as bortnikov says. now putin expressed the version that ukraine is involved. the suspects confirm putin's version of our president, and we will work according to this version and definitely prove something there. the situation just turned upside down. the most frequent trolling by bortnikov. and what i said from lukashenka's side, they are already making fun of it, if you look from the side, they are just making fun of putin in this way. i roughly imagine that if the terrorist act was overseen by the fsb, then bortnikov, as they say on the side. putin usually, even starting from ryazan sugar, from volgodonsk, where they blew up their citizens, their houses in order to direct all the anger of the population against chechnya. crocus is being blown up today in order to try to direct all the anger of the russians against ukraine. in such cases, putin and patrusha

use a fairly narrow group of fsb employees. a special group is being created, the activities of which no one is aware of, not even bortnikov, who only performs some political role. rather after all, putin often takes the syrotnikovs, korolevs and other fsb leaders and deputies for the same game. and in the conditions of such a narrow discussion, not such a discussion where the kremlin is partly pointed at. teta-tete, the two kelish-melich agree on how to control a terrorist act, what goal to achieve and what result to get, the safety of specific citizens, which absolutely no one cares about at that time, the main thing is to get a political result, and these people you listed , will suffer or not will suffer, they think that bortnykov may lose touch with his age, and this is not a figure that can bring any problems in the future, because...

kalokoltsev, who completely let crocus down, his direct duty to provide protection, may suffer such objects, some other people may suffer, even not suffer, as it is called, dear mr. general musaev, and i wanted to ask you about these schedules, for example, what bortnikov himself is, what is his relationship with, for example patrushe or they represent, so to speak, i don’t know, a certain wing, or they are characters of a separate plan, well, if we talk, for example, about those who carry out strategic management of similar processes, yes, those who pass, can pass, i’m not sure, well but they can bypass, for example, the director of the federal security service, how this whole thing functions, they have to report to someone, someone has to give a written order, a written directive.

i will start from the end, the written orders of the chairman, the head of the special service concern some general political issues, operational and investigative, financial activities and other issues. when it comes to the issue of a specific special operation, no documents are drawn up at the management level. an operational development case is drawn up, such a literal case to which a very narrow circle of employees has access. and sometimes even one employee conducts an operation similar to the one that took place in crocus, so these relationships, how they are built, i know from my own experience, i was the head of the knb of kazakhstan, and besides me, president nazarbai was able to call any of my deputies to listen to all the gossip of the internal kitchen not from my mouth as the head, but from my deputy or even some manager... and according to the stories

of my colleagues here in vienna, the situation in the special services of russia is even more complicated. putin's trust in specific leaders, let's say, is very low, and he often calls the same orphan to the same krolov, even the head of the economic security service alpatov, who is, as they say, a favorite there. but the kitchen, which has developed today, is fighting for the fsb postkernik. for this post claims, this is the first deputy korolev and closer to putin darofeev, head of the fsb in the city of moscow and the moscow region. and now these two figures are in such an under-the-carpet confrontation. according to the results of their struggle, derafeev is likely to suffer. as my colleagues say here, because a terrorist act took place on its territory. his body fsb, territorial responsibility, krasnogorsky or whatever it is called, he.

if the fsb in the city of moscow and the moscow region took some measures against crocos, this is it markedly. the agency was focused on finding terrorists, but... the fsb in the city of moscow were not directed according to the direct guidance of the us cia. did they know the general situation that the americans were announcing? well, the voice of the americans. americans publicly urged their citizens to be prepared. and it happened a couple of weeks before this massacre in crocus. through what channels the americans or some other special services could. this information, how did they even sense that something like this could happen, how, how, how this, i don't know, word of mouth works, first of all, this message of the us special services to a certain extent broke the cards of the russian special services. no wonder, at the fsb meeting

, putin called it blackmail and provocation, because this message could really break this entire operative game, which was conducted by the fsb under the leadership of syrotkin. it is interesting that all the security agencies in the territory of the russian federation had this orientation simply in general, but the relationship was as putin said. that is, if the biggest boss said that it was blackmail and provocation, then there was an appropriate attitude. but despite this, i want to repeat, the fsb in moscow and specific steps were taken in the moscow region. these events are not for nothing, but the concert of the picnic group in crocus. it's friday, so it's just employees visiting like normal people.

