Skip to main content

tv   [untitled]    May 12, 2024 2:00am-2:31am EEST

2:00 am
two hours to keep abreast of economic and sports news, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become their own languages ​​for many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio: the events of the day in two hours, vasyl zima's big broadcast, a project for smart and caring people , in the evening for espresso. bereber program together with crimean tatars. joint broadcast of the crimean tatar channel atp and the spresso tv channel, andriy yanitskyi and gulsum khalilova in the studio, and today with us in the second part of the program valentina potapova, head of the national advocacy center of civic education almenda. ms. valentina, salam aleikum, welcome. salam aleikum, i congratulate you. this week it became known that the russian occupiers sent additional fsb units to the temporary occupation.
2:01 am
crimea, can we talk about that, and could this indicate that repression against the citizens of ukraine, against the crimean tatars on the territory of the temporarily occupied peninsula will increase? it is very difficult for me to understand the logic of the fsb, but i can make an assumption that the repression will increase in the future. the pressure will increase, and any manifestation of the position regarding the support of ukraine, or regarding the definition of the ukrainian civic identity will, well , be intensified, will be intensified by repressions on the part of the occupiers, so we also connect this with... the fact that on may 18, we remember the date of
2:02 am
the deportation of the crimean tatars and the fsb officers visit the crimean activists and warn that under no circumstances should they go to rallies or organize any actions, this is their traditional preventive work, but this time we see that it has been somewhat intensified. perhaps this is due to the fact that the period of admission to ukrainian educational institutions is going on and... we know that many crimean schoolchildren are actually considering the possibility of studying in the free ukrainian territory, how does this happen physically, are there still crimeans who can physically leave from crimea and come to ukrainian educational institutions, do they study in some way online, or is it mainly for those who already managed to leave earlier before the admin border with crimea turned into a de facto... battlefield, and here you are, actually
2:03 am
two questions, well, the first question is that this year is the anniversary of the deportation of the crimean tatars, which is a very sad date, and we can really observe the increase of pressure and intimidation on the part of the russian federation. back in 14-15 years, our public organization drew attention to the fact that the occupiers forbid the crimean tatars to determine this tragic commemorative date, and then we held a competition among teachers of ukraine to develop lessons and the subject of this competition. there was a right to
2:04 am
memory, and thousands of teachers of ukraine accepted participation in this contest in order to draw the attention of schoolchildren of ukraine to this event that took place on may 18, 1944, so this is one question that is related to the previous question, and the second question that you ... asked , it is about whether there is a possibility of admission to ukrainian educational institutions from crimea, and yes, there is such a possibility, moreover, now there are a lot of certain actions on the part of the state to improve... the situation of admission to
2:05 am
ukrainian educational institutions from temporarily occupied territories, in particular from crimea, but the possibility that was... provided during covid, after the full-scale invasion, it has been improved, it's admission by video link, video conference, it's taking exams via video conference, when you don't have to leave the occupied peninsula. ah, this is, uh, a certain simplification, ah, of taking exams, and this year, uh, um, community organizations, ah, in partnership with the office of
2:06 am
the human rights commissioner, conducted monitoring educational centers that provide such an opportunity for simplified admission, and conducted a survey of students from temporarily. of the occupied territories that entered after the start of the full-scale invasion, and the results of these studies, they will be presented on may 22, but i can make a certain spoiler about the challenges that exist and the challenges that the state needs to take, well, what actions. .. the state needs to do to overcome these challenges, well, first of all, it is the problem of emigration, and it is necessary to improve the system - admission video and distance education, and these are challenges related to
2:07 am
social support of children who decide to leave after all, because unlike their...peers, they cannot get support from their parents, because you know that parents cannot send money from crimea now, they cannot send any help there in the form of food, some goodies or something like that, and we looked , well, most of the children live on a very small budget, and... their answers are that they don't have the opportunity, even, well, they only have the opportunity to buy food and clothes, and so, in our opinion, the government needs to pay attention to this problem , these children go
