capitals will face difficult questions, but there is no fixed solution on this matter yet, and this is obvious because some countries, such as italy, show weakness on this issue because they do not feel a direct threat. so, the first factor is if there will be a major russian breakthrough, the second factor is whether there will be a russian attack on nato. now in zmi, the intelligence services of many european countries assume that... is planning powerful hybrid attacks on the european capital, and not a campaign on europe, and this may be a separate issue, since article five has always been about responding to a ground invasion, however, putin appears to be focusing more on other tactics such as missiles, communications disruption, intense cyber warfare, and anything that could undermine the ability of european countries to support ukraine, it is not yet.. .has led to

the use of article five or even article four for negotiations, so we are not sure how strong the collective european responsibility will be if the war turns in russia's favor, and yet i am sure that by they will reach a common denominator in this regard, because poland, germany, france and great britain fear that the situation will worsen and affect them. there are currently no concrete plans or. decisions, there is a recognition that we may have to resort to more serious action. however, i believe that there is not only recognition, but also readiness for such actions. recently, the president of the united states signed macroeconomic aid for ukraine, more than 61 billion dollars. the amount is huge. on the other hand, we are also aware that the russians are throwing in its defense is also huge money. well , actually, if you try to compare now...

here are the proportions, this is not about money, but about specific military equipment, i don't think that the russian side manages to equalize any proportions, they can only continue to do what they are doing now, so now we just have to assume that whatever russia succeeds in, it will be something close to what they are doing now, because in order to implement something radically different and complex, it is necessary to have completely different systems of training and... equipment, so russia will continue to act in its spirit and pace, especially if new sanctions from the european union and the united states will really increase the pressure on iran, north korea and all those countries that support russia. the list of these countries includes switzerland, austria and china. so i think we will see changes in the coming months, namely an increase in sanctions pressure to try to reduce and stop it. the ability of

russia to do something different from what it is doing now on the territory of ukraine. personally i really wish there was a lot more focus on supporting the soldiers on the front lines because we are still losing too many because they are not properly equipped. i constantly communicate with people at the front who simply have no one and nothing to fight for. in my opinion, we waste too much time, all the time. biting on something big, how much we talked about tanks, how much we talk about f-16 fighters, how much money we spent on incomprehensible what, let's not forget about building ships for ukraine in turkey, it turns out, we wasted time and money, although in fact, if we had immediately started making grenades, grenade launchers, mortars, mortar ammunition, that is, basic things, we would not be where we are now, because russia would not have been able break through. line of defense,

ukrainian soldiers would have something to stop it. so while we're worrying about f-16s and other big things, i'd like 3-4 months of energy to go into providing the front with the ammunition and weapons necessary to hold positions, fight, and keep soldiers alive at the same time , because there will be no successful counteroffensive without good soldiers, professionally trained soldiers. worth their weight in gold, it is they who form a locomotive that will manage to break through the enemy's defenses, it is almost impossible to do this with those who lack training. thank you very much, mr. colonel, for this extensive, extremely in-depth analysis, i would like to remind our viewers that now espresso has a retired british army colonel, a military expert, glen grant. god save the king, and glory to ukraine. thank you very much. is

discounts represent coco discounts may per leg. 15% in pharmacies plantain, memory and savings. moscow spared no expense to promote its culture. russian culture was imposed on us as the culture of a superior nation. tchaikovsky's name in the name of the kyiv conservatory ominously hangs over the symbolic cemetery on the maidan. he mocks the memory of the dead and warns the living. we will be back. where did you get the strength, mom, tell me, to do everything, to hide fatigue, to stay awake, to teach, to sympathize with me, such a small one, as you

managed day after day, despite work, affairs, school, find time for our friendship, i'll never forget it, now i know it's love, don't call me either... it's a shame, you're the closest in the world, mom, and i'm terribly grateful for everything. mark fegin, a figure of the russian opposition in emigration, a former state duma deputy, and a well-known video blogger, will be working on the air of the tv channel. glory to ukraine, mark, congratulations. glory to the heroes, i am happy to welcome all the viewers. well, nothing particularly strange happened. putin crowned himself with... made several extremely powerful throws, we didn't feel anything positive there, but this means that the line for war will most likely continue, so putin is in power, his politburo is in power, well, they threw a man in the shoyug from the cage, but, but, but,

