tv [untitled] March 16, 2024 10:00pm-10:30pm EET
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attract, if we talk now about the level of dangers on the front line, how do you assess them? at the moment, it is premature to say that there may be a breakthrough. we know that the artillery munitions being procured by the czech republic are due to arrive soon, which could significantly change the artillery battle and potentially shift the front line again, provided ukraine has enough munitions to use them effectively. however, the effective use and mobilization of strategic reserves remains. a difficult task due to the lack of clarity regarding numbers and actions of russian troops, without intelligence data on the training and movement of russian troops, it is difficult to predict where and by what means a breakthrough may occur. we need to wait and see what their strategic goals are, although russia's goal is obvious - to break through. we lack information on where they might attempt to do so and whether they have the capability to do so, given the heavy losses they have suffered in recent months, particularly around avdiivka. it is likely that they
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feel strained in certain areas due to these losses. we understand that war is not only about heroism, it's about resources. well , accordingly, i would like to ask you how you see the pace of supplying us with the most important thing, in particular, now we are talking about artillery ammunition. to be honest, i'm not very familiar with the details of the tactical level. at the strategic level, we are aware that the expected financial support from america has not yet... materialized, however, american politicians who support ukraine are becoming more and more persistent, the essence of the american game, and whether they will dare, and perhaps the administration of president biden was would is ready to use some other mechanisms , well, like lend-lease, and this is one side of the problem, to what extent france, to what extent great britain will be ready to take on a certain burden that the united states may refuse to bear, this is a matter of life and death in fact. oh, can you
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ask 10 questions? i will try to answer them one by one and start with the situation in america. there still appears to be uncertainty in the white house about how to effectively confront russia without provoking a nuclear response. this concern on nuclear weapons is an important factor shaping the us approach. as for the congress, we know what is happening there. the political landscape in congress reflects the effects of russian influence over the past two decades. and trump is the answer to that. trump is so strong in the republican party that it seems many of his supporters simply won't do anything against him unless he makes up his own mind. so we have two big problems: right now the white house still retains the ability to impose further sanctions, it is quite can do it. just last week they discovered an additional 300 million that had been saved in other contracts. however, i do not predict that the us will in any way deviate from its current position. it is likely that they
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will continue to do the same, trying to get additional funding and resources. it is unlikely that they will deploy their troops in ukraine unless putin directly attacks nato. that seems obvious to me. regarding europe, macron is trying to position himself as a leading leader. he puts a lot of pressure on others to support him of ukraine, which is a positive moment, because someone should have taken such measures a long time ago, olaf scholl? tends to speak loudly but without much consequence, while macron's actions have not always matched his rhetoric in the past either, so it remains to be seen whether his recent statements translate into concrete actions. as for britain, despite its lack of military resources, it still possesses significant financial capabilities. foreign secretary cameron recently visited germany to negotiate the purchase of long-range missiles radius of action. we see that britain remains.
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active and eager to play a leading role in current efforts, but the future remains uncertain. despite a lot of talk, there have been no significant positive actions to affect the front line, except for the czech republic's purchase of ammunition, so we are currently in a period of uncertainty. well, colonel, you personally believe that, for example, president macron can sign this or that decree, maybe not only the president. macron, maybe some others european leaders, maybe great britain will agree, yes, when we are seriously talking about a foreign contingent that would help our military, yes, on the territory of ukraine. i mean that in a war there is always a possibility that anything can happen, so there is a possibility of deployment of foreign troops on the territory of ukraine, especially when it comes to military training of ukrainian fighters. the armed forces of ukraine are sharp. need support in
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training soldiers inside the country, whenever they have to deploy troops where elsewhere, they lose precious time for transportation and organization, time that is now crucial. so, this is how partner troops can potentially come to ukraine, and there is also a significant need for european staff officers who will help the general staff in planning and organization, especially european ones, because i believe that their culture and concepts are closer to ukrainian than to the american example . europeans probably have a better understanding of the activities of the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine. however, in the long term in the short term, it is difficult to foresee the possibility of introducing troops into ukraine. prospects we will have to wait and watch the actions of france, it remains undecided whether their actions will be just talk or real implementation, i understand that you are not a professional diplomat, but in any case the prospects of general zaluzhny as ambassador to britain, yes, as
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he will be heard, the key story in the british cabinets, and perhaps whether he would succeed in persuading the british government to take some additional steps on the necessary for us. general zaluzhnyi's role is that of an ambassador, not the famous defense attache. it is important that people understand that the role of an ambassador is much more complex. in britain, this complexity is further compounded by a decentralized government structure, where decision-making is dispersed between different centers of power. unlike ukraine, where the president takes most of the responsibility, britain works differently, requiring general zaluzhny to interact with many stakeholders. to understand how the country functions because even the decision-making process is decentralized and much broader in britain than in ukraine. as for his prospects after his return, i don't think they will be primarily military oriented, most likely his return will be related to