2:08 am
in one direction, and this, well, and other challenges, which we have identified, and which we hope will be heard by the state, not only by the ministry of education, but also by the ministry of social policy, and the ministry of youth and sports, the ministry of reintegration and other state authorities. ms. valentina, are there currently any statistics of crimean applicants who entered ukrainian universities since the beginning of the large-scale invasion, if compared to 2022, is this number increasing or vice versa? unfortunately, this figure, why was this monitoring carried out at all, and this survey because we saw that the entry in 2023 gave us shockingly low numbers,
2:09 am
and even the entry in the 22nd year entered 137 children from the temporarily occupied territory of crimea, in the 20th... the third year only entered 86 children, uh, but well, almost in half, although the conditions were the same, yes, that in the 22nd year, that in the 23rd year there was already a full-scale war. and this is a technical question, excuse me, please, i just have friends who want to go to ukrainian universities, but the question is whether they will be able to return later, for example, what leave, return to crimea and work there with this diploma, will the russian occupiers not accept them? and i can tell you that for its part, the russian federation has not yet taken certain steps regarding the rejection of ukrainian
2:10 am
diplomas, the russian federation recognizes ukrainian diplomas, and theoretically they can return... in fact, i understand that a person who receives an education precisely in ukraine, well , not really... she will already be favorably hired there with a ukrainian diploma, which was obtained during the period of full-scale war, this is my assumption, this is my personal opinion, but we all understand that a ukrainian diploma is a prestigious diploma, because russian diplomas, for example, and diplomas issued on the territory of temporarily occupied crimea, they are simply not validated and nowhere easy. yes, this is exactly what i wanted to continue, but when we
2:11 am
did this survey of students, and there was a question, what is your motivation, and why are you entering ukrainian universities, and there you can say that you can determine, well, such three yes motivations that have more than 70% of of the answers that were given. and you know, it was very nice that the majority's motivation is a sense of civic identity, this is 71% of the answers. in second place is the prospect of, well, employment, life prospect, yes, life path, the opportunity to enter higher education institutions abroad, and... that's another 71%, so that's why they choose ukrainian
2:12 am
education, and it's really true, because for students from the temporarily occupied territories, and in particular from the crimea, there are now many international study programs abroad in very... well-known universities with grant support, well, we collected such information at the request of those with whom we communicate from crimea, we transferred this information in order for them to spread it among crimeans, and also why, in my opinion, you should still choose to study in ukrainian higher education institutions, this is... because you see that now we will have a very strong lack
2:13 am
of personnel reserves after the deoccupation, very much, and valentina potapova, head of the national advocacy department of the almen center for civic education, i will remind you our viewers, we continue to communicate, but i would like to ask all viewers who are currently watching this broadcast to subscribe to the espresso youtube channels, the atp youtube channel and... and comment on this video, that's how youtube works, if you don't do it, then no one will see us, and this important information about admission to ukrainian universities will also be seen by fewer people than it could, also you can copy the link to this video and send it to your friends in crimea, only use safe messengers, we do not recommend telegram, we do not recommend viber, any other messengers, well, you know better which ones are safe, ms. valentina, are you still with us? yes, i am fine with you, let's move on to another topic, i
2:14 am
understand about the numbers you mentioned, that the number of people, schoolchildren, who choose ukrainian universities is decreasing, for objective reasons, because it is more difficult to leave, but there is another reason, this is a huge russian propaganda machine that is unfolding in crimea, and here we have a video of how in artek, the occupiers forced 3,500... children to go through the so-called immortal regiment for this week, these children this the procession was led by veterans of artek, participants in the war against ukraine of occupy ukraine, representatives of the russian investigative committee, school teams from various regions, cadets of the black sea higher naval school named after nakhimov, well, we actually remember how the national anthem of ukraine was sung on khimovka when the russians invaded ... in 2014, and then these guys continued their service in the naval forces of ukraine.