mark would ask you now to analyze the most important, most dangerous putin messages. at the very beginning, it should be noted that there are three new factors in connection with this inauguration. there was nothing special there, everything was the same, a set of words, slogans, etc., but from the point of view of the political situation there is a peculiarity: firstly, this inauguration took place during the war, that is, putin took part in similar measures, continuing its power, but still not against the background of a full-scale war in eastern europe, it leaves its mark. in his speech, he again spoke about the heroes of the svo, about respect for their military work, etc. and secondly, in 2020, he extended his mandate in a fake referendum, and this is the first time when he simply nullifies the previous term, changing the constitution to suit himself, we saw this with lukashenko, and in other places, maduro, the late worked in venezuela, this is also an important step for putin,

this is the transition to a totalitarian system finally, and according to the personalist type, and such an inauguration means the final attempts to stop decorating one's dictatorship. something used to be made up, now no one is making anything up, everything is too frank, and the 87.5% he entered for himself is an indicator of the same. and probably the third, look, this is the first such inauguration, where the attitude towards him and the march 17 elections of representatives of western countries is determined by the silent non-recognition of his legitimacy. representatives of the french embassy were among the most important ones present, as they were instructed to do so to do it, not because they do it... to the kingdom , the orthodox head of state kirill's speech, of course, they are employees of one of the institutions with putin, but this is already a sign of some kind of divine anointing, immediately after

the inauguration there was also no solemn prayer ceremony, somehow it was separate, here is a special protocol shooting, kyrylo addresses two'. from a totalitarian system to a dynastic one, in my opinion. dynastic - it means that power becomes unchanged according to another principle. so you have to invent something, here they are already close to justifying why putin and his family, or those belonging to his immediate circle, dignitaries will remain in this power forever. that is... marked by god himself, practically an orthodox king. the only thing, you know, that i was surprised that he did not hold his own, his self-coronation on may 9, but there was nothing strange, that is , they would have taken and combined, you understand, the prayer on

may 9, the shoiga on camels and the spirit of ungern sternberg above the red square. they need to double down on these activities to increase attention, or that's all... they are wary of doing now immortal regiments, parade. suddenly a drone will fly, but apparently, ideologically, it is advantageous for them to disperse these events in order to raise his status as a military leader, as the head of a country that is waging an aggressive war against ukraine, etc., with ceremonial events on may 9, that is, the task here is broader, that is why they did not combine , in order not to simplify the situation, to diversify a little. today , only the russian orthodox church is a full-fledged ideological institution in this system. let's start with the fact that i

generally believe that religion and ideology are one and the same, they say that there is a god, that's already ideology, catechism is some orthodox, dogmas, a sufficient set for ideology, the russian orthodox church justifies putin's power much more than united russia, the ruling party, what can it justify, there is only bureaucracy, what they can invent, and the russian orthodox church says... says: we the ideology is new, according to which the current government has a direct entrance to god, it is a direct reflection of him, the orthodox kingdom, the russian world, the whole set that we hear from time to time, but it cannot be put together in a single puzzle, and this inauguration, if and has some significance, not so much a protocol one, how ideological, war and the immutability of this power in a totalitarian system become the main tools, guides of this ideology, war. higher, that is, we protect the homeland, although we see the quality of these defenders, if

you have criminals returning from the svo zone, raping boys, recent events, some catastrophic percentage of recidivism among people participating in the svo, but ideology may not take this into account, to close one's eyes completely, because a high justification is needed only by putin, the rest is slag, from this point of view, taking into account all this, the war and the current term, when he changes under... the constitution, and molebin, and the rest are indicators of some kind of renewal that leads the country to the abyss, even more, but for putin it creates an ideological cushion that he really needed. well, mark, look, there is another point here, which is very characteristic, that is, of all the tools or institutions of putin's legitimization, he still has what, strategic nuclear weapons and tactical nuclear weapons, and here they decided to conduct certain exercises, so it's about.. southern military district of russia federation, the district that is directly involved in the war against ukraine. but if

