in my opinion, they will not have enough time to create this group of 100-200 or more thousand military personnel by may or june, that is, it can be, for example, if we are talking about the probability of creating such groups for the preparation of such operations, everything - after all, it is either the end of summer, or still closer to autumn or to the end of the year, if we even consider such a possibility as regards other measures, because... what if we talk about may, the end of may, june of the new offensive, the language still it is more about the directions of kramatorsk, sloviansk in the donbass and the ughledar direction, these are the directions that russia still defines as priorities for the implementation of the same main task, which no one has canceled, that is, the kremlin is still trying to occupy completely donbass, and if it gives them ... until the end of the year,

then they would put it forward as an argument for the new president of the united states that look, we 're going forward, ukraine is going to lose, so let's stop this war anyway, we're ready, conditions russian, they are famous demilitarization, denazification, neutralization of ukraine and the ban on its entry into nato, and of course these territories that are already occupied, they remain with russia, that is , that is russia's plan, but... going by everything, they will not be able to implement it, because, well i mean occupying donetsk, luhansk region in its entirety and possibly even a piece of zaporizhzhia there, as they plan to bite off, and what is most important, well, if, again, we calculate that russia is preparing the creation, and shoigu obviously spoke openly about this, about the fact that they create new divisions, even a new district and so on, they need, in addition to the personnel, when they say, russia is now recruiting... 3,000

military personnel, well, they can recruit through contracts, through zetas, or even partial mobilization 300 and even 500,000 people, but the question is about equipment, after all, a division is still a state staffing, including weapons and military equipment, which russia simply does not have physically, they bear huge losses, here are the latest events on front when they threw honestly. saying, it is very difficult to find logic here, maybe they wanted to take it by storm and break through the defense, when they rushed more than 30 tanks, a couple of dozens of bmps in order to break through the front, they did not succeed, and suffered, just as you were showing this video, they suffered huge losses, that is, more than 30 tanks is more than one tank battalion, so it is possible to throw it in one direction, small, and with very little prospects. imagine how much

equipment they need, how many resources they need to really occupy the donetsk region, including kramatorsk, slavyansk and break through in the ughledar, zaporozhye direction, well, these are simply colossal resources with which the russian defense industry simply cannot cope physically, by june, obviously, by the end of the summer, unlikely, maybe by the end of the year, that is, in them with a time schedule is not made up, i think that the key point... here again, why are they talking about this now, and why are they acting like that at the front, including, obviously, they understand that they have a certain lag, such a gap, until the united states decided to resume aid, they are trying to use this time to the maximum, to throw resources as much as possible, based on their such russian maybe, but now maybe we will throw everything away, the ukrainians will fall asleep, and then further, if the united states does not... help,

here comes trump, and in principle we will not need so many tanks or other armored vehicles, so they are now trying to throw in the maximum amount of resources in order to achieve maximum success and to create the conditions for a major offensive, if the united states does not resume aid, if the aid is resumed, a full range of weapons will be provided, for example for the f-16, because, let me remind you, the planes will be... europe's f-16, but the range of weapons and we need a lot of this nomenclature, after all, it is american and here without american help it will be very difficult, if the americans return to the formation, let's say, then the russians can still count on success in their offensive plans, i don't think they have to , and that's it the spokesman of the united states state department, matthew miller, said that america ... is concerned about the increased cooperation

between russia and china, and therefore made it clear that against any support from china, the russian federation, listen to what matthew miller said. this... we have made it clear that we are concerned about the full-fledged partnership we are seeing between russia and china. we have made it very clear that we are against china taking any steps that would help support russian aggression in ukraine, and we will continue to make this clear. mr. mykhailo, perhaps not a military issue, but, let's say, a military-political one. why do our... walking partners and the united states of america not talk about how they see the defeat of russia in this war, that is, they constantly talk about the fact that they will not allow the defeat of ukraine, but what should be the defeat of russia, that is, in the understanding of our western partners to say: yes, putin

has been defeated. well, such a paradox is emerging now that in europe, it seems to me, it is already closer to understanding that this country which... exists within the borders of the russian federation, it must cease to exist. in any case, this regime must be destroyed, and this can lead to already destructive processes within the russian federation, and in europe, for example, these statements by macron and other french leaders already make it clear that it is not easy, for example, there military assistance to ukraine is, after all, the participation of france or european forces in certain destabilization. these measures, which will already be on the table when something happens in russia, because in reality it is to fight for no one is going to help ukrainians, but when processes begin that will begin to threaten global, and especially european, security, including, for example, the collapse of russia, it

will threaten, if you start this process and do not interfere in it, it can threaten european security security directly. the united states, at least the biden administration. unfortunately, is still in illusions, and this, including, consists in certain semantic constructions of its own, in which they are, or live, well, the same salevan or cia director byns, who kept these uh-uh illusions about russia since the cold war, when it was believed that the united states of russia on gentleman's terms, agreements, could exist in the... war, in the cold war, but not cross any red lines, so far this is de-escalation rhetoric, this talk about the inadmissibility of strikes on refineries, these are all these, i would say phantom pains, in the biden administration since the cold war.