2:15 am
well, that is, mrs. valentina, we see that this is simply the militarization of the children's consciousness, but what should we do about it, what will we do next what to do with it, when the deoccupation of the peninsula will already happen? you know, unlike you, i'm a people... who, being the same age as those we just saw in the video, was in the soviet union, yes in us. there were also a lot of events when they took us out there, they tried to throw something into our heads, ah, but, in fact, children perceive it as such, you know, very strong coercion, and when they are
2:16 am
teenagers, the reaction can be the opposite the other one, huh, but... it's not to be underestimated the propaganda machine that's being directed now on children in crimea and other occupied territories, and what to do about it, in order to somehow overcome it, already today we need to develop programs, well, let's call them rehabilitation programs, programs... to restore civic identity, but until we need to prepare for this today, and we need to take certain steps for the state so that we already have ready teachers who will understand that the children who were in the temporarily occupied
2:17 am
territory are actually victims of the occupation, and that what they can... . to tell the teacher about that ukraine is a nazi state, and something like that, that it's just, well, you know, a manifestation of a certain infection, i don't know how to say, because i really don't want to say the word disease, well, it could also be a teenage protest, we know , that in fact children at such a pubescent age can say very unpleasant things to their parents and ... and it is not necessarily related to the war and behave defiantly, everything is clear here, but what you said really inspires me , that in the soviet union there were children who wore these red handkerchiefs and who taught that marxism, leninism, did not really believe
2:18 am
in it, i hope that in the century of the free internet, crimean children will too. have critical thinking and understand what is really happening, it is another matter that sometimes they cannot say about it publicly, simply because there will be problems both at school and with their parents, and in the future there may be problems with their career, we understand all this, if you know, we communicate, well, it so happened that we communicated with students who were temporarily occupied... almost where years, and you know what is inspiring, that these students who are now in ukraine, we had a meeting in lviv, what, well, they are very smart people, they are very responsible towards their mission, they understand that they need to return home, that they
2:19 am
need to change , and they tell that in reality everything is not as bad as it is painted. but we need to take certain actions on the part of the state and at the international level in order to stop russia. well, you saw, yes , the decision regarding the ban on teaching in the ukrainian language, unfortunately, unfortunately, the decision regarding the crimean-tatar language, it was not so, well, unambiguous, and it seems to me. that we still need to return to this issue, because in fact we see that if the occupiers show certain figures regarding access to the native crimean-tatar language, they have hardly changed, in fact we understand that this is such
2:20 am
a large potemkin village, it is very important a topic that deserves. separate broadcast, and i hope that in our other broadcasts of the atr and espress tv channels, we will discuss this topic in more detail, the topic of the crimean tatar language and the ukrainian language, the suppression of these languages on the territory of the temporarily occupied peninsula, thank you very much, mr. valentin, for taking the time to join our broadcast, the head of the national advocacy department of the almenda civic education center was with us on the broadcast, we talked about education in crimea, more precisely about... . of the ukrainian world for the residents of crimea, it is still available, it is still possible, and we believe that the best crimean students actually come to ukrainian universities and study. if only the ukrainian state would help with this, stay with us, we will meet soon next week, korushkenzha, goodbye,
2:21 am
glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers, on espresso tv channel, studio zahid program, we will analyze traditionally the most important events. this week. our guests today are glen grant and mark fagen. our first guest is retired british army colonel glen grant, a military expert. glory to ukraine, dear mr. colonel. well, first of all , i would like us to analyze the great russian offensive of may and june, right? many analysts talked about it, and so did we of course, complex bloody battles, it is not only about the donetsk region, but about the front line in general, if we analyze the enemy's preparations for large-scale actions, what will they be, in your opinion and in the opinion of
2:22 am
military experts of various western countries? in fact, it is quite difficult to judge now and i will try to explain why: firstly, the situation on the ukrainian front was not the best in the last 2-3 months: there were failures in many places, but if you look at the map on a... large scale, the number of lost territories , in compared to the size of ukraine, it is actually quite small, but of course, nobody likes to lose villages. so, the russians managed to advance, but in the south , the ukrainian troops on the east bank seem to be holding up pretty well, despite the loss, they manage to hold their positions, and this is impressive, there are even rumors that there are a lot of russians in the south... on the other hand, the russian side is not as strong as we imagine. at the moment, the biggest concern is the talk that
2:23 am
russia may launch an attack dynamically develop it. my contacts say that russia is indeed massing troops for a potential attack somewhere probably east or south of bakhmut. however, you should wait and see if it will be enough. the russians have the strength for such an offensive, given the significant number of casualties and the loss of weapons and equipment they have suffered. there is also talk of a possible attack from the north, particularly towards kharkiv or sumy, but again, i have not seen any us or uk intelligence to indicate significant troop movements in the area. seems to that these rumors originate mainly from'. the ukrainian general staff, and not from the international community, which probably has access to satellite intelligence. the key question now is how much aid will flow to