we talk, for example, about the broader palette that you talked about, the russian orthodox church, putin, so to speak, anointed the future, well, we understand that they have to return to the concept of the so -called great national war to complete the picture. the great patriotic war against napoleon, the year 1812, and then from... of course, we move on to stalin, who, let me remind you, in the 41st year, so to speak, addressed the soviet citizens with the call of brothers and sisters, well, accordingly, i am everything wait, maybe not this week, maybe in a month, in general, yes, with regard to nuclear weapons, this is definitely the cornerstone of the ideology, nuclear weapons, the possession of them, these six hundred warheads, becomes the main tool for conducting external flight. russia, because they exploit this nuclear rhetoric all the time, constantly threatening, conducting

training in the western district, including lukashenka, is the main threat to the west, but it is also an ideological threat. we will get our way using the nuclear theme. how ready are they to use nuclear weapons, the question is still open, because it is a one-way street. after using nuclear weapons, there is no turning back and it will be a disaster. effect, however, they use this nuclear rhetoric to intimidate, primarily the west, there is no point in intimidating ukrainians, they are not afraid, but they summoned the british and french ambassadors because of their statement that the means supplied to ukraine, in particular missiles, can be used for any purpose for shelling the territory of russia or not, it is decided by ukraine, it is not decided by france or great britain, they absolve themselves of responsibility. they supply weapons, and now the weapons are ukrainian, not french and not british, because this is stupidity, it

would remain so if the french and british themselves carried out strikes with the help of scalp or storm shadow, but this is not happening. does ukraine do this? what difference does it make that they use? moscow uses iranian shaheds, so what? therefore, the sense is that this is essentially an attempt to influence the position of these countries, taking into account what france says all the time. of president macron, starting on the 26th february, that the french military contingent can be sent to the territory of ukraine , provided that there is a front breakthrough, or if zelensky asks for it. the zelenskyi government will request and invite these contingents to kyiv. maybe it will be the french foreign legion or something. i don't know exactly how this is handled in the respective jurisdictions, in the respective european countries. they may appear on the territory of warring ukraine. so this is an attempt to use nuclear threats and blackmail to make both france and london rejected these plans.

so far, the determination to use these nuclear weapons is not visible behind this, but the statement. sakharova that the answer will be strikes, if great britain does not refuse the supply of weapons and does not cancel the position on lifting restrictions on the use of these missiles, in particular on strikes on the territory of russia, then, as she said, there will be strikes on the territory of ukraine and outside its borders, on british facilities. of course, this cannot be connected with statements about nuclear exercises that moscow is going to conduct and about the possibility of using nuclear weapons. of course, it's an attempt... an attempt to take a punt, so far it's like that, we'll see what it leads to, but i definitely know the recipe for how to react, if you show slack, if you show the west on your side that they can roll back into its initiatives, the kremlin will go further, they will not stop, will go further on the offensive, from the point of view of political and other offensive, on europe, increasing and

increasing the demands, but what if they say, we will also conduct nuclear exercises? let's look at the issue of deploying nuclear weapons, tactical, another on the territory of romania, poland, which, by the way, poland is asking and romania is asking, this is where moscow will hit the brakes and play back, say: well, we are not in that sense, we are not going to go to a nuclear war . with regard to the national war and quasi-patriotic rhetoric, which the kremlin can use to prolong the situation with the war, which has already been going on for 2.5 years, it is necessary to somehow explain to the people why we are fighting, we are fighting, the end of the land is not in sight, and now after receiving help from ukraine , approved by the us congress, 61 billion is not much, but it is something, not nothing. this obviously affects the continuation of the war at least until november. and how will the american elections end? they may end in such a way that it will not give

ukraine the opportunity to receive additional aid, new aid, etc. and that is why the rhetoric of the national war and the like. we know how it was exploited by stalin, brothers and sisters, he actually created the russian orthodox church anew with serhii stargorodskyi. this is a well-known story. stalin's church, which is still functioning, is stalin's. he is on his own he created her with caress. moreover, he had plans to go to constantinople after the war, to liberate it, this is a well-known story. such plans were made in the headquarters. yes, they will work out some concept, because putin in his inaugural speech. said, to achieve all goals, and still no one knows what your goals are, we know these goals: to destroy ukraine, end its sovereignty and turn it into our constituent part, and we do not see any other goals, they are clear, but to say it he can't in this form. why, mark, well, he could