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political activity in ukraine, whatever that political activity may be, but the uk offers him the opportunity to explore another a way of working, a different system or a different culture. hopefully he will gain valuable experience while there, however, i am not sure he will have the strength and persuasive arguments to gain additional support. the current british government seems determined to support ukraine in all aspects, except for the deployment of troops. it is unlikely that he will be able to influence the government to change this position. along with this, his primary task is to preserve and strengthen the existing relations between ukraine and the united kingdom. zaluzhny must ensure that these relationships go beyond traditional channels and include other centers of power such as the scottish parliament, the welsh assembly, the northern ireland assembly and even the anglican church. it is necessary to involve various interested parties in order to
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gain wider support for ukraine. in this regard, he seems to be a good choice, thanks to his friendly nature, which is likely to resonate well with people. how much will great britain be willing to be the flagship when we talk about possibly a new construction of european defense policy, yes? well, we understand that great britain has done a lot, but the question of taking the lead is a key story: it is not for nothing that german chancellor olaf scholz does not issue tauros to ukraine, so we understand that great britain proposed a so-called circular scheme: germany supplies taurus to great britain, great britain. britain will supply them to ukraine, but we see that scholz is not ready even for that, and most likely, he received very specific signals from the kremlin. this issue is quite complex as it involves different perspectives, depending on whether we are talking about the european union or europe
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as a whole, it is important to note that britain is not part of the european union. well, that requires a different mindset. in many ways, great britain is not shy about taking roles. let's get this straight. we have qualified officers, commanders, the ability to create headquarters and conduct military operations. we have demonstrated this ability before and within the framework of nato. when considering the question of the involvement of great britain in military activities, it is important to recognize that this actually means the involvement of a large part of the nato command staff. this adds complexity to political negotiations and relations. however, if the situation will worsen. britain is not afraid to take on a more serious role. i believe that there are only two countries in europe that can do this, great britain and france. germany, unfortunately, does not have this capacity, having
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suffered significant losses over the past 20 years. she lacks officers capable of effective leadership, so either britain or france or both...together can manage something serious. it is worth remembering that great britain has already effectively performed similar work in bosnia, so both britain and france are quite capable. yes, able to manage something really serious. dear mr. colonel, i would like to ask you about the medium and short-term prospects of what will happen in the war now. in particular, we understand the difficult situation in the zaporozhye region, such as chasivyat, novomykhaivka, maryanka and so on. these are all extremely difficult areas of the front. on the other hand, we understand that the enemy may be preparing to raise another degree of military escalation. in particular, it is about use. certain strategic resources, preparing them for the spring-summer campaign,
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and when we talk about the current difficult situation, well, it can be compared to a huge , terrible downpour, yes, but the downpour can be followed by something, also a certain tsunami, yes, and actually, is russia now preparing for some fundamentally larger-scale actions on sukhoi . i think that russia is currently acting within its capabilities. i can't believe what's coming. a tsunami-like event, although i could be wrong, there is no intelligence to indicate that russia is amassing significant resources for a major offensive, such as using a nuclear weapons, we know about their difficulties in supplying a sufficient amount of armored vehicles to the front line, so they have to deconserve old equipment from warehouses, it is important that they have reserves, we are talking about almost a thousand of such vehicles that they can mobilize. they can also send many more people to the front, but they clearly lack a comprehensive training system
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capable of producing large numbers of well -trained personnel and equipment, because russia simply does not have the necessary resources, the technical resources necessary to conducting operations, such as radio stations, experience in developing complex strategies is also limited. therefore, i predict that we will continue to see the redistribution of human resources of the same... russian forces for their use in the supposed weak spots in the ukrainian defense. however, i don't think of it as a tsunami. it is more like a person digging a vegetable garden. you can only dig at a certain pace, dig and dig until you get tired. similarly, the russian attack is likely to develop gradually, they may start a major offensive, lose personnel, and then resort to a forced retreat, especially after putin's re-election, when the political motivation... diminishes, any further fighting could take place around october or november, as
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russia currently lacks the resources to break through. these 5-6 months also give ukraine the opportunity to solve some political problems and strengthen its defense. thank you very much, mr. colonel, for this honest and extremely interesting conversation, i want to remind our viewers that glen grant, retired british army colonel, military, was currently on espresso. expert, glory to ukraine, god save the king, glory to the heroes, and the king, as you know, is still suffering from cancer, so we hope that he will recover. at the very end, i would like to emphasize the excellent work done by the ukrainian fighters on the front lines, especially considering that they have almost no artillery ammunition. let's hope that when the munitions arrive, it will allow them to push forward and put pressure on russia, not the other way around. thank you, damn, stepladders,
