and still this production does not stop, there are still thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of tons of cartridges in warehouses, cartridges and projectile factories are loaded to full capacity, that is, infantry shafts are quite likely, and they will form them, but i do not share the point of view that the strongest and the heaviest blows should have taken place in may or at the beginning of june, in order for such a wave of people to be mobilized, it will take at least 3-4 months, if they manage to... on the declared indicators for the month of september, then it will be a success for them, huh, i.e. you don't do you think that in may-june we can expect something like this, well, massive, i very, very correctly placed the emphasis, i do not cancel that those 30, 15, 25 thousand can go on the attack, they can, and why can't they, they can, but what result will they achieve if they want to break through 40 km, well, this is a huge section of the march. huge, then much more

strength is needed. that's my position. i'm not, i'm not saying it won't happen, i'm saying it's small. and see, for example, whether we can expect, well, for example, an attack on vovchansk in order to get behind our kupyan group. in principle, these forces are sufficient for this, on the one hand, and on the other hand, we are now seeing an intensification of fighting in the kupyansk direction, on the kupyansk, lymansk, well, that is, in that zone. it is quite logical, it is quite logical to revive the fighting there, why? because, in their opinion, they still have a chance to reach the administrative borders of donetsk region. they have such a chance, at least they paint it that way, that they still have to complete this task, they have to bring an immeasurable amount to the occupation zone a wide variety of physical resources, and first of all the estuary of the okupyan direction, especially kupyansk itself, kupyansk is a hub, it's a railway, that's all there is. is happening,

there have been intensified, active hostilities there for several weeks, there is nothing fundamentally new. well, if we talk about an exit, an attempt to exit to the borders of the donetsk and luhansk regions, then, in principle, this is now a retreat along the entire front line, starting from kupyansk, then there chasiv yarv, there also chasiv yarv in principle, well, such as if as preparation, well, and an attempt to advance further pokrovsky direction or. turkish rather, but by the way, how do you assess, it will still be turkish or pokrovsky, i don’t know, i don’t know what direction they will choose for the main assault, because there is a third law of war, it sounds very, very it's just a hidden maneuver, and they will try to implement it, general philosophies, i 'll probably say it for the fourth time, nothing changes for them, donetsk and luhansk in full, donetsk. at this moment, 57%

is occupied, and 403 still need to be passed, and from the fact that no matter which location we choose, discuss and analyze, nothing will change in the very logic of fighting and the tactics of implementing this task. and tell me, mr. peter, from your point of view, these are attempts to revive hostilities and somehow, well, he can prepare a simultaneous offensive at several points at once in order to... overstretch our forces, what could be the timing of all this, you already said that you don't really think that they will have time to prepare, now it is rather autumn, but in autumn we can also expect arrival more weapons, that is, it also creates additional, well, difficulties for them, well, that is, according to the idea , they have to somehow catch up before we got new weapons, the same planes, for example, f16. so

how can they play this window of opportunity so that it doesn't close, and on the other hand make it in time? in my opinion, they have a window of opportunity for a few weeks, no more, the first billion -dollar package has been declared, there are a lot of things we need, first of all , cluster munitions, and it has been declared that i don’t know, back in march there was information in june the first f16, tomorrow, now the main thesis of the day is that they will be operational sometime in the summer, it's hard for me to say when they will actually be operational, but is there a large influx of weapons primarily artillery ammunition, cluster ammunition for m-142 hymers and the m-270 and especially a large number of atakam missiles in combination with the work of the f-16 can change something, can and can change it so fundamentally, if the f-16 solves the problem of annoying corrected air bombs pab-250-500 up1500 per day. they drop them all over

battle lines within the range of up to 120 units and it is possible to solve the problem with f-16, because they should shoot down the third quarter of the day, then this will allow us to refocus and having. a sufficient amount of artillery, even to go into anti-aircraft operations, but everything rests on the number of weapons and their speed to control, that’s all i can tell you, and how in general the russians can prepare for the arrival of the mf-16, well, we periodically hear about there are cries to bomb romania, but it doesn't seem so realistic to me perspective, but which one is realistic? realistic perspective is the involvement of the complex. 500, they are admittedly not many, somewhere within the limits of 30 launchers, but this is really a breakthrough technology in their understanding, they can calculate the target at a distance of up to 800 km and , i emphasize, it seems that they can shoot down precisely such aerodynamic targets at a distance of up to 600 km, this is the only answer