simply to say, we will fight to destruction, so to speak, as they begin. in general, aggression against ukraine, well, we are talking about a full-scale invasion, you understand, denazification and so on, well, in putin's version we know all this, well, these are stalin's versions, and of course, he may come to the point of saying: the territory is completely the territory of russia, we occupy it because it is historical justice, he says so from time to time, but then, if we enter from such a premise, he will drive the west into a dead end, and that is what i want, it is my land but if someone can say: i claim because these are our historical territories, and this is after the 1991 recognition of the borders of ukraine and everything else, then how is that? you also recognized them as the bialowieza agreements,

then there was the almaty declaration, now they remembered it in time, and the almaty one was catching up. that we recognize ukraine precisely in its borders with crimea and the rest. then why do we need an international security system? who needs all these agreements, the un and the like? if putin decides that the law of force is higher than international law, then the west or joins the war and defends not just ukraine, but international values. of security, its principles, the norms of international law, or swallows it, and in russia immediately there are claims on the baltic states, it will also say russian territories to poland, it will also say that this... historical lands, the crowns of the russian empire, we are restoring them and so on, because if this principle is implemented once, it will always work, that's all. see, we didn't

mention an extremely important point, or rather, the absence of one extremely important point character, well, sijin ping, he worked very technically, that is, he drew for himself an extremely important in his opinion, and i think that not only in his opinion, the visit to the european continent did not come to putin. neither for the inauguration nor for the may 9 parade, but xi jinping talked to macron, so it's a kind of démarche, i think he made it clear to putin, so to speak, all the signals that beijing could actually send to moscow, so to speak not heard in moscow. i think that china's position, albeit imperceptibly, though not quickly, is adjusting a little. i won't say that it changes. moscow remains an ally, but changes in the sense of what beijing wants. remove responsibility for what moscow is doing, remove it as much as possible, because when you are its ally, you see the difference between iran and beijing, they

are both allies of moscow in a certain sense of the word, but iran is a military ally, and definitely bears responsibility for moscow's actions in ukraine, because ukrainians are being killed with their weapons, and it is not the same as the one supplied by london and paris, because moscow is embargoed as an aggressor country. sorry, bye there are still no restrictions on the supply of arms to ukraine, none, because it is a victim country that is protected under international law. beijing actually makes a choice, in foreign policy, let’s not talk about domestic, precisely in favor of observing international law, it is more profitable for them to adhere to these principles, and by the way, on the anniversary in february 2023, and the beijing declaration on the settlement of 12 points, yes there was the first point. observance of international law and recognition of internationally recognized sovereignty and borders of ukraine. it seems to me that this is how the process of beijing's rapprochement with europe began. why?

first , macron's visit to beijing went brilliantly, and now sydney pin's return visit to paris. mutual interest, they fear the arrival of trump. trump is fiercely anti-chinese. if he wins the elections in november, then in europe, which also expects eccentric actions from trump. in relation to nato, in relation to the obligations of the usa, in relation to europe, they are trying to find alternative allies, to play on the balance. all of europe in the person of france, because france is the foreign policy department of the entire european union, it is responsible for politics, and germany for the economy in the eu. this has always been the case traditionally, especially when great britain left the eu, and this role in the eu is played by paris itself. today, of course, they are trying to agree on strategies, economic, investment... "influence moscow, europe in the eastern part of which

war is stealing, an unacceptable situation for the economy, for cooperation, for the interaction of beijing, and paris, and brussels, unacceptable absolutely, the war must be stopped absolutely if we we want neither beijing nor europe to suffer from the policies of trump's upcoming four-year administration. it seems that beijing heard this signal. see for yourself: beijing after blinken's visit, despite the fact that the visit was generally cool, and the state department publicly stated that it was necessary to adhere to the sanctions against moscow, to join the sanctions against beijing, both legally and in fact, in fact, something has already begun be implemented for example, russian companies that felt free to make transactions through chinese financial institutions now have these opportunities deprived, or very... limited, and that is gray schemes for the supply of military and dual purpose products, that is, beijing is slowly, perhaps reluctantly, losing financially, but agrees to limit moscow in its