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psyllium bam and oskad pharmacies. the premium sponsor of the national team represents. united by football, stronger together. oleg rybachuk, former head of president viktor yushchenko's secretariat, co-founder of the chesno movement, will be working on the espresso tv channel now. glory to ukraine, mr. oleg, i congratulate you, glory to the heroes, death to enemies. well, two key tracks : the so-called swiss track, when we talk about the development of the so-called peace formula, and the beijing-moscow track, and we see that these are some parallel worlds or parallel lines, they do not intersect at the moment, but an extremely important visit took place president zelenskyi to recep tayyip erdoğan, to turkey, we understand that
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president erdoğan also has certain initiatives, the visit of putin to turkey was also expected and he was postponed, postponed, well, as i understand it, now there will be no reassignment of him , although there is no cancellation of this visit, well, this is a certain aggravation, there is a certain cyclicality in these conversations, around the end of the war, around the need for peace negotiations, in fact, during the two years of the war, this situation arose from time to time, now it is in a certain way sharpened with several. for some reasons , first of all, somehow the whole community has already agreed that the war will not end this year, that it will most likely be postponed at least until next year, that this year a lot will be determined by the military, successes, failures, there will be a breakthrough russian forces, there will be no breakthrough of russian
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forces, which will end the elections in the united states and in the european parliament. that is, this year is kind of like a transitional year, you don’t want to call it, intermediate, yes, and on the basis of how this year will end, certain strategies are being built, and we hear talks about peace from russia all the time, they were quite so actively present when putin gave his next boring speech, now his tone has become much more aggressive, he... practically there during of this finish line of his reassignment simply says that what are we from, what kind of badun are we going to stop there now, what do we have at all due to the fact that the ukrainians have run out of ammunition, we have something to stop there
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we will have to negotiate, that is, he has sharply radicalized , and on the basis of such statements of his it is very difficult... it is somehow difficult to talk about desire, because he used to repeat this mantra that we were always for peace, we offered, but there is president zelenskyi's decree, which in general forbids putin to talk to me, that is, he has entered this phase, which simply practically does not allow anyone who acts as a mediator to somehow rely on putin's position, because the phrases that you and i hear that it cannot... be no peace has been achieved, if there can be no peace conference, if russia is not there, well, now it is obvious that russia is not even interested in this, but this does not mean at all that such leaders as dogan or such countries as china, they they will not try to gnaw away at their status as an intermediary, because it is too much
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advantageous status, economically advantageous , attracts attention, well, erdogan in general, he understands that he last time... stepped on this pedestal, he would like to somehow write his name in history, and that is why this escalation is happening now namely, although our position , well, in my opinion, is quite clear and understandable, we are talking about the fact that it is necessary to talk about peace when putin has the desire to talk about it, but if he does not have the desire to talk about it, then we have among themselves, the democratic camp must agree among themselves position, and then invite putin and let him know, something like this mood is currently prevailing, well, there was also an extremely important trip of the special representative of the people's republic of china lihui, so lihui, so to speak, gathered information rather than anything else in different capitals, according to xijin ping conducted a reconciliation of the received
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information, and now china will be nominated to switzerland as an observer. here the question is how active or passive china will be, and in general this is the coincidence or non-coincidence of the position of the chinese republic, the russian empire, in the matter of the deployment and escalation of the war. china's position in principle has not changed, and many observers say that this visit, well, it was, to put it mildly, about nothing, china did not offer anything new, as you rightly said, he was there listening to some initiatives or ... some larger interpretation of this chinese peace plan, these 12 steps, in which there is one, one step that we were most interested in, this is the recognition of sovereignty and inviolability. state borders, after which it would be possible to talk a lot about what can i say, but this visit did not increase any pressure on russia, he did not propose any
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new initiatives, and when answering the question, what is the position of china, well, china basically repeats the same phrase, but when you analyze its actions, you understand that it is actually really beneficial to him that the war continues and the war weakens his main... there are opponents on the world stage, this is the united states, and russia, and the europeans, because ukraine is not, no, well, for china, it is not , not the same scale, not the right dimensions, not the right influence, china personally, or ukraine individually, not pays attention, and when our journalists there tried somehow, or whether our experts tried to interpret the importance. the visit of the chinese leader to kyiv, no, they do not consider kyiv as an independent player, but it is already a well-recognized fact that the world has clearly understood that russia is,
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to put it mildly, china's junior partner, and not russia, but china defines geopolitical goals, what to strive for, what conditions to impose, that is , china is the elder brother of these in this situation and... in principle, nothing has changed here, ideologically it is important for china that russia not disappeared, so that it weakened, but that it was. the key story here is resourcefulness, our resourcefulness, the resourcefulness of our allies, so to speak, let 's try to separate the wheat from the chaff now, that is, on the one hand, on a certain rhetorical level, everything is fine, but we understand that not everything is ultimately good with money , so we don't know how they will behave now. states, and the issue of equipment, ammunition, ammunition, weapons, and so on, president macron is now ready to try on the imperial confederate, well, i’m being ironic, of course, well, but