now is not the cold war, now there are no gentlemen, now in power in russia is a bloody regime that cannot be compared even with the soviet regimes, therefore, unfortunately... biden will probably never get out of these illusions and we will see in what state the next administration of the united states will be, but unfortunately, the biden administration still retains the main , let's say, the narrative - to prevent escalation, to prevent direct confrontation with russia. what can the most powerful country in the world be afraid of in a confrontation with putin's bloody regime, i can't understand if... ukrainians can fight russia and the united states can't they can, it is absolutely not subject to any logic, it goes on, i repeat once again, the phantom pains of the cold war, when it is mutual destruction, mutual deterrence and so on,

there is no mutual deterrence, mutual destruction, these are completely different countries from different eras, you said that you slandered that the next administration... you do admit that instead of biden , trump will be elected president of the united states of america, but with the arrival of trump, will the situation change, including regarding the attitude towards ukraine, regarding the allocation of money , because we can see that even before the election campaign , trump made a lot of different statements, and about the fact that i will stop this war in 24 hours and put putin at the table of change. and zelensky, and that they will not give money, and this war will end very quickly. how do you predict what might happen after trump's victory and how many safeguards there are in the united states of america, will not allow him to do what we fear, the lack of

weapons, the lack of aid and pushing for the surrender of ukraine. yes, indeed, there is one of the main factors, here it is... the unpredictability of trump, the unpredictability of his administration at the moment, that is, i, for one, believe that everything depends again on us if we can... be able to conduct successful operations in the 24th year on the front, this will create conditions when trump will consider that it is more profitable to help ukraine than, for example, to make concessions to putin, it can be explained to him in this way, because he thinks in fairly simple terms, it is profitable for the united states or not, it is profitable his administration, his political position, or disadvantageous, for example, he has clear, very clear. specific, let's say, stereotyped approaches to china, and

the main thing for him here is that it will still be a chinese direction, he will treat china very harshly, why are the chinese now, for example, very nervous and trying to reach certain agreements with europe, hardly will they succeed, because in europe it also makes no sense to make concessions to the chinese in those conditions when they actually help russia. and not only that, they are quite active now are working in east asia on a more anti-american, let's say, line, but for europe this weakening of the united states cannot turn out to be anything good, so i think that this is still time for us to, as they say, to conduct a shaping operation, such a forming operation, including. regarding the trump administration. trump has not yet decided how he will act in relation to putin

or ukraine. it depends, in principle, on both russia and ukraine, how we will shape the approaches on which trump will shape his politics that is why i say that the russians, for example, have their own strategy, they are preparing maximum conquests in ukraine, in order to later show that there is no point in supporting ukraine, because the war only flares up... and that too benefit of russia, it does not bring any benefit to either trump or europe, but if ukraine demonstrates that ukraine can win in this war, it just needs a little help, this does not mean that we should be given help, as biden did , and you can switch to lendlease, for example, maybe even lending zero, as johnson has now started voicing, that is, in principle, we still have time for... to form a positive positive attitude of the trump administration towards ukraine and

turn the situation around so that they start helping us, and do not communicate with putin at all. thank you, mr. mykhailo, for the conversation, it was mykhailo samus, a military expert, and i want to remind you, friends, that we continue to work live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our youtube and facebook platforms. for those watching us live right now, there please vote in our survey today we ask you about whether ukraine needs diplomatic relations with belarus lukashenka, yes, no, everything is quite simple on youtube, if you have a special opinion, a personal opinion, please write it in the comments under this video, if you watch us on tv, pick up your smartphone or phone and vote if you think ukraine needs diplomatic relations with belarus lukashenka 0800 211-381, no 0800 211 380. all calls to these numbers are free. then in we are in touch with volodymyr tsibulko, political

analyst, people's deputy of ukraine of the fourth convocation. mr. volodymyr, i congratulate you, thank you for being with us today. congratulations, glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. so, mr. volodymyr, we have been watching over the last few weeks how putin is trying to mobilize everyone and everything, especially after the so-called presidential elections in russia, we see. we see how the special services, the church, the army, everyone is mobilizing, everyone is trying to be active now, especially with regard to the ukrainian state, they are already remembering everything, whatever, that we are terrorists, that we supported those who attacked the krokuski hall, the church, declared a holy war, or rather called the svo a holy war, what do you think is happening now? putin is taking advantage

