since the autumn of last year, this is how we are exterminating them, they must be replaced, these are also people who must be brought into service, if they could create these units so quickly, then they would not withdraw a full brigade of marines from the far east and send would bring it to ukraine, realizing that they will never be able to return it back, or in a strategic sense do they still have a margin of safety in terms of human resources, they have up to 3 million people, they have a mobilization resource of kalashnikov assault rifles previous empire produced more than 100 million, of course there are no 100 million in warehouses, but kalashnikov assault rifles are still being produced, this production does not stop, there are still thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of tons of cartridges in warehouses, cartridge and projectile factories are loaded to full capacity, that is, infantry shafts are completely it is probable that they will form them, however, i do not share the point of view that the strongest and heaviest blow... should

take place at the end of may or at the beginning of june, in order to bring such a wave of people into line, at least 3-4 months, if they manage to reach the declared indicators for the month of september, then it will be a success for them, huh, that is, you don't think that in may-june you can expect something like this, well, massive, i very, very correctly placed the accents, i i do not rule out that those 30, 15, 25,000 can go on the attack. yes they can, why can't they, they can, but what result will they achieve if they want to break through 40 km, well, this is a huge section of the march, huge, so much more power is needed, that's my position, i'm not saying that, that this will not happen, i claim that it is unlikely, but look, for example, can we expect, well, for example, an attack on vovchansk with the aim of getting behind our kupyan group for this? these forces are in principle

sufficient on the one hand, and on the other hand we are now seeing an intensification of fighting in the kupyansk direction, on the kupyansk, limansk, well , that is, in that area, it is quite logical, quite logical, the resurgence of fighting there, why, that that in their understanding they still have a chance to reach the administrative borders of donetsk region, they have such a chance, at least that's how they paint it, that they still have to fulfill this task, they have to bring to the occupation zone an immeasurable amount of... diverse physical resources, and first of all the lyman-kupyan direction, especially kupyansk itself, kupyansk kuzlovy, this is the railway, that's all that is happening there, there have been intensified, active combat operations there for several weeks, there is nothing fundamentally new. well, if we talk about an exit, an attempt to exit to the borders of the donetsk and luhansk regions, then, in principle, this is now a relaxation along the entire front line, starting from kupyan. then there was time and there was also time

in principle, well, it’s like a preparation, and an attempt to advance further in the pokrovsky direction or the turkish one, rather, by the way, how do you evaluate it, will it still be turkish or pokrovsky, i don’t know, i don’t know what direction they will take chosen for the main assault because there is a third law of war, it sounds very very simple: covert maneuver, and they will try to... implement it, the general philosophies, i 'll probably say that about the fourth time, nothing changes for them, daughter and luhansk region in its entirety, donetsk region is currently 57% occupied, and 43% still needs to be passed, and no matter which location we choose, do not discuss and analyze in the very logic of the conduct of the battle and the tactics of the implementation of this task, nothing will change. and tell me, mr. peter, from your point of view, these are... these attempts

to revive hostilities and somehow, well, it is possible to prepare a simultaneous offensive at several points at once, in order to overextend our forces, what could be the timing of all this? you already said that you don't really think that they will have time to prepare now, it is rather autumn, but in autumn we can expect more weapons to arrive, that is, it also creates additional ones for them. well , the difficulties, well, that is, according to the idea , they have to somehow manage to get to us before the new weapons, the same planes, for example, f16, this is how they can play, this is the window of opportunity, so that it does not close, and on the other hand, to be in time, in my opinion, they have a window of opportunity for a few weeks, no more, the first billion- dollar package has been declared, there are a lot of things we need, primarily cluster munitions. and it is declared that

already, well, i don’t know, there was information back in march, in june the first f-16 was in operation, now the main thesis of the day is on the agenda, which they write down somewhere inside the summer. it is difficult for me to say when they will really work, but whether a large influx of weapons, primarily artillery ammunition, cluster ammunition for m-142 hymers and m-270 and especially a large number of atakams missiles in combination with the work of the f16 can change something, can and can fundamentally change. if the f-16 solves the problem of preschool corrected air bombs 250-500 up 1500, per day they drop them along the entire line of neutralization. within the limits of up to 120 units and it is possible to solve the problem with the f-16, because they should shoot down the su 34, then this will allow us to refocus, and with a sufficient amount of artillery, even to go into counterattack operations, but everything rests on the number of weapons and their speed to management,