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extremely harshly and concretely, president macron went with words, what do you think this could mean in practice, and just macron, well, as a political animal, he sensed this opportunity, because formally, well, in numbers, the largest donor of... ukraine is germany and scholz, who was there simply called on all european partners to significantly increase aid, the 8 billion that we received from germany is now the largest contribution, but scholz broke down, here are the eyes of taurosa, and politically we see that the opposition from all sides on he is being pushed, it is very difficult for him there to explain, and why not, and... and the main thing is that scholz does not have these personal traits, and probably the desire to be, well, as you said , the emperor or the newest emperor, while
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macron has it, but for macron, what is important is that both scholz and macron competed to see who would talk to putin longer and who would conduct more visits, phone calls, and everyone tried to explain, they tried to explain to the world what russia really is. it is not a threat that you can talk to putin, i have the feeling that the transformation that happened with macron, it's specifically macron's realization of how much he's been used by putin and what an idiotic world he looks like to any world leader out there right now, because it's through macron that putin has been sending these beliefs that he's never going to attack, well whatever you know, and i think that macron still had such a human, he hoped, it seemed to him that they had established a relationship, that they had... there was a warm, trusting relationship, well, in fact, in the french language there is also you, and they were friends with putin, and macron is in every way demonstrated, what is happening now,
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it is very important for us, because macron said several fundamental things, i like his phrase the most that russia, aggressive russia in the form in which it exists, must cease to exist, i.e. it should... disappear, well, this is a very cool form, but this would involve the allocation of, i don't know, several squadrons of aviation, it would require the allocation of some additional missile systems, the same, i don't know, patriots or their analogues, well , put it all on the industrial scale already grant the level, and instead we hear about the potential and, so to speak, the possible prospects of the foreign contingent, it must be said that again, well, at first we... we thought that macaron was kind of overheated there, yes, that's what he said, from the heart, and what is next, refutations will follow, and instead of questions, nakcha phrases will go there. that
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every word is verified, we have a plan, mr. fix, and we are moving towards that plan now, that is , macron has held internal, french consultations there, has made very clear the very uncomfortable position of putin's supporters political ones, because now you are forced to make excuses, actually ratifies this agreement through the parliament, announces his visit, but the most interesting thing to me is that they started on his initiative. other european leaders are reacting and a nucleus is being formed among nato countries, there are cautious ones, there are those who are active in their words, and there are countries ready to act, this is what the president of the nordic countries, the balts, says in our country, and macron just touched them somewhere with this. because these consultations are going on there now, and the europeans, well , we just have to note, these changes are unheard of.
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these nato maneuvers in the first military, there will be , mr. olezh, do you believe that the french will send a contingent, is it possible that the french will be there plus estonia, lithuania, latvia, maybe there, i don’t know, finland or someone else, if you remember what said macron, that is, he was talking about the fact that if the russians break through the front line, and there is such a threat and putin has such a hope that there are no weapons, they now have enough free space, walk the field, where they can choose some, feel for weak chains , and if there is such a threat that this arava leaves there, as macron said, to kyiv or to odesa, that then they will enter, then it seems, well, first of all, the probability of such a scenario is not very high, but the statement about the readiness to be on the territory of
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ukraine was made by her. it sounds there , politicians are careful to talk about it, but previously it was forbidden to talk about it at all, in other words, if the poles tentatively see that this arava is pushing towards poland, then the poles are already openly saying that they will be ready to defend on this side of the border , so this is a hypothetical situation, but short, short the conclusion is that yes, if russia simply begins to ... undisguisedly implement this scenario of a full, complete occupation of ukraine, then some of the allies will be ready to send their troops. well, maybe we should somehow adjust our legislation as well, yes, we understand that our legislation still needs very significant changes in this regard, so , accordingly, there should be some decisions and signals from our side, well, if we macron declares this, then we also have to
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voice something, but... it sounded, am i wrong, it seems to me that zelenskyi said that yes, that we will welcome the presence of allied troops on the territory of ukraine, this is some kind of political statement, in my opinion, it was already such, but you are right in the sense that it needs to be reinforced by the decisions of the parliament, but with the parliament we have a very, very sad picture, in our eyes, with you, it simply disappears somewhere by itself, as our poor neighbors say and... and also according to the laws on mobilization, in general at such a critical moment, this imbalance of the branches of power feels very much, but it tells me that if necessary, they will resolve all this very quickly there by the decision of the president's office, but you are right, we need to prepare for this, the parliament, by the way, and what do you think is happening with the parliament, well, there were certain insiders regarding the meeting of president zelenskyi with by its largest parliamentary faction, but not to
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