that is, these are people from the official fsb uniform and at the same time just vacationers. imagine the city of moscow. and 15-20 percent of the population of moscow are people in uniform. taking into account putin's militaristic regime, at least 15 percent, people in uniform. of these 15%, some people were at this concert, they all ran, no one took any measures to offer the slightest resistance to this criminals i understand, there are no weapons, they came to the concert just to watch. at the same time

, absolute puncture. therefore, the fate of the same dorofeev , head of the fsb in the city of moscow and the moscow region, is quite complicated. what you asked. who will suffer, who will not. i do not think that anyone from the special services will be punished, after all, putin was well aware of this direction, this terrorist act, it is visible everywhere, he knew perfectly well that he was preparing, that as a result of this terrorist attack he was supposed to receive the support of the people, that they would collected migrants, each will be given a rifle, well, once you know how to shoot, then you will go to fight in ukraine. putin even... received a lot of sympathy, as he says, from enemy states, this effect is very powerful, but he did not get the most important result, he could not tie ukraine to this terrorist act. well, on the other hand, they will try

to do it, in any case, we remember events that are more than 30 years old, right? we remember that russia received the khasavyurd peace, the so-called, that is... when it de facto signed in the inability to wage war with the chechens, so after the khasavirt in order to disrupt the khasavyurd agreements, there was basayev's raid in dagestan, there was the ryazan sugar and not only that, that is, there was a whole series of events, and as we understand, now the kremlin will also try to shape the series of events he needs, how do you think the kremlin can act now, are they going to do... attempts on the leaders of our state, are they going to do some or other terrorist provocations, what can we expect in ukraine, or do they now want to rock the mobilization process in this way? in particular

, they do not need to strengthen mobilization, this process is going on in them normally, the only thing in terms of strengthening mobilization i already mentioned, all citizens of central asian states who received russian passports, even those who did not... this is one of the elements of this plan of a terrorist act in crocus, this is the time, the second direction, which today for... ukraine is a propaganda wave about ukraine's involvement, that is, in terms of propaganda, everything will go in this direction direction you know that in relation to the kid, the russian prosecutor's office has already opened a criminal case, declaring malyuk and budanov to be the leaders of a terrorist organization. it's all supercharged. accordingly, today this plan is to carry out an attempt on the leadership of the special services and the state. this is not today, it is planned and will continue to increase

so that in the event of such attempts, there would be some support, at least minimal, from the west, especially from the civilian population of russia, this is what is planned to be used. we understand very well, special services perfectly understand any attempted, realized attempt on the leadership of ukraine, on the leadership of the special services of ukraine. the armed forces of ukraine will have a certain moral influence on the situation inside ukraine and on increasing morale in the russian armed forces, therefore ensuring the safety of these persons should be at the highest level. thank you very much, dear mr. generals, for this extremely interesting and meaningful conversation, i want to remind our viewers that general alnur musayev, the former head of espresso, was currently working on the espresso channel committee of national security of kazakhstan, former adviser on national security affairs. president of the republic of kazakhstan. events,

events that are happening right now and affect our lives. of course, the news story reports about them, but few know what is happening. it is necessary to understand. antin borkovskii and invited experts soberly assess events, analyze them, modeling our future, every saturday at 1:10 p.m., with a repeat on sunday at 10:10 a.m. studio zahid with anton borkovsky at espresso. major will be working on espresso tv channel now retired national guard, veteran of the russian-ukrainian war oleksiy hetman. glory to ukraine, mr. oleksiy, i congratulate you. glory to the heroes, i congratulate you. well, extremely powerful signals from the head of the syrian committee from the president of ukraine zelenskyi. this is how we understand that the enemy is preparing for large-scale actions. to large-scale offensive actions, well , let's analyze in more detail now, if we talk

about the enemy's resource base, so what should we expect, for example, in the medium term? well, it's very good that the commander and supreme commander said it out loud, that we are in danger, at least at the end of may, at the beginning of june, because powerful russian offensives are being prepared, on which part of the front is it separately, we can analyze it further, but why is it good, what did they say? because many experts, analysts inside our country, journalists, bloggers, they also said the same words that there are dangers and analyzed from which direction offensive actions could take place, and they immediately, i don't know what kind of bots they were , a lot of people flew in, let's say so, and said that it's spreading panic, what's the point of undermining it, somehow something was undermined there, well, all these talks about spreading panic are already here. will stop and begin the normal analysis of the situation and the forecasting of the actions that must be taken, let's