of the pause that has occurred in the supply of american weapons to the armed forces, and regarding the decision, the decision-making regarding ukraine, and putin is trying to deal a serious blow to ukraine now. what is putin's activity connected with, is he actually transferring the war into a completely different format, when he is not just there... liberating territories, but simply everything destroys, because according to his version , fascists and terrorists live in ukraine, well, first of all, elections were needed, well, these pseudo-elections, which do not have any signs of democratic elections, that is, this is such an electoral procedure. it was very important for putin to demonstrate a negotiating position with the west, that is, he imitated almost 90 percent support for himself among his people,

support for the war, which means that he can fight. it is infinitely long, so either you compromise with me, bargain, or i will, my people will support, i will fight forever. in this sense, to be honest, the behavior of the ukrainian authorities, which did not dwell too much on the fact that these were illegal elections and their results should not be recognized, was very surprising. all the government managed to do was make such a strange statement. of the verkhovna rada about the fact that the rada does not recognize the results of these pseudo-elections in the occupied territory of ukraine, but the presence, let's say, of holding elections in the occupied territory of ukraine, is one of the forms on the point from the kremlin's point of view of legitimizing

the occupied territories as part of russia. very it is surprising that the ukrainian authorities did not react too much to this. although it is clear that if you approach it with a different principle, that it is not an election at all, then you should not be especially nervous. putin has created such a negotiating picture for himself, that is, he is no longer appealing to the west, he is appealing to a part, to a part, well , either neutral countries or autocracies just like russia. that is, he, he is trying to somehow play with the collective south and pass himself off as the legitimate leader of the country, although it seems to me that now he definitely already has contacts with western countries, it seems to me that now he will definitely not have contacts with western countries, and

eh, at least, now everything depends not so much on his... success in the war, as we clearly understand that in essence , a civil war has begun in russia, that is, the classic leninist formula of the transition of an imperialist war into a civil one, one can say, it has already been recorded, at least the fact that the islamic extremists are starting to act more aggressively and more offensively, literally... we recall , very recently, about three weeks that's why there was a battle in ingushetia, where , in my opinion, five fsb officers and six islamist extremists died, literally the day before yesterday there was a battle in caspiansk and in makhachkala , two battles of small-arms shooters, that is

, we can say that, well, not to mention crocusites and expulsion. hundreds of thousands of wage earners from the territory of russia, which essentially undermines the economy and we can say that now the main problem for putin is not ukraine anymore, but the state of his unfortunate state. well, and obviously, this is also connected with today's statement of the russian dictator in an extended speech meetings of the law enforcement board, where he promised to find the masterminds of the terrorist attack in krok city hall near moscow. hinted at revenge, let's hear what putin said. it is important for us to establish not only the direct perpetrators, but also all links in the chain of ultimate criminal beneficiaries of this crime. we will certainly get to them. and here is what i would like to say in this connection: those who

use this weapon, and this is a weapon that is used against russia, it is already obvious today. must understand that it is two-edged, it is two-edged, but it is weapons, which, according to putin, should be used only by the state, by terrorists, that is, by all other small terrorist groups, they should not interfere, and i understand that putin defends his right to terrorist activities, including on the territory of the ukrainian state and for and not to be called and... not have this status of a terrorist, why does the world not call putin a terrorist and does not consider russia a terrorist organization, like hamas or yedil, well... by the way, russia has diplomatic relations, for example, with the taliban and with hamas, that is

, meetings are held at the level of, well, high officials, diplomacy, but the point is different, i am surprised why now, against the background of this moscow hysteria, where all accusations are being made against ukraine, when even the partner in the authoritarian coalition, iran, informed russia about... the fact that both dilka and dilka are preparing to introduce some kind of terrorist operations on the territory of russia, that is , putin has essentially driven himself into an idiotic situation since the 14th year, and he is this idiocy, he multiplies it step by step, each subsequent step multiplies it idiocy, essentially. let's remember when there were such super-powerful strikes on the ukrainian energy structure a year and a half ago, then many countries of the world appealed first of all to

the united states to recognize russia as a state of terror, or at least a sponsor of terrorism, although, judging by such strikes, which it still inflicts now, by the way, before this very attack and the thing about russia, russia itself... completely bombed the ukrainian energy infrastructure, and then partners, especially western countries, well, they block contacts with putin, but recognition by the state of terrorism, a terrorist, or at least as a sponsor of terrorism, creates such special conditions for trade with such a country, and now the world community needs to think about the formation itself. the status of a terrorist state for russia with the restriction of any economic ties with such a state. well, but for now, while the west is thinking, russia

