the western coalition supporting ukraine, because some will say: well , listen, if everything there is going to negotiations, then why give weapons? let's now better concentrate on how to secure negotiating positions for ukraine. others will say, well listen, why do we have to escalate the situation? you see, putin wants to negotiate. accordingly, yes, we will still supply weapons, but despite this , we will put pressure on kyiv to stand behind the negotiations. others will say that it is nothing at all it's irresponsible, we need to surrender ukraine and forget, as orban or trump recently proposed, using orban's words, to put it conventionally. and the global south, which will say: yes, let's talk about the guarantee of russia, let's talk about it. in this way, next to the military offensive, russia goes to the diplomatic and informational one. it's just a tool. and talking about negotiations is beneficial for russia as a process. this is exactly a remake

of last year. situation, let's remember when russia went on the offensive in february, march of last year, then it ended with the destruction of bakhmet and the taking of the bridgehead under bakhnut, currently the theater of war in our country has shifted to avdiyivka, the destruction and capture of avdiyivka, at the same time the same orbans, erdogans, the same china, the pope of rome was also active, many people said exactly the same words, we must sit down at the transition table, because otherwise, russia will win, and in general , the situation for ukraine is already dire. kepska is bad. and the western partners, in your opinion , listened carefully to everything in this interview, because at the same time, with the words about the negotiations, the city of odessa, which, according to the version of kiselyov and putin, is, in general, russian the gardens should belong, and these are like plans, and kiselyov wanted to hear from putin so much, and what will happen next, they say, in the west they hear it, how seriously can they take these possible negotiations, and with regard to official

kyiv, hypothetically, it is possible itself. imagine the situation that the bank will agree to negotiations? immediately to the last, under the current circumstances no, without some striking change in the balance of power, some kind of catastrophe in russia or in ukraine, conditionally, politically, geopolitically, security-wise, there is currently no room for them to talk about the possibilities of negotiations, there will not be any, if we return to the first question, there is not much for the event at the moment, let's say... to hear, they will hear, and the analysts will definitely process it and give their conclusions, but the problem was not with this at the event all the time, but with the willingness to hear it and the ability later to react in proportion to what i hear. this psychological barrier, and if you can call it that, it was the key, was the prism of the perception of the russian-ukrainian war as a problem on the periphery of europe, which threatens european security and from which europe and

the west suffer, that is, others. words suffer from the war, what should be done, end the war , end the war in any way, well, okay , maybe not in any way, because there is international law, etc., at the moment this paradigm has changed, now russia itself is identified as a problem, and it is not only macron , who gained determination, declared, but a whole series of other elites, and now the same analytics, the same words that will be put on the table and read by the conditional collective macron will already be perceived differently, because putin did not say anything new, but they are passable.. .and readiness to hear that putin said, it seems to me that the west has changed, not yet completely, not absolutely, but already strikingly qualitatively. they also talked about foreign troops , putin said that these are foreign troops, and western weapons will not change the situation at the front, but they say that if polish troops enter the territory of ukraine, they will not leave, and this will be an example for other countries that everyone will want to take away the parts of ukraine that used to belong to them, and for ukraine it

will be such a disaster. geopolitical consequences, whether putin really does not care and is not afraid of him foreign troops? no, he is obviously afraid, and for him this whole war is always the limit of bluff, he completely copies hitler and acts according to his mimoire, let's say. he also constantly noted that if the opponents realized that nazi germany was bluffing in the first stages of the war, then germany would collapse. he always took advantage of the fact that there were fewer opponents. are looking for, and here putin is acting on this, as soon as they understand that a certain situation is no longer reversible, then in russia they immediately try to reduce its weight and say, oh my god, those tanks, they will not change anything, missiles in ukraine for 300 km, so what, there is no miracle, and it will not be a game changer, although a day before that they said that if they give tanks, then something so terrible will happen, just the end of the world, and if they give it with a missile, then in general nuclear weapons will inevitably be used, but

as soon as the situation changes, then it comes... to puff out the cheeks and explain that no, everything is going according to plan, and in general it is of no use, this russian thing is of no use to us , it stands behind these words, and the reality there is a wonderful understanding of what the event is maturing to the point that at least advisory missions, they may end up on the territory of ukraine. but dmitry kiselyov had a phrase with which you will surely agree, he literally said the following: nazi regimes do not dissolve themselves, but disappear as a result of military defeat? undoubtedly, after all, the time he worked in ukraine, when he praised ukraine and praised russia, benefited him, at least some reasonable thoughts remained in his head. does putin also have this awareness? i think so. we see how in the breaks between these interviews putin disappears, what statements are made to him. they obviously understand their position very well, just on the…