that's all i can say in that direction, and how can the russians in general prepare for the arrival of the mf-16, well, we periodically hear these cries to bomb there... romania, but it seems to me, not very such a realistic perspective, but what is realistic? a realistic perspective is the use of s500 complexes, there are not many of them, somewhere within 30 launchers, but this is really a breakthrough technology in their understanding, they can calculate the target up to 800 km and, i emphasize, they can shoot down precisely such aerodynamic targets at a distance somewhere up to 600 km, this is their only answer they can... well of course they will try to hunt for their storage locations, but i am sure that the technologies defense have reached such a high level, especially in the part that concerns the underground basing of aircraft, that they will not be able to hunt down even at least one unit,

they do not have and cannot have more options for answers, but when they talk about underground storage, which is capable of , well, the taurus, for example, is a missile that just works on underground bunkers, and... is there something similar to the taurus? well, the x47 m2 kenjal just worked on such options, but considering the way they hit, they can't penetrate several tens of meters down to get to the gas field, i doubt that, especially in the carpathian zone, where the very magnitude of the carpathians opposes them, and finding such a point there, which would be confirmed that it can be affected, is very important. and this is a very delicate topic, i do not advise developing it in a thorough analysis, the enemy will listen to our every word. well, yes, i will agree with you here, let it be more trouble for them than for us. well , you know, i want more of the same, again, now

russia has announced this training, application namely tactical nuclear weapons, well, it is obvious that for them this is some new round of intimidation of the west, a new round. attempts to stop the supply of weapons to ukraine, but, well, watching how they conduct, try to conduct these exercises, what would you say, what does it look like and how realistic is it that they will actually conduct them with the equipment of nuclear weapons, or we will just see as always some kind of bigger thing like that, there is one point in the categories that are very wrongly pounded that is this tactical nuclear weapons in the correct military sense are 152 mm artillery shells, 2003 mm 2s7 pion installation and there is even a 240 mm active-reactive minometer 2s4 plyupan, this is a tactical nuclear weapon, then you need

to put the emphasis very correctly, because this is all that can be put na na na iskander, this is already an operational weapon of the highest order, i can’t imagine how such a missile during combat exercises with... can explode in belarus, they don’t imagine, the soviet union will do this in the deep rear , all the way to the urals in the orenburg oblast did he build a village in northern kazakhstan? special, special training grounds or even in kamchatka for testing strategic nuclear warheads, well , it’s actually more of a bluff here at the moment, although , again, you can expect anything from them... whatever, the most difficult problem is if one nuclear projectile explodes and not even on the territory of russia and not on the territory of non -occupied ukraine, but let's say somewhere in donetsk in the donetsk region, exactly the zone that is occupied, how to answer this? for

us, it will have no meaning, i emphasize no, tactical nuclear weapons are very powerful overestimated, it was developed precisely in order to break concrete company supports. energy to take tens and tens of thousands of tons of the explosion as such, but how to respond to the western world, i don’t know, and why this is happening right now, there is hope for a large number of new weapons, there is hope for the f-16 and europe is beginning to engage in rhetoric of application nato troops on the territory of ukraine, and what else they have to answer for, they cannot offer anything new in the conventional sense, i will emphasize all possible types of weapons. all possible types of weapons except nuclear, used against us, and

more than 10,000 missiles were fired, it broke the battle line, kid, no, it sowed panic and tail among the ukrainians, no, they no longer have any other means of intimidation, thank you, thank you petro chernyk, military expert, colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, we have to go on a break now, i also remind you about our collection for... equipment for the repair of heavy armored vehicles in the combat zone, join this collection, please, and now we have pause, then we 'll talk a little more about the direction time gap with another guest. lakalut fix reliably fixes, my dentist advised me, it also reduces inflammation of the gums, and the price is good, economical. studies have proven that lacal fix protects the jawbone and fixes it five times more reliably. prosthesis, so your choice is lacalfix, buy with a 30% discount in the

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brigade of the armed forces of ukraine. let's stick together. so, back to the conversation. these are the chronicles of the war. i am olga len, and therefore i remind you once again about the collection for the repair of heavy armored vehicles in the combat zone in the solodarsk, zaporozhye direction. here is ours, the account number, there is a qr code, and it is primarily on a minibus that delivers repair teams to the war zone, as well as pneumatic-hydraulic jacks for prompt foreign repairs. equipment, and we were joined by volodymyr nazarenko, senior lieutenant, officer of the artillery of the svoboda battalion, the fourth brigade of the rubizh national guard, i congratulate you, mr. nazar, oh, volodymyr, gentlemen, please excuse me, good day, studio, good afternoon, viewers, thank you for the opportunity to come to you, mr. volodymyr, well