is trying to use all its resources, both military, and informational, and human resources, in order to undermine the mobilization in ukraine, in order to fight with ukraine on different levels, on different levels, and... in including in the information sphere, they shot a video with professional actors in order to undermine the mobilization in ukraine, what can we oppose to this? obviously, we are talking about those state resources or resources that the state mobilized during the great war in a single telethon, as yaroslav yurchyshyn, head of the committee on freedom of speech of the verkhovna rada, says, this year may become. the only news is decisive for the telethon, since in the current format it is losing the trust of the audience, i will quote yaroslav yurchyshyn: if to at the end of the 24th year, it will not be demonstrated that

the single marathon has changed the format, that there is a balance, there is bad news from the front, that people are regaining confidence, then we will have to think about the end, because we are now seeing, a downward track, the use of a single telethon , the upward track, the use of social networks, and then... it will be even more difficult to explain to our international partners and our own people why we finance an ineffective information policy. why, mr. volodymyr, after two years of the great war, it is already the third year, why, after all, an effective information policy has not been formed both for the internal consumer and for the external, because for the external, this task is no less important than for the internal. that the state approached this, let's say this, issue completely bureaucratically, through bureaucratic tools, it molded a bureaucratic

structure that saws money, and not a creative, well, let's say, a system of creative resourcefulness for better coverage of the work of the state during the war, that's it.. .that's the main thing, actually, that's it an absolutely corrupt device that allows funds to be redistributed between influential groups close to the government, but no one bears any responsibility for the quality of the information product, what i happened to watch at the marathon was an incredible number of factual blunders, complete linguistic illiteracy, sometimes... in general , absolutely frank freaks appeared on the air under the guise of professionals in certain fields, so here the state simply approached... this topic through

an exclusively bureaucratic mechanism, in fact it was necessary to approach it as creatively as possible and to let go, so to speak, of this opportunity for the channels themselves to form a creative product, and in this way we outplayed, there we cannot outplay the russian machine, because it pours simply incredible, it pours several orders of magnitude more money into propaganda than ukraine, but remember how many memes during the war, which are more preschool than the entire propaganda machine named after solovyov or simonyan, so here we need to give ukrainians the opportunity to express themselves creatively, but the state has fear, firstly, and secondly , if mr. chairman of the parliamentary committee tells us about the single marathon, then let him read the documents

about... the association of ukraine with the european union and about our obligations to the european union in the information field, it is clearly written there about the rejection of state media, then let him start acting and let him study european documents and our obligations to the european union, rather than telling fables about a single marathon. if you would now recommend to the authorities, what should be done in this situation? use leaders of public opinion, including for reporting information or some kind of concentrated information for the western audience, because now we are talking about the western audience as well, about the audience that is in russia, they make some restrictions there, but still, this is how to unite people in order to achieve the goal , to convey what is happening in ukraine to a larger number of readers outside of ukraine,

well... look, the service in the bank sometimes has quite successful information campaigns on international platforms, although, of course, over the last year this whole work has deteriorated significantly, but there was experience, there was for example, simon schuster during the first weeks of the war on banking, that is, then they began to weed out very effective western journalists. in general, they tried to cover a more or less objective picture, but in this picture there was not so much zelensky, but there were many ordinary ukrainians, the bank did not like it, so now it is necessary to restore trust in well-known western journalists who would like good things for ukraine and want further good things and are ready to cooperate, and secondly

, we need to start producing ukrainian, well, let's put it this way, media persons, writers, athletes, journalists, artists, cinematographers to various platforms, now it is necessary as much as possible for this ukrainian wave to roll around the world and bring maximum information about anlas and the truth about our life. thank you, mr. volodymyr, it was volodymyr tsybulko, a political expert. friends, we are conducting a survey during our broadcast, today we are asking you about this and whether ukraine needs diplomatic relations with belarus, lukashenko, the interim results of the survey are 17% yes, 83% no. in the second part of our program, which will start in 15 minutes, after the release of our colleagues from the bbc, the release of the news, we will have people's deputies of ukraine, viktoria syumar, yevgenia kravchuk and yaroslav yurchyshyn, do not switch, stay

with... the press: who is behind the murder of iranian generals in syria and could the attack on the iranian consulate lead to an escalation? in the middle east, let's find out in today's issue of bbc ukraine, i'm olga palomaryuk. the war in the middle east has gone beyond the gas sector, and this is another reminder. that's what they say experts and analysts about yesterday's attack on the iranian consulate in damascus. iran and syria blamed israel for the attack, which has not commented on it in any way. and here is the first footage after the airstrike, the syrian ministry of defense

says that israeli planes... attacked the iranian consulate building in da.