they can give, well of course they will try to hunt for their storage places, but i am sure that the protection technologies have reached such a high level, especially in the part that... concerns the underground basing, there are those who will not be able to hunt down even at least one unit, they do not have and cannot have more options for answers. and when they talk about underground storage, what is it capable of, well, the taurus, for example, is a missile that just works on underground bunkers, but the russians have something similar like the taurus? well, x47 m2 kenjal, i just worked on such options, but considering how they hit. they can't break through by several dozen meters down to get to the gazostovch, then i doubt that, especially in the carpathian zone, where the very magnitude of the carpathians opposes them, and there it

is very difficult to find such a point that would be confirmed that it can be affected, and this is a very delicate topic, i do not advise developing it in a thorough analysis, the enemy will listen to our every word, well, yes, i will agree with you here, let it be for them... more trouble than for us, and you know, i want more so, once again, now russia has announced this training, application namely tactical nuclear weapons, it is obvious that for them this is some new round of intimidation of the west, a new round of trying to stop the supply of weapons to ukraine, but watching how they are conducting, trying to conduct these exercises, what would you say? what does it look like and how realistic is it, that they will actually conduct them with the equipment of nuclear weapons, or will we just see, as usual, some kind of, well , bigger thing like that, there is one point in the categories that are very misinterpreted,

what is tactical nuclear weapon in the right in the military sense, these are shells for artillery 152 mm, 2003 mm installation 27. he and there is even a 240 mm active-reactive mortar 2s4 tulip, this is a tactical nuclear weapon, then you need to put the emphasis very correctly, because this is all that can be put on iskander, this is already an operational weapon of the highest order, i cannot imagine how such a missile during combat exercises with a nuclear warhead of 10-50 k-ton can explode in belarus, they do not imagine the soviet union for this in the deep rear, even under the urals. in the orenburg oblast, i will build special ones in northern kazakhstan special test sites or even in kamchatka for the testing of strategic nuclear warheads, well, this is actually more of a bluff, although again you can expect

anything from them, the most difficult problem is if one nuclear projectile explodes and not even on the territory of russia and not on the territory of non -occupied ukraine, but, say, somewhere... in donetsk, in the donetsk region, exactly those zones that are occupied, how to answer that? for us will have no meaning, i explain no, tactical nuclear weapons are very strong overestimated, it was developed precisely in order to break concrete company strongholds of nato countries, a company stronghold is 1.2 km, well, this will happen, well, there will be losses, and what will it change in the end, they, they and so fall asleep... if the energy equivalent is to take tens and tens of thousands of tons of the explosion as such, but i don’t know how to respond to the western world, and why this is happening right now, there is hope for a large number of new weapons, there is hope for the f-16 , and

europe begins to engage in the rhetoric of the use of nato troops on the territory ukraine, and what else remains to be answered, they cannot offer anything new in the conventional sense, all of them. all possible types of weapons, let me emphasize, all possible types of weapons, except for nuclear weapons, have been used against us, and of that, more than 10,000 missiles have been fired, it broke the battle line, no. did it sow panic and panic among ukrainians? no, they no longer have any other means of intimidation. thank you, thank you, petro chernyk, military expert, colonel of the zsu. we have to take a break now. i also remind you about our collection on armored vehicles for the repair of heavy armored vehicles in the combat zone. join this gathering, please, and now we have a break, then we'll talk a little more about the direction of time. i am in

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you once again about the collection for the repair of heavy armored vehicles in the combat zone. actions in the solodarsk, zaporozhye direction, here is ours, the account number, there is a qr code, and this is primarily on a minibus that delivers repair teams to the combat zone, as well as pneumohydraulic jacks for the prompt repair of foreign equipment, and we joined volodymyr nazarenko, senior lieutenant, artillery officer of the svoboda battalion, the fourth.