analyze what the minister of attack of the russian federation said to shaigu, about what he said that it is possible to form somewhere two brigades, two armies, an army is no less 40,000 people, 100,000 are already in the reserve of the russians, they have already attended the course of a young fighter, maybe even some kind of combat coordination, this is the reserve that they can already use. several armies, two armies, several brigades, battalions, well, he enumerated there, it is so clear what he said or said, but it is possible to create a powerful group, well , plus the dnieper flotilla, yes, then there is a conversation about the mobilization that they can strengthen, and this mobilization will give them 200 or 3000 or however much they can collect, well, it will be so that these people will be, at first, they russians have already started to teach. a little bit of his people to throw immediately unprepared for battle, i am sure that at least a few

weeks they will be prepared, and most likely these newest recruits will replenish those units that were destroyed by our armed forces during the winter offensive of russia, expect a russian offensive in the coming months, although there are assumptions that such offensives may take place earlier already in april, where exactly will the offensive actions take place, well here you know, well, there are several directorates, which are... potentially threatening, so we understand that now they have slightly shifted the emphasis of the offensive plan from the kupinsky to the lymansky direction, we understand that now is happening in the avdiyivka area, also... the south-east of the donetsk region, there, too , everything is extraordinary, everything is problematic. on the other hand, we understand that they are also preparing additional communication lines to the south separately. yes , of course, this is, yes, these are additional logical, logical, logistical possibilities, they build rockets for roads, this is so that it is possible to quickly transport equipment, people, fuel, bridges, well, everything that is necessary for conducting hostilities. you know, you don't want

to have a conversation about where exactly, from which direction they will start making offensive actions. there is a northern, eastern and southern direction, in one of these directions the russians will strike, or maybe in several directions at once, because if you remember how we did counteroffensive actions, well, almost a year ago, then our partners, generals from nato, and other respected publications there told us that it is wrong to attack in one place, it is necessary to attack in two or three cities, but this stretches the enemy's defense and so on and so forth, that is... it can give more profit, more, can be achieved more effect if you attack not on one, but on two or three directions, well, most likely , the russians understand this very well too, or they listened to our advice, and they will also attack from some two or three directions, directions, why i don’t want i don't want to talk about it at all, i don't want it to be discussed at all, because a person comes out and starts saying that

they will attack kharkiv, maybe, maybe, it is starting, the getting wet is starting. of this question, then to sumy oblast, then not, to avdiivka, i am sure that the russians themselves have not yet 100% decided where they are going to do these main things, they are shaking the front, they are shaking the front and they are specifically studying certain possibilities of their offensive plan, so let's take it easy, until now the movement of troops in any direction has not happened, although they can move troops along the front line quite quickly, for this it is necessary, well... they showed two or three weeks at most, but now they can do it in a week, well, a relatively small amount of 100 thousand in a week is impossible, there is simply no, well, there is nothing to lead to, or will go, that is, it can be calculated, it is all written down when we say that our military, our generals in the general staff, what people received there, graduated from certain academies with honors, with a saber, even

as the best students, they studied all this, that is , the number of people who... the possibilities, what the speed of movement, what the weather conditions are like there , what the terrain is like there and so on, that is , all these things, what, what do the military learn, they learn to analyze the situation and do with it, to plan defensive actions, to plan actions in the beginning, you are planning actions in the movement of troops from city to city, taking into account all these components and the enemy, and your capabilities, this is a difficult task, this is a serious task, a lot is involved here, it is not just that people have moved, it is necessary to transfer there ... means of communication, means of protection, these are serious things, for some reason many of us believe that some person who has never been in the army, has never studied anything, can come, see, like this, oh, it must be done like this , i know, i know, i understand what you are talking about, mr. major, look, but turning around, for example, to our defense concept, which we now have to work on very quickly, so

to speak, to strengthen where it is a little weaker, well , accordingly, we need to overcome the history with the artillery... with a parity of 6:1, information from the syrian commander, how should it look on your opinion, defense is our current strategic position, you know, it is very good that the command teams of the military-political leadership began to speak, began to say that we really have problems and that everything is not as good as it seemed, because these conversations about that we are almost the day after tomorrow we will be in moscow and that everything is fine with us, everything is very well built, everything is there as it should be, and when people hear it... at the front, who are at ground zero, when we communicate with people who are returning, who who or somewhere they are there, they are in shock, i’m just saying, it doesn’t correspond, a lot of what was told on various media channels, it didn’t correspond to reality, now it seems to me that it’s just starting, if it hasn’t stopped, maybe someone will start