2:24 am
ukraine over the next few months, and where it will be used. analysts cannot predict this, since the government and the general staff do not disclose their strategic plans, as to where and how they are going to pressure russia. however, they must operate in the central part as they continue to retreat unacceptable, both from a political and a military point of view. it is necessary to put pressure on russia, whether through a counteroffensive or in some other way. perhaps it would be worthwhile to pay more attention to the south, in particular to the kherson region. as for zaporozhye, it is now a special region with a strong defense and a rather static situation. it is not clear whether russia will try to do something there, we know that russia will continue to press, it is not known what and it is not known where. we also do not
2:25 am
know where ukraine will direct the aid it will receive from the united states and of europe so there's a lot to predict, but we're likely to see some dynamic developments over the next few months as both sides. will exert pressure on each other, possibly in the current or other places. hopefully, over the next three to four weeks, we'll start to get more information and understanding of what's really going on. well, we understand that the classic russian scheme is an offensive until the end of the offensive impulse, that is, in simple language, when the personnel ends, so we understand that the russians now i will prepare... a certain number of reservists, trained them, and here is the key story: in your opinion, mr. colonel, will they be ready to open additional front hotlines, yes
2:26 am
, those lines that could... well, until a certain time , they were as if sleepy, in particular, for example, will this apply to kharkiv and kharkiv region, yes, in addition to the kupinsky direction, they can also apply certain or other sections of the front, there is also the issue of sumy region, this is midnight, and of course, the zaporizhzhia direction you already mentioned, but key history, if we operate with the number of russian interventionists, trained and already available on the front line, as it is, will it be enough? forces, and at the same time we are also aware that, most likely, russia is not just entering the may-june offensive campaign. rather, we are entering a new phase of the war. good question. we know they've been mobilizing and you mentioned training, but if they haven't had time to train people properly, and in principle, we haven't seen any evidence of quality training on the russian side for
2:27 am
the last period, then... did they manage to conduct vocational training now? i mean, the crews of tanks and armored personnel carriers obviously do not know their way around. this can be seen in the videos where the soldiers do not act in a coordinated manner. therefore , russian tactics at the moment are to destroy the front as much as possible with the help of its artillery and guided aerial bombs, to make it impossible for ukrainian soldiers to stay in the trenches, and therefore to attack... with as much cannon fodder as possible, i don't think that anything from this will change, what can change is the ability of the ukrainian side to use artillery and counter-battery fire to destroy the enemy's artillery potential. however, where are they going to attack? i have no idea, maybe they don't even know yet, but you can be sure that if they have enough strength, they will continue their attack
2:28 am
where they... think the weakest position will be. this is russian policy: they push through, probe, and then consolidate success. it's hard to say right now because we analysts, we do not have enough information. in particular, with regard to how many soldiers ukraine has in various directions, there are certainly weak points. we know this because soldiers are reporting it on facebook and elsewhere. but do the russians understand where these weak points are? this is unknown to me, we will only know when they attack and where they will direct their energy. until that moment, i think, we should not make empty predictions. is there already an understanding, for example, that the enemy with artillery barrels and with artillery systems, right? perhaps there is also an understanding of what is happening to the enemy's heavy armored vehicles. so we understand that offensive momentum is not only about
2:29 am
manpower, but also about technique, right? we understand how many enemy armored vehicles and enemy artillery systems were destroyed by our fighters. this is a very good question. my answer is this: if you take into account the current way of fighting, then yes, they lack armored vehicles. they don't use their machines in the way we usually imagine in the west. they operate with ones and twos, which shows about their shortage. now they produce more, but it remains. it is an open question whether they will continue to disperse them along the entire front line or, on the contrary, concentrate them to carry out concentrated armored attacks. however, to carry out such attacks requires properly trained personnel, which they clearly lack, and it is not only a lack of armored vehicles, since there is probably still enough of them, but also a shortage of trained crews to
2:30 am
operate them. loss of experienced tanks crews, in particular due to injuries, led to a reduction in their number. is russia making a significant effort to covertly train personnel, perhaps, as there is no satellite evidence to indicate such an effort. previously, american intelligence effectively monitored activities in russia, but since 2021, no such reports have been received. this suggests that... they may be canning their armor until they can muster enough personnel to make a breakthrough. in in the coming months, they will likely deploy all the assets at their disposal on the front lines. however, the mobilization of a large number of vehicles is associated with certain difficulties, since there is a high risk that ukrainian intelligence can detect and neutralize such a concentration.

12 Views

info Stream Only

Uploaded by TV Archive on