use, economic and otherwise, of beijing for conducting war, and we see that beijing always wants to be an observer, for example, at the swiss conference on the peace formula, on the initiative of zelenskyi, including , it is going to come as an observer, and in the war it wants to... be in the capacity of an observer, and not the representative of moscow in this case. these are different qualities. we represent moscow, well, we have to negotiate with moscow through us. no, we are observers and are not responsible for moscow. we will try to influence some issues. we will convince. but, please, don't make us representatives of moscow. and suddenly moscow will really resort to steps for which it will have to be responsible. for example, will use tactical nuclear weapons. why is it for beijing to then... rake up the consequences of this for moscow, and in this sense, beijing is clearly increasing the distance regarding moscow's plans regarding ukraine and europe and the western world, because economic

interest, because for... what then, where to get technological and other resources? beijing is diversifying the situation and focusing on europe, and in particular, at the time of macron's visit to beijing, agreements were reached that airbus would be built in china, in particular, beijing is forced to choose priorities, or europe and to some extent america, or moscow, but goods. almost 800, 750, 770, what is most important, and with america somewhere like 750, 780, that is, it shows that the potential is incomparable, and moscow and beyond will lose, and beijing will increase its distance from moscow and at the same time move closer to europe in these issues. i completely

agree with you mark, and i would just like to point out. such a perhaps somewhat unpretentious allegory, that is, well, you understand, a mad, angry bull terrier that starts jumping, biting passers-by, and everyone understands who its plus-minus owner is, yes, well, and here the key story is who will give the first to this , let's say a bull terrier with a shovel on the face, you understand, and the owner, so to speak, tries to pretend that it is not his bull terrier, but when he they say, listen, we, we specifically, dear peking comrades, will issue a specific... fine for your bull terrier if you don't take it away, but putin also feels this matter, and what is he doing, he is now trying to go to beijing, check the clocks, and here is the key story, what comrade everyone will tell him, and what putin will tell him, he did not believe, but beijing has a strong argument in the conversation with putin, who will soon pay a visit to beijing, the war has been going on for more than two years, and you planned much less,

counted on blitzkrieg for... accelerated ending the war, settling the conflict. it doesn't matter, on capitulation terms, on negotiations, this does not happen. now the war is already becoming a burden for everyone, and for peking as well, which definitely does not want to be a representative of moscow in any case, as i said, because what dividend will you get? on the contrary, beijing is interested in moscow coming out of the war as weakened as possible, so that it does not disappear, let putin remain, but so that it is as weakened as possible. it would be easier to increase this dependence on beijing, if the way to the west is blocked by moscow. and she, most likely that's all, the decade will be closed, given the consequences of the war, no matter what negotiations take place and no matter how they end. and moscow's victory is not beneficial to beijing. moscow is already too proud when it starts to improve its situation, front-line or international. in particular, until these five, almost six months , the us congress did not allocate aid to ukraine.

as soon as a new situation arises with aid, with a different balance in terms of ammunition, in terms of the means that ukraine is restoring with aid that has already left the usa, the political situation immediately changes the situation, they noticed how easily it changes, european politicians are immediately inspired and emboldened, and china should not lag behind, it should lead. languages: moscow must decide how long it is going to fight, to wage a full-scale war. i think such a question will be raised in beijing. how long are you going to fight? 10 years? this is unacceptable for us. this is definitely unacceptable for beijing. moreover, beijing is very afraid of nuclear rhetoric and all the exercises and placement of nuclear missiles on the territory of belarus. why? because i totally assume so. with beijing a variant of the development

of the situation is also being discussed, under which nuclear weapons... japan, it can very easily get nuclear weapons, they have their own nuclear materials, laboratory tests, there is no need to talk about technologies. taiwan may have nuclear weapons, why not? it may appear in north korea, but not in taiwan. nuclear weapons may appear in south korea. why is this a joke? this will both help and hurt his plans to integrate taiwan into mainland china . therefore, this question is raised in beijing a terrible cookie about moscow. most likely , these two issues will be discussed. the first is to stop the nuclear rhetoric. moscow must be a responsible partner. a veto-wielding member of the un security council cannot behave like this. because he is the guarantor of international security, no use of nuclear weapons, no violation of conventions that oblige, for example, not to conduct nuclear tests.