, look, what is under the timer, well , it seems... on the one hand, there are constant attempts to attack and everything, but on the other hand side, as if some forces are even accumulating, at least this is what various analysts who observe what is happening are talking about it, and the fact that time is an important direction for the russians says that the russian airborne troops are concentrated there, which are conducting an offensive there, this in particular... the 98th airborne division from ivanovo and the 11th a separate airborne assault brigade, i want to ask you exactly how you see, that is , the troops are accumulating, you see this accumulation, are they preparing for something, is it going as it goes all the time, that is, is there some kind of dynamic in all of this? i agree with

your first and second thesis, the situation really seems to be going as it is going, that's exactly what was said. it is quite appropriate, how can one characterize in principle the tactics, the general tactics, the general tendency of the enemy's actions, in most cases we clearly understand that the enemy's tactics depend on the unit, on forces that receive this or that task, that have their own area, their own responsibility, in which they received the task, generally during days, weeks, and months, i will not be afraid of this word and years, the enemy received the task in the east, in the direction of bakhmut, to carry out maximum pressure. previously, they chose a specific population center and pressed, pressed, pressed, and all their actual meat assaults, technical assaults, all their metallobrukt simply chose a specific area and tried to advance there and simply sharpened their forces. now during the last for several months, actually at the beginning of winter, from

autumn, from the end, including winter with the onset of more or less... good weather conditions, favorable weather conditions, the enemy chose the tactic of pressing with the widest possible front at many points, in many places, in many populated areas, in general, it is hundreds of kilometers, in general, the northern tens of kilometers north and south of bakhmut, these are other directions, such as kupyansky, such as lymansky, such as vdiivsk, such as again the southern sections of the front, and along all these fronts. .. there in all these areas one way or another, the enemy makes maximum use of his technology, his equipment, his manpower. the storms are different, as in general infantry with the use of mercenaries, units, there are meat units, such as similar assaults, as there were in 22-23 years, in the bakhmut direction, when the enemy simply

tries to advance with infantry in small groups, small groups , tries to make conveyor attacks, yes, unfortunately, the enemy. actively and uses assaults with the use of armored vehicles, on which the landing party tries to storm, tries to reach our zero positions and land, unfortunately, the enemy can again use a few units or more than a few units of tanks, on which they also use the landing, in general , the enemy's tactics are to accumulate, to get to their zero line, because in most cases, thanks to me as an artilleryman i also say... our artillery units of our fourth brigade of the rubizh national guard clearly understand that when there are any attempts by the enemy to accumulate, concentrate, form some columns, groups, this happens in the rear of the enemy and immediately we we begin to work on these enemy accumulations, on these enemy forces, in principle, any target is a target that we must

destroy in one way or another, a way that is expedient, that is rational, and the enemy in most cases cannot even reach to its zero line, to accumulate, but unfortunately, again, those attempts to storm the enemy, which he... not reserves, but replenishment, which they drained under during one assault, they waited for reinforcements, it is sometimes a day, sometimes two, sometimes a week, sometimes two weeks, that is, it is quite difficult to say how long a specific brigade, a specific division of the occupation forces, receives this or that reinforcement, as soon as they received this or that. replenishment, whether in equipment or in manpower, they are again trying to run into a fairly strong, dynamic defense of the defense forces of ukraine. well, i see

such expectations that we should wait until the end of this week for a new round of offensives, there seems to be a little regrouping some kind of paratroopers and you can expect that they will try, well , first of all, probably in the ivaniv district. that 's why the bridge was blown up there, it's actually important for them, i understand, very ivanivskoe, because it prevents them from starting a wider offensive there at the time of the squirrels, the situation is difficult to confirm, because the enemy is trying to attack not only during the squirrel time, in general, starting from bilogorivka, ending in klishchiivka, even further south in kurdyumivka, and all the way to mayorsk, the enemy is trying to press, i.e. dozens and dozens of areas. specific places, sometimes in one city, then in another city, sometimes one landing, then another landing, the enemy tries to storm, then one village, then another village, then several villages at the same time, several

streets in villages where the demarcation line actually passes through villages, along populated areas, well, i'm abstracting, i'm not saying specific links there, but in general, the tendency is that in one place, then in another, the enemy tries to press and in general it depends, that is, all units of the occupying forces, they were given... permission to advance , in particular, it is really, unfortunately, a very difficult, difficult situation under the time gap, the enemy is pressing, and we clearly understand that when the enemy tries to advance physically, that is, by using armored vehicles or manpower , the bombardment, the use of artillery that they use, they do not stop using artillery, in fact, from bombing near, far rears, zero positions, unfortunately, they are trying to use, use artillery too, their means of fire under the correction of the pter, not just cover the squares, as they used to do, but rather try to fail, that is, to do