well, as if, on the one hand, there are constant attempts to attack there and that's it, but with on the other hand, as if even on... some forces are accumulating, at least this is what various analysts who observe what is happening say that, and that the yar was an important direction for the russians at the time, it is said that the russian airborne troops are concentrated there , which are conducting an offensive there, in particular the 98th airborne division from ivanovo and the 11th separate airborne assault brigade, i want to ask you exactly how you see it, that is... troops are accumulating, you see this accumulation, are they preparing for something, or it goes as it goes all the time, that is, there is some kind of it well, the dynamics of all this? i agree with your first and second thesis, the situation really seems to be going as it is going, but actually you expressed yourself quite appropriately, how can i

characterize the tactics, the general tactics, the general trend in principle. actions of the enemy, in most cases we clearly understand that the enemy's tactics depend on the unit, on the forces that receive this or that task, that have their own area, their own responsibility, to which they received the task. in general, for days, weeks and months, i will not be afraid of these words and years, the enemy received the task of exerting maximum pressure in the east, in particular in the direction of bakhmut. previously, they chose a specific settlement and pressed there, pressed, pressed, and all their... technical meat assaults, technical assaults, all their metallobrukt simply chose a specific area and tried to advance there and simply sharpened their forces, now during the last several months, actually from the beginning of winter from autumn, from the end, including winter with the onset of more or less good weather conditions, favorable

weather conditions, the enemy chose the tactic of pressing with the widest possible front along... in many points, in many places, in many populated areas, in general, these are hundreds of kilometers, generally northern, tens of kilometers north and south of bakhmut, these are other directions, such as kup' yansky, such as lymansky, such as vdiivsky, such as , again, the southern sections of the front, and on all these fronts, on all these sections , the enemy in one way or another uses his techniques, his equipment, his manpower to the maximum. storms are different, as in general. infantry using mercenary units there, meat units, such as similar assaults as there were in 22-23 in the bakhmut direction, when the enemy simply tries to advance with infantry in small groups, small groups, tries to make conveyor attacks, yes, unfortunately, the enemy actively and uses assaults with the use

of armored vehicles, on which the landing party tries to storm, tries to reach our zero positions. and land, unfortunately, the enemy can again use several units or more than a few units tanks, which are also used by the landing party, in general, the enemy's tactics are to accumulate, to get to their zero line, because in most cases, thanks to this, i speak as an artilleryman, and our artillery units of our fourth brigade of the border national guard clearly understand that when any attempts of the enemy are detected to accumulate with... to concentrate, to line up some columns, groups, this happens in the rear of the enemy and immediately we start working on these enemy accumulations, on these enemy forces, in principle, any target. this is the goal we have destroy in this way, the way that is expedient, that is rational, and the enemy in

most cases can't even get to his zero line, accumulate, but unfortunately, again, those attempts to storm the enemy that, on which it accumulates, they fight back, and in general the tendency is that in a certain way the enemy seems to have an unlimited number of... reserves, replenishments, not even reserves, but replenishments that they drained in one assault, waited for replenishment, sometimes a day, sometimes two, sometimes a week, sometimes two weeks, that is, it is quite difficult to say how long a specific brigade, a specific unit of the occupying forces receives this or that replenishment, as soon as they receive this or that replenishment, whether in equipment or in manpower, they again try to come across a fairly strong, dynamic the defense of the defense forces of ukraine, well, i see such expectations that we must wait for a new, some kind of offensive offensive, as if by the end of this

week, there is a little regrouping, as if there is some kind of paratroopers going on, and we can expect that they will try, well, first of all probably in the ivanovo area, that's why the bridge was blown up there, it's actually important for them, i understand that ivanovo is very important, because it prevents them from a wider attack there on... the situation is difficult to state, because the enemy is trying to attack not only at the time of the yar , in general, starting from bilogorivka, ending with klishchiivka, even further south in kurtyumivka, and all the way to mayorsk, the enemy is trying to press, that is, dozens, dozens of areas of specific places, sometimes in one city, then in another city, then one landing, then another, the enemy is trying to storm, one village, another a village, then... at the same time several villages, several streets in villages where the demarcation line actually passes through villages, through populated areas, well, i'm abstracting, i'm not saying

specific links there, but in general the tendency is that in one , then in another place the enemy is trying to press and in general it depends, that is, all units of the occupying forces, they were given the task of advancing, in particular, it is really, unfortunately, very difficult, a difficult situation under the time gap, the enemy is pressing and we... understand that when the enemy trying to advance physically, that is the use of armored vehicles or manpower, the bombings and the use of artillery that they use are extremely dangerous, they do not stop using artillery, in fact they bombard the near, far rear, zero positions, unfortunately, they try to use, use also artillery, their fire hepter adjustment tools, not just fill in the squares, as they used to do. namely, to try to lead, i.e. to shoot aimed shots at the positions of the defense forces, there is a certain danger in this, so we as artillery units of our brigade