to tell that everything is fine, more or less real things are starting, we really have 1/6 of a century us, means six times less, we shoot than the russians shoot, we don't shoot through the built fortifications as it should be, and fortification is not just a dug trench, it's not fortification, it's a broken trench, fortification is much more complicated, it should be dugouts, it should be preservation capsules, it should be communication systems, it should be waste passages, it should be the second line and there are many things here, what are the prospects, risks and threats of opening new additional areas of the front, so we understand we understand that, in general, the entire perimeter is under a threat, but we understand that there is a question of logistics, a question of the enemy's resources, well, that is, there is also the north, and there is a possible strengthening of the enemy's actions in the south, well, there is also... and sumy to chernihiv region in the south, this is the least likely from the point of view from the point of view of the military, these are the least likely directions of attack, because

the logistics are the worst there, the eastern direction and the northern directions are the most likely, because the russian federation is behind there, everything is very simple there, you can get a ride there, you do not need to pass through this single railway, volnovakha takmak, melitopol jinkoi, all the way to the crimea and more, well, it's overland and over the bridge alone, more and more. well, it’s just a railway, along which you can hook up 40-50 wagons at the same time and bring them by car , you won’t bring much there, and you won’t bring much on landing ships either, because there are already very, very few of them and they are, well, a ship and 50 wagons, we understand , and this is all that fuels the crimean group , the temporarily occupied crimea and the group in the kherson region on the left bank, so it is also possible for them to attack there, but the undercarriage. everything that is necessary for an offensive, to move troops, is more difficult there, it is easier to do it from the north, it is easier to do it from the east, that’s where they have it, especially from the north there, because

if from the east, then there is a temporarily occupied territory, which those was already destroyed by the orcs themselves, it is more difficult to do logistically there, but belarus and the north, everything is intact there, you can transport a lot of things there very quickly, so from a military point of view, well , i won't do it anymore. the president and the commander have already said that i am inciting panic syrskyi, then it would be the most convenient from the point of view of logistics, ensuring that sumy oblast would carry out offensive actions, well, this is the most, the most successful would be the direction, then chernihiv oblast, kyiv oblast, it is already a little more difficult there with the terrain, there are more marshes there, there more difficult, sumyshchyna, sumyshchyna, that's kharkivshchyna, these are the most convenient cities for an attack, from the point of view of logistics and from the point of view of everything, military, military affairs. will the russians do it there or not, well i'll say it again, i'm sure, 99 percent of course i'm sure they haven't decided yet, they're constantly checking and preparing, looking

for where they can do it, so we, of course, and our central intelligence agency, and american, british intelligence, they, they're just suggesting that it might to be an attack on kharkiv, they assume, because i am sure that there are spies, that is, scouts in the highest echelons of the russian military, who work for us there, we received them. certain secret information, but there is no information because our spies were exposed, because they they themselves still don't know exactly what the problem is. when it becomes clear where the enemy is concentrating, that is, we, with the help of the same, i don't know, satellite or radio electronic tracking, we can understand there that at point a, for example, or at point b, 50,00 orks were added there, and of course this but in today's realities, everything is impossible, the movement of troops is a big movement. hide, well, these are films about the second world war or the first world war, there at night with the headlights off, well, everything is visible, everything is perfectly visible, you can see where the troops are moving, so

the russians understand this too, that's why they have what they learned to do in this war, they move troops very quickly along the front line, very quickly, that's why i say that in a week they can group somewhere, we will wait, we will begin to move our troops there, they once withdrew, arrived, that is, this is a danger for how much. we will know, well, if the group has gathered, well, in a few days, then at least we will know, although i think, i am sure, that when they have already written combat orders, well, when these combat orders will go to units at the brigade level, at the regimental level, at the battalion level, well, we will know it, it is even without a satellite, and we also have scouts, there is counterintelligence, which works quite well, and we will know approximately where offensive will be prepared. remember the fact that the russians are going to attack, well , for example, kyiv region on february 24, the 22nd, the american

intelligence already knew about it a few months ago, and we were also informed about it, that it would be an attack on gostomil, that it would be the kabul option that they will want there to launch a landing party, and so on and so forth, now they don't inform us, not because they stopped, they don't want to help us, because once again it's not 100%, not 99, i 'm sure that... there is no such plan yet, they are preparing, they, everything depends on how they will be able to mobilize, they are doing it gradually, but look, on the 27th there was a meeting of the russian orthodox church there , i do not know exactly what it is called, and they have already declared this war sacred, it is no longer theirs, it is already a war, and they wrote there that ukraine should be completely under by the influence of the russian federation, that it is in general its western, as they say, regional russia, that there cannot be any ukrainians there and so on, that is, that this is a holy war and... and this is very serious, it is a very serious signal from their side , that is, they are drawn in and they have been using it for the last six months or a year to sharpen