aimed shots at force defense positions, there is a certain danger in this, so we as artillery units of our brigade understand our responsibility in counter-battery combat, counter-battery duel, and this is such a gap between the capabilities of our artillery there and the russian one, it still exists, or is the situation improving little by little, well, they said there was a little less than 30 to one, even at some point it was, er, 30 to one was in 22, when the enemy was simply lined up in echelons, batteries, divisions and just tried re-plow and basically started using this tactic of endless shaft of fire when they don't go for normal. there is an assault battle, first they plow everything, and then they try to advance. now, recently, the trend is 1:10, one to five, one to three, but here it is critically important

to understand various technical and tactical indicators, the enemy's artillery and the artillery provided to us by our western partners. soviet artillery was not created for aimed shooting, in principle, all equipment, all military doctrine, everything that the soviet empire did, which was preparing before... the world war, she planned to overwhelm with number, number, and again with number, they believed that the key to their victory was number, and we clearly understand even the thesis that for one tank of the nato countries, the soviet empire was preparing 10 of its own tanks and understood that physically it is simple, no matter how technically equipped and prepared the tank of the nato countries is. all the same, he will not be able to cope with ten tanks of the enemy at the same time .

they are trying to bomb simply by the number of bombs, but the western artillery, which our allies provide us, clearly shows that maximum economy of ammunition and maximum efficiency are important, therefore, in the confrontation, in the defensive dynamic struggle in the defensive dynamic battles, it is of course critically important parity in firepower, firepower, firepower, but another key indicator is aiming, that is , the destructive ability of this... impact, and here the western artillery samples actually win, because they are much more accurate, lighter guided, faster, better quality and have better ammunition, more destructive action, larger caliber, respectively 155 tam for 3 mm, but still larger, so one well-hit shot can suppress the gun, even when the enemy gun releases 30 tam shells or 10 shells or

20... shells are enough fewer shots of western artillery to suppress or destroy an enemy gun. mr. volodymyr, in general, assess to what extent we, well, we also partially use soviet-style artillery, but how does this process take place in dynamics, well, therefore well, do we really still need a large supply of ammunition, or are we gradually withdrawing it? well, because the barrels there wear out in a basic way and are not restored, so how dynamic is the replacement, so to speak , now there is such and such a proportion of nato-style artillery there, such and such a proportion is still soviet, so can we somehow estimate it now ? and i will give a certain analogy, when they ask me if there is enough ammunition, i say enough ammunition, it is only when

they are lying. composition and not used all enemy targets are destroyed or have no targets to shoot with these ammo then that's enough ammo, also i model for weapons, for weapons ranging from machine gun, from pistol to rifle, to artillery of the largest caliber, as long as there is an enemy presence , as long as there is enemy accumulation, as long as there is enemy logistics, as long as they are present in their positions, on their zero lines and not knocked out of their zero lines. their reserves are not knocked out, their rears are not knocked out, everything that shoots, everything that can shoot with the ammunition that actually available now, everything must be used, everything must be used for our victory, in order to repel as much as possible the pressure of the enemy and put as much pressure on the enemy as possible, starting again with the maxim machine guns, which are still in use and show a certain effectiveness and have certain technical characteristics, in fact... they

shoot, there are cartridges for them, and they can mow down the occupier, finishing, well, i also model quite effective mortars of 82 caliber bm 37-37, i emphasize, equally effective mortars of 120- th caliber of the 38th year are used by the defense forces, that, unfortunately, the occupiers use these systems, and since then weapons have been used quite often... precisely those that were actively used during the second world war, and newer ones, so everything that shoots , everything that can destroy the occupier, everything is used, of course, we clearly understand that for something there is more ammunition, for something there is less ammunition, but these are already such, such narrow details that should not be disseminated, and we really have time no, thank you very much, volodymyr nazarenko, senior lieutenant, an artillery officer of the freedom battalion of the fourth

brigade on... national guard rubizh joined us, well, our time is over, i remind you once again about the collection, please join, the qr code is in front of you, it is for the repair of armored vehicles, and stay tuned to the spresso tv channel , eventually. it's 2 p.m. in ukraine and we have a news release on the espresso tv channel in the studio of iryna koval. greetings to all the viewers and i will just now tell you about the most important events. an elderly woman died in the morning due to shelling of the esman community in sumy oblast, and her granddaughter was injured.