understand our responsibility in counter-battery fighting counter-battery duels. and this is such a gap between the capabilities of our artillery there and that of russia, it still exists, is the situation improving little by little, well, there they said a little less than 30 to... one was even at one point, 30 to one was in the 22nd year, when the enemy simply lined up in echelons, batteries, divisions and simply tried to plow through and, in principle, began to use this tactic of an endless barrage of fire, when they don't go to the usual assault battle there, first they plow through everything, and then try to advance, now lately the trend is 1:10, one... but here it is critically important to understand the different technical and tactical indicators of the enemy's artillery and the artillery that is provided to us by our western partners . soviet artillery was not

created for aimed shooting, in principle all equipment, all military doctrine, everything that the soviet empire did, which was preparing for the third world war, it planned to overwhelm with quantity, quantity and again quantity, they believed that the guarantee this is the number of their... power, and we clearly understand even the thesis that for one tank of the nato countries, the soviet empire was preparing 10 of its own tanks and understood that physically it is simple, no matter how technically equipped and prepared the tank of the nato countries is, all the same he will not be able to cope with ten enemy tanks at the same time, i emphasize, actually, well , again, and the tactics used by the enemy in artillery are the same, that is, they try to bomb simply in number. western artillery, which is provided to us by our allies,

clearly shows what is important. maximum economy of ammunition and maximum efficiency, therefore in confrontation, in defensive dynamic combat, in defensive dynamic battles, of course parity of fire power, fire fire effect, but also another key indicator, is the aiming, i.e. the destructive ability of this fire effect, is critically important. and here the western artillery samples actually win, because they are much more accurate, easier to target, and faster in quality. niches and have better ammunition, more destructive action, larger caliber, respectively 155 there for 3 mm, but still still bigger, so one well-hit shot can suppress the gun, even when the enemy gun fires there 30 shells or 10 shells or 20 shells, a shot of western artillery is enough less to suppress or destroy the enemy gun, mr. volodymyr, in

general... as far as we are concerned, well, we also partly use soviet-style artillery, but how is this process happening in dynamics, well, because, well, do we really still need a large supply of ammunition, or do we have a gradual withdrawal of this artillery, well, because the barrels wear out there in an elementary way and are not restored, how dynamic is the replacement, so to speak, now there is such and such a proportion of nato-style artillery there, such and such a proportion is still soviet, so we can now how to evaluate it? i will make a certain analogy, when i am asked if there is enough ammunition, i say there is enough ammunition, it is only when it is lying in storage and not being used, all enemy targets are destroyed, or there are no targets for shoot these ammunitions, that

's enough... ammunitions, the same way i model for weapons, for weapons, from machine guns, from pistols, from handguns, to artillery of the largest caliber, as long as there is an enemy presence, as long as there is an enemy build-up, as long as there are logistics the enemy, while they are present in their positions, on their zero lines, and not knocked out of their zero lines, not knocked out of their reserves, not knocked out of their rear, anything that fires, anything that can fire those ammunitions that... in fact now available, everything must be used, we have everything to use for our victory, in order to maximally repel that enemy pressure and maximally pressure the enemy, starting again with the maxim machine guns, which are still in use and show a certain effectiveness and have certain technical characteristics, in fact they shoot, cartridges up to there are them and they can mow down the occupier, finishing, well, i also model quite

effective... 82-caliber bn targets, 37-37, i emphasize, just as effective are 120-caliber mortars of 38, they use that defense forces, that, unfortunately, the occupiers use these systems, and starting from this, weapons are used quite often, precisely those that were actively used during the second world war, and newer ones, so everything that shoots, everything , which... can destroy the occupier, everything is used, of course, we clearly understand that for something there is more ammunition, for something there is less ammunition, but these are already such, such narrow details that should not be spread, well, in fact, there is no time , thank you very much, volodymyr nazarenko, senior lieutenant, officer of the artillery of the freedom battalion of the fourth brigade of the national guard, rubizh, joined us, and our time is over, i remind you once again

about the muster, please join. qr in front of you is for the repair of armored vehicles, well, stay with the espresso tv channel, after all. it's 6 p.m. in ukraine, and to your attention is a news release on the espresso tv channel. in the studio of iryna koval. greetings to all viewers. today, from 18:00 to 23:00, power outages are possible across the territory of ukraine, ukrenergo warned. there they emphasized the restrictions, which will be distributed evenly across all regions. also in the company pointed out that deficits.