their skills. under larger-scale mobilization processes, they filled the so-called military operation with the meaning of war, which can be expected, one can expect very serious offensive actions in the coming months, and whether we are ready for them or not, well, you know, here you can refer to the president of ukraine, who said that we are not ready yet, i don't remember whether the word was there yet, or were i'm just not ready, i wish it was there, i don't remember, i don't remember the quotes by heart. well, it seems that there was still a word there, it was a call, including, i believe it, to our partners, so that they understand that it may be dangerous not only for our country, it may be very dangerous for the whole of europe, because the russians are not going to stop, although they say that they have no plans for further movement, well, of course, and what should they say, that they will be ready there, i don’t know how to storm the preliminaries, cover and so on, it’s clear that not, well ,

but they pulled in. they are drawing in reserves, they are preparing their mobilization resources further, as far as we understand, with artillery and armored vehicles, they somehow have plus or minus, and the latest missile attacks have shown that they have accumulated, but the key story is the use of zircons, i.e. zircons, we understand, they are potential carriers of what, tactical nuclear weapons, yes, well , as if our anti-aircraft defense would work with zircons, yes, but we understand that there is a lot of work... where they can also use them, but there will be tspo a little worse, well, next to zircons it is a very unpleasant weapon, but there is no need to worry so much, and the fact that they can be nuclear carriers, they can all be carriers, and iskander, and kinjal, and kolibr, and kh-101 and kh555 , these are all, these are all missiles that, which can be, in which they were developed for a nuclear charge, and not low-explosive, but now nuclear-free, nuclear-free

fugue is used. but they are all ready, you can do it there, there are no questions, just put a nuclear charge there, you don’t need to process anything there, everything is ready there, you can take, put everything, it flew away, so why zircon, what can it carry, well, maybe so and the x101 can carry, and what, and the x550 can carry, so there is no need to focus on it like this, that it is something extremely dangerous, it is dangerous missiles, but if daggers, hypersonic missiles, they have a little more than 20, 23 or 24. and they can release one or two, a maximum of three rockets per month, and sometimes not and sometimes not a fact, then zircon zircons, which entered service in january of the 23rd year, that is, a little more than a year ago, then i think there are a dozen, if there is, then it will be good, there is not a large number of those, well , it cannot be, and according to iskander, as far as we understand, they have deployed quite a lot of launchers on the perimeter, yes, well, this is an extremely serious revival, in particular complex attacks , yes, which we generally expected

in winter. well, when there was an overload, for example, the energy system, they did not do this, they conserved resources, accumulated them, the president says that there will be a powerful offensive operation, which is being prepared for this operation, these are missile attacks, in the stupid territory, these are artillery shelling of the border area, this is preparation to offensive actions, can it be assumed that they will shoot now, and then they will say, well, okay, we shot a little, messed up a little, you are still repairing it, but somewhere in may we will... we will continue, i am not so sure, it would be, well, why do it, there is the point is to do this, to start destroying the energy sector, to start destroying the border territories, near-front territories and then to take offensive actions, or to do it for a relatively long time, to shoot constantly for a month, two months, to constantly shell the territory, so that later it would be easier to enter the land and try to capture the territory, well, these are such complicated things that not everyone understands it, so...

they shot when it was warm, just to make sure there was nothing to do, and then they would rest, form a new army there to prepare, but they will not shoot yet, because why, well, listen, well, whoever said that they will not be able to advance deep, it does not help anyone that the french and germans said that fortifications should be built on the right bank dnipro, nothing, does not lead anyone to any thoughts. will we continue to be somewhere in dreams that they are stupid, they couldn't understand that winter is over, they started shelling thermal objects in winter, in summer, well , in heat for a couple of years, nothing, but the right and left bank of the dnieper, nobody will think about it, why do our friends from ukraine say that it is necessary to build and help ukraine on the right bank of the dnipro, so just think about it, dear, not to those viewers who do not understand it, but to those who are still in

some pink glasses, these are glasses with... in the summer we will not jump completely, this is not